Caleb Bonemer

3B Birmingham Barons
Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP60OGV rank#8ETA2028MLB%12%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202519A+/ACWS476.281/.408/.473122998—.230/.329/.392
202620AA/A+/INTL2 orgs650.254/.381/.5584017108—.205/.305/.449
2027PROJ12% MLB21MLBCWS25.228/.320/.455111150.1
2028PROJ60% MLB22MLBCWS309.233/.325/.4651571191.5
2029PROJ76% MLB23MLBCWS420.237/.328/.4712191212.2
Next 3 projected WAR 3.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$7M2032Arb-2$12M2033Arb-3$17M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
ISO94
wRC+90
wOBA88
BB%85
Z-Con%82
Chase%75
Career WAR7.8 WAR median (P10 -1.0 / P90 30, comp-based) · star 10% · didn't stick 43%
CompsAndy Pages (age 21) · Francisco Alvarez (age 21) · Javier Báez (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†115
AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .320 / .455
PA25
HR1
K%28
BB%8
BABIP281
ISO182
MLB%12%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +3.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+4BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +1.20+1.2WAR
0.01.53.00.11.52.22.62.62.62.527282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$74M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.5$11M+$10M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.2$15M+$14M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.6$17M+$16M
2031Arb-1$7M+2.6$16M+$11M
2032Arb-2$12M+2.6$15M+$7M
2033Arb-3$17M+2.5$13M+$3M
Totals $39M $86M +$63M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202519 A+Winston-Salem Dash — 4436 10412 7101 20 2784096111.020 333333 2316 437 120 — — — — — —
202519 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 432349 9826310 68917 278 281408458866 178344 2116 382 96 — — — — — —
202620 AABirmingham Barons — 317264 6914219 46805 72 261381545926 284299 2515 402 108 — — — — — —
202620 A+Winston-Salem Dash — 278223 5315118 388115 103 238384556940 318278 2914 407 94 — — — — — —
202620 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 5549 14423 6120 00 286364633996 347324 2211 424 173 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202519 A+ MLEWinston-Salem Dash — 4438 9312 5141 20 237341526867 289293 3211 346 120 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 432370 8521210 471237 278 230328378706 149296 2811 310 96 — — — — — —
202620 AA MLEBirmingham Barons — 317279 6213216 31985 72 222311455766 233269 3110 328 108 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEWinston-Salem Dash — 278238 4411116 2310615 103 185297441738 256222 388 307 94 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 476408 9424312 521368 298 230329392721 162306 2911 313 98 — — — — — —
202519 A RAW2 teams — 476385 10830412 751018 298 281408473881 192343 2116 387 98 — — — — — —
202620 AA MLE3 teams — 650566 11426334 6022320 175 201300438738 237256 349 318 101 — — — — — —
202620 AA RAW3 teams — 650536 13633540 9017320 175 254381558939 304294 2714 406 101 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 476413 9424312 521368 298 228329387716 160296 2911 313 98 — — — — — —
202620 AA MLE3 teams — 650565 11426334 6022320 175 202300439739 237247 349 318 101 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202519 A MLE2 teams — 476413 9424312 521368 298 228329387716 160296 2911 313 98 — — — — — —
202620 AA MLE3 teams — 650565 11426334 6022320 175 202300439739 237247 349 318 101 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECWS 12% 648567 12829330 6119115 144 226319450769 224280 299 338 115 +11 +1 -1 +2 +14 1.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202721 MLB CTXCWS 12% 2522 5101 271 10 228320455775 227281 288 340 115 +0 +0 -0 +0 +1 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECWS 60% 517450 10523325 5014812 113 231324460784 229281 2910 344 119 +12 +1 -1 +2 +11 2.5
202923 MLB MLECWS 76% 552482 11425327 5315312 123 235327466793 231282 2810 348 121 +14 +1 -0 +2 +12 2.9
203024 MLB MLECWS 80% 578504 12026328 5615813 123 238329469798 231283 2710 350 123 +16 +1 +0 +2 +13 3.2
203125 MLB MLECWS 81% 585511 12126328 5715812 113 239329468798 230284 2710 350 123 +16 +1 +0 +2 +13 3.2
203226 MLB MLECWS 82% 590516 12326328 5715812 113 239329465794 226284 2710 348 122 +15 +1 +0 +2 +13 3.2
203327 MLB MLECWS 80% 590516 12326328 5715912 113 238328462790 225284 2710 347 121 +15 +1 +0 +2 +13 3.1
203428 MLB MLECWS 80% 582509 12026327 5615812 93 236326458784 222283 2710 344 119 +13 +1 -1 +2 +13 2.9
203529 MLB MLECWS 77% 565495 11625326 5415511 83 234323452775 218282 2710 341 117 +11 +0 -1 +2 +12 2.5
203630 MLB MLECWS 76% 552483 11224325 5315311 63 231320444764 213280 2810 337 114 +9 +0 -2 +2 +12 2.2
203731 MLB MLECWS 76% 534468 10623223 5115010 43 227315435750 208277 2810 331 110 +6 -0 -3 +2 +12 1.7
203832 MLB MLECWS 75% 511449 10021222 481469 312 222309422731 200273 299 323 105 +3 -4 -3 +2 +11 0.8
203933 MLB MLECWS 75% 475420 9019219 441388 316 215302405707 191267 299 314 99 -1 -6 -4 +2 +10 0.1
204034 MLB MLECWS 71% 419371 7715216 381257 246 206292386678 179260 309 302 91 -5 -18 -5 +1 +9 -1.7
202822 MLB CTXCWS 60% 309269 6314215 30887 72 233325465790 232282 2810 346 119 +7 +1 -0 +1 +7 1.5
202923 MLB CTXCWS 76% 420367 8719221 411179 92 237328471799 235283 2810 350 121 +11 +1 -0 +1 +9 2.2
203024 MLB CTXCWS 80% 460402 9621223 4512610 92 239330474804 235285 2710 352 123 +12 +1 +0 +2 +10 2.6
203125 MLB CTXCWS 81% 474415 9921323 4612810 92 240331473804 233285 2710 352 123 +13 +1 +0 +2 +10 2.6
203226 MLB CTXCWS 82% 482422 10222323 4712910 92 240330470800 230285 2710 351 122 +13 +1 +0 +2 +10 2.6
203327 MLB CTXCWS 80% 473414 9921223 4612710 82 239329467797 228285 2710 349 121 +12 +1 +0 +2 +10 2.5
203428 MLB CTXCWS 80% 463406 9621222 451269 72 237327463790 225284 2710 347 119 +11 +1 -0 +2 +10 2.3
203529 MLB CTXCWS 77% 438384 8919220 421209 62 235325456781 221283 2710 343 117 +9 +0 -1 +2 +9 2.0
203630 MLB CTXCWS 76% 421370 8619219 401178 52 232321449770 217281 2810 339 114 +7 +0 -2 +2 +9 1.7
203731 MLB CTXCWS 76% 404355 8218218 381148 32 228317439756 211278 289 333 110 +5 -0 -2 +1 +9 1.3
203832 MLB CTXCWS 75% 385339 7516216 361107 29 223311426736 203274 299 325 105 +2 -3 -3 +1 +8 0.6
203933 MLB CTXCWS 75% 357315 6814115 331046 312 216303409712 193268 299 316 99 -1 -4 -3 +1 +8 0.1
204034 MLB CTXCWS 71% 296262 5411111 27885 132 208293389683 182261 309 304 91 -3 -13 -3 +1 +6 -1.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 53824720 109623626249 5161494108 7873 232322451773 219282 2810 341 113 +97 -14 -15 +19 +117 20.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650570 13329330 6218013 99 233322453775 219284 2810 341 113 +12 -2 -2 +2 +14 2.5
Career— MLE — 83867331 167636442378 8062380174 153118 229320444764 216281 2810 335 113 +129 -21 -20 +26 +157 27.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650568 12928329 6218413 129 227317440757 213279 2810 335 113 +12 -2 -2 +2 +14 2.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AABirmingham Barons · 317 PAwOBA .391 → .328 (−63)K% 25.2% → 30.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.24%÷1.000×1.220——30.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.88%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0509.91%
HBP% /PA1.58%—×0.840—×1.0501.39%
Singles /BIP18.48%÷1.000×0.920×0.950×1.05016.96%
Doubles /BIP7.61%÷1.000×0.910×0.950×1.0506.91%
Triples /BIP1.09%÷1.000×0.880×0.950×1.0500.95%
Home runs /BIP10.33%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0508.67%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .391 → .328; ISO .284 → .242; BABIP .299 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 278 PAwOBA .399 → .307 (−92)K% 29.1% → 38.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.14%÷1.000×1.310——38.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.67%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0278.42%
HBP% /PA5.40%—×0.770—×1.0274.27%
Singles /BIP13.38%÷1.000×0.870×0.950×1.02711.36%
Doubles /BIP10.56%÷1.000×0.780×0.950×1.0278.04%
Triples /BIP0.70%÷1.000×0.850×0.950×1.0270.58%
Home runs /BIP12.68%÷1.000×0.880—×1.02711.46%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .399 → .307; ISO .318 → .267; BABIP .278 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 432 PAwOBA .380 → .310 (−69)K% 21.1% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.06%÷1.009×1.360——28.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.74%÷1.030×0.690—×1.03010.86%
HBP% /PA1.62%—×0.780—×1.0301.30%
Singles /BIP22.87%÷1.018×0.920×0.950×1.03020.23%
Doubles /BIP10.08%÷0.992×0.830×0.950×1.0308.25%
Triples /BIP1.16%÷1.091×0.910×0.950×1.0300.95%
Home runs /BIP3.88%÷0.853×0.800—×1.0303.75%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 118, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .380 → .310; ISO .178 → .157; BABIP .344 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 44 PAwOBA .426 → .346 (−81)K% 22.7% → 31.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.73%÷0.955×1.310——31.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.91%÷0.949×0.600—×1.04210.48%
HBP% /PA2.27%—×0.770—×1.0421.82%
Singles /BIP11.54%÷0.942×0.870—×1.04211.10%
Doubles /BIP15.38%÷0.984×0.780—×1.04212.70%
Triples /BIP3.85%÷1.045×0.850—×1.0423.26%
Home runs /BIP7.69%÷0.923×0.880—×1.0427.64%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 88, 2B 97, 3B 109, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .426 → .346; ISO .333 → .291; BABIP .333 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .