Drew Pomeranz
P
Chicago Cubs
Age 37
LHP
6'5" / 246 lbs
MLB
peak 1.7 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 124 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98107vR 116
ERA4.14
FIP4.26
K%20.3%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%12.7%
ROS IP124
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 177 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1892.2
Whiff%
p1019.2%
K%
p1013.4%
xwOBA vs
p240.342
CU (27%)
FB-0.6 (73%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 9 | 88 | 363 | 85 | 30 | 8 | 17% | 1.6 | 23.0% | 8.4% | 14.6% | 2.3% | 3.58 | 3.51 | +1.7 |
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 9 | 88 | 363 | 85 | 30 | 8 | 17% | 1.6 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 2.2% | 3.58 | 3.37 | +1.8 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 31 | 30 | 171 | 703 | 186 | 62 | 22 | 97% | 5.5 | 26.5% | 8.8% | 17.6% | 3.1% | 3.32 | 3.68 | +3.4 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 31 | 30 | 171 | 703 | 186 | 62 | 22 | 97% | 5.5 | 26.5% | 8.8% | 17.6% | 3.1% | 3.32 | 3.69 | +3.4 |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 32 | 32 | 174 | 740 | 174 | 69 | 19 | 100% | 5.4 | 23.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 2.5% | 3.32 | 3.69 | +3.5 |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 32 | 32 | 174 | 740 | 174 | 69 | 19 | 100% | 5.4 | 23.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 2.6% | 3.32 | 3.71 | +3.4 |
| 2018 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 32 | 17 | 99 | 450 | 82 | 59 | 20 | 53% | 3.1 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.82 | 5.38 | +0.0 |
| 2018 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 32 | 17 | 99 | 450 | 82 | 59 | 20 | 53% | 3.1 | 18.2% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.82 | 5.86 | -0.6 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 46 | 18 | 104 | 455 | 137 | 44 | 21 | 39% | 2.3 | 30.1% | 9.7% | 20.4% | 4.8% | 4.85 | 4.42 | +1.2 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 46 | 18 | 104 | 455 | 137 | 44 | 21 | 39% | 2.3 | 30.1% | 9.7% | 20.4% | 4.6% | 4.85 | 4.36 | +1.3 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 20 | 0 | 19 | 73 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 39.7% | 13.7% | 26.0% | 1.5% | 1.45 | 2.29 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 20 | 0 | 19 | 73 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 39.7% | 13.7% | 26.0% | 1.4% | 1.45 | 2.30 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 32 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 27 | 0 | 26 | 102 | 30 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.4% | 8.8% | 20.6% | 2.1% | 1.75 | 2.89 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 32 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 27 | 0 | 26 | 102 | 30 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.4% | 8.8% | 20.6% | 2.0% | 1.75 | 2.83 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 3 levels | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 40% | 0.9 | 30.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 5.0% | 7.71 | 5.21 | — |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 3 levels | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 40% | 0.9 | 30.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 5.0% | 7.71 | 5.24 | — |
| 2023 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 29% | 0.8 | 20.0% | 16.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 14.29 | 5.35 | — |
| 2023 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 29% | 0.8 | 20.0% | 16.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 14.29 | 5.92 | — |
| 2024 | 35 | AAA | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | 8 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12% | 1.1 | 37.8% | 2.7% | 35.1% | 2.7% | 6.00 | 1.73 | — |
| 2024 | 35 | AAA | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | 8 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12% | 1.1 | 37.8% | 2.7% | 35.1% | 2.7% | 6.00 | 1.77 | — |
| 2025 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 4 | 59 | 246 | 71 | 19 | 5 | 6% | 0.9 | 28.1% | 6.9% | 21.2% | 2.4% | 2.58 | 2.92 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 66 | 4 | 59 | 246 | 71 | 19 | 5 | 6% | 0.9 | 28.9% | 7.7% | 21.1% | 2.0% | 2.58 | 2.76 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 56 | 0 | 53 | 243 | 36 | 18 | 12 | 0% | 0.9 | 14.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.09 | 5.63 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 37 | MLB | LAA | 118 | 0 | 124 | 524 | 106 | 40 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 3.5% | 4.14 | 4.26 | +1.7 |
| ROS | 37 | MLB | LAA | 118 | 0 | 124 | 524 | 106 | 40 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 3.4% | 4.11 | 4.23 | +1.7 |
| 2026 TOT | 37 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 177 | 767 | 142 | 58 | 30 | — | — | 18.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 4.42 | 4.67 | +1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 37 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 175 | 739 | 142 | 58 | 30 | — | — | 19.2% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 4.45 | 4.69 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | LAA | 143 | 0 | 150 | 635 | 128 | 53 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 4.79 | 5.01 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 39 | MLB | LAA | 123 | 0 | 129 | 546 | 104 | 49 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 5.18 | 5.44 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 40 | MLB | LAA | 106 | 0 | 111 | 470 | 84 | 45 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 5.60 | 5.87 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | LAA | 143 | 0 | 150 | 633 | 128 | 52 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 4.75 | 4.97 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 39 | MLB | LAA | 123 | 0 | 129 | 545 | 103 | 49 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 5.14 | 5.40 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 40 | MLB | LAA | 106 | 0 | 111 | 469 | 84 | 45 | 22 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 5.55 | 5.82 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 837 | 104 | 1269 | 5387 | 1216 | 485 | 191 | 12% | 1.5 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 3.5% | 4.23 | 4.28 | +16.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 132 | 16 | 200 | 849 | 192 | 76 | 30 | 12% | 1.5 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 3.5% | 4.23 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 384 | 115 | 811 | 3462 | 849 | 328 | 113 | 30% | 2.1 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 3.3% | 3.95 | 4.02 | +13.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 95 | 28 | 200 | 853 | 209 | 81 | 28 | 30% | 2.1 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 3.3% | 3.95 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Drew Pomeranz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.72 | 27.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | — | 5.40 | 19.1% | 10.2% | 391 | +1.68 | — | — | — |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.99 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 405 | 66 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2024 · 3.56 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.56 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 117 | 64 |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.24 | 25.5% | 8.0% | 2.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 156 | 61 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2026 · 3.08 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.08 | 27.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .300 | 1.99 | 19.4% | 15.2% | 18 | -1.09 | 1.56 | 219 | 59 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.47 | 26.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 109 | 56 |
| Manny Parra L 2025 · 2.43 FIP | 36 | SU | 2.43 | 17.3% | 6.3% | 0.0% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.43 | 114 | 52 |
| Jeff Francis L 2023 · 2.85 FIP | 34 | SW | 2.85 | 19.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 114 | 43 |
| Jean Machi R 2024 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 36 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 37 | SU | 4.04 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .289 | 4.08 | 16.8% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.04 | 3.51 | 219 | 34 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 34 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 34 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 33 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2025 · 3.53 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.53 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 5.49 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.96 | 3.17 | 225 | 33 |
| Matt Belisle R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.61 | 21.9% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .241 | 4.59 | 15.4% | 9.2% | 34 | +0.98 | 2.51 | 174 | 32 |
| Luis Ayala R 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.02 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | .270 | 3.22 | 12.1% | 5.9% | 57 | +0.20 | 2.99 | 119 | 32 |
| Salvador Valdez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.24 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .405 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 326 | 32 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 31 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 31 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.65 | 23.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42 | 240 | 31 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2024 · 3.63 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.63 | 14.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 140 | 30 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 142 | 21.5% | 8.6% | 1.50 | 4.67 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Marco Estrada ('19) | 5 | 142 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.33 |
| Dan Straily ('19) | 4 | 136 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 1.72 | 4.54 |
| Mike Foltynewicz ('21) | 6 | 134 | 21.4% | 7.7% | 1.46 | 4.45 |
| CC Sabathia ('19) CYAS×6HOF | 5 | 151 | 20.2% | 7.8% | 1.39 | 4.14 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |