Roman Anthony — OGILVIE

Roman AnthonyRF Boston Red Sox

Age 22 L/R 6'3" / 200 lbs MLB H +3% Svc 0.651 · Ctrl thru 2033 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION130 act + 293 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 114145vR 157

AVG/OBP/SLG.254 / .354 / .413

PA293

HR8

SB5

K%26

BB%13

BABIP329

ISO159

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit option yr

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 65

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

847.5%

xwOBA

900.366

POWER65

Barrel%

8613.6

Avg EV

9093.8

Bat Spd

8775.2

EYE61

Chase%

9015.8%

SPEED49

Sprint

4727.4

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 400 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

125

275

—

wRC+

117

146

▶▶R

wOBA

338

376

▶R

ISO

131

166

▶▶R

BABIP

434

356

◀◀L

35.2%

23.6%

▶▶R

BB%

8.0%

16.4%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.651 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$6M	+0.7	$3M	-$4M
2027	Ext	$16M	+3.8	$28M	+$14M
2028	Ext	$16M	+4.4	$30M	+$17M
2029	Ext	$16M	+4.9	$31M	+$19M
2030	Ext	$16M	+5.2	$31M	+$20M
2031	Ext	$16M	+5.1	$28M	+$18M
2032	Ext	$16M	+4.9	$25M	+$16M
2033	Ext	$16M	+4.6	$22M	+$14M
Totals		$120M		$198M	+$115M

Options · projected decision
2034	CLUB OPT	$16.2M / $0.0M buyout	EXERCISE
2035	CLUB OPT	$30.0M / $0.0M buyout	EXERCISE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	A	2 teams	—	83	76	18	3	0	0	5	12	0	1	0	237	284	276	560	39	273	14	6	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A	2 teams	—	83	72	22	4	0	0	9	8	0	1	0	306	383	361	744	56	333	10	11	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+	3 teams	—	491	431	92	22	3	12	52	168	4	16	7	213	304	362	666	148	314	34	11	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+	3 teams	—	491	397	108	27	4	14	86	119	4	16	7	272	407	466	873	194	351	24	18	387	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA	2 teams	—	540	483	120	26	3	16	50	153	3	21	7	248	323	414	737	166	327	28	9	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA	2 teams	—	540	454	132	32	4	18	79	127	3	21	7	291	399	498	897	207	364	24	15	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	MLB	2 teams	—	568	488	129	25	3	17	72	149	5	7	4	264	365	432	797	168	345	26	13	352	127	+18	-0	+3	-6	+16	3.1
2025	21	MLB	2 teams	—	568	469	136	27	3	18	91	140	5	7	4	290	411	475	886	186	376	25	16	394	160	+38	-0	+3	-6	+16	5.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	MLB	BOS	—	130	109	25	5	1	1	20	33	1	2	0	229	354	321	675	92	320	25	15	307	93	-1	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
YTD	22	MLB	BOS	—	130	109	25	5	1	1	20	33	1	2	0	229	354	321	675	92	320	25	15	316	100	+0	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.3
ROS	22	MLB	BOS	100%	293	252	64	12	2	8	37	75	2	5	1	254	354	413	767	159	332	26	13	346	123	+8	+1	+2	-3	+8	1.5
ROS	22	MLB	BOS	100%	293	252	66	13	2	8	37	75	2	5	1	262	361	425	785	163	339	26	13	344	122	+7	+1	+2	-3	+8	1.5
FULL	22	MLB	BOS	—	423	361	91	18	3	9	57	108	3	7	1	252	359	393	752	141	335	26	13	333	113	+6	+1	+2	-5	+12	1.7
TOT	22	MLB	BOS	—	423	361	89	17	3	9	57	108	3	7	1	247	354	385	739	139	327	26	13	334	114	+7	+1	+2	-5	+12	1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	BOS	100%	648	555	144	28	4	19	82	165	6	10	2	259	361	427	788	168	333	25	13	351	127	+20	+1	+4	-7	+18	3.7
2028	24	MLB	BOS	100%	648	554	147	28	4	22	83	163	6	10	2	265	367	449	816	184	335	25	13	362	135	+26	+1	+4	-7	+18	4.3
2029	25	MLB	BOS	100%	648	553	150	28	4	25	84	162	6	10	2	271	373	472	845	201	336	25	13	370	142	+30	+1	+4	-7	+18	4.8
2030	26	MLB	BOS	100%	648	553	150	27	4	26	84	162	6	10	2	271	373	476	849	204	336	25	13	376	146	+34	+1	+4	-7	+18	5.1
2031	27	MLB	BOS	100%	643	548	149	27	4	26	84	161	6	10	2	272	375	478	853	206	336	25	13	376	146	+33	+1	+4	-7	+18	5.1
2032	28	MLB	BOS	100%	635	540	147	27	4	26	84	160	6	10	2	272	376	481	858	209	335	25	13	375	145	+32	+1	+3	-7	+18	4.9
2033	29	MLB	BOS	100%	623	530	142	26	3	25	83	158	5	9	2	268	372	470	842	202	334	25	13	373	143	+30	+1	+2	-7	+18	4.6
2034	30	MLB	BOS	100%	611	520	138	25	3	24	81	157	5	8	1	265	370	463	833	198	332	26	13	369	141	+28	+1	+2	-7	+17	4.3
2035	31	MLB	BOS	100%	596	507	133	24	3	23	79	155	5	7	1	262	367	458	825	195	330	26	13	365	138	+25	+1	+1	-6	+17	3.8
2036	32	MLB	BOS	100%	577	491	127	22	3	22	76	152	5	5	1	259	364	450	814	191	326	26	13	359	133	+21	+1	-0	-6	+16	3.3
2037	33	MLB	BOS	100%	547	466	118	20	3	20	72	147	4	4	1	253	358	438	796	185	320	27	13	351	127	+17	+0	-1	-6	+15	2.6
2038	34	MLB	BOS	96%	499	427	103	17	2	17	65	137	4	3	0	241	347	410	757	169	314	27	13	342	120	+11	+1	-2	-5	+14	1.9
2039	35	MLB	BOS	91%	443	379	89	14	2	15	58	125	3	2	0	235	341	401	742	166	306	28	13	331	112	+6	+0	-3	-5	+13	1.1
2040	36	MLB	BOS	82%	382	327	74	11	2	12	49	111	3	1	0	226	332	382	715	156	299	29	13	320	103	+1	+0	-4	-4	+11	0.4
2041	37	MLB	BOS	73%	316	271	58	8	1	9	40	94	2	0	0	214	319	351	670	137	291	30	13	308	94	-2	+0	-5	-3	+9	-0.2
2042	38	MLB	BOS	59%	247	212	44	6	1	6	31	75	2	0	0	208	314	330	644	123	283	30	13	296	85	-4	+0	-6	-3	+7	-0.6
2027	23	MLB	BOS	100%	648	555	147	29	4	19	82	165	6	10	2	265	365	434	800	169	341	25	13	350	126	+19	+1	+4	-7	+18	3.6
2028	24	MLB	BOS	100%	648	554	150	29	4	22	83	163	6	10	2	271	372	457	828	186	342	25	13	360	134	+25	+1	+4	-7	+18	4.2
2029	25	MLB	BOS	100%	648	553	153	29	4	25	84	162	6	10	2	277	378	479	857	203	343	25	13	369	140	+30	+1	+4	-7	+18	4.7
2030	26	MLB	BOS	100%	648	553	154	29	4	27	84	162	6	10	2	278	379	492	871	213	344	25	13	374	145	+33	+1	+4	-7	+18	5.0
2031	27	MLB	BOS	100%	643	548	152	29	4	26	84	161	6	10	2	277	379	487	867	210	343	25	13	374	145	+32	+1	+4	-7	+18	5.0
2032	28	MLB	BOS	100%	635	540	149	28	3	26	84	160	6	10	2	276	379	483	863	207	343	25	13	373	144	+31	+1	+3	-7	+18	4.8
2033	29	MLB	BOS	100%	623	530	145	27	3	25	83	158	5	9	2	274	377	477	854	204	342	25	13	371	142	+30	+1	+2	-7	+18	4.5
2034	30	MLB	BOS	100%	611	520	140	26	3	24	81	157	5	8	1	269	373	469	842	200	340	26	13	368	140	+27	+1	+2	-7	+17	4.2
2035	31	MLB	BOS	100%	596	507	136	25	3	23	79	155	5	7	1	268	372	465	838	197	337	26	13	364	137	+25	+1	+1	-6	+17	3.8
2036	32	MLB	BOS	100%	577	491	130	24	3	22	76	152	5	5	1	265	369	460	829	196	333	26	13	358	132	+21	+1	-0	-6	+16	3.2
2037	33	MLB	BOS	100%	547	466	119	21	2	20	72	147	4	4	1	255	360	438	798	182	328	27	13	350	126	+16	+0	-1	-6	+15	2.6
2038	34	MLB	BOS	96%	477	407	101	17	2	17	63	131	4	2	0	248	354	425	779	177	320	27	13	341	119	+10	+0	-2	-5	+14	1.8
2039	35	MLB	BOS	91%	403	345	82	13	2	13	52	114	3	2	0	238	343	400	743	162	313	28	13	330	111	+5	+0	-3	-4	+11	1.0
2040	36	MLB	BOS	82%	313	268	61	9	1	10	40	91	2	1	0	228	332	381	713	153	305	29	13	319	102	+1	+0	-3	-3	+9	0.3
2041	37	MLB	BOS	73%	231	198	44	6	1	7	29	69	2	0	0	222	328	369	696	146	297	30	13	307	93	-2	+0	-4	-2	+7	-0.2
2042	38	MLB	BOS	59%	146	126	28	4	1	4	18	44	1	0	0	222	324	365	689	143	289	30	12	295	84	-3	+0	-4	-2	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	8990	7670	2032	376	47	326	1171	2350	79	107	20	265	368	454	822	189	339	26	13	358	132	+325	+13	+17	-99	+255	52.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	555	147	27	3	24	85	170	6	8	1	265	369	454	823	189	338	26	13	358	132	+24	+1	+1	-7	+18	3.8
Career	—			—	10686	9163	2336	426	58	370	1351	2841	88	149	37	255	356	435	791	180	327	27	13	351	127	+321	+15	+12	-114	+303	54.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	557	143	26	4	23	82	173	5	9	2	257	357	442	798	185	330	27	13	351	127	+20	+1	+1	-7	+18	3.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	A	Salem Red Sox	—	43	37	7	2	0	0	5	4	0	0	0	189	286	243	529	54	206	9	12	246	47	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	40	35	15	2	0	0	4	4	0	1	0	429	487	486	973	57	469	10	10	428	186	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	19	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	44	35	12	4	0	1	8	6	1	3	0	343	477	543	1.020	200	393	14	18	452	204	+5	+1	—	—	+1	0.7
2023	19	A+	Greenville Drive	—	245	204	60	14	3	12	40	75	1	2	1	294	412	569	981	275	410	31	16	426	185	+23	+0	—	—	+7	3.1
2023	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	202	158	36	9	1	1	38	38	2	11	6	228	384	316	700	89	285	19	19	326	108	+2	-0	—	—	+6	0.7
2024	20	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	164	131	45	12	1	3	31	31	0	5	2	344	469	519	988	176	424	19	19	434	190	+17	+0	—	—	+5	2.2
2024	20	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	376	323	87	20	3	15	48	96	3	16	5	269	369	489	858	220	336	26	13	377	147	+20	+1	—	—	+11	3.2
2025	21	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	303	257	75	18	1	8	40	84	5	4	1	292	397	463	860	171	404	28	13	384	152	+18	+0	+3	-6	+9	2.5
2025	21	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	265	212	61	9	2	10	51	56	0	3	3	288	426	491	916	203	345	21	19	405	168	+20	-1	—	—	+8	2.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	303	257	75	18	1	8	40	84	5	4	1	292	397	463	860	171	404	28	13	384	152	+18	+0	+3	-6	+9	2.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Nelson Cruzlast yr '23 career totals — 18 seasons, 8,389 PA	18	8,389	464	84	274	343	513	-89	-28	50.7	42.8
	/162	664	37	7	274	343	513	-7.1	-2.2	4.0	pk7: 35
#2Ryan Zimmermanlast yr '21 career totals — 16 seasons, 7,402 PA	16	7,402	284	43	277	341	475	-25	+13	44.3	40.6
	/162	664	25	4	277	341	475	-2.2	+1.2	4.0	pk7: 37
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 18 projected seasons	18	9,249	331	113	261	360	447	-104	+28	50.0	40.1
	/162	664	24	8	261	360	447	-7.5	+2.0	3.6	pk7: 30
#3Travis Hafnerlast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,782 PA	12	4,782	213	11	273	376	498	-61	-7	32.8	31.6
	/162	664	30	2	273	376	498	-8.4	-1.0	4.6	pk7: 30
#4Matt Carpenterlast yr '24 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,754 PA	13	5,754	179	28	259	366	450	-25	-30	31.4	29.9
	/162	664	21	3	259	366	450	-2.9	-3.5	3.6	pk7: 28
#5Jayson Werthlast yr '17 career totals — 15 seasons, 6,366 PA	15	6,366	229	132	267	360	455	-68	-36	32.0	29.7
	/162	664	24	14	267	360	455	-7.1	-3.7	3.3	pk7: 27
#6Alex Gordonlast yr '20 AS×3GG×7SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,250 PA	14	7,250	190	113	257	338	410	-58	+22	27.4	26.4
	/162	664	17	10	257	338	410	-5.3	+2.0	2.5	pk7: 25

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roman Anthony (OGILVIE)	22	53→55	61→65	51→49	61	247/354/385	139	327	9	7	26%	13%	114	+1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Bryce Harper 2015 · MLB	22	53→63	54→65	48→50	54	267/344/447	179	317	21	10	22%	10%	127	+3.6	289/402/531	242	331	30	10	20%	16%	170	+6.6	293/416/554	261	327	32	10	20%	17%	166	+6.2
●Riley Greene 2023 · MLB	22	54→63	47→65	50	45	254/319/396	142	353	13	9	30%	8%	102	+1.9	273/339/464	191	361	22	7	28%	9%	129	+3.7	273/350/500	226	349	29	3	28%	10%	139	+4.0
●Jason Heyward 2011 · MLB	21	55→60	51→55	50	57	274/361/447	174	320	17	10	20%	11%	133	+4.0	256/340/436	180	301	20	13	21%	11%	122	+3.3	264/344/426	162	305	18	15	19%	10%	118	+2.9
●Jeremy Hermida 2007 · MLB	23	50→59	49→55	53→50	56	249/342/406	157	304	16	13	22%	12%	115	+2.8	264/341/430	166	323	18	7	23%	10%	121	+3.2	266/345/430	165	323	19	5	22%	10%	117	+2.5
★Gunnar Henderson 2023 · MLB	22	49→55	50→60	56→55	48	239/320/405	166	335	17	15	32%	10%	105	+2.1	256/333/456	200	316	22	16	25%	10%	124	+3.4	260/338/463	204	308	23	18	23%	10%	124	+3.8
★Brandon Belt 2012 · MLB	24	54→61	55→65	48→50	53	271/353/469	198	336	22	12	25%	11%	136	+4.2	279/354/462	183	350	18	10	24%	10%	134	+4.1	278/381/496	218	349	21	4	24%	14%	148	+4.7
★Justin Upton 2009 · MLB	21	49→59	52→65	47→55	49	242/320/419	176	313	18	9	28%	10%	109	+2.4	274/351/475	201	342	22	16	25%	10%	136	+4.2	264/344/505	242	328	32	10	29%	10%	138	+4.6
★Eric Hosmer 2012 · MLB	22	58→65	50→55	50	47	291/335/451	160	331	17	10	18%	6%	123	+3.3	280/335/428	148	316	15	11	16%	8%	118	+3.0	301/366/480	179	338	22	5	17%	9%	138	+4.9
★Grady Sizemore 2005 · MLB	22	49→58	49→60	53→55	51	246/329/403	157	294	16	10	22%	9%	109	+2.4	281/357/483	202	330	20	18	20%	9%	141	+4.6	277/380/497	220	320	23	25	20%	12%	144	+6.0
★Corey Seager 2016 · MLB	22	52→62	54→65	49→45	43	263/308/453	189	310	21	6	22%	6%	114	+2.7	294/356/488	194	346	22	5	20%	8%	142	+4.6	284/360/521	237	297	30	2	16%	10%	145	+4.3
●Logan Morrison 2011 · MLB	23	57→61	46→65	47→45	59	274/361/427	154	322	10	5	17%	12%	128	+3.6	251/334/433	182	282	19	3	18%	10%	119	+3.1	236/327/449	213	257	29	6	21%	11%	114	+2.3
●Carlos Correa 2017 · MLB	22	54→60	53→60	54→55	54	270/345/452	182	315	19	17	21%	10%	128	+3.6	266/346/459	193	314	23	7	22%	11%	131	+3.9	262/346/440	178	304	21	0	20%	11%	122	+3.2
●Austin Kearns 2003 · MLB	23	60→64	52→60	48→45	59	296/386/476	179	346	18	9	19%	12%	150	+5.2	265/354/460	195	318	23	7	23%	11%	134	+4.1	259/351/447	188	303	20	4	20%	11%	124	+3.6
★Freddie Freeman 2013 · MLB	23	52→62	54→65	44→50	51	266/336/447	181	311	21	4	22%	9%	124	+3.4	289/373/469	180	344	20	3	20%	11%	144	+4.8	324/409/538	215	358	24	12	15%	11%	164	+7.3
★Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2021 · MLB	22	54→63	54→65	45	52	277/339/462	185	300	21	4	16%	8%	128	+3.7	282/359/510	228	295	30	5	16%	10%	149	+5.1	280/360/503	223	290	30	5	16%	10%	141	+5.3
★Carlos Pena 2002 · MLB	24	50→49	55→70	50→45	55	255/339/447	192	304	22	8	23%	11%	124	+3.4	246/326/448	202	297	24	5	25%	10%	120	+3.1	249/382/545	296	282	39	2	26%	16%	156	+5.6
●Gleyber Torres 2019 · MLB	22	50→53	53→60	46→50	47	255/321/428	172	316	21	10	26%	8%	112	+2.6	261/329/443	182	303	24	9	22%	9%	120	+3.1	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	113	+2.9
★Carlos Quentin 2006 · AAA	23	49→52	51→65	52→45	53	247/346/411	163	274	18	9	17%	9%	119	+3.1	250/348/439	189	274	19	7	17%	8%	128	+3.6	257/357/499	242	252	32	5	14%	10%	143	+4.0
★Adrian Beltré 2001 · MLB	22	55→64	53→65	48→50	56	280/350/460	180	298	21	12	14%	10%	132	+4.0	260/313/425	165	284	19	10	16%	7%	108	+2.3	313/369/508	195	324	25	1	12%	7%	142	+5.0
●Kyle Tucker 2019 · MLB	22	47→54	53→65	52→55	43	242/295/417	175	296	20	18	26%	6%	98	+1.6	249/309/468	219	287	27	21	23%	8%	118	+3.0	267/372/486	219	277	26	25	15%	14%	139	+4.0