Sergio Palafox
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 31 | AAASaraperos de … | 49 | .222/.255/.267 | 0 | 1 | 17 | — | .217/.234/.261 |
| 2014 | 34 | AAAVaqueros de l… | 170 | .275/.314/.319 | 0 | 3 | 42 | — | .227/.254/.258 |
| 2015 | 35 | AAAVaqueros de l… | 100 | .267/.327/.356 | 1 | 1 | 48 | — | .226/.265/.301 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 25 | AAA | Langosteros de Cancun | — | 285 | 252 | 62 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 246 | 314 | 361 | 675 | 115 | 262 | 11 | 7 | 298 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 200 | 179 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 285 | 337 | 402 | 739 | 117 | 304 | 10 | 6 | 320 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 351 | 309 | 97 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 29 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 314 | 380 | 395 | 775 | 81 | 338 | 8 | 9 | 343 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 212 | 174 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 247 | 348 | 333 | 682 | 86 | 268 | 10 | 12 | 300 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 232 | 201 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 239 | 317 | 313 | 630 | 75 | 275 | 13 | 9 | 281 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 49 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 222 | 255 | 267 | 522 | 44 | 233 | 4 | 4 | 229 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 170 | 160 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 275 | 314 | 319 | 632 | 44 | 314 | 12 | 4 | 287 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 100 | 90 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 267 | 327 | 356 | 682 | 89 | 295 | 12 | 7 | 304 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 25 | AAA MLE | Langosteros de Cancun | — | 285 | 258 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 229 | 282 | 322 | 603 | 93 | 243 | 13 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 200 | 183 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 262 | 301 | 355 | 656 | 93 | 275 | 12 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 351 | 320 | 92 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 35 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 287 | 333 | 350 | 683 | 62 | 308 | 10 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 212 | 182 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 231 | 303 | 291 | 595 | 60 | 242 | 12 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 232 | 209 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 220 | 272 | 287 | 559 | 67 | 247 | 16 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 49 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 234 | 261 | 495 | 43 | 203 | 4 | 2 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 170 | 163 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 227 | 254 | 258 | 512 | 31 | 268 | 15 | 2 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 100 | 93 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 265 | 301 | 566 | 75 | 246 | 15 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AAA MLE | Langosteros de Cancun | — | 285 | 258 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 229 | 282 | 322 | 603 | 93 | 252 | 13 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AAA RAW | Langosteros de Cancun | — | 285 | 252 | 62 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 246 | 314 | 361 | 675 | 115 | 262 | 11 | 7 | 298 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 200 | 183 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 262 | 301 | 355 | 656 | 93 | 289 | 12 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 200 | 179 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 285 | 337 | 402 | 739 | 117 | 304 | 10 | 6 | 320 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 351 | 320 | 92 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 35 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 287 | 333 | 350 | 683 | 62 | 317 | 10 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 351 | 309 | 97 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 29 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 314 | 380 | 395 | 775 | 81 | 338 | 8 | 9 | 343 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 212 | 182 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 231 | 303 | 291 | 595 | 60 | 259 | 12 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 212 | 174 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 247 | 348 | 333 | 682 | 86 | 268 | 10 | 12 | 300 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 232 | 209 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 220 | 272 | 287 | 559 | 67 | 263 | 16 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 232 | 201 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 239 | 317 | 313 | 630 | 75 | 275 | 13 | 9 | 281 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 49 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 234 | 261 | 495 | 43 | 227 | 4 | 2 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 49 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 222 | 255 | 267 | 522 | 44 | 233 | 4 | 4 | 229 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 170 | 163 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 227 | 254 | 258 | 512 | 31 | 268 | 15 | 2 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 170 | 160 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 275 | 314 | 319 | 632 | 44 | 314 | 12 | 4 | 287 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 100 | 93 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 265 | 301 | 566 | 75 | 256 | 15 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 100 | 90 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 267 | 327 | 356 | 682 | 89 | 295 | 12 | 7 | 304 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AAA MLE | Langosteros de Cancun | — | 285 | 264 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 223 | 282 | 314 | 596 | 91 | 243 | 13 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 200 | 188 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 255 | 301 | 346 | 646 | 90 | 275 | 12 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 351 | 326 | 92 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 35 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 282 | 333 | 344 | 677 | 61 | 308 | 10 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 212 | 191 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 220 | 303 | 277 | 581 | 58 | 242 | 12 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 232 | 215 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 214 | 272 | 279 | 551 | 65 | 247 | 16 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 49 | 48 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 234 | 250 | 484 | 42 | 203 | 4 | 2 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 170 | 162 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 228 | 254 | 259 | 514 | 31 | 268 | 15 | 2 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 100 | 95 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 265 | 295 | 560 | 74 | 246 | 15 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1599 | 1454 | 355 | 61 | 6 | 9 | 85 | 201 | 12 | 23 | 13 | 244 | 291 | 313 | 604 | 69 | 275 | 13 | 5 | 262 | 63 | -69 | -1 | +0 | +6 | +35 | -3.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 144 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 82 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 244 | 292 | 313 | 605 | 69 | 275 | 13 | 5 | 262 | 63 | -28 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 100 PAwOBA .299 → .239 (−60)K% 12.0% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.00% | ÷0.955 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.00% | ÷1.084 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×0.940 | 19.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.41% | ÷1.046 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×0.940 | 4.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.080 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.28% | ÷1.006 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.84% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 110, 2B 109, 3B 116, K 91, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .299 → .239; ISO .089 → .066; BABIP .295 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 170 PAwOBA .280 → .230 (−50)K% 11.8% → 14.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.12% | ÷1.025 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 2.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.43% | ÷1.055 | ×0.930 | ×1.047 | ×0.940 | 22.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.830 | ×1.047 | ×0.940 | 3.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.920 | ×1.047 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 111, 2B 112, 3B 91, K 93, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .280 → .230; ISO .044 → .033; BABIP .314 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 49 PAwOBA .213 → .193 (−20)K% 4.1% → 5.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 4.08% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 5.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.04% | ÷1.079 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 1.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.60% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 16.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.008 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 3.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 91, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .213 → .193; ISO .044 → .039; BABIP .233 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAALeones de Yucatan · 232 PAwOBA .274 → .238 (−36)K% 12.9% → 16.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.93% | ÷0.949 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.62% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 5.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.024 | ×0.962 | 19.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.85% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×0.962 | 4.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.024 | ×0.962 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 0.44% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .274 → .238; ISO .075 → .063; BABIP .275 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAALeones de Yucatan · 212 PAwOBA .295 → .261 (−34)K% 9.9% → 11.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 7.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.023 | ×0.972 | 19.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×0.972 | 3.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×0.972 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.89% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .295 → .261; ISO .086 → .074; BABIP .268 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAALeones de Yucatan · 351 PAwOBA .337 → .300 (−36)K% 8.3% → 9.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.26% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 9.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.017 | ×0.982 | 25.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×0.982 | 4.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×0.982 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.49% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .337 → .300; ISO .081 → .069; BABIP .338 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAALeones de Yucatan · 200 PAwOBA .316 → .280 (−36)K% 10.5% → 12.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 4.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.011 | ×0.992 | 21.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×0.992 | 5.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×0.992 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.32% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .316 → .280; ISO .117 → .096; BABIP .304 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2005 AAALangosteros de Cancun · 285 PAwOBA .293 → .262 (−31)K% 10.5% → 12.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×1.018 | 18.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×1.018 | 5.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×1.018 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.28% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .293 → .262; ISO .115 → .096; BABIP .262 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).