Dinelson Lamet
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
+0.2
WAR
Age 34
RHP
6'3" / 228 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA7.62
FIP4.90
xFIP5.96
SIERA5.19
K%20.5%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%8.7%
IP70
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†5050
FB Velo
p5494.8
Whiff%
p4124.0%
K%
p5022.1%
xwOBA vs
p100.377
SL+1.5 (46%)
SI (1%)
CH (1%)
FB-1.5 (53%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 26 | 24 | 105 | 441 | 120 | 44 | 9 | 20.1% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 2.99 | 4.36 | +1.1 |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 28 | 28 | 150 | 629 | 158 | 60 | 8 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 1.4% | 3.00 | 3.58 | +2.9 |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 29 | 29 | 153 | 652 | 189 | 72 | 20 | 28.1% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 4.23 | 3.94 | +2.4 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 20 | 20 | 97 | 413 | 138 | 39 | 16 | 32.7% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 4.55 | 3.78 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 12 | 12 | 69 | 267 | 93 | 20 | 5 | 34.8% | 7.5% | 1.5% | 2.09 | 1.92 | +2.4 |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 25 | 9 | 51 | 225 | 63 | 23 | 7 | 27.3% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 3.70 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 49 | 0 | 51 | 230 | 72 | 24 | 6 | 30.2% | 12.8% | 2.0% | 4.59 | 3.24 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 25 | 11 | 58 | 261 | 59 | 31 | 11 | 21.4% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 7.02 | 5.36 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 32 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 22 | 18 | 90 | 403 | 78 | 53 | 11 | 17.1% | 14.2% | 2.6% | 4.68 | 4.86 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | SD | 13 | 13 | 70 | 295 | 65 | 35 | 9 | 21.9% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 7.68 | 4.84 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | SD | 12 | 12 | 66 | 278 | 59 | 33 | 9 | 21.2% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 6.06 | 4.99 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | SD | 11 | 11 | 62 | 260 | 53 | 32 | 9 | 20.4% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 5.51 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 236 | 151 | 825 | 3521 | 881 | 394 | 96 | 25.0% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 3.97 | 3.91 | +13.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 37 | 200 | 854 | 214 | 96 | 23 | 25.0% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 3.97 | 3.91 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dinelson Lamet (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 21.9% | 11.8% | 3.1% | — | 5.07 | 20.8% | 8.7% | 127 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.81 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.64 | 3.81 | 208 | 84 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 83 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 83 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 83 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.51 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.0% | .304 | 3.66 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -0.85 | 2.89 | 326 | 81 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.96 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.52 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.56 | 2.57 | 251 | 80 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 80 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2028 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 80 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.18 | 23.7% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .253 | 5.14 | 25.0% | 13.8% | 32 | +0.96 | 3.38 | 212 | 78 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.06 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 4.5% | .318 | 4.34 | 12.6% | 5.9% | 104 | -0.72 | 3.77 | 264 | 77 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 77 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.39 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% | .282 | 4.11 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 67 | -0.28 | 4.11 | 186 | 77 |
| Jared Hughes R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.76 | 18.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% | .224 | 4.37 | 19.3% | 8.3% | 22 | -0.39 | 2.96 | 358 | 75 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.75 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.7% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.31 | 187 | 75 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.94 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 147 | 75 |
| Austin Adams R 2024 · 5.85 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.85 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 5.8% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 162 | 75 |
| Scott McGough R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.59 | 18.8% | 13.0% | 2.6% | .289 | 3.93 | 20.6% | 12.7% | 57 | -0.66 | 3.56 | 429 | 74 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 72 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.10 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 277 | 72 |
| Oscar Villarreal R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.90 | 14.4% | 7.8% | 1.9% | .325 | 5.35 | 8.7% | 0.1% | 13 | +1.45 | 2.53 | 135 | 72 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.