Jacob Misiorowski

Jacob Misiorowski P Milwaukee Brewers

Age 24 RHP 6'7" / 201 lbs MLB Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 6.0 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION161 act + 15 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 6860vR 51

ERA2.55

FIP2.41

K%36.7%

BB%8.4%

K-BB%28.3%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 176 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$108M ctrl surplus

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL3535

CMD6565

K†7080

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p90100.6

Whiff%

p9037.4%

p9038.3%

xwOBA vs

p900.225

SL+1.8 (12%)

CH+0.7 (1%)

FB+0.6 (63%)

CT (13%)

CU (10%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.634 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.5	$50M	+$49M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.5	$46M	+$46M
2029	Arb-1	$13M	+4.4	$41M	+$32M
2030	Arb-2	$22M	+4.2	$35M	+$21M
2031	Arb-3	$29M	+3.6	$25M	+$8M
Totals		$66M		$201M	+$158M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	20	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	2	2	2	14	3	7	0	100%	0.8	21.4%	50.0%	-28.6%	0.0%	5.40	7.62	—
2022	20	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	2	2	2	14	3	7	0	100%	0.8	21.4%	50.0%	-28.6%	0.0%	5.40	12.10	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	20	71	314	110	42	2	100%	3.6	27.0%	15.2%	11.8%	0.7%	3.41	3.15	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	20	71	314	110	42	2	100%	3.6	27.0%	15.2%	11.8%	0.7%	3.41	3.15	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	20	71	314	110	42	2	100%	3.6	35.0%	13.4%	21.7%	0.6%	3.41	2.15	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	21	97	417	127	60	8	64%	2.9	24.8%	15.3%	9.4%	2.0%	3.33	4.03	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	21	97	417	127	60	8	64%	2.9	24.8%	15.3%	9.4%	2.0%	3.33	4.03	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	21	97	417	127	60	8	64%	2.9	30.5%	14.4%	16.1%	1.9%	3.33	3.41	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	26	129	526	167	62	12	93%	4.6	29.2%	11.2%	18.0%	2.2%	3.27	3.26	+2.6
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	26	129	526	167	62	12	93%	4.6	29.2%	11.2%	18.0%	2.2%	3.27	3.26	+2.6
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	26	129	526	167	62	12	93%	4.6	31.7%	11.8%	20.0%	2.3%	3.27	3.16	+2.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			42	41	227	889	323	72	22	98%	5.4	36.3%	8.1%	28.2%	2.5%	2.65	2.47	+7.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	27	27	161	616	236	41	14	100%	6.0	38.3%	6.7%	31.7%	2.2%	1.95	1.90	+6.5
YTD	24	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	27	27	161	616	236	41	14	100%	6.0	38.3%	6.7%	31.7%	2.2%	1.95	1.90	+6.5
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	MLB RAW	MIL	27	27	161	616	236	41	14	100%	6.0	38.3%	6.7%	31.7%	2.3%	1.95	1.96	+6.4
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	MIL	27	27	161	616	236	41	14	100%	6.0	38.3%	6.7%	31.7%	2.3%	1.95	1.96	+6.4
ROS	24	MLB MLE	MIL	2	2	15	62	23	5	2	100%	7.4	36.7%	8.4%	28.3%	2.5%	2.55	2.41	+0.5
ROS	24	MLB CTX	MIL	3	3	15	63	23	5	2	100%	5.0	36.7%	8.4%	28.3%	2.6%	2.62	2.48	+0.5
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	MIL	—	—	176	678	259	46	16	—	—	38.2%	6.8%	31.4%	2.3%	2.00	1.94	+7.0
FULL	24	MLB A+C	MIL	—	—	176	744	259	46	16	—	—	34.8%	6.2%	28.6%	2.1%	2.01	2.10	+7.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIL	30	30	173	732	265	59	17	100%	5.8	36.1%	8.0%	28.1%	2.4%	2.84	2.75	+4.7
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIL	29	29	175	739	268	59	18	100%	6.0	36.2%	8.0%	28.2%	2.4%	2.78	2.74	+4.8
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIL	29	29	172	728	264	59	18	100%	5.9	36.2%	8.1%	28.2%	2.4%	2.78	2.78	+4.6
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIL	29	29	172	728	263	60	18	100%	5.9	36.1%	8.2%	27.9%	2.5%	2.83	2.87	+4.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIL	27	27	165	695	247	59	19	100%	6.1	35.5%	8.5%	27.1%	2.7%	2.95	3.03	+3.8
2032	30	MLB MLE	MIL	26	26	155	653	228	57	19	100%	5.9	34.8%	8.8%	26.1%	2.9%	3.12	3.23	+3.2
2033	31	MLB MLE	MIL	24	24	144	609	208	56	19	100%	6.0	34.1%	9.1%	25.0%	3.1%	3.33	3.46	+2.5
2034	32	MLB MLE	MIL	22	22	134	564	188	54	19	100%	6.1	33.3%	9.5%	23.8%	3.4%	3.56	3.72	+1.9
2035	33	MLB MLE	MIL	20	20	122	517	168	52	19	100%	6.1	32.4%	10.0%	22.5%	3.6%	3.82	4.00	+1.3
2036	34	MLB MLE	MIL	19	19	112	471	148	49	19	100%	5.9	31.5%	10.5%	21.1%	3.9%	4.11	4.30	+0.8
2037	35	MLB MLE	MIL	17	17	100	423	129	47	18	100%	5.9	30.6%	11.0%	19.6%	4.3%	4.43	4.64	+0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIL	28	28	165	697	252	56	17	100%	5.9	36.1%	8.0%	28.1%	2.5%	2.91	2.82	+4.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIL	28	28	166	701	254	56	18	100%	5.9	36.2%	8.0%	28.2%	2.5%	2.85	2.81	+4.5
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIL	27	27	164	692	251	56	18	100%	6.1	36.2%	8.1%	28.2%	2.6%	2.85	2.85	+4.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIL	27	27	164	692	250	57	18	100%	6.1	36.1%	8.2%	27.9%	2.7%	2.90	2.94	+4.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIL	26	26	156	659	234	56	19	100%	6.0	35.5%	8.5%	27.1%	2.8%	3.02	3.10	+3.6
2032	30	MLB CTX	MIL	24	24	147	621	216	54	19	100%	6.1	34.8%	8.8%	26.1%	3.0%	3.20	3.31	+3.0
2033	31	MLB CTX	MIL	23	23	137	578	197	53	19	100%	6.0	34.1%	9.1%	25.0%	3.3%	3.42	3.55	+2.4
2034	32	MLB CTX	MIL	21	21	127	536	178	51	19	100%	6.0	33.3%	9.5%	23.8%	3.5%	3.65	3.81	+1.8
2035	33	MLB CTX	MIL	19	19	116	490	159	49	19	100%	6.1	32.4%	10.0%	22.5%	3.8%	3.92	4.10	+1.2
2036	34	MLB CTX	MIL	17	17	101	426	134	45	18	100%	5.9	31.5%	10.5%	21.1%	4.1%	4.22	4.41	+0.7
2037	35	MLB CTX	MIL	14	14	86	363	111	40	16	100%	6.1	30.6%	11.0%	19.6%	4.5%	4.55	4.76	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		300	299	1771	7407	2583	649	223	100%	5.9	34.9%	8.8%	26.1%	3.0%	3.21	2.92	+44.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	836	292	73	25	100%	5.9	34.9%	8.8%	26.1%	3.0%	3.21	2.92	+5.0
Career	—	MLE		110	96	461	1887	580	219	35	87%	4.2	30.8%	11.6%	19.2%	1.9%	2.85	3.00	+39.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	42	200	819	252	95	15	87%	4.2	30.8%	11.6%	19.2%	1.9%	2.85	3.00	+4.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jacob Misiorowski (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.73	31.2%	11.7%	2.6%	—	2.76	36.2%	28.2%	521	-0.97	—	—	—
Shohei Ohtani R 2018 · 3.43 FIP	24	SP	3.43	29.9%	10.4%	2.8%	.267	3.14	29.3%	21.4%	130	-0.29	1.76	613	72
Kumar Rocker R 2023 · 2.86 FIP	23	SP	2.86	29.1%	7.3%	2.4%	.317	3.93	22.0%	13.5%	250	+1.07	1.93	278	68
Cade Horton R 2023 · 3.22 FIP	21	SP	3.22	26.0%	8.8%	2.2%	.273	3.60	21.6%	13.8%	181	+0.38	3.22	270	60
David Sandlin R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	22	SP	4.05	24.8%	6.5%	4.0%	.360	4.39	21.4%	12.1%	253	+0.34	3.94	312	59
Hunter Greene R 2023 · 3.68 FIP	23	SP	3.68	30.5%	9.6%	3.5%	.330	3.03	29.1%	21.1%	286	-0.65	2.94	698	58
Logan Gilbert R 2021 · 3.51 FIP	24	SP	3.51	25.4%	5.2%	3.5%	.286	3.41	25.0%	20.0%	585	-0.10	3.04	1,142	57
Tommy Romero R 2021 · 3.09 FIP	24	SP	3.09	28.1%	7.6%	2.5%	.261	4.98	17.7%	6.1%	245	+1.89	2.76	721	56
Kyle Bradish R 2021 · 3.60 FIP	24	SP	3.60	26.4%	10.6%	2.5%	.333	3.30	24.9%	17.2%	345	-0.30	2.20	750	56
Sam Benschoter R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SP-	3.71	26.3%	9.2%	3.0%	.344	4.98	18.5%	8.4%	306	+1.27	3.62	441	56
Kyle Brnovich R 2021 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP	3.95	25.1%	7.5%	3.7%	.256	5.54	20.7%	11.0%	89	+1.59	3.95	338	55
Stephen Strasburg R 2015 · 2.70 FIP	27	SP	2.70	29.6%	5.0%	2.7%	.308	2.81	29.5%	22.9%	453	+0.11	2.42	811	55
Christian Scott R 2023 · 2.56 FIP	24	SP	2.56	25.6%	4.1%	2.0%	.265	4.02	25.6%	17.6%	203	+1.46	2.56	347	55
Erik Swanson R 2018 · 3.14 FIP	24	SP	3.14	25.2%	6.9%	2.3%	.271	5.07	22.3%	15.9%	118	+1.93	1.60	606	53
Seth Johnson R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP	4.58	28.7%	11.5%	4.5%	.352	4.21	19.9%	8.0%	169	-0.37	3.38	349	53
Chase Hampton R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	21	SP	4.04	26.1%	9.5%	3.5%	.296	7.55	16.7%	-0.5%	36	+3.51	4.04	142	53
Emmet Sheehan R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP	3.95	29.5%	11.2%	3.5%	.223	3.42	29.2%	22.3%	210	-0.53	2.67	400	52
Brent Honeywell R 2017 · 2.94 FIP	22	SP	2.94	25.6%	6.2%	2.2%	.363	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	617	52
Edward Cabrera R 2022 · 3.96 FIP	24	SP	3.96	26.9%	11.2%	3.1%	.225	3.94	25.7%	14.4%	385	-0.02	3.47	887	51
Raisel Iglesias R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	25	SP	3.54	23.7%	7.1%	2.8%	.271	3.11	27.7%	19.6%	226	-0.43	1.34	820	51
Hayden Birdsong R 2023 · 3.29 FIP	21	SP	3.29	26.7%	11.9%	1.7%	.320	4.77	24.4%	11.6%	225	+1.48	3.29	326	51

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	8.9	149	34.3%	9.1%	1.13	3.28
Trevor Bauer ('21)	5.6	159	26.8%	8.7%	1.13	3.68
Mike Clevinger ('23)	3.9	113	24.8%	8.7%	1.07	3.45
Kenta Maeda ('24)	4.9	122	25.9%	6.9%	1.30	4.17
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Joe Musgrove ('24)	5.3	117	23.9%	6.0%	1.13	3.73
Julio Urías ('23)	3.6	102	24.2%	6.6%	1.06	3.13