Luis Urías — OGILVIE

Luis UríasSS Reno Aces

Age 29 R/R 5'9" / 202 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 8.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION162 act + 252 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 7380vR 99

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .324 / .379

PA252

HR6

K%16

BB%8

BABIP275

ISO134

MLB%45%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

905.8%

xwOBA

460.303

POWER45

Barrel%

305.6

Avg EV

1486.3

Bat Spd

3269.4

EYE55

Chase%

8125.7%

SPEED40

Sprint

1024.8

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 439 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

123

316

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

276

309

▶R

ISO

151

124

◀◀L

BABIP

189

268

▶▶R

19.5%

17.4%

▶R

BB%

9.8%

8.9%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 8.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.3	$1M	-$2M
Totals		$3M		$1M	-$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	17	ROK	2 teams	—	214	192	48	4	1	0	13	23	6	11	6	250	318	281	599	31	282	11	6	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	17	ROK	2 teams	—	214	183	52	6	1	0	22	19	6	11	6	284	379	328	707	44	315	9	10	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	A	2 teams	—	354	309	81	7	1	0	18	41	13	5	10	262	329	291	621	29	301	12	5	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	A	2 teams	—	354	300	86	8	1	0	27	33	13	5	10	287	371	320	691	33	321	9	8	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	A+	2 teams	—	546	491	152	22	4	6	30	48	14	8	13	310	366	407	774	98	332	9	5	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	A+	2 teams	—	546	475	158	26	5	6	45	37	14	8	13	333	406	446	852	114	349	7	8	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	AA	2 teams	—	596	527	153	22	6	4	51	95	8	7	8	290	362	378	739	87	345	16	9	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	AA	2 teams	—	596	496	148	25	6	3	82	70	8	7	8	298	406	391	797	93	340	12	14	360	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	AAA	2 teams	—	586	516	114	21	4	8	52	156	12	3	1	221	307	324	631	103	299	27	9	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	AAA	2 teams	—	586	498	143	31	7	10	70	119	12	3	1	287	388	438	826	151	358	20	12	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AAA	3 teams	—	729	649	151	27	6	25	58	176	19	14	10	233	314	408	722	176	280	24	8	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AAA	3 teams	—	729	628	175	32	5	28	79	140	19	14	10	279	376	479	855	201	318	19	11	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	23	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	120	109	26	4	1	0	10	32	1	2	2	239	308	294	602	55	338	27	8	279	72	-4	-0	+3	+0	+3	0.3
2020	23	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	120	109	26	4	1	0	10	32	1	2	2	239	308	294	602	55	338	27	8	279	72	-4	-0	+3	+0	+3	0.3
2021	24	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	570	493	125	26	1	24	63	116	10	5	1	254	350	456	806	203	284	20	11	348	125	+16	+1	-6	+6	+16	3.3
2021	24	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	570	490	122	25	1	23	63	116	10	5	1	249	345	445	789	196	280	20	11	349	125	+16	+1	-6	+6	+16	3.3
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	503	434	102	18	1	17	52	108	12	1	2	235	333	399	732	164	271	21	10	324	106	+3	-1	+1	+2	+14	2.0
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	503	433	101	18	1	16	53	106	12	1	2	233	333	390	724	157	269	21	11	325	107	+4	-1	+1	+2	+14	2.0
2023	26	MLB	3 teams	—	416	354	70	13	0	9	45	110	15	2	1	198	314	311	625	113	257	26	11	289	79	-10	+0	-2	+1	+12	0.2
2023	26	MLB	3 teams	—	416	345	70	14	0	9	52	89	15	2	1	203	331	322	653	119	245	21	12	304	91	-4	+0	-2	+1	+12	0.7
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	459	398	78	16	1	10	42	107	15	8	1	196	297	317	613	121	239	23	9	283	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	459	382	93	19	1	14	57	91	15	8	1	243	363	408	771	165	281	20	12	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB	2 teams	—	387	342	79	10	0	9	35	52	7	3	1	231	315	339	654	108	246	13	9	296	84	-7	+0	-4	+1	+11	0.2
2025	28	MLB	2 teams	—	387	337	79	10	0	9	37	51	7	3	1	234	320	344	665	110	250	13	10	302	89	-5	+0	-4	+1	+11	0.4
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AAA	ARI	—	162	150	44	8	1	3	9	20	1	1	0	293	338	420	758	127	318	12	6	333	113	+2	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.8
YTD	29	AAA	ARI	—	162	148	50	10	1	4	11	16	1	1	0	338	388	500	887	162	354	10	7	388	155	+10	+0	+0	+1	+5	1.6
ROS	29	AAA	ARI	45%	252	224	55	10	1	6	21	41	5	2	1	246	324	379	703	134	274	16	8	314	99	-0	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.6
ROS	29	MLB	ARI	45%	113	101	25	5	0	3	9	19	2	1	0	248	321	386	708	139	276	17	8	303	90	-1	+0	-1	+0	+3	0.2
FULL	29	AAA	ARI	—	275	251	69	13	1	6	18	39	3	2	0	275	331	406	737	131	301	14	7	321	104	+1	+0	-1	+1	+8	1.0
TOT	29	AAA	ARI	—	414	374	99	18	2	9	30	61	6	3	1	265	329	396	725	131	293	15	7	322	104	+2	+0	-2	+1	+12	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	ARI	100%	407	363	88	16	1	10	33	68	8	3	1	242	319	375	694	132	270	17	8	310	95	-2	+0	-5	+1	+12	0.6
2028	31	MLB	ARI	100%	392	350	83	15	1	9	32	67	7	2	1	237	314	363	676	126	267	17	8	306	92	-4	+0	-6	+1	+11	0.3
2029	32	MLB	ARI	100%	373	333	78	14	1	8	30	65	7	2	1	234	311	354	665	120	264	17	8	299	87	-5	+0	-6	+1	+11	0.0
2027	30	MLB	ARI	100%	407	363	89	17	1	10	33	68	8	3	1	245	322	380	702	135	272	17	8	299	87	-6	+0	-5	+1	+12	0.2
2028	31	MLB	ARI	100%	392	350	84	16	1	9	32	67	7	2	1	240	316	369	685	129	270	17	8	295	84	-7	+0	-6	+1	+11	-0.0
2029	32	MLB	ARI	100%	373	333	78	14	1	8	30	65	7	2	1	234	311	354	665	120	266	17	8	289	79	-9	+0	-6	+1	+11	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3365	2940	691	127	7	90	316	652	78	19	10	235	325	375	699	140	271	19	9	310	96	-17	-0	-29	+27	+95	7.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	133	25	1	17	61	126	15	4	2	234	324	371	696	137	270	19	9	310	96	-3	+0	-6	+5	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	6904	6084	1483	245	30	145	585	1305	159	78	60	244	326	365	692	122	286	19	8	307	93	-56	-8	-30	+34	+196	13.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	140	23	3	14	55	123	15	7	6	244	327	368	695	124	286	19	8	307	93	-5	-1	-3	+3	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	17	ROK	AZL Padres	—	189	164	49	5	1	0	19	14	4	10	6	299	385	341	726	43	325	7	10	334	114	+3	-0	—	—	+5	0.8
2014	17	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	25	19	3	1	0	0	3	5	2	1	0	158	333	211	544	53	214	20	12	266	62	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2015	18	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	224	193	56	5	1	0	16	18	9	5	10	290	372	326	698	36	318	8	7	317	101	+0	-3	—	—	+6	0.4
2015	18	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	130	107	30	3	0	0	11	15	4	0	0	280	369	308	677	28	326	12	8	299	87	-2	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2016	19	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	15	9	4	0	0	1	5	1	1	1	0	444	667	778	1.444	333	429	7	33	601	318	+4	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2016	19	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	531	466	154	26	5	5	40	36	13	7	13	330	398	440	838	109	348	7	8	369	141	+24	-4	—	—	+15	3.6
2017	20	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	526	442	131	20	4	3	68	65	8	7	5	296	400	380	780	84	340	12	13	353	129	+17	-1	—	—	+15	3.2
2017	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	70	54	17	5	2	0	14	5	0	0	3	315	456	481	937	167	333	7	20	407	169	+5	-1	—	—	+2	0.6
