Leo De Vries — OGILVIE

Leo De VriesSS Midland RockHounds

Age 19 S/R 6'0" / 183 lbs AA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION345 act + 230 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .303 / .367

PA230

HR6

SB13

K%27

BB%8

BABIP298

ISO135

MLB%22%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.2	$16M	+$16M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.8	$19M	+$19M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.5	$22M	+$22M
2030	Arb-1	$8M	+3.8	$22M	+$17M
2031	Arb-2	$14M	+4.1	$22M	+$14M
2032	Arb-3	$22M	+4.3	$22M	+$10M
Totals		$46M		$125M	+$97M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	A	2 teams	—	438	377	63	16	2	13	46	137	11	16	2	167	276	324	600	156	216	31	11	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	A	2 teams	—	438	366	83	25	3	13	57	105	11	16	2	227	348	418	766	191	278	24	13	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A+	2 teams	—	536	480	84	16	5	14	41	152	8	11	8	175	251	317	568	142	219	28	8	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A+	2 teams	—	536	455	116	28	8	15	66	107	8	11	8	255	359	451	810	196	298	20	12	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	AA	OAK	—	345	312	77	12	0	10	26	98	5	31	5	247	315	381	696	135	325	28	8	304	91	-4	+4	+0	+4	+10	1.4
YTD	19	AA	OAK	—	345	297	85	14	0	11	39	76	5	31	5	286	376	444	821	158	349	22	11	365	138	+15	+4	+0	+4	+10	3.3
ROS	19	AA	OAK	22%	230	207	48	8	1	6	18	61	3	13	3	232	303	367	670	135	297	27	8	304	91	-2	+1	-0	+2	+7	0.8
ROS	19	MLB	OAK	22%	51	46	10	2	0	1	4	14	1	3	1	217	294	326	620	109	295	27	8	292	81	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.1
FULL	19	AA	OAK	—	396	358	87	14	0	11	30	112	6	34	6	243	312	374	686	131	321	28	8	302	90	-5	+4	-0	+4	+11	1.5
TOT	19	AA	OAK	—	575	519	125	20	1	16	44	159	8	44	8	241	310	376	686	135	314	28	8	304	91	-6	+6	-0	+6	+16	2.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	OAK	68%	575	517	123	21	2	17	45	150	8	23	5	238	309	385	694	147	301	26	8	311	96	-2	+3	-1	+6	+16	2.2
2028	21	MLB	OAK	81%	597	536	131	22	2	20	48	151	8	22	5	244	316	405	721	160	302	25	8	322	105	+3	+2	-1	+6	+17	2.8
2029	22	MLB	OAK	85%	615	551	138	23	3	22	50	151	9	21	4	250	323	423	746	172	303	25	8	331	112	+8	+3	-1	+7	+17	3.5
2030	23	MLB	OAK	86%	627	561	143	24	3	24	52	150	9	19	4	255	328	437	765	182	304	24	8	338	117	+12	+2	-1	+7	+18	3.8
2031	24	MLB	OAK	85%	634	566	146	24	3	25	54	150	9	18	4	258	332	443	776	186	305	24	9	342	120	+14	+2	-1	+7	+18	4.1
2032	25	MLB	OAK	84%	639	570	148	24	3	26	55	150	9	18	4	260	334	449	784	189	305	23	9	345	122	+16	+2	-1	+7	+18	4.3
2033	26	MLB	OAK	84%	642	572	148	24	3	26	56	150	9	17	4	259	334	448	782	189	305	23	9	346	123	+17	+2	-1	+7	+18	4.3
2034	27	MLB	OAK	82%	639	569	147	24	3	26	56	150	9	16	3	258	334	448	783	190	305	23	9	346	123	+17	+2	-1	+7	+18	4.3
2035	28	MLB	OAK	82%	633	563	145	24	2	26	56	149	9	15	3	258	334	446	780	188	304	24	9	345	122	+16	+2	-2	+7	+18	4.2
2036	29	MLB	OAK	79%	621	552	141	23	2	25	55	148	9	13	3	255	333	440	773	185	304	24	9	343	121	+15	+1	-2	+7	+18	3.9
2037	30	MLB	OAK	78%	610	542	138	23	2	24	54	147	9	12	3	255	332	437	770	183	303	24	9	341	119	+13	+1	-3	+7	+17	3.6
2038	31	MLB	OAK	78%	595	529	133	22	2	23	53	145	8	11	2	251	329	431	760	180	301	24	9	337	116	+11	+1	-4	+6	+17	3.2
2039	32	MLB	OAK	78%	577	513	127	20	2	22	51	143	8	9	2	248	325	423	748	175	298	25	9	332	112	+8	+1	-4	+6	+16	2.8
2040	33	MLB	OAK	77%	547	487	118	18	2	20	48	138	7	8	2	242	319	411	730	168	295	25	9	325	107	+4	+1	-5	+6	+15	2.2
2041	34	MLB	OAK	73%	499	445	105	16	2	17	44	129	7	6	1	236	315	396	710	160	289	26	9	316	100	+0	+1	-6	+5	+14	1.5
2042	35	MLB	OAK	68%	443	396	90	13	1	15	38	118	6	5	1	227	305	379	683	152	283	27	9	306	92	-4	+1	-6	+5	+13	0.8
2043	36	MLB	OAK	59%	382	341	75	10	1	12	33	105	5	4	1	220	298	361	659	141	277	27	9	295	84	-7	+0	-7	+4	+11	0.2
2044	37	MLB	OAK	50%	316	283	60	8	1	9	26	89	4	3	1	212	288	343	630	131	271	28	8	284	75	-9	+0	-7	+3	+9	-0.4
2045	38	MLB	OAK	36%	247	222	45	5	1	6	20	71	3	2	0	203	278	315	593	113	264	29	8	272	66	-9	+0	-8	+3	+7	-0.8
2027	20	MLB	OAK	68%	392	353	84	14	2	11	31	102	5	16	3	238	308	382	691	144	299	26	8	298	87	-6	+2	-1	+4	+11	1.1
2028	21	MLB	OAK	81%	484	435	106	18	2	16	39	122	7	18	4	244	316	405	721	161	299	25	8	309	94	-3	+2	-1	+5	+14	1.7
2029	22	MLB	OAK	85%	522	467	116	19	2	19	43	128	7	17	4	248	321	420	741	171	300	25	8	317	101	+1	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.3
2030	23	MLB	OAK	86%	538	480	121	20	2	20	45	129	8	17	4	252	326	427	754	175	301	24	8	324	106	+4	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.6
2031	24	MLB	OAK	85%	537	479	122	20	2	21	45	127	8	16	3	255	329	436	765	182	302	24	8	328	109	+6	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.8
2032	25	MLB	OAK	84%	538	479	122	20	2	21	46	126	8	15	3	255	330	436	767	182	302	23	9	331	111	+7	+2	-1	+6	+15	2.9
2033	26	MLB	OAK	84%	540	480	123	20	2	22	47	126	8	14	3	256	333	444	776	188	302	23	9	332	112	+7	+2	-1	+6	+15	3.0
2034	27	MLB	OAK	82%	526	467	120	20	2	21	46	123	8	13	3	257	334	443	777	186	302	23	9	332	112	+7	+1	-1	+6	+15	2.9
2035	28	MLB	OAK	82%	517	459	118	19	2	21	46	122	7	12	3	257	334	444	778	187	302	24	9	331	112	+7	+1	-1	+6	+15	2.7
2036	29	MLB	OAK	79%	493	439	111	18	2	19	44	117	7	11	2	253	331	433	763	180	301	24	9	329	110	+6	+1	-2	+5	+14	2.5
2037	30	MLB	OAK	78%	478	425	108	17	2	19	43	115	7	9	2	254	333	438	770	184	300	24	9	327	108	+5	+1	-2	+5	+14	2.2
2038	31	MLB	OAK	78%	463	413	104	17	2	18	41	113	6	8	2	252	328	433	762	182	299	24	9	323	106	+3	+1	-3	+5	+13	1.9
2039	32	MLB	OAK	78%	447	398	97	15	1	17	40	111	6	7	2	244	322	415	737	171	296	25	9	318	102	+1	+1	-3	+5	+13	1.6
2040	33	MLB	OAK	77%	423	377	90	14	1	15	37	107	6	6	1	239	317	401	717	162	292	25	9	312	97	-2	+1	-4	+5	+12	1.2
2041	34	MLB	OAK	73%	364	324	75	11	1	12	32	94	5	4	1	231	310	383	693	151	287	26	9	303	90	-4	+0	-4	+4	+10	0.7
2042	35	MLB	OAK	68%	303	270	62	9	1	10	26	81	4	3	1	230	307	381	688	152	281	27	9	294	83	-6	+0	-4	+3	+9	0.2
2043	36	MLB	OAK	59%	227	203	45	6	1	7	19	62	3	2	0	222	298	365	662	143	275	27	8	283	75	-6	+0	-4	+2	+6	-0.1
2044	37	MLB	OAK	50%	159	143	29	4	0	4	13	45	2	1	0	203	278	315	593	112	268	28	8	272	66	-6	+0	-4	+2	+5	-0.3
2045	38	MLB	OAK	36%	90	82	16	2	0	2	7	26	1	1	0	195	267	293	559	98	262	29	8	261	58	-4	+0	-3	+1	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	8092	7219	1779	285	29	296	694	1990	114	193	42	246	322	417	739	171	298	25	9	318	102	+14	+22	-40	+87	+229	31.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	143	23	2	24	56	160	9	16	3	247	322	417	740	171	298	25	9	318	102	+1	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.6
Career	—			—	11642	10379	2496	408	48	418	999	2934	167	282	65	240	317	410	727	169	293	25	9	323	105	+68	+30	-61	+125	+330	50.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	140	23	3	23	56	164	9	16	4	242	318	411	729	169	296	25	9	323	105	+4	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	360	299	71	22	3	11	50	84	9	13	2	237	363	441	805	204	291	23	14	359	133	+13	+2	—	—	+10	2.6
2024	17	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	78	67	12	3	0	2	7	21	2	3	0	179	276	313	590	134	217	27	9	265	61	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	18	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	103	89	25	7	1	5	10	20	2	2	1	281	366	551	917	270	303	19	10	391	158	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2025	18	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	433	366	91	21	7	10	56	87	6	9	7	249	357	426	784	178	297	20	13	348	124	+12	-1	—	—	+12	2.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	14	8,111	303	192	250	322	425	+77	+8	43.6	34.1
	/162	664	25	16	250	322	425	+6.3	+0.6	3.6	pk7: 25
#1Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	11	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.3	32.4
	/162	664	26	6	251	321	442	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29
#2Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	15	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
	/162	664	17	8	266	329	423	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#3Jason Variteklast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA	12	5,047	166	22	255	343	431	+61	+15	33.1	30.8
	/162	664	22	3	255	343	431	+8.0	+1.9	4.4	pk7: 28
#4Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	8	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
	/162	664	26	14	245	326	442	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#5Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	10	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
	/162	664	29	10	242	319	448	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#6Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	11	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	24.9
	/162	664	20	20	263	315	427	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leo De Vries (OGILVIE)	19	44→57	48→56	53	55	241/310/376	135	314	16	44	28%	8%	91	+2.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Aaron Hicks 2009 · A	19	48→57	42→55	55	47	231/289/340	110	295	8	12	24%	8%	76	+0.0	218/293/325	107	304	7	12	28%	10%	73	-0.1	242/354/440	197	274	25	11	21%	14%	127	+2.4
★Jurickson Profar 2012 · A	19	49→56	45→60	53→50	49	235/301/381	146	277	8	14	18%	7%	92	+1.2	236/298/364	128	281	11	11	19%	7%	85	+0.7	261/352/423	162	290	17	5	16%	11%	121	+3.3
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	40→50	49→60	50→55	37	208/257/357	149	297	17	12	35%	6%	67	-0.5	252/297/423	171	319	19	23	26%	6%	101	+1.8	273/321/471	198	320	23	21	22%	6%	120	+2.5
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	82	+0.5	219/304/418	199	291	25	6	32%	9%	104	+2.0	270/324/464	194	313	25	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	47→54	51→70	53→45	44	241/296/396	154	287	21	10	24%	6%	94	+1.3	260/305/454	194	304	27	6	24%	6%	113	+2.6	260/323/512	251	270	38	5	20%	8%	130	+3.2
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	50→60	47→60	53→55	40	246/288/387	141	326	13	8	28%	6%	87	+0.8	265/310/419	154	331	14	17	23%	6%	105	+2.1	295/336/472	177	344	22	13	20%	5%	128	+4.1
●Wander Franco 2019 · A	18	51→57	49→55	49→55	50	256/306/410	154	268	17	5	12%	6%	101	+1.8	263/317/396	133	286	11	9	12%	7%	101	+1.8	277/337/454	176	296	17	20	12%	8%	121	+2.4
✕Adael Amador 2023 · A	20	51→54	47→50	46→55	54	253/334/387	134	294	15	14	19%	10%	107	+2.2	226/297/361	135	263	16	21	20%	8%	85	+0.7	207/280/337	129	240	15	25	21%	8%	68	-0.4
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	47→53	45→50	55	52	228/311/364	135	289	10	21	23%	10%	92	+1.2	235/322/388	153	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.9	232/325/392	160	298	16	24	26%	10%	101	+1.1
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A	20	45→55	46→60	54→50	43	223/277/358	134	288	13	16	27%	6%	76	+0.0	227/293/391	164	273	19	14	24%	8%	91	+1.1	241/308/459	219	314	28	3	32%	8%	113	+2.0
●B.J. Upton 2005 · MLB	20	51→60	48→60	52→60	48	249/316/400	151	317	15	13	26%	8%	103	+1.9	261/331/403	142	333	14	32	24%	9%	109	+2.4	265/358/417	152	341	15	35	24%	12%	120	+3.2
●Eddie Rosario 2012 · A	20	46→56	54→60	55→50	41	241/281/417	177	291	22	16	26%	6%	93	+1.3	247/285/390	143	309	14	10	24%	5%	86	+0.8	280/315/487	207	298	28	7	17%	5%	122	+3.2
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	78	+0.2	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Edwin Arroyo 2023 · A	19	46→56	49→45	54→50	40	226/290/376	150	320	16	14	33%	7%	86	+0.8	226/278/351	125	308	11	16	29%	6%	74	-0.1	241/289/358	117	311	10	15	25%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	221/266/338	118	283	11	8	26%	5%	66	-0.6	238/283/344	106	294	10	4	22%	5%	73	-0.1	256/302/428	172	302	17	1	21%	5%	103	+1.0
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A	20	47→57	44→60	53→60	47	224/318/346	122	316	10	16	30%	9%	91	+1.1	226/282/366	140	328	14	22	34%	5%	80	+0.4	280/327/492	212	333	28	17	24%	5%	128	+2.7
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
●Adam Jones 2006 · AA	20	51→55	47→60	48→50	43	251/307/395	144	323	14	10	26%	6%	98	+1.6	245/294/397	152	311	16	12	26%	5%	92	+1.2	273/312/463	190	303	25	11	19%	4%	115	+3.2
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→49	43→60	54→55	44	208/271/317	109	280	11	13	29%	7%	63	-0.9	191/252/319	128	296	13	13	38%	7%	56	-1.3	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3
●Brett Lawrie 2010 · AA	20	45→55	45→55	47→55	43	227/277/351	125	282	13	12	24%	6%	73	-0.1	254/304/410	156	312	12	18	22%	6%	100	+1.7	265/317/429	165	317	13	20	20%	6%	106	+2.0