Scott McGough
P
Las Vegas Aviators
Age 36
RHP
5'11" / 190 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA5.00
FIP4.98
K%21.9%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%10.1%
ROS IP51
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1992.3
Whiff%
p8530.8%
K%
p4421.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.377
SI (4%)
FB-0.7 (43%)
SL-4.1 (24%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 33 | 0 | 44 | 184 | 26 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 11.0% | 12.7% | -1.8% | 1.9% | 3.07 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 33 | 0 | 44 | 184 | 26 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.1% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 3.07 | 3.87 | +0.3 |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 3 | 76 | 338 | 58 | 26 | 8 | 7% | 1.8 | 14.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.35 | 5.03 | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 3 | 76 | 338 | 58 | 26 | 8 | 7% | 1.8 | 17.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | 5.35 | 3.97 | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 56 | 247 | 61 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 2.2% | 2.75 | 3.65 | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 56 | 247 | 61 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.7% | 8.1% | 16.6% | 1.6% | 2.75 | 2.92 | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 43 | 1 | 71 | 315 | 81 | 22 | 13 | 2% | 1.7 | 22.6% | 7.3% | 15.3% | 3.4% | 5.55 | 4.00 | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 43 | 1 | 71 | 315 | 81 | 22 | 13 | 2% | 1.7 | 25.7% | 7.0% | 18.7% | 4.1% | 5.55 | 4.12 | — |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 63 | 1 | 70 | 301 | 86 | 28 | 14 | 2% | 1.1 | 28.6% | 9.3% | 19.3% | 4.5% | 4.73 | 4.31 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 63 | 1 | 70 | 301 | 86 | 28 | 14 | 2% | 1.1 | 28.6% | 9.3% | 19.3% | 4.7% | 4.73 | 4.44 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 2 | 69 | 306 | 62 | 39 | 8 | 3% | 1.2 | 18.8% | 13.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 5.22 | 4.51 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 2 | 69 | 306 | 62 | 39 | 8 | 3% | 1.2 | 20.3% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 5.22 | 4.51 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 57 | 248 | 56 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.6% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.29 | 3.82 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 57 | 248 | 56 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.6% | 7.7% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 3.74 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 49 | 0 | 51 | 216 | 47 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 5.00 | 4.98 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | OAK | 42 | 0 | 45 | 188 | 39 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 5.23 | 5.38 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.8% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 5.23 | 5.38 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 108 | 3 | 126 | 563 | 131 | 60 | 24 | 3% | 1.2 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 5.94 | 4.83 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 172 | 5 | 200 | 893 | 208 | 95 | 38 | 3% | 1.2 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 5.94 | 4.83 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 324 | 7 | 443 | 1939 | 387 | 183 | 60 | 2% | 1.4 | 20.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.32 | +5.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 146 | 3 | 200 | 876 | 175 | 83 | 27 | 2% | 1.4 | 20.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Scott McGough (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.98 | 21.9% | 11.8% | 3.4% | — | 5.38 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 45 | +0.40 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 75 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 75 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 75 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 73 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2024 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 73 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.25 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | 326 | 72 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 71 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.28 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.2% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 244 | 71 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 70 |
| Radhames Liz R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.31 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.77 | 110 | 69 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 69 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2025 · 6.00 FIP | 35 | SU | 6.00 | 19.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | .385 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.68 | 150 | 69 |
| Jason Motte R 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.16 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 113 | 69 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 68 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.36 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 144 | 68 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 68 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.86 | 20.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .295 | 5.60 | 26.0% | 14.0% | 27 | +1.74 | 2.61 | 339 | 67 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 66 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 35 | SW | 5.26 | 25.0% | 11.2% | 5.2% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 212 | 66 |
| Salvador Valdez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.24 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .405 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 326 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 48 | 21.4% | 12.1% | 1.38 | 5.11 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |