Jake Meyers — OGILVIE

Jake MeyersCF Houston Astros

Age 30 R/L 6'0" / 200 lbs MLB HR +6% Svc 4.256 · Ctrl thru 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION164 act + 124 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 107101vR 86

AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .317 / .381

PA124

HR2

K%20

BB%7

BABIP310

ISO124

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

659.4%

xwOBA

480.306

POWER45

Barrel%

346.1

Avg EV

3387.8

Bat Spd

1767.8

EYE50

Chase%

7926.1%

SPEED55

Sprint

6027.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 920 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

217

703

—

wRC+

107

◀◀L

wOBA

325

301

◀L

ISO

140

111

◀◀L

BABIP

314

300

◀L

19.8%

20.6%

◀L

BB%

6.9%

7.7%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2021

Service 4.256 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$7M	+1.3	$10M	+$4M
Totals		$8M		$9M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A	2 teams	—	490	438	105	26	3	7	34	121	9	16	14	240	308	361	668	121	309	25	7	289	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A	2 teams	—	490	421	117	31	3	8	51	83	9	16	14	278	368	423	791	145	323	17	10	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	2 teams	—	484	446	79	18	2	8	28	151	8	12	7	177	239	280	519	103	246	31	6	229	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	2 teams	—	484	430	107	28	4	9	44	104	8	12	7	249	330	395	725	147	307	21	9	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	—	467	424	120	24	1	21	28	121	10	13	3	283	342	493	835	210	347	26	6	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	—	467	417	131	25	2	22	35	109	10	13	3	314	381	542	923	228	377	23	7	401	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	330	300	73	11	3	7	26	94	2	4	1	243	308	370	678	127	328	28	8	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	330	294	78	12	3	8	32	84	2	4	1	265	341	408	750	143	343	25	10	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	341	309	68	15	1	9	26	88	5	5	2	220	291	362	654	142	277	26	8	294	83	-7	+0	+4	+1	+10	0.9
2023	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	341	309	70	16	1	10	26	88	5	5	2	227	297	382	679	155	283	26	8	304	91	-4	+0	+4	+1	+10	1.2
2024	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	513	461	98	19	3	12	35	117	10	11	3	213	283	345	628	132	256	23	7	280	72	-16	+1	+9	+2	+15	1.0
2024	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	513	461	101	20	3	13	35	117	10	11	3	219	289	360	649	141	263	23	7	289	79	-12	+1	+9	+2	+15	1.5
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	404	363	102	15	2	3	34	70	3	16	5	281	347	358	706	77	339	17	8	316	100	+0	+1	+6	+1	+11	2.1
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	404	361	104	16	2	3	36	69	3	16	5	288	357	368	726	80	347	17	9	328	109	+4	+1	+6	+1	+11	2.5
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	MLB	HOU	—	164	152	29	7	0	3	10	35	1	1	2	191	245	296	541	105	226	21	6	240	42	-11	-1	-0	+1	+5	-0.6
YTD	30	MLB	HOU	—	164	152	29	7	0	3	10	34	1	1	2	191	245	296	541	105	224	21	6	245	45	-10	-1	-0	+1	+5	-0.6
ROS	30	MLB	HOU	100%	124	113	29	6	1	2	9	25	1	4	1	257	317	381	698	124	301	20	7	304	91	-1	+0	+1	+0	+4	0.4
ROS	30	MLB	HOU	100%	124	113	29	6	1	2	9	25	1	4	1	257	317	381	698	124	304	20	7	300	88	-2	+0	+1	+0	+4	0.4
FULL	30	MLB	HOU	—	288	265	58	13	1	5	19	60	2	5	3	219	276	332	608	113	262	21	7	266	62	-12	-0	+1	+1	+8	-0.2
TOT	30	MLB	HOU	—	288	265	58	13	1	5	19	60	2	5	3	219	276	332	608	113	262	21	7	268	63	-12	-0	+1	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	HOU	100%	414	377	95	19	2	7	30	85	4	12	4	252	314	369	683	117	305	21	7	304	91	-4	+1	+1	+1	+12	1.1
2028	32	MLB	HOU	100%	395	359	88	17	2	6	29	83	4	9	3	245	309	354	662	109	301	21	7	298	86	-6	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.8
2027	31	MLB	HOU	100%	414	377	95	19	2	7	30	85	4	12	4	252	314	369	683	117	308	21	7	300	88	-6	+1	+1	+1	+12	1.0
2028	32	MLB	HOU	100%	395	359	89	17	2	6	29	83	4	9	3	248	311	357	668	109	304	21	7	294	83	-7	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2491	2258	556	107	13	48	177	569	33	62	19	246	310	369	679	123	307	23	7	301	89	-31	+5	+30	+11	+71	8.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	145	28	3	13	46	148	9	16	5	246	311	370	681	124	306	23	7	301	89	-8	+1	+8	+3	+18	2.3
Career	—			—	3962	3590	857	170	20	82	279	955	56	102	43	239	304	366	669	127	301	24	7	296	85	-69	+3	+30	+14	+112	9.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	140	28	3	13	46	157	9	17	7	238	303	362	664	124	300	24	7	296	85	-11	+1	+5	+2	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A+	Buies Creek Astros	—	233	196	49	13	0	3	28	40	2	3	7	250	350	362	712	112	289	17	12	317	101	+0	-2	—	—	+7	0.5
2018	22	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	257	225	68	18	3	5	23	43	7	13	7	302	384	476	860	173	354	17	9	380	149	+14	-0	—	—	+7	2.2
2019	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	100	89	19	0	1	1	11	20	0	3	3	213	300	270	570	56	265	20	11	268	63	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2019	23	A+	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	384	341	88	28	3	8	33	84	8	9	4	258	338	428	766	170	319	22	9	340	119	+8	+0	—	—	+11	2.0
2021	25	MLB	Houston Astros	—	163	146	38	8	0	6	10	50	4	3	0	260	325	438	763	178	352	31	6	334	114	+2	+1	+3	+2	+5	1.3
2021	25	AAA	Sugar Land Skeeters	—	304	271	93	17	2	16	25	59	6	10	3	343	411	598	1.008	255	389	19	8	436	192	+32	+1	—	—	+9	4.2
2022	26	MLB	Houston Astros	—	160	150	34	6	2	1	7	54	2	2	1	227	270	313	584	87	344	34	4	262	59	-7	+0	+5	+1	+5	0.3
2022	26	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	170	144	44	6	1	7	25	30	0	2	0	306	408	507	915	201	343	18	15	403	166	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.8
2023	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	341	309	70	16	1	10	26	88	5	5	2	227	297	382	679	155	283	26	8	304	91	-4	+0	+4	+1	+10	1.2
2024	28	MLB	Houston Astros	—	513	461	101	20	3	13	35	117	10	11	3	219	289	360	649	141	263	23	7	289	79	-12	+1	+9	+2	+15	1.5
2025	29	MLB	Houston Astros	—	381	343	100	15	2	3	31	67	3	16	5	292	355	373	729	82	353	18	8	328	109	+4	+1	+6	+1	+11	2.4
2025	29	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	23	18	4	1	0	0	5	2	0	0	0	222	391	278	669	56	250	9	22	326	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1558	1409	343	65	8	33	109	376	24	37	11	243	309	371	680	128	307	24	7	304	91	-17	+3	+27	+7	+44	6.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Juan Lagareslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,508 PA	9	2,508	31	45	250	291	360	+8	+49	7.4	7.7
	/162	664	8	12	250	291	360	+2.1	+13.0	1.9	pk7: 8
#4Peter Bourjoslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,241 PA	8	2,241	42	66	241	298	382	-0	+38	7.4	7.5
	/162	664	12	20	241	298	382	-0.1	+11.3	2.2	pk7: 8
#5Eric Sogardlast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,484 PA	10	2,484	26	46	246	312	337	+10	+22	6.0	6.6
	/162	664	7	12	246	312	337	+2.7	+5.9	1.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	2,803	54	71	244	305	365	+10	+37	5.4	5.7
	/162	664	13	17	244	305	365	+2.4	+8.9	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Meyers (OGILVIE)	30	50	45	55	50	219/276/332	113	262	5	5	21%	7%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Ryan Roberts 2011 · MLB	30	47→52	45→50	52→55	50	230/298/355	125	280	12	16	22%	8%	83	+0.6	230/302/369	139	269	16	15	20%	9%	89	+1.0	227/302/364	136	262	16	13	19%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Pokey Reese 2003 · MLB	30	51→55	42→45	56→55	52	246/310/355	110	284	9	22	17%	8%	89	+0.9	231/290/327	96	286	8	16	21%	8%	72	-0.2	213/265/282	69	273	6	19	23%	7%	45	-0.7
✕Tim Locastro 2022 · MLB	30	46→53	44→45	55→60	46	224/313/342	118	268	11	23	20%	6%	89	+0.9	211/293/336	125	262	12	24	24%	5%	79	+0.3	207/296/319	112	263	11	36	24%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Pablo Ozuna 2005 · MLB	30	48	45→40	54→55	49	236/302/361	125	263	12	15	16%	7%	87	+0.8	266/310/358	92	296	6	23	12%	5%	88	+0.9	288/324/385	97	318	4	16	10%	3%	98	+0.4
✕Jonathan Davis 2021 · MLB	29	46→52	46→45	54→55	45	227/308/358	131	295	12	19	26%	7%	89	+1.0	216/308/331	115	293	11	23	28%	9%	82	+0.5	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Chris Burke 2010 · MLB	30	47→56	41→45	54→55	49	224/291/327	103	264	8	19	18%	7%	73	-0.1	218/281/324	106	261	9	19	19%	7%	69	-0.4	194/263/280	87	229	7	25	18%	7%	47	-0.9
✕Steve Tolleson 2014 · MLB	30	48→53	42→45	49→50	49	234/302/339	105	293	9	15	23%	8%	81	+0.4	228/294/335	107	295	9	15	24%	8%	77	+0.1	233/294/334	101	303	8	18	24%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Tyler Saladino 2019 · MLB	30	45→47	43→45	50→55	46	220/285/327	107	284	11	16	26%	8%	71	-0.3	219/288/382	163	284	20	14	29%	8%	87	+0.8	199/271/381	183	248	24	14	30%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Andy Fox 2001 · MLB	30	48→53	43→40	51→60	50	236/304/349	114	280	11	18	20%	8%	85	+0.7	234/320/340	106	283	9	22	19%	10%	89	+1.0	236/322/314	78	297	4	31	20%	9%	76	+0.0
●Cameron Maybin 2016 · MLB	29	52→60	43→50	53→55	50	253/312/363	110	300	10	19	19%	8%	91	+1.1	257/330/374	117	312	10	25	19%	10%	101	+1.8	254/334/367	113	310	9	28	19%	10%	98	+1.2
✕Cliff Pennington 2013 · MLB	29	50→55	42→45	51→55	50	241/301/350	110	285	9	19	19%	8%	83	+0.6	236/307/327	91	287	7	12	19%	9%	80	+0.4	222/300/305	83	280	7	9	22%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Shawn O'Malley 2018 · MLB	30	50→58	42→45	52→60	47	239/301/345	106	299	9	16	22%	7%	82	+0.5	228/278/331	103	293	9	11	24%	6%	68	-0.5	233/265/303	70	304	2	9	23%	4%	52	-0.5
✕Adrian Brown 2005 · MLB	31	47→51	43→45	51→55	52	229/296/344	115	265	10	18	18%	8%	80	+0.4	241/304/342	101	280	8	24	16%	8%	82	+0.5	242/306/333	91	281	6	28	15%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Jayson Nix 2014 · MLB	31	46→49	42→55	53→55	45	222/290/329	106	294	10	18	27%	8%	73	-0.1	200/253/292	92	260	9	10	26%	6%	48	-1.9	171/215/243	72	221	7	4	25%	5%	17	-1.7
✕Fernando Rios 2008 · AAA	29	53	42→40	51→50	48	257/308/360	103	290	9	15	15%	6%	89	+0.9	242/298/325	83	277	6	9	14%	7%	76	+0.0	249/306/318	70	281	4	6	12%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Jace Peterson 2020 · MLB	30	47→57	47→50	56→55	51	234/304/379	145	280	13	19	21%	9%	92	+1.2	240/323/396	156	299	17	17	24%	11%	105	+2.1	227/319/357	130	289	14	20	25%	11%	89	+0.6
✕Christian Colón 2020 · MLB	31	50→56	42→45	48→55	48	242/294/351	109	269	9	18	14%	6%	81	+0.4	223/280/345	122	246	13	13	15%	6%	74	-0.1	200/269/326	126	212	16	5	15%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Calvin Murray 2001 · MLB	30	50→55	43→40	52→50	60	241/337/359	118	276	9	18	16%	12%	101	+1.8	230/305/345	115	266	10	15	16%	9%	84	+0.6	252/321/348	96	296	6	15	16%	8%	89	+0.7
✕Gorkys Hernández 2018 · MLB	30	56→59	40→45	50→55	48	263/322/362	99	327	6	19	21%	7%	95	+1.4	228/292/363	135	301	15	15	28%	8%	83	+0.6	212/279/355	143	281	17	15	30%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Delino DeShields 2022 · MLB	29	48→55	40→45	56→65	52	228/311/321	93	302	7	25	25%	10%	80	+0.4	210/300/280	70	305	5	29	29%	11%	66	-0.6	197/300/240	43	317	1	35	33%	12%	54	-0.7