Dinelson Lamet
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 34
RHP
6'3" / 228 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION48 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.77
FIP4.79
xFIP5.96
SIERA5.19
K%21.9%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%10.1%
IP49
K†5050
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p5494.8
Whiff%
p4124.0%
K%
p5022.1%
xwOBA vs
p100.377
SL+1.5 (46%)
SI (1%)
CH (1%)
FB-1.5 (53%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 26 | 24 | 105 | 441 | 120 | 44 | 9 | 20.1% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 2.99 | 4.36 | +1.3 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 28 | 28 | 150 | 629 | 158 | 60 | 8 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 1.5% | 3.00 | 3.64 | +3.1 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 29 | 29 | 153 | 652 | 189 | 72 | 20 | 28.1% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 4.23 | 3.94 | +2.6 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 20 | 20 | 97 | 413 | 138 | 39 | 16 | 32.7% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 4.55 | 3.95 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 12 | 12 | 69 | 267 | 93 | 20 | 5 | 34.8% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 2.09 | 2.21 | +2.0 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 25 | 9 | 51 | 225 | 63 | 23 | 7 | 27.3% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.24 | 3.82 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 49 | 0 | 51 | 230 | 72 | 24 | 6 | 30.2% | 12.8% | 2.1% | 4.59 | 3.29 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 25 | 11 | 58 | 261 | 59 | 31 | 11 | 21.4% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 7.02 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 22 | 18 | 90 | 403 | 78 | 53 | 11 | 17.1% | 14.2% | 2.3% | 4.68 | 4.73 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 45 | 24 | 6 | 21.9% | 11.8% | 3.0% | 4.77 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 39 | 23 | 6 | 21.0% | 12.4% | 3.4% | 4.98 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 39 | — | 39 | 164 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 19.9% | 13.0% | 3.8% | 5.29 | 5.50 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 236 | 151 | 825 | 3521 | 881 | 394 | 99 | 25.0% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 3.97 | 3.94 | +14.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 37 | 200 | 854 | 214 | 96 | 24 | 25.0% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 3.97 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dinelson Lamet (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 21.9% | 11.8% | 3.0% | — | 5.30 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 83 | +0.51 | — | — | — |
| Alfredo Simon R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.69 | 14.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% | .289 | 5.63 | 12.3% | 2.7% | 74 | +0.94 | 4.69 | 261 | 75 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.28 | 17.9% | 9.8% | 2.6% | .254 | 7.23 | 15.1% | 4.8% | 89 | +2.95 | 3.69 | 521 | 72 |
| Matt Buschmann R 2024 · 4.71 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.71 | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 277 | 69 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez R 2025 · 5.02 FIP | 33 | SP | 5.02 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 469 | 68 |
| James Shields R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 34 | SP | 5.51 | 16.4% | 9.6% | 4.7% | .296 | 4.91 | 18.6% | 9.5% | 336 | -0.60 | 4.36 | 720 | 67 |
| Jason Hammel R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.20 | 18.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | .312 | 4.34 | 15.8% | 9.8% | 127 | +0.14 | 3.43 | 645 | 66 |
| Marco Estrada R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.48 | 21.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .294 | 5.50 | 15.6% | 7.6% | 167 | +1.02 | 4.04 | 710 | 66 |
| Ricky Nolasco R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.98 | 18.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 425 | 65 |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2028 · 5.42 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.42 | 12.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | .309 | 5.00 | 11.6% | 3.0% | 87 | -0.42 | 5.00 | 235 | 63 |
| Mike Fiers R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.87 | 16.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | .250 | 4.69 | 14.4% | 8.2% | 59 | -0.18 | 3.72 | 918 | 63 |
| Aaron Harang R 2029 · 4.54 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.54 | 14.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 172 | 63 |
| Chris Leroux R 2024 · 3.94 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.94 | 13.5% | 8.0% | 1.8% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 219 | 62 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.91 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | .279 | 5.13 | 13.6% | 6.6% | 68 | +0.22 | 4.91 | 225 | 62 |
| Miles Mikolas R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.00 | 15.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | .304 | 4.66 | 15.7% | 11.0% | 389 | +0.66 | 3.06 | 1,241 | 62 |
| Jake Peavy R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.09 | 17.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | .278 | 4.36 | 19.6% | 12.9% | 119 | +0.27 | 4.09 | 262 | 61 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2028 · 4.98 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.98 | 16.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | .309 | 5.53 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 59 | +0.55 | 4.98 | 211 | 60 |
| Jeff Samardzija R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.53 | 18.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | .235 | 8.52 | 7.8% | 2.6% | 17 | +3.99 | 3.63 | 885 | 59 |
| Ervin Santana R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.28 | 19.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% | .241 | 5.78 | 12.7% | 4.4% | 133 | +1.50 | 3.66 | 720 | 59 |
| Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.92 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.92 | 22.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 58 |
| Daniel McCutchen R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.60 | 10.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.47 | 287 | 58 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.