Josh James
P
Memphis Redbirds
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 234 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 133 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.52
FIP4.41
K%26.6%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%15.0%
ROS IP134
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 133 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7596.3
Whiff%
p8430.6%
K%
p6725.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.407
CH+0.6
FB-1.1
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 24 | 18 | 116 | 492 | 89 | 41 | 2 | 75% | 4.8 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 2.63 | 3.49 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 24 | 18 | 116 | 492 | 89 | 41 | 2 | 75% | 4.8 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 0.4% | 2.63 | 2.85 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | 23 | 19 | 110 | 492 | 121 | 40 | 11 | 83% | 4.8 | 18.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 4.81 | 3.70 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | 23 | 19 | 110 | 492 | 121 | 40 | 11 | 83% | 4.8 | 24.6% | 8.1% | 16.5% | 2.2% | 4.81 | 3.29 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 21 | 11 | 76 | 343 | 72 | 32 | 1 | 52% | 3.6 | 17.0% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 0.3% | 4.38 | 3.14 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 21 | 11 | 76 | 343 | 72 | 32 | 1 | 52% | 3.6 | 21.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 0.3% | 4.38 | 2.64 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 24 | 137 | 562 | 200 | 56 | 12 | 83% | 4.7 | 31.5% | 10.5% | 21.0% | 2.4% | 3.08 | 3.11 | +3.7 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 24 | 137 | 562 | 200 | 56 | 12 | 83% | 4.7 | 35.6% | 10.0% | 25.6% | 2.1% | 3.08 | 2.55 | +4.6 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 1 | 65 | 282 | 105 | 37 | 10 | 2% | 1.2 | 37.6% | 13.2% | 24.4% | 3.5% | 5.01 | 3.54 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 1 | 65 | 282 | 105 | 37 | 10 | 2% | 1.2 | 37.2% | 13.1% | 24.1% | 3.5% | 5.01 | 3.58 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Houston Astros | 13 | 2 | 17 | 83 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 15% | 1.3 | 25.3% | 20.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.27 | 6.05 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Houston Astros | 13 | 2 | 17 | 83 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 15% | 1.3 | 25.3% | 20.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.27 | 6.62 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 2 | 26 | 116 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 7% | 1.0 | 28.0% | 9.9% | 18.1% | 0.0% | 3.51 | 1.99 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 2 | 26 | 116 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 7% | 1.0 | 31.0% | 10.3% | 20.7% | 0.9% | 3.51 | 2.20 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 2 | 28 | 132 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 7% | 0.9 | 20.3% | 14.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.51 | 5.48 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 2 | 28 | 132 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 7% | 0.9 | 26.5% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 6.51 | 4.29 | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 9 | 0 | 8 | 51 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 8.6% | 30.9% | -22.3% | 4.1% | 19.96 | 8.56 | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 9 | 0 | 8 | 51 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 9.8% | 29.4% | -19.6% | 3.9% | 19.96 | 11.06 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | STL | 150 | 0 | 157 | 664 | 177 | 77 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.6% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 4.52 | 4.41 | +1.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | STL | 136 | 0 | 143 | 604 | 155 | 73 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 3.4% | 4.64 | 4.71 | +1.2 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | STL | 122 | 0 | 128 | 542 | 134 | 69 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 4.89 | 5.05 | +0.5 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | STL | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.7% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 3.4% | 4.64 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | STL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 4.89 | 5.05 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 82 | 6 | 116 | 500 | 168 | 66 | 19 | 7% | 1.4 | 33.6% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 3.9% | 4.64 | 4.05 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 141 | 10 | 200 | 863 | 290 | 114 | 33 | 7% | 1.4 | 33.6% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 3.9% | 4.64 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 228 | 79 | 583 | 2553 | 585 | 289 | 48 | 35% | 2.6 | 22.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 1.9% | 4.23 | 3.62 | +12.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 78 | 27 | 200 | 876 | 201 | 99 | 16 | 35% | 2.6 | 22.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 1.9% | 4.23 | 3.62 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh James (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 26.6% | 11.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.87 | 25.3% | 12.8% | 272 | +0.46 | — | — | — |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.03 | 18.7% | 9.5% | 4.2% | .278 | 5.32 | 16.9% | 6.9% | 252 | +0.29 | 3.69 | 521 | 59 |
| Tom Koehler R 2024 · 4.71 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.71 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 474 | 58 |
| Garrett Richards R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.41 | 18.6% | 9.6% | 3.0% | .328 | 3.22 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 43 | -1.19 | 2.34 | 577 | 58 |
| Joe Blanton R 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.30 | 22.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | .272 | 3.78 | 23.5% | 17.0% | 124 | +0.48 | 3.13 | 240 | 56 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 52 |
| Angel Sánchez R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 3.6% | .333 | 3.80 | 12.1% | 6.3% | 27 | -1.18 | 3.80 | 284 | 49 |
| Dillon Gee R 2024 · 3.88 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.88 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 380 | 49 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 49 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 49 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 11.3% | 2.1% | .304 | 3.43 | 22.8% | 12.6% | 174 | -0.09 | 3.08 | 349 | 48 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.03 | 20.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | .303 | 3.99 | 22.5% | 16.9% | 190 | -1.04 | 2.03 | 804 | 48 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 23.0% | 8.0% | 2.5% | .252 | 4.01 | 18.9% | 10.0% | 186 | +0.49 | 2.78 | 326 | 48 |
| Scott McGough R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.31 | 28.6% | 9.3% | 4.5% | .266 | 4.20 | 19.6% | 8.9% | 126 | -0.11 | 3.65 | 429 | 47 |
| John Axford R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.81 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.13 | 22.1% | 11.3% | 76 | +0.32 | 3.10 | 197 | 47 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .274 | 3.99 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.41 | 2.78 | 596 | 46 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 46 |
| Mitch Lively R 2024 · 3.49 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.49 | 17.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 158 | 46 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 46 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 46 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 45 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 143 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 1.31 | 4.67 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Josiah Gray ('23) | 3 | 126 | 22.6% | 10.8% | 1.88 | 4.64 |
| Triston McKenzie ('24) | 4 | 105 | 26.0% | 9.4% | 1.52 | 3.94 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |