Kutter Crawford
P
Worcester Red Sox
Age 30
RHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
AAA
peak 1.2 · 2026
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION3 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA4.32
FIP4.47
K%23.1%
BB%6.9%
K-BB%16.3%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2392.6
Whiff%
p5025.3%
K%
p5523.1%
xwOBA vs
p550.307
CT+5.0 (32%)
CU (7%)
SL-2.5 (18%)
FB-4.7 (34%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 144 | 607 | 157 | 48 | 6 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 1.5% | 3.26 | 3.48 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 144 | 607 | 157 | 48 | 6 | 100% | 5.3 | 25.9% | 7.9% | 18.0% | 1.0% | 3.26 | 2.46 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 19 | 88 | 385 | 100 | 45 | 7 | 100% | 4.6 | 20.2% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 3.57 | 4.22 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 19 | 88 | 385 | 100 | 45 | 7 | 100% | 4.6 | 26.0% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 1.8% | 3.57 | 3.39 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 20 | 97 | 394 | 133 | 22 | 13 | 95% | 4.6 | 29.1% | 5.6% | 23.5% | 3.6% | 4.66 | 3.35 | +2.2 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 20 | 97 | 394 | 133 | 22 | 13 | 95% | 4.6 | 33.8% | 5.6% | 28.2% | 3.3% | 4.66 | 2.78 | +2.9 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 16 | 102 | 445 | 100 | 34 | 17 | 59% | 3.8 | 21.9% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 4.1% | 5.40 | 4.47 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 16 | 102 | 445 | 100 | 34 | 17 | 59% | 3.8 | 22.5% | 7.6% | 14.8% | 3.8% | 5.40 | 4.31 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 23 | 132 | 539 | 139 | 36 | 18 | 72% | 4.1 | 25.6% | 6.8% | 18.8% | 3.2% | 4.01 | 3.56 | +2.9 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 23 | 132 | 539 | 139 | 36 | 18 | 72% | 4.1 | 25.8% | 6.7% | 19.1% | 3.3% | 4.01 | 3.58 | +2.8 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 33 | 33 | 184 | 759 | 175 | 51 | 34 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.1% | 6.7% | 16.3% | 4.4% | 4.36 | 4.44 | +2.1 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 33 | 33 | 184 | 759 | 175 | 51 | 34 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.1% | 6.7% | 16.3% | 4.5% | 4.36 | 4.43 | +2.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 100% | 3.0 | — | — | — | — | 15.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 63 | 19 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.1% | 6.9% | 16.3% | 3.8% | 4.32 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.1% | 6.9% | 16.3% | 3.8% | 4.32 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 68 | 290 | 68 | 20 | 13 | — | — | 23.6% | 6.8% | 16.8% | 4.6% | 4.79 | 4.27 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 29 | 123 | 28 | 8 | 5 | — | — | 23.1% | 6.9% | 16.3% | 3.8% | 4.32 | 4.10 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 27 | 27 | 160 | 673 | 151 | 48 | 27 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.4% | 7.2% | 15.2% | 4.0% | 4.55 | 4.71 | +1.3 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 25 | 25 | 148 | 623 | 134 | 47 | 27 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.6% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 4.3% | 4.80 | 4.96 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 23 | 23 | 135 | 571 | 118 | 46 | 26 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.7% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 5.06 | 5.24 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 21 | 21 | 123 | 520 | 103 | 44 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 5.35 | 5.55 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 27 | 27 | 160 | 676 | 151 | 49 | 27 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.4% | 7.2% | 15.2% | 4.0% | 4.55 | 4.71 | +1.3 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 25 | 25 | 148 | 625 | 135 | 47 | 27 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.6% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 4.3% | 4.80 | 4.96 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 22 | 22 | 135 | 570 | 118 | 46 | 26 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.7% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 5.06 | 5.24 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 20 | 20 | 123 | 519 | 103 | 44 | 25 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 5.35 | 5.55 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 188 | 171 | 987 | 4143 | 924 | 312 | 173 | 91% | 5.2 | 22.3% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 4.2% | 4.76 | 4.47 | +10.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 35 | 200 | 840 | 187 | 63 | 35 | 91% | 5.3 | 22.3% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 4.2% | 4.76 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 160 | 139 | 749 | 3145 | 725 | 252 | 104 | 87% | 4.7 | 23.1% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 3.3% | 4.22 | 3.98 | +12.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 37 | 200 | 839 | 194 | 67 | 28 | 87% | 4.7 | 23.1% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 3.3% | 4.22 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kutter Crawford (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 23.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | — | 4.96 | 21.6% | 14.0% | 442 | +0.49 | — | — | — |
| Jarrett Grube R 2029 · 3.49 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.49 | 18.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.58 | 17.3% | 9.6% | 253 | +1.09 | 3.49 | 393 | 60 |
| Mitch Atkins R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.37 | 21.4% | 8.2% | 1.9% | .341 | 4.49 | 14.3% | 6.2% | 78 | +1.12 | 3.37 | 205 | 59 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.65 | 19.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 262 | 59 |
| Chris Bassitt R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.10 | 23.0% | 7.7% | 3.6% | .258 | 3.32 | 23.2% | 16.9% | 402 | -0.78 | 3.02 | 1,507 | 59 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.80 | 20.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | .309 | 4.37 | 22.0% | 16.2% | 300 | +0.57 | 2.03 | 804 | 58 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.84 | 17.4% | 7.1% | 2.4% | .315 | 5.10 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 305 | +1.26 | 3.84 | 567 | 58 |
| Ian Kennedy R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.46 | 24.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | .293 | 4.91 | 21.1% | 13.0% | 469 | +0.45 | 2.87 | 864 | 58 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 58 |
| Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 58 |
| Jason Hammel R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.43 | 24.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | .282 | 4.26 | 18.4% | 11.9% | 474 | +0.83 | 3.43 | 645 | 57 |
| Yohan Pino R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 57 |
| Miguel González R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.59 | 17.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 15.9% | 9.0% | 325 | -0.34 | 3.73 | 469 | 56 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 56 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2028 · 4.94 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.94 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.56 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.38 | 4.56 | 143 | 56 |
| Charlie Morton R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.55 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 2.1% | .302 | 3.11 | 27.7% | 18.9% | 331 | -0.44 | 2.55 | 1,534 | 55 |
| Tim Adleman R 2025 · 5.42 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.42 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | .276 | 4.57 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 117 | -0.85 | 3.61 | 605 | 55 |
| Chase Anderson R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.21 | 19.9% | 8.9% | 4.9% | .235 | 5.07 | 20.1% | 11.9% | 253 | -0.14 | 3.42 | 1,146 | 54 |
| Josh Lowey R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.30 | 21.1% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .311 | 2.34 | 26.7% | 20.1% | 231 | -0.96 | 2.28 | 426 | 54 |
| Merrill Kelly R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.21 | 20.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .289 | 3.67 | 21.1% | 14.8% | 390 | -0.54 | 3.54 | 1,102 | 54 |
| Daniel McCutchen R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.47 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | .268 | 4.60 | 10.8% | 4.9% | 155 | +0.13 | 4.47 | 287 | 54 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 136 | 21.6% | 7.6% | 1.66 | 4.81 |
| Mike Foltynewicz ('21) | 6 | 134 | 21.4% | 7.7% | 1.46 | 4.45 |
| Dylan Bundy ('22) | 7 | 130 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 1.61 | 4.75 |
| Dan Straily ('19) | 4 | 136 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 1.72 | 4.54 |
| Aníbal Sánchez ('22) | 7 | 120 | 20.4% | 7.8% | 1.56 | 4.80 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Marco Estrada ('19) | 5 | 142 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.33 |