Caleb Bonemer — OGILVIE

Caleb Bonemer3B Birmingham Barons

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†116

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .321 / .457

PA38

HR2

K%29

BB%11

BABIP283

ISO242

MLB%12%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$91M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$13M	+$13M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.6	$18M	+$18M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.0	$22M	+$21M
2031	Arb-1	$8M	+3.1	$21M	+$16M
2032	Arb-2	$13M	+3.1	$20M	+$12M
2033	Arb-3	$19M	+3.0	$17M	+$7M
Totals		$43M		$111M	+$85M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	44	36	10	4	1	2	7	10	1	2	0	278	409	611	1.020	333	333	23	16	437	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	432	349	98	26	3	10	68	91	7	27	8	281	408	458	866	178	344	21	16	382	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	317	264	69	14	2	19	46	80	5	7	2	261	381	545	926	284	299	25	15	402	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	278	223	53	15	1	18	38	81	15	10	3	238	384	556	940	318	278	29	14	407	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	27	24	8	3	1	0	3	5	0	0	0	333	407	542	949	208	421	19	11	414	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	44	38	9	3	1	2	5	14	1	2	0	237	341	526	867	289	293	32	11	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	432	370	85	21	2	10	47	123	7	27	8	230	328	378	706	149	296	28	11	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	317	279	62	13	2	16	31	98	5	7	2	222	311	455	766	233	269	31	10	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	278	238	44	11	1	16	23	106	15	10	3	185	297	441	738	256	222	38	8	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	476	408	94	24	3	12	52	136	8	29	8	230	329	392	721	162	306	29	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	476	385	108	30	4	12	75	101	8	29	8	281	408	473	881	192	343	21	16	387	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	3 teams	—	622	541	110	25	3	33	57	213	20	17	5	203	303	444	746	240	258	34	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA RAW	3 teams	—	622	511	130	32	4	37	87	166	20	17	5	254	383	550	933	295	298	27	14	404	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	476	413	94	24	3	12	52	136	8	29	8	228	329	387	716	160	296	29	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	3 teams	—	622	540	110	25	3	33	57	213	20	17	5	204	303	444	747	241	247	34	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	476	413	94	24	3	12	52	136	8	29	8	228	329	387	716	160	296	29	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	3 teams	—	622	540	110	25	3	33	57	213	20	17	5	204	303	444	747	241	247	34	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CWS	12%	648	567	128	29	3	30	61	191	15	14	4	228	320	453	772	225	282	29	9	340	116	+12	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	CWS	12%	38	33	8	2	0	2	4	11	1	1	0	229	321	457	779	228	283	29	11	342	116	+1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CWS	63%	581	508	118	26	3	27	55	169	13	13	3	233	324	458	782	225	288	29	9	344	119	+13	+1	-0	+2	+13	2.9
2029	23	MLB MLE	CWS	81%	609	533	126	27	3	29	58	171	13	13	3	237	327	463	791	226	289	28	10	347	121	+15	+1	+0	+2	+13	3.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	CWS	85%	627	549	131	28	3	30	60	173	13	13	3	240	329	466	795	226	290	28	10	349	122	+17	+1	+1	+2	+14	3.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	CWS	86%	631	552	132	28	3	30	61	173	13	13	3	241	330	467	797	226	290	27	10	350	123	+17	+1	+1	+2	+14	3.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	CWS	87%	634	555	132	28	3	30	61	174	13	12	3	240	330	467	797	226	290	27	10	350	123	+17	+1	+1	+2	+14	3.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	CWS	85%	634	555	132	28	3	30	61	174	13	12	3	239	329	464	793	225	290	27	10	348	122	+16	+1	+1	+2	+14	3.5
2034	28	MLB MLE	CWS	85%	629	550	130	28	3	29	61	174	13	10	3	238	327	460	787	222	289	28	10	346	120	+15	+1	-0	+2	+14	3.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	CWS	82%	619	542	127	27	3	28	60	173	12	8	3	235	325	454	778	218	287	28	10	342	118	+13	+0	-1	+2	+13	2.9
2036	30	MLB MLE	CWS	81%	609	534	125	27	3	27	58	173	12	7	3	233	321	446	767	213	286	28	10	338	115	+11	+0	-1	+2	+13	2.5
2037	31	MLB MLE	CWS	81%	595	523	120	26	3	26	56	171	11	5	4	229	317	436	753	208	283	29	9	332	111	+8	-1	-2	+2	+13	2.0
2038	32	MLB MLE	CWS	80%	576	506	113	24	2	24	54	168	11	3	12	223	311	423	734	200	279	29	9	325	106	+4	-4	-3	+2	+12	1.2
2039	33	MLB MLE	CWS	80%	546	481	105	22	2	22	50	163	10	4	16	217	303	407	710	191	273	30	9	315	100	-0	-6	-4	+2	+12	0.4
2040	34	MLB MLE	CWS	75%	499	442	92	18	2	19	45	152	9	2	49	208	294	387	681	179	266	30	9	304	92	-5	-19	-4	+2	+11	-1.6
2028	22	MLB CTX	CWS	63%	368	322	76	17	2	18	35	107	8	8	2	235	325	463	789	228	289	29	10	346	119	+8	+1	-0	+1	+8	1.8
2029	23	MLB CTX	CWS	81%	492	431	103	22	3	24	47	138	11	11	3	239	329	468	797	229	290	28	10	349	121	+12	+1	+0	+2	+11	2.6
2030	24	MLB CTX	CWS	85%	531	464	113	24	3	26	51	146	11	11	3	241	331	471	802	230	291	27	10	351	122	+14	+1	+1	+2	+12	3.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	CWS	86%	544	476	115	25	3	26	52	149	11	11	3	242	331	472	803	230	291	27	10	352	123	+15	+1	+1	+2	+12	3.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	CWS	87%	551	482	117	25	3	27	53	151	11	11	3	242	332	472	803	230	291	27	10	352	123	+15	+1	+1	+2	+12	3.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	CWS	85%	541	473	114	24	3	26	52	149	11	10	3	241	331	469	800	228	291	28	10	351	122	+14	+1	+1	+2	+12	3.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	CWS	85%	532	465	112	24	3	25	51	148	11	8	3	239	329	464	793	225	290	28	10	348	120	+13	+0	-0	+2	+12	2.7
2035	29	MLB CTX	CWS	82%	510	446	106	23	2	24	49	143	10	7	2	237	326	458	784	221	289	28	10	344	118	+11	+1	-1	+2	+11	2.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	CWS	81%	494	434	102	22	2	23	47	140	10	6	2	234	323	451	773	217	287	28	10	340	115	+9	+0	-1	+2	+11	2.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	CWS	81%	479	422	97	21	2	21	45	138	9	4	3	230	318	441	759	211	284	29	9	334	111	+6	-0	-2	+2	+10	1.7
2038	32	MLB CTX	CWS	80%	462	407	91	19	2	20	43	135	9	2	9	225	312	428	740	203	280	29	9	327	106	+3	-3	-2	+2	+10	1.0
2039	33	MLB CTX	CWS	80%	437	386	85	18	2	18	40	130	8	3	13	218	304	411	716	193	274	30	9	317	100	-0	-5	-3	+2	+9	0.3
2040	34	MLB CTX	CWS	75%	377	334	70	14	1	15	34	115	6	2	37	209	295	391	686	182	267	31	9	305	92	-4	-14	-3	+1	+8	-1.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6318	5542	1301	278	31	293	599	1789	126	94	86	235	323	455	778	220	289	28	9	341	113	+116	-16	-10	+23	+137	25.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	134	29	3	30	62	184	13	10	9	235	324	454	778	219	290	28	10	341	113	+12	-2	-1	+2	+14	2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	9207	8058	1851	400	44	411	879	2651	192	168	123	230	320	443	763	214	285	29	10	336	113	+147	-20	-13	+29	+176	32.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	130	28	3	29	62	187	14	12	9	228	320	441	761	213	283	29	10	336	113	+12	-2	-1	+2	+14	2.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19 AS×3SS career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA	12.5	8,278	344	153	249	337	466	-10	-4	47.5	42.0
/162	664	28	12	-0.8	-0.3	3.8	pk7: 36
#2Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	9.3	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.4	32.4
/162	664	26	6	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	9.6	6,355	288	94	234	319	450	+65	+6	34.5	29.6
/162	664	30	10	+6.8	+0.6	3.6	pk7: 25
#3Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	8.3	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
/162	664	28	3	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#4Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	7.4	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
/162	664	26	14	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#5Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	7.4	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
/162	664	29	10	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#6Evan Gattislast yr '18 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,662 PA	4.0	2,662	139	3	248	300	476	+30	+20	17.0	17.0
/162	664	35	1	+7.6	+4.9	4.2	pk7: 17

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caleb Bonemer (OGILVIE)	21	46→53	51→56	48→49	56	226/317/448	223	282	15	7	30%	9%	116	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Andy Pages 2022 · A	21	42→52	59→60	45→50	47	225/317/433	209	295	27	6	32%	10%	112	+2.2	225/305/404	179	293	21	7	29%	8%	100	+1.3	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Francisco Alvarez 2023 · AAA	21	46→47	59→60	43→40	48	242/325/451	209	307	28	4	30%	9%	118	+2.7	235/309/436	201	288	27	4	28%	9%	109	+2.0	231/307/434	204	276	28	2	27%	9%	108	+1.3
●Javier Báez 2014 · AA	21	45→55	59→65	54→55	36	240/287/452	212	309	27	16	32%	4%	105	+1.7	235/281/410	175	321	23	17	33%	5%	93	+0.8	274/302/512	239	331	31	15	27%	4%	126	+3.0
●Gleyber Torres 2020 · MLB	23	50→55	60	45→50	48	269/328/483	214	305	30	7	23%	8%	126	+3.2	258/325/424	166	303	20	10	21%	9%	112	+2.2	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	114	+2.6
●Miguel Sanó 2015 · AA	22	43→52	60→70	50→45	44	227/308/451	224	312	28	8	35%	9%	112	+2.2	244/328/466	222	343	28	4	34%	11%	122	+3.0	244/332/473	229	340	30	2	35%	11%	126	+2.9
●Andy LaRoche 2006 · AA	22	49→57	57→55	47→45	45	261/311/457	196	299	26	8	23%	6%	114	+2.4	258/331/422	164	290	20	8	18%	9%	113	+2.3	250/335/398	148	275	18	7	16%	10%	108	+1.4
✕Anthony Volpe 2022 · A	21	46→50	58→55	55	51	238/335/457	218	295	24	20	27%	10%	123	+3.0	224/298/389	165	280	17	27	25%	8%	94	+0.9	222/288/370	148	277	15	29	25%	7%	85	+0.3
✕Brandon Wood 2007 · AAA	22	46→48	61→65	52→50	40	244/299/481	237	318	28	11	32%	6%	116	+2.5	228/282/418	190	295	24	9	31%	6%	95	+0.9	222/275/404	182	278	25	7	29%	6%	87	+0.3
●Junior Caminero 2024 · MLB	21	51→55	55→65	47→45	43	265/312/442	176	315	24	7	24%	6%	111	+2.1	259/309/471	212	287	30	6	22%	6%	117	+2.6	256/314/491	234	268	35	4	20%	7%	124	+3.1
●Evan Longoria 2007 · AA	21	47→57	58→65	45→50	40	254/289/451	196	285	27	8	22%	4%	105	+1.7	263/330/469	206	308	26	6	23%	8%	124	+3.1	266/348/500	234	289	28	8	19%	10%	138	+4.4
✕Everson Pereira 2022 · A	21	47→49	63→55	50	42	243/312/475	232	340	33	13	37%	8%	119	+2.7	232/291/394	162	344	18	16	36%	7%	92	+0.7	229/289/385	156	342	17	17	36%	7%	86	+0.2
●Carlos Correa 2018 · MLB	23	55→61	57→60	50→55	54	285/356/488	204	324	25	10	20%	10%	137	+4.0	259/335/455	196	305	25	5	23%	10%	122	+3.0	263/344/444	182	303	22	0	20%	10%	124	+3.1
★Matt Kemp 2006 · A	21	48→58	58→65	53→55	37	255/294/454	199	318	26	17	29%	4%	107	+1.9	287/328/459	172	356	17	23	23%	5%	120	+2.8	284/340/496	212	336	27	28	23%	7%	135	+4.4
●Cyle Hankerd 2007 · A	22	51→49	64→60	48→45	49	275/350/515	240	294	32	7	20%	7%	142	+4.4	233/291/344	111	274	10	3	18%	5%	80	-0.1	245/321/417	172	286	20	2	21%	6%	107	+1.1
★Bobby Witt Jr. 2022 · AAA	22	45→55	56→65	53→60	42	237/293/429	192	293	24	21	28%	6%	101	+1.4	270/316/478	208	307	25	29	20%	6%	120	+2.8	299/348/530	231	326	26	34	17%	6%	146	+5.4
●Wyatt Langford 2024 · AAA	22	53→50	56→55	53→55	55	270/355/472	202	322	22	19	23%	11%	133	+3.7	246/328/416	170	300	18	20	23%	10%	111	+2.1	240/328/410	170	291	19	21	23%	11%	109	+1.8
●Chris Young 2006 · AA	22	46→48	56→60	55	47	238/309/441	203	302	22	23	28%	9%	110	+2.1	236/301/437	201	274	23	20	23%	8%	106	+1.8	238/319/427	189	288	21	17	24%	10%	111	+2.3
✕Jaff Decker 2011 · A	21	48→52	55	45→55	52	242/334/429	186	315	22	7	29%	11%	116	+2.5	215/301/366	151	287	17	9	29%	10%	90	+0.6	231/308/347	116	299	10	13	24%	9%	86	+0.2
●Sean Rodríguez 2007 · AA	22	47→51	52→60	48→50	46	240/313/415	174	307	20	12	28%	8%	105	+1.7	236/309/417	181	299	21	10	28%	7%	105	+1.7	244/318/452	208	301	26	12	27%	7%	113	+1.7
●Gabriel Moreno 2022 · AA	22	54→60	53→50	47→45	46	272/326/449	177	307	20	7	19%	6%	118	+2.6	279/338/393	114	335	11	9	19%	8%	108	+1.9	280/361/429	149	314	16	5	15%	10%	126	+2.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps