Andy Pages
CF Los Angeles Dodgers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AAAOklahoma City… | 114 | .356/.425/.663 | 8 | 3 | 152 | — | .317/.372/.577 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLBLAD | 443 | .248/.308/.407 | 13 | 1 | 103 | 1.3 | |
| 2025 | 24 | MLBLAD | 624 | .272/.316/.461 | 27 | 14 | 118 | 3.8 | |
| 2026 | 25 | MLBLAD | 574 | .274/.347/.468 | 23 | 13 | 130 | 3.7 | |
| 2027PROJ | 26 | MLBLAD | 518 | .263/.324/.451 | 21 | 11 | 118 | 2.6 | |
| 2028PROJ | 27 | MLBLAD | 556 | .262/.324/.448 | 23 | 12 | 117 | 2.8 | |
| 2029PROJ | 28 | MLBLAD | 539 | .260/.322/.444 | 22 | 10 | 115 | 2.5 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | — | 212 | 166 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 229 | 393 | 464 | 857 | 235 | 230 | 17 | 14 | 385 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 538 | 438 | 116 | 25 | 1 | 31 | 77 | 132 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 265 | 397 | 539 | 936 | 274 | 305 | 25 | 14 | 408 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 571 | 487 | 115 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 62 | 140 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 236 | 340 | 468 | 809 | 232 | 271 | 25 | 11 | 354 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 98 | 81 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 296 | 406 | 506 | 912 | 210 | 288 | 12 | 9 | 398 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 142 | 109 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 32 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 284 | 439 | 495 | 934 | 211 | 364 | 23 | 18 | 408 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 443 | 403 | 100 | 23 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 108 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 248 | 308 | 407 | 714 | 159 | 304 | 24 | 7 | 316 | 103 | +2 | -1 | -0 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | — | 114 | 101 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 356 | 425 | 663 | 1.088 | 307 | 384 | 18 | 9 | 465 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 624 | 581 | 158 | 27 | 1 | 27 | 29 | 135 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 272 | 316 | 461 | 777 | 189 | 308 | 22 | 5 | 339 | 118 | +13 | +0 | +8 | +2 | +14 | 3.8 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 574 | 511 | 140 | 26 | 2 | 23 | 49 | 113 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 274 | 347 | 468 | 815 | 194 | 307 | 20 | 9 | 357 | 130 | +21 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 3.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1641 | 1495 | 398 | 76 | 4 | 63 | 107 | 356 | 22 | 28 | 16 | 266 | 324 | 449 | 773 | 183 | 307 | 22 | 7 | 339 | 116 | +31 | -1 | +8 | +6 | +36 | 8.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 212 | 177 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 164 | 299 | 333 | 632 | 169 | 173 | 24 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 538 | 462 | 99 | 20 | 1 | 27 | 53 | 176 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 214 | 320 | 437 | 757 | 223 | 268 | 33 | 10 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 571 | 503 | 99 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 46 | 176 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 197 | 284 | 376 | 659 | 179 | 243 | 31 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 142 | 117 | 29 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 248 | 367 | 410 | 777 | 162 | 323 | 27 | 12 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 443 | 404 | 101 | 24 | 1 | 12 | 29 | 108 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 250 | 310 | 403 | 713 | 153 | 304 | 24 | 7 | 321 | 103 | +2 | -1 | -0 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | — | 114 | 104 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 317 | 372 | 577 | 949 | 260 | 351 | 22 | 6 | 393 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 624 | 581 | 160 | 29 | 1 | 26 | 29 | 135 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 275 | 319 | 463 | 782 | 188 | 308 | 22 | 5 | 342 | 118 | +13 | +0 | +8 | +2 | +14 | 3.8 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 574 | 512 | 142 | 28 | 2 | 22 | 48 | 113 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 277 | 349 | 469 | 817 | 191 | 307 | 20 | 8 | 361 | 130 | +21 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 3.7 |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 212 | 177 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 164 | 299 | 333 | 632 | 169 | 175 | 24 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | AZL Dodgers | — | 212 | 166 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 229 | 393 | 464 | 857 | 235 | 230 | 17 | 14 | 385 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 538 | 462 | 99 | 20 | 1 | 27 | 53 | 176 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 214 | 320 | 437 | 757 | 223 | 274 | 33 | 10 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 538 | 438 | 116 | 25 | 1 | 31 | 77 | 132 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 265 | 397 | 539 | 936 | 274 | 305 | 25 | 14 | 408 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 669 | 585 | 117 | 27 | 3 | 25 | 54 | 206 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 200 | 291 | 385 | 676 | 185 | 253 | 31 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 669 | 568 | 139 | 31 | 3 | 31 | 71 | 152 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 245 | 350 | 474 | 824 | 229 | 274 | 23 | 11 | 360 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 142 | 117 | 29 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 248 | 367 | 410 | 777 | 162 | 338 | 27 | 12 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 142 | 109 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 32 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 284 | 439 | 495 | 934 | 211 | 364 | 23 | 18 | 408 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 508 | 134 | 29 | 2 | 19 | 36 | 133 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 264 | 322 | 441 | 763 | 177 | 319 | 24 | 6 | 336 | 113 | +9 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +12 | 2.