Bryson Stott
2B Philadelphia Phillies| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | MLBPHI | 571 | .245/.320/.356 | 11 | 32 | 89 | 1.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLBPHI | 560 | .257/.330/.391 | 13 | 24 | 101 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLBPHI | 608 | .256/.336/.401 | 10 | 27 | 107 | 3.0 |
| 2027PROJ | 29 | MLBPHI | 551 | .258/.335/.394 | 11 | 26 | 105 | 2.6 |
| 2028PROJ | 30 | MLBPHI | 536 | .254/.331/.386 | 10 | 22 | 102 | 2.0 |
| 2029PROJ | 31 | MLBPHI | 521 | .249/.325/.374 | 9 | 16 | 97 | 1.5 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 41 | 33 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 303 | 439 | 394 | 833 | 91 | 375 | 20 | 20 | 386 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 351 | 312 | 94 | 22 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 78 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 301 | 372 | 481 | 853 | 179 | 368 | 22 | 10 | 373 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 95 | 73 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 288 | 453 | 548 | 1.001 | 260 | 348 | 23 | 23 | 439 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 119 | 88 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 318 | 469 | 489 | 958 | 170 | 333 | 12 | 20 | 408 | 162 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 466 | 427 | 100 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 89 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 234 | 295 | 358 | 654 | 124 | 274 | 19 | 8 | 293 | 83 | -9 | +1 | +1 | +5 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 40 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 333 | 385 | 611 | 996 | 278 | 400 | 25 | 8 | 419 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 640 | 585 | 164 | 32 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 100 | 7 | 31 | 3 | 280 | 333 | 419 | 752 | 138 | 312 | 16 | 6 | 331 | 108 | +6 | +5 | +13 | +2 | +14 | 4.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 571 | 506 | 124 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 53 | 93 | 3 | 32 | 3 | 245 | 320 | 356 | 676 | 111 | 275 | 16 | 9 | 303 | 89 | -8 | +5 | +2 | +2 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 560 | 499 | 128 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 54 | 91 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 257 | 330 | 391 | 721 | 134 | 288 | 16 | 10 | 321 | 101 | +1 | +3 | +7 | +2 | +12 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 608 | 536 | 137 | 36 | 6 | 10 | 62 | 100 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 256 | 336 | 401 | 737 | 146 | 296 | 16 | 10 | 327 | 107 | +5 | +5 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 3.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 2845 | 2553 | 653 | 128 | 15 | 59 | 244 | 473 | 15 | 126 | 15 | 256 | 324 | 387 | 711 | 131 | 290 | 17 | 9 | 317 | 100 | +1 | +19 | +26 | +14 | +62 | 12.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 41 | 36 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 366 | 361 | 727 | 83 | 356 | 24 | 12 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 351 | 323 | 82 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 97 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 254 | 305 | 381 | 686 | 127 | 331 | 28 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 95 | 80 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 225 | 347 | 412 | 760 | 187 | 286 | 32 | 16 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 466 | 427 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 89 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 232 | 293 | 349 | 642 | 117 | 274 | 19 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -9 | +1 | +1 | +5 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 40 | 37 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 297 | 333 | 486 | 820 | 189 | 370 | 30 | 5 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 640 | 586 | 163 | 33 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 100 | 7 | 31 | 3 | 278 | 330 | 413 | 743 | 135 | 312 | 16 | 6 | 328 | 108 | +6 | +5 | +13 | +2 | +14 | 4.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 571 | 507 | 123 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 93 | 3 | 32 | 3 | 243 | 317 | 347 | 664 | 105 | 275 | 16 | 9 | 299 | 89 | -8 | +5 | +2 | +2 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 560 | 500 | 128 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 91 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 256 | 329 | 386 | 715 | 130 | 288 | 16 | 9 | 317 | 101 | +1 | +3 | +7 | +2 | +12 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 608 | 536 | 137 | 37 | 6 | 9 | 62 | 100 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 256 | 336 | 397 | 733 | 142 | 296 | 16 | 10 | 326 | 107 | +5 | +5 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 3.0 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 606 | 539 | 135 | 27 | 2 | 13 | 56 | 169 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 250 | 322 | 380 | 702 | 130 | 332 | 28 | 9 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 606 | 506 | 153 | 33 | 3 | 18 | 89 | 122 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 302 | 408 | 486 | 894 | 184 | 359 | 20 | 15 | 391 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 464 | 110 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 101 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 237 | 296 | 366 | 663 | 129 | 280 | 20 | 8 | 296 | 86 | -8 | +1 | +1 | +5 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 506 | 463 | 112 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 99 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 242 | 302 | 378 | 680 | 136 | 282 | 20 | 8 | 303 | 86 | -8 | +1 | +1 | +5 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 640 | 586 | 163 | 33 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 100 | 7 | 31 | 3 | 278 | 330 | 413 | 743 | 135 | 310 | 16 | 6 | 328 | 108 | +6 | +5 | +13 | +2 | +14 | 4.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 640 | 585 | 164 | 32 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 100 | 7 | 31 | 3 | 280 | 333 | 419 | 752 | 138 | 312 | 16 | 6 | 331 | 108 | +6 | +5 | +13 | +2 | +14 | 4.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 571 | 507 | 123 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 93 | 3 | 32 | 3 | 243 | 317 | 347 | 664 | 105 | 274 | 16 | 9 | 299 | 89 | -8 | +5 | +2 | +2 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 571 | 506 | 124 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 53 | 93 | 3 | 32 | 3 | 245 | 320 | 356 | 676 | 111 | 275 | 16 | 9 | 303 | 89 | -8 | +5 | +2 | +2 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 560 | 500 | 128 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 91 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 256 | 329 | 386 | 715 | 130 | 289 | 16 | 9 | 317 | 101 | +1 | +3 | +7 | +2 | +12 | 2.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 560 | 499 | 128 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 54 | 91 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 257 | 330 | 391 | 721 | 134 | 288 | 16 | 10 | 321 | 101 | +1 | +3 | +7 | +2 | +12 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 608 | 536 | 137 | 37 | 6 | 9 | 62 | 100 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 256 | 336 | 397 | 733 | 142 | 298 | 16 | 10 | 326 | 107 | +5 | +5 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 3.0 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 608 | 536 | 137 | 36 | 6 | 10 | 62 | 100 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 256 | 336 | 401 | 737 | 146 | 296 | 16 | 10 | 327 | 107 | +5 | +5 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 3.0 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 606 | 544 | 135 | 27 | 2 | 13 | 56 | 169 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 248 | 322 | 377 | 699 | 129 | 324 | 28 | 9 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 462 | 110 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 101 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 238 | 296 | 368 | 664 | 130 | 281 | 20 | 8 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 640 | 590 | 163 | 33 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 100 | 7 | 31 | 3 | 276 | 330 | 410 | 740 | 134 | 312 | 16 | 6 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 571 | 511 | 123 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 93 | 3 | 32 | 3 | 241 | 317 | 344 | 661 | 104 | 275 | 16 | 9 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 560 | 501 | 128 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 91 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 255 | 329 | 385 | 714 | 130 | 288 | 16 | 9 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 608 | 538 | 137 | 37 | 6 | 9 | 62 | 100 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 255 | 336 | 396 | 732 | 141 | 296 | 16 | 10 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 571 | 511 | 123 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 93 | 3 | 32 | 3 | 241 | 317 | 344 | 661 | 104 | 275 | 16 | 9 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 560 | 501 | 128 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 91 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 255 | 329 | 385 | 714 | 130 | 288 | 16 | 9 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 608 | 538 | 137 | 37 | 6 | 9 | 62 | 100 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 255 | 336 | 396 | 732 | 141 | 296 | 16 | 10 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | PHI | 100% | 553 | 492 | 126 | 27 | 4 | 10 | 54 | 91 | 2 | 27 | 5 | 257 | 334 | 390 | 724 | 133 | 294 | 16 | 10 | 324 | 105 | +3 | +3 | +5 | +2 | +12 | 2.8 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | PHI | 100% | 551 | 490 | 126 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 54 | 91 | 2 | 26 | 5 | 258 | 335 | 394 | 729 | 137 | 294 | 17 | 10 | 326 | 105 | +3 | +3 | +5 | +2 | +12 | 2.6 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | PHI | 100% | 536 | 477 | 120 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 90 | 2 | 22 | 5 | 253 | 330 | 382 | 711 | 128 | 292 | 17 | 10 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +2 | +3 | +2 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB MLE | PHI | 100% | 521 | 464 | 116 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 50 | 89 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 248 | 324 | 371 | 695 | 122 | 288 | 17 | 10 | 312 | 97 | -2 