Albert Suárez
P
Baltimore Orioles
+1.2
WAR
Age 36
RHP
6'3" / 235 lbs
MLB
Svc 10.0 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 1.2 · 2026
ERA4.08
FIP4.34
xFIP5.37
SIERA5.65
K%20.5%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%12.9%
IP114
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.2peak
2026
K†5050
FB+2.1 (52%)
CU (9%)
CT-0.8 (19%)
CH-1.7 (20%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 27 | 27 | 163 | 652 | 121 | 40 | 14 | 15.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 2.98 | 4.06 | +2.3 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 31 | 19 | 130 | 550 | 93 | 35 | 14 | 16.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 4.30 | 4.09 | +1.8 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 24 | 6 | 45 | 191 | 45 | 12 | 6 | 25.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.96 | 3.80 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | 31 | 4 | 63 | 286 | 51 | 33 | 8 | 15.7% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 4.95 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 35 | 25 | 149 | 630 | 125 | 43 | 19 | 19.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 3.93 | 3.92 | +2.3 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 10 | 4 | 24 | 95 | 15 | 7 | 1 | — | — | — | 2.96 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 3 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 5.14 | — | — |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | SF | 18 | 18 | 99 | 419 | 89 | 32 | 12 | 21.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 4.06 | 4.29 | +1.1 |
| 2026 Total | 36 | MLB | SF | — | — | 106 | 448 | 92 | 34 | 14 | 20.4% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 4.13 | 4.01 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | SF | 17 | 17 | 92 | 387 | 73 | 30 | 13 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 4.53 | 4.69 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | SF | 14 | 14 | 78 | 331 | 67 | 24 | 11 | 20.1% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 4.57 | 4.60 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 67 | 284 | 55 | 22 | 10 | 19.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 4.70 | 4.79 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 161 | 85 | 582 | 2433 | 420 | 179 | 69 | 17.3% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 3.91 | 4.12 | +7.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 29 | 200 | 837 | 144 | 62 | 24 | 17.3% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 3.91 | 4.12 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Albert Suárez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.29 | 21.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.69 | 19.4% | 11.8% | 237 | +0.40 | — | — | — |
| Jesse Estrada R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.36 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 257 | 62 |
| Jose Oyervides R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 35 | SP- | 5.39 | 18.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | .254 | 5.76 | 16.3% | 5.1% | 115 | +0.37 | 3.00 | 407 | 59 |
| Walter Silva R 2028 · 4.13 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.13 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.5% | .311 | 3.92 | 10.4% | 3.7% | 209 | -0.21 | 3.67 | 428 | 59 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 58 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 58 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 58 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.46 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.6% | .298 | 5.44 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.98 | 3.21 | 225 | 57 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.52 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 251 | 56 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.32 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 1.4% | .341 | 7.44 | 8.3% | -0.9% | 22 | +4.12 | 3.32 | 209 | 56 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.29 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 326 | 56 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.35 | 13.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 171 | 56 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.37 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 240 | 56 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 55 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 55 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.73 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.99 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.26 | 3.50 | 219 | 55 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.19 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.0% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 244 | 54 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 54 |
| Brandon McCarthy R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.94 | 19.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 248 | 52 |
| Francisco Rodriguez R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.18 | 10.7% | 9.3% | 3.3% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 273 | 51 |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.44 | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.1% | .328 | 3.24 | 14.8% | 10.4% | 69 | -0.20 | 3.00 | 119 | 51 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status FA
MLB Debut 2016
Service 10.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2026
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Ext / FA-deal | $12M | +1.2 | $10M | -$3M |
| Totals | $12M | $10M | -$3M | ||