Jonathan India
2B Kansas City Royals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | MLBCIN | 637 | .248/.361/.392 | 15 | 13 | 112 | 2.9 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLBKC | 567 | .233/.324/.346 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 0.1 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLBKC | 58 | .167/.310/.312 | 2 | 0 | 89 | -0.1 |
| 2027PROJ | 30 | MLBKC | 129 | .245/.346/.380 | 3 | 1 | 112 | 0.4 |
| 2028PROJ | 31 | MLBKC | 487 | .240/.340/.369 | 10 | 2 | 107 | 0.9 |
| 2029PROJ | 32 | MLBKC | 474 | .234/.334/.355 | 9 | 1 | 101 | 0.5 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 112 | 96 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 229 | 339 | 396 | 735 | 167 | 292 | 25 | 12 | 334 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | — | 72 | 54 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 259 | 444 | 500 | 944 | 241 | 314 | 22 | 21 | 421 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 145 | 111 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 270 | 426 | 378 | 804 | 108 | 314 | 18 | 15 | 366 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | — | 367 | 317 | 81 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 84 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 256 | 350 | 410 | 760 | 155 | 319 | 23 | 10 | 339 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 71 | 60 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 133 | 257 | 333 | 590 | 200 | 135 | 30 | 11 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 631 | 532 | 143 | 34 | 2 | 21 | 71 | 141 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 269 | 379 | 459 | 837 | 190 | 326 | 22 | 11 | 372 | 133 | +25 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +14 | 3.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 431 | 386 | 96 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 94 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 249 | 327 | 378 | 705 | 130 | 305 | 22 | 7 | 320 | 98 | -1 | -1 | -7 | +2 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 333 | 167 | 500 | 250 | 27 | 20 | 260 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 529 | 454 | 111 | 23 | 0 | 17 | 52 | 109 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 244 | 343 | 407 | 750 | 163 | 281 | 21 | 10 | 335 | 108 | +5 | +2 | -4 | +2 | +11 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 637 | 533 | 132 | 28 | 2 | 15 | 80 | 125 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 248 | 361 | 392 | 754 | 144 | 292 | 20 | 13 | 339 | 112 | +9 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +14 | 2.9 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 567 | 497 | 116 | 29 | 0 | 9 | 54 | 106 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 233 | 324 | 346 | 671 | 113 | 279 | 19 | 10 | 306 | 96 | -3 | -2 | -9 | +2 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 58 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 310 | 312 | 623 | 146 | 182 | 22 | 14 | 293 | 89 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 2853 | 2450 | 606 | 131 | 6 | 74 | 296 | 588 | 83 | 42 | 15 | 247 | 348 | 396 | 745 | 149 | 294 | 21 | 10 | 335 | 113 | +45 | +2 | -25 | +10 | +62 | 9.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 112 | 101 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 168 | 250 | 277 | 527 | 109 | 247 | 35 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 72 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 167 | 306 | 317 | 622 | 150 | 237 | 32 | 12 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 145 | 117 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 239 | 369 | 333 | 702 | 94 | 283 | 23 | 11 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 367 | 329 | 65 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 121 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 198 | 273 | 307 | 580 | 109 | 278 | 33 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 631 | 533 | 142 | 35 | 2 | 19 | 70 | 141 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 266 | 375 | 447 | 822 | 180 | 326 | 22 | 11 | 364 | 133 | +25 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +14 | 3.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 431 | 387 | 95 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 94 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 245 | 323 | 367 | 689 | 121 | 305 | 22 | 7 | 314 | 98 | -1 | -1 | -7 | +2 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 267 | 154 | 421 | 238 | 33 | 13 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 529 | 454 | 110 | 23 | 0 | 16 | 52 | 109 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 242 | 341 | 399 | 740 | 156 | 281 | 21 | 10 | 328 | 108 | +5 | +2 | -4 | +2 | +11 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 637 | 533 | 131 | 28 | 2 | 14 | 80 | 125 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 246 | 360 | 385 | 744 | 139 | 292 | 20 | 13 | 333 | 112 | +9 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +14 | 2.9 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 567 | 497 | 118 | 29 | 0 | 10 | 54 | 106 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 237 | 328 | 356 | 684 | 119 | 279 | 19 | 10 | 310 | 96 | -3 | -2 | -9 | +2 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 58 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 310 | 312 | 623 | 146 | 182 | 22 | 14 | 300 | 89 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 161 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 62 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 174 | 277 | 304 | 582 | 130 | 253 | 34 | 9 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 184 | 150 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 44 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 240 | 380 | 433 | 814 | 193 | 300 | 24 | 15 | 368 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 583 | 509 | 105 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 175 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 206 | 296 | 308 | 605 | 102 | 285 | 30 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 583 | 488 | 119 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 67 | 131 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 244 | 357 | 393 | 751 | 150 | 298 | 22 | 11 | 337 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 631 | 533 | 142 | 35 | 2 | 19 | 70 | 141 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 266 | 375 | 447 | 822 | 180 | 326 | 22 | 11 | 364 | 133 | +25 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +14 | 3.7 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB RAW | Cincinnati Reds | — | 631 | 532 | 143 | 34 | 2 | 21 | 71 | 141 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 269 | 379 | 459 | 837 | 190 | 326 | 22 | 11 | 372 | 133 | +25 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +14 | 3.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 446 | 400 | 97 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 99 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 242 | 321 | 360 | 681 | 117 | 301 | 22 | 7 | 310 | 96 | -2 | -1 | -7 | +2 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 446 | 398 | 98 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 98 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 246 | 327 | 372 | 699 | 126 | 303 | 22 | 8 | 318 | 96 | -2 | -1 | -7 | +2 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 529 | 454 | 110 | 23 | 0 | 16 | 52 | 109 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 242 | 341 | 399 | 740 | 156 | 280 | 21 | 10 | 328 | 108 | +5 | +2 | -4 | +2 | +11 | 1.7 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB RAW | Cincinnati Reds | — | 529 | 454 | 111 | 23 | 0 | 17 | 52 | 109 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 244 | 343 | 407 | 750 | 163 | 281 | 21 | 10 | 335 | 108 | +5 | +2 | -4 | +2 | +11 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 637 | 533 | 131 | 28 | 2 | 14 | 80 | 125 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 246 | 360 | 385 | 744 | 139 | 292 | 20 | 13 | 333 | 112 | +9 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +14 | 2.9 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB RAW | Cincinnati Reds | — | 637 | 533 | 132 | 28 | 2 | 15 | 80 | 125 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 248 | 361 | 392 | 754 | 144 | 292 | 20 | 13 | 339 | 112 | +9 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +14 | 2.9 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 567 | 497 | 118 | 29 | 0 | 10 | 54 | 106 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 237 | 328 | 356 | 684 | 119 | 282 | 19 | 10 | 310 | 96 | -3 | -2 | -9 | +2 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB RAW | Kansas City Royals | — | 567 | 497 | 116 | 29 | 0 | 9 | 54 | 106 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 233 | 324 | 346 | 671 | 113 | 279 | 19 | 10 | 306 | 96 | -3 | -2 | -9 | +2 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 58 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 310 | 312 | 623 | 146 | 182 | 22 | 14 | 300 | 89 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB RAW | Kansas City Royals | — | 58 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 310 | 312 | 623 | 146 | 182 | 22 | 14 | 293 | 89 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 159 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 62 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 176 | 277 | 308 | 585 | 132 | 243 | 34 | 9 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 583 | 513 | 105 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 175 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 205 | 296 | 306 | 602 | 101 | 279 | 30 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 631 | 533 | 142 | 35 | 2 | 19 | 70 | 141 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 266 | 375 | 447 | 822 | 180 | 326 | 22 | 11 | 364 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 446 | 397 | 97 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 99 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 244 | 321 | 363 | 683 | 118 | 303 | 22 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 529 | 456 | 110 | 23 | 0 | 16 | 52 | 109 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 241 | 341 | 397 | 738 | 156 | 281 | 21 | 10 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 637 | 537 | 131 | 28 | 2 | 14 | 80 | 125 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 244 | 360 | 382 | 742 | 138 | 292 | 20 | 13 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 567 | 495 | 118 | 29 | 0 | 10 | 54 | 106 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 238 | 328 | 358 | 686 | 119 | 279 | 19 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 58 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 310 | 312 | 623 | 146 | 182 | 22 | 14 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 637 | 537 | 131 | 28 | 2 | 14 | 80 | 125 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 244 | 360 | 382 | 742 | 138 | 292 | 20 | 13 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 567 | 495 | 118 | 29 | 0 | 10 | 54 | 106 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 238 | 328 | 358 | 686 | 119 | 279 | 19 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 58 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 310 | 312 | 623 | 146 | 182 | 22 | 14 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 309 | 265 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 59 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 248 | 349 | 389 | 738 | 141 | 291 | 19 | 11 | 333 | 112 | +4 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +7 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 129 | 111 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 346 | 380 | 726 | 135 | 289 | 19 | 11 | 328 | 112 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +3 | 0.4 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 487 | 420 | 102 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 53 | 95 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 243 | 343 | 378 | 721 | 134 | 287 | 20 | 11 | 327 | 107 | +4 | +0 | -8 | +2 