Jakob Marsee

CF Miami Marlins
Age 26 L/L 6'0" / 180 lbs MLB HR -10%H -3% Svc 1.343 · Ctrl thru 2031
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423AAA/AAMIA603.200/.347/.315105157—.175/.288/.269
202524AAAMIA429.246/.381/.438144788—.214/.317/.373
202524MLBMIA234.292/.365/.4785141472.4
202625MLBMIA616.231/.348/.35911231092.2
2027PROJ26MLBMIA587.228/.332/.35711281042.3
2028PROJ27MLBMIA614.227/.331/.35411281032.3
2029PROJ28MLBMIA614.225/.329/.35011251022.1
Last 3 seasons WAR 4.6  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 6.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2031Service1.343First FA2032
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$6M2030Arb-2$8M2031Arb-3$11M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026
xwOBA63
Speed60
Bat Spd44
Avg EV32
Barrel%25
Form.253/.350/.410 ▲▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .235/.336/.374
CompsLeonys Martin (age 26) · Bryson Stott (age 26) · Josh Rojas (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 101104vR 104
AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .332 / .357
PA587
HR11
SB28
K%21
BB%11
BABIP277
ISO131
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +3.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+3BATRUN: +4.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: +1.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +12.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: +2.70+2.7WAR
0.01.53.02.72.32.11.71.427282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$56M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026
CONTACT60
xAVG
420.245
POWER50
Barrel%
255.0
Avg EV
3287.7
Bat Spd
4470.7
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
Sprint
6027.9
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%18%▲▲17% over 107 PA (60d) · proj 21%
BB%11%·11% over 107 PA (60d) · proj 11%
ISO.157▲.191 over 89 AB (60d) · proj .138
HR/BB3.5%·4.2% over 71 BBE (60d) · proj 3.0%
BABIP.294▲.382 over 68 BIP (60d) · proj .287
SLASH.253/.350/.410▲▲proj .235/.336/.374
Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 355 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
115
240
—
wRC+
137
98
◀◀L
wOBA
371
314
◀◀L
ISO
217
123
◀◀L
BABIP
348
293
◀◀L
K%
22.6%
19.6%
▶R
BB%
8.7%
11.7%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   1.343 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.7$23M+$22M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.3$17M+$16M
2029Arb-1$6M+2.1$14M+$10M
2030Arb-2$8M+1.7$11M+$5M
2031Arb-3$11M+1.4$8M+$1M
Totals $26M $73M +$54M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202221 ALake Elsinore Storm — 8667 17612 16153 121 254419463881 209300 1719 396 88 — — — — — —
202221 ROKACL Padres — 4733 7110 14100 30 212447303750 91304 2130 366 55 — — — — — —
202322 AASan Antonio Missions — 6956 16003 11151 50 286412446858 161342 2216 383 120 — — — — — —
202322 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 499400 10916313 878210 419 273414425839 152313 1617 381 101 — — — — — —
202322 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 11892 361215 21253 163 3915177071.224 315484 2118 513 234 — — — — — —
202423 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 9380 22401 12200 70 275370362732 87356 2213 333 72 — — — — — —
202423 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 510405 751449 8011517 447 185343306649 121232 2316 304 54 — — — — — —
202524 MLBMiami Marlins — 234209 611835 22482 146 292365478843 187357 219 371 147 +13 +0 +2 +2 +5 2.4
202524 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 429345 8514514 68817 4713 246381438819 191282 1916 361 88 — — — — — —
202625 MLBMiami Marlins — 616516 11919711 7812615 2312 231348359707 128284 2013 322 109 +7 -0 -0 +2 +13 2.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 850725 180371016 10017417 3718 248353393746 145305 2012 335 113 +13 +0 +2 +5 +18 4.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202221 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 8672 14412 11213 121 194326361687 167242 2413 298 88 — — — — — —
202221 ROK MLEACL Padres — 4739 6110 8150 30 154298231529 77243 3217 249 55 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 6958 16003 9191 50 276382431813 155333 2813 345 120 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 499424 10112213 6310310 419 238350368718 130278 2113 317 101 — — — — — —
202423 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 9383 20301 9240 70 241315313628 72320 2610 275 72 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos — 510430 701347 5513517 447 163283260543 98208 2611 248 54 — — — — — —
202524 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 234209 642035 22482 146 306378502880 196357 219 386 147 +13 +0 +2 +2 +5 2.4
202524 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 429365 7812512 481007 4713 214317373689 159248 2311 298 88 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 616517 12421812 7712615 2312 240355381736 141284 2012 329 109 +7 -0 -0 +2 +13 2.2
202221 A MLE2 teams — 133110 20522 20363 151 182323318641 136250 2715 281 76 — — — — — —
202221 A RAW2 teams — 133100 24722 30253 151 240429410839 170301 1923 386 76 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE3 teams — 686581 14014319 8614714 6212 241352373726 133289 2113 320 103 — — — — — —
202322 A+ RAW3 teams — 686548 16128421 11912214 6212 294432474906 181342 1817 404 103 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLE2 teams — 603513 891648 6415917 517 173286267553 94232 2611 252 57 — — — — — —
202423 AA RAW2 teams — 603485 9718410 9213517 517 200347315662 115254 2215 308 57 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLE2 teams — 663574 14232817 701489 6119 247338420758 172303 2211 329 109 — — — — — —
202524 AAA RAW2 teams — 663554 14632819 901299 6119 264375453828 190311 1914 365 109 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 616517 12421812 7712615 2312 240355381736 141295 2012 329 109 +7 -0 -0 +2 +13 2.2
202625 MLB RAWMiami Marlins — 616516 11919711 7812615 2312 231348359707 128284 2013 322 109 +7 -0 -0 +2 +13 2.2
202221 A MLE2 teams — 133109 20522 20363 151 183323321644 138242 2715 281 76 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE3 teams — 686581 14014319 8614714 6212 241352373726 133285 2113 320 103 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLE2 teams — 603517 891648 6415917 517 172286265551 93225 2611 252 57 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLE2 teams — 663579 14232817 701489 6119 245338416755 171286 2211 329 109 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 616519 12421812 7712615 2312 239355380734 141284 2012 329 109 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 AA MLE2 teams — 603517 891648 6415917 517 172286265551 93225 2611 252 57 — — — — — —
202524 AAA MLE2 teams — 663579 14232817 701489 6119 245338416755 171286 2211 329 109 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 616519 12421812 7712615 2312 239355380734 141284 2012 329 109 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEMIA 100% 632543 12725612 7213212 307 236339374713 138287 2111 322 104 +3 +3 +2 +2 +14 2.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXMIA 100% 587504 11521611 6712311 286 228332357689 129277 2111 313 104 +3 +3 +1 +2 +13 2.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEMIA 100% 614526 12424612 7113012 287 235338371709 136286 2112 321 103 +3 +3 +2 +2 +13 2.3
202928 MLB MLEMIA 100% 614527 12224611 7013112 256 233336366703 134286 2111 319 102 +1 +3 +1 +2 +13 2.1
203029 MLB MLEMIA 100% 614528 12224611 7013311 226 231333360694 130284 2211 315 99 -0 +2 +0 +2 +13 1.7
203130 MLB MLEMIA 100% 606521 11923610 6913311 185 227330352682 125283 2211 311 96 -3 +2 -1 +2 +13 1.4
203231 MLB MLEMIA 100% 583502 1122259 6613010 124 223325342667 119280 2211 304 92 -5 +1 -1 +2 +13 0.9
203332 MLB MLEMIA 100% 493427 911747 551128 63 217319329647 112275 2311 297 87 -8 +0 -2 +2 +11 0.3
203433 MLB MLEMIA 100% 458397 831546 501078 22 210311313623 103270 2311 287 80 -11 -0 -3 +2 +10 -0.3
202827 MLB CTXMIA 100% 614526 11922611 7113012 287 227331354685 128277 2112 312 103 +3 +3 +2 +2 +13 2.3
202928 MLB CTXMIA 100% 614527 11922611 7013112 256 225329350679 125276 2111 309 102 +1 +3 +1 +2 +13 2.1
203029 MLB CTXMIA 100% 614528 11822610 7013311 226 223327344671 121275 2211 306 99 -0 +2 +0 +2 +13 1.7
203130 MLB CTXMIA 100% 606521 11421510 6913311 185 220323337660 117273 2211 302 96 -3 +2 -1 +2 +13 1.4
203231 MLB CTXMIA 100% 583502 1092059 6613010 124 215318327645 111270 2211 296 92 -5 +1 -1 +2 +13 0.9
203332 MLB CTXMIA 100% 493427 901647 551128 63 210312314626 104266 2311 289 87 -8 +0 -2 +2 +11 0.3
203433 MLB CTXMIA 100% 458397 811446 501078 22 203305299604 96261 2311 279 80 -11 -0 -3 +2 +10 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 48324153 9301744680 551105089 15051 224328346673 122279 2211 306 96 -10 +10 -3 +19 +105 12.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650559 12523611 7414112 207 224327345672 122278 2211 306 96 -1 +1 -0 +3 +14 1.7
Career— MLE — 72706227 140726068136 8351615141 35390 226331355686 129282 2211 309 96 -7 +13 -1 +21 +117 14.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650557 12523612 7514413 328 224331352683 127280 2212 309 96 -1 +2 -0 +3 +14 1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 429 PAwOBA .354 → .298 (−56)K% 18.9% → 23.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.88%÷0.978×1.200——23.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.85%÷1.027×0.690—×1.04811.16%
HBP% /PA1.63%—×0.940—×1.0481.61%
Singles /BIP19.70%÷1.051×0.930×0.978×1.04817.86%
Doubles /BIP5.30%÷1.023×0.830×0.978×1.0484.41%
Triples /BIP1.89%÷1.150×0.970×0.978×1.0481.64%
Home runs /BIP5.30%÷0.903×0.700—×1.0484.31%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .354 → .298; ISO .191 → .164; BABIP .282 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 510 PAwOBA .299 → .248 (−51)K% 22.5% → 26.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.55%÷1.039×1.220——26.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.69%÷1.016×0.680—×1.02710.78%
HBP% /PA3.33%—×0.840—×1.0272.88%
Singles /BIP16.55%÷0.989×0.920×0.950×1.02715.02%
Doubles /BIP4.83%÷1.034×0.910×0.950×1.0274.15%
Triples /BIP1.38%÷0.909×0.880×0.950×1.0271.30%
Home runs /BIP3.10%÷1.064×0.800—×1.0272.40%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 82, K 108, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .299 → .248; ISO .121 → .105; BABIP .232 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 93 PAwOBA .325 → .275 (−50)K% 21.5% → 25.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.51%÷0.999×1.200——25.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.90%÷1.005×0.690—×1.0509.30%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP28.33%÷1.016×0.930×0.950×1.05025.86%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷0.970×0.830×0.950×1.0505.69%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.985×0.970×0.950×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP1.67%÷0.925×0.700—×1.0501.32%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .325 → .275; ISO .087 → .073; BABIP .356 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 499 PAwOBA .373 → .317 (−56)K% 16.4% → 20.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.43%÷1.014×1.270——20.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.23%÷0.983×0.710—×1.01212.59%
HBP% /PA2.00%—×0.790—×1.0121.60%
Singles /BIP24.21%÷0.956×0.920×0.960×1.01222.64%
Doubles /BIP5.03%÷1.118×0.810×0.960×1.0123.54%
Triples /BIP0.94%÷1.150×0.850×0.960×1.0120.68%
Home runs /BIP4.09%÷0.848×0.800—×1.0123.90%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 91, 2B 124, 3B 130, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .373 → .317; ISO .152 → .135; BABIP .313 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AASan Antonio Missions · 69 PAwOBA .373 → .345 (−28)K% 21.7% → 26.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.74%÷0.987×1.220——26.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.94%÷0.927×0.700—×1.04212.55%
HBP% /PA1.45%—×0.870—×1.0421.31%
Singles /BIP31.71%÷0.986×0.920—×1.04230.82%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.116×0.840—×1.0420.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.010×0.940—×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP7.32%÷0.820×0.800—×1.0427.44%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 97, 2B 123, 3B 102, K 97, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .373 → .345; ISO .161 → .163; BABIP .342 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ALake Elsinore Storm · 86 PAwOBA .387 → .298 (−89)K% 17.4% → 24.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.44%÷0.968×1.360——24.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.60%÷0.992×0.690—×1.01513.14%
HBP% /PA3.49%—×0.780—×1.0152.76%
Singles /BIP15.38%÷1.020×0.920×0.950×1.01513.39%
Doubles /BIP11.54%÷1.115×0.830×0.950×1.0158.28%
Triples /BIP1.92%÷1.000×0.910×0.950×1.0151.69%
Home runs /BIP3.85%÷0.938×0.800—×1.0153.33%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 123, 3B 100, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .387 → .298; ISO .209 → .166; BABIP .300 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Padres · 47 PAwOBA .359 → .249 (−110)K% 21.3% → 31.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.28%÷0.984×1.440——31.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA29.79%÷1.015×0.620—×0.98517.92%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP21.74%÷0.965×0.820—×0.98518.19%
Doubles /BIP4.35%÷1.016×0.720—×0.9853.03%
Triples /BIP4.35%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9853.08%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.081×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 93, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .359 → .249; ISO .091 → .067; BABIP .304 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .