Iván Herrera — OGILVIE

Iván HerreraC St. Louis Cardinals

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 220 lbs MLB Svc 2.198S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION423 act + 277 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 176163vR 130

AVG/OBP/SLG.280 / .393 / .422

PA277

HR8

K%18

BB%11

BABIP324

ISO142

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

905.9%

xwOBA

900.361

POWER55

Barrel%

538.6

Avg EV

6390.0

Bat Spd

7774.2

EYE55

Chase%

9018.2%

SPEED40

Sprint

1725.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 831 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

244

587

—

wRC+

156

127

◀◀L

wOBA

390

351

◀L

ISO

216

144

◀◀L

BABIP

304

329

▶R

17.2%

19.1%

◀L

BB%

12.3%

8.7%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.198 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+2.3	$18M	+$18M
2027	Arb-2	$10M	+5.2	$39M	+$30M
2028	Arb-3	$16M	+5.0	$34M	+$21M
2029	Arb-4	$24M	+4.9	$31M	+$14M
Totals		$50M		$122M	+$83M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	201	177	45	11	0	1	11	52	10	2	2	254	333	333	667	79	349	26	5	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	201	170	57	15	0	1	18	36	10	2	2	335	429	441	870	106	415	18	9	390	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	GCL Cardinals	—	130	116	31	4	3	1	7	29	5	1	1	267	336	379	715	112	341	22	5	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	GCL Cardinals	—	130	112	39	6	4	1	11	20	5	1	1	348	430	500	930	152	409	15	8	407	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	3 teams	—	397	358	80	7	0	7	27	104	8	1	1	223	293	302	594	78	291	26	7	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	3 teams	—	397	340	98	12	0	9	45	76	8	1	1	288	384	403	787	115	344	19	11	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	58	49	9	1	0	0	8	13	1	1	1	184	310	204	514	20	250	22	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	58	49	9	1	0	0	8	13	1	1	1	184	310	204	514	20	250	22	14	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA	2 teams	—	458	402	79	10	0	16	42	136	7	2	3	197	284	341	625	144	245	30	9	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA	2 teams	—	458	383	90	13	0	17	61	99	7	2	3	235	350	402	752	167	266	22	13	336	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA	3 teams	—	341	301	65	10	1	5	29	84	7	6	1	216	300	306	605	90	279	25	9	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA	3 teams	—	341	283	72	10	2	6	47	65	7	6	1	254	374	367	741	113	307	19	14	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	3 teams	—	454	380	101	31	1	10	60	114	12	12	2	266	383	432	814	166	353	25	13	357	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	3 teams	—	454	355	107	30	1	13	85	95	12	12	2	301	451	501	953	200	378	21	19	424	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	—	371	329	93	13	2	9	38	80	2	8	0	283	360	416	777	134	347	22	10	340	118	+8	+2	+3	+7	+11	3.0
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	—	371	322	95	13	2	10	44	73	2	8	0	295	382	441	823	146	353	20	12	367	139	+16	+2	+3	+7	+11	3.9
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	482	420	121	14	0	20	43	95	15	10	2	288	374	464	839	176	327	20	9	367	139	+21	+1	-0	+9	+14	4.5
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	482	418	123	15	0	20	43	92	15	10	2	294	379	474	852	179	332	19	9	377	146	+25	+1	-0	+9	+14	5.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	MLB	STL	—	423	346	86	14	1	11	51	68	24	5	0	249	382	390	773	142	279	16	12	344	122	+10	+1	-1	+8	+12	3.1
YTD	26	MLB	STL	—	423	346	86	14	1	11	51	68	24	5	0	249	382	390	773	142	279	16	12	355	130	+14	+1	-1	+8	+12	3.5
ROS	26	MLB	STL	100%	277	232	65	9	0	8	31	49	12	4	1	280	393	422	815	142	327	18	11	377	147	+15	+0	-2	+5	+8	2.6
ROS	26	MLB	STL	100%	277	232	65	9	0	8	31	49	12	4	1	280	393	422	815	142	327	18	11	344	122	+7	+0	-2	+5	+8	1.8
FULL	26	MLB	STL	—	700	578	151	23	1	19	82	117	36	9	1	261	386	403	790	142	297	17	12	344	122	+17	+1	-2	+12	+20	4.9
TOT	26	MLB	STL	—	700	578	151	23	1	19	82	117	36	9	1	261	386	403	790	142	297	17	12	357	131	+25	+1	-2	+12	+20	5.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	STL	100%	520	433	127	18	1	16	59	92	23	7	1	293	406	450	856	157	337	18	11	383	151	+30	+1	-3	+9	+15	5.3
2028	28	MLB	STL	100%	520	433	127	18	1	16	59	93	23	7	1	293	406	450	856	157	336	18	11	381	150	+29	+1	-4	+9	+15	5.1
2029	29	MLB	STL	100%	520	432	126	18	1	15	60	94	23	7	1	292	406	442	848	150	335	18	12	379	149	+29	+1	-5	+9	+15	5.0
2030	30	MLB	STL	100%	520	432	124	18	0	15	60	95	23	6	1	287	402	433	835	146	334	18	12	376	146	+27	+1	-6	+9	+15	4.7
2031	31	MLB	STL	100%	504	419	119	17	0	14	58	94	22	5	1	284	399	425	824	141	331	19	12	372	143	+24	+1	-6	+9	+14	4.3
2032	32	MLB	STL	100%	489	409	112	15	0	13	56	93	21	4	1	274	389	406	795	132	327	19	11	366	138	+21	+0	-7	+9	+14	3.8
2033	33	MLB	STL	100%	473	396	107	14	0	12	54	92	20	3	1	270	385	396	782	126	322	19	11	358	132	+17	+0	-7	+8	+13	3.3
2034	34	MLB	STL	96%	400	335	88	11	0	10	45	81	17	2	0	263	378	385	763	122	316	20	11	349	125	+11	+0	-8	+7	+11	2.3
2035	35	MLB	STL	91%	327	273	70	8	0	8	37	68	14	1	0	256	373	374	747	117	309	21	11	338	117	+6	+0	-8	+6	+9	1.4
2036	36	MLB	STL	82%	182	152	37	4	0	4	20	40	8	0	0	243	361	349	710	105	302	22	11	327	109	+2	+0	-8	+3	+5	0.3
2037	37	MLB	STL	73%	126	106	24	2	0	2	14	28	5	0	0	226	344	302	646	75	294	22	11	316	100	-0	+0	-8	+2	+4	-0.2
2027	27	MLB	STL	100%	520	433	127	18	1	16	59	92	23	7	1	293	406	450	856	157	336	18	11	350	126	+15	+1	-3	+9	+15	3.8
2028	28	MLB	STL	100%	520	433	127	18	1	16	59	93	23	7	1	293	406	450	856	157	336	18	11	349	125	+15	+1	-4	+9	+15	3.6
2029	29	MLB	STL	100%	520	432	126	18	1	15	60	94	23	7	1	292	406	442	848	150	335	18	12	347	124	+14	+1	-5	+9	+15	3.5
2030	30	MLB	STL	100%	520	432	124	18	0	15	60	95	23	6	1	287	402	433	835	146	334	18	12	344	121	+13	+1	-6	+9	+15	3.2
2031	31	MLB	STL	100%	504	419	119	17	0	14	58	94	22	5	1	284	399	425	824	141	331	19	12	340	118	+10	+1	-6	+9	+14	2.9
2032	32	MLB	STL	100%	489	409	112	15	0	13	56	93	21	4	1	274	389	406	795	132	327	19	11	334	114	+7	+0	-7	+9	+14	2.4
2033	33	MLB	STL	100%	473	396	107	14	0	12	54	92	20	3	1	270	385	396	782	126	322	19	11	326	108	+4	+0	-7	+8	+13	1.9
2034	34	MLB	STL	96%	382	320	83	10	0	9	43	77	16	2	0	259	375	375	750	116	316	20	11	317	101	+0	+0	-7	+7	+11	1.1
2035	35	MLB	STL	91%	298	250	63	7	0	7	33	62	13	1	0	252	368	364	732	112	308	21	11	307	93	-2	+0	-7	+5	+8	0.5
2036	36	MLB	STL	82%	149	125	30	3	0	3	17	32	6	0	0	240	358	336	694	96	301	21	11	296	85	-3	+0	-6	+3	+4	-0.2
2037	37	MLB	STL	73%	92	78	19	2	0	2	10	21	4	0	0	244	359	346	705	103	294	23	11	285	76	-2	+0	-6	+2	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5521	4631	1294	176	4	154	615	1050	225	59	10	279	390	419	809	139	330	19	11	339	117	+107	+8	-64	+114	+156	32.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	545	152	21	0	18	72	124	26	7	1	279	388	417	805	138	329	19	11	339	117	+13	+1	-7	+13	+18	3.9
Career	—			—	7750	6584	1750	253	10	202	818	1626	278	89	21	266	371	399	770	134	322	21	11	344	121	+186	+9	-68	+138	+220	49.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	552	147	21	1	17	69	136	23	7	2	266	371	400	771	134	323	21	11	344	121	+16	+1	-6	+12	+18	4.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	201	170	57	15	0	1	18	36	10	2	2	335	429	441	870	106	415	18	9	390	156	+13	-0	—	—	+6	1.8
2018	18	ROK	GCL Cardinals	—	130	112	39	6	4	1	11	20	5	1	1	348	430	500	930	152	409	15	8	407	170	+10	-0	—	—	+4	1.4
2019	19	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	65	58	16	0	0	1	5	16	1	0	0	276	344	328	671	52	357	25	8	306	92	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2019	19	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	291	248	71	10	0	8	35	56	5	1	1	286	385	423	809	137	337	19	12	363	136	+12	-0	—	—	+8	2.0
2019	19	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	41	34	11	2	0	0	5	4	2	0	0	324	439	382	821	59	367	10	12	382	151	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2020	20	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	58	49	9	1	0	0	8	13	1	1	1	184	310	204	514	20	250	22	14	256	54	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2021	21	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	437	363	84	13	0	17	60	96	7	2	3	231	351	408	759	176	261	22	14	339	117	+9	-1	—	—	+12	2.1
2021	21	INTL	Panama	—	21	20	6	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	300	333	300	633		353	14	5	292	81	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	22	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	22	18	2	0	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		182	36	9	146	-30	-3	+0	-0	+6	+1	0.3
2022	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	278	235	63	10	1	6	38	52	3	5	1	268	377	396	773	128	318	19	14	350	126	+8	+1	—	—	+8	1.7
2022	22	INTL	Panama	—	41	30	7	0	1	0	7	5	4	1	0	233	439	300	739	67	280	12	17	363	136	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	44	37	11	2	0	0	5	11	2	0	0	297	409	351	760	54	423	25	11	356	131	+2	+0	+0	+8	+1	1.1
2023	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	375	290	86	27	1	10	75	77	8	11	2	297	453	500	953	203	371	21	20	423	182	+35	+1	—	—	+11	4.8
2023	23	INTL	Panama	—	35	28	10	1	0	3	5	7	2	1	0	357	486	714	1.200	357	389	20	14	512	250	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2024	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	259	229	69	12	1	5	25	53	2	5	0	301	374	428	801	127	370	20	10	357	131	+9	+1	+3	+7	+7	2.7
2024	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	112	93	26	1	1	5	19	20	0	3	0	280	402	473	875	194	309	18	17	391	157	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2025	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	452	388	110	13	0	19	43	84	15	8	2	284	375	464	839	180	315	19	10	371	142	+22	+1	-0	+9	+13	4.5
2025	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	30	30	13	2	0	1	0	8	0	2	0	433	433	600	1.033	167	571	27	0	457	208	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	777	672	192	27	1	24	75	156	19	13	2	286	372	436	808	150	337	20	10	359	133	+29	+2	+3	+29	+22	8.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Joe Mauerlast yr '18 MVPAS×6GG×3SS×5HOF career totals — 15 seasons, 7,960 PA	15	7,960	143	52	306	388	439	+39	+74	67.6	59.8
	/162	664	12	4	306	388	439	+3.2	+6.2	5.6	pk7: 52
#2Jorge Posadalast yr '11 AS×5SS×5 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,065 PA	12	6,065	240	18	277	379	483	+52	+3	53.9	49.3
	/162	664	26	2	277	379	483	+5.7	+0.4	5.9	pk7: 45
#3Victor Martinezlast yr '18 AS×5SS×2 career totals — 15 seasons, 8,130 PA	15	8,130	245	7	295	360	455	+31	+8	55.0	49.0
	/162	664	20	1	295	360	455	+2.5	+0.6	4.5	pk7: 43
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	14	6,121	177	69	279	386	424	+90	+6	54.3	44.8
	/162	664	19	7	279	386	424	+9.8	+0.7	5.9	pk7: 35
#4Anthony Rendonlast yr '24 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,022 PA	12	5,022	158	55	280	364	464	+18	+21	38.4	37.2
	/162	664	21	7	280	364	464	+2.4	+2.8	5.1	pk7: 36
#5Jason Variteklast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA	12	5,047	166	22	255	343	431	+61	+15	33.1	30.8
	/162	664	22	3	255	343	431	+8.0	+1.9	4.4	pk7: 28
#6Yunel Escobarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,957 PA	11	5,957	90	34	282	350	386	+53	+41	32.4	29.4
	/162	664	10	4	282	350	386	+5.9	+4.6	3.6	pk7: 26

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Iván Herrera (OGILVIE)	26	60	55	40	55	261/386/403	142	297	19	9	17%	12%	131	+5.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Marcus Giles 2004 · MLB	26	57→63	54→55	47→50	56	286/361/478	192	305	20	11	14%	10%	141	+4.6	287/361/446	159	327	14	15	16%	9%	133	+4.0	281/357/422	142	326	12	15	17%	9%	123	+3.2
★Corey Seager 2020 · MLB	26	56→63	55→65	46→45	53	282/349/484	202	319	21	3	19%	9%	138	+4.4	284/353/509	225	306	27	4	17%	9%	147	+5.0	284/360/521	237	297	30	2	16%	10%	145	+4.3
★Garrett Atkins 2007 · MLB	27	61→64	54→60	45→40	58	306/380/498	191	320	21	3	12%	10%	154	+5.5	287/351/460	173	310	20	3	14%	9%	133	+4.0	275/339/434	160	298	19	1	15%	8%	118	+2.9
★Jose Vidro 2001 · MLB	26	62→65	55	43→40	53	314/365/515	202	323	21	6	11%	8%	153	+5.4	311/371/486	175	325	18	4	10%	8%	147	+5.0	310/379/475	165	323	16	3	9%	9%	143	+4.7
●Xander Bogaerts 2020 · MLB	27	55→64	57→60	48→55	55	281/356/492	211	310	23	7	18%	10%	143	+4.7	284/358/477	193	321	23	8	18%	10%	140	+4.5	287/361/450	163	330	18	10	18%	9%	131	+4.1
●Geovany Soto 2009 · MLB	26	55→60	56→60	41→30	51	278/347/477	199	335	23	2	24%	9%	135	+4.2	252/344/442	190	300	22	2	22%	12%	125	+3.5	236/337/418	182	280	21	0	23%	13%	111	+1.7
●Pablo Sandoval 2013 · MLB	26	57→65	55→60	40	52	292/346/484	192	309	22	3	14%	8%	137	+4.3	279/334/431	152	304	17	2	14%	7%	118	+3.0	271/325/407	136	296	15	0	14%	6%	102	+1.8
●Carlos Correa 2023 · MLB	28	55→60	54→60	41→55	55	278/357/456	177	319	22	2	20%	10%	134	+4.1	265/340/434	169	311	19	2	20%	10%	121	+3.2	262/335/419	157	308	17	0	20%	9%	111	+2.1
★Alex Bregman 2019 · MLB	25	53→55	56→60	49→50	60	272/361/480	208	286	22	11	14%	11%	142	+4.6	271/380/494	223	277	26	6	13%	14%	154	+5.4	268/384/487	219	270	26	3	13%	15%	148	+3.7
✕Brian Anderson 2020 · MLB	27	54→59	51→60	44→45	50	267/345/440	173	321	18	4	22%	8%	125	+3.5	256/338/428	172	322	20	6	25%	9%	119	+3.1	241/328/396	155	315	19	4	27%	9%	103	+1.0
★Ryan Zimmerman 2012 · MLB	27	57→60	54→65	47→45	56	291/365/479	187	321	22	5	17%	10%	143	+4.7	279/346/463	184	318	22	5	19%	9%	131	+3.9	277/345/463	186	314	22	4	19%	9%	125	+3.0
★Buster Posey 2012 · MLB	25	59→69	52→60	46→45	52	295/361/464	169	328	19	5	16%	8%	137	+4.3	317/387/507	190	346	21	3	14%	10%	160	+5.9	322/393/516	193	346	22	1	13%	10%	156	+5.6
●Yasiel Puig 2017 · MLB	26	55→63	53→60	45→55	50	276/341/457	181	319	20	8	20%	8%	128	+3.6	270/337/483	213	299	28	15	19%	9%	134	+4.1	268/338/487	219	295	29	18	20%	9%	129	+3.4
★Anthony Rendon 2018 · MLB	28	56→60	54→65	45→50	60	281/372/475	194	309	20	8	16%	12%	145	+4.9	301/388/535	234	319	26	5	14%	12%	167	+6.3	306/398/551	245	320	27	3	13%	12%	167	+5.2
✕Esteban Quiroz 2018 · AAA	26	56→66	49→55	44→45	55	279/352/428	148	304	16	9	14%	9%	124	+3.4	232/309/407	175	278	21	8	24%	9%	102	+1.9	212/304/408	196	257	25	4	27%	10%	98	+0.7
●Troy Tulowitzki 2010 · MLB	25	55→57	57→60	47→50	56	282/359/491	208	308	24	12	17%	10%	144	+4.8	265/340/462	197	280	23	11	15%	10%	128	+3.7	274/356/450	176	308	22	1	18%	10%	125	+2.7
●Alex Avila 2012 · MLB	25	55→62	54→55	45→40	56	273/360/461	188	335	20	4	24%	12%	137	+4.3	252/347/417	165	333	17	3	27%	13%	120	+3.1	235/338/387	152	322	16	1	29%	13%	106	+1.6
●Gabe Kapler 2001 · MLB	26	57→60	51→55	46→55	55	286/346/454	168	303	17	10	12%	9%	129	+3.7	270/334/415	145	298	14	18	14%	9%	114	+2.7	267/332/400	133	298	12	21	14%	9%	106	+1.4
✕Ben Petrick 2002 · MLB	25	51	53→60	43→45	55	256/342/444	187	306	19	7	22%	11%	124	+3.4	237/307/417	180	290	21	6	25%	9%	104	+2.0	215/274/388	173	260	23	0	27%	7%	81	+0.1
★Dan Uggla 2007 · MLB	27	52→57	54→65	45	47	269/327/454	185	305	22	8	20%	7%	121	+3.2	253/338/474	221	296	26	4	23%	10%	131	+3.9	266/364/498	232	312	30	3	24%	13%	143	+5.1