TJ FriedlCF Cincinnati Reds
Age 30 L/L 5'8" / 180 lbs MLB HR +16%BB +6% Svc 3.651 · Ctrl thru 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION349 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only
showingROS
wRC+†vL 7588vR 93
AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111
PA10
HR0
K%20
BB%10
BABIP264
ISO119
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)
BAT so far: -19.0 runs (268 MLB PA)BAT projected ROS: -0.2 runs (10 MLB PA, park-applied)-19BATRUN so far: +0.6 runs (268 MLB PA)RUN projected ROS: +0.0 runs (10 MLB PA, park-applied)+1RUNFLD so far: +0.3 runs (268 MLB PA)FLD projected ROS: -0.1 runs (10 MLB PA, park-applied)+0FLDPOS so far: +1.0 runs (268 MLB PA)POS projected ROS: +0.0 runs (10 MLB PA, park-applied)+1POSREP so far: +5.8 runs (268 MLB PA)REP projected ROS: +0.2 runs (10 MLB PA, park-applied)+6REP2026 MLB WAR (so far + projected ROS): -1.16so far: -1.2 WAR-1.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.30.026272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control-$4M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
Whiff%
905.2%
xAVG
100.217
POWER35
Barrel%
102.9
Avg EV
2186.9
Bat Spd
4570.8
EYE60
Chase%
9018.6%
SPEED45
Sprint
3326.7
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%18%19% over 54 PA (60d) · proj 17%
BB%11%·11% over 54 PA (60d) · proj 11%
ISO.107.064 over 47 AB (60d) · proj .119xISO .076 vs .093 prior — approach backs the move
HR/BB3.1%·2.7% over 37 BBE (60d) · proj 3.2%barrel% 2.9% vs 2.9% prior
BABIP.257.083 over 36 BIP (60d) · proj .264xBABIP .220 vs .255 prior — approach backs the move
SLASH.224/.325/.331proj .233/.331/.353
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1109 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
279
830
wRC+
93
105
R
wOBA
305
324
R
ISO
100
130
▶▶R
BABIP
272
273
K%
18.6%
16.1%
R
BB%
9.3%
10.8%
R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2021
Service   3.651 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.3M
2027Arb-2$3M+0.3$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Arb-3$3M
Totals $0.3M $0.4M -$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201620 ROKBillings Mustangs 137121 421123 13253 72 347423545969 198419 189 426 175 +12 +1 +3 1.6
201721 A+Daytona Tortugas 199179 46622 10395 21 257314346661 89317 205 293 85 -4 +0 +4 0.1
201721 ADayton Dragons 292250 712065 294610 148 284381472853 188328 1610 375 140 +14 -0 +6 2.0
201822 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos 296261 721032 28566 195 276359360719 84345 199 329 109 +3 +2 +6 1.2
201822 A+Daytona Tortugas 274228 671043 38446 114 294408412820 118350 1614 371 137 +12 +1 +6 1.9
201923 AAChattanooga Lookouts 269226 531145 295011 134 235350385735 150277 1911 331 110 +3 +1 +6 1.0
202125 MLBCincinnati Reds 3631 9101 420 00 290371419791 129276 611 347 121 +1 +0 -0 +2 +1 0.3
202125 AAALouisville Bats 448386 10215512 446513 137 264359422781 158288 1510 348 122 +12 -0 +10 2.1
202226 MLBCincinnati Reds 258225 541058 20407 72 240321436757 196251 168 328 108 +3 +1 -2 +2 +6 0.9
202226 AAALouisville Bats 241205 57938 28483 102 278373468841 190327 2012 366 134 +10 +1 +5 1.7
202327 MLBCincinnati Reds 556488 13622818 479010 276 279354467821 189308 168 357 128 +18 +3 +5 +2 +12 4.1
202428 MLBCincinnati Reds 341297 675113 265212 91 226313380694 155229 158 309 95 -2 +1 -5 +1 +7 0.3
202428 AAALouisville Bats 3227 5400 441 00 185312333646 148217 1212 299 88 -0 +0 +1 0.0
202529 MLBCincinnati Reds 685579 15122214 8111516 123 261367378745 117301 1712 337 115 +12 +1 -2 +2 +15 2.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 18761620 417601654 17829945 5512 257347414761 157282 169 337 114 +32 +6 -4 +9 +41 8.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201620 ROK MLEBillings Mustangs 137126 30712 8363 72 238299357656 119319 266 290 82 -3 +1 +3 0.1
201721 A+ MLEDaytona Tortugas 199181 41522 8565 21 227278309588 83303 284 253 57 -10 +0 +4 -0.6
201721 A MLEDayton Dragons 292260 601653 196410 148 231308365673 135284 227 292 84 -6 -0 +6 0.0
201822 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos 296270 64832 19666 195 237302311613 74304 226 270 69 -11 +2 +6 -0.3
201822 A+ MLEDaytona Tortugas 274237 57832 29606 114 241338325663 84308 2211 303 91 -3 +1 +6 0.4
201923 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts 269234 46844 216311 134 197293316609 120241 238 268 68 -10 +1 +6 -0.4
202125 MLB MLECincinnati Reds 3631 9101 420 00 290371419791 129276 611 335 113 +1 +0 -0 +2 +1 0.3
202125 AAA MLELouisville Bats 448404 911358 268213 137 225293342635 116260 186 282 77 -12 -0 +10 -0.3
202226 MLB MLECincinnati Reds 258225 531057 20407 72 236317418735 182251 168 317 101 +0 +1 -2 +2 +6 0.7
202226 AAA MLELouisville Bats 241214 49834 19603 102 229301350651 121285 258 283 78 -6 +1 +5 0.0
202327 MLB MLECincinnati Reds 556488 13522817 479010 276 277352459811 182308 168 343 119 +12 +3 +5 +2 +12 3.5
202428 MLB MLECincinnati Reds 341297 665112 265212 91 222310367677 145229 158 298 88 -5 +1 -5 +1 +7 0.0
202428 AAA MLELouisville Bats 3228 5400 351 00 179281321603 143190 169 243 51 -2 +0 +1 -0.1
202529 MLB MLECincinnati Reds 685579 14922213 8111516 123 257364370734 112301 1712 327 107 +6 +1 -2 +2 +15 2.3
201620 ROK MLEBillings Mustangs 137126 30712 8363 72 238299357656 119318 266 290 82
201620 ROK RAWBillings Mustangs 137121 421123 13253 72 347423545969 198419 189 426 82
201721 A MLE2 teams 491441 1012265 2711915 169 229296340636 111300 245 276 73
201721 A RAW2 teams 491429 1172687 398515 169 273354420774 147324 178 342 73
201822 AA MLE2 teams 570508 1221764 4712712 309 240319321640 81311 228 286 80
201822 AA RAW2 teams 570489 1392075 6610012 309 284383384767 100347 1812 349 80
201923 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts 269234 46844 216311 134 197293316609 120249 238 268 68
201923 AA RAWChattanooga Lookouts 269226 531145 295011 134 235350385735 150277 1911 331 68
202125 AAA MLE2 teams 484435 1001459 308413 137 230299347646 117263 176 286 80
202125 AAA RAW2 teams 484417 11116513 486713 137 266360422782 156287 1410 348 80
202226 MLB MLE2 teams 499439 10217812 3910010 174 232309390699 157269 208 301 90 -6 +2 -2 +2 +11 0.7
202226 MLB RAW2 teams 499430 11119816 488810 174 258346451797 193285 1810 347 90 -6 +2 -2 +2 +11 0.7
202327 MLB MLECincinnati Reds 556488 13522817 479010 276 277352459811 182307 168 343 119 +12 +3 +5 +2 +12 3.5
202327 MLB RAWCincinnati Reds 556488 13622818 479010 276 279354467821 189308 168 357 119 +12 +3 +5 +2 +12 3.5
202428 MLB MLE2 teams 373325 708112 295713 91 215305357662 142223 158 293 84 -7 +1 -5 +1 +8 -0.1
