Jacob Misiorowski
P
Milwaukee Brewers
+2.1
WAR
Age 24
RHP
6'7" / 201 lbs
MLB
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 2.3 · 2028
ERA4.14
FIP3.98
xFIP2.77
SIERA2.68
K%28.1%
BB%12.1%
K-BB%16.1%
IP109
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.3peak
2028
K†7070
FB Velo
p9098.8
Whiff%
p9039.3%
K%
p9037.8%
xwOBA vs
p900.273
SL+1.8 (23%)
CH+0.7 (2%)
FB+0.6 (61%)
CU (14%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 5.40 | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 20 | 20 | 71 | 314 | 110 | 42 | 2 | 27.0% | 15.2% | 0.7% | 3.41 | 3.14 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 33 | 21 | 97 | 417 | 127 | 60 | 8 | 25.0% | 15.7% | 1.9% | 3.33 | 4.03 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 28 | 26 | 129 | 526 | 167 | 62 | 12 | 29.9% | 12.1% | 2.2% | 3.27 | 3.30 | +2.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 4 | 22 | 88 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 37.5% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 3.32 | 3.72 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIL | 16 | 16 | 87 | 367 | 122 | 43 | 11 | 33.2% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 3.63 | 3.38 | +1.8 |
| 2026 Total | 24 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 109 | 455 | 155 | 52 | 15 | 34.1% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 3.57 | 3.45 | +2.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 22 | 22 | 122 | 515 | 167 | 55 | 15 | 32.4% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 3.84 | 3.69 | +2.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 23 | 23 | 129 | 545 | 174 | 57 | 16 | 31.9% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 3.78 | 3.71 | +2.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 24 | 24 | 132 | 557 | 175 | 57 | 16 | 31.4% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 3.77 | 3.75 | +2.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 24 | 24 | 132 | 557 | 173 | 57 | 17 | 31.1% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 3.78 | 3.79 | +2.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 23 | 23 | 129 | 545 | 167 | 56 | 16 | 30.6% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 3.83 | 3.86 | +2.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | MIL | 23 | 23 | 125 | 528 | 159 | 55 | 16 | 30.1% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 3.90 | 3.95 | +1.9 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | MIL | 22 | 22 | 121 | 510 | 150 | 54 | 16 | 29.5% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 3.99 | 4.06 | +1.7 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | MIL | 21 | 21 | 116 | 489 | 141 | 53 | 16 | 28.9% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 4.10 | 4.17 | +1.5 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | MIL | 20 | 20 | 111 | 467 | 132 | 51 | 15 | 28.2% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 4.22 | 4.30 | +1.3 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | MIL | 19 | 19 | 105 | 444 | 122 | 49 | 15 | 27.5% | 11.1% | 3.4% | 4.35 | 4.44 | +1.0 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | MIL | 18 | 18 | 99 | 419 | 112 | 47 | 15 | 26.8% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 4.49 | 4.59 | +0.8 |
| 2038 | 36 | MLB | MIL | 17 | 17 | 93 | 392 | 102 | 45 | 14 | 26.0% | 11.6% | 3.6% | 4.65 | 4.75 | +0.5 |
| 2039 | 37 | MLB | MIL | 16 | 16 | 86 | 364 | 92 | 43 | 14 | 25.2% | 11.9% | 3.8% | 4.82 | 4.93 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 87 | 73 | 321 | 1359 | 383 | 193 | 26 | 28.2% | 14.2% | 1.9% | 3.33 | 3.56 | +6.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 45 | 200 | 846 | 238 | 120 | 16 | 28.2% | 14.2% | 1.9% | 3.33 | 3.56 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jacob Misiorowski (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.81 | 31.3% | 12.1% | 2.6% | — | 3.72 | 31.9% | 21.4% | 383 | -0.09 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Nicolas R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.70 | 24.0% | 12.5% | 3.7% | .325 | 3.45 | 23.3% | 11.2% | 128 | -1.25 | 3.30 | 417 | 81 |
| Cole Sands R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.65 | 23.3% | 11.5% | 1.9% | .269 | 3.55 | 25.1% | 17.3% | 216 | -0.10 | 2.31 | 462 | 76 |
| Alex Meyer R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.41 | 21.1% | 11.8% | 1.1% | .363 | 3.65 | 25.7% | 13.6% | 138 | +0.24 | 3.09 | 230 | 75 |
| Carson Seymour R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.97 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .292 | 4.62 | 20.2% | 9.7% | 263 | +0.65 | 3.29 | 487 | 74 |
| Blade Tidwell R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.95 | 22.2% | 9.9% | 2.7% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | 350 | 74 |
| Emerson Hancock R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.31 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .288 | 4.37 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 313 | +0.06 | 2.50 | 554 | 74 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.03 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.80 | 18.2% | 4.1% | 73 | -0.23 | 3.80 | 154 | 74 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2025 · 4.15 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.15 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.5% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.23 | 4.15 | 212 | 73 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.30 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .329 | 3.95 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 118 | -0.35 | 2.58 | 199 | 73 |
| Kaleb Fontenot R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 3.7% | .264 | 3.71 | 14.7% | 5.2% | 69 | -0.78 | 3.71 | 155 | 73 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .300 | 4.44 | 18.2% | 7.0% | 78 | +0.55 | 3.89 | 183 | 72 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.58 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 2.8% | .296 | 5.08 | 18.4% | 6.8% | 57 | +0.50 | 4.27 | 238 | 72 |
| T.J. Weir R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.98 | 20.0% | 9.1% | 2.6% | .319 | 3.42 | 19.0% | 9.6% | 190 | -0.56 | 3.15 | 349 | 72 |
| Jorge Alcala R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.9% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .342 | 3.92 | 27.2% | 21.1% | 84 | -0.42 | 2.53 | 600 | 72 |
| Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.61 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .298 | 4.96 | 17.7% | 8.5% | 323 | +0.35 | 4.41 | 416 | 72 |
| Ben Gross R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.02 | 23.0% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .359 | 4.85 | 17.6% | 2.0% | 22 | +0.83 | 4.02 | 118 | 72 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 2.8% | .300 | 3.77 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.53 | 3.77 | 107 | 71 |
| Kyle Bradish R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.60 | 26.4% | 10.6% | 2.5% | .333 | 3.28 | 24.9% | 17.2% | 345 | -0.32 | 2.16 | 615 | 71 |
| Isaac Coffey R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.67 | 24.3% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .280 | 6.90 | 17.1% | 1.8% | 38 | +3.23 | 3.67 | 270 | 71 |
| Roman Angelo R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.02 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .291 | 5.45 | 17.7% | 4.3% | 141 | +1.43 | 4.02 | 262 | 71 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb
MLB Debut 2025
Service 0.634 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2031
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +1.8 | $14M | +$14M |
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +2.2 | $18M | +$17M |
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +2.3 | $20M | +$19M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $8M | +2.3 | $20M | +$12M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $13M | +2.3 | $21M | +$8M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $18M | +2.1 | $19M | +$1.0M |
| Totals | $42M | $112M | +$70M | ||