Edouard Julien
2B Colorado Rockies| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAAMIN | 233 | .242/.395/.409 | 7 | 6 | 83 | — | .206/.322/.327 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLBMIN | 301 | .199/.292/.323 | 8 | 6 | 78 | -0.1 | |
| 2025 | 26 | AAAMIN | 299 | .276/.418/.464 | 11 | 5 | 101 | — | .241/.343/.354 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLBMIN | 208 | .220/.311/.324 | 3 | 0 | 82 | -0.6 | |
| 2026 | 27 | AAACOL | 99 | .262/.398/.375 | 0 | 1 | 92 | — | .235/.337/.329 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLBCOL | 276 | .208/.322/.292 | 3 | 5 | 77 | -0.4 | |
| 2027PROJ | 28 | MLBCOL | 291 | .235/.336/.372 | 7 | 4 | 94 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ65% MLB | 29 | MLBCOL | 232 | .232/.333/.365 | 5 | 2 | 92 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ65% MLB | 30 | MLBCOL | 224 | .228/.328/.355 | 5 | 2 | 88 | -0.3 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 310 | 247 | 61 | 16 | 0 | 15 | 60 | 90 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 247 | 398 | 494 | 892 | 247 | 322 | 29 | 19 | 394 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 204 | 147 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 50 | 54 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 299 | 493 | 456 | 948 | 156 | 451 | 26 | 25 | 431 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 508 | 400 | 120 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 98 | 125 | 6 | 19 | 7 | 300 | 444 | 490 | 934 | 190 | 393 | 25 | 19 | 415 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 96 | 70 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 400 | 562 | 686 | 1.248 | 286 | 535 | 23 | 24 | 535 | 248 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 408 | 338 | 89 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 64 | 128 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 263 | 384 | 459 | 842 | 195 | 371 | 31 | 16 | 373 | 138 | +19 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +9 | 3.0 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 170 | 133 | 39 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 42 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 293 | 440 | 496 | 937 | 203 | 386 | 25 | 19 | 413 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 301 | 266 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 102 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 199 | 292 | 323 | 616 | 124 | 288 | 34 | 11 | 283 | 78 | -8 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 233 | 186 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 46 | 73 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 242 | 395 | 409 | 803 | 167 | 358 | 31 | 20 | 367 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 208 | 182 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 61 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 220 | 311 | 324 | 635 | 104 | 311 | 29 | 11 | 290 | 82 | -4 | -1 | -7 | +2 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 299 | 239 | 66 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 53 | 82 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 276 | 418 | 464 | 882 | 188 | 372 | 27 | 18 | 394 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 276 | 236 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 71 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 208 | 322 | 292 | 615 | 85 | 284 | 26 | 14 | 290 | 77 | -7 | -0 | -4 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 99 | 80 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 263 | 398 | 375 | 773 | 112 | 344 | 20 | 16 | 354 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1193 | 1022 | 231 | 44 | 2 | 30 | 158 | 362 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 226 | 334 | 361 | 695 | 135 | 317 | 30 | 13 | 317 | 100 | +1 | +0 | -14 | +7 | +26 | 2.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 310 | 266 | 49 | 12 | 0 | 13 | 41 | 122 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 184 | 298 | 376 | 674 | 192 | 277 | 39 | 13 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 204 | 162 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 75 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 228 | 384 | 358 | 742 | 130 | 385 | 37 | 17 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 508 | 428 | 110 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70 | 159 | 6 | 19 | 7 | 257 | 369 | 409 | 778 | 152 | 361 | 31 | 14 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 408 | 338 | 89 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 64 | 128 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 263 | 384 | 459 | 842 | 195 | 371 | 31 | 16 | 373 | 138 | +19 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +9 | 3.0 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 170 | 144 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 52 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 250 | 357 | 389 | 746 | 139 | 353 | 31 | 12 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 301 | 266 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 102 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 199 | 292 | 323 | 616 | 124 | 288 | 34 | 11 | 283 | 78 | -8 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 233 | 199 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 88 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 206 | 322 | 327 | 649 | 121 | 336 | 38 | 14 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 208 | 182 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 61 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 220 | 311 | 324 | 635 | 104 | 311 | 29 | 11 | 290 | 82 | -4 | -1 | -7 | +2 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 299 | 257 | 62 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 100 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 241 | 343 | 354 | 698 | 113 | 361 | 33 | 12 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 276 | 236 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 71 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 203 | 319 | 288 | 607 | 85 | 284 | 26 | 14 | 283 | 77 | -7 | -0 | -4 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 99 | 85 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 235 | 337 | 329 | 666 | 94 | 322 | 24 | 11 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 514 | 428 | 86 | 23 | 1 | 15 | 76 | 198 | 8 | 34 | 5 | 201 | 332 | 364 | 697 | 164 | 327 | 39 | 15 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 514 | 394 | 105 | 28 | 1 | 18 | 110 | 144 | 8 | 34 | 5 | 266 | 436 | 480 | 915 | 213 | 372 | 28 | 21 | 409 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 604 | 508 | 130 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 83 | 189 | 9 | 25 | 7 | 256 | 370 | 407 | 777 | 152 | 369 | 31 | 14 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 604 | 470 | 148 | 24 | 3 | 22 | 121 | 147 | 9 | 25 | 7 | 315 | 463 | 519 | 982 | 204 | 413 | 24 | 20 | 434 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 578 | 482 | 125 | 24 | 1 | 20 | 85 | 180 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 259 | 376 | 438 | 814 | 178 | 366 | 31 | 15 | 362 | 131 | +21 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +13 | 3.7 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 578 | 471 | 128 | 28 | 1 | 21 | 96 | 170 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 272 | 400 | 469 | 870 | 197 | 375 | 29 | 17 | 385 | 131 | +21 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +13 | 3.7 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 465 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 66 | 190 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 202 | 305 | 325 | 630 | 123 | 309 | 36 | 12 | 286 | 80 | -13 | +2 | -3 | +2 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 534 | 452 | 98 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 79 | 175 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 217 | 337 | 358 | 695 | 142 | 317 | 33 | 15 | 320 | 80 | -13 | +2 | -3 | +2 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 439 | 102 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 57 | 161 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 232 | 330 | 342 | 672 | 109 | 342 | 32 | 11 | 306 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 507 | 421 | 106 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 75 | 143 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 252 | 374 | 404 | 778 | 152 | 345 | 28 | 15 | 351 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 375 | 321 | 68 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 50 | 95 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 212 | 324 | 299 | 623 | 87 | 290 | 25 | 13 | 288 | 81 | -8 | -1 | -4 | +1 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 375 | 316 | 70 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 55 | 91 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 222 | 342 | 313 | 656 | 92 | 300 | 24 | 15 | 307 | 81 | -8 | -1 | -4 | +1 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 514 | 425 | 86 | 23 | 1 | 15 | 76 | 198 | 8 | 34 | 5 | 202 | 332 | 367 | 699 | 165 | 320 | 39 | 15 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 604 | 507 | 130 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 83 | 189 | 9 | 25 | 7 | 256 | 370 | 408 | 778 | 152 | 361 | 31 | 14 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 578 | 483 | 125 | 24 | 1 | 20 | 85 | 180 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 259 | 376 | 437 | 813 | 178 | 365 | 31 | 15 | 362 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 460 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 66 | 190 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 204 | 305 | 328 | 634 | 124 | 309 | 36 | 12 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 438 | 102 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 57 | 161 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 233 | 330 | 342 | 672 | 110 | 340 | 32 | 11 | 306 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 375 | 319 | 68 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 50 | 95 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 213 | 324 | 301 | 624 | 88 | 294 | 25 | 13 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 460 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 66 | 190 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 204 | 305 | 328 | 634 | 124 | 309 | 36 | 12 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 438 | 102 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 57 | 161 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 233 | 330 | 342 | 672 | 110 | 340 | 32 | 11 | 306 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 375 | 319 | 68 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 50 | 95 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 213 | 324 | 301 | 624 | 88 | 294 | 25 | 13 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 100% | 460 | 397 | 89 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 56 | 124 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 224 | 326 | 348 | 674 | 124 | 299 | 27 | 12 | 307 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -8 | +2 | +10 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 100% | 291 | 251 | 59 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 78 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 235 | 336 | 372 | 708 | 137 | 312 | 27 | 12 | 320 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | COL | 65% | 357 | 308 | 68 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 43 | 97 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 222 | 323 | 341 | 665 | 120 | 297 | 27 | 12 | 304 | 92 | -4 | +0 | -8 | +1 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB MLE | COL | 65% | 344 | 297 | 65 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 95 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 218 | 319 | 333 | 652 | 114 | 294 | 28 | 12 | 299 | 88 | -5 | +0 | -8 | +1 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB MLE | COL | 65% | 324 | 279 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 91 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 213 | 314 | 322 | 636 | 108 | 291 | 28 | 12 | 292 | 84 | -6 | -0 | -8 | +1 | +7 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | COL | 65% | 232 | 200 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 63 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 333 | 365 | 697 | 132 | 310 | 27 | 12 | 316 | 92 | -2 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB CTX | COL | 65% | 224 | 193 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 62 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 228 | 328 | 355 | 683 | 126 | 307 | 28 | 12 | 310 | 88 | -3 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB CTX | COL | 65% | 211 | 182 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 323 | 342 | 665 | 119 | 302 | 28 | 12 | 303 | 84 | -4 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +5 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1860 | 1597 | 363 | 71 | 4 | 44 | 238 | 546 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 227 | 332 | 359 | 692 | 132 | 315 | 29 | 13 | 314 | 98 | -9 | +0 | -29 | +10 | +40 | 1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 558 | 126 | 25 | 1 | 15 | 83 | 191 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 226 | 331 | 355 | 686 | 129 | 314 | 29 | 13 | 314 | 98 | -3 | +0 | -10 | +3 | +14 | 0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4428 | 3778 | 855 | 169 | 13 | 102 | 575 | 1374 | 47 | 98 | 26 | 226 | 336 | 359 | 695 | 133 | 324 | 31 | 13 | 313 | 98 | -16 | +1 | -42 | +12 | +54 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 555 | 126 | 25 | 2 | 15 | 84 | 202 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 227 | 336 | 360 | 696 | 133 | 326 | 31 | 13 | 313 | 98 | -4 | +0 | -11 | +3 | +14 | 0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 99 PAwOBA .349 → .304 (−45)K% 20.2% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.20% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 11.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.02% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 19.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 13.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .349 → .304; ISO .113 → .102; BABIP .344 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASt. Paul Saints · 299 PAwOBA .385 → .318 (−67)K% 27.4% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.42% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.06% | ÷1.022 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 11.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.66% | ÷0.944 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×1.018 | 29.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.10% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×1.018 | 4.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×1.018 | 1.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.01% | ÷1.253 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.99% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 89, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .385 → .318; ISO .188 → .128; BABIP .372 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASt. Paul Saints · 233 PAwOBA .357 → .291 (−66)K% 31.3% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.33% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.31% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 13.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.66% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×1.025 | ×1.033 | 25.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.08% | ÷0.996 | ×0.830 | ×1.025 | ×1.033 | 6.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.043 | ×0.970 | ×1.025 | ×1.033 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.19% | ÷1.039 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 4.31% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 109, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .357 → .291; ISO .167 → .125; BABIP .358 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASt. Paul Saints · 170 PAwOBA .406 → .335 (−71)K% 24.7% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.71% | ÷0.973 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.24% | ÷1.067 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 12.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.18% | ÷0.964 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 25.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.19% | ÷1.341 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 8.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.49% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 4.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 93, 2B 168, 3B 95, K 95, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .406 → .335; ISO .203 → .149; BABIP .386 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAWichita Wind Surge · 508 PAwOBA .407 → .342 (−65)K% 24.6% → 31.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.61% | ÷0.958 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.09% | ÷0.991 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 13.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.45% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×1.027 | 27.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.91% | ÷1.001 | ×0.840 | ×1.017 | ×1.027 | 6.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.017 | ×1.027 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.18% | ÷0.985 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 5.16% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .407 → .342; ISO .190 → .160; BABIP .393 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 310 PAwOBA .385 → .298 (−87)K% 29.0% → 39.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.03% | ÷0.992 | ×1.350 | — | — | 39.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.03% | ÷1.026 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 13.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.11% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 16.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.19% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 8.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.55% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 8.73% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .385 → .298; ISO .247 → .203; BABIP .322 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 204 PAwOBA .422 → .330 (−92)K% 26.5% → 36.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.47% | ÷0.979 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 24.02% | ÷0.976 | ×0.690 | — | — | 16.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.11% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | — | 25.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.90% | ÷0.909 | ×0.830 | ×0.975 | — | 11.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷0.937 | ×0.910 | ×0.975 | — | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.908 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.84% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 113, 2B 82, 3B 87, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .422 → .330; ISO .156 → .135; BABIP .451 → .385. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .