Jake Meyers — OGILVIE

Jake MeyersCF Houston Astros

INJURED · Injured 10-Day (D10)

Age 30 R/L 6'0" / 200 lbs MLB H +4%HR -3% Svc 4.256 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 1.3 · 2027

wRC+†vL 10895vR 87

AVG/OBP/SLG.248 / .316 / .363

PA191

HR4

SB6

K%20

BB%8

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

45→45

SPD

55→55

EYE

47↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.8peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2021

Service 4.256 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-3	$7M	+1.3	$11M	+$4M
Totals		$9M		$13M	+$4M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A	2 teams	490	438	104	26	3	7	34	115	9	16	14	.237	.306	.358	.664	.121	.300	23	7	.287	78	-12	-2	+0	+2	+14	0.1
2019	23	A+	2 teams	484	446	83	19	3	8	28	149	8	12	7	.186	.247	.296	.543	.110	.258	31	6	.235	38	-34	-0	+0	+2	+14	-1.9
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	467	424	115	22	1	19	28	126	10	13	3	.271	.331	.462	.793	.191	.340	27	6	.342	120	+11	+1	+3	+2	+13	3.0
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	330	301	72	11	3	7	25	93	2	4	1	.239	.302	.365	.667	.126	.320	28	8	.294	83	-6	+0	+5	+1	+9	1.0
2023	27	MLB	Houston Astros	341	309	73	16	1	11	26	88	5	5	2	.236	.306	.401	.707	.165	.294	26	8	.308	94	-2	+0	+4	+1	+10	1.3
2024	28	MLB	Houston Astros	513	461	100	19	3	13	35	117	10	11	3	.217	.287	.356	.642	.139	.260	23	7	.282	74	-15	+1	+9	+2	+15	1.1
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	404	363	101	16	2	3	34	70	3	16	5	.278	.345	.358	.703	.080	.336	17	8	.315	99	-1	+1	+6	+1	+11	2.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	30	MLB	Houston Astros	43	37	9	2	0	1	4	8	1	1	2	.243	.333	.378	.712	.135	.276	19	9	.313	98	-0	-1	-0	+0	+1	0.1
ROS	30	MLB	HOU	148	133	34	6	1	3	12	30	2	5	2	.256	.327	.383	.710	.128	.298	20	8	.308	94	-1	+0	+2	+1	+4	0.6
TOT	30	MLB	HOU	191	170	43	8	1	4	16	38	3	6	4	.253	.328	.382	.710	.129	.300	20	8	.309	95	-1	-0	+2	+1	+5	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	31	MLB	HOU	409	369	91	15	2	8	32	76	5	11	4	.247	.315	.363	.678	.117	.289	19	8	.305	91	-4	+1	+2	+1	+12	1.2
2028	32	MLB	HOU	390	351	86	14	2	7	31	75	5	9	3	.245	.315	.356	.671	.111	.287	19	8	.299	87	-6	+1	+1	+1	+11	0.9
2029	33	MLB	HOU	360	324	77	13	1	6	28	72	5	7	2	.238	.308	.340	.648	.102	.286	20	8	.294	83	-7	+1	-0	+1	+10	0.5
2030	34	MLB	HOU	316	285	67	11	1	5	24	66	4	5	2	.235	.304	.333	.637	.098	.284	21	8	.287	78	-8	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.1
2031	35	MLB	HOU	263	238	55	9	1	4	20	57	3	4	1	.231	.299	.328	.627	.097	.282	22	8	.279	72	-8	+0	-3	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4915	4442	1058	197	24	101	357	1134	71	118	49	.238	.305	.362	.667	.123	.296	23	7	.294	83	-94	+4	+28	+18	+139	9.7
/ 162G	—			650	587	139	26	3	13	47	150	9	16	6	.237	.303	.358	.661	.121	.294	23	7	.294	83	-12	+1	+4	+2	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A+	Buies Creek Astros	233	196	49	13	0	3	28	40	2	3	7	.250	.350	.362	.712	.112	.289	17	12	.317	101	+0	-2	—	—	+7	0.5
2018	22	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	257	225	68	18	3	5	23	43	7	13	7	.302	.384	.476	.860	.173	.354	17	9	.380	149	+14	-0	—	—	+7	2.2
2019	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	100	89	19	0	1	1	11	20	0	3	3	.213	.300	.270	.570	.056	.265	20	11	.268	63	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2019	23	A+	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	384	341	88	28	3	8	33	84	8	9	4	.258	.338	.428	.766	.170	.319	22	9	.340	119	+8	+0	—	—	+11	2.0
2021	25	MLB	Houston Astros	163	146	38	8	0	6	10	50	4	3	0	.260	.325	.438	.763	.178	.352	31	6	.334	114	+2	+1	+3	+2	+5	1.3
2021	25	AAA	Sugar Land Skeeters	304	271	93	17	2	16	25	59	6	10	3	.343	.411	.598	1.008	.255	.389	19	8	.436	192	+32	+1	—	—	+9	4.2
2022	26	MLB	Houston Astros	160	150	34	6	2	1	7	54	2	2	1	.227	.270	.313	.584	.087	.344	34	4	.262	59	-7	+0	+5	+1	+5	0.3
2022	26	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	170	144	44	6	1	7	25	30	0	2	0	.306	.408	.507	.915	.201	.343	18	15	.403	166	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.8
2023	27	MLB	Houston Astros	341	309	70	16	1	10	26	88	5	5	2	.227	.297	.382	.679	.155	.283	26	8	.304	91	-4	+0	+4	+1	+10	1.2
2024	28	MLB	Houston Astros	513	461	101	20	3	13	35	117	10	11	3	.219	.289	.360	.649	.141	.263	23	7	.289	79	-12	+1	+9	+2	+15	1.5
2025	29	MLB	Houston Astros	381	343	100	15	2	3	31	67	3	16	5	.292	.355	.373	.729	.082	.353	18	8	.328	109	+4	+1	+6	+1	+11	2.4
2025	29	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	23	18	4	1	0	0	5	2	0	0	0	.222	.391	.278	.669	.056	.250	9	22	.326	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1558	1409	343	65	8	33	109	376	24	37	11	.243	.309	.371	.680	.128	.307	24	7	.304	91	-17	+3	+27	+7	+44	6.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Meyers (OGILVIE)	30	50	45	55	50	.247/.316/.363	.116	.290	4	6	18%	8%	94	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tim Locastro 2022 · MLB	30	47→52	45	56→60	46	.231/.321/.355	.124	.275	11	25	20%	6%	95	+1.4	.213/.294/.340	.127	.263	12	24	23%	5%	80	+0.4	.211/.301/.325	.114	.266	11	36	23%	5%	76	+0.0
●Cameron Maybin 2017 · MLB	30	54→59	42→50	53→55	51	.261/.325/.372	.111	.312	9	20	19%	8%	98	+1.6	.254/.331/.382	.128	.313	11	25	21%	10%	104	+2.0	.250/.335/.386	.135	.313	13	27	23%	11%	104	+1.3
●Ryan Roberts 2011 · MLB	30	48→52	45→50	52→55	51	.236/.306/.365	.128	.284	12	16	21%	9%	89	+1.0	.234/.307/.370	.136	.275	15	15	20%	9%	92	+1.2	.233/.307/.361	.129	.271	15	13	19%	10%	86	+0.6
✕Pokey Reese 2004 · MLB	31	49→55	41→45	55	51	.238/.302/.338	.100	.282	9	21	19%	8%	80	+0.4	.228/.286/.329	.101	.283	9	14	22%	7%	71	-0.3	.215/.265/.295	.080	.271	7	13	22%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Miguel Cairo 2005 · MLB	31	53→58	44→45	52→55	47	.257/.313/.380	.123	.281	10	12	13%	5%	96	+1.5	.246/.298/.341	.095	.272	6	20	11%	6%	79	+0.3	.260/.310/.370	.111	.287	11	10	14%	5%	89	+0.5
✕Steve Tolleson 2014 · MLB	30	48→53	41→45	50	48	.233/.298/.334	.102	.291	9	15	22%	8%	78	+0.2	.229/.294/.333	.104	.296	9	15	24%	8%	76	+0.0	.230/.291/.324	.095	.298	8	18	24%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Tyler Greene 2014 · MLB	30	46→51	48→50	56→55	41	.229/.286/.372	.143	.313	15	22	31%	6%	83	+0.6	.228/.273/.343	.115	.336	11	11	34%	5%	69	-0.4	.232/.275/.336	.104	.353	9	7	35%	4%	66	-0.6
✕Pablo Ozuna 2005 · MLB	30	48	44→40	54→55	49	.236/.300/.359	.123	.261	11	15	15%	6%	85	+0.7	.264/.309/.356	.092	.294	6	23	12%	5%	88	+0.9	.288/.324/.385	.098	.319	4	16	10%	3%	98	+0.5
✕Cole Gillespie 2015 · MLB	31	49→57	46→50	49→50	50	.242/.307/.374	.131	.290	14	12	21%	8%	92	+1.2	.244/.299/.346	.102	.295	7	12	19%	7%	81	+0.4	.242/.294/.327	.084	.297	3	11	19%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Damian Jackson 2004 · MLB	30	52→54	40→45	55	49	.246/.308/.345	.099	.302	6	29	20%	8%	85	+0.7	.241/.313/.361	.120	.283	11	22	18%	9%	92	+1.2	.241/.328/.365	.124	.282	13	20	19%	10%	96	+0.6
✕Gerald Laird 2010 · MLB	30	48→47	42→50	46→50	50	.234/.300/.346	.112	.272	9	7	17%	7%	82	+0.5	.227/.292/.336	.109	.262	9	7	17%	7%	76	+0.1	.263/.333/.361	.098	.304	5	3	14%	8%	94	+0.3
✕Juan Lagares 2019 · MLB	30	53→63	42→45	51→50	45	.255/.305/.369	.114	.307	9	15	20%	6%	89	+1.0	.237/.292/.358	.121	.302	11	10	24%	7%	81	+0.4	.224/.271/.349	.125	.286	10	5	25%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Matt Szczur 2018 · MLB	29	48→56	46→45	47→55	52	.238/.315/.371	.133	.282	13	12	20%	9%	95	+1.4	.232/.307/.370	.138	.284	13	7	22%	9%	91	+1.1	.205/.261/.347	.142	.253	16	4	26%	7%	65	-0.2
●Moisés Sierra 2019 · MLB	30	50→56	44→50	48→50	44	.243/.298/.360	.117	.303	11	13	23%	6%	85	+0.7	.255/.326/.401	.146	.305	16	14	21%	8%	108	+2.3	.278/.359/.442	.164	.322	20	15	19%	9%	130	+3.2
✕Phillip Ervin 2021 · MLB	29	49→52	48→50	49→55	48	.240/.314/.388	.149	.300	14	14	24%	8%	99	+1.7	.207/.283/.336	.129	.279	15	15	29%	9%	73	-0.1	.163/.242/.272	.109	.220	15	21	32%	9%	36	-1.2
✕Eric Campbell 2016 · MLB	29	54→57	44→45	49→50	55	.259/.346/.381	.122	.314	10	14	20%	10%	111	+2.5	.244/.329/.355	.111	.302	10	12	21%	10%	97	+1.5	.235/.322/.349	.115	.290	10	9	21%	10%	90	+0.7
✕Gabe Kapler 2005 · MLB	30	55→60	43→55	48→55	48	.265/.312/.382	.117	.303	10	13	16%	6%	95	+1.4	.261/.315/.391	.130	.294	12	9	15%	6%	100	+1.7	.262/.332/.433	.171	.289	17	8	15%	9%	115	+1.0
✕Shawn O'Malley 2018 · MLB	30	49→58	41→40	53→60	47	.238/.300/.341	.103	.298	8	18	22%	7%	80	+0.4	.229/.280/.331	.102	.294	9	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	.241/.274/.311	.070	.312	3	9	22%	4%	57	-0.3
✕Calvin Murray 2001 · MLB	30	50→55	43→40	51→50	60	.241/.336/.361	.120	.276	9	18	16%	11%	102	+1.8	.232/.309/.347	.115	.268	10	15	16%	9%	86	+0.8	.252/.321/.348	.096	.296	6	15	16%	8%	89	+0.7
✕Ben Francisco 2012 · MLB	30	50→56	49→55	48→55	54	.249/.328/.404	.155	.277	16	15	17%	9%	109	+2.4	.225/.289/.341	.116	.274	10	9	21%	8%	76	+0.0	.206/.259/.298	.092	.263	7	6	23%	6%	48	-0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)