Drew Pomeranz — OGILVIE

Drew Pomeranz P Chicago Cubs

Age 37 LHP 6'5" / 246 lbs MLB peak 1.6 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 92100vR 108

ERA3.82

FIP3.95

K%21.5%

BB%8.1%

K-BB%13.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1692.1

Whiff%

p1017.6%

p1012.6%

xwOBA vs

p170.351

CU (27%)

FB-0.6 (73%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	9	88	363	85	30	8	17%	1.6	23.0%	8.4%	14.6%	2.5%	3.58	3.58	+1.0
2015	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	9	88	363	85	30	8	17%	1.6	23.4%	8.3%	15.2%	2.2%	3.58	3.37	+1.2
2016	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	31	30	171	703	186	62	22	97%	5.5	26.5%	8.8%	17.6%	3.2%	3.32	3.74	+2.4
2016	27	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	31	30	171	703	186	62	22	97%	5.5	26.5%	8.8%	17.6%	3.1%	3.32	3.69	+2.5
2017	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	32	32	174	740	174	69	19	100%	5.4	23.5%	9.3%	14.2%	2.6%	3.32	3.74	+2.4
2017	28	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	32	32	174	740	174	69	19	100%	5.4	23.5%	9.3%	14.2%	2.6%	3.32	3.71	+2.5
2018	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	17	99	450	82	59	20	53%	3.1	17.9%	13.2%	4.7%	4.2%	5.82	5.58	-0.8
2018	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	32	17	99	450	82	59	20	53%	3.1	18.2%	13.1%	5.1%	4.4%	5.82	5.86	-1.1
2019	30	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	46	18	104	455	137	44	21	39%	2.3	30.1%	9.7%	20.4%	4.4%	4.85	4.19	+0.4
2019	30	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	46	18	104	455	137	44	21	39%	2.3	30.1%	9.7%	20.4%	4.6%	4.85	4.36	+0.2
2020	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	20	0	19	73	29	10	1	0%	0.9	39.7%	13.7%	26.0%	1.3%	1.45	2.21	+0.5
2020	31	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	20	0	19	73	29	10	1	0%	0.9	39.7%	13.7%	26.0%	1.4%	1.45	2.30	+0.5
2021	32	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	27	0	26	102	30	9	2	0%	1.0	29.4%	8.8%	20.6%	1.9%	1.75	2.78	+0.5
2021	32	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	27	0	26	102	30	9	2	0%	1.0	29.4%	8.8%	20.6%	2.0%	1.75	2.83	+0.5
2022	33	MIX MLE	3 levels	5	2	5	20	6	3	1	40%	0.9	30.0%	15.0%	15.0%	5.0%	7.71	5.21	—
2022	33	MIX RAW	3 levels	5	2	5	20	6	3	1	40%	0.9	30.0%	15.0%	15.0%	5.0%	7.71	5.24	—
2023	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	2	6	30	6	5	1	29%	0.8	20.0%	16.7%	3.3%	3.3%	14.29	5.35	—
2023	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	2	6	30	6	5	1	29%	0.8	20.0%	16.7%	3.3%	3.3%	14.29	5.35	—
2023	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	2	6	30	6	5	1	29%	0.8	20.0%	16.7%	3.3%	3.3%	14.29	5.92	—
2024	35	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	8	1	9	37	14	1	1	12%	1.1	37.8%	2.7%	35.1%	2.7%	6.00	1.73	—
2024	35	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	8	1	9	37	14	1	1	12%	1.1	37.8%	2.7%	35.1%	2.7%	6.00	1.73	—
2024	35	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	8	1	9	37	14	1	1	12%	1.1	37.8%	2.7%	35.1%	2.7%	6.00	1.77	—
2025	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	66	4	59	246	71	19	5	6%	0.9	28.1%	6.9%	21.2%	2.6%	2.58	3.01	+1.1
2025	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	66	4	59	246	71	19	5	6%	0.9	28.1%	6.9%	21.2%	2.6%	2.58	3.01	+1.1
2025	36	MIX RAW	2 levels	66	4	59	246	71	19	5	6%	0.9	28.9%	7.7%	21.1%	2.0%	2.58	2.76	+1.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			323	104	731	3112	778	293	97	32%	2.3	25.0%	9.4%	15.6%	3.1%	3.77	3.90	+5.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	37	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	33	0	31	143	20	13	7	0%	0.9	12.6%	8.9%	3.7%	5.4%	5.23	6.12	-0.6
YTD	37	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	33	0	31	143	20	13	7	0%	0.9	12.6%	8.9%	3.7%	5.4%	5.23	6.12	-0.6
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	37	AAA RAW	CHC	2	0	2	8	3	1	0	0%	1.0	37.5%	12.5%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.52	—
2026	37	MLB RAW	CHC	31	0	29	135	17	12	7	0%	0.9	12.6%	8.9%	3.7%	5.2%	5.59	6.01	-0.5
SO FAR	37	MLB RAW	CHC	31	0	29	135	17	12	7	0%	0.9	12.6%	8.9%	3.7%	5.2%	5.59	6.01	-0.5
ROS	37	MLB MLE	CHC	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	8.1%	13.4%	3.0%	3.82	3.95	+0.0
ROS	37	MLB CTX	CHC	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	8.1%	13.4%	2.9%	3.75	3.88	+0.0
2026 TOT	37	MLB MLE	CHC	—	—	37	168	25	15	8	—	—	15.1%	8.9%	6.1%	4.6%	5.00	5.77	-0.5
FULL	37	MLB A+C	CHC	—	—	35	147	25	15	8	—	—	17.2%	10.2%	7.0%	5.2%	5.28	5.81	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	38	MLB MLE	CHC	143	0	150	635	136	56	24	0%	1.1	21.3%	8.8%	12.5%	3.8%	4.64	4.87	-0.5
2028	39	MLB MLE	CHC	123	0	129	546	110	52	23	0%	1.1	20.2%	9.5%	10.7%	4.2%	5.04	5.30	-1.1
2027	38	MLB CTX	CHC	143	0	150	633	135	56	23	0%	1.0	21.3%	8.8%	12.5%	3.6%	4.56	4.79	-0.5
2028	39	MLB CTX	CHC	123	0	129	545	110	52	22	0%	1.0	20.2%	9.5%	10.7%	4.1%	4.95	5.21	-1.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		595	104	1017	4318	1029	403	143	17%	1.7	23.8%	9.3%	14.5%	3.3%	4.03	4.09	+5.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		117	20	200	849	202	79	28	17%	1.7	23.8%	9.3%	14.5%	3.3%	4.03	4.09	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		361	115	789	3362	833	323	110	32%	2.2	24.8%	9.6%	15.2%	3.3%	3.92	4.02	+4.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		91	29	200	852	211	82	28	32%	2.2	24.8%	9.6%	15.2%	3.3%	3.92	4.02	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Drew Pomeranz (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.75	27.0%	7.8%	2.8%	—	5.07	20.8%	11.7%	280	+1.32	—	—	—
Neal Cotts L 2017 · 3.21 FIP	37	SU	3.21	25.5%	8.0%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	156	62
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	61
Oliver Pérez L 2019 · 3.08 FIP	37	SU	3.08	27.7%	5.8%	2.9%	.300	1.99	19.4%	15.2%	18	-1.09	1.58	219	60
Wilfredo Ledezma L 2017 · 3.35 FIP	36	SU	3.35	26.7%	8.3%	2.7%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.58	109	56
Jorge De La Rosa L 2018 · 4.07 FIP	37	SU	4.07	19.3%	9.5%	2.6%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.86	405	54
Jeff Francis L 2015 · 2.83 FIP	34	SW	2.83	19.1%	4.8%	1.4%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	2.83	114	45
Wandy Rodriguez L 2015 · 3.83 FIP	36	SP-	3.83	19.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	101	38
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	36
Santiago Casilla R 2017 · 4.13 FIP	37	SU	4.13	22.0%	8.1%	3.4%	.289	4.14	16.8%	1.6%	44	+0.01	3.50	219	34
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	33
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	33
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	33
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	33
Matt Belisle R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	37	SU	3.62	21.9%	6.5%	2.8%	.241	4.60	15.4%	9.2%	34	+0.98	2.51	174	32
Luis Ayala R 2015 · 3.03 FIP	37	SU	3.03	19.7%	5.0%	1.7%	.270	3.27	12.1%	5.9%	57	+0.24	3.03	119	31
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	31
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	31
Scott Kazmir L 2021 · 4.58 FIP	37	SP	4.58	19.2%	8.8%	3.6%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	395	31
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	31
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	30

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	152	23.2%	8.6%	1.37	4.36
Kutter Crawford ('24)	2.0	130	23.9%	7.2%	1.45	4.47
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Luis Garcia ('23)	1.7	113	25.5%	7.7%	1.19	3.63
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58