Cody Asche
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 27 | AAACWS | 347 | .292/.398/.495 | 14 | 4 | 93 | — | .235/.313/.378 | |
| 2017 | 27 | MLBCWS | 62 | .105/.177/.175 | 1 | 0 | -7 | -1.5 | ||
| 2018 | 28 | AAALas Vegas 51s | 368 | .220/.304/.399 | 11 | 0 | 42 | — | .167/.228/.296 | |
| 2019 | 29 | AABOS | 91 | .208/.367/.292 | 1 | 3 | 49 | — | .167/.278/.231 | |
| 2020 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 22 | AA | Reading Phillies | — | 289 | 263 | 79 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 56 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 300 | 361 | 513 | 874 | 213 | 348 | 19 | 8 | 382 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 270 | 255 | 88 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 345 | 377 | 443 | 820 | 98 | 394 | 14 | 4 | 364 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 99 | 89 | 25 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 281 | 347 | 438 | 785 | 157 | 329 | 16 | 8 | 346 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 179 | 162 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 303 | 389 | 692 | 154 | 287 | 24 | 8 | 308 | 85 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 446 | 404 | 119 | 24 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 95 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 295 | 355 | 485 | 840 | 191 | 349 | 21 | 8 | 367 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 434 | 397 | 100 | 25 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 309 | 390 | 700 | 139 | 315 | 24 | 8 | 311 | 91 | -5 | -0 | -5 | +2 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 456 | 425 | 104 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 111 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 245 | 295 | 395 | 690 | 151 | 304 | 24 | 6 | 307 | 89 | -6 | -1 | -9 | -6 | +10 | -1.2 |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 67 | 61 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 295 | 358 | 393 | 752 | 98 | 333 | 13 | 9 | 340 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 218 | 197 | 42 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 213 | 286 | 350 | 636 | 137 | 271 | 25 | 8 | 286 | 79 | -5 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +5 | -0.9 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 123 | 111 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 279 | 350 | 514 | 863 | 234 | 316 | 21 | 9 | 378 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 312 | 535 | 188 | 111 | 33 | 11 | 243 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 19 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 211 | 333 | 544 | 167 | 182 | 32 | 5 | 241 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 62 | 57 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 177 | 175 | 353 | 70 | 143 | 34 | 5 | 170 | -7 | -8 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +1 | -1.5 |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 347 | 291 | 85 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 49 | 75 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 292 | 398 | 495 | 893 | 203 | 343 | 22 | 14 | 390 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 368 | 328 | 72 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 92 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 220 | 304 | 399 | 704 | 180 | 271 | 25 | 10 | 315 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 91 | 72 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 208 | 367 | 292 | 658 | 83 | 318 | 31 | 19 | 313 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1349 | 1238 | 290 | 71 | 4 | 32 | 95 | 331 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 234 | 294 | 376 | 669 | 141 | 294 | 25 | 7 | 299 | 88 | -19 | -1 | -19 | -13 | +29 | -2.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Phillies | — | 289 | 268 | 70 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 71 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 312 | 407 | 719 | 146 | 330 | 25 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 270 | 259 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 53 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 290 | 313 | 359 | 673 | 69 | 355 | 20 | 3 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 179 | 165 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 287 | 382 | 668 | 152 | 287 | 24 | 7 | 294 | 85 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 446 | 414 | 114 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 116 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 275 | 321 | 454 | 775 | 179 | 338 | 26 | 6 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 434 | 401 | 100 | 26 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 249 | 300 | 382 | 682 | 132 | 315 | 24 | 7 | 302 | 91 | -5 | -0 | -5 | +2 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 456 | 428 | 104 | 23 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 111 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 243 | 288 | 388 | 676 | 145 | 304 | 24 | 5 | 299 | 89 | -6 | -1 | -9 | -6 | +10 | -1.2 |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 67 | 63 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 313 | 349 | 663 | 79 | 308 | 16 | 6 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 218 | 197 | 42 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 213 | 286 | 350 | 636 | 137 | 271 | 25 | 8 | 286 | 79 | -5 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +5 | -0.9 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 123 | 114 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 285 | 412 | 697 | 184 | 278 | 25 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 167 | 294 | 461 | 176 | 102 | 44 | 6 | 152 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 19 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 158 | 278 | 436 | 167 | 161 | 47 | 5 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 62 | 58 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 161 | 172 | 334 | 69 | 143 | 34 | 3 | 158 | -7 | -8 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +1 | -1.5 |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 347 | 307 | 72 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 95 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 235 | 313 | 378 | 691 | 143 | 292 | 27 | 10 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 368 | 341 | 57 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 120 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 167 | 228 | 296 | 524 | 129 | 230 | 33 | 7 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 91 | 78 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 167 | 278 | 231 | 509 | 64 | 276 | 37 | 12 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 658 | 619 | 171 | 31 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 145 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 276 | 315 | 389 | 704 | 113 | 345 | 22 | 5 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 658 | 607 | 192 | 44 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 109 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 316 | 365 | 473 | 838 | 157 | 366 | 17 | 6 | 369 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 625 | 579 | 151 | 29 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 159 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 261 | 310 | 427 | 736 | 166 | 325 | 25 | 6 | 320 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 625 | 566 | 157 | 32 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 138 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 277 | 340 | 458 | 798 | 180 | 332 | 22 | 8 | 351 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 434 | 401 | 100 | 26 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 249 | 300 | 382 | 682 | 132 | 313 | 24 | 7 | 302 | 91 | -5 | -0 | -5 | +2 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 434 | 397 | 100 | 25 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 309 | 390 | 700 | 139 | 315 | 24 | 8 | 311 | 91 | -5 | -0 | -5 | +2 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 523 | 491 | 121 | 25 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 122 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 246 | 291 | 383 | 674 | 136 | 304 | 23 | 5 | 298 | 88 | -7 | -1 | -9 | -6 | +11 | -1.2 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 523 | 486 | 122 | 25 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 120 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 251 | 303 | 395 | 698 | 144 | 308 | 23 | 6 | 311 | 88 | -7 | -1 | -9 | -6 | +11 | -1.2 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB MLE | 4 teams | — | 378 | 346 | 72 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 28 | 101 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 208 | 273 | 358 | 632 | 150 | 263 | 27 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -11 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +8 | -1.0 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB RAW | 4 teams | — | 378 | 342 | 78 | 23 | 0 | 12 | 32 | 92 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 300 | 401 | 700 | 173 | 276 | 24 | 8 | 312 | 76 | -11 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +8 | -1.0 |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 409 | 365 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 116 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 214 | 290 | 345 | 635 | 132 | 276 | 28 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 409 | 348 | 91 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 52 | 96 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 261 | 364 | 443 | 806 | 181 | 314 | 23 | 13 | 357 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 368 | 341 | 57 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 120 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 167 | 228 | 296 | 524 | 129 | 230 | 33 | 7 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA RAW | Las Vegas 51s | — | 368 | 328 | 72 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 92 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 220 | 304 | 399 | 704 | 180 | 271 | 25 | 10 | 315 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 91 | 78 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 167 | 278 | 231 | 509 | 64 | 273 | 37 | 12 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 91 | 72 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 208 | 367 | 292 | 658 | 83 | 318 | 31 | 19 | 313 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 658 | 618 | 171 | 31 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 145 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 277 | 315 | 390 | 705 | 113 | 342 | 22 | 5 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 625 | 579 | 151 | 29 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 159 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 261 | 310 | 427 | 736 | 166 | 323 | 25 | 6 | 320 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 434 | 402 | 100 | 26 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 249 | 300 | 381 | 681 | 132 | 315 | 24 | 7 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 523 | 487 | 121 | 25 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 122 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 248 | 291 | 386 | 677 | 138 | 304 | 23 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB MLE | 4 teams | — | 378 | 344 | 72 | 22 | 0 | 10 | 28 | 101 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 209 | 273 | 360 | 634 | 151 | 260 | 27 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 409 | 367 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 116 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 213 | 290 | 343 | 633 | 131 | 269 | 28 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 368 | 338 | 57 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 120 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 169 | 228 | 299 | 527 | 130 | 230 | 33 | 7 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 91 | 79 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 165 | 278 | 228 | 506 | 63 | 276 | 37 | 12 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1349 | 1238 | 290 | 71 | 4 | 32 | 95 | 331 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 234 | 294 | 376 | 669 | 141 | 294 | 25 | 7 | 299 | 84 | -19 | -1 | -19 | -13 | +29 | -2.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 597 | 139 | 34 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 159 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 233 | 292 | 372 | 664 | 139 | 292 | 24 | 7 | 299 | 84 | -9 | -0 | -9 | -6 | +14 | -1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3486 | 3220 | 763 | 162 | 18 | 79 | 221 | 899 | 24 | 35 | 16 | 237 | 291 | 372 | 663 | 135 | 303 | 26 | 6 | 292 | 84 | -19 | -1 | -19 | -13 | +29 | -2.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 142 | 30 | 3 | 15 | 41 | 168 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 237 | 289 | 372 | 661 | 135 | 302 | 26 | 6 | 292 | 84 | -9 | -0 | -9 | -6 | +14 | -1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 91 PAwOBA .310 → .240 (−69)K% 30.8% → 37.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.77% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.68% | ÷0.997 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 12.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.958 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.958 | 22.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷1.158 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.958 | 4.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.953 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.958 | 1.78% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 132, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .310 → .240; ISO .083 → .063; BABIP .318 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAALas Vegas 51s · 368 PAwOBA .305 → .231 (−74)K% 25.0% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.986 | ×1.290 | — | — | 32.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.78% | ÷1.039 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 6.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.53% | ÷0.992 | ×0.900 | ×0.964 | ×0.992 | 14.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.63% | ÷0.918 | ×0.810 | ×0.964 | ×0.992 | 6.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷0.959 | ×0.810 | ×0.964 | ×0.992 | 1.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.66% | ÷1.009 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 3.58% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 84, 3B 92, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .305 → .231; ISO .180 → .134; BABIP .271 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAACharlotte Knights · 347 PAwOBA .385 → .306 (−79)K% 21.6% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.61% | ÷0.952 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.83% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.46% | ÷1.012 | ×0.930 | ×0.951 | ×1.003 | 22.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.94% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | ×1.003 | 5.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷1.077 | ×0.970 | ×0.951 | ×1.003 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.48% | ÷1.150 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 4.75% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 115, K 90, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .385 → .306; ISO .203 → .155; BABIP .343 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 123 PAwOBA .368 → .310 (−57)K% 21.1% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.14% | ÷1.018 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.94% | ÷1.035 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.930 | ×0.991 | ×1.018 | 18.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.41% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×0.991 | ×1.018 | 7.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.107 | ×0.970 | ×0.991 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.06% | ÷0.942 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 6.41% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 104, 3B 121, K 104, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .368 → .310; ISO .234 → .204; BABIP .316 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Clearwater Threshers · 19 PAwOBA .234 → .167 (−67)K% 31.6% → 45.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.58% | ÷0.986 | ×1.420 | — | — | 45.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.011 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.968 | 3.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 14.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.964 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 7.37% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .234 → .167; ISO .167 → .118; BABIP .182 → .161. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAReading Fightin Phils · 18 PAwOBA .237 → .152 (−85)K% 33.3% → 43.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.936 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.042 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 9.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.998 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.273 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 6.05% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 87, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .237 → .152; ISO .188 → .100; BABIP .111 → .102. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 67 PAwOBA .326 → .293 (−33)K% 13.4% → 15.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.43% | ÷1.019 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.46% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.92% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×1.033 | 26.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷1.314 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×1.033 | 3.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.92% | ÷0.845 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 1.98% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 98, 2B 163, 3B 84, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .326 → .293; ISO .098 → .084; BABIP .333 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 446 PAwOBA .360 → .330 (−30)K% 21.3% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.30% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.62% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.60% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×1.050 | 24.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.77% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×1.050 | 6.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.29% | ÷1.116 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | ×1.050 | 1.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.85% | ÷0.891 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 4.81% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 99, 2B 98, 3B 123, K 97, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .360 → .330; ISO .191 → .178; BABIP .349 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).