Andrew Heaney — OGILVIE

Andrew Heaney P Los Angeles Dodgers

Age 35 LHP 6'2" / 200 lbs MLB peak 0.7 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 10 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA4.73

FIP4.85

K%18.5%

BB%7.1%

K-BB%11.4%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—55

STUF5055

CTRL5555

CMD5555

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1090.1

Whiff%

p1219.9%

p1016.0%

xwOBA vs

p100.362

CH+2.4 (17%)

SI (11%)

CU (4%)

SL-5.4 (17%)

FB-8.9 (55%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	32	184	792	152	52	11	100%	5.8	18.1%	6.7%	11.3%	1.4%	4.01	3.19	+3.9
2015	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	32	184	792	152	52	11	100%	5.8	19.2%	6.6%	12.6%	1.4%	4.01	3.07	+4.2
2016	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	1	1	6	25	7	0	2	100%	6.0	28.0%	0.0%	28.0%	8.0%	6.00	5.13	-0.0
2016	25	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	1	1	6	25	7	0	2	100%	6.0	28.0%	0.0%	28.0%	8.0%	6.00	5.10	-0.0
2017	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	11	11	49	213	56	14	14	100%	4.5	23.0%	7.7%	15.3%	8.2%	4.56	6.63	-0.9
2017	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	11	11	49	213	56	14	14	100%	4.5	26.3%	6.6%	19.7%	6.6%	4.56	5.37	-0.3
2018	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	31	186	771	186	46	27	100%	6.0	24.0%	6.0%	18.0%	3.5%	4.06	3.77	+2.5
2018	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	31	186	771	186	46	27	100%	6.0	24.1%	6.0%	18.2%	3.5%	4.06	3.73	+2.6
2019	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	19	100	425	128	30	20	100%	5.2	28.9%	7.1%	21.8%	4.8%	4.70	4.19	+0.8
2019	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	19	100	425	128	30	20	100%	5.2	30.1%	7.1%	23.1%	4.7%	4.70	4.04	+1.0
2020	29	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	12	12	67	279	70	18	9	100%	5.6	25.1%	6.5%	18.6%	3.2%	4.46	3.53	+1.1
2020	29	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	12	12	67	279	70	18	9	100%	5.6	25.1%	6.5%	18.6%	3.2%	4.46	3.56	+1.1
2021	30	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	30	23	130	558	150	41	29	77%	4.3	26.9%	7.3%	19.5%	4.9%	5.83	4.43	+0.7
2021	30	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	30	23	130	558	150	41	29	77%	4.3	26.9%	7.3%	19.5%	5.2%	5.83	4.64	+0.4
2022	31	MIX MLE	5 levels	21	19	93	386	139	20	18	90%	4.4	35.5%	6.1%	29.4%	4.3%	3.11	3.26	+1.9
2022	31	MIX RAW	5 levels	21	19	93	386	139	20	18	90%	4.4	36.0%	5.2%	30.8%	4.7%	3.11	3.27	+1.8
2023	32	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	34	28	147	641	151	60	23	82%	4.3	23.6%	9.4%	14.2%	3.3%	4.15	4.13	+1.3
2023	32	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	34	28	147	641	151	60	23	82%	4.3	23.6%	9.4%	14.2%	3.3%	4.15	4.13	+1.3
2023	32	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	34	28	147	641	151	60	23	82%	4.3	23.6%	9.4%	14.2%	3.6%	4.15	4.30	+1.0
2024	33	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	32	31	160	693	159	40	23	97%	5.0	22.9%	5.8%	17.2%	3.1%	4.28	3.59	+2.5
2024	33	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	32	31	160	693	159	40	23	97%	5.0	22.9%	5.8%	17.2%	3.1%	4.28	3.59	+2.5
2024	33	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	32	31	160	693	159	40	23	97%	5.0	22.9%	5.8%	17.2%	3.3%	4.28	3.73	+2.3
2025	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	27	132	571	99	42	25	87%	4.3	16.0%	7.5%	8.6%	4.5%	5.17	5.15	-0.4
2025	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	27	132	571	99	42	25	87%	4.3	16.0%	7.5%	8.6%	4.5%	5.17	5.15	-0.4
2025	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	27	132	571	99	42	25	87%	4.3	17.3%	7.4%	10.0%	4.4%	5.17	5.01	-0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			223	203	1107	4739	1136	328	193	91%	5.0	24.0%	6.9%	17.1%	4.1%	4.54	4.20	+9.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	35	MLB	LAD	2	2	10	42	8	3	2	100%	5.0	18.5%	7.1%	11.4%	3.7%	4.73	4.85	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	LAD	17	17	103	435	76	34	18	100%	6.1	17.5%	7.7%	9.8%	4.1%	5.02	5.22	-0.4
2028	37	MLB MLE	LAD	15	15	90	380	62	32	17	100%	6.0	16.4%	8.4%	8.1%	4.5%	5.38	5.62	-0.7
2027	36	MLB CTX	LAD	17	17	103	435	76	34	18	100%	6.1	17.5%	7.7%	9.8%	4.1%	5.02	5.22	-0.4
2028	37	MLB CTX	LAD	15	15	90	380	62	32	17	100%	6.0	16.4%	8.4%	8.1%	4.5%	5.38	5.62	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		255	235	1300	5554	1275	393	228	92%	5.1	22.9%	7.1%	15.9%	4.1%	4.63	4.31	+9.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	36	200	854	196	60	35	92%	5.1	22.9%	7.1%	15.9%	4.1%	4.63	4.31	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		254	234	1254	5354	1266	371	199	92%	4.9	23.6%	6.9%	16.7%	3.7%	4.42	4.02	+7.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		41	37	200	854	202	59	32	92%	4.9	23.6%	6.9%	16.7%	3.7%	4.42	4.02	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Heaney (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.85	18.5%	7.1%	3.7%	—	5.41	17.0%	9.0%	193	+0.56	—	—	—
Jon Lester L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	35	SP	4.08	21.6%	6.8%	3.5%	.344	5.15	14.9%	7.4%	202	+1.07	2.81	1,144	70
Cole Hamels L 2019 · 3.84 FIP	35	SP	3.84	23.2%	8.9%	2.9%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	893	69
Jorge De La Rosa L 2016 · 4.56 FIP	35	SP	4.56	17.3%	10.1%	3.0%	.315	4.08	19.9%	11.2%	107	-0.48	3.86	405	66
Jason Vargas L 2018 · 4.71 FIP	35	SP	4.71	20.8%	7.2%	4.5%	.300	4.33	19.1%	9.7%	150	-0.38	4.02	478	57
Clayton Richard L 2019 · 5.77 FIP	35	SP	5.77	10.9%	9.0%	4.5%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	574	55
J.A. Happ L 2018 · 3.65 FIP	35	SP	3.65	26.3%	7.0%	3.5%	.266	4.88	19.7%	12.5%	363	+1.23	3.37	1,053	55
Jonathan Sánchez L 2019 · 4.73 FIP	36	SP	4.73	18.1%	8.3%	3.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	109	52
Daniel Rodriguez L 2019 · 4.77 FIP	34	SP	4.77	20.8%	7.8%	4.5%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	391	52
Tsuyoshi Wada L 2015 · 3.66 FIP	34	SP	3.66	16.8%	7.1%	2.0%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	119	51
Orlando Lara L 2019 · 4.09 FIP	34	SP	4.09	22.0%	7.8%	3.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	426	51
Eric Stults L 2015 · 4.27 FIP	35	SP	4.27	14.5%	5.9%	3.0%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	138	51
CC Sabathia L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	35	SP	4.31	18.9%	6.5%	3.6%	.311	3.97	20.1%	12.1%	481	-0.34	3.76	756	49
Wandy Rodriguez L 2015 · 3.83 FIP	36	SP-	3.83	19.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	101	49
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	33	SP-	4.21	17.7%	8.2%	2.9%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	146	48
C.J. Wilson L 2015 · 3.69 FIP	34	SP	3.69	19.9%	8.0%	2.3%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	132	48
Chris Narveson L 2017 · 4.59 FIP	35	SP	4.59	12.2%	10.4%	2.2%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.59	249	47
Wade LeBlanc L 2020 · 5.91 FIP	35	SP	5.91	12.6%	7.8%	5.3%	.276	4.62	16.2%	9.4%	84	-1.29	3.65	609	46
Arturo Lopez L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	34	SP	4.34	10.3%	5.4%	2.6%	.342	5.46	12.2%	5.4%	117	+1.12	4.34	445	45
Barry Zito L 2015 · 4.52 FIP	37	SP	4.52	13.6%	10.7%	2.2%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	4.52	138	45
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	44

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.5	103	17.6%	7.7%	1.57	5.02
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Yonny Chirinos ('24)	1.7	84	18.9%	6.6%	1.38	4.37
Daniel Mengden ('19)	1.5	73	17.3%	7.7%	1.24	4.68
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Zach Plesac ('23)	2.3	93	18.4%	6.3%	1.39	4.20
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58