Dylan Bundy P Syracuse Mets
Age 33 RHP 6'1" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122112vR 103
ERA4.50
FIP4.64
K%21.1%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
K: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -2.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +2.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.06 (53 IP)-0.1WAR
-0.1-0.2-0.4-0.5262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5050
CTRL6060
CMD5050
K†5050
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1089.0
Whiff%
p2221.3%
K%
p1015.8%
xwOBA vs
p380.326
FB-2.5
CH-5.2
SL-7.1

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201522AABowie Baysox8822902550100%2.822.5%6.1%16.4%0.0%3.681.97
201522AABowie Baysox8822902550100%2.827.8%5.6%22.2%0.0%3.681.51
201623MLBBaltimore Orioles3614110474104381839%3.021.9%8.0%13.9%3.5%4.024.20+1.5
201623MLBBaltimore Orioles3614110474104381839%3.021.9%8.0%13.9%3.8%4.024.38+1.3
201724MLBBaltimore Orioles28281706981525126100%6.121.8%7.3%14.5%3.5%4.244.09+2.6
201724MLBBaltimore Orioles28281706981525126100%6.121.8%7.3%14.5%3.7%4.244.20+2.4
201825MLBBaltimore Orioles31311727501845341100%5.524.5%7.1%17.5%5.1%5.454.71+1.4
201825MLBBaltimore Orioles31311727501845341100%5.524.5%7.1%17.5%5.5%5.454.99+0.8
201926MLBBaltimore Orioles30301627001625829100%5.423.1%8.3%14.9%3.9%4.794.31+2.1
201926MLBBaltimore Orioles30301627001625829100%5.423.1%8.3%14.9%4.1%4.794.50+1.7
202027MLBLos Angeles Angels11116626772165100%6.027.0%6.0%21.0%1.9%3.292.65+1.6
202027MLBLos Angeles Angels11116626772165100%6.027.0%6.0%21.0%1.9%3.292.63+1.6
202128MLBLos Angeles Angels23199139784342083%3.921.2%8.6%12.6%5.2%6.065.26-0.1
202128MLBLos Angeles Angels23199139784342083%3.921.2%8.6%12.6%5.0%6.065.24-0.0
202229MLBMinnesota Twins2929140595942824100%4.815.8%4.7%11.1%4.0%4.894.55+1.4
202229MLBMinnesota Twins2929140595942824100%4.815.8%4.7%11.1%4.0%4.894.59+1.3
202330AAASyracuse Mets662512121712100%4.215.3%6.1%9.2%10.8%10.088.53
202330AAASyracuse Mets662512121712100%4.217.4%5.8%11.6%9.9%10.088.50
▸ 2026 Season
202633MLBNYM995422648207100%5.921.1%8.9%12.2%3.3%4.504.64-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202734MLBNYM884920642197100%6.120.2%9.4%10.8%3.6%4.774.95-0.2
202835MLBNYM774418536187100%6.219.3%10.0%9.3%4.0%5.085.28-0.4
202936MLBNYM663916330177100%6.518.2%10.6%7.7%4.3%5.425.65-0.5
202734MLBNYM884920742197100%6.120.2%9.4%10.8%3.6%4.774.95-0.2
202835MLBNYM774418636197100%6.319.3%10.0%9.3%4.0%5.085.28-0.4
202936MLBNYM663916530177100%6.518.2%10.6%7.7%4.3%5.425.65-0.5
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2101841040443595933318588%5.021.6%7.5%14.1%4.2%4.794.51+10.8
/ 200 IP4035200853184643688%5.021.6%7.5%14.1%4.2%4.794.51+2.1
Career202176956409289129116987%4.721.8%7.1%14.7%4.1%4.874.43+10.9
/ 200 IP4237200856186613587%4.721.8%7.1%14.7%4.1%4.874.43+2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Dylan Bundy (OGILVIE) 4.64 21.1%8.9%3.3% 5.27 19.3%9.4%131 +0.63
Tim Lincecum R 2025 · 4.96 FIP 32 SP 4.96 17.9%10.4%3.7%.351 5.91 14.4%-1.1%13 +0.95 4.20 166 77
Josh Lindblom R 2026 · 3.66 FIP 33 SP 3.66 27.2%8.4%3.3%.308 4.62 21.7%13.8%255 +0.96 3.66 348 74
Jair Jurrjens R 2024 · 4.29 FIP 31 SP 4.29 16.3%7.9%2.8%.335 4.29 125 71
Tyler Cloyd R 2025 · 5.10 FIP 32 SP 5.10 18.9%9.5%4.4%.388 3.89 250 70
Corey Kluber R 2026 · 3.63 FIP 33 SP 3.63 22.6%8.9%2.4%.360 3.48 21.4%16.2%244 -0.15 2.27 1,190 69
Matt Garza R 2026 · 4.74 FIP 33 SP 4.74 15.7%8.1%3.5%.283 4.12 365 68
Brandon McCarthy R 2026 · 4.88 FIP 33 SP 4.88 22.5%11.5%4.0%.288 3.86 19.0%12.4%171 -1.02 3.16 248 68
Doug Fister R 2026 · 3.59 FIP 33 SP 3.59 20.1%8.8%1.9%.298 4.80 13.8%7.2%66 +1.21 3.59 455 68
Kris Medlen R 2025 · 5.11 FIP 32 SP 5.11 16.2%10.0%3.8%.306 4.66 261 67
Félix Hernández R 2026 · 5.62 FIP 33 SP 5.62 17.5%7.7%5.5%.301 3.65 682 67
Jeff Samardzija R 2026 · 5.30 FIP 33 SP 5.30 17.0%10.1%4.3%.277 4.87 18.0%11.9%198 -0.43 3.63 885 67
Shaun Marcum R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 33 SP 3.94 17.8%6.0%2.9%.281 3.94 123 67
Juan Delgadillo R 2025 · 4.94 FIP 32 SP 4.94 15.5%7.2%4.1%.316 4.56 10.9%4.7%39 -0.38 4.56 143 67
Hector Ambriz R 2025 · 3.44 FIP 32 SP 3.44 16.0%6.4%1.6%.273 6.28 10.4%2.9%91 +2.84 3.44 155 66
Guillermo Moscoso R 2026 · 3.79 FIP 33 SP 3.79 14.5%6.9%1.9%.270 4.53 14.9%7.5%176 +0.74 3.79 264 66
Ubaldo Jiménez R 2026 · 5.02 FIP 33 SP- 5.02 21.5%9.0%4.7%.325 3.67 469 66
Chris Smith R 2027 · 3.93 FIP 34 SP 3.93 20.0%8.1%2.7%.306 4.55 18.4%10.2%285 +0.62 3.93 413 65
Manuel Flores R 2026 · 4.08 FIP 33 SP 4.08 17.1%7.4%2.7%.291 3.55 515 64
Tyson Ross R 2025 · 5.80 FIP 32 SP 5.80 15.4%11.1%4.7%.304 2.82 449 63
Lucas Harrell R 2025 · 3.64 FIP 32 SP 3.64 16.2%10.5%1.1%.283 3.64 139 63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION44619.8%9.6%1.454.90
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Alex Young ('23)55219.5%8.6%1.614.43
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07