Josh VanMeter — OGILVIE

Josh VanMeter2B Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 31 L/R 5'10" / 198 lbs AAA HR +8% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 257 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .309 / .316

PA257

HR5

SB5

K%27

BB%13

ISO120

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2020-2022

CONTACT32

Whiff%

669.3%

xwOBA

280.283

POWER44

Barrel%

275.2

Avg EV

4688.9

EYE72

Chase%

9021.6%

SPEED41

Sprint

2226.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	+0.0	$0.0M	-$0.6M
Totals		$0.6M		$0.0M	-$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	AZL Padres	—	186	167	36	5	1	0	15	36	2	10	4	216	288	257	546	42	273	19	8	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	AZL Padres	—	186	158	44	7	2	0	24	25	2	10	4	278	380	348	729	70	328	13	13	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	458	431	79	15	0	2	24	129	1	8	4	183	228	232	460	49	257	28	5	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	458	421	107	24	0	3	34	87	1	8	4	254	311	333	644	78	314	19	7	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	109	100	20	3	0	0	9	17	0	1	1	200	266	230	496	30	241	16	8	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	109	96	24	4	0	0	13	12	0	1	1	250	339	292	631	42	286	11	12	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	3 teams	—	605	552	119	21	2	18	42	124	3	13	4	216	275	359	633	143	243	20	7	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	3 teams	—	605	522	132	26	3	15	72	101	3	13	4	253	347	400	747	148	285	17	12	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	538	501	105	25	1	3	28	134	1	15	3	210	253	281	534	72	275	25	5	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	538	475	121	29	1	5	53	100	1	15	3	255	330	352	682	97	308	19	10	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	483	444	95	28	5	10	34	118	0	10	5	214	270	367	637	153	266	24	7	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	483	427	111	35	6	12	51	92	0	10	5	260	339	454	793	194	304	19	11	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	471	420	106	22	2	21	42	104	5	17	6	252	328	464	792	212	285	22	9	340	118	+10	+1	-3	-5	+13	1.7
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	471	409	117	27	2	22	53	93	5	17	6	286	375	523	898	237	320	20	11	391	157	+30	+1	-3	-5	+13	3.8
2020	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	79	70	9	3	0	2	7	24	2	1	0	129	228	257	485	129	159	30	9	221	27	-6	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.5
2020	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	79	70	9	3	0	2	7	24	2	1	0	129	228	257	485	129	159	30	9	228	32	-6	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.4
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	401	347	79	21	2	14	50	109	1	4	2	228	327	421	747	193	286	27	12	330	111	+5	+0	-3	+1	+11	1.5
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	401	341	84	23	2	15	56	104	1	4	2	246	354	457	812	211	307	26	14	358	132	+15	+0	-3	+1	+11	2.5
2022	27	MLB	2 teams	—	230	205	37	7	2	4	23	57	0	4	1	180	263	293	556	112	226	25	10	249	48	-13	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.7
2022	27	MLB	2 teams	—	230	202	37	7	2	4	26	55	0	4	1	183	276	297	573	114	228	24	11	263	59	-11	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.4
2023	28	AAA	2 teams	—	210	173	33	3	1	6	34	59	2	2	1	191	330	324	654	133	248	28	16	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	2 teams	—	210	158	33	3	1	6	49	46	2	2	1	209	402	354	756	146	252	22	23	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	207	176	25	7	0	2	25	65	3	5	1	142	260	216	476	74	207	31	12	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	207	164	29	10	0	3	37	53	3	5	1	177	338	293	631	116	236	26	18	297	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	31	MLB	NYY	—	257	219	43	9	1	5	33	69	3	5	1	196	310	315	625	119	260	27	13	291	81	-6	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	NYY	27%	238	202	40	8	1	5	31	65	3	4	1	198	314	322	635	124	256	27	13	285	76	-6	+0	-4	+1	+7	-0.2
2027	32	MLB	NYY	27%	65	56	10	2	0	1	8	18	1	1	0	179	292	268	560	89	257	28	12	279	72	-2	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	906	799	163	40	5	20	96	226	6	18	5	204	294	342	636	138	256	25	11	289	79	-21	+2	-8	-2	+26	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	117	29	4	14	69	162	4	13	4	204	294	342	636	138	257	25	11	289	79	-15	+1	-6	-2	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	4472	4007	826	177	18	92	397	1110	26	99	34	206	282	328	610	122	259	25	9	272	66	-171	+6	-11	+9	+127	-4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	120	26	3	13	58	161	4	14	5	206	283	328	611	122	260	25	9	272	66	-25	+1	-2	+1	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	AZL Padres	—	186	158	44	7	2	0	24	25	2	10	4	278	380	348	729	70	328	13	13	334	114	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.9
2014	19	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	458	421	107	24	0	3	34	87	1	8	4	254	311	333	644	78	314	19	7	292	82	-9	+0	—	—	+13	0.4
2015	20	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	109	96	24	4	0	0	13	12	0	1	1	250	339	292	631	42	286	11	12	296	85	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2016	21	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	114	106	21	2	0	2	7	18	0	2	2	198	248	274	521	75	221	16	6	237	39	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2016	21	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	401	348	93	21	2	12	48	64	1	9	2	267	358	443	800	175	295	16	12	354	129	+13	+1	—	—	+11	2.6
2016	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	90	68	18	3	1	1	17	19	2	2	0	265	425	382	808	118	340	21	19	363	136	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2017	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	538	475	121	29	1	5	53	100	1	15	3	255	330	352	682	97	308	19	10	306	93	-5	+2	—	—	+15	1.3
2018	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	362	332	84	25	6	11	28	73	0	5	3	253	311	464	775	211	292	20	8	338	117	+7	-0	—	—	+10	1.7
2018	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	121	95	27	10	0	1	23	19	0	5	2	284	424	421	845	137	342	16	19	376	146	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2019	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	260	228	54	13	1	8	29	56	2	9	3	237	328	408	736	171	279	22	11	329	110	+3	+1	-3	-5	+7	0.3
2019	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	211	181	63	14	1	14	24	37	3	8	3	348	433	669	1.101	320	371	18	11	467	215	+27	+0	—	—	+6	3.5
2020	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	79	70	9	3	0	2	7	24	2	1	0	129	228	257	485	129	159	30	9	228	32	-6	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.4
2021	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	310	274	58	17	2	6	33	83	1	3	2	212	299	354	653	142	278	27	11	294	83	-6	-0	-3	+1	+9	0.1
2021	26	AAA	Reno Aces	—	91	67	26	6	0	9	23	21	0	1	0	388	544	881	1.425	493	447	23	25	576	299	+20	+0	—	—	+3	2.4
2022	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	192	171	32	5	2	3	19	45	0	4	0	187	268	292	561	105	232	23	10	256	54	-10	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.4
2022	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	38	31	5	2	0	1	7	10	0	0	1	161	316	323	638	161	200	26	18	298	87	-1	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	190	141	28	3	1	6	46	43	2	1	1	199	402	362	764	163	237	23	24	357	131	+7	-0	—	—	+5	1.2
2023	28	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	20	17	5	0	0	0	3	3	0	1	0	294	400	294	694		357	15	15	331	111	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	29	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	207	164	29	10	0	3	37	53	3	5	1	177	338	293	631	116	236	26	18	297	86	-3	+1	—	—	+6	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	841	743	153	38	5	19	88	208	5	17	5	206	294	347	641	141	257	25	10	290	80	-19	+1	-8	-3	+24	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	932	21	18	206	294	346	+3	-8	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	15	13	206	294	346	+2.4	-5.6	0.7	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh VanMeter (OGILVIE)	31	32	44	41	72	196/309/316	119	260	5	5	27%	13%	81	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Pérez 2023 · MLB	30	33	49→50	45→40	46	184/255/323	140	226	18	4	28%	8%	58	-1.2	193/267/322	129	258	16	4	30%	8%	63	-0.8	168/248/282	114	227	14	0	32%	8%	43	-0.9
✕Beau Taylor 2021 · MLB	31	43→45	45	48→30	50	209/302/333	124	303	12	5	32%	11%	80	+0.4	206/288/311	105	300	11	5	32%	9%	69	-0.4	188/278/270	82	276	9	0	32%	9%	52	-0.6
✕Landon Powell 2012 · MLB	30	43→41	44→50	47→30	52	216/291/324	108	267	12	5	23%	10%	72	-0.2	212/277/320	108	277	13	5	27%	8%	66	-0.6	215/271/307	92	271	13	0	25%	6%	60	-0.5
✕Eric Munson 2009 · MLB	31	42→43	47→60	41→40	51	212/286/346	134	247	14	4	21%	9%	77	+0.1	218/296/366	148	262	17	4	23%	9%	86	+0.8	209/292/358	149	245	18	0	23%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Henry Blanco 2003 · MLB	31	43	46→50	40	52	215/289/353	138	251	13	4	20%	9%	79	+0.3	213/271/346	133	236	14	3	16%	7%	70	-0.3	256/311/393	137	293	14	0	18%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Luke Carlin 2012 · MLB	31	44	42→45	45	51	212/294/311	99	274	10	6	25%	10%	71	-0.3	210/284/299	89	261	8	6	21%	9%	63	-0.8	201/278/282	81	246	7	4	20%	9%	53	-0.6
✕Mark Johnson 2007 · MLB	31	43	41→40	46→40	49	209/277/304	95	254	8	6	21%	8%	62	-0.9	239/316/316	77	277	6	5	15%	9%	81	+0.4	261/346/320	58	294	4	1	12%	11%	92	+0.5
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2023 · MLB	31	44→43	51→50	39→30	52	225/307/380	155	281	19	2	27%	11%	95	+1.4	230/320/383	153	314	18	7	30%	11%	101	+1.8	216/328/374	158	307	19	5	32%	14%	99	+0.8
✕Dustin Garneau 2019 · MLB	31	37	47→50	39→45	44	194/256/327	132	239	15	4	26%	6%	59	-1.1	204/282/367	163	265	19	4	29%	8%	81	+0.4	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Justin Leone 2007 · MLB	30	41	47→50	43→55	46	210/282/340	130	272	15	6	28%	8%	73	-0.1	204/283/350	146	267	16	16	29%	9%	77	+0.1	187/272/333	146	244	16	19	29%	10%	67	-0.4
✕Ryan Flaherty 2017 · MLB	31	43→45	46→55	51→45	48	218/290/343	126	277	13	5	26%	9%	78	+0.2	230/305/352	122	296	13	7	25%	9%	85	+0.7	224/293/354	130	292	15	4	27%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2013 · AAA	31	42	45→50	47→40	43	214/267/329	116	260	13	8	23%	6%	64	-0.8	230/280/357	127	295	15	7	26%	6%	76	+0.1	228/279/343	115	298	13	3	27%	6%	68	-0.2
✕Dusty Brown 2012 · MLB	30	42	47→45	42→30	44	215/272/352	137	271	14	5	26%	7%	72	-0.2	218/293/379	161	275	18	6	26%	9%	88	+0.9	197/307/365	169	234	18	0	24%	13%	90	+0.3
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2015 · AAA	31	43	44→45	41→45	40	212/276/324	112	293	12	7	31%	6%	66	-0.6	219/281/330	111	269	12	7	22%	6%	70	-0.3	208/282/286	78	242	9	0	17%	7%	60	-0.4
✕Johnny Monell 2016 · MLB	30	47→44	43→50	48→45	46	233/288/344	111	289	11	9	23%	7%	76	+0.1	228/277/347	119	287	13	6	24%	6%	72	-0.2	219/270/340	120	280	13	2	26%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Tony Cruz 2017 · MLB	30	46→38	42→45	42→40	45	226/279/328	102	284	9	5	23%	7%	68	-0.5	218/270/343	125	291	14	5	29%	6%	69	-0.4	214/267/333	119	287	14	0	30%	5%	63	-0.2
✕JD Closser 2009 · MLB	29	40	45→50	43→45	50	204/275/324	121	249	13	6	24%	9%	66	-0.6	212/270/298	86	269	8	7	23%	7%	56	-1.3	209/267/281	72	262	7	6	22%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Chris Owings 2023 · MLB	31	38→48	47→50	50→55	44	198/265/333	135	266	15	12	31%	8%	64	-0.8	203/276/336	133	297	16	11	35%	8%	70	-0.3	193/272/319	126	285	16	11	36%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Michael McKenry 2017 · MLB	32	43→47	47→55	44→40	53	212/308/356	143	280	14	7	28%	11%	89	+0.9	202/288/319	117	283	11	6	30%	10%	71	-0.3	165/262/251	86	237	7	0	31%	11%	42	-1.0
✕Taylor Motter 2021 · MLB	31	34→44	47→55	46→55	44	185/251/315	130	240	16	9	30%	8%	54	-1.4	225/300/405	180	277	22	6	26%	10%	98	+1.6	214/291/395	181	261	23	5	27%	9%	90	+0.6