Jakob Marsee — OGILVIE

Jakob MarseeCF Miami Marlins

Age 25 L/L 6'0" / 180 lbs MLB HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.343 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION389 act + 259 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 145121vR 112

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .326 / .346

PA259

HR5

SB15

K%22

BB%12

BABIP273

ISO126

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

902.7%

xwOBA

600.320

POWER50

Barrel%

265.1

Avg EV

3087.6

Bat Spd

4470.7

EYE60

Chase%

909.0%

SPEED55

Sprint

6027.9

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 355 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

115

240

—

wRC+

142

◀◀L

wOBA

371

314

◀◀L

ISO

217

123

◀◀L

BABIP

348

293

◀◀L

22.6%

19.6%

▶R

BB%

8.7%

11.7%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.343 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.4	$2M	+$1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.7	$20M	+$19M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.7	$19M	+$18M
2029	Arb-1	$6M	+2.5	$16M	+$12M
2030	Arb-2	$9M	+2.2	$13M	+$7M
2031	Arb-3	$12M	+2.0	$11M	+$4M
Totals		$28M		$80M	+$62M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	133	110	18	4	1	2	20	36	3	15	1	164	308	273	581	109	222	27	15	279	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	133	100	24	7	2	2	30	25	3	15	1	240	429	410	839	170	301	19	23	386	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	686	580	143	13	2	24	87	154	14	62	12	247	358	400	758	153	293	22	13	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	686	548	161	28	4	21	119	122	14	62	12	294	432	474	906	181	342	18	17	404	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	603	515	89	15	4	9	62	162	17	51	7	173	283	270	553	97	231	27	10	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	603	485	97	18	4	10	92	135	17	51	7	200	347	315	662	115	254	22	15	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	663	577	139	30	7	21	67	150	9	61	19	241	329	426	756	185	289	23	10	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	—	663	554	146	32	8	19	90	129	9	61	19	264	375	453	828	190	311	19	14	365	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	MIA	—	389	325	64	11	3	5	50	85	9	19	10	197	320	295	616	98	250	22	13	284	75	-11	-0	-0	+1	+11	0.1
YTD	25	MLB	MIA	—	389	325	64	11	3	5	50	85	9	19	10	197	320	295	616	98	250	22	13	287	78	-10	-0	-0	+1	+11	0.2
ROS	25	MLB	MIA	100%	259	222	49	9	2	5	30	57	5	15	5	220	326	346	673	126	271	22	12	309	95	-2	+1	+2	+1	+7	0.9
ROS	25	MLB	MIA	100%	259	222	48	9	2	5	30	57	5	15	5	216	323	342	665	126	267	22	12	291	81	-6	+1	+2	+1	+7	0.5
FULL	25	MLB	MIA	—	648	547	112	20	5	10	80	142	14	34	15	205	321	314	636	110	257	22	12	287	78	-16	+1	+2	+2	+18	0.7
TOT	25	MLB	MIA	—	648	547	113	20	5	10	80	142	14	34	15	206	323	316	639	110	259	22	12	294	83	-12	+1	+2	+2	+18	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	MIA	100%	660	565	124	23	5	13	77	145	13	39	14	219	327	347	674	127	272	22	12	311	96	-3	+2	+4	+2	+19	2.5
2028	27	MLB	MIA	100%	660	564	124	23	5	13	78	146	13	39	14	220	328	348	676	128	272	22	12	311	96	-3	+2	+4	+2	+19	2.5
2029	28	MLB	MIA	100%	656	560	123	23	5	13	78	146	13	37	13	220	329	348	677	129	272	22	12	310	96	-3	+2	+3	+2	+19	2.4
2030	29	MLB	MIA	100%	643	549	120	22	5	13	77	144	12	33	12	219	328	348	675	129	271	22	12	309	94	-4	+2	+3	+2	+18	2.1
2031	30	MLB	MIA	100%	630	538	117	22	5	12	75	143	12	29	10	217	326	344	670	126	270	23	12	306	92	-5	+2	+2	+2	+18	1.9
2032	31	MLB	MIA	100%	618	527	113	21	5	11	74	142	12	25	9	214	325	336	660	121	268	23	12	302	89	-8	+1	+1	+2	+18	1.5
2033	32	MLB	MIA	100%	605	517	108	20	4	10	72	141	11	20	7	209	318	321	639	112	264	23	12	296	85	-10	+1	+0	+2	+17	1.1
2034	33	MLB	MIA	100%	522	445	91	16	4	8	62	125	10	14	5	204	315	312	628	108	260	24	12	289	80	-12	+1	-1	+2	+15	0.5
2035	34	MLB	MIA	96%	441	378	78	13	3	7	52	108	8	8	3	206	315	312	627	106	267	24	12	289	79	-10	+0	-2	+2	+12	0.2
2027	26	MLB	MIA	100%	660	565	123	23	5	13	77	145	13	39	14	218	325	345	670	127	268	22	12	293	82	-13	+2	+4	+2	+19	1.4
2028	27	MLB	MIA	100%	660	564	123	23	5	13	78	146	13	39	14	218	327	346	672	128	268	22	12	293	82	-13	+2	+4	+2	+19	1.5
2029	28	MLB	MIA	100%	656	560	121	22	5	13	78	146	13	37	13	216	326	343	669	127	267	22	12	292	82	-13	+2	+3	+2	+19	1.3
2030	29	MLB	MIA	100%	643	549	118	22	5	12	77	144	12	33	12	215	324	339	663	124	267	22	12	291	81	-14	+2	+3	+2	+18	1.1
2031	30	MLB	MIA	100%	630	538	115	21	5	12	75	143	12	29	10	214	323	338	661	125	266	23	12	288	79	-15	+2	+2	+2	+18	0.9
2032	31	MLB	MIA	100%	618	527	111	20	5	11	74	142	12	25	9	211	321	330	652	120	263	23	12	284	76	-17	+1	+1	+2	+18	0.5
2033	32	MLB	MIA	100%	605	517	106	19	4	10	72	141	11	20	7	205	315	315	630	110	260	23	12	279	72	-19	+1	+0	+2	+17	0.1
2034	33	MLB	MIA	100%	522	445	90	16	4	8	62	125	10	14	5	202	313	310	623	108	255	24	12	273	67	-20	+1	-1	+2	+15	-0.3
2035	34	MLB	MIA	96%	421	360	72	12	3	6	50	103	8	8	3	200	311	300	611	100	263	24	12	272	67	-16	+0	-2	+2	+12	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5908	5056	1088	205	46	108	695	1340	111	273	98	215	323	338	661	123	270	23	12	290	80	-135	+15	+18	+23	+167	9.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	556	120	23	5	12	76	147	12	30	11	216	322	340	662	124	270	23	12	290	80	-15	+2	+2	+2	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	7779	6647	1436	254	57	161	911	1799	152	448	131	216	324	344	668	128	270	23	12	303	90	-86	+37	+18	+28	+220	22.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	555	120	21	5	13	76	150	13	37	11	216	325	342	667	126	271	23	12	303	90	-7	+3	+1	+2	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	86	67	17	6	1	2	16	15	3	12	1	254	419	463	881	209	300	17	19	396	161	+6	+2	—	—	+2	1.1
2022	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	47	33	7	1	1	0	14	10	0	3	0	212	447	303	750	91	304	21	30	366	138	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	22	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	69	56	16	0	0	3	11	15	1	5	0	286	412	446	858	161	342	22	16	383	151	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2023	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	499	400	109	16	3	13	87	82	10	41	9	273	414	425	839	152	313	16	17	381	150	+28	+5	—	—	+14	4.8
2023	22	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	118	92	36	12	1	5	21	25	3	16	3	391	517	707	1.224	315	484	21	18	513	251	+20	+2	—	—	+3	2.6
2024	23	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	93	80	22	4	0	1	12	20	0	7	0	275	370	362	732	87	356	22	13	333	113	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	510	405	75	14	4	9	80	115	17	44	7	185	343	306	649	121	232	23	16	304	91	-5	+6	—	—	+14	1.5
2025	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	234	209	61	18	3	5	22	48	2	14	6	292	365	478	843	187	357	21	9	371	142	+11	+0	+2	+2	+7	2.3
2025	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	429	345	85	14	5	14	68	81	7	47	13	246	381	438	819	191	282	19	16	361	134	+17	+4	—	—	+12	3.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	234	209	61	18	3	5	22	48	2	14	6	292	365	478	843	187	357	21	9	371	142	+11	+0	+2	+2	+7	2.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	12	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
	/162	664	19	34	243	321	402	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	6,660	127	320	221	324	348	+10	+11	16.7	15.5
	/162	664	13	32	221	324	348	+1.0	+1.0	1.7	pk7: 14
#2Jonathan Villarlast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,934 PA	10	3,934	101	239	255	322	397	+24	-40	12.8	13.9
	/162	664	17	40	255	322	397	+4.0	-6.8	2.2	pk7: 15
#3Cameron Maybinlast yr '20 ASSS career totals — 13 seasons, 4,182 PA	13	4,182	72	182	254	322	375	+9	+6	13.1	12.8
	/162	664	11	29	254	322	375	+1.4	+1.0	2.1	pk7: 13
#4Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#5Jarrod Dysonlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 2,833 PA	12	2,833	21	266	244	314	332	+10	+50	11.8	11.6
	/162	664	5	62	244	314	332	+2.4	+11.7	2.8	pk7: 11
#6Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jakob Marsee (OGILVIE)	25	60	50	55	60	206/323/316	110	259	10	34	22%	12%	83	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leonys Martin 2014 · MLB	26	53→56	47→50	58→60	45	259/310/403	144	304	13	31	20%	6%	101	+1.8	250/302/363	113	307	11	28	21%	7%	87	+0.8	246/302/391	145	311	16	24	25%	7%	91	+0.9
●B.J. Upton 2010 · MLB	25	54→60	47→60	56→60	56	258/344/401	143	327	13	35	24%	11%	115	+2.7	241/320/423	182	303	19	34	26%	10%	111	+2.5	237/314/436	198	292	23	35	26%	10%	108	+2.4
●Desmond Jennings 2012 · MLB	25	51→59	47→50	62→60	51	250/323/394	144	294	14	32	20%	8%	104	+2.0	243/317/393	150	290	15	25	20%	9%	102	+1.8	240/316/387	148	285	14	23	20%	9%	97	+1.5
●Cameron Maybin 2012 · MLB	25	55→60	46→50	60→55	48	263/324/400	137	331	12	27	23%	8%	105	+2.1	244/306/368	124	298	11	24	21%	8%	90	+1.0	259/332/373	114	311	10	30	19%	9%	99	+1.4
●Jake McCarthy 2023 · MLB	26	51→59	49→50	62→60	46	251/315/408	156	318	15	33	25%	7%	105	+2.1	257/320/382	125	308	11	32	19%	7%	99	+1.7	263/323/401	137	306	11	27	17%	6%	102	+1.3
●Michael Bourn 2008 · MLB	25	52→62	40→45	67→65	47	247/304/343	95	316	6	38	23%	7%	82	+0.5	253/316/341	88	321	5	46	21%	8%	86	+0.8	274/337/375	101	350	5	38	21%	8%	101	+2.0
●Drew Stubbs 2010 · MLB	25	49→51	42→50	57→60	45	233/297/341	109	320	9	31	28%	8%	79	+0.3	236/306/369	133	321	15	32	29%	9%	91	+1.1	230/304/364	134	313	16	33	30%	9%	86	+0.8
✕Peter Bourjos 2012 · MLB	25	51→56	48→50	61→60	43	251/300/404	153	304	13	25	22%	5%	96	+1.5	239/298/368	129	306	11	16	25%	6%	87	+0.8	240/282/379	139	307	10	8	24%	5%	78	+0.1
★Jacoby Ellsbury 2009 · MLB	25	59→66	42→55	64→65	49	284/335/394	110	318	8	41	14%	6%	108	+2.3	286/340/419	133	313	12	44	12%	7%	117	+2.9	288/343/447	160	315	16	37	14%	7%	123	+3.1
✕Josh Rojas 2020 · MLB	26	46→54	47→50	55	49	230/296/376	146	276	14	25	22%	8%	89	+0.9	243/316/375	132	305	12	19	23%	10%	96	+1.5	251/325/369	118	318	10	18	23%	10%	95	+1.2
●Ender Inciarte 2016 · MLB	25	57→63	40→45	55→60	47	273/311/368	95	302	7	24	12%	5%	91	+1.1	285/336/389	104	320	7	19	13%	7%	107	+2.2	283/339/387	103	318	7	20	13%	7%	103	+2.1
✕Flavio Romero 2007 · AAA	27	50→57	44→45	55→60	53	245/323/359	114	293	12	31	20%	9%	95	+1.4	236/324/329	93	292	7	23	20%	11%	88	+0.9	240/335/317	78	296	5	20	19%	12%	88	+0.6
✕Julio Borbon 2011 · MLB	25	57→62	38→45	56→60	46	273/313/351	78	307	6	27	13%	5%	87	+0.8	259/303/355	96	298	7	25	15%	5%	85	+0.7	258/306/358	100	299	7	28	16%	6%	84	+0.4
✕Corey Patterson 2007 · MLB	27	49→54	51→55	60	43	251/294/410	159	294	19	34	22%	5%	96	+1.5	240/277/373	133	275	14	32	18%	4%	79	+0.3	236/273/356	120	296	11	28	23%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Roger Cedeno 2001 · MLB	26	55→60	46→45	59→65	63	267/361/395	128	304	13	36	16%	13%	120	+3.1	271/328/376	105	315	8	36	16%	8%	100	+1.7	270/323/368	99	314	7	34	16%	7%	92	+1.1
●Gregory Polanco 2016 · MLB	24	52→55	45→60	54→55	50	254/313/386	133	300	12	24	19%	8%	98	+1.6	255/321/432	177	293	19	17	19%	9%	113	+2.6	254/325/453	200	285	22	14	19%	9%	113	+2.3
✕Jace Peterson 2015 · MLB	25	53→58	39→50	57→55	52	250/316/347	97	303	5	25	18%	8%	88	+0.9	235/313/334	99	290	7	13	20%	10%	84	+0.6	243/319/402	159	297	17	19	23%	9%	101	+1.2
●Akil Baddoo 2023 · MLB	24	50→54	47→55	54→55	51	244/320/385	140	320	13	22	26%	10%	100	+1.7	226/304/394	168	290	18	25	27%	10%	97	+1.5	222/303/408	186	279	21	28	27%	10%	96	+1.1
✕Collin Cowgill 2012 · MLB	26	53→56	45→50	57→55	47	259/314/387	128	313	11	24	21%	7%	98	+1.6	245/300/361	116	308	12	16	23%	7%	85	+0.7	235/297/359	124	297	14	9	25%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Kevin Kiermaier 2017 · MLB	27	50→55	50→55	58→55	49	251/311/415	164	285	16	22	18%	7%	105	+2.1	239/302/405	166	287	18	20	22%	7%	98	+1.6	248/311/389	141	317	12	17	24%	7%	94	+0.8