Aidan Miller — OGILVIE

Aidan MillerSS Reading Fightin Phils

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 205 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .314 / .357

PA320

HR7

SB20

K%26

BB%10

ISO137

MLB%12%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 58

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER58

scouting grade only

EYE65

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$17M	+$16M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.0	$21M	+$20M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.4	$22M	+$21M
2030	Arb-1	$8M	+3.7	$22M	+$17M
2031	Arb-2	$13M	+3.8	$21M	+$13M
2032	Arb-3	$18M	+3.6	$18M	+$9M
Totals		$42M		$120M	+$96M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	80	70	16	2	1	0	8	21	2	4	1	229	325	286	611	57	327	26	10	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	80	66	20	3	1	0	12	15	2	4	1	303	425	379	804	76	392	19	15	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	3 teams	—	462	410	86	25	6	9	41	136	10	23	5	210	297	366	663	156	289	29	9	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	3 teams	—	462	395	103	28	6	11	56	100	10	23	5	261	367	446	812	185	323	22	12	362	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	2 teams	—	526	456	104	22	2	12	58	153	10	59	15	228	328	364	692	136	314	29	11	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	2 teams	—	526	432	114	27	2	14	82	123	10	59	15	264	393	433	826	169	337	23	16	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	PHI	—	320	279	62	13	2	7	33	85	5	20	5	222	315	358	674	136	290	27	10	306	93	-3	+2	-0	+3	+9	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	PHI	60%	544	474	108	22	3	14	56	142	9	34	9	228	321	376	696	148	292	26	10	313	97	-2	+3	-1	+6	+15	2.3
2028	24	MLB	PHI	73%	581	507	119	24	3	17	60	149	9	37	9	235	326	394	721	160	294	26	10	322	105	+3	+4	-1	+6	+16	3.0
2029	25	MLB	PHI	78%	603	527	126	25	3	20	62	152	9	38	10	239	329	412	741	173	295	25	10	330	110	+7	+4	-1	+6	+17	3.4
2030	26	MLB	PHI	81%	614	536	128	25	3	21	64	154	9	39	10	239	330	414	744	175	295	25	10	334	114	+9	+4	-1	+7	+17	3.7
2031	27	MLB	PHI	80%	617	537	128	25	3	21	65	156	10	39	10	238	332	413	745	175	295	25	11	334	114	+10	+4	-1	+7	+17	3.8
2032	28	MLB	PHI	79%	613	534	128	25	3	21	65	155	9	37	9	240	332	416	748	176	295	25	11	333	113	+9	+4	-1	+7	+17	3.6
2033	29	MLB	PHI	77%	604	526	125	25	3	20	64	154	9	34	9	238	331	411	741	173	294	25	11	331	112	+8	+3	-2	+6	+17	3.3
2034	30	MLB	PHI	76%	594	517	123	24	3	20	63	153	9	30	8	238	331	412	743	174	293	26	11	329	110	+7	+3	-3	+6	+17	3.0
2035	31	MLB	PHI	76%	581	505	118	23	3	19	62	152	9	25	6	234	328	404	732	170	291	26	11	325	107	+5	+3	-3	+6	+16	2.7
2036	32	MLB	PHI	75%	563	490	112	22	2	18	60	149	8	20	5	229	323	392	714	163	288	26	11	320	103	+2	+2	-4	+6	+16	2.2
2037	33	MLB	PHI	75%	533	464	103	19	2	16	56	144	8	15	4	222	316	375	691	153	284	27	11	313	98	-1	+1	-5	+6	+15	1.6
2038	34	MLB	PHI	71%	485	424	92	17	2	14	51	134	7	10	2	217	311	366	677	149	278	28	11	304	91	-5	+1	-5	+5	+14	1.0
2039	35	MLB	PHI	66%	430	376	79	14	2	12	45	122	6	6	2	210	304	354	658	144	272	28	10	294	83	-8	+0	-6	+5	+12	0.3
2040	36	MLB	PHI	57%	369	323	65	11	2	9	38	108	5	3	1	201	295	331	626	130	265	29	10	284	75	-10	+0	-7	+4	+10	-0.2
2041	37	MLB	PHI	48%	305	267	51	8	1	7	31	91	4	2	0	191	285	307	592	116	258	30	10	272	67	-11	+0	-7	+3	+9	-0.7
2027	23	MLB	PHI	60%	325	283	66	14	2	8	34	85	5	21	5	233	326	382	708	148	295	26	10	303	90	-4	+2	-0	+3	+9	1.1
2028	24	MLB	PHI	73%	424	370	88	18	2	13	44	108	7	27	7	238	330	403	733	165	296	25	10	313	98	-1	+3	-0	+5	+12	1.8
2029	25	MLB	PHI	78%	472	413	99	20	2	16	49	119	7	30	8	240	330	414	745	174	297	25	10	321	104	+2	+3	-1	+5	+13	2.3
2030	26	MLB	PHI	81%	494	432	105	21	3	17	51	124	8	31	8	243	334	424	758	181	297	25	10	325	107	+4	+3	-1	+5	+14	2.6
2031	27	MLB	PHI	80%	492	429	104	21	2	17	52	124	8	31	8	242	335	420	755	177	297	25	11	325	107	+4	+3	-1	+5	+14	2.6
2032	28	MLB	PHI	79%	486	425	102	20	2	17	51	123	7	29	7	240	331	416	748	176	297	25	10	324	106	+4	+3	-1	+5	+14	2.5
2033	29	MLB	PHI	77%	467	407	97	19	2	16	50	119	7	26	7	238	332	413	745	174	296	25	11	323	105	+3	+2	-2	+5	+13	2.2
2034	30	MLB	PHI	76%	453	395	94	19	2	15	48	117	7	23	6	238	331	410	741	172	295	26	11	320	103	+2	+2	-2	+5	+13	2.0
2035	31	MLB	PHI	76%	440	383	91	18	2	15	47	115	7	19	5	238	332	413	744	175	293	26	11	317	100	+0	+2	-3	+5	+12	1.7
2036	32	MLB	PHI	75%	424	370	86	17	2	14	45	112	6	15	4	232	325	403	728	170	290	26	11	311	96	-2	+1	-3	+5	+12	1.3
2037	33	MLB	PHI	75%	401	350	79	15	2	12	42	108	6	11	3	226	319	383	702	157	286	27	10	305	91	-4	+1	-4	+4	+11	0.9
2038	34	MLB	PHI	71%	343	299	65	12	1	10	36	95	5	7	2	217	312	365	676	147	280	28	10	296	85	-6	+1	-4	+4	+10	0.4
2039	35	MLB	PHI	66%	285	249	52	9	1	8	30	81	4	4	1	209	304	349	653	141	274	28	11	286	77	-7	+0	-4	+3	+8	0.0
2040	36	MLB	PHI	57%	211	184	37	6	1	5	22	62	3	2	0	201	297	326	623	125	267	29	10	276	69	-7	+0	-4	+2	+6	-0.3
2041	37	MLB	PHI	48%	147	129	25	4	1	3	15	44	2	1	0	194	288	310	598	116	260	30	10	264	61	-7	+0	-4	+2	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5864	5118	1190	233	27	186	616	1536	89	277	71	233	325	398	723	165	293	26	11	312	97	-20	+27	-32	+63	+166	20.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	132	26	3	21	68	170	10	31	8	233	326	400	726	168	293	26	10	312	97	-2	+3	-4	+7	+18	2.3
Career	—			—	9424	8222	1873	371	49	277	982	2510	147	475	120	228	321	386	707	158	291	27	10	316	100	+2	+47	-48	+101	+267	37.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	129	26	3	19	68	173	10	33	8	228	321	384	705	157	291	27	10	316	100	+0	+3	-3	+7	+18	2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	44	37	8	1	1	0	6	10	1	4	1	216	341	297	638	81	296	23	14	301	89	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	36	29	12	2	0	0	6	5	1	0	0	414	528	483	1.011	69	500	14	17	459	210	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	20	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	22	21	4	0	0	0	0	4	1	1	0	190	227	190	418		235	18	0	198	10	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	20	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	258	225	58	12	6	6	30	57	3	12	4	258	353	444	797	187	321	22	12	355	130	+9	+1	—	—	+7	1.7
2024	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	182	149	41	16	0	5	26	39	6	10	1	275	403	483	887	208	340	21	14	393	159	+12	+2	—	—	+5	1.9
2025	21	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	37	27	9	2	0	1	9	7	1	7	1	333	514	519	1.032	185	421	19	24	462	212	+5	+1	—	—	+1	0.7
2025	21	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	489	405	105	25	2	13	73	116	9	52	14	259	384	427	811	168	331	24	15	366	138	+21	+5	—	—	+14	4.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Carlos Gómezlast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,227 PA	13	5,227	145	268	252	313	411	+11	+80	28.2	26.7
	/162	664	18	34	252	313	411	+1.4	+10.2	3.6	pk7: 25
#2Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	11	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	24.9
	/162	664	20	20	263	315	427	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#3B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	12	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
	/162	664	19	34	243	321	402	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#4Julio Lugolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,290 PA	11	5,290	80	198	270	334	386	+31	+25	23.8	23.1
	/162	664	10	25	270	334	386	+3.9	+3.1	3.0	pk7: 22
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	5,901	184	280	231	321	395	+56	+8	27.0	23.0
	/162	664	21	32	231	321	395	+6.3	+0.9	3.0	pk7: 19
#5Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	10	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
	/162	664	17	18	260	333	416	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#6Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aidan Miller (OGILVIE)	22	48→54	52→58	54	65	221/314/357	136	290	7	20	26%	10%	93	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●B.J. Upton 2007 · MLB	22	52→60	44→60	59→60	49	251/317/368	118	316	11	37	23%	8%	95	+1.4	265/350/411	146	341	15	33	24%	11%	120	+3.1	265/358/417	152	341	15	35	24%	12%	120	+3.2
✕Anthony Volpe 2023 · AAA	22	42→49	54→55	60→55	48	220/301/407	187	268	20	29	26%	8%	99	+1.7	219/284/372	153	274	16	24	25%	8%	82	+0.5	216/279/363	147	269	15	22	25%	7%	76	+0.1
●Desmond Jennings 2010 · AAA	23	55→59	45→50	63→60	51	268/330/405	136	307	11	34	16%	8%	109	+2.4	247/316/380	133	296	12	33	19%	8%	97	+1.5	245/325/405	160	290	16	28	20%	9%	105	+2.2
✕Delino DeShields 2015 · AA	22	47→55	42→45	62→65	45	225/295/333	109	304	9	41	28%	8%	77	+0.1	235/310/338	103	316	7	32	26%	9%	84	+0.6	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
★Yoán Moncada 2017 · MLB	22	49→59	46→55	60	43	229/301/364	135	344	12	33	35%	8%	88	+0.9	239/312/394	155	351	16	17	33%	9%	99	+1.7	275/360/455	180	364	19	5	27%	11%	131	+3.1
●Maikel Garcia 2023 · MLB	23	50→59	42→50	57→60	47	243/299/352	109	307	9	27	23%	8%	82	+0.5	255/311/368	113	311	9	26	20%	8%	92	+1.2	263/322/384	122	308	9	27	17%	8%	99	+1.8
●Luis Rengifo 2019 · AAA	22	49→55	42→55	57→55	47	235/295/353	118	286	8	25	21%	7%	81	+0.4	233/300/361	128	284	12	14	21%	8%	85	+0.7	273/324/436	163	306	19	16	17%	6%	113	+2.0
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	47→54	44→50	61→55	44	226/282/354	129	300	9	28	27%	7%	76	+0.1	240/293/376	136	286	14	16	21%	7%	86	+0.8	254/312/374	120	299	11	11	18%	7%	92	+1.0
★Hanley Ramirez 2007 · MLB	23	56→66	47→60	61→60	49	272/327/427	155	314	12	33	18%	7%	114	+2.7	309/378/519	210	343	22	33	16%	9%	159	+5.8	322/397/543	222	353	25	33	16%	10%	164	+7.0
✕Oswald Peraza 2022 · AAA	22	50→52	47→50	55→60	40	248/294/385	137	317	15	27	26%	5%	89	+1.0	225/284/365	140	282	17	28	26%	6%	81	+0.4	212/279/345	133	261	18	29	25%	6%	70	-0.3
●Gregory Polanco 2015 · MLB	23	50→55	47→60	54→55	48	251/306/392	141	293	15	25	20%	7%	96	+1.5	255/315/407	152	299	15	20	19%	8%	104	+2.0	254/325/453	200	285	22	14	19%	9%	113	+2.3
✕José Rodríguez 2023 · AA	22	50→52	46→50	57→55	43	250/286/381	131	291	13	28	19%	5%	85	+0.7	227/260/350	123	283	14	26	25%	4%	66	-0.6	218/247/333	116	273	15	27	26%	3%	52	-0.7
●Bo Bichette 2020 · MLB	22	53→62	51→60	52→55	44	264/312/436	172	321	17	21	23%	6%	111	+2.5	280/325/463	183	333	21	18	22%	6%	123	+3.3	295/336/472	177	344	22	13	20%	5%	128	+4.1
●Luis Robert Jr. 2020 · AAA	22	47→57	51→60	58→60	35	235/284/401	166	325	17	25	32%	4%	90	+1.0	263/312/441	178	334	21	19	27%	5%	112	+2.6	280/327/492	212	333	28	17	24%	5%	128	+2.7
●Carlos Gómez 2008 · MLB	22	49→58	41→60	62→65	42	236/290/336	100	298	8	39	23%	5%	75	-0.0	242/290/346	104	308	7	30	23%	5%	77	+0.1	279/340/490	211	332	24	40	23%	6%	133	+3.8
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	51→55	59→55	46	204/291/370	166	288	19	24	34%	10%	85	+0.7	246/324/427	181	328	21	21	29%	9%	113	+2.6	236/320/399	164	307	19	21	28%	10%	103	+1.6
★Jimmy Rollins 2002 · MLB	23	55→60	46→60	64→60	50	267/317/406	139	299	12	33	15%	7%	104	+2.0	260/317/399	139	294	10	24	15%	8%	102	+1.9	285/339/477	192	296	18	31	10%	7%	126	+4.5
●Brice Turang 2023 · AAA	23	50→60	43→50	56→60	47	243/300/350	107	307	11	23	24%	8%	82	+0.5	250/312/363	113	307	11	31	21%	8%	91	+1.1	270/345/412	142	330	14	32	21%	10%	114	+2.5
★Jean Segura 2012 · AAA	22	53→63	43→50	58→60	43	255/289/371	115	300	9	24	18%	4%	82	+0.5	263/302/363	100	308	8	31	17%	5%	85	+0.7	306/353/448	141	340	13	24	13%	6%	126	+3.7
●Rocco Baldelli 2004 · MLB	22	57→61	44→55	55	44	277/318/406	128	328	11	21	19%	5%	105	+2.1	280/325/440	160	320	16	17	17%	5%	117	+2.9	278/324/454	176	314	19	16	18%	5%	116	+1.8