202428 MLB RAW2 teams 373324 729113 305613 91 222313377690 154228 158 308 84 -7 +1 -5 +1 +8 -0.1
202529 MLB MLECincinnati Reds 685579 14922213 8111516 123 257364370734 112298 1712 327 107 +6 +1 -2 +2 +15 2.3
202529 MLB RAWCincinnati Reds 685579 15122214 8111516 123 261367378745 117301 1712 337 107 +6 +1 -2 +2 +15 2.3
201620 ROK MLEBillings Mustangs 137125 30712 8363 72 240299360659 120319 266 290 82
201721 A MLE2 teams 491446 1012265 2711915 169 226296336632 110292 245 276 73
201822 AA MLE2 teams 570506 1221764 4712712 309 241319322641 81306 228 286 80
201923 AA MLEChattanooga Lookouts 269235 46844 216311 134 196293315608 119241 238 268 68
202125 AAA MLE2 teams 484438 1001459 308413 137 228299345644 116261 176 286 80
202226 MLB MLE2 teams 499447 10217812 3910010 174 228309383692 154268 208 301 90
202327 MLB MLECincinnati Reds 556494 13522817 479010 276 273352453806 180308 168 343 119
202428 MLB MLE2 teams 373328 708112 295713 91 213305354659 140225 158 293 84
202529 MLB MLECincinnati Reds 685583 14922213 8111516 123 256364367731 111301 1712 327 107
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
202327 MLB MLECincinnati Reds 556494 13522817 479010 276 273352453806 180308 168 343 119
202428 MLB MLE2 teams 373328 708112 295713 91 213305354659 140225 158 293 84
202529 MLB MLECincinnati Reds 685583 14922213 8111516 123 256364367731 111301 1712 327 107
YTD30 MLB MLECIN 349307 541016 28828 71 176262274536 98218 238 237 47 -22 +1 +0 +1 +8 -1.2
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR30 MLB RAWCIN 268235 38614 22625 51 162248247495 85200 238 228 47 -17 +1 +0 +1 +6 -0.9
YTD30 AAA RAWCIN 8170 19503 8173 20 271370471842 200320 2110 375 47
YTD30 MLB RAWCIN 268235 38614 22625 51 162248247495 85200 238 228 40 -19 +1 +0 +1 +6 -1.2
ROS30 MLB MLECIN 100% 109 1000 120 00 111200111311 261 2010 298 88 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
ROS30 MLB CTXCIN 100% 109 1000 120 00 111200111311 264 2010 285 88 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL30 MLB A+CCIN 278244 39614 23645 51 160246242488 82198 238 230 48 -17 +1 +0 +1 +6 -1.0
TOT30 MLB MLECIN 359316 551016 29848 71 174261269530 95216 238 239 48 -22 +1 +0 +1 +8 -1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202731 MLB MLECIN 100% 660578 13220513 6213515 123 228319348667 119272 209 301 90 -8 +1 -7 +2 +14 0.3
202832 MLB MLECIN 100% 571500 11117410 5311913 82 222313332645 110268 219 295 86 -10 +1 -7 +2 +12 -0.1
202933 MLB MLECIN 100% 541474 1031549 5011512 61 217308323631 105264 219 288 81 -12 +1 -7 +2 +12 -0.5
202731 MLB CTXCIN 100% 660578 13320514 6213515 123 230321355675 125274 209 289 90 -8 +1 -7 +2 +14 0.3
202832 MLB CTXCIN 100% 571500 11317411 5311913 82 226316342658 116271 219 283 86 -10 +1 -7 +2 +12 -0.1
202933 MLB CTXCIN 100% 541474 10515410 5011512 61 222312333645 112267 219 276 81 -12 +1 -7 +2 +12 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career A+C 36583181 7691122989 34467085 8118 242332379711 137278 189 311 89 +2 +9 -24 +16 +79 8.3
/ 162G A+C 650565 13720516 6111915 143 242332381713 138278 189 311 89 +0 +2 -4 +3 +14 1.5
Career MLE 58465136 120218954110 4951162143 17051 234319356675 122280 208 299 89 +2 +9 -24 +16 +79 8.3
/ 162G MLE 650571 13321612 5512916 196 233318354672 121279 208 299 89 +0 +2 -4 +3 +14 1.5