Jake Meyers — OGILVIE

Jake MeyersCF Houston Astros

Age 30 R/L 6'0" / 200 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 4.256 · Ctrl thru 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION312 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 8382vR 76

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP291

ISO109

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

669.3%

xAVG

390.242

POWER45

Barrel%

346.1

Avg EV

3287.8

Bat Spd

1767.8

EYE50

Chase%

7926.0%

SPEED55

Sprint

6027.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 920 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

217

703

—

wRC+

106

◀◀L

wOBA

325

301

◀L

ISO

140

111

◀◀L

BABIP

314

300

◀L

19.8%

20.6%

◀L

BB%

6.9%

7.7%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2021

Service 4.256 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.3M		$1M	-$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	A+	Buies Creek Astros	—	233	196	49	13	0	3	28	40	2	3	7	250	350	362	712	112	289	17	12	317	101	+0	-2	—	—	+5	0.3
2018	22	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	257	225	68	18	3	5	23	43	7	13	7	302	384	476	860	173	354	17	9	380	143	+13	-0	—	—	+6	1.9
2019	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	100	89	19	0	1	1	11	20	0	3	3	213	300	270	570	56	265	20	11	268	67	-4	-1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2019	23	A+	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	384	341	88	28	3	8	33	84	8	9	4	258	338	428	766	170	319	22	9	340	116	+8	+0	—	—	+8	1.6
2021	25	MLB	Houston Astros	—	163	146	38	8	0	6	10	50	4	3	0	260	325	438	763	178	352	31	6	334	112	+2	+1	+3	+2	+4	1.1
2021	25	AAA	Sugar Land Skeeters	—	304	271	93	17	2	16	25	59	6	10	3	343	411	598	1.008	255	389	19	8	436	182	+29	+1	—	—	+7	3.8
2022	26	MLB	Houston Astros	—	160	150	34	6	2	1	7	54	2	2	1	227	270	313	584	87	344	34	4	262	64	-7	+0	+5	+1	+3	0.3
2022	26	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	170	144	44	6	1	7	25	30	0	2	0	306	408	507	915	201	343	18	15	403	159	+12	+0	—	—	+4	1.6
2023	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	341	309	70	16	1	10	26	88	5	5	2	227	297	382	679	155	283	26	8	304	92	-3	+0	+4	+1	+7	1.0
2024	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	513	461	101	20	3	13	35	117	10	11	3	219	289	360	649	141	263	23	7	289	82	-11	+1	+9	+2	+11	1.2
2025	29	MLB	Houston Astros	—	381	343	100	15	2	3	31	67	3	16	5	292	355	373	729	82	353	18	8	328	108	+4	+1	+6	+1	+8	2.1
2025	29	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	23	18	4	1	0	0	5	2	0	0	0	222	391	278	669	56	250	9	22	326	106	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1558	1409	343	65	8	33	109	376	24	37	11	243	309	371	680	128	307	24	7	304	92	-15	+3	+27	+7	+34	5.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	A+ MLE	Buies Creek Astros	—	233	207	43	11	0	3	17	58	2	3	7	208	274	304	579	97	252	25	7	257	60	-11	-2	—	—	+5	-0.8
2018	22	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	257	232	60	14	3	4	16	60	7	13	7	259	325	397	722	138	322	23	6	308	95	-2	-0	—	—	+6	0.4
2019	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	100	93	17	0	1	1	7	26	0	3	3	183	240	237	477	54	233	26	7	207	26	-9	-1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2019	23	A+ MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	384	353	67	19	2	7	21	121	8	9	4	190	251	314	566	125	259	32	5	245	52	-22	+0	—	—	+8	-1.4
2021	25	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	163	146	38	8	0	6	10	50	4	3	0	260	325	438	763	178	352	31	6	330	110	+2	+1	+3	+2	+4	1.1
2021	25	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Skeeters	—	304	278	81	15	2	12	18	71	6	10	3	291	348	489	837	198	342	23	6	354	126	+9	+1	—	—	+7	1.7