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 557 | 504 | 136 | 28 | 2 | 21 | 39 | 129 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 270 | 332 | 458 | 790 | 188 | 320 | 23 | 7 | 346 | 113 | +9 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +12 | 2.3 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 624 | 581 | 160 | 29 | 1 | 26 | 29 | 135 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 275 | 319 | 463 | 782 | 188 | 315 | 22 | 5 | 342 | 118 | +13 | +0 | +8 | +2 | +14 | 3.8 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 624 | 581 | 158 | 27 | 1 | 27 | 29 | 135 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 272 | 316 | 461 | 777 | 189 | 308 | 22 | 5 | 339 | 118 | +13 | +0 | +8 | +2 | +14 | 3.8 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 574 | 512 | 142 | 28 | 2 | 22 | 48 | 113 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 277 | 349 | 469 | 817 | 191 | 313 | 20 | 8 | 361 | 130 | +21 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 3.7 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 574 | 511 | 140 | 26 | 2 | 23 | 49 | 113 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 274 | 347 | 468 | 815 | 194 | 307 | 20 | 9 | 357 | 130 | +21 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 3.7 |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 212 | 176 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 165 | 299 | 335 | 634 | 170 | 173 | 24 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 538 | 461 | 99 | 20 | 1 | 27 | 53 | 176 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 215 | 320 | 438 | 758 | 223 | 268 | 33 | 10 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 669 | 589 | 117 | 27 | 3 | 25 | 54 | 206 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 199 | 291 | 382 | 673 | 183 | 243 | 31 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 142 | 119 | 29 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 244 | 367 | 403 | 770 | 160 | 323 | 27 | 12 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 508 | 134 | 29 | 2 | 19 | 36 | 133 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 264 | 322 | 441 | 763 | 177 | 314 | 24 | 6 | 336 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 624 | 582 | 160 | 29 | 1 | 26 | 29 | 135 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 275 | 319 | 462 | 781 | 187 | 308 | 22 | 5 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 574 | 513 | 142 | 28 | 2 | 22 | 48 | 113 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 277 | 349 | 468 | 816 | 191 | 307 | 20 | 8 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 508 | 134 | 29 | 2 | 19 | 36 | 133 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 264 | 322 | 441 | 763 | 177 | 314 | 24 | 6 | 336 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 624 | 582 | 160 | 29 | 1 | 26 | 29 | 135 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 275 | 319 | 462 | 781 | 187 | 308 | 22 | 5 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 574 | 513 | 142 | 28 | 2 | 22 | 48 | 113 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 277 | 349 | 468 | 816 | 191 | 307 | 20 | 8 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAD | 100% | 582 | 528 | 141 | 26 | 2 | 23 | 41 | 122 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 266 | 327 | 452 | 780 | 187 | 302 | 21 | 7 | 343 | 118 | +13 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +13 | 3.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAD | 100% | 518 | 470 | 124 | 22 | 2 | 21 | 36 | 108 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 263 | 324 | 451 | 775 | 188 | 296 | 21 | 7 | 341 | 118 | +11 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +11 | 2.6 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAD | 100% | 556 | 505 | 134 | 24 | 2 | 22 | 39 | 117 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 265 | 326 | 450 | 776 | 185 | 302 | 21 | 7 | 341 | 117 | +11 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 2.8 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAD | 100% | 539 | 489 | 130 | 24 | 2 | 21 | 38 | 115 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 263 | 325 | 446 | 770 | 183 | 301 | 21 | 7 | 339 | 115 | +10 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +12 | 2.5 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAD | 100% | 525 | 476 | 125 | 23 | 2 | 20 | 37 | 113 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 261 | 322 | 440 | 761 | 179 | 300 | 22 | 7 | 335 | 113 | +8 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAD | 100% | 511 | 465 | 120 | 22 | 1 | 19 | 35 | 112 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 258 | 318 | 432 | 750 | 174 | 298 | 22 | 7 | 331 | 110 | +6 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +11 | 1.8 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB MLE | LAD | 100% | 496 | 453 | 115 | 21 | 1 | 18 | 34 | 110 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 253 | 313 | 422 | 735 | 168 | 295 | 22 | 7 | 325 | 106 | +3 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +11 | 1.4 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB MLE | LAD | 100% | 483 | 443 | 108 | 19 | 1 | 16 | 32 | 110 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 248 | 307 | 408 | 715 | 161 | 291 | 23 | 7 | 317 | 100 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +2 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB MLE | LAD | 100% | 397 | 364 | 88 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 92 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 240 | 298 | 392 | 690 | 151 | 285 | 23 | 7 | 306 | 93 | -3 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB MLE | LAD | 100% | 340 | 312 | 72 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 82 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 288 | 372 | 660 | 141 | 278 | 24 | 6 | 294 | 85 | -6 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAD | 100% | 556 | 505 | 133 | 23 | 2 | 23 | 39 | 117 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 262 | 324 | 448 | 772 | 187 | 296 | 21 | 7 | 340 | 117 | +11 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 2.8 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAD | 100% | 539 | 489 | 127 | 22 | 1 | 22 | 38 | 115 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 260 | 322 | 444 | 766 | 184 | 295 | 21 | 7 | 337 | 115 | +10 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +12 | 2.5 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAD | 100% | 525 | 476 | 123 | 21 | 1 | 21 | 37 | 113 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 258 | 319 | 438 | 757 | 180 | 294 | 22 | 7 | 333 | 113 | +8 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAD | 100% | 511 | 465 | 119 | 21 | 1 | 20 | 35 | 112 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 255 | 316 | 430 | 746 | 176 | 292 | 22 | 7 | 329 | 110 | +6 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +11 | 1.8 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB CTX | LAD | 100% | 496 | 453 | 113 | 20 | 1 | 18 | 34 | 110 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 311 | 420 | 731 | 170 | 289 | 22 | 7 | 323 | 106 | +3 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +11 | 1.4 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB CTX | LAD | 100% | 483 | 443 | 108 | 18 | 1 | 17 | 32 | 110 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 304 | 407 | 711 | 162 | 285 | 23 | 7 | 315 | 100 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +2 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB CTX | LAD | 100% | 397 | 364 | 86 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 92 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 296 | 391 | 686 | 153 | 280 | 23 | 7 | 305 | 93 | -3 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB CTX | LAD | 100% | 340 | 312 | 71 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 82 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 286 | 371 | 656 | 142 | 273 | 24 | 6 | 292 | 85 | -6 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 5488 | 5002 | 1278 | 226 | 12 | 208 | 370 | 1207 | 67 | 66 | 27 | 255 | 315 | 430 | 745 | 175 | 295 | 22 | 7 | 328 | 108 | +61 | +2 | -7 | +20 | +119 | 19.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 592 | 152 | 27 | 1 | 25 | 44 | 143 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 257 | 316 | 432 | 749 | 176 | 297 | 22 | 7 | 328 | 108 | +7 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 2.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7681 | 6919 | 1727 | 333 | 23 | 288 | 554 | 1810 | 137 | 110 | 47 | 250 | 318 | 429 | 747 | 180 | 295 | 24 | 7 | 328 | 108 | +72 | +3 | -7 | +22 | +130 | 22.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 146 | 28 | 2 | 24 | 47 | 153 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 249 | 318 | 427 | 745 | 177 | 295 | 24 | 7 | 328 | 108 | +8 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAAOklahoma City Baseball Club · 114 PAwOBA .456 → .393 (−63)K% 18.4% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.42% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.77% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.50% | ÷0.977 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 26.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.930 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 5.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.25% | ÷1.126 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 1.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.896 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 8.19% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 95, 2B 86, 3B 125, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .456 → .393; ISO .307 → .254; BABIP .384 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AATulsa Drillers · 142 PAwOBA .403 → .352 (−51)K% 22.5% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.54% | ÷1.023 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.20% | ÷0.973 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 11.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.52% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 3.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.48% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 17.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.58% | ÷0.942 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 13.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.90% | ÷1.083 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.96% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 105, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .403 → .352; ISO .211 → .190; BABIP .364 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AATulsa Drillers · 571 PAwOBA .348 → .289 (−59)K% 24.5% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.52% | ÷0.971 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.68% | ÷0.975 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 7.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 2.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.43% | ÷0.953 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 15.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.36% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 6.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.86% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.49% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 6.29% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 91, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .348 → .289; ISO .232 → .187; BABIP .271 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Great Lakes Loons · 538 PAwOBA .399 → .327 (−72)K% 24.5% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.54% | ÷1.013 | ×1.350 | — | — | 32.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.94% | ÷1.042 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 9.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.53% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 2.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.28% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 17.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.17% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.33% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.13% | ÷0.930 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 9.29% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 103, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .399 → .327; ISO .274 → .237; BABIP .305 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKAZL Dodgers · 212 PAwOBA .375 → .277 (−98)K% 16.5% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.51% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 8.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.55% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 5.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 11.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 4.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 6.09% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .375 → .277; ISO .235 → .184; BABIP .230 → .173. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .