Andrew Heaney
P
Los Angeles Dodgers
Age 35
LHP
6'2" / 200 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 125 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118127vR 136
ERA4.81
FIP4.99
K%18.5%
BB%7.1%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP125
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 125 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1090.1
Whiff%
p1219.9%
K%
p1016.0%
xwOBA vs
p100.362
CH+2.4 (17%)
SI (11%)
CU (4%)
SL-5.4 (17%)
FB-8.9 (55%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 32 | 184 | 792 | 152 | 52 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.1% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 1.5% | 4.01 | 3.23 | +4.7 |
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 32 | 184 | 792 | 152 | 52 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.2% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 1.4% | 4.01 | 3.07 | +5.0 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 28.0% | 0.0% | 28.0% | 8.0% | 6.00 | 5.13 | -0.0 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 28.0% | 0.0% | 28.0% | 8.0% | 6.00 | 5.10 | -0.0 |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 11 | 49 | 213 | 56 | 14 | 14 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.0% | 7.7% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 4.56 | 6.85 | -1.3 |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 11 | 49 | 213 | 56 | 14 | 14 | 100% | 4.5 | 26.3% | 6.6% | 19.7% | 6.6% | 4.56 | 5.37 | -0.5 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 31 | 186 | 771 | 186 | 46 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.0% | 6.0% | 18.0% | 3.7% | 4.06 | 3.88 | +3.3 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 31 | 186 | 771 | 186 | 46 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.1% | 6.0% | 18.2% | 3.5% | 4.06 | 3.73 | +3.6 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 19 | 100 | 425 | 128 | 30 | 20 | 100% | 5.2 | 28.9% | 7.1% | 21.8% | 5.1% | 4.70 | 4.34 | +1.2 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 19 | 100 | 425 | 128 | 30 | 20 | 100% | 5.2 | 30.1% | 7.1% | 23.1% | 4.7% | 4.70 | 4.04 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 12 | 12 | 67 | 279 | 70 | 18 | 9 | 100% | 5.6 | 25.1% | 6.5% | 18.6% | 3.3% | 4.46 | 3.63 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 12 | 12 | 67 | 279 | 70 | 18 | 9 | 100% | 5.6 | 25.1% | 6.5% | 18.6% | 3.2% | 4.46 | 3.56 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | New York Yankees | 30 | 23 | 130 | 558 | 150 | 41 | 29 | 77% | 4.3 | 26.9% | 7.3% | 19.5% | 4.8% | 5.83 | 4.41 | +1.5 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | New York Yankees | 30 | 23 | 130 | 558 | 150 | 41 | 29 | 77% | 4.3 | 26.9% | 7.3% | 19.5% | 5.2% | 5.83 | 4.64 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 31 | MIX | 5 levels | 21 | 19 | 93 | 386 | 139 | 20 | 18 | 90% | 4.4 | 35.5% | 6.1% | 29.4% | 4.8% | 3.11 | 3.50 | +1.9 |
| 2022 | 31 | MIX | 5 levels | 21 | 19 | 93 | 386 | 139 | 20 | 18 | 90% | 4.4 | 36.0% | 5.2% | 30.8% | 4.7% | 3.11 | 3.27 | +2.1 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 34 | 28 | 147 | 641 | 151 | 60 | 23 | 82% | 4.3 | 23.6% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 3.5% | 4.15 | 4.22 | +2.0 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 34 | 28 | 147 | 641 | 151 | 60 | 23 | 82% | 4.3 | 23.6% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 3.6% | 4.15 | 4.30 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 32 | 31 | 160 | 693 | 159 | 40 | 23 | 97% | 5.0 | 22.9% | 5.8% | 17.2% | 3.2% | 4.28 | 3.67 | +3.2 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 32 | 31 | 160 | 693 | 159 | 40 | 23 | 97% | 5.0 | 22.9% | 5.8% | 17.2% | 3.3% | 4.28 | 3.73 | +3.1 |
| 2025 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 27 | 132 | 571 | 99 | 42 | 25 | 87% | 4.3 | 16.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 5.17 | 5.40 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 27 | 132 | 571 | 99 | 42 | 25 | 87% | 4.3 | 17.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 5.17 | 5.01 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 19 | 19 | 116 | 492 | 91 | 35 | 19 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.5% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 4.81 | 4.99 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 17 | 17 | 103 | 435 | 76 | 34 | 19 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 5.14 | 5.36 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | LAD | 15 | 15 | 90 | 380 | 62 | 32 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.51 | 5.76 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 77 | 327 | 56 | 27 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 5.76 | 5.92 | -0.9 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 17 | 17 | 103 | 435 | 76 | 34 | 19 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 5.14 | 5.36 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | LAD | 15 | 15 | 90 | 380 | 62 | 32 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.51 | 5.76 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 77 | 325 | 56 | 27 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 5.76 | 5.92 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 268 | 248 | 1378 | 5881 | 1331 | 420 | 247 | 93% | 5.1 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 15.5% | 4.2% | 4.71 | 4.40 | +16.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 36 | 200 | 854 | 193 | 61 | 36 | 93% | 5.1 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 15.5% | 4.2% | 4.71 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 254 | 234 | 1254 | 5354 | 1266 | 371 | 210 | 92% | 4.9 | 23.6% | 6.9% | 16.7% | 3.9% | 4.42 | 4.14 | +18.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 37 | 200 | 854 | 202 | 59 | 34 | 92% | 4.9 | 23.6% | 6.9% | 16.7% | 3.9% | 4.42 | 4.14 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andrew Heaney (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.99 | 18.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% | — | 5.65 | 17.1% | 9.0% | 270 | +0.66 | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.65 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 109 | 52 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.74 | 20.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 391 | 52 |
| Orlando Lara L 2025 · 4.05 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.05 | 22.0% | 7.8% | 3.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 426 | 51 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.34 | 17.3% | 10.1% | 2.6% | .315 | 4.01 | 19.9% | 11.2% | 107 | -0.33 | 3.68 | 405 | 51 |
| Eric Stults L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.25 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 138 | 50 |
| CC Sabathia L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.30 | 18.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | .311 | 3.96 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 481 | -0.34 | 3.75 | 756 | 49 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 101 | 48 |
| Jon Lester L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 35 | SP | 3.96 | 21.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | .344 | 5.00 | 14.9% | 7.4% | 202 | +1.04 | 2.74 | 1,144 | 48 |
| Barry Zito L 2028 · 4.80 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.80 | 13.6% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 138 | 45 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.24 | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | .342 | 5.22 | 12.2% | 5.4% | 117 | +0.98 | 4.24 | 445 | 45 |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2024 · 4.11 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.11 | 17.7% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 146 | 45 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2028 · 4.15 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.15 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.7% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 149 | 44 |
| Marlon Arias L 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 34 | SP | 5.09 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 4.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 154 | 43 |
| Chris Narveson L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.40 | 12.2% | 10.4% | 1.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 249 | 43 |
| Andrew Albers L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.45 | 16.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 508 | 43 |
| Jason Vargas L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.71 | 20.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | .300 | 4.39 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 150 | -0.32 | 3.87 | 478 | 42 |
| Jason Lane L 2029 · 5.79 FIP | 38 | SP | 5.79 | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.79 | 164 | 41 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.00 | 10.7% | 7.2% | 1.6% | .309 | 5.36 | 9.8% | 2.0% | 42 | +1.36 | 3.85 | 237 | 40 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.63 | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .337 | 5.23 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 119 | +0.60 | 4.40 | 408 | 39 |
| Tomas Solis L 2025 · 5.86 FIP | 34 | SP | 5.86 | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | .322 | 7.02 | 8.9% | 1.4% | 57 | +1.16 | 4.35 | 327 | 38 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 97 | 17.5% | 7.8% | 1.74 | 5.25 |
| Sam Gaviglio ('19) | 3 | 98 | 19.3% | 6.9% | 1.69 | 4.84 |
| Andrew Suárez ('23) | 3 | 74 | 18.2% | 7.8% | 1.51 | 5.02 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |
| Chris Young ('17) | 3 | 81 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 1.90 | 4.76 |
| Dillon Gee ('17) | 3 | 71 | 16.4% | 6.7% | 1.56 | 4.63 |
| Drew Hutchison ('22) | 5 | 69 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 1.39 | 5.16 |