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 474 | 410 | 98 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 51 | 95 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 237 | 336 | 363 | 699 | 126 | 282 | 20 | 11 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +0 | -8 | +2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 383 | 332 | 75 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 79 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 327 | 345 | 673 | 116 | 276 | 21 | 10 | 307 | 94 | -3 | +0 | -8 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 146 | 127 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 317 | 324 | 640 | 105 | 267 | 21 | 10 | 294 | 85 | -3 | +0 | -6 | +1 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 487 | 420 | 101 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 53 | 95 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 340 | 369 | 709 | 129 | 285 | 20 | 11 | 322 | 107 | +4 | +0 | -8 | +2 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 474 | 410 | 95 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 51 | 95 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 334 | 355 | 688 | 121 | 280 | 20 | 11 | 314 | 101 | +1 | +0 | -8 | +2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 383 | 332 | 75 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 79 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 325 | 337 | 662 | 111 | 273 | 21 | 10 | 303 | 94 | -3 | +0 | -8 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 146 | 127 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 314 | 316 | 631 | 100 | 265 | 21 | 10 | 291 | 85 | -3 | +0 | -6 | +1 | +3 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4343 | 3739 | 903 | 194 | 8 | 102 | 455 | 888 | 115 | 46 | 16 | 242 | 342 | 380 | 721 | 138 | 289 | 20 | 10 | 327 | 101 | +44 | +3 | -55 | +16 | +94 | 10.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 560 | 135 | 29 | 1 | 15 | 68 | 133 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 241 | 341 | 377 | 718 | 136 | 288 | 20 | 10 | 327 | 101 | +7 | +0 | -8 | +2 | +14 | 1.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5254 | 4535 | 1069 | 225 | 12 | 118 | 532 | 1155 | 143 | 65 | 23 | 236 | 335 | 369 | 703 | 133 | 288 | 22 | 10 | 318 | 101 | +46 | +3 | -56 | +16 | +97 | 10.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 561 | 132 | 28 | 1 | 15 | 66 | 143 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 235 | 335 | 369 | 704 | 134 | 287 | 22 | 10 | 318 | 101 | +7 | +0 | -8 | +2 | +14 | 1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAALouisville Bats · 15 PAwOBA .255 → .205 (−50)K% 26.7% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 13.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 23.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.282 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .255 → .205; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Daytona Tortugas · 367 PAwOBA .331 → .259 (−72)K% 22.9% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.89% | ÷0.985 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.26% | ÷1.016 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 6.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.45% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 2.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.75% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 20.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.44% | ÷1.042 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 5.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.15% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 1.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.43% | ÷1.101 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 2.74% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 93, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .331 → .259; ISO .155 → .112; BABIP .319 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 145 PAwOBA .365 → .318 (−47)K% 17.9% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.93% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.48% | ÷0.949 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 10.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.52% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 4.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.24% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 26.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.53% | ÷1.160 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 2.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.53% | ÷0.979 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.96% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 95, 2B 132, 3B 80, K 93, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .365 → .318; ISO .108 → .094; BABIP .314 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ADayton Dragons · 112 PAwOBA .325 → .237 (−88)K% 25.0% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.987 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.61% | ÷1.097 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.68% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | ×0.954 | — | 15.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.29% | ÷0.942 | ×0.830 | ×0.954 | — | 8.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.954 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.41% | ÷1.103 | ×0.800 | — | — | 3.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 104, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .325 → .237; ISO .167 → .120; BABIP .292 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKBillings Mustangs · 72 PAwOBA .411 → .285 (−126)K% 22.2% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.975 | 12.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 16.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 1.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.975 | 5.77% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .411 → .285; ISO .241 → .174; BABIP .314 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .