Tony Cruz

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1986-08-18

Age (2027)40

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2016	29	AAA/INTL2 orgs	380	.264/.350/.381	7	2	64	—	.219/.278/.309
2017	30	AAASD	185	.280/.342/.458	7	0	65	—	.214/.261/.341
2018	31	AAACIN	73	.188/.268/.344	3	0	30	—	.152/.211/.258
2018	31	MLBCIN	26	.154/.154/.308	1	0	17	-0.1
2019	32	No MLB games played
2020	33	No MLB games played
2021	34	No MLB games played
2022	35	No MLB games played
2023	36	No MLB games played
2024	37	No MLB games played
2025	38	No MLB games played
2026	39	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.1

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2018

Barrel%34

Speed20

xwOBA10

Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	20	A	Swing of the Quad Cities	—	216	195	55	10	1	5	17	25	1	3	1	282	343	421	763	138	298	12	8	337	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	ROK	Johnson City Cardinals	—	61	57	19	7	0	2	3	9	0	2	0	333	367	561	928	228	362	15	5	398	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	378	351	98	22	3	8	19	50	2	3	0	279	320	427	747	148	302	13	5	326	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	444	404	89	25	2	10	34	85	1	1	0	220	282	366	649	146	253	19	8	288	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	15	14	3	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	214	267	429	695	214	167	7	7	306	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	169	149	43	10	0	6	17	30	1	0	0	289	365	477	842	188	325	18	10	369	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	202	181	51	16	1	1	19	33	0	0	2	282	350	398	748	116	338	16	9	333	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	INTL	Surprise Rafters	—	84	76	26	3	0	3	7	14	0	0	0	342	398	500	898	158	383	17	8	394	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	72	65	17	5	0	0	6	13	1	0	1	262	333	338	672	77	327	18	8	308	87	-1	-0	+1	+4	+2	0.5
2011	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	164	149	39	5	1	4	11	31	1	0	1	262	317	389	706	128	304	19	7	311	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	131	126	32	9	1	1	3	19	0	0	1	254	271	365	636	111	287	15	2	277	72	-4	-0	+2	+2	+3	0.2
2013	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	129	123	25	6	1	1	4	25	2	0	0	203	240	293	533	89	247	19	3	241	45	-8	+0	+1	+2	+3	-0.3
2014	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	150	135	27	5	0	1	13	28	0	0	3	200	270	259	530	59	245	19	9	244	48	-9	-1	-6	+3	+3	-1.0
2015	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	151	142	29	7	1	2	6	32	0	0	0	204	236	310	546	106	248	21	4	239	48	-9	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.4
2016	29	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	363	318	84	18	0	7	41	74	1	2	1	264	350	387	737	123	321	20	11	332	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	17	15	4	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	267	353	267	620		400	29	12	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	185	168	47	9	0	7	12	43	4	0	0	280	342	458	801	179	336	23	6	354	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	26	26	4	1	0	1	0	11	0	0	0	154	154	308	462	154	214	42	0	199	17	-3	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.1
2018	31	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	73	64	12	1	0	3	7	19	0	0	0	188	268	344	611	156	205	26	10	269	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	659	617	134	33	3	6	32	128	3	0	5	217	259	310	569	92	263	19	5	254	58	-33	-2	-4	+16	+14	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	20	A MLE	Swing of the Quad Cities	—	216	200	49	8	1	4	12	34	1	3	1	245	291	355	646	110	269	16	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	ROK MLE	Johnson City Cardinals	—	61	59	15	5	0	2	1	13	0	2	0	254	267	441	707	186	292	21	2	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	378	356	89	21	2	7	14	71	2	3	0	250	282	379	661	129	283	19	4	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	444	415	82	22	2	8	23	104	1	1	0	198	241	318	560	120	238	23	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	15	14	3	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	214	267	429	695	214	155	7	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	169	156	38	8	0	5	10	36	1	0	0	244	293	391	684	147	281	21	6	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	202	186	46	16	1	1	14	48	0	0	2	247	300	360	660	113	320	24	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	72	66	17	5	0	0	5	13	1	0	1	258	319	333	653	76	327	18	7	296	87	-1	-0	+1	+4	+2	0.5
2011	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	164	152	35	4	1	3	8	41	1	0	1	230	273	329	602	99	287	25	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	131	126	32	9	1	1	3	19	0	0	1	254	271	365	636	111	287	15	2	275	72	-4	-0	+2	+2	+3	0.2
2013	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	129	124	25	6	1	1	3	25	2	0	0	202	233	290	523	89	247	19	2	234	45	-8	+0	+1	+2	+3	-0.3
2014	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	150	136	27	5	0	1	12	28	0	0	3	199	264	257	521	59	245	19	8	240	48	-9	-1	-6	+3	+3	-1.0
2015	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	151	142	29	7	1	2	6	32	0	0	0	204	236	310	546	106	248	21	4	240	48	-9	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.4
2016	29	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	363	333	73	15	0	5	26	92	1	2	1	219	278	309	587	90	279	25	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	185	173	37	7	0	5	7	55	4	0	0	214	261	341	602	127	281	30	4	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	26	26	4	1	0	1	0	11	0	0	0	154	154	308	462	154	214	42	0	194	17	-3	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.1
2018	31	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	73	66	10	1	0	2	5	24	0	0	0	152	211	258	469	106	173	33	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	277	259	64	13	1	6	13	47	1	5	1	247	286	375	660	127	276	17	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	277	252	74	17	1	7	20	34	1	5	1	294	348	452	800	159	312	12	7	350	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	378	356	89	21	2	7	14	71	2	3	0	250	282	379	661	129	290	19	4	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A+ RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	378	351	98	22	3	8	19	50	2	3	0	279	320	427	747	148	302	13	5	326	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	444	415	82	22	2	8	23	104	1	1	0	198	241	318	560	120	242	23	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	—	444	404	89	25	2	10	34	85	1	1	0	220	282	366	649	146	253	19	8	288	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	470	435	104	29	1	7	29	104	1	0	2	239	288	359	647	120	297	22	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	470	420	123	29	1	11	44	78	1	0	2	293	361	445	807	152	335	17	9	356	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	236	218	52	9	1	3	13	54	2	0	2	239	288	330	618	92	302	23	6	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	236	214	56	10	1	4	17	44	2	0	2	262	322	374	696	112	311	19	7	310	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	131	126	32	9	1	1	3	19	0	0	1	254	271	365	636	111	287	15	2	275	72	-4	-0	+2	+2	+3	0.2
2012	25	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	131	126	32	9	1	1	3	19	0	0	1	254	271	365	636	111	287	15	2	277	72	-4	-0	+2	+2	+3	0.2
2013	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	129	124	25	6	1	1	3	25	2	0	0	202	233	290	523	89	245	19	2	234	45	-8	+0	+1	+2	+3	-0.3
2013	26	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	129	123	25	6	1	1	4	25	2	0	0	203	240	293	533	89	247	19	3	241	45	-8	+0	+1	+2	+3	-0.3
2014	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	150	136	27	5	0	1	12	28	0	0	3	199	264	257	521	59	243	19	8	240	48	-9	-1	-6	+3	+3	-1.0
2014	27	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	150	135	27	5	0	1	13	28	0	0	3	200	270	259	530	59	245	19	9	244	48	-9	-1	-6	+3	+3	-1.0
2015	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	151	142	29	7	1	2	6	32	0	0	0	204	236	310	546	106	248	21	4	240	48	-9	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.4
2015	28	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	151	142	29	7	1	2	6	32	0	0	0	204	236	310	546	106	248	21	4	239	48	-9	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.4
2016	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	380	349	76	16	0	5	27	96	1	2	1	218	276	307	582	89	283	25	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	380	333	88	18	0	7	43	79	1	2	1	264	350	381	732	117	324	21	11	330	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	185	173	37	7	0	5	7	55	4	0	0	214	261	341	602	127	281	30	4	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	185	168	47	9	0	7	12	43	4	0	0	280	342	458	801	179	336	23	6	354	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	99	92	14	2	0	3	5	35	0	0	0	152	196	272	468	120	196	35	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	99	90	16	2	0	4	7	30	0	0	0	178	237	333	570	156	207	30	7	251	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	277	261	64	13	1	6	13	47	1	5	1	245	286	372	657	126	274	17	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	378	359	89	21	2	7	14	71	2	3	0	248	282	376	658	128	283	19	4	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	444	417	82	22	2	8	23	104	1	1	0	197	241	317	558	120	238	23	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	470	437	104	29	1	7	29	104	1	0	2	238	288	357	645	119	297	22	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	236	219	52	9	1	3	13	54	2	0	2	237	288	329	616	91	299	23	6	277	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	131	127	32	9	1	1	3	19	0	0	1	252	271	362	634	110	287	15	2	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	129	123	25	6	1	1	3	25	2	0	0	203	233	293	525	89	247	19	2	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	150	137	27	5	0	1	12	28	0	0	3	197	264	255	519	58	245	19	8	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	151	144	29	7	1	2	6	32	0	0	0	201	236	306	542	104	248	21	4	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	380	349	76	16	0	5	27	96	1	2	1	218	276	307	582	89	279	25	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	185	172	37	7	0	5	7	55	4	0	0	215	261	343	604	128	281	30	4	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	99	94	14	2	0	3	5	35	0	0	0	149	196	266	462	117	184	35	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	659	617	134	33	3	6	32	128	3	0	5	217	259	310	569	92	263	19	5	254	66	-33	-2	-4	+16	+14	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	609	133	33	3	6	32	126	3	0	5	218	261	312	573	94	265	19	5	254	66	-32	-2	-4	+16	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3030	2825	631	146	10	49	155	670	14	11	10	223	267	334	601	111	273	22	5	265	66	-33	-2	-4	+16	+14	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	606	135	31	2	11	33	144	3	2	2	223	266	335	601	112	272	22	5	265	66	-32	-2	-4	+16	+14	-0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2018 AAALouisville Bats · 73 PAwOBA .269 → .213 (−57)K% 26.0% → 32.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.03%	÷0.962	×1.200	—	—	32.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.59%	÷0.967	×0.690	—	×0.952	6.51%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.00%
Singles /BIP	17.78%	÷1.011	×0.930	×0.993	×0.952	15.45%
Doubles /BIP	2.22%	÷1.018	×0.830	×0.993	×0.952	1.71%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.001	×0.970	×0.993	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.67%	÷0.988	×0.840	—	×0.952	5.40%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 100, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .269 → .213; ISO .156 → .125; BABIP .205 → .173. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 185 PAwOBA .342 → .264 (−78)K% 23.2% → 29.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.24%	÷1.005	×1.290	—	—	29.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.41%	÷0.921	×0.710	—	×0.962	4.01%
HBP% /PA	2.16%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	2.04%
Singles /BIP	24.80%	÷1.040	×0.900	×1.035	×0.962	21.38%
Doubles /BIP	7.20%	÷0.983	×0.810	×1.035	×0.962	5.91%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.049	×0.810	×1.035	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.60%	÷1.087	×0.780	—	×0.962	3.86%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 108, 2B 97, 3B 110, K 101, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.

Result: wOBA .342 → .264; ISO .179 → .124; BABIP .336 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 363 PAwOBA .323 → .262 (−61)K% 20.4% → 25.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.39%	÷1.040	×1.290	—	—	25.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.47%	÷1.006	×0.710	—	×0.972	7.18%
HBP% /PA	0.28%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.26%
Singles /BIP	24.18%	÷0.968	×0.900	×0.984	×0.972	21.51%
Doubles /BIP	7.38%	÷0.929	×0.810	×0.984	×0.972	6.15%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.068	×0.810	×0.984	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.87%	÷1.054	×0.780	—	×0.972	2.06%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 94, 2B 86, 3B 114, K 108, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .323 → .262; ISO .123 → .095; BABIP .321 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 164 PAwOBA .305 → .268 (−37)K% 18.9% → 24.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.90%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	24.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.71%	÷1.008	×0.710	—	×1.033	4.88%
HBP% /PA	0.61%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.62%
Singles /BIP	24.58%	÷0.982	×0.900	×1.010	×1.033	23.50%
Doubles /BIP	4.24%	÷0.923	×0.810	×1.010	×1.033	3.88%
Triples /BIP	0.85%	÷0.999	×0.810	×1.010	×1.033	0.72%
Home runs /BIP	3.39%	÷0.893	×0.780	—	×1.033	3.06%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 100, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .305 → .268; ISO .128 → .111; BABIP .304 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 202 PAwOBA .327 → .284 (−43)K% 16.3% → 23.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.34%	÷0.978	×1.420	—	—	23.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.41%	÷1.045	×0.750	—	×0.988	6.67%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.988	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.30%	÷1.030	×0.920	×1.023	×0.988	20.13%
Doubles /BIP	10.81%	÷0.928	×0.960	×1.023	×0.988	11.30%
Triples /BIP	0.68%	÷0.934	×0.810	×1.023	×0.988	0.59%
Home runs /BIP	0.68%	÷0.984	×0.880	—	×0.988	0.60%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 106, 2B 86, 3B 87, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .327 → .284; ISO .116 → .111; BABIP .338 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AASpringfield Cardinals · 169 PAwOBA .355 → .295 (−60)K% 17.8% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.75%	÷1.009	×1.220	—	—	21.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.28%	÷1.024	×0.700	—	×1.012	5.73%
HBP% /PA	0.59%	—	×0.870	—	×1.012	0.52%
Singles /BIP	22.69%	÷1.026	×0.920	×0.996	×1.012	20.51%
Doubles /BIP	8.40%	÷1.051	×0.840	×0.996	×1.012	6.77%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.940	×0.996	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.04%	÷1.101	×0.800	—	×1.012	3.71%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 105, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 102, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .355 → .295; ISO .188 → .147; BABIP .325 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 15 PAwOBA .297 → .241 (−56)K% 6.7% → 8.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	6.67%	÷0.995	×1.290	—	—	8.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.67%	÷0.958	×0.710	—	×1.048	5.18%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.00%
Singles /BIP	15.38%	÷0.988	×0.900	—	×1.048	14.69%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.928	×0.810	—	×1.048	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	—	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷1.163	×0.780	—	×1.048	5.41%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 98, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 99, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .297 → .241; ISO .214 → .150; BABIP .167 → .155. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AASpringfield Cardinals · 444 PAwOBA .280 → .244 (−35)K% 19.1% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.14%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	23.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.21%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.027	5.18%
HBP% /PA	0.23%	—	×0.870	—	×1.027	0.20%
Singles /BIP	16.30%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.027	×1.027	15.82%
Doubles /BIP	7.84%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.027	×1.027	6.94%
Triples /BIP	0.63%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.027	×1.027	0.62%
Home runs /BIP	3.13%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.027	2.58%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .280 → .244; ISO .146 → .125; BABIP .253 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .