Leo De Vries — OGILVIE

Leo De VriesSS Midland RockHounds

Age 20 S/R 6'0" / 183 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†95

AVG/OBP/SLG.244 / .316 / .394

PA70

HR2

K%23

BB%9

BABIP299

ISO143

MLB%22%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$80M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$9M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$14M	+$14M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.7	$18M	+$17M
2031	Arb-1	$8M	+3.0	$20M	+$15M
2032	Arb-2	$14M	+3.2	$21M	+$12M
2033	Arb-3	$21M	+3.2	$19M	+$8M
Totals		$46M		$102M	+$75M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	360	299	71	22	3	11	50	84	9	13	2	237	363	441	805	204	291	23	14	359	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	78	67	12	3	0	2	7	21	2	3	0	179	276	313	590	134	217	27	9	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	103	89	25	7	1	5	10	20	2	2	1	281	366	551	917	270	303	19	10	391	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	433	366	91	21	7	10	56	87	6	9	7	249	357	426	784	178	297	20	13	348	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	428	369	107	21	1	13	49	91	5	34	5	290	379	458	837	168	351	21	11	371	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	360	312	55	15	2	9	37	114	9	13	2	176	282	324	606	147	240	32	10	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	103	93	21	5	1	4	6	25	2	2	1	226	287	430	717	204	252	24	6	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	433	383	72	14	5	9	39	114	6	9	7	188	273	321	595	133	235	26	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	428	386	100	19	1	11	34	111	5	34	5	259	327	399	726	140	329	26	8	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	A MLE	2 teams	—	438	377	68	19	3	11	46	139	11	16	2	180	288	334	622	154	247	32	11	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	A RAW	2 teams	—	438	366	83	25	3	13	57	105	11	16	2	227	348	418	766	191	278	24	13	342	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	536	476	94	19	6	13	45	139	8	11	8	197	278	345	622	147	245	26	8	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	536	455	116	28	8	15	66	107	8	11	8	255	359	451	810	196	298	20	12	356	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	428	386	100	19	1	11	34	111	5	34	5	259	327	399	726	140	333	26	8	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	—	428	369	107	21	1	13	49	91	5	34	5	290	379	458	837	168	351	21	11	371	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	A MLE	2 teams	—	438	378	68	19	3	11	46	139	11	16	2	180	288	333	621	153	240	32	11	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	536	478	94	19	6	13	45	139	8	11	8	197	278	343	621	146	238	26	8	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	428	386	100	19	1	11	34	111	5	34	5	259	327	399	726	140	329	26	8	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	A MLE	2 teams	—	438	378	68	19	3	11	46	139	11	16	2	180	288	333	621	153	240	32	11	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	536	478	94	19	6	13	45	139	8	11	8	197	278	343	621	146	238	26	8	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	428	386	100	19	1	11	34	111	5	34	5	259	327	399	726	140	329	26	8	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	OAK	22%	538	483	115	23	3	14	44	125	6	17	4	237	310	383	693	146	289	23	8	309	95	-3	+2	-1	+6	+12	1.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	20	MLB CTX	OAK	22%	70	63	15	3	0	2	6	16	1	2	1	244	316	394	710	150	299	23	9	316	95	-0	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	OAK	68%	552	494	118	23	3	15	46	126	7	18	4	241	315	395	709	154	290	23	8	316	100	-0	+2	-0	+6	+12	2.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	OAK	81%	570	509	125	24	3	18	49	126	7	18	4	247	322	416	738	169	292	22	9	327	108	+5	+2	+0	+6	+12	2.6
2030	23	MLB MLE	OAK	85%	602	537	136	26	4	21	52	131	8	18	4	252	326	431	757	179	292	22	9	335	113	+9	+2	+1	+6	+13	3.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	OAK	84%	625	557	142	27	4	23	55	134	8	18	4	254	330	439	769	185	293	21	9	339	116	+12	+2	+1	+7	+14	3.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	OAK	84%	633	564	145	27	4	24	56	136	8	17	4	255	331	443	774	188	294	21	9	341	117	+13	+2	+1	+7	+14	3.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	OAK	84%	638	568	145	27	4	24	57	137	8	16	4	256	331	444	775	189	293	21	9	342	117	+13	+2	+1	+7	+14	3.8
2034	27	MLB MLE	OAK	82%	637	567	145	27	4	24	57	137	8	15	4	255	330	442	772	187	293	22	9	340	117	+13	+1	+1	+7	+14	3.7
2035	28	MLB MLE	OAK	82%	631	563	143	27	4	23	56	137	7	13	3	253	328	437	766	184	292	22	9	338	115	+11	+1	+1	+7	+14	3.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	OAK	79%	620	553	138	26	3	22	55	137	7	11	3	251	326	431	757	181	291	22	9	335	113	+9	+1	-0	+7	+13	3.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	OAK	78%	609	544	134	25	3	21	53	136	7	9	3	248	323	424	746	176	290	22	9	330	110	+7	+1	-1	+7	+13	2.7
2038	31	MLB MLE	OAK	78%	595	533	130	24	3	20	51	135	6	6	3	244	318	414	732	170	287	23	9	325	106	+4	+0	-2	+6	+13	2.2
2039	32	MLB MLE	OAK	78%	576	516	123	22	3	19	49	134	6	3	4	239	312	402	714	163	284	23	9	317	101	+0	-1	-2	+6	+12	1.6
2040	33	MLB MLE	OAK	77%	547	491	115	20	3	17	46	130	5	4	5	232	304	386	691	154	279	24	8	308	94	-4	-1	-3	+6	+12	1.0
2041	34	MLB MLE	OAK	73%	499	451	100	17	2	14	41	122	4	2	13	224	295	368	663	144	273	24	8	296	87	-8	-5	-4	+5	+11	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	OAK	68%	376	337	83	18	2	10	31	86	5	12	3	248	321	406	726	158	301	23	8	323	100	-0	+1	-0	+4	+8	1.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	OAK	81%	462	414	106	22	3	15	39	102	6	15	3	254	328	427	755	173	302	22	8	334	108	+4	+2	+0	+5	+10	2.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	OAK	85%	511	456	117	24	3	17	44	111	6	16	3	258	333	441	774	183	303	22	9	341	113	+8	+2	+1	+5	+11	2.7
2031	24	MLB CTX	OAK	84%	527	469	122	25	3	19	46	113	7	15	3	261	336	450	785	188	304	21	9	346	116	+10	+2	+1	+6	+11	3.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	OAK	84%	532	473	124	25	3	20	47	114	7	15	3	262	337	454	790	191	304	21	9	348	117	+11	+2	+1	+6	+12	3.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	OAK	84%	536	477	125	25	3	20	47	115	7	14	3	262	337	454	791	192	304	21	9	348	117	+11	+2	+1	+6	+12	3.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	OAK	82%	524	466	122	25	3	19	47	113	6	13	3	261	336	452	788	191	303	22	9	347	117	+10	+1	+1	+6	+11	3.0
2035	28	MLB CTX	OAK	82%	515	458	119	24	3	19	46	112	6	11	3	259	334	447	782	188	302	22	9	344	115	+9	+1	+0	+6	+11	2.8
2036	29	MLB CTX	OAK	79%	493	441	113	23	3	17	43	109	6	9	2	257	332	441	773	184	301	22	9	341	113	+7	+1	-0	+5	+11	2.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	OAK	78%	477	427	108	22	3	16	42	107	5	7	2	254	328	434	762	179	300	22	9	337	110	+5	+1	-1	+5	+10	2.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	OAK	78%	463	415	104	21	3	15	40	105	5	4	2	250	324	424	748	174	297	23	9	331	106	+3	+0	-1	+5	+10	1.7
2039	32	MLB CTX	OAK	78%	447	401	98	20	2	14	38	104	5	3	3	245	318	411	729	166	293	23	9	323	101	+0	-1	-2	+5	+10	1.3
2040	33	MLB CTX	OAK	77%	423	381	91	18	2	13	35	101	4	3	4	238	310	395	705	157	288	24	8	314	94	-3	-1	-2	+5	+9	0.8
2041	34	MLB CTX	OAK	73%	364	328	75	14	2	10	30	89	3	1	10	230	300	376	676	146	282	24	8	302	87	-6	-4	-3	+4	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6650	5943	1507	306	38	224	575	1481	78	138	47	254	327	431	758	177	300	22	9	336	104	+71	+9	-4	+71	+144	29.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	148	30	4	22	56	145	8	13	5	255	329	434	762	179	302	22	9	336	104	+7	+1	-0	+7	+14	2.9
Career	—	MLE		—	10056	8973	2168	412	59	328	874	2321	124	239	79	242	318	410	728	169	288	23	9	322	104	+83	+10	-7	+93	+188	37.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	140	27	4	21	56	150	8	15	5	241	317	410	727	169	288	23	9	322	104	+6	+1	-1	+7	+14	2.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	9.3	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.4	32.4
/162	664	26	6	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29
#2Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	11.1	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
/162	664	17	8	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#3Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	8.3	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
/162	664	28	3	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	10.1	6,720	232	139	248	319	423	+69	+5	33.5	27.8
/162	664	23	14	+6.9	+0.5	3.3	pk7: 22
#4Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	7.4	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
/162	664	26	14	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#5Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	7.4	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
/162	664	29	10	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#6Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	9.0	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	25.0
/162	664	20	20	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leo De Vries (OGILVIE)	20	50→57	50→57	53	56	235/307/380	145	289	8	10	23%	8%	95	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adael Amador 2024 · AA	21	52→56	48→50	49→55	54	257/333/399	142	291	15	16	17%	9%	109	+2.0	235/310/364	129	275	14	21	19%	9%	92	+0.7	231/310/357	126	266	13	22	18%	9%	88	+0.4
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	48→55	46→50	55	52	233/315/374	141	290	12	21	23%	10%	96	+1.0	239/326/389	150	309	14	21	25%	10%	103	+1.6	237/330/391	154	306	15	24	25%	10%	104	+0.9
●Jackson Chourio 2024 · AAA	20	48→57	50→60	56→55	41	243/288/398	155	310	17	24	27%	6%	91	+0.7	267/311/444	177	322	20	22	23%	6%	111	+2.1	275/322/461	186	325	22	23	22%	6%	120	+2.7
●Jackson Merrill 2024 · AA	21	51→57	47→60	51→50	45	253/296/391	138	291	15	12	19%	6%	93	+0.8	269/311/450	181	310	20	13	20%	6%	112	+2.2	269/313/462	193	313	22	15	21%	6%	117	+2.5
●Colby Rasmus 2008 · AA	21	45→54	53→65	54→50	47	233/303/412	180	281	20	15	25%	8%	101	+1.4	238/304/402	164	285	19	12	23%	8%	99	+1.2	243/309/466	223	315	29	3	32%	8%	116	+1.9
✕Alen Hanson 2013 · A	20	49→53	46→50	56→60	45	241/296/389	148	299	11	20	23%	7%	92	+0.7	244/285/377	133	308	10	22	23%	5%	84	+0.2	253/288/390	138	302	12	30	20%	4%	87	+0.3
●Jurickson Profar 2013 · MLB	20	51→55	46→55	54→50	50	250/313/396	146	289	11	13	18%	8%	100	+1.3	235/300/356	121	284	12	10	20%	8%	86	+0.3	259/353/423	164	286	18	7	16%	11%	123	+2.7
●B.J. Upton 2005 · MLB	20	51→60	48→60	52→60	48	249/316/400	151	316	15	13	25%	8%	103	+1.5	268/339/415	147	343	15	32	24%	9%	114	+2.3	264/354/415	151	338	15	35	24%	12%	120	+2.9
●Luke Keaschall 2024 · A	21	49→58	44→45	56→55	46	237/309/366	129	311	10	16	26%	8%	92	+0.7	257/344/386	129	308	12	23	20%	9%	110	+2.1	267/360/392	125	312	12	25	17%	9%	117	+2.0
✕Addison Russell 2015 · AA	21	49→52	51→55	53→50	45	247/308/415	168	312	18	13	26%	7%	103	+1.6	240/302/401	161	300	18	7	25%	7%	98	+1.2	236/301/401	165	290	19	5	25%	7%	99	+1.1
●Wander Franco 2021 · A	20	55→60	45→55	47→55	53	268/323/398	130	287	11	10	12%	8%	104	+1.6	274/329/434	160	298	14	14	13%	7%	114	+2.4	280/337/455	175	300	16	20	12%	7%	122	+2.2
●Bo Bichette 2019 · AA	21	56→62	46→60	54→55	44	272/317/419	147	333	11	19	22%	6%	107	+1.8	278/323/457	179	335	19	20	22%	6%	118	+2.7	296/338/473	177	346	22	13	20%	5%	129	+3.8
●Adam Jones 2006 · AA	20	53→56	47→60	48→50	44	258/316/404	146	331	14	10	25%	6%	103	+1.6	253/303/408	155	322	16	12	26%	5%	99	+1.3	276/313/466	190	309	25	11	19%	4%	119	+3.1
●Brett Lawrie 2010 · AA	20	47→57	46→55	47→55	44	234/286/363	129	291	13	12	24%	6%	82	+0.0	262/312/422	160	320	13	18	21%	6%	105	+1.7	272/324/442	170	325	14	20	20%	6%	113	+2.1
★Pete Crow-Armstrong 2023 · A	21	52→53	48→65	55→60	41	255/308/405	150	338	15	21	28%	6%	100	+1.3	236/288/405	169	305	18	31	28%	6%	94	+0.9	247/308/475	228	288	29	35	25%	7%	118	+2.8
●CJ Abrams 2022 · AA	21	54→53	42→60	56→60	43	257/308/377	120	328	8	22	23%	6%	93	+0.8	249/298/385	136	296	13	29	20%	4%	93	+0.8	252/319/452	200	292	23	30	22%	7%	117	+2.7
●Ozzie Albies 2018 · MLB	21	55→62	43→60	59→55	45	266/313/393	127	322	9	21	20%	6%	99	+1.2	271/318/452	181	308	19	15	18%	6%	115	+2.4	273/324/485	212	301	24	15	18%	6%	126	+2.7
✕Nick Franklin 2012 · AA	21	47→51	47→50	53→50	42	234/284/366	132	302	14	15	27%	6%	82	+0.0	241/302/376	135	310	13	12	25%	8%	91	+0.7	240/308/375	135	306	13	12	25%	9%	92	+0.7
●Dylan Carlson 2020 · AAA	21	46→53	49→55	49→50	46	231/300/384	153	293	16	11	26%	8%	93	+0.8	242/312/405	163	303	17	8	25%	8%	102	+1.5	242/326/394	152	294	15	4	22%	9%	107	+1.4
●Rougned Odor 2014 · AA	20	51→56	44→60	52→50	41	248/292/374	126	301	10	18	21%	4%	87	+0.4	254/295/415	161	291	17	12	19%	4%	98	+1.2	256/295/439	183	284	21	10	18%	4%	103	+1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps