Matt Thaiss — OGILVIE

Matt ThaissC Worcester Red Sox

Age 31 L/R 5'11" / 215 lbs AAA H +3% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION170 act + 113 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 3577vR 94

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .329 / .329

PA113

HR2

K%23

BB%11

BABIP284

ISO103

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT35

Whiff%

2214.2%

xwOBA

520.311

POWER45

Barrel%

508.1

Avg EV

3788.1

Bat Spd

5872.2

EYE60

Chase%

8824.4%

SPEED35

Sprint

1025.2

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 376 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

307

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

231

308

▶▶R

ISO

065

088

▶▶R

BABIP

243

325

▶▶R

18.8%

29.6%

◀◀L

BB%

5.8%

17.3%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$0.0M	-$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A	2 teams	—	297	274	67	15	4	4	16	49	4	3	4	245	296	372	668	128	283	16	5	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A	2 teams	—	297	264	77	19	4	6	26	32	4	3	4	292	364	462	826	170	311	11	9	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	3 teams	—	684	608	147	25	3	9	58	167	10	12	8	242	318	337	655	95	314	24	8	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	3 teams	—	684	578	158	30	5	9	88	133	10	12	8	273	379	389	768	116	336	19	13	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	576	541	116	25	7	14	28	131	2	8	4	214	256	364	620	150	254	23	5	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	576	525	147	34	8	16	44	103	2	8	4	280	338	467	805	187	319	18	8	352	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	3 teams	—	582	513	107	20	2	20	66	145	1	2	0	209	300	372	672	164	249	25	11	297	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	3 teams	—	582	495	126	26	2	23	84	126	1	2	0	255	364	455	818	200	296	22	14	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	25	21	3	0	0	1	4	8	0	0	0	143	280	286	566	143	167	32	16	267	63	-1	+0	-1	-0	+1	-0.2
2020	25	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	25	21	3	0	0	1	4	8	0	0	0	143	280	286	566	143	167	32	16	267	63	-1	+0	-1	-0	+1	-0.2
2021	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	449	406	99	20	3	18	33	114	6	2	1	244	310	441	751	197	291	25	7	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	449	379	106	23	4	17	60	92	6	2	1	280	387	496	883	216	325	20	13	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA	2 teams	—	413	368	83	15	2	10	39	104	2	8	0	226	303	359	662	133	283	25	9	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA	2 teams	—	413	353	91	17	3	12	54	85	2	8	0	258	359	425	784	167	304	21	13	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	307	262	56	6	0	9	36	83	6	2	0	214	322	340	662	126	272	27	12	301	88	-4	+0	+2	+5	+9	1.3
2023	28	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	307	262	56	6	0	9	36	83	6	2	0	214	322	340	662	126	272	27	12	303	90	-3	+0	+2	+5	+9	1.4
2024	29	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	186	157	32	9	0	2	28	58	0	3	0	204	324	299	624	96	306	31	15	291	81	-4	+1	-2	+3	+5	0.3
2024	29	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	186	157	32	9	0	2	28	58	0	3	0	204	324	299	624	96	306	31	15	292	81	-4	+1	-2	+3	+5	0.3
2025	30	MLB	2 teams	—	255	214	44	9	1	2	35	60	4	1	1	206	328	285	613	79	275	24	14	281	73	-8	-0	+3	+5	+7	0.7
2025	30	MLB	2 teams	—	255	211	45	9	1	2	38	59	4	1	1	213	344	294	638	81	285	23	15	301	88	-3	-0	+3	+5	+7	1.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	AAA	BOS	—	170	150	27	4	1	3	14	31	4	1	1	180	268	280	548	100	205	18	8	244	45	-11	-0	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
YTD	31	AAA	BOS	—	170	144	29	5	1	3	20	26	4	1	1	201	315	312	628	111	224	15	12	290	80	-4	-0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
ROS	31	AAA	BOS	10%	113	97	22	4	0	2	13	26	2	1	0	226	329	329	658	103	277	23	11	300	88	-2	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.3
ROS	31	MLB	BOS	10%	11	10	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		283	27	9	293	82	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	31	AAA	BOS	—	181	160	29	4	1	3	15	34	4	1	1	181	268	275	543	94	210	19	8	247	47	-11	-0	-0	+3	+5	-0.3
TOT	31	AAA	BOS	—	283	247	49	8	1	5	27	57	6	2	1	198	293	299	592	101	235	20	10	266	62	-12	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	BOS	33%	242	209	46	8	0	4	27	57	4	2	1	220	321	316	637	96	279	24	11	296	84	-4	+0	-5	+4	+7	0.2
2028	33	MLB	BOS	46%	207	179	37	6	0	3	23	49	3	1	1	207	307	291	598	84	273	24	11	288	79	-5	-0	-6	+4	+6	-0.1
2029	34	MLB	BOS	41%	163	142	29	5	0	2	18	40	2	1	0	204	302	282	584	77	267	25	11	279	72	-5	+0	-6	+3	+5	-0.4
2027	32	MLB	BOS	33%	79	69	15	3	0	1	9	18	1	0	0	217	316	304	621	87	285	23	11	289	79	-2	+0	-2	+1	+2	0.0
2028	33	MLB	BOS	46%	95	83	18	3	0	2	11	23	1	0	0	217	316	325	641	108	280	24	12	282	74	-3	+0	-3	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	34	MLB	BOS	41%	67	59	12	2	0	1	7	16	1	0	0	203	299	288	587	85	273	24	10	273	67	-3	+0	-3	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1205	1033	218	37	1	27	153	331	12	7	1	211	320	327	647	116	280	27	13	297	86	-19	+1	-13	+27	+34	3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	557	119	20	1	15	83	179	6	4	1	214	322	334	656	120	284	28	13	297	86	-10	+0	-7	+14	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	4499	3991	888	167	22	100	424	1091	46	46	20	222	304	351	655	128	278	24	9	292	82	-92	+1	-24	+55	+127	7.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	128	24	3	14	61	158	7	7	3	222	304	347	651	125	278	24	9	292	82	-13	+0	-3	+8	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A	Burlington Bees	—	226	199	55	12	3	4	22	28	2	1	0	276	354	427	781	151	302	12	10	345	122	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.3
2016	21	ROK	Orem Owlz	—	71	65	22	7	1	2	4	4	2	2	4	338	394	569	964	231	339	6	6	421	180	+6	-1	—	—	+2	0.7
2017	22	AA	Mobile BayBears	—	221	178	52	14	0	1	37	50	2	4	3	292	419	388	807	96	389	23	17	366	138	+9	-0	—	—	+6	1.6
2017	22	A+	Inland Empire 66ers	—	385	336	89	13	4	8	40	59	7	4	3	265	355	399	754	134	299	15	10	340	118	+8	-0	—	—	+11	1.9
2017	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	78	64	17	3	1	0	11	24	1	4	2	266	382	344	725	78	405	31	14	329	110	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2018	23	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	400	368	102	24	6	10	28	68	1	6	3	277	330	457	786	179	314	17	7	344	122	+10	+0	—	—	+11	2.2
2018	23	AA	Mobile BayBears	—	176	157	45	10	2	6	16	35	1	2	1	287	356	490	847	204	331	20	9	369	140	+8	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2019	24	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	164	147	31	7	0	8	17	52	0	0	0	211	293	422	714	211	264	32	10	317	101	+0	+0	-5	+2	+5	0.2
2019	24	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	372	310	85	17	2	14	59	64	1	1	0	274	392	477	869	203	303	17	16	385	153	+22	+0	—	—	+11	3.4
2019	24	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	46	38	10	2	0	1	8	10	0	1	0	263	391	395	786	132	333	22	17	360	134	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2020	25	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	25	21	3	0	0	1	4	8	0	0	0	143	280	286	566	143	167	32	16	267	63	-1	+0	-1	-0	+1	-0.2
2021	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	449	379	106	23	4	17	60	92	6	2	1	280	387	496	883	216	325	20	13	387	154	+28	+0	—	—	+13	4.1
2022	27	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	81	69	15	1	0	2	11	24	0	1	0	217	325	319	644	101	295	30	14	296	85	-1	+0	-3	+7	+2	0.6
2022	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	332	284	76	16	3	10	43	61	2	7	0	268	368	451	818	183	306	18	13	362	135	+13	+1	—	—	+9	2.5
2023	28	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	307	262	56	6	0	9	36	83	6	2	0	214	322	340	662	126	272	27	12	303	90	-3	+0	+2	+5	+9	1.4
2024	29	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	186	157	32	9	0	2	28	58	0	3	0	204	324	299	624	96	306	31	15	292	81	-4	+1	-2	+3	+5	0.3
2025	30	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	190	156	34	6	1	1	29	46	3	1	1	218	351	288	640	71	300	24	15	302	89	-2	-0	+3	+5	+5	1.1
2025	30	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	65	55	11	3	0	1	9	13	1	0	0	200	323	309	632	109	244	20	14	297	85	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	953	812	171	29	1	23	125	271	9	7	1	211	322	334	656	123	282	28	13	301	89	-12	+1	-6	+22	+27	3.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	8	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
	/162	664	24	2	232	309	406	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
#3Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	1,197	27	8	214	319	331	+21	-5	3.7	3.6
	/162	664	15	5	214	319	331	+11.9	-2.7	2.0	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Thaiss (OGILVIE)	31	35	45	35	60	198/293/299	101	235	5	2	20%	10%	62	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Curt Casali 2019 · MLB	30	47	45→50	38→30	47	234/298/355	121	285	14	3	23%	7%	83	+0.6	239/320/398	159	300	19	5	26%	10%	105	+2.1	220/318/362	142	290	17	0	28%	11%	89	+0.4
✕Michael McKenry 2016 · MLB	31	46→47	49→55	43→40	53	230/316/381	151	281	16	8	24%	10%	98	+1.6	203/297/330	127	279	12	6	29%	11%	78	+0.2	175/277/284	109	247	10	2	31%	11%	55	-0.6
✕Henry Blanco 2003 · MLB	31	43	46→50	40	52	215/289/353	138	251	13	4	20%	9%	79	+0.3	213/271/346	133	236	14	3	16%	7%	70	-0.3	256/311/393	137	293	14	0	18%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Eric Munson 2009 · MLB	31	42→43	47→60	41→40	51	212/286/346	134	247	14	4	21%	9%	77	+0.1	218/296/366	148	262	17	4	23%	9%	86	+0.8	209/292/358	149	245	18	0	23%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2023 · MLB	31	44→43	51→50	39→30	52	225/307/380	155	281	19	2	27%	11%	95	+1.4	230/320/383	153	314	18	7	30%	11%	101	+1.8	216/328/374	158	307	19	5	32%	14%	99	+0.8
✕Dusty Brown 2012 · MLB	30	42	47→45	42→30	44	215/272/352	137	271	14	5	26%	7%	72	-0.2	218/293/379	161	275	18	6	26%	9%	88	+0.9	197/307/365	169	234	18	0	24%	13%	90	+0.3
✕Tony Cruz 2017 · MLB	30	46→38	42→45	42→40	45	226/279/328	102	284	9	5	23%	7%	68	-0.5	218/270/343	125	291	14	5	29%	6%	69	-0.4	214/267/333	119	287	14	0	30%	5%	63	-0.2
✕Beau Taylor 2020 · MLB	30	46→45	45	47→30	51	218/309/342	124	311	12	4	31%	11%	85	+0.7	206/291/315	109	302	11	4	32%	10%	71	-0.3	188/278/270	82	276	9	0	32%	9%	52	-0.6
✕Scott Moore 2015 · MLB	31	40→50	47→55	40→50	42	206/273/343	138	262	15	3	27%	6%	71	-0.3	197/262/314	117	275	12	8	31%	6%	58	-1.2	121/195/191	70	199	4	8	39%	7%	-2	-1.2
✕Steve Holm 2011 · MLB	31	46	43→50	39→40	46	224/288/339	115	274	9	4	21%	7%	76	+0.0	200/263/299	99	262	8	6	26%	7%	55	-1.4	148/210/191	43	209	2	0	28%	6%	3	-1.6
✕Bryan Holaday 2018 · MLB	30	45	47→45	36→40	42	228/272/367	139	262	15	3	20%	4%	76	+0.1	229/289/348	119	266	12	4	18%	6%	78	+0.2	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Paul Bako 2003 · MLB	31	48	43→45	41→40	53	231/303/341	111	279	10	4	20%	9%	82	+0.5	228/305/332	104	286	6	5	21%	10%	81	+0.4	220/295/308	88	296	9	0	27%	9%	62	-0.3
✕Koyie Hill 2010 · MLB	31	47→43	45	45→40	46	229/290/354	124	294	11	4	25%	8%	79	+0.3	211/265/307	96	282	8	5	26%	7%	56	-1.3	189/236/262	74	251	6	3	26%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Ryan Lavarnway 2019 · AAA	31	47→45	45→55	41→30	47	233/302/356	122	289	12	3	23%	7%	85	+0.7	231/295/386	155	286	19	4	25%	7%	91	+1.1	209/280/363	155	261	20	0	28%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Chad Moeller 2006 · MLB	31	43	47→50	42→30	46	221/278/357	136	260	15	3	22%	7%	76	+0.0	210/267/325	115	262	12	3	24%	6%	63	-0.8	206/258/306	100	258	8	0	23%	5%	51	-0.5
✕Landon Powell 2012 · MLB	30	43→41	44→50	47→30	52	216/291/324	108	267	12	5	23%	10%	72	-0.2	212/277/320	108	277	13	5	27%	8%	66	-0.6	215/271/307	92	271	13	0	25%	6%	60	-0.5
✕Dustin Garneau 2019 · MLB	31	37	47→50	39→45	44	194/256/327	132	239	15	4	26%	6%	59	-1.1	204/282/367	163	265	19	4	29%	8%	81	+0.4	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Ed Easley 2016 · AAA	30	48→42	41→45	37→40	47	231/289/331	100	276	9	4	20%	7%	73	-0.1	212/268/305	93	257	9	7	20%	6%	57	-1.2	165/218/197	32	195	5	0	18%	6%	8	-1.0
✕Elias Díaz 2023 · MLB	32	41→51	48→50	42→45	49	209/270/346	137	236	16	2	20%	7%	69	-0.4	234/289/360	126	284	14	2	22%	7%	81	+0.4	242/293/380	138	290	16	0	22%	6%	85	+0.3
✕Josh Phegley 2019 · MLB	31	44→47	46→60	44→40	45	219/281/356	137	266	12	4	23%	6%	77	+0.1	231/285/396	165	263	19	5	20%	6%	89	+1.0	239/286/414	175	261	22	0	18%	4%	93	+0.7