Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
Cincinnati Reds
Age 29
R/R
5'11" / 215 lbs
MLB
HR +9%K -4%
Svc 5.436 · Ctrl thru 2029
wRC+†vL 5757vR 32
AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .300 / .348
PA566
HR9
SB9
K%19
BB%6
MLB%100%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
40→40
SPD
50→50
EYE
44↗55
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-3
MLB Debut 2020
Service 5.436 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2029
First FA Year 2030
OPT
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-3 | $9M | — | — | — |
| 2027 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | — | — | — |
| 2028 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $25M | $-5M | -$30M | ||
| Options · projected decision | |||
| 2030 | CLUB OPT | $2030.0M / $0.0M buyout | DECLINE |
| 2031 | CLUB OPT | $12.0M / $6.0M buyout | DECLINE |
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$30M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$30M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 175 | 153 | 40 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 34 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .261 | .339 | .294 | .633 | .033 | .331 | 19 | 7 | .281 | 73 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2016 | 19 | A | West Virginia Power | 276 | 254 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 66 | 6 | 6 | 5 | .209 | .253 | .307 | .560 | .098 | .257 | 24 | 3 | .238 | 40 | -19 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -1.1 |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | 482 | 431 | 105 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 107 | 4 | 27 | 5 | .244 | .300 | .316 | .616 | .072 | .316 | 22 | 6 | .266 | 62 | -21 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.2 |
| 2018 | 21 | AA | Altoona Curve | 508 | 451 | 117 | 28 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 108 | 4 | 12 | 5 | .259 | .329 | .390 | .720 | .131 | .322 | 21 | 8 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2019 | 22 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 480 | 441 | 98 | 27 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 107 | 5 | 12 | 1 | .222 | .278 | .349 | .627 | .127 | .271 | 22 | 6 | .273 | 67 | -18 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 95 | 85 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .388 | .453 | .741 | 1.194 | .353 | .458 | 21 | 9 | .470 | 218 | +13 | +0 | +3 | +0 | +3 | 1.9 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | 2 teams | 422 | 387 | 98 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 96 | 1 | 9 | 1 | .253 | .312 | .370 | .681 | .116 | .318 | 23 | 8 | .301 | 88 | -6 | +1 | +10 | +2 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 560 | 505 | 125 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 48 | 122 | 5 | 20 | 5 | .248 | .319 | .354 | .673 | .107 | .310 | 22 | 9 | .297 | 86 | -9 | +2 | +15 | +2 | +16 | 2.7 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 525 | 494 | 134 | 29 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 104 | 0 | 10 | 6 | .271 | .310 | .455 | .766 | .184 | .313 | 20 | 5 | .330 | 111 | +7 | -0 | +14 | +2 | +15 | 3.8 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 396 | 365 | 85 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 75 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .233 | .286 | .288 | .573 | .055 | .279 | 19 | 6 | .255 | 53 | -21 | +1 | +6 | +1 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 570 | 527 | 122 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 111 | 5 | 12 | 3 | .231 | .287 | .304 | .591 | .072 | .284 | 19 | 6 | .261 | 58 | -27 | +1 | +18 | +2 | +16 | 1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 65 | 59 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .085 | .169 | .136 | .305 | .051 | .077 | 9 | 9 | .150 | -27 | -9 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +2 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | CIN | 501 | 459 | 105 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 89 | 3 | 9 | 3 | .229 | .286 | .327 | .613 | .098 | .263 | 18 | 7 | .274 | 68 | -18 | +1 | +5 | +2 | +14 | 0.4 |
| TOT | 29 | MLB | CIN | 566 | 518 | 110 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 95 | 3 | 9 | 3 | .212 | .273 | .305 | .578 | .093 | .242 | 17 | 7 | .260 | 57 | -27 | +1 | +6 | +2 | +16 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 554 | 509 | 114 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 93 | 3 | 9 | 2 | .224 | .281 | .314 | .595 | .090 | .258 | 17 | 7 | .271 | 66 | -21 | +1 | +3 | +2 | +16 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 539 | 495 | 110 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 93 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .222 | .279 | .313 | .592 | .091 | .256 | 17 | 7 | .268 | 63 | -23 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +15 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 520 | 477 | 105 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 92 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .278 | .306 | .584 | .086 | .255 | 18 | 7 | .263 | 59 | -24 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +15 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 490 | 451 | 97 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 90 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .215 | .273 | .297 | .570 | .082 | .254 | 18 | 7 | .258 | 56 | -25 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +14 | -0.8 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 443 | 409 | 85 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 85 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .208 | .264 | .281 | .545 | .073 | .252 | 19 | 7 | .252 | 51 | -25 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +13 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7536 | 6893 | 1626 | 267 | 49 | 111 | 505 | 1492 | 57 | 157 | 42 | .236 | .293 | .337 | .631 | .101 | .284 | 20 | 7 | .279 | 72 | -241 | +15 | +79 | +27 | +214 | 9.5 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 595 | 140 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 129 | 5 | 14 | 4 | .235 | .294 | .338 | .632 | .103 | .283 | 20 | 7 | .279 | 72 | -21 | +1 | +7 | +2 | +18 | 0.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 175 | 144 | 48 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .333 | .439 | .375 | .814 | .042 | .393 | 14 | 13 | .370 | 141 | +8 | +1 | — | — | +5 | 1.4 |
| 2016 | 19 | A | West Virginia Power | 276 | 247 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 51 | 6 | 6 | 5 | .263 | .323 | .393 | .716 | .130 | .304 | 18 | 6 | .314 | 99 | -0 | -1 | — | — | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | 482 | 421 | 117 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 41 | 76 | 4 | 27 | 5 | .278 | .348 | .363 | .711 | .086 | .331 | 16 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +3 | — | — | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2018 | 21 | AA | Altoona Curve | 508 | 437 | 128 | 31 | 7 | 7 | 57 | 84 | 4 | 12 | 5 | .293 | .380 | .444 | .823 | .151 | .344 | 17 | 11 | .361 | 135 | +20 | +0 | — | — | +14 | 3.5 |
| 2019 | 22 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 480 | 427 | 113 | 30 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 90 | 5 | 12 | 1 | .265 | .339 | .415 | .753 | .150 | .311 | 19 | 9 | .334 | 114 | +8 | +2 | — | — | +14 | 2.4 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 95 | 85 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .376 | .442 | .682 | 1.124 | .306 | .450 | 21 | 9 | .483 | 228 | +14 | +0 | +3 | +0 | +3 | 2.1 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 396 | 362 | 93 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 87 | 1 | 9 | 1 | .257 | .317 | .373 | .690 | .116 | .321 | 22 | 8 | .310 | 95 | -2 | +1 | +10 | +2 | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 26 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .308 | .583 | .891 | .333 | .267 | 27 | 8 | .382 | 151 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 560 | 505 | 123 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 48 | 122 | 5 | 20 | 5 | .244 | .315 | .345 | .660 | .101 | .307 | 22 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -8 | +2 | +15 | +2 | +16 | 2.8 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 525 | 494 | 134 | 31 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 104 | 0 | 10 | 6 | .271 | .310 | .453 | .764 | .182 | .315 | 20 | 5 | .334 | 113 | +8 | -0 | +14 | +2 | +15 | 3.9 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 396 | 365 | 85 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 75 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .233 | .286 | .290 | .576 | .058 | .279 | 19 | 6 | .263 | 59 | -18 | +1 | +6 | +1 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 570 | 527 | 124 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 111 | 5 | 12 | 3 | .235 | .290 | .306 | .596 | .070 | .289 | 19 | 6 | .272 | 66 | -22 | +1 | +18 | +2 | +16 | 1.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 2542 | 2338 | 591 | 107 | 17 | 42 | 175 | 519 | 16 | 63 | 17 | .253 | .309 | .367 | .676 | .114 | .307 | 20 | 7 | .303 | 90 | -28 | +6 | +66 | +9 | +72 | 12.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (OGILVIE) | 29 | 50 | 40 | 50 | 55 | .226/.282/.321 | .096 | .259 | 9 | 11 | 16% | 7% | 68 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Darwin Barney 2015 · MLB |
29 | 49→58 | 40 | 48→50 | 50 | .231/.285/.327 | .097 | .251 | 7 | 5 | 12% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .235/.282/.330 | .095 | .267 | 9 | 7 | 15% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .236/.279/.324 | .088 | .270 | 9 | 8 | 16% | 5% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Bo Hart 2006 · MLB |
29 | 49→47 | 42→45 | 50→45 | 45 | .237/.283/.347 | .110 | .280 | 9 | 10 | 19% | 5% | 74 | -0.1 | .207/.256/.300 | .093 | .254 | 7 | 10 | 21% | 5% | 51 | -1.7 | .180/.228/.246 | .066 | .228 | 3 | 7 | 22% | 5% | 23 | -1.3 |
|
✕Robert Andino 2013 · MLB |
29 | 48→57 | 41→45 | 48→50 | 47 | .233/.288/.330 | .096 | .284 | 9 | 12 | 21% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .214/.262/.304 | .090 | .277 | 8 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .203/.240/.308 | .105 | .262 | 12 | 4 | 27% | 4% | 42 | -1.4 |
|
✕Wilfredo Tovar 2021 · MLB |
29 | 51→55 | 39→40 | 45→60 | 45 | .243/.279/.333 | .090 | .281 | 7 | 9 | 16% | 5% | 68 | -0.5 | .238/.294/.340 | .102 | .272 | 9 | 14 | 16% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .240/.303/.328 | .087 | .271 | 8 | 16 | 14% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Joaquin Arias 2014 · MLB |
29 | 52→59 | 41→45 | 52→55 | 43 | .251/.282/.354 | .103 | .282 | 8 | 8 | 15% | 4% | 75 | -0.0 | .242/.273/.332 | .090 | .279 | 7 | 7 | 15% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .237/.259/.299 | .062 | .275 | 2 | 4 | 14% | 3% | 45 | -0.5 |
|
✕Nate Orf 2019 · MLB |
29 | 48→54 | 40→45 | 52→50 | 48 | .228/.301/.322 | .094 | .277 | 7 | 14 | 20% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .225/.311/.334 | .109 | .274 | 10 | 14 | 21% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .213/.314/.315 | .102 | .255 | 11 | 11 | 20% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 |
|
✕Josh Wilson 2010 · MLB |
29 | 46→50 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 44 | .225/.280/.329 | .104 | .266 | 8 | 11 | 19% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .223/.272/.321 | .098 | .276 | 7 | 8 | 21% | 4% | 63 | -0.8 | .214/.262/.306 | .092 | .275 | 5 | 8 | 23% | 4% | 53 | -0.9 |
|
✕Chris Barnwell 2008 · MLB |
29 | 47→51 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .227/.277/.313 | .086 | .271 | 7 | 14 | 19% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .218/.276/.307 | .089 | .265 | 7 | 14 | 20% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .205/.267/.282 | .077 | .252 | 6 | 14 | 20% | 6% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Sergio Garcia 2009 · AAA |
29 | 50→51 | 43→45 | 50→45 | 49 | .242/.298/.351 | .109 | .273 | 10 | 10 | 16% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .220/.277/.309 | .089 | .263 | 6 | 8 | 18% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .200/.260/.256 | .056 | .243 | 2 | 2 | 17% | 6% | 42 | -1.0 |
|
✕Wilmer Difo 2021 · MLB |
29 | 47→54 | 42→45 | 51→55 | 49 | .229/.294/.332 | .103 | .283 | 9 | 14 | 22% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .230/.286/.331 | .101 | .286 | 10 | 11 | 22% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .218/.276/.309 | .091 | .269 | 9 | 15 | 22% | 7% | 60 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jeff Bianchi 2016 · MLB |
29 | 47→55 | 38→45 | 46→50 | 44 | .227/.267/.305 | .078 | .276 | 6 | 10 | 20% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .219/.266/.298 | .079 | .287 | 7 | 8 | 25% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .203/.247/.243 | .040 | .279 | 3 | 2 | 27% | 6% | 30 | -1.3 |
|
✕Tomas De La Rosa 2007 · MLB |
29 | 50→49 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 46 | .245/.290/.355 | .109 | .279 | 10 | 13 | 16% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .238/.279/.352 | .114 | .275 | 11 | 17 | 17% | 5% | 74 | -0.1 | .235/.274/.345 | .110 | .270 | 10 | 21 | 17% | 5% | 66 | -0.5 |
|
✕Shane Robinson 2015 · MLB |
30 | 50→59 | 40→45 | 49→55 | 53 | .238/.306/.326 | .089 | .274 | 7 | 11 | 16% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .239/.294/.319 | .080 | .278 | 4 | 15 | 15% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .252/.300/.321 | .069 | .291 | 2 | 20 | 13% | 6% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Michael Martinez 2012 · MLB |
29 | 46→55 | 42→45 | 49→50 | 44 | .225/.269/.328 | .103 | .263 | 9 | 14 | 18% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .225/.266/.313 | .088 | .263 | 8 | 11 | 17% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .245/.281/.339 | .094 | .307 | 4 | 9 | 21% | 5% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jason Ellison 2006 · MLB |
28 | 52→54 | 41→40 | 50 | 50 | .247/.301/.350 | .103 | .276 | 8 | 17 | 14% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .255/.309/.352 | .097 | .298 | 6 | 16 | 16% | 6% | 86 | +0.8 | .241/.303/.317 | .075 | .292 | 3 | 15 | 17% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Mike Edwards 2006 · MLB |
29 | 49 | 43→45 | 47→45 | 48 | .241/.297/.353 | .113 | .273 | 11 | 8 | 16% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .235/.284/.337 | .102 | .275 | 8 | 9 | 17% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .233/.278/.324 | .091 | .276 | 5 | 9 | 17% | 5% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕José Peraza 2023 · MLB |
29 | 43→53 | 45 | 48→65 | 45 | .213/.263/.335 | .122 | .231 | 13 | 8 | 15% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .216/.271/.326 | .110 | .260 | 11 | 8 | 21% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .203/.260/.277 | .074 | .267 | 6 | 3 | 25% | 2% | 45 | -0.6 |
|
✕Christian Colón 2019 · MLB |
30 | 51→57 | 40→45 | 47→55 | 49 | .242/.302/.335 | .093 | .281 | 7 | 13 | 17% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .238/.296/.352 | .114 | .264 | 11 | 16 | 14% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .231/.291/.350 | .119 | .250 | 13 | 14 | 13% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕William Bergolla 2011 · AAA |
28 | 47→56 | 42→40 | 49→50 | 48 | .230/.281/.336 | .105 | .263 | 10 | 9 | 17% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .228/.275/.325 | .097 | .283 | 9 | 8 | 22% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .229/.272/.305 | .075 | .281 | 8 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 56 | -0.6 |
|
✕Juan Graterol 2018 · MLB |
29 | 48 | 38→40 | 46→30 | 41 | .229/.261/.306 | .077 | .264 | 6 | 6 | 16% | 3% | 53 | -1.5 | .236/.270/.308 | .072 | .262 | 5 | 4 | 12% | 3% | 58 | -1.2 | .243/.280/.293 | .051 | .268 | 3 | 0 | 10% | 3% | 55 | -0.5 |