Nick GordonSS Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 30 L/R 6'0" / 160 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 200 proj PA
wRC+†vL 5365vR 70
AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .268 / .353
PA200
HR5
K%25
BB%5
ISO127
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +5.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.10.0-0.12628
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024
CONTACT40
Whiff%
1015.6%
xwOBA
490.307
POWER45
Barrel%
477.8
Avg EV
4788.9
Bat Spd
2168.2
EYE25
Chase%
1043.2%
SPEED55
Sprint
5527.7
Platoon Splits2024 · 275 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
28
247
wRC+
53
70
▶▶R
wOBA
254
276
R
ISO
185
137
◀◀L
BABIP
200
280
▶▶R
K%
21.4%
24.7%
L
BB%
3.6%
4.0%
R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2021
Service   5.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-3$0.2M+0.0$0.0M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201418 ROKElizabethton Twins 256241 57431 6645 117 237270290560 54311 252 247 47
201418 ROKElizabethton Twins 256235 69641 11455 117 294337366703 72352 184 313 98
201519 ACedar Rapids Kernels 535495 1161951 271296 258 234282299581 65312 245 252 51
201519 ACedar Rapids Kernels 535481 1332371 39876 258 277337360697 83332 167 312 97
201620 A+2 teams 585554 1452474 2015210 2417 262300352652 90354 263 284 76
201620 A+2 teams 585542 1622783 3110910 2417 299348395742 96370 195 333 113
201721 AAChattanooga Lookouts 578532 1192178 401714 137 224283335618 111313 307 272 66
201721 AAChattanooga Lookouts 578519 1402989 531344 137 270342408750 139347 239 335 115
201822 AAA2 teams 591556 1151967 221417 205 207246300547 94262 244 239 41
201822 AAA2 teams 591544 1352377 341097 205 248301355656 107296 186 293 82
201923 AAARochester Red Wings 319299 762124 11784 144 254290378668 124324 243 286 77
201923 AAARochester Red Wings 319292 872934 18654 144 298347459806 161364 206 351 127
202125 MLB2 teams 293273 65926 16703 173 238288352639 114298 245 282 74 -9 +2 -1 +1 +8 0.2
202125 MLB2 teams 293271 68927 18673 173 251305376681 125308 236 305 92 -3 +2 -1 +1 +8 0.7
202226 MLBMinnesota Twins 443405 1102849 1910510 64 272320427747 156340 244 320 103 +1 -0 -2 -5 +13 0.7
202226 MLBMinnesota Twins 443405 1102849 1910510 64 272320427747 156340 244 325 107 +4 -0 -2 -5 +13 0.9
202327 MLB2 teams 116112 17512 2201 01 152174268442 116167 172 196 8 -12 -0 -0 +0 +3 -0.9
202327 MLB2 teams 116111 18612 3181 01 162191288480 126176 163 211 20 -11 -0 -0 +0 +3 -0.7
202428 MLB3 teams 373350 8313210 14914 78 237274371646 134287 244 280 73 -11 -2 -2 -4 +11 -0.9
202428 MLB3 teams 373349 811229 15874 78 232272355627 123279 234 277 70 -13 -2 -2 -4 +11 -1.0
202529 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 6964 12300 5260 32 188246234481 47316 387 221 27
202529 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 6963 17400 6220 32 270333333667 63415 329 306 92
▸ 2026 Season
202630 MLBKC 200187 43815 9502 41 230273364636 134284 254 278 71 -7 +0 +0 -2 +6 0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731 MLBKC 27% 185173 39714 8472 31 225268347615 121282 254 274 68 -7 +0 -3 -2 +5 -0.6
202832 MLBKC 37% 166156 35614 8431 21 224267353619 128278 265 267 63 -7 +0 -3 -2 +5 -0.8
202731 MLBKC 27% 5149 10201 2130 10 204235306541 102278 254 263 60 -2 +0 -1 -1 +1 -0.2
202832 MLBKC 37% 6258 12201 3161 10 207258293551 86275 265 258 55 -3 +0 -1 -1 +2 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 11401063 25557725 4826715 2310 240282377660 137294 234 292 81 -24 +1 -8 -8 +32 -0.7
/ 162G 650606 14532414 271529 136 239282375657 135294 234 292 81 -14 +0 -4 -5 +18 -0.4
Career 47094397 10321874265 207118759 14969 235278341619 106304 254 270 65 -187 +2 -12 -45 +133 -11.0
/ 162G 650607 1432669 291648 2110 236280343623 107305 254 270 65 -26 +0 -2 -6 +18 -1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201418 ROKElizabethton Twins 256235 69641 11455 117 294337366703 72352 184 313 98 -1 -1 +7 0.6
201519 ACedar Rapids Kernels 535481 1332371 39876 258 277337360697 83332 167 312 97 -2 +2 +15 1.5
201620 A+Fort Myers Miracle 494461 1342363 23878 1913 291335386721 95353 185 323 106 +3 -1 +14 1.6
201620 INTLSurprise Saguaros 9181 28420 8222 54 346418444862 99475 249 388 155 +6 -1 +3 0.8
201721 AAChattanooga Lookouts 578519 1402989 531344 137 270342408750 139347 239 335 115 +10 -0 +16 2.6
201822 AAARochester Red Wings 410382 811342 23823 133 212262283545 71264 206 248 48 -24 +1 +12 -1.1
201822 AAChattanooga Lookouts 181162 541035 11274 72 333390525915 191366 156 394 160 +12 +1 +5 1.8
201923 AAARochester Red Wings 319292 872934 18654 144 298347459806 161364 206 351 127 +10 +1 +9 2.0
202125 MLBMinnesota Twins 216200 48914 12553 101 240293355648 115310 256 291 81 -5 +2 -1 +1 +6 0.3
202125 AAASt. Paul Saints 7771 20013 6120 72 282338437774 155304 168 344 122 +2 +1 +2 0.5
202226 MLBMinnesota Twins 443405 1102849 1910510 64 272320427747 156340 244 325 107 +4 -0 -2 -5 +13 0.9
202327 MLBMinnesota Twins 9391 16512 1110 00 176185319503 143179 121 216 24 -8 +0 -0 +0 +3 -0.5
202327 AAASt. Paul Saints 2320 2100 271 01 100217150367 50154 309 188 2 -3 -0 +1 -0.2
202428 MLBMiami Marlins 275260 591118 11671 55 227261369630 142271 244 277 70 -9 -1 -2 -4 +8 -0.9
202428 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp 8072 19111 3163 22 264321347668 83316 204 297 85 -1 -0 +2 0.1
202428 INTLSenadores de San Juan 1817 3000 140 01 176222176399 231 226 190 3 -2 -0 +1 -0.2
202529 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 6963 17400 6220 32 270333333667 63415 329 306 92 -1 -0 +2 0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 1027956 23353723 4323814 2110 244286386672 142298 234 295 84 -18 +0 -6 -7 +29 -0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA
81,7586225238296413-18+33.03.2
/162664239-6.7+1.01.1pk7: 4
#2Travis Sniderlast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA
81,9715422244311399-21-171.41.8
/162664187-7.1-5.80.5pk7: 2
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA
61,5065415234298417-6-181.71.7
/162664247-2.8-8.10.8pk7: 2
#4Jose Maciaslast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA
61,7852543256298370-8+21.41.4
/162664916-3.1+0.60.5pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA
71,740625242294417-17-200.60.6
/162664242-6.5-7.60.2pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,1602623241280381-10-10-0.1-0.1
/1626641513-5.7-5.6-0.0pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Nick Gordon (OGILVIE) 30 40 45 55 25 226/268/353 126284 54 25% 5% 71 -0.1
Jason Smith
2007 · MLB
30 44→35 49→55 53→50 39 226/270/375 150295 1614 29% 5% 77 +0.1 205/241/351 146290 178 35% 4% 58 -1.2 178/208/30913125416737%3%31-1.7
Cole Sturgeon
2022 · AAA
30 49→47 46→45 49→50 40 240/290/370 130314 1311 27% 5% 84 +0.6 217/269/326 109262 1112 21% 6% 63 -0.8 207/261/30295247101120%6%50-1.4
Johnny Monell
2016 · MLB
30 47→44 43→50 48→45 46 233/288/344 111289 119 23% 7% 76 +0.1 228/277/347 119287 136 24% 6% 72 -0.2 219/270/34012028013226%6%65-0.4
Héctor Gómez
2017 · MLB
29 45→44 48→55 51→50 38 229/266/385 156287 147 26% 4% 78 +0.2 213/247/355 142268 147 26% 4% 62 -0.9 184/205/32814422614026%2%34-1.0
Brad Davis
2013 · MLB
30 43 42→50 50→45 42 212/261/319 107278 97 27% 6% 58 -1.2 205/249/317 112274 119 28% 5% 53 -1.5 170/201/27010022310429%4%19-0.9
Charlie Culberson
2019 · MLB
30 48→49 46→45 47→50 42 240/285/369 129301 139 25% 5% 81 +0.4 246/295/401 155315 179 26% 6% 94 +1.3 242/286/378136311131026%5%81+0.1
Myles Schroder
2018 · AAA
30 44→46 43→45 49→50 39 215/268/325 110277 109 26% 5% 63 -0.8 220/269/348 128298 139 30% 4% 69 -0.4 213/250/34313029214831%2%57-0.6
Chris Herrmann
2017 · MLB
29 47→48 47→50 57→50 46 230/294/372 142295 1311 26% 8% 86 +0.8 221/302/378 157287 198 28% 10% 92 +1.2 209/296/36115227219429%11%83+0.2
Jason Pridie
2014 · MLB
30 47→54 46→50 53→55 41 235/281/364 129306 1310 27% 6% 78 +0.2 244/289/393 149301 1820 24% 6% 89 +1.0 249/295/405156299202423%6%93+1.0
Yamid Haad
2008 · MLB
30 45 44→45 48→40 42 224/264/337 113268 127 22% 5% 64 -0.8 217/258/316 99280 105 25% 5% 56 -1.3 220/260/315952829125%5%55-0.5
Seth Bynum
2011 · AAA
30 40→44 50→55 50 38 212/255/362 151286 1911 33% 6% 68 -0.5 206/255/336 130295 1511 34% 6% 61 -1.0 194/246/31612127914835%5%48-1.1
J.J. Furmaniak
2009 · MLB
30 46→50 44→45 51→50 42 227/286/340 113298 1218 27% 6% 75 -0.0 217/266/306 89273 611 22% 6% 56 -1.3 211/259/2897826441021%5%46-1.3
Juniel Querecuto
2023 · AAA
30 45→55 45 50 42 225/264/352 127273 1212 23% 5% 68 -0.5 219/269/345 126283 1413 27% 6% 69 -0.4 205/262/325120265151328%6%57-0.9
David Matranga
2008 · AAA
31 40 46→45 51→50 43 206/273/329 123265 1413 28% 7% 67 -0.5 218/294/343 125294 139 29% 8% 79 +0.3 211/297/32911928812529%9%75+0.0
Paul Hoover
2006 · AAA
30 43 43→45 50→45 43 212/268/326 114264 1010 24% 6% 63 -0.8 225/275/340 115296 117 26% 6% 69 -0.4 223/273/33310929910328%6%64-0.3
Tim Lopes
2023 · MLB
29 40→50 47→45 50→55 42 206/265/339 133269 1415 29% 6% 66 -0.6 229/300/340 111321 1128 30% 9% 80 +0.4 237/316/3319433893930%10%80+0.3
Orlando Calixte
2021 · AAA
29 48→51 44→45 51→55 40 237/276/346 109307 1215 27% 5% 71 -0.3 217/266/317 100291 821 27% 6% 59 -1.1 202/252/2757327343026%6%40-0.9
Francisco Arcia
2019 · MLB
29 43 43→40 46→40 40 215/266/319 104265 116 23% 4% 61 -1.0 205/247/294 89256 97 23% 4% 46 -2.0 166/199/201352092021%2%-2-2.2
Adrián Sanchez
2021 · MLB
30 50→45 42→45 49→50 42 241/277/349 109283 914 19% 4% 72 -0.2 243/284/351 108298 811 21% 5% 76 +0.0 249/287/3521033066920%5%71-0.1
Jake Hager
2023 · MLB
30 41→51 45→50 50 45 206/271/330 125266 1311 27% 8% 66 -0.6 201/251/309 108289 98 32% 6% 51 -1.7 174/214/270962636235%4%22-1.0