2018	21	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	53	48	10	1	0	2	3	10	1	1	0	208	269	354	623	146	216	19	6	276	69	-2	+0	+2	+2	+2	0.4
2018	21	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	533	450	133	30	7	8	67	109	11	2	1	296	400	447	846	151	373	20	13	377	147	+28	+0	—	—	+15	4.4
2019	22	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	249	215	48	8	1	4	25	56	9	0	1	223	329	326	655	102	284	22	10	305	92	-2	-0	-3	+8	+7	1.0
2019	22	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	339	295	93	19	4	19	36	62	6	7	2	315	401	600	1.001	285	343	18	11	431	188	+34	+1	—	—	+10	4.5
2019	22	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	141	118	34	5	0	5	18	22	4	7	7	288	400	458	858	169	319	16	13	383	151	+8	-1	—	—	+4	1.1
2020	23	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	120	109	26	4	1	0	10	32	1	2	2	239	308	294	602	55	338	27	8	279	72	-4	-0	+3	+0	+3	0.3
2021	24	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	570	490	122	25	1	23	63	116	10	5	1	249	345	445	789	196	280	20	11	349	125	+16	+1	-6	+6	+16	3.3
2022	25	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	472	406	97	17	1	16	50	99	11	1	2	239	338	404	742	165	274	21	11	332	112	+7	-1	+1	+2	+13	2.2
2022	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	31	27	4	1	0	0	3	7	1	0	0	148	258	185	443	37	200	23	10	220	27	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	26	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	177	144	28	6	0	3	21	41	10	0	0	194	333	299	632	104	250	23	12	300	88	-2	+0	-2	+1	+5	0.2
2023	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	139	116	27	5	0	4	19	34	2	1	1	233	350	379	730	147	287	24	14	329	110	+2	-0	—	—	+4	0.5
2023	26	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	100	85	15	3	0	2	12	14	3	1	0	176	300	282	582	106	188	14	12	276	70	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2024	27	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	109	94	18	7	0	4	9	34	6	0	0	191	303	394	696	202	250	31	8	315	99	-0	+0	-2	+2	+3	0.2
2024	27	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	350	288	75	12	1	10	48	57	9	8	1	260	382	413	795	153	289	16	14	357	131	+12	+1	—	—	+10	2.4
2025	28	MLB	Athletics	—	330	287	66	7	0	8	31	45	6	2	1	230	315	338	653	108	245	14	9	296	85	-6	+0	-4	+1	+9	0.2
2025	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	57	50	13	3	0	1	6	6	1	1	0	260	351	380	731	120	279	11	11	333	113	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2080	1793	415	75	4	60	212	433	54	11	7	231	329	378	708	147	271	21	10	320	103	+7	-1	-12	+23	+59	7.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Aaron Hickslast yr '24 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,651 PA	12	3,651	109	71	231	330	383	+7	-9	11.8	12.4
	/162	664	20	13	231	330	383	+1.3	-1.6	2.1	pk7: 13
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	3,438	92	20	234	321	373	+21	-9	10.8	10.3
	/162	664	18	4	234	321	373	+4.0	-1.8	2.1	pk7: 10
#3Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	9	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
	/162	664	13	8	246	327	370	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#4Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	11	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
	/162	664	18	10	226	302	380	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#6Damion Easleylast yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,995 PA	9	2,995	77	33	247	323	396	-2	-15	7.8	8.3
	/162	664	17	7	247	323	396	-0.5	-3.3	1.7	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Urías (OGILVIE)	29	45	45	40	55	265/329/396	131	293	9	3	15%	7%	104	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steve Holm 2009 · MLB	29	48	47→50	43→40	51	238/314/376	138	280	14	5	20%	8%	96	+1.5	216/280/324	108	269	9	4	22%	7%	68	-0.5	195/257/288	93	248	7	1	23%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Curt Casali 2019 · MLB	30	47	45→50	38→30	47	234/298/355	121	285	14	3	23%	7%	83	+0.6	239/320/398	159	300	19	5	26%	10%	105	+2.1	220/318/362	142	290	17	0	28%	11%	89	+0.4
✕Gerald Laird 2009 · MLB	29	51→47	45→50	42→50	46	248/303/377	129	294	12	6	20%	6%	91	+1.1	227/295/337	110	264	9	7	17%	7%	78	+0.2	268/338/369	101	310	6	3	14%	8%	97	+0.4
✕Kevin Plawecki 2019 · MLB	28	47→56	47→45	43→30	50	233/311/369	136	275	14	3	20%	8%	93	+1.3	245/315/376	131	289	12	5	19%	7%	96	+1.5	235/301/328	92	275	8	0	17%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Michael McKenry 2014 · MLB	29	45→47	51→55	45→40	48	232/299/392	160	279	19	4	24%	8%	94	+1.3	231/315/383	152	289	17	7	24%	10%	98	+1.6	214/312/358	144	276	15	5	26%	11%	87	+0.3
✕David Bote 2022 · MLB	29	42→48	49→55	47→45	51	215/300/363	148	259	17	5	24%	10%	88	+0.9	225/293/375	150	288	16	8	27%	7%	87	+0.8	225/292/380	155	289	17	8	27%	7%	85	+0.4
✕Adam Rosales 2012 · MLB	29	46→49	46→55	44→45	47	231/288/354	124	274	14	6	22%	7%	79	+0.3	226/282/350	124	276	14	6	22%	6%	76	+0.0	233/304/392	158	302	18	10	27%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Deibinson Romero 2016 · AAA	29	46→45	49→55	41→40	47	231/295/380	149	272	16	4	22%	7%	89	+1.0	230/293/360	130	262	15	5	18%	7%	83	+0.6	225/291/331	105	252	13	1	16%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Phillip Evans 2021 · MLB	28	47→53	48→45	39→40	50	235/306/375	139	268	15	5	19%	8%	92	+1.2	223/292/325	102	268	10	4	20%	8%	73	-0.1	221/292/311	90	265	9	2	19%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Iker Franco 2010 · AAA	29	46→47	51→50	40	49	237/287/395	157	248	20	4	15%	6%	89	+1.0	240/296/383	143	270	18	3	18%	7%	90	+1.0	242/301/376	134	279	17	0	20%	7%	92	+0.8
✕Jason Phillips 2006 · MLB	29	49→59	46→45	37→30	53	241/305/368	126	253	13	2	11%	7%	90	+1.0	233/283/346	113	258	12	3	14%	6%	75	-0.0	231/274/329	98	259	10	1	15%	4%	64	-0.3
✕Devin Mesoraco 2017 · MLB	29	45→49	52→60	42→40	52	234/316/402	168	271	20	6	22%	9%	104	+2.0	219/305/374	155	253	19	5	21%	9%	92	+1.2	206/298/365	159	231	21	1	21%	9%	83	+0.2
●Miguel Ojeda 2004 · MLB	29	48→51	48→50	45	56	242/330/386	144	270	16	8	17%	10%	105	+2.1	233/308/377	144	267	18	5	20%	9%	94	+1.3	257/322/406	148	293	17	7	18%	8%	104	+1.0
✕Chris Woodward 2005 · MLB	29	51→47	45→50	44→45	48	248/304/385	137	295	11	5	20%	7%	93	+1.3	236/298/348	112	294	9	4	22%	8%	81	+0.4	227/290/320	93	285	7	2	22%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Tucker Barnhart 2020 · MLB	29	49→54	46→45	41→40	56	240/324/372	133	283	14	3	20%	11%	99	+1.7	234/310/358	124	296	13	3	24%	9%	90	+1.0	229/301/326	97	300	9	0	25%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Jake Smolinski 2018 · MLB	29	46→50	48→55	44→45	47	233/293/372	139	261	15	7	18%	6%	86	+0.8	223/290/377	154	274	18	11	25%	7%	87	+0.8	211/284/379	167	260	20	12	27%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Anthony Recker 2013 · MLB	29	43→48	51→55	44→45	47	223/298/385	162	285	20	7	28%	9%	92	+1.2	210/278/372	162	283	21	6	32%	8%	80	+0.4	196/276/340	144	260	18	3	31%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Aledmys Díaz 2020 · MLB	29	49→58	52→55	43→45	50	250/308/417	166	262	20	6	14%	7%	105	+2.1	246/305/407	161	272	19	4	17%	6%	100	+1.7	237/291/368	131	273	14	1	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Pedro Severino 2022 · MLB	29	48	48→50	47→45	48	241/306/377	137	298	16	4	24%	8%	93	+1.3	234/292/369	135	299	15	9	26%	7%	85	+0.7	224/277/350	126	286	14	11	26%	6%	69	-0.2
●James McCann 2019 · MLB	29	47→56	47→50	36→45	44	238/293/371	133	296	16	2	25%	6%	85	+0.7	254/312/413	159	327	20	5	27%	7%	105	+2.1	255/316/415	160	332	21	4	28%	7%	104	+1.1