Ke'Bryan Hayes3B Cincinnati Reds
Age 29 R/R 5'11" / 215 lbs MLB HR +16%BB +6% Svc 5.436 · Ctrl thru 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION224 act + 33 ros · stats below = ROS only
showingROS
wRC+†vL 7675vR 72
AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .273 / .355
PA33
HR1
K%18
BB%6
BABIP278
ISO129
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)
BAT so far: -20.0 runs (224 MLB PA)BAT projected ROS: -1.0 runs (33 MLB PA, park-applied)-21BATRUN so far: +0.2 runs (224 MLB PA)RUN projected ROS: +0.0 runs (33 MLB PA, park-applied)+0RUNFLD so far: +1.1 runs (224 MLB PA)FLD projected ROS: +0.6 runs (33 MLB PA, park-applied)+2FLDPOS so far: +0.8 runs (224 MLB PA)POS projected ROS: +0.1 runs (33 MLB PA, park-applied)+1POSREP so far: +4.9 runs (224 MLB PA)REP projected ROS: +0.7 runs (33 MLB PA, park-applied)+6REP2026 MLB WAR (so far + projected ROS): -1.29so far: -1.3 WAR-1.3WAR
0.00.91.90.01.41.10.726272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
906.1%
xAVG
370.241
POWER40
Barrel%
204.4
Avg EV
5489.4
Bat Spd
4170.4
EYE55
Chase%
8824.4%
SPEED50
Sprint
3726.9
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%23%▼▼26% over 66 PA (45d) · proj 19%
BB%6%·6% over 89 PA (60d) · proj 6%
ISO.097·.108 over 83 AB (60d) · proj .091xISO .144 vs .099 prior
HR/BB3.0%5.1% over 59 BBE (60d) · proj 1.8%barrel% 7.5% vs 3.6% prior — approach backs the move
BABIP.287.179 over 56 BIP (60d) · proj .295xBABIP .281 vs .312 prior — approach backs the move
SLASH.235/.285/.332proj .246/.297/.337
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1018 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
215
803
wRC+
83
54
◀◀L
wOBA
292
247
◀◀L
ISO
095
054
◀◀L
BABIP
295
269
L
K%
17.7%
19.2%
L
BB%
7.0%
5.9%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2020
Service   5.436 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2027
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.7M
2027Ext$9M+1.4$10M+$3M
2028Ext$9M+1.1$8M+$0.5M
2029Ext$9M+0.7$2M-$4M
Totals $27M $20M -$2M
Options · projected decision
2030CLUB OPT$8.8M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2031CLUB OPT$12.0M / $6.0M buyoutDECLINE
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201518 ROKGCL Pirates 175144 48410 22245 71 333439375814 42393 1413 370 136 +8 +1 +4 1.3
201619 AWest Virginia Power 276247 651216 16516 65 263323393716 130304 186 314 99 -0 -1 +6 0.5
201720 A+Bradenton Marauders 482421 1171672 41764 275 278348363711 86331 169 313 98 -1 +3 +10 1.3
201821 AAAltoona Curve 508437 1283177 57844 125 293380444823 151344 1711 361 131 +18 +0 +11 3.1
201922 AAAIndianapolis Indians 480427 11330210 43905 121 265339415753 150311 199 334 112 +7 +2 +10 2.0
202023 MLBPittsburgh Pirates 9585 32725 9201 10 3764426821.124 306450 219 483 213 +13 +0 +3 +0 +2 1.9
202124 MLBPittsburgh Pirates 396362 932026 31871 91 257317373690 116321 228 310 96 -2 +1 +10 +2 +9 2.0
202124 AAAIndianapolis Indians 2624 6202 270 00 250308583891 333267 278 382 145 +1 +0 +1 0.2
202225 MLBPittsburgh Pirates 560505 1232437 481225 205 244315345660 101307 229 300 89 -7 +2 +15 +2 +12 2.5
202326 MLBPittsburgh Pirates 525494 13431715 281040 106 271310453764 182315 205 334 112 +7 -0 +14 +2 +11 3.5
202427 MLBPittsburgh Pirates 396365 85904 23754 112 233286290576 58279 196 263 64 -17 +1 +6 +1 +9 0.0
202528 MLBCincinnati Reds 570527 1241635 361115 123 235290306596 70289 196 272 70 -20 +1 +18 +2 +12 1.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 25422338 5911071742 17551916 6317 253309367676 114307 207 303 91 -26 +6 +66 +9 +55 11.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201518 ROK MLEGCL Pirates 175153 40310 13345 71 261339294633 33317 197 281 76 -5 +1 +4 -0.0
201619 A MLEWest Virginia Power 276253 55815 10686 65 217264316580 99259 254 247 53 -15 -1 +6 -1.0
201720 A+ MLEBradenton Marauders 482431 1051362 311074 275 244300316616 72301 226 266 66 -19 +3 +10 -0.6
201821 AA MLEAltoona Curve 508452 1172966 421034 125 259327389717 131308 208 312 97 -2 +0 +11 1.0
201922 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians 480441 972627 291075 121 220276336611 116267 226 269 68 -18 +2 +10 -0.6
202023 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates 9585 32725 9201 10 3764426821.124 306450 219 474 207 +12 +0 +3 +0 +2 1.8
202124 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates 396362 932026 31871 91 257317373690 116321 228 310 96 -2 +1 +10 +2 +9 2.0
202124 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians 2625 5201 190 00 200231400631 200224 354 260 62 -1 +0 +1 -0.1
202225 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates 560505 1242438 481225 205 246317352670 107307 229 300 89 -7 +2 +15 +2 +12 2.5
202326 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates 525494 13531716 281040 106 273312462774 188315 205 334 113 +8 -0 +14 +2 +11 3.5
202427 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates 396365 85904 23754 112 233286290576 58279 196 261 63 -18 +1 +6 +1 +9 -0.1
202528 MLB MLECincinnati Reds 570527 1241635 361115 123 235290306596 70289 196 264 65 -24 +1 +18 +2 +12 1.0
201518 ROK MLEGCL Pirates 175153 40310 13345 71 261339294633 33331 197 281 76
201518 ROK RAWGCL Pirates 175144 48410 22245 71 333439375814 42393 1413 370 76
201619 A MLEWest Virginia Power 276253 55815 10686 65 217264316580 99272 254 247 53
201619 A RAWWest Virginia Power 276247 651216 16516 65 263323393716 130304 186 314 53
201720 A+ MLEBradenton Marauders 482431 1051362 311074 275 244300316616 72316 226 266 66
201720 A+ RAWBradenton Marauders 482421 1171672 41764 275 278348363711 86331 169 313 66
201821 AA MLEAltoona Curve 508452 1172966 421034 125 259327389717 131318 208 312 97
201821 AA RAWAltoona Curve 508437 1283177 57844 125 293380444823 151344 1711 361 97
201922 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians 480441 972627 291075 121 220276336611 116272 226 269 68
201922 AAA RAWIndianapolis Indians 480427 11330210 43905 121 265339415753 150311 199 334 68
202023 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates 9585 32725 9201 10 3764426821.124 306450 219 474 207 +12 +0 +3 +0 +2 1.8
202023 MLB RAWPittsburgh Pirates 9585 32725 9201 10 3764426821.124 306450 219 483 207 +12 +0 +3 +0 +2 1.8
202124 MLB MLE2 teams 422387 992228 32961 91 256314385699 129319 238 307 94 -3 +1 +10 +2 +9 1.9
202124 MLB RAW2 teams 422386 992228 33941 91 256317386703 130318 228 314 94 -3 +1 +10 +2 +9 1.9
202225 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates 560505 1242438 481225 205 246317352670 107308 229 300 89 -7 +2 +15 +2 +12 2.5
202225 MLB RAWPittsburgh Pirates 560505 1232437 481225 205 244315345660 101307 229 300 89 -7 +2 +15 +2 +12 2.5
202326 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates 525494 13531716 281040 106 273312462774 188316 205 334 113 +8 -0 +14 +2 +11 3.5
202326 MLB RAWPittsburgh Pirates 525494 13431715 281040 106 271310453764 182315 205 334 113 +8 -0 +14 +2 +11 3.5
202427 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates 396365 85904 23754 112 233286290576 58279 196 261 63 -18 +1 +6 +1 +9 -0.1
202427 MLB RAWPittsburgh Pirates 396365 85904 23754 112 233286290576 58279 196 263 63 -18 +1 +6 +1 +9 -0.1
202528 MLB MLECincinnati Reds 570527 1241635 361115 123 235290306596 70289 196 264 65 -24 +1 +18 +2 +12 1.0
202528 MLB RAWCincinnati Reds 570527 1241635 361115 123 235290306596 70289 196 272 65 -24 +1 +18 +2 +12 1.0
201518 ROK MLEGCL Pirates 175155 40310 13345 71 258339290630 32317 197 281 76
201619 A MLEWest Virginia Power 276258 55815 10686 65 213264310574 97259 254 247 53
201720 A+ MLEBradenton Marauders 482444 1051362 311074 275 236300306607 70301 226 266 66
201821 AA MLEAltoona Curve 508457 1172966 421034 125 256327385712 129308 208 312 97
201922 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians 480443 972627 291075 121 219276334610 115267 226 269 68
202023 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates 9585 32725 9201 10 3764426821.124 306450 219 474 207
202124 MLB MLE2 teams 422386 992228 32961 91 256314386700 130315 238 307 94
202225 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates 560502 1242438 481225 205 247317355672 108307 229 300 89
202326 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates 525492 13531716 281040 106 274312463776 189315 205 334 113
202427 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates 396366 85904 23754 112 232286290575 57279 196 261 63
202528 MLB MLECincinnati Reds 570524 1241635 361115 123 237290307598 71289 196 264 65
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
202326 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates 525492 13531716 281040 106 274312463776 189315 205 334 113
202427 MLB MLEPittsburgh Pirates 396366 85904 23754 112 232286290575 57279 196 261 63
202528 MLB MLECincinnati Reds 570524 1241635 361115 123 237290307598 71289 196 264 65
YTD29 MLB MLECIN 224209 31215 13462 10 148205239445 91165 216 198 20 -21 +0 +1 +1 +5 -1.5
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR29 MLB RAWCIN 224209 31215 13462 10 148205239445 91165 216 205 20 -21 +0 +1 +1 +5 -1.5
YTD29 MLB RAWCIN 224209 31215 13462 10 148205239445 91165 216 205 25 -20 +0 +1 +1 +5 -1.3
ROS29 MLB MLECIN 100% 3331 7101 260 00 226273355628 129276 186 279 75 -1 +0 +1 +0 +1 0.0
ROS29 MLB CTXCIN 100% 3331 7101 260 00 226273355628 129278 186 277 75 -1 +0 +1 +0 +1 0.0
FULL29 MLB A+CCIN 257240 38316 15522 10 158214254468 96176 206 214 27 -22 +0 +2 +1 +6 -1.4
TOT29 MLB MLECIN 257240 38316 15522 10 158214254468 96176 206 208 27 -22 +0 +2 +1 +6 -1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202730 MLB MLECIN 100% 554510 1302348 341105 72 255308363671 108305 206 298 88 -8 +1 +7 +2 +12 1.4
202831 MLB MLECIN 100% 539497 1242238 331094 62 249301354656 105303 206 294 85 -10 +0 +6 +2 +12 1.1
202932 MLB MLECIN 100% 520479 1172037 321074 51 244297342639 98299 216 287 81 -12 +1 +5 +2 +11 0.7
202730 MLB CTXCIN 100% 554510 1312349 341105 72 257310371680 114308 206 297 88 -8 +1 +7 +2 +12 1.4
202831 MLB CTXCIN 100% 539497 1252238 331094 62 252303356660 105306 206 292 85 -10 +0 +6 +2 +12 1.1
202932 MLB CTXCIN 100% 520479 1192038 321074 51 248301353654 104302 216 286 81 -12 +1 +5 +2 +11 0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career A+C 41883855 9731732768 27685129 8122 252307364671 112306 207 299 83 -57 +7 +86 +15 +91 14.5
/ 162G A+C 650598 15127411 431325 133 253308366674 114306 207 299 83 -9 +1 +13 +2 +14 2.3
Career MLE 61355610 13912544390 402127953 14539 248304357661 109304 217 291 83 -57 +7 +86 +15 +91 14.5
/ 162G MLE 650594 14827510 431366 154 249306362668 113305 217 291 83 -9 +1 +13 +2 +14 2.3