Iván Herrera — OGILVIE

Iván HerreraC St. Louis Cardinals

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 220 lbs MLB HR -7%K -4% Svc 2.198S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 4.7 · 2027

wRC+†vL 156135vR 113

AVG/OBP/SLG.288 / .376 / .464

PA471

HR18

SB5

K%20

BB%10

xwOBA.389

Barrel%9.7%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

55→55

SPD

40→40

EYE

58↘55

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.8peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.198 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.8M	+4.2	$34M	+$33M
2027	Arb-2	$9M	+4.7	$39M	+$30M
2028	Arb-3	$14M	+4.5	$38M	+$24M
2029	Arb-4	$21M	+4.3	$38M	+$17M
Totals		$45M		$148M	+$103M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	201	177	45	11	0	1	11	52	10	2	2	.254	.333	.333	.667	.079	.349	26	5	.286	77	-5	-0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2018	18	ROK	GCL Cardinals	130	116	31	4	3	1	7	29	5	1	1	.267	.336	.379	.715	.112	.341	22	5	.302	89	-2	-0	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2019	19	A	3 teams	397	356	81	8	0	7	29	101	8	1	1	.228	.300	.309	.609	.081	.294	25	7	.274	68	-14	-0	+0	+7	+11	0.4
2020	20	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	58	49	9	1	0	0	8	13	1	1	1	.184	.310	.204	.514	.020	.250	22	14	—	—	—	—	+0	+1	—	—
2021	21	AA	2 teams	458	401	78	10	0	16	43	135	7	2	3	.195	.284	.339	.623	.145	.241	29	9	.276	69	-16	-1	+0	+8	+13	0.5
2022	22	AAA	3 teams	341	300	69	10	1	6	30	82	7	6	1	.230	.315	.330	.645	.100	.293	24	9	.276	70	-12	+1	-0	+6	+10	0.5
2023	23	AAA	3 teams	454	379	101	30	1	10	61	113	12	12	2	.266	.385	.430	.815	.164	.353	25	13	.358	132	+16	+2	+0	+8	+13	4.0
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	371	329	92	13	2	9	38	78	2	8	0	.280	.358	.413	.771	.134	.340	21	10	.338	117	+7	+2	+3	+7	+11	2.9
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	482	420	123	14	0	21	43	94	15	10	2	.293	.379	.476	.855	.183	.330	20	9	.373	143	+24	+1	-0	+9	+14	4.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	111	87	20	4	0	3	18	16	5	0	0	.230	.391	.379	.770	.149	.246	14	16	.326	108	+1	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.6
ROS	26	MLB	STL	360	306	86	13	1	13	41	67	10	5	2	.281	.384	.458	.841	.176	.316	19	11	.372	143	+17	+0	+2	+6	+10	3.7
TOT	26	MLB	STL	471	393	106	17	1	16	59	83	15	5	2	.270	.385	.440	.826	.170	.303	18	13	.361	135	+18	+0	+1	+8	+13	4.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB	STL	468	397	111	17	1	17	54	73	14	7	2	.280	.385	.456	.841	.176	.301	16	12	.372	143	+23	+1	+2	+8	+13	4.8
2028	28	MLB	STL	462	393	109	17	1	16	53	73	13	6	2	.277	.381	.448	.829	.170	.301	16	11	.371	142	+22	+0	+2	+8	+13	4.6
2029	29	MLB	STL	450	382	105	16	1	16	52	72	13	5	1	.275	.380	.448	.828	.173	.300	16	12	.369	141	+21	+1	+1	+8	+13	4.4
2030	30	MLB	STL	439	372	102	16	1	15	51	72	13	4	1	.274	.381	.444	.824	.169	.299	16	12	.366	138	+19	+0	-0	+8	+12	4.0
2031	31	MLB	STL	411	348	93	14	0	14	48	69	12	1	0	.267	.375	.428	.803	.161	.298	17	12	.362	135	+16	+0	-1	+7	+12	3.5
2032	32	MLB	STL	381	323	85	13	0	12	44	66	11	0	0	.263	.370	.415	.785	.152	.296	17	12	.357	132	+14	+0	-2	+7	+11	3.0
2033	33	MLB	STL	341	289	75	11	0	11	39	61	10	0	0	.260	.367	.412	.779	.152	.295	18	11	.352	127	+11	+0	-3	+6	+10	2.4
2034	34	MLB	STL	290	247	63	9	0	9	33	54	8	0	0	.255	.361	.401	.762	.146	.293	19	11	.345	122	+7	+0	-4	+5	+8	1.8
2035	35	MLB	STL	235	200	50	7	0	7	27	47	6	0	0	.250	.356	.390	.746	.140	.291	20	11	.337	116	+4	+0	-4	+4	+7	1.1
2036	36	MLB	STL	180	153	37	5	0	5	20	38	5	0	0	.242	.348	.373	.721	.131	.289	21	11	.328	109	+2	+0	-5	+3	+5	0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6909	5937	1545	239	12	206	732	1389	182	71	21	.260	.359	.409	.768	.148	.305	20	11	.339	118	+138	+6	-10	+123	+196	46.3
/ 162G	—			650	559	144	22	1	19	69	131	17	7	2	.258	.357	.403	.759	.145	.303	20	11	.339	118	+13	+1	-1	+12	+18	4.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	201	170	57	15	0	1	18	36	10	2	2	.335	.429	.441	.870	.106	.415	18	9	.390	156	+13	-0	—	—	+6	1.8
2018	18	ROK	GCL Cardinals	130	112	39	6	4	1	11	20	5	1	1	.348	.430	.500	.930	.152	.409	15	8	.407	170	+10	-0	—	—	+4	1.4
2019	19	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	65	58	16	0	0	1	5	16	1	0	0	.276	.344	.328	.671	.052	.357	25	8	.306	92	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2019	19	A	Peoria Chiefs	291	248	71	10	0	8	35	56	5	1	1	.286	.385	.423	.809	.137	.337	19	12	.363	136	+12	-0	—	—	+8	2.0
2019	19	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	41	34	11	2	0	0	5	4	2	0	0	.324	.439	.382	.821	.059	.367	10	12	.382	151	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2020	20	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	58	49	9	1	0	0	8	13	1	1	1	.184	.310	.204	.514	.020	.250	22	14	.256	54	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2021	21	AA	Springfield Cardinals	437	363	84	13	0	17	60	96	7	2	3	.231	.351	.408	.759	.176	.261	22	14	.339	117	+9	-1	—	—	+12	2.1
2021	21	INTL	Panama	21	20	6	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	.300	.333	.300	.633	.000	.353	14	5	.292	81	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	22	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	22	18	2	0	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	.111	.200	.111	.311	.000	.182	36	9	.146	-30	-3	+0	-0	+6	+1	0.3
2022	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	278	235	63	10	1	6	38	52	3	5	1	.268	.377	.396	.773	.128	.318	19	14	.350	126	+8	+1	—	—	+8	1.7
2022	22	INTL	Panama	41	30	7	0	1	0	7	5	4	1	0	.233	.439	.300	.739	.067	.280	12	17	.363	136	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	44	37	11	2	0	0	5	11	2	0	0	.297	.409	.351	.760	.054	.423	25	11	.356	131	+2	+0	+0	+8	+1	1.1
2023	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	375	290	86	27	1	10	75	77	8	11	2	.297	.453	.500	.953	.203	.371	21	20	.423	182	+35	+1	—	—	+11	4.8
2023	23	INTL	Panama	35	28	10	1	0	3	5	7	2	1	0	.357	.486	.714	1.200	.357	.389	20	14	.512	250	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2024	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	259	229	69	12	1	5	25	53	2	5	0	.301	.374	.428	.801	.127	.370	20	10	.357	131	+9	+1	+3	+7	+7	2.7
2024	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	112	93	26	1	1	5	19	20	0	3	0	.280	.402	.473	.875	.194	.309	18	17	.391	157	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2025	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	452	388	110	13	0	19	43	84	15	8	2	.284	.375	.464	.839	.180	.315	19	10	.371	142	+22	+1	-0	+9	+13	4.5
2025	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	30	30	13	2	0	1	0	8	0	2	0	.433	.433	.600	1.033	.167	.571	27	0	.457	208	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			777	672	192	27	1	24	75	156	19	13	2	.286	.372	.436	.808	.150	.337	20	10	.359	133	+29	+2	+3	+29	+22	8.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Iván Herrera (OGILVIE)	26	60	55	40	55	.276/.379/.449	.172	.301	17	7	15%	11%	143	+3.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Chris Iannetta 2009 · MLB	26	51→57	53→60	46→45	57	.258/.361/.443	.185	.306	20	2	22%	12%	133	+4.0	.235/.348/.432	.197	.273	23	4	22%	13%	125	+3.5	.236/.357/.383	.147	.304	16	2	25%	15%	112	+1.5
★Jose Vidro 2001 · MLB	26	61→65	55	43→40	53	.311/.363/.511	.200	.321	21	6	11%	8%	151	+5.3	.311/.370/.488	.177	.325	18	5	10%	8%	147	+5.0	.310/.379/.475	.165	.323	16	3	9%	9%	143	+4.7
★Garrett Atkins 2007 · MLB	27	60→64	54→60	45→40	58	.304/.377/.492	.188	.319	20	3	12%	10%	151	+5.3	.289/.355/.465	.176	.311	20	3	14%	9%	135	+4.2	.275/.339/.434	.160	.298	19	1	15%	8%	118	+2.9
●Geovany Soto 2009 · MLB	26	54→60	54→60	41→30	50	.274/.341/.464	.190	.333	21	2	24%	9%	130	+3.8	.255/.345/.448	.193	.303	22	2	22%	12%	127	+3.6	.238/.339/.423	.185	.281	22	0	23%	13%	112	+1.8
●Kevin Kouzmanoff 2007 · MLB	26	57→63	58→60	44→40	45	.295/.341/.503	.207	.331	25	6	19%	5%	141	+4.5	.272/.320/.454	.182	.308	21	3	19%	5%	119	+3.1	.259/.309/.430	.171	.295	20	1	19%	5%	104	+2.0
●Xander Bogaerts 2020 · MLB	27	55→63	56→60	50→55	55	.281/.355/.484	.203	.312	22	8	18%	10%	141	+4.5	.290/.363/.490	.200	.327	24	8	18%	10%	145	+4.9	.286/.360/.451	.165	.329	18	10	18%	9%	131	+4.1
●Edgardo Alfonzo 2001 · MLB	27	60→63	56→55	44→45	67	.307/.406/.516	.209	.317	22	5	12%	14%	169	+6.5	.278/.363/.446	.168	.288	19	6	11%	11%	134	+4.1	.281/.357/.413	.132	.288	14	4	8%	10%	117	+2.8
★Corey Seager 2019 · MLB	25	60→63	54→65	44→45	53	.299/.368/.490	.191	.348	21	4	20%	9%	147	+5.0	.280/.348/.480	.200	.315	22	3	18%	9%	137	+4.3	.285/.367/.517	.232	.308	30	2	18%	11%	140	+3.8
●Marcus Giles 2004 · MLB	26	56→63	54→55	46→50	56	.282/.357/.471	.190	.300	20	10	14%	10%	138	+4.4	.288/.361/.449	.161	.327	15	15	16%	9%	134	+4.1	.281/.357/.422	.142	.326	12	15	17%	9%	123	+3.2
★Ryan Zimmerman 2011 · MLB	26	57→61	57→65	47→45	56	.292/.364/.495	.203	.317	25	4	17%	10%	147	+5.0	.284/.354/.475	.191	.319	22	5	18%	10%	138	+4.4	.275/.344/.464	.189	.311	23	5	19%	9%	126	+3.3
★Vernon Wells 2005 · MLB	26	56→61	57→60	49→50	50	.287/.336/.492	.205	.295	24	7	13%	7%	135	+4.2	.277/.333/.479	.202	.288	24	10	13%	8%	131	+3.9	.269/.327/.464	.195	.280	23	11	13%	8%	121	+3.5
★Manny Machado 2018 · MLB	26	52→58	59→65	44→50	51	.274/.332/.486	.212	.289	28	8	17%	8%	132	+4.0	.275/.342/.491	.216	.292	28	9	17%	9%	137	+4.3	.272/.342/.482	.210	.296	28	8	18%	9%	127	+3.7
★Richard Hidalgo 2002 · MLB	27	54→60	61→65	44→45	53	.286/.367/.523	.236	.308	28	8	18%	9%	156	+5.6	.269/.347/.484	.215	.301	25	8	19%	9%	137	+4.3	.261/.336/.477	.217	.292	25	7	20%	9%	124	+3.0
✕Ryan Doumit 2009 · MLB	28	56→63	53→55	41→45	48	.285/.343/.468	.183	.316	19	5	17%	6%	132	+4.0	.267/.326/.433	.166	.298	18	5	17%	7%	115	+2.8	.264/.326/.432	.168	.299	19	0	18%	7%	108	+1.6
●Carlos Correa 2022 · MLB	27	53→62	56→60	46→55	55	.272/.353/.468	.195	.309	24	2	20%	11%	135	+4.2	.269/.347/.447	.178	.314	21	2	20%	10%	128	+3.7	.267/.348/.447	.180	.311	21	0	20%	10%	122	+2.8
●Austin Riley 2023 · MLB	26	52→58	60→65	46→40	48	.271/.342/.491	.220	.321	28	2	25%	8%	137	+4.3	.266/.332/.479	.213	.320	27	3	25%	8%	131	+3.9	.262/.325/.465	.204	.318	26	2	26%	8%	121	+2.9
●Troy Tulowitzki 2011 · MLB	26	55→59	58→65	48→50	56	.286/.360/.498	.212	.306	24	12	16%	10%	146	+4.9	.289/.361/.498	.209	.306	25	9	14%	10%	147	+5.0	.297/.376/.495	.198	.333	25	1	18%	10%	144	+3.8
●Willy Adames 2022 · MLB	26	52→53	57→60	43→50	48	.265/.333/.467	.202	.340	24	6	28%	9%	128	+3.6	.238/.312/.436	.198	.294	25	8	27%	10%	111	+2.5	.227/.318/.417	.189	.274	24	11	26%	11%	104	+2.3
★Miguel Tejada 2001 · MLB	27	52→62	57→60	51→45	56	.271/.343/.471	.200	.283	25	7	15%	10%	133	+4.0	.279/.338/.480	.201	.285	26	8	13%	7%	133	+4.0	.311/.363/.510	.199	.321	24	4	11%	6%	143	+5.6
★Alex Bregman 2019 · MLB	25	54→57	57→65	49→50	59	.279/.363/.494	.215	.295	22	11	14%	11%	147	+5.0	.280/.388/.515	.235	.287	26	6	13%	14%	161	+6.0	.275/.390/.501	.226	.278	27	3	13%	15%	154	+4.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)