Josh James
P
Memphis Redbirds
+0.0
WAR
Age 33
RHP
6'3" / 234 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2027
ERA4.79
FIP4.79
xFIP2.58
SIERA2.54
K%21.8%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%10.2%
IP6
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2027
STUF7070
CTRL3030
CMD6565
K†6565
FB Velo
p7596.3
Whiff%
p8430.6%
K%
p6725.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.407
CH+0.6
FB-1.1
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 24 | 18 | 116 | 492 | 89 | 41 | 2 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 0.5% | 2.63 | 3.49 | +2.4 |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | 23 | 19 | 110 | 492 | 121 | 40 | 11 | 18.9% | 9.3% | 2.1% | 4.81 | 3.86 | +1.8 |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 21 | 11 | 76 | 343 | 72 | 32 | 1 | 17.0% | 10.3% | 0.3% | 4.38 | 3.15 | +1.7 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Houston Astros | 29 | 24 | 137 | 562 | 200 | 56 | 12 | 31.5% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 3.08 | 3.06 | +3.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | 52 | 1 | 65 | 282 | 105 | 37 | 10 | 37.6% | 13.2% | 3.6% | 5.01 | 3.59 | +1.0 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Houston Astros | 13 | 2 | 17 | 83 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 25.3% | 20.5% | 4.9% | 7.27 | 6.25 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | 27 | 2 | 26 | 116 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 28.0% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 3.51 | 1.99 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 30 | 2 | 28 | 132 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 20.3% | 14.2% | 3.8% | 6.51 | 5.29 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 9 | 0 | 8 | 51 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 8.6% | 30.9% | 4.3% | 19.96 | 8.62 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | STL | 6 | — | 6 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27.7% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.52 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | STL | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 27.0% | 11.9% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.46 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 228 | 79 | 583 | 2553 | 585 | 289 | 49 | 22.9% | 11.3% | 1.9% | 4.23 | 3.65 | +10.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 78 | 27 | 200 | 876 | 201 | 99 | 17 | 22.9% | 11.3% | 1.9% | 4.23 | 3.65 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh James (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 27.7% | 11.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.46 | 27.0% | 15.1% | 20 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 78 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 77 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 74 |
| Greg Holland R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.53 | 27.0% | 14.5% | 3.4% | .238 | 3.71 | 23.8% | 15.4% | 84 | -0.82 | 1.94 | 268 | 73 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 72 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.52 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 115 | 72 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 71 |
| Nate Jones R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .279 | 5.52 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +1.44 | 2.61 | 157 | 70 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.46 | 25.3% | 11.3% | 1.9% | .304 | 3.46 | 22.4% | 12.4% | 128 | +0.00 | 3.08 | 303 | 70 |
| Kodai Senga R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.69 | 29.7% | 10.9% | 3.1% | .417 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 305 | 69 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.63 | 27.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 316 | 69 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.35 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.35 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 210 | 68 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 68 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.23 | 24.3% | 10.0% | 5.3% | .279 | 6.48 | 10.4% | -2.6% | 17 | +1.25 | 3.46 | 160 | 68 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 68 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2025 · 3.38 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.38 | 24.3% | 12.4% | 1.4% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 129 | 68 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 68 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.28 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | .312 | 5.01 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 49 | -0.27 | 2.30 | 153 | 68 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.18 | 20.0% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .302 | 2.90 | 24.2% | 15.4% | 98 | -1.28 | 2.80 | 284 | 68 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.38 | 24.8% | 12.0% | 1.6% | .356 | 4.65 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 66 | +1.27 | 2.80 | 410 | 67 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.