Roman Anthony — OGILVIE

Roman AnthonyRF Boston Red Sox

INJURED · Injured 10-Day (D10)

Age 22 L/R 6'3" / 200 lbs MLB Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 6.3 · 2030

wRC+†vL 103120vR 145

AVG/OBP/SLG.271 / .365 / .451

PA291

HR10

SB5

K%27

BB%12

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

59→59

PWR

67→67

SPD

48→48

FLD

55→55

EYE

62↘61

trajectory · 10 yrs

5.9peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$3M	+1.4	$11M	+$9M
2027	Pre-Arb	$5M	+4.7	$39M	+$34M
2028	Arb-1	$9M	+5.3	$45M	+$36M
2029	Arb-2	$16M	+5.9	$52M	+$36M
2030	Arb-3	$20M	+6.3	$57M	+$37M
2031	Ext / FA-deal	$24M	+6.3	$58M	+$35M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$26M	+6.1	$58M	+$33M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$30M	+5.7	$56M	+$26M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$30M	+5.4	$55M	+$25M
Totals		$160M		$431M	+$271M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	A	2 teams	83	76	19	3	0	0	5	12	0	1	0	.250	.296	.289	.586	.039	.288	14	6	.259	57	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2023	19	A+	3 teams	491	432	93	22	3	12	51	163	4	16	7	.215	.304	.363	.667	.148	.310	33	10	.295	84	-9	+0	+0	-5	+14	0.0
2024	20	AA	2 teams	540	481	122	27	3	16	52	157	3	21	7	.254	.330	.422	.752	.168	.340	29	10	.325	107	+4	+1	+0	-6	+15	1.6
2025	21	MLB	2 teams	568	486	132	26	3	17	74	151	5	7	4	.272	.373	.442	.816	.171	.358	27	13	.357	132	+20	-0	+3	-6	+16	3.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	MLB	Boston Red Sox	97	80	18	3	1	1	16	25	1	2	0	.225	.361	.325	.686	.100	.315	26	16	.311	96	-0	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.2
ROS	22	MLB	BOS	194	165	44	8	1	6	25	52	2	3	1	.267	.370	.436	.806	.170	.350	27	13	.358	132	+7	+0	+1	-2	+5	1.2
TOT	22	MLB	BOS	291	245	62	11	2	7	41	77	3	5	1	.253	.367	.400	.767	.147	.340	26	14	.342	120	+7	+1	+1	-3	+8	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB	BOS	667	573	156	30	4	23	83	173	6	12	2	.272	.370	.459	.829	.187	.348	26	12	.366	138	+29	+2	+3	-7	+19	4.6
2028	24	MLB	BOS	679	583	161	31	4	25	85	174	6	13	2	.276	.374	.472	.846	.196	.350	26	13	.375	145	+35	+2	+3	-7	+19	5.3
2029	25	MLB	BOS	684	586	166	31	5	28	87	174	6	13	2	.283	.381	.497	.878	.213	.353	25	13	.384	152	+40	+2	+3	-7	+19	5.8
2030	26	MLB	BOS	684	585	168	31	5	30	88	174	6	13	2	.287	.386	.511	.897	.224	.356	25	13	.391	157	+44	+2	+3	-7	+19	6.3
2031	27	MLB	BOS	679	579	166	31	4	30	89	173	6	12	2	.287	.387	.509	.897	.223	.356	25	13	.391	157	+44	+2	+3	-7	+19	6.2
2032	28	MLB	BOS	671	572	162	30	4	29	88	172	6	11	1	.283	.384	.502	.886	.219	.356	26	13	.390	157	+43	+2	+2	-7	+19	6.0
2033	29	MLB	BOS	659	561	158	29	4	28	87	171	6	10	1	.282	.384	.497	.881	.216	.356	26	13	.388	155	+41	+2	+2	-7	+19	5.7
2034	30	MLB	BOS	647	551	154	28	4	27	85	170	6	8	0	.279	.382	.492	.873	.212	.355	26	13	.385	153	+39	+2	+1	-7	+18	5.4
2035	31	MLB	BOS	632	539	149	27	4	26	83	169	5	5	0	.276	.378	.486	.864	.210	.354	27	13	.382	150	+36	+1	+0	-7	+18	4.9
2036	32	MLB	BOS	613	522	144	26	4	25	81	167	5	2	0	.276	.378	.485	.863	.209	.354	27	13	.377	147	+32	+0	-1	-7	+17	4.4
2037	33	MLB	BOS	583	497	134	24	3	23	76	163	5	0	0	.270	.372	.469	.841	.199	.353	28	13	.371	142	+28	+0	-1	-6	+17	3.7
2038	34	MLB	BOS	534	455	121	22	3	20	70	154	4	0	0	.266	.369	.459	.828	.193	.352	29	13	.365	137	+22	+0	-2	-6	+15	3.0
2039	35	MLB	BOS	477	408	107	19	3	17	62	142	4	0	0	.262	.365	.449	.814	.186	.351	30	13	.357	131	+17	+0	-3	-5	+14	2.2
2040	36	MLB	BOS	415	356	90	16	2	14	53	128	3	0	0	.253	.354	.427	.781	.174	.350	31	13	.348	124	+11	+0	-4	-4	+12	1.5
2041	37	MLB	BOS	350	301	73	12	2	11	44	111	2	0	0	.243	.343	.405	.748	.163	.346	32	13	.337	116	+6	+0	-5	-4	+10	0.7
2042	38	MLB	BOS	279	240	56	9	1	8	35	91	2	0	0	.233	.336	.379	.715	.146	.342	33	13	.326	108	+2	+0	-6	-3	+8	0.1
2043	39	MLB	BOS	204	176	40	6	1	5	25	68	1	0	0	.227	.327	.358	.685	.131	.335	33	12	.315	99	-0	+0	-7	-2	+6	-0.4
2044	40	MLB	BOS	132	114	26	4	1	3	16	44	1	0	0	.228	.328	.360	.688	.132	.332	33	12	.310	96	-1	+0	-8	-1	+4	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			11465	9838	2641	492	68	423	1444	3153	94	147	31	.268	.367	.461	.829	.193	.351	28	13	.365	138	+488	+17	-14	-123	+325	70.7
/ 162G	—			650	558	150	28	4	24	82	179	5	8	2	.269	.367	.462	.830	.194	.352	28	13	.365	138	+28	+1	-1	-7	+18	4.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	A	Salem Red Sox	43	37	7	2	0	0	5	4	0	0	0	.189	.286	.243	.529	.054	.206	9	12	.246	47	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	40	35	15	2	0	0	4	4	0	1	0	.429	.487	.486	.973	.057	.469	10	10	.428	186	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	19	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	44	35	12	4	0	1	8	6	1	3	0	.343	.477	.543	1.020	.200	.393	14	18	.452	204	+5	+1	—	—	+1	0.7
2023	19	A+	Greenville Drive	245	204	60	14	3	12	40	75	1	2	1	.294	.412	.569	.981	.275	.410	31	16	.426	185	+23	+0	—	—	+7	3.1
2023	19	A	Salem Red Sox	202	158	36	9	1	1	38	38	2	11	6	.228	.384	.316	.700	.089	.285	19	19	.326	108	+2	-0	—	—	+6	0.7
2024	20	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	164	131	45	12	1	3	31	31	0	5	2	.344	.469	.519	.988	.176	.424	19	19	.434	190	+17	+0	—	—	+5	2.2
2024	20	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	376	323	87	20	3	15	48	96	3	16	5	.269	.369	.489	.858	.220	.336	26	13	.377	147	+20	+1	—	—	+11	3.2
2025	21	MLB	Boston Red Sox	303	257	75	18	1	8	40	84	5	4	1	.292	.397	.463	.860	.171	.404	28	13	.384	152	+18	+0	+3	-6	+9	2.5
2025	21	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	265	212	61	9	2	10	51	56	0	3	3	.288	.426	.491	.916	.203	.345	21	19	.405	168	+20	-1	—	—	+8	2.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			303	257	75	18	1	8	40	84	5	4	1	.292	.397	.463	.860	.171	.404	28	13	.384	152	+18	+0	+3	-6	+9	2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roman Anthony (OGILVIE)	22	59	67	48	61	.263/.365/.431	.168	.321	9	5	22%	13%	132	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Bryce Harper 2015 · MLB	22	51→60	55→65	49→50	54	.260/.337/.449	.189	.302	22	11	22%	10%	124	+3.4	.280/.394/.513	.233	.321	28	10	21%	16%	163	+6.1	.287/.411/.538	.252	.321	31	10	20%	17%	157	+5.6
★Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2021 · MLB	22	56→62	54→65	44→45	52	.284/.344/.470	.186	.308	21	4	16%	8%	132	+4.0	.287/.363/.510	.223	.304	29	5	16%	10%	150	+5.2	.288/.367/.508	.221	.301	30	5	16%	10%	146	+5.7
●Brandon Belt 2012 · MLB	24	54→60	54→65	48→50	53	.267/.349/.457	.190	.331	20	12	25%	11%	131	+3.9	.270/.348/.448	.178	.338	18	11	24%	10%	128	+3.7	.262/.368/.475	.212	.325	22	4	24%	14%	136	+3.9
★Freddie Freeman 2014 · MLB	24	56→65	54→65	44→50	54	.283/.358/.463	.181	.329	22	3	21%	10%	137	+4.3	.289/.378/.487	.198	.345	21	4	21%	12%	150	+5.2	.312/.399/.517	.205	.345	22	12	15%	11%	156	+6.6
●Jeremy Hermida 2008 · MLB	24	54→59	52→55	48→50	55	.267/.351/.446	.179	.321	19	10	22%	11%	130	+3.8	.257/.330/.412	.155	.316	18	6	23%	9%	112	+2.6	.249/.318/.395	.146	.312	17	4	25%	8%	99	+1.2
●Austin Kearns 2004 · MLB	24	56→64	54→60	47→45	58	.283/.375/.469	.186	.325	22	9	20%	12%	145	+4.9	.258/.347/.459	.201	.312	23	6	24%	11%	131	+3.9	.259/.351/.447	.188	.303	20	4	20%	11%	124	+3.6
★Carlos Correa 2017 · MLB	22	54→62	53→60	55	54	.273/.346/.458	.186	.318	20	18	20%	10%	131	+3.9	.275/.353/.474	.199	.324	24	8	22%	11%	137	+4.3	.263/.347/.444	.180	.305	22	0	20%	11%	123	+3.4
★Corey Seager 2017 · MLB	23	56→63	55→65	47→45	46	.286/.335/.483	.198	.332	21	5	21%	6%	133	+4.0	.290/.356/.479	.189	.340	21	4	20%	9%	140	+4.5	.285/.367/.517	.232	.308	30	2	18%	11%	140	+3.8
●Jason Heyward 2011 · MLB	21	54→60	51→55	49→50	55	.268/.349/.437	.169	.311	18	10	19%	10%	126	+3.5	.253/.339/.431	.178	.296	20	12	21%	11%	120	+3.1	.262/.343/.427	.164	.302	19	15	19%	10%	117	+2.8
●Yasiel Puig 2015 · MLB	24	61→64	53→60	51→55	52	.299/.373/.493	.194	.358	19	15	21%	9%	150	+5.2	.278/.349/.467	.189	.324	21	11	20%	9%	134	+4.1	.265/.335/.476	.211	.292	28	18	20%	9%	125	+3.1
★Juan Soto 2020 · MLB	21	54→61	60→65	51→50	64	.281/.384/.509	.228	.314	27	9	20%	14%	158	+5.8	.290/.421/.527	.237	.316	28	10	17%	18%	176	+7.0	.270/.405/.529	.260	.284	33	16	18%	18%	163	+7.2
★Adrian Beltré 2001 · MLB	22	55→64	53→65	48→50	56	.279/.349/.458	.180	.297	21	12	14%	10%	131	+3.9	.262/.315/.427	.165	.286	19	10	16%	7%	109	+2.4	.313/.369/.514	.201	.324	26	1	12%	7%	142	+5.0
●Justin Upton 2010 · MLB	22	54→59	56→65	52→55	50	.269/.343/.475	.206	.335	22	14	26%	10%	133	+4.0	.273/.352/.458	.185	.336	20	17	23%	10%	132	+4.0	.269/.354/.455	.185	.316	22	15	21%	10%	127	+3.9
★Carlos Pena 2002 · MLB	24	50→49	54→70	50→45	54	.254/.337/.443	.189	.303	21	8	23%	11%	123	+3.3	.246/.326/.448	.202	.297	24	5	25%	10%	120	+3.1	.249/.382/.545	.296	.282	39	2	26%	16%	156	+5.6
★Gunnar Henderson 2023 · MLB	22	49→55	51→60	55	47	.237/.317/.408	.171	.334	18	15	32%	10%	105	+2.1	.260/.336/.465	.205	.324	23	15	26%	10%	128	+3.7	.268/.346/.477	.209	.319	24	18	23%	10%	132	+4.4
★Nick Markakis 2008 · MLB	24	57→63	51→55	48→50	51	.286/.346/.455	.169	.321	18	9	17%	8%	129	+3.7	.294/.369/.463	.169	.330	16	9	15%	10%	141	+4.5	.294/.373/.453	.158	.330	14	7	14%	11%	133	+4.7
★Adam Dunn 2003 · MLB	23	50→51	60→70	47→50	66	.255/.387/.483	.228	.311	26	14	25%	17%	153	+5.4	.247/.377/.505	.258	.295	33	10	26%	16%	154	+5.5	.248/.380/.531	.283	.291	37	5	27%	16%	150	+5.9
★Jorge Soler 2015 · MLB	23	49→55	56→65	50→45	45	.256/.309/.457	.201	.302	23	8	24%	7%	115	+2.8	.245/.317/.421	.176	.319	21	4	28%	9%	109	+2.4	.238/.331/.497	.259	.267	36	1	26%	11%	132	+3.2
★Anthony Rendon 2014 · MLB	24	49→59	49→65	47→50	53	.244/.324/.406	.162	.283	15	4	19%	9%	108	+2.3	.263/.336/.428	.165	.301	16	9	17%	9%	118	+3.0	.300/.392/.532	.232	.315	26	5	14%	12%	160	+6.1
★Christian Yelich 2015 · MLB	23	57→64	45→70	52→55	51	.269/.340/.396	.127	.348	11	17	24%	10%	111	+2.5	.291/.364/.433	.142	.361	13	14	21%	10%	131	+3.9	.308/.398/.551	.243	.354	29	21	20%	12%	163	+6.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)