2022	26	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	160	150	34	6	2	1	7	54	2	2	1	227	270	313	584	87	344	34	4	258	61	-7	+0	+5	+1	+3	0.2
2022	26	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	170	151	39	5	1	6	18	39	0	2	0	258	337	424	761	166	306	23	11	331	110	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	27	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	341	309	70	16	1	10	26	88	5	5	2	227	297	382	679	155	283	26	8	301	90	-4	+0	+4	+1	+7	0.9
2024	28	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	513	461	101	20	3	13	35	117	10	11	3	219	289	360	649	141	263	23	7	286	79	-13	+1	+9	+2	+11	1.1
2025	29	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	381	343	100	15	2	3	31	67	3	16	5	292	355	373	729	82	353	18	8	323	105	+2	+1	+6	+1	+8	1.9
2025	29	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	23	20	4	1	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	200	304	250	554	50	223	13	13	262	63	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2018	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	490	439	103	25	3	7	33	118	9	16	14	235	301	353	655	118	299	24	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	490	421	117	31	3	8	51	83	9	16	14	278	368	423	791	145	323	17	10	350	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	484	446	84	19	3	8	28	147	8	12	7	188	249	298	547	110	259	30	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	484	430	107	28	4	9	44	104	8	12	7	249	330	395	725	147	307	21	9	325	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	467	424	119	23	2	18	28	121	10	13	3	281	340	472	812	191	351	26	6	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	467	417	131	25	2	22	35	109	10	13	3	314	381	542	923	228	377	23	7	401	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	330	301	73	11	3	7	25	93	2	4	1	243	305	369	674	126	325	28	8	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	330	294	78	12	3	8	32	84	2	4	1	265	341	408	750	143	343	25	10	335	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	341	309	70	16	1	10	26	88	5	5	2	227	297	382	679	155	283	26	8	301	90	-4	+0	+4	+1	+7	0.9
2023	27	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	341	309	70	16	1	10	26	88	5	5	2	227	297	382	679	155	283	26	8	304	90	-4	+0	+4	+1	+7	0.9
2024	28	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	513	461	101	20	3	13	35	117	10	11	3	219	289	360	649	141	263	23	7	286	79	-13	+1	+9	+2	+11	1.1
2024	28	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	513	461	101	20	3	13	35	117	10	11	3	219	289	360	649	141	263	23	7	289	79	-13	+1	+9	+2	+11	1.1
2025	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	404	363	103	16	2	3	34	70	3	16	5	284	350	364	714	80	342	17	8	319	102	+1	+1	+6	+1	+9	1.9
2025	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	404	361	104	16	2	3	36	69	3	16	5	288	357	368	726	80	347	17	9	328	102	+1	+1	+6	+1	+9	1.9
2018	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	490	445	103	25	3	7	33	118	9	16	14	231	301	348	650	117	289	24	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	484	445	84	19	3	8	28	147	8	12	7	189	249	299	548	110	254	30	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	467	426	119	23	2	18	28	121	10	13	3	279	340	469	809	190	345	26	6	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	330	300	73	11	3	7	25	93	2	4	1	243	305	370	675	127	324	28	8	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	341	307	70	16	1	10	26	88	5	5	2	228	297	384	681	156	283	26	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	513	463	101	20	3	13	35	117	10	11	3	218	289	359	647	140	263	23	7	286	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	404	364	103	16	2	3	34	70	3	16	5	283	350	363	713	80	345	17	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	341	307	70	16	1	10	26	88	5	5	2	228	297	384	681	156	283	26	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	513	463	101	20	3	13	35	117	10	11	3	218	289	359	647	140	263	23	7	286	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	404	364	103	16	2	3	34	70	3	16	5	283	350	363	713	80	345	17	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	MLB MLE	HOU	—	312	290	56	12	1	5	19	76	2	2	4	193	248	293	541	100	243	24	6	237	46	-20	-1	-0	+1	+7	-1.4
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	HOU	—	153	141	30	7	0	3	10	31	1	1	2	213	270	326	596	113	250	20	7	268	46	-10	-1	-0	+1	+3	-0.6
YTD	30	AA RAW	HOU	—	16	16	1	1	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	62	62	125	188	62	83	25	0	80	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	AAA RAW	HOU	—	143	130	30	6	1	2	12	31	1	1	2	231	301	338	639	108	289	22	8	291	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	MLB RAW	HOU	—	153	141	30	7	0	3	10	31	1	1	2	213	270	326	596	113	250	20	7	268	68	-6	-1	-0	+1	+3	-0.3
ROS	30	MLB MLE	HOU	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		288	22	11	289	82	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	30	MLB CTX	HOU	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		291	22	11	283	82	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	30	MLB A+C	HOU	—	162	149	31	7	0	3	11	33	1	1	2	208	267	315	583	107	246	20	7	269	47	-10	-1	-0	+1	+4	-0.7
TOT	30	MLB MLE	HOU	—	321	298	57	12	1	5	20	78	2	2	4	191	247	289	535	97	241	24	6	238	47	-20	-1	-0	+1	+7	-1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	HOU	100%	414	378	91	18	2	6	29	92	4	10	4	241	302	347	648	106	303	22	7	295	86	-7	+0	+1	+1	+9	0.5
2028	32	MLB MLE	HOU	100%	395	362	87	17	2	6	27	89	3	8	3	240	298	348	647	108	299	23	7	288	81	-9	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.2
2027	31	MLB CTX	HOU	100%	414	378	93	19	2	6	29	92	4	10	4	246	307	354	661	108	305	22	7	289	86	-7	+0	+1	+1	+9	0.5
2028	32	MLB CTX	HOU	100%	395	362	87	17	2	6	27	89	3	8	3	240	298	348	647	108	301	23	7	283	81	-9	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2376	2157	524	101	12	45	166	559	31	55	18	243	306	363	670	121	306	24	7	298	85	-31	+4	+28	+10	+51	6.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	143	28	3	12	45	153	8	15	5	242	304	361	665	119	305	24	7	298	85	-9	+1	+8	+3	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3847	3491	832	165	21	78	266	937	54	95	42	238	302	365	667	126	301	24	7	294	85	-31	+4	+28	+10	+51	6.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	141	28	4	13	45	158	9	16	7	239	303	366	669	127	303	24	7	294	85	-9	+1	+8	+3	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Juan Lagareslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	31	45	250	291	360	+8	+49	7.3	7.7
/162	664	8	12	+2.1	+13.0	1.9	pk7: 8
#4Peter Bourjoslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,241 PA	3.4	2,241	42	66	241	298	382	-0	+38	7.4	7.5
/162	664	12	20	-0.1	+11.3	2.2	pk7: 8
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	4.4	2,914	55	72	243	303	362	+10	+37	5.1	5.3
/162	664	13	16	+2.4	+8.5	1.2	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Meyers (OGILVIE)	30	50	45	55	50	233/293/345	112	288	7	11	22%	7%	82	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Davis 2021 · MLB	29	46→52	44→45	54→55	45	225/305/348	123	292	11	19	26%	7%	87	+0.4	215/307/323	108	292	10	23	27%	9%	82	+0.0	221/304/328	106	311	9	22	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Tyler Saladino 2019 · MLB	30	45→47	43→45	51→55	46	222/287/329	107	284	11	16	25%	8%	75	-0.5	220/290/381	161	284	20	14	29%	8%	89	+0.5	199/274/379	180	248	24	14	30%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Pokey Reese 2003 · MLB	30	51→55	42→45	56→55	52	246/310/355	110	284	9	22	17%	8%	90	+0.6	231/290/327	96	285	8	16	21%	8%	76	-0.4	213/265/282	69	273	6	19	23%	7%	52	-0.7
✕Tim Locastro 2022 · MLB	30	46→54	44→45	55→60	46	225/315/346	120	269	11	23	20%	6%	91	+0.7	212/295/336	124	263	12	24	24%	5%	82	-0.0	212/302/326	115	267	11	36	23%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Ryan Roberts 2011 · MLB	30	47→52	45→50	52→55	51	234/304/363	129	281	12	16	21%	9%	89	+0.5	232/305/372	140	271	16	15	20%	9%	92	+0.7	229/304/364	135	264	16	13	19%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Jason Repko 2011 · MLB	30	46→48	45→50	53→55	45	229/291/353	124	286	13	20	24%	7%	82	+0.0	217/277/333	116	281	12	17	26%	7%	72	-0.7	196/254/299	103	257	11	18	27%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Adam Everett 2006 · MLB	29	51→53	44→45	52→50	45	249/295/366	117	279	12	18	16%	5%	86	+0.3	235/286/345	110	263	9	12	14%	6%	78	-0.3	228/282/329	100	254	6	8	13%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Gorkys Hernández 2018 · MLB	30	55→57	40→45	50→55	48	258/319/353	96	321	6	19	21%	8%	92	+0.7	221/285/350	129	292	14	15	28%	8%	80	-0.2	203/269/337	134	270	16	15	30%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Chris Burke 2010 · MLB	30	47→56	41→45	54→55	49	223/291/324	100	264	7	19	18%	7%	76	-0.4	218/281/321	103	259	9	19	19%	7%	72	-0.7	194/260/277	82	228	7	25	17%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Shane Robinson 2014 · MLB	29	52→59	43→45	54→55	56	250/323/360	110	279	10	14	14%	9%	96	+1.0	235/297/319	84	274	5	13	15%	8%	76	-0.4	250/299/319	69	290	2	20	13%	6%	74	-0.2
✕Nate Orf 2019 · MLB	29	48→54	40→45	53→50	48	229/304/329	100	281	7	15	20%	7%	82	+0.0	226/314/337	111	275	11	14	21%	8%	88	+0.5	214/315/315	102	256	11	11	20%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Jace Peterson 2020 · MLB	30	48→57	45→50	56→55	52	233/305/365	132	281	11	19	21%	9%	90	+0.6	236/321/379	143	298	14	17	24%	11%	100	+1.3	223/315/345	122	286	12	20	25%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Jason Ellison 2008 · MLB	30	55→54	41→40	48→50	47	262/311/363	101	305	7	17	17%	6%	91	+0.7	224/287/297	73	276	5	14	19%	7%	68	-1.0	217/282/275	58	269	3	14	19%	7%	59	-1.5
✕Pablo Ozuna 2005 · MLB	30	48	45→40	54→55	50	236/302/361	125	262	12	15	16%	7%	88	+0.5	266/310/358	92	295	6	23	12%	5%	89	+0.5	288/324/385	97	318	4	16	10%	3%	98	+0.3
✕Christian Colón 2019 · MLB	30	51→57	40→45	47→55	49	244/306/340	96	283	7	14	16%	7%	85	+0.2	234/292/343	109	261	10	16	14%	6%	80	-0.1	227/287/335	108	248	11	14	13%	6%	76	-0.4
✕Adam Engel 2023 · MLB	31	47→48	46→50	54→60	41	233/289/364	131	304	13	23	27%	6%	84	+0.2	211/288/345	134	316	14	23	35%	9%	80	-0.2	175/268/304	129	278	14	30	39%	10%	61	-1.0
✕Andy Fox 2001 · MLB	30	48→53	43→40	51→60	50	236/304/349	114	279	11	18	20%	8%	86	+0.3	234/320/340	106	283	9	22	19%	10%	91	+0.6	236/322/314	78	297	4	31	20%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Ender Inciarte 2021 · MLB	30	49→59	43→45	52→60	54	238/311/353	115	271	10	18	16%	9%	90	+0.6	226/290/336	110	276	11	12	21%	8%	78	-0.3	219/276/306	87	272	9	12	22%	7%	62	-0.4
✕Eric Bruntlett 2007 · MLB	29	49→52	44→40	52→55	55	236/318/359	123	277	11	18	18%	10%	94	+0.9	227/301/309	82	274	5	19	17%	9%	76	-0.4	219/292/284	66	266	2	21	17%	8%	63	-0.6
✕Steve Tolleson 2014 · MLB	30	49→53	41→45	49→50	49	234/301/333	99	294	8	15	22%	8%	81	-0.1	228/295/332	104	296	8	15	24%	8%	79	-0.2	233/295/334	101	302	8	18	24%	7%	76	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps