Scott McGough — OGILVIE

Scott McGough P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 36 RHP 5'11" / 190 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.02

FIP4.99

K%21.5%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1992.3

Whiff%

p8530.8%

p4421.3%

xwOBA vs

p100.377

SI (4%)

FB-0.7 (43%)

SL-4.1 (24%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	33	0	44	184	26	20	2	0%	1.3	11.0%	12.7%	-1.8%	1.9%	3.07	4.82	-0.1
2015	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	33	0	44	184	26	20	2	0%	1.3	14.1%	10.9%	3.3%	1.1%	3.07	3.87	+0.4
2016	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	3	76	338	58	26	8	7%	1.8	14.7%	8.1%	6.5%	3.1%	5.35	4.60	—
2016	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	3	76	338	58	26	8	7%	1.8	17.2%	7.7%	9.5%	2.4%	5.35	3.97	—
2017	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	56	247	61	20	4	0%	1.4	20.7%	8.7%	12.0%	2.0%	2.75	3.55	—
2017	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	56	247	61	20	4	0%	1.4	24.7%	8.1%	16.6%	1.6%	2.75	2.92	—
2018	28	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	43	1	71	315	81	22	13	2%	1.7	22.6%	7.3%	15.3%	3.9%	5.55	4.26	—
2018	28	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	43	1	71	315	81	22	13	2%	1.7	25.7%	7.0%	18.7%	4.1%	5.55	4.12	—
2023	33	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	63	1	70	301	86	28	14	2%	1.1	28.6%	9.3%	19.3%	4.9%	4.73	4.57	-0.0
2023	33	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	63	1	70	301	86	28	14	2%	1.1	28.6%	9.3%	19.3%	4.9%	4.73	4.57	-0.0
2023	33	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	63	1	70	301	86	28	14	2%	1.1	28.6%	9.3%	19.3%	4.7%	4.73	4.44	+0.1
2024	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	2	69	306	62	39	8	3%	1.2	18.2%	12.2%	6.0%	2.7%	5.22	4.59	-0.0
2024	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	2	69	306	62	39	8	3%	1.2	18.2%	12.2%	6.0%	2.7%	5.22	4.59	-0.0
2024	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	2	69	306	62	39	8	3%	1.2	20.3%	12.7%	7.5%	2.6%	5.22	4.51	+0.0
2025	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	57	248	56	19	7	0%	1.3	19.8%	7.2%	12.7%	2.8%	4.29	3.86	+0.5
2025	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	57	248	56	19	7	0%	1.3	19.8%	7.2%	12.7%	2.8%	4.29	3.86	+0.5
2025	35	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	57	248	56	19	7	0%	1.3	22.6%	7.7%	14.9%	2.8%	4.29	3.74	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			108	3	126	561	131	60	24	3%	1.2	23.4%	10.7%	12.7%	4.3%	5.94	4.93	-0.6
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	OAK	4	0	4	17	4	2	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	11.3%	10.2%	3.5%	5.02	4.99	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	OAK	42	0	45	188	38	23	7	0%	1.1	20.4%	11.9%	8.5%	3.9%	5.24	5.39	-0.4
2027	37	MLB CTX	OAK	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.4%	11.9%	8.5%	3.9%	5.24	5.39	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		108	3	126	563	131	60	24	3%	1.2	23.3%	10.7%	12.6%	4.3%	5.94	4.83	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		172	5	200	893	208	95	38	3%	1.2	23.3%	10.7%	12.6%	4.3%	5.94	4.83	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		324	7	443	1939	383	178	61	2%	1.4	19.8%	9.2%	10.6%	3.2%	4.57	4.33	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		146	3	200	876	173	81	28	2%	1.4	19.8%	9.2%	10.6%	3.2%	4.57	4.33	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Scott McGough (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	21.5%	11.3%	3.5%	—	5.39	20.4%	8.5%	45	+0.40	—	—	—
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	79
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	76
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	76
Carlos Torres R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	36	SU	4.28	17.8%	9.0%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	326	75
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	75
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	74
Matt Albers R 2019 · 4.13 FIP	36	SU	4.13	22.1%	10.1%	2.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	244	74
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	72
Felipe Paulino R 2019 · 5.82 FIP	35	SU	5.82	19.2%	9.4%	5.7%	.385	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	150	72
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	71
Jason Motte R 2017 · 5.16 FIP	35	SU	5.16	16.3%	11.4%	3.6%	.193	—	—	—	—	—	3.18	113	71
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	147	71
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	71
Blake Parker R 2021 · 3.86 FIP	36	SU	3.86	20.0%	7.6%	2.7%	.295	5.74	26.0%	14.0%	27	+1.88	2.52	339	71
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	70
Radhames Liz R 2018 · 4.45 FIP	34	SU	4.45	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.343	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	110	70
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	69
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	69
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2019 · 5.11 FIP	35	SW	5.11	25.0%	11.2%	4.9%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	212	68
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2020 · 5.02 FIP	36	SU	5.02	17.5%	12.7%	3.3%	.381	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	132	65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	48	21.0%	11.6%	1.41	5.12
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19