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +11 | 1.5 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB MLE | PHI | 100% | 506 | 451 | 109 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 48 | 89 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 242 | 317 | 356 | 673 | 114 | 283 | 18 | 9 | 303 | 91 | -5 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB MLE | PHI | 100% | 459 | 412 | 96 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 84 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 234 | 308 | 339 | 647 | 105 | 277 | 18 | 9 | 293 | 84 | -9 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | PHI | 100% | 536 | 477 | 122 | 25 | 4 | 10 | 52 | 90 | 2 | 22 | 5 | 254 | 331 | 386 | 716 | 131 | 292 | 17 | 10 | 321 | 102 | +1 | +2 | +3 | +2 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB CTX | PHI | 100% | 521 | 464 | 117 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 50 | 89 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 249 | 325 | 374 | 700 | 125 | 288 | 17 | 10 | 314 | 97 | -2 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +11 | 1.5 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB CTX | PHI | 100% | 506 | 451 | 109 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 48 | 89 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 243 | 318 | 359 | 677 | 117 | 283 | 18 | 9 | 305 | 91 | -5 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB CTX | PHI | 100% | 459 | 412 | 97 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 43 | 84 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 235 | 309 | 341 | 650 | 107 | 277 | 18 | 9 | 294 | 84 | -9 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +10 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4867 | 4357 | 1098 | 218 | 29 | 93 | 437 | 825 | 22 | 179 | 29 | 252 | 323 | 379 | 703 | 127 | 289 | 17 | 9 | 313 | 97 | -13 | +24 | +31 | +21 | +105 | 17.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 582 | 146 | 29 | 4 | 12 | 58 | 110 | 3 | 24 | 4 | 251 | 322 | 376 | 698 | 125 | 288 | 17 | 9 | 313 | 97 | -2 | +3 | +4 | +3 | +14 | 2.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6064 | 5426 | 1362 | 276 | 36 | 111 | 546 | 1097 | 25 | 222 | 41 | 251 | 322 | 377 | 699 | 126 | 293 | 18 | 9 | 312 | 97 | -9 | +27 | +36 | +23 | +117 | 19.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 147 | 30 | 4 | 12 | 59 | 118 | 3 | 24 | 4 | 253 | 325 | 380 | 705 | 127 | 295 | 18 | 9 | 312 | 97 | -1 | +3 | +4 | +3 | +14 | 2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 40 PAwOBA .418 → .352 (−66)K% 25.0% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.970 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.50% | ÷1.067 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.92% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 25.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 6.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 4.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.039 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 5.35% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .418 → .352; ISO .278 → .221; BABIP .400 → .370. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAReading Fightin Phils · 351 PAwOBA .367 → .297 (−70)K% 22.2% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.69% | ÷0.989 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 6.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.64% | ÷0.989 | ×0.940 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 24.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.40% | ÷0.993 | ×0.870 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 8.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.27% | ÷1.344 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.51% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 169, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .367 → .297; ISO .179 → .126; BABIP .368 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 95 PAwOBA .429 → .328 (−101)K% 23.2% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.16% | ÷1.003 | ×1.350 | — | — | 31.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.16% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 16.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.975 | ×0.910 | ×0.969 | ×0.988 | 21.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.84% | ÷1.182 | ×0.830 | ×0.969 | ×0.988 | 5.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.969 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.80% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 8.01% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 95, 2B 136, 3B 80, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .429 → .328; ISO .260 → .201; BABIP .348 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 41 PAwOBA .377 → .322 (−55)K% 19.5% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.51% | ÷0.992 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.51% | ÷1.061 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 13.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 34.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.07% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .377 → .322; ISO .091 → .072; BABIP .375 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .