Jakob Marsee — OGILVIE

Jakob MarseeCF Miami Marlins

Age 25 L/L 6'0" / 180 lbs MLB HR -4%BB +3% Svc 0.343 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 2.6 · 2027

wRC+†vL 13691vR 105

AVG/OBP/SLG.249 / .337 / .401

PA354

HR9

SB26

K%22

BB%10

xwOBA.287

Barrel%2.8%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

50→50

SPD

55→55

EYE

58↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.1peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.343 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$10M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.6	$21M	+$21M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.6	$22M	+$21M
2029	Arb-1	$6M	+2.5	$22M	+$16M
2030	Arb-2	$9M	+2.3	$21M	+$12M
2031	Arb-3	$12M	+2.0	$19M	+$6M
Totals		$29M		$115M	+$86M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	2 teams	133	110	19	5	1	2	20	36	3	15	1	.173	.316	.291	.607	.118	.236	27	15	.283	75	-4	+3	+0	+0	+4	0.3
2023	22	A+	3 teams	686	582	135	14	2	18	85	149	14	62	12	.232	.344	.356	.699	.124	.279	22	12	.313	97	-2	+8	+0	+2	+19	2.8
2024	23	AA	2 teams	603	515	87	15	4	9	62	167	17	51	7	.169	.279	.266	.545	.097	.228	28	10	.247	47	-36	+7	+0	+2	+17	-1.0
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	663	577	136	30	5	19	67	148	9	61	19	.236	.325	.404	.728	.168	.283	22	10	.314	99	-1	+5	+2	+2	+19	2.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	114	95	17	1	2	1	16	24	2	9	1	.179	.310	.263	.573	.084	.225	21	14	.269	64	-5	+1	-0	+0	+3	0.0
ROS	25	MLB	MIA	240	207	49	9	2	5	27	53	4	17	4	.237	.336	.372	.708	.135	.290	22	11	.322	104	+1	+2	+2	+1	+7	1.3
TOT	25	MLB	MIA	354	302	66	10	4	6	43	77	6	26	5	.219	.328	.338	.665	.119	.271	22	12	.305	91	-3	+3	+2	+1	+10	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB	MIA	415	359	86	15	4	10	47	72	6	30	6	.240	.337	.387	.725	.148	.271	17	11	.326	108	+4	+4	+4	+1	+12	2.4
2028	27	MLB	MIA	421	364	87	15	4	10	48	73	6	30	6	.239	.337	.385	.722	.146	.271	17	11	.326	108	+4	+4	+4	+2	+12	2.5
2029	28	MLB	MIA	422	365	87	15	4	10	48	74	6	30	6	.238	.337	.384	.720	.145	.271	18	11	.325	107	+3	+4	+3	+2	+12	2.4
2030	29	MLB	MIA	414	358	85	15	4	10	47	74	6	28	5	.237	.336	.385	.721	.148	.271	18	11	.323	105	+3	+4	+2	+1	+12	2.2
2031	30	MLB	MIA	407	351	81	14	3	9	47	74	6	27	5	.231	.332	.365	.696	.134	.270	18	12	.320	103	+2	+3	+1	+1	+12	2.0
2032	31	MLB	MIA	392	338	79	14	3	9	45	73	6	24	4	.234	.334	.373	.707	.139	.269	19	11	.317	101	+0	+3	+1	+1	+11	1.7
2033	32	MLB	MIA	373	322	74	13	3	8	43	71	5	21	3	.230	.330	.363	.693	.134	.268	19	12	.312	97	-1	+3	-0	+1	+11	1.4
2034	33	MLB	MIA	343	296	67	11	3	7	39	68	5	18	3	.226	.326	.355	.681	.128	.267	20	11	.307	93	-3	+2	-1	+1	+10	1.0
2035	34	MLB	MIA	299	259	57	10	2	6	34	62	4	15	2	.220	.320	.344	.663	.124	.265	21	11	.301	89	-4	+2	-2	+1	+8	0.6
2036	35	MLB	MIA	247	214	46	8	2	4	28	53	3	12	1	.215	.314	.327	.641	.112	.264	21	11	.294	83	-5	+2	-3	+1	+7	0.2
2037	36	MLB	MIA	190	164	36	6	2	3	21	43	3	9	1	.220	.319	.335	.655	.116	.262	23	11	.286	77	-5	+1	-5	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6248	5381	1211	209	48	139	708	1290	103	450	85	.225	.327	.359	.686	.134	.269	21	11	.308	94	-44	+56	+7	+22	+177	22.3
/ 162G	—			650	560	126	22	5	14	74	134	11	47	9	.225	.328	.357	.685	.132	.270	21	11	.308	94	-5	+6	+1	+2	+18	2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	86	67	17	6	1	2	16	15	3	12	1	.254	.419	.463	.881	.209	.300	17	19	.396	161	+6	+2	—	—	+2	1.1
2022	21	ROK	ACL Padres	47	33	7	1	1	0	14	10	0	3	0	.212	.447	.303	.750	.091	.304	21	30	.366	138	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	22	AA	San Antonio Missions	69	56	16	0	0	3	11	15	1	5	0	.286	.412	.446	.858	.161	.342	22	16	.383	151	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2023	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	499	400	109	16	3	13	87	82	10	41	9	.273	.414	.425	.839	.152	.313	16	17	.381	150	+28	+5	—	—	+14	4.8
2023	22	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	118	92	36	12	1	5	21	25	3	16	3	.391	.517	.707	1.224	.315	.484	21	18	.513	251	+20	+2	—	—	+3	2.6
2024	23	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	93	80	22	4	0	1	12	20	0	7	0	.275	.370	.362	.732	.087	.356	22	13	.333	113	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	510	405	75	14	4	9	80	115	17	44	7	.185	.343	.306	.649	.121	.232	23	16	.304	91	-5	+6	—	—	+14	1.5
2025	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	234	209	61	18	3	5	22	48	2	14	6	.292	.365	.478	.843	.187	.357	21	9	.371	142	+11	+0	+2	+2	+7	2.3
2025	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	429	345	85	14	5	14	68	81	7	47	13	.246	.381	.438	.819	.191	.282	19	16	.361	134	+17	+4	—	—	+12	3.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			234	209	61	18	3	5	22	48	2	14	6	.292	.365	.478	.843	.187	.357	21	9	.371	142	+11	+0	+2	+2	+7	2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jakob Marsee (OGILVIE)	25	60	50	55	60	.236/.332/.376	.140	.270	8	26	17%	11%	104	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Desmond Jennings 2012 · MLB	25	52→59	46→50	62→60	51	.253/.323/.393	.140	.298	13	33	19%	8%	104	+2.0	.249/.322/.395	.146	.300	14	26	21%	9%	104	+2.0	.248/.324/.393	.145	.298	13	23	20%	9%	99	+1.6
●Jonathan Villar 2017 · MLB	26	52→58	46→50	62→65	49	.250/.322/.383	.133	.334	13	46	28%	9%	101	+1.8	.262/.327/.405	.143	.348	15	37	27%	9%	108	+2.3	.264/.326/.407	.144	.345	17	35	27%	8%	106	+2.0
★Jacoby Ellsbury 2009 · MLB	25	59→66	42→55	64→65	49	.285/.336/.395	.110	.320	8	39	14%	6%	108	+2.3	.286/.339/.416	.130	.314	11	45	12%	7%	116	+2.8	.291/.346/.448	.157	.318	17	37	14%	7%	123	+3.2
●Mallex Smith 2018 · MLB	25	54→61	40→45	64→65	47	.258/.312/.358	.101	.327	6	40	22%	7%	89	+0.9	.251/.316/.360	.109	.320	6	40	22%	8%	92	+1.2	.247/.319/.355	.108	.318	5	47	22%	8%	88	+0.6
●B.J. Upton 2011 · MLB	26	51→60	48→60	59→60	55	.246/.332/.401	.154	.314	13	37	24%	11%	109	+2.4	.239/.314/.416	.177	.305	20	30	27%	10%	106	+2.2	.229/.304/.399	.170	.293	21	28	28%	9%	94	+1.2
✕Roger Cedeno 2001 · MLB	26	54→60	46→45	58→65	62	.266/.359/.395	.129	.302	13	34	16%	13%	119	+3.1	.272/.330/.377	.105	.316	9	37	16%	8%	102	+1.8	.270/.323/.368	.099	.314	7	34	16%	7%	92	+1.1
●Esteury Ruiz 2023 · MLB	24	51→57	49→50	66→70	46	.252/.330/.408	.155	.313	16	54	24%	7%	111	+2.5	.255/.323/.386	.131	.317	13	61	23%	6%	102	+1.9	.254/.323/.382	.127	.317	13	71	23%	6%	98	+1.0
✕Jake McCarthy 2023 · MLB	26	51→60	49→50	62→60	45	.251/.315/.410	.159	.320	16	32	26%	7%	105	+2.1	.258/.320/.384	.126	.310	11	32	20%	7%	100	+1.7	.252/.316/.362	.110	.298	9	32	18%	6%	89	+0.8
●Rafael Furcal 2002 · MLB	24	57→62	40→50	57→60	57	.272/.348/.371	.098	.316	7	35	16%	10%	108	+2.3	.277/.334/.400	.123	.313	10	25	14%	8%	109	+2.4	.284/.352/.424	.140	.310	12	33	12%	9%	118	+3.4
✕Leonys Martin 2014 · MLB	26	52→55	47→50	58→60	45	.258/.309/.402	.144	.302	12	30	19%	6%	100	+1.7	.249/.301/.364	.115	.305	11	29	21%	6%	86	+0.8	.241/.297/.381	.140	.306	16	24	26%	7%	85	+0.6
●Carl Crawford 2007 · MLB	25	60→65	49→55	72→65	47	.295/.333/.460	.165	.318	14	45	13%	5%	124	+3.4	.296/.340/.447	.151	.335	13	42	15%	6%	124	+3.4	.291/.346/.446	.155	.325	14	44	14%	7%	122	+3.3
✕Alex Sanchez 2003 · MLB	26	56→61	38→40	62→65	51	.263/.319/.348	.085	.306	4	39	15%	7%	89	+0.9	.283/.318/.363	.080	.328	4	40	14%	5%	92	+1.2	.295/.322/.370	.075	.341	3	41	14%	3%	93	+0.8
✕Flavio Romero 2007 · AAA	27	51→57	45	54→60	53	.248/.324/.367	.119	.293	12	31	20%	9%	98	+1.6	.237/.324/.332	.095	.292	8	24	20%	11%	89	+0.9	.240/.335/.317	.078	.296	5	20	19%	12%	88	+0.6
●José Reyes 2008 · MLB	25	58→68	46→55	71→65	54	.282/.337/.431	.149	.302	11	52	11%	8%	118	+3.0	.284/.344/.441	.157	.306	12	42	11%	8%	124	+3.4	.296/.353/.434	.137	.312	10	33	8%	8%	115	+2.7
●Brett Gardner 2011 · MLB	27	56→59	40→55	69→65	58	.262/.350/.367	.105	.318	5	45	18%	12%	108	+2.3	.261/.346/.378	.117	.315	7	39	18%	11%	109	+2.4	.248/.332/.422	.175	.280	19	16	18%	10%	111	+2.5
●Michael Bourn 2008 · MLB	25	53→62	39→45	66→65	46	.251/.306/.345	.094	.323	6	36	23%	7%	83	+0.6	.253/.315/.340	.087	.321	5	46	21%	8%	85	+0.7	.276/.342/.360	.084	.347	2	52	19%	9%	96	+1.6
★Jean Segura 2014 · MLB	24	56→64	42→50	60	44	.271/.309/.378	.107	.310	9	34	16%	5%	93	+1.3	.265/.304/.371	.106	.301	9	27	15%	4%	89	+0.9	.304/.351/.439	.135	.338	12	24	13%	6%	123	+3.5
●Juan Pierre 2003 · MLB	25	63→68	36→40	60→65	52	.297/.343/.367	.070	.314	2	36	7%	6%	104	+2.0	.297/.347/.372	.075	.314	2	42	6%	6%	107	+2.2	.295/.347/.369	.074	.311	2	45	5%	6%	103	+2.4
●Julio Borbon 2010 · MLB	24	58→61	39→40	58→60	47	.277/.320/.363	.086	.312	6	34	14%	5%	93	+1.3	.267/.307/.347	.080	.306	5	27	14%	5%	84	+0.6	.278/.311/.346	.068	.324	5	28	15%	4%	82	+0.4
●Luis Castillo 2002 · MLB	26	61→71	37→40	60→65	60	.286/.366/.361	.075	.334	3	39	15%	11%	112	+2.6	.294/.362/.366	.072	.333	4	31	12%	10%	111	+2.5	.294/.373/.363	.069	.320	4	17	9%	11%	113	+2.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)