Caleb Bonemer — OGILVIE

Caleb BonemerSS Winston-Salem Dash

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION370 act + 246 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .311 / .407

PA246

HR10

SB7

K%32

BB%9

BABIP279

ISO197

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.4	$18M	+$17M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.9	$20M	+$19M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.3	$21M	+$20M
2030	Arb-1	$7M	+3.5	$21M	+$16M
2031	Arb-2	$12M	+3.6	$20M	+$12M
2032	Arb-3	$19M	+3.7	$19M	+$9M
Totals		$41M		$118M	+$94M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	476	414	96	24	3	15	46	142	8	29	8	232	321	413	734	181	306	30	10	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	476	385	108	30	4	12	75	101	8	29	8	281	408	473	881	192	343	21	16	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A+	CWS	—	370	318	59	13	1	17	34	137	16	13	3	186	296	393	689	208	253	37	9	297	85	-6	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.0
YTD	20	A+	CWS	—	370	301	74	17	1	22	51	103	16	13	3	246	383	528	911	282	292	28	14	398	163	+26	+1	+0	+4	+10	4.3
ROS	20	A+	CWS	4%	246	213	45	10	1	10	23	79	8	7	2	211	311	407	718	197	274	32	9	316	100	-0	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.9
ROS	20	MLB	CWS	4%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		275	36	9	295	84	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	20	A+	CWS	—	381	328	60	13	1	17	35	141	16	13	3	183	293	384	677	201	250	37	9	297	85	-6	+1	-0	+4	+11	1.0
TOT	20	A+	CWS	—	616	531	104	23	2	27	57	216	24	20	5	196	302	399	701	203	264	35	9	304	91	-6	+2	-1	+7	+17	1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	CWS	53%	581	506	109	24	2	24	55	182	15	13	3	215	311	413	724	198	279	31	9	321	104	+2	+1	-2	+6	+16	2.4
2028	22	MLB	CWS	73%	609	531	119	26	3	26	58	183	15	13	3	224	318	431	749	207	281	30	10	328	109	+6	+1	-3	+7	+17	2.9
2029	23	MLB	CWS	81%	627	547	124	27	3	27	60	183	15	13	3	227	320	435	755	208	282	29	10	333	113	+9	+1	-3	+7	+18	3.3
2030	24	MLB	CWS	83%	638	556	127	27	3	28	62	183	15	13	3	228	322	439	761	210	283	29	10	336	115	+11	+1	-3	+7	+18	3.5
2031	25	MLB	CWS	84%	637	555	127	27	3	28	62	182	15	12	3	229	323	440	762	211	283	29	10	338	117	+12	+1	-3	+7	+18	3.6
2032	26	MLB	CWS	84%	639	556	128	27	3	29	63	182	15	12	3	230	325	446	771	216	283	28	10	339	118	+13	+1	-3	+7	+18	3.7
2033	27	MLB	CWS	83%	637	554	128	27	3	29	63	182	15	12	3	231	326	448	774	217	283	29	10	339	118	+13	+1	-3	+7	+18	3.7
2034	28	MLB	CWS	82%	631	548	126	27	3	28	63	181	15	11	3	230	326	443	769	214	283	29	10	339	117	+12	+1	-3	+7	+18	3.5
2035	29	MLB	CWS	79%	621	538	122	26	2	28	63	179	15	11	3	227	325	439	763	212	282	29	10	337	116	+11	+1	-4	+7	+18	3.3
2036	30	MLB	CWS	78%	609	528	119	25	2	27	62	178	14	10	2	225	323	434	757	208	281	29	10	334	114	+10	+1	-5	+7	+17	3.1
2037	31	MLB	CWS	77%	595	516	115	24	2	26	60	175	14	9	2	223	320	428	749	205	279	29	10	331	111	+8	+1	-5	+6	+17	2.7
2038	32	MLB	CWS	77%	576	500	109	23	2	24	58	172	13	8	2	218	315	416	731	198	275	30	10	325	107	+5	+1	-6	+6	+16	2.2
2039	33	MLB	CWS	77%	547	475	101	21	2	22	55	166	12	7	2	213	310	404	714	192	271	30	10	318	102	+1	+1	-7	+6	+15	1.7
2040	34	MLB	CWS	72%	499	435	89	18	2	19	50	155	11	6	1	205	302	386	689	182	264	31	10	309	95	-3	+1	-7	+5	+14	1.1
2041	35	MLB	CWS	68%	443	386	76	15	1	16	44	141	10	5	1	197	295	365	661	168	257	32	10	299	87	-7	+1	-7	+5	+13	0.4
2027	21	MLB	CWS	53%	310	270	58	13	1	13	29	97	8	7	2	215	309	415	724	200	280	31	9	304	91	-3	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.8
2028	22	MLB	CWS	73%	446	390	87	19	2	19	42	134	11	10	2	223	316	428	744	205	282	30	9	312	97	-2	+1	-2	+5	+13	1.5
2029	23	MLB	CWS	81%	511	445	101	22	2	22	49	149	12	11	3	227	320	434	754	207	283	29	10	317	101	+1	+1	-2	+5	+14	2.0
2030	24	MLB	CWS	83%	530	462	106	23	2	24	51	152	12	11	3	229	322	444	766	214	284	29	10	321	104	+2	+1	-2	+6	+15	2.2
2031	25	MLB	CWS	84%	533	463	107	23	2	24	52	152	13	10	3	231	326	445	771	214	284	29	10	323	105	+3	+1	-2	+6	+15	2.3
2032	26	MLB	CWS	84%	537	466	108	23	2	25	53	153	13	10	3	232	327	451	778	219	284	28	10	324	106	+4	+1	-2	+6	+15	2.4
2033	27	MLB	CWS	83%	526	457	106	23	2	24	52	150	12	10	2	232	326	449	775	217	284	29	10	324	106	+4	+1	-2	+6	+15	2.4
2034	28	MLB	CWS	82%	516	447	103	22	2	24	52	148	12	9	2	230	327	450	776	219	284	29	10	324	106	+3	+1	-3	+6	+15	2.2
2035	29	MLB	CWS	79%	494	429	98	21	2	22	50	143	12	8	2	228	326	441	766	212	283	29	10	322	104	+3	+1	-3	+5	+14	2.0
2036	30	MLB	CWS	78%	476	414	94	20	2	21	48	139	11	8	2	227	323	437	761	210	282	29	10	319	103	+1	+1	-4	+5	+13	1.7
2037	31	MLB	CWS	77%	461	400	90	19	2	20	47	136	11	7	2	225	323	432	756	207	280	30	10	316	100	-0	+1	-4	+5	+13	1.5
2038	32	MLB	CWS	77%	443	385	84	18	1	19	45	132	10	6	2	218	316	418	734	200	277	30	10	310	96	-2	+0	-5	+5	+13	1.1
2039	33	MLB	CWS	77%	420	365	77	16	1	17	42	128	10	6	1	211	309	400	709	189	272	30	10	304	91	-4	+1	-5	+4	+12	0.8
2040	34	MLB	CWS	72%	360	313	64	13	1	14	36	112	8	4	1	204	303	387	689	182	265	31	10	295	84	-7	+0	-5	+4	+10	0.3
2041	35	MLB	CWS	68%	300	260	52	10	1	11	30	95	7	3	1	200	300	373	673	173	258	32	10	285	76	-8	+0	-5	+3	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6874	5976	1336	285	25	299	679	2024	162	120	31	224	319	430	749	206	281	29	10	315	99	-5	+12	-48	+74	+195	23.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	126	27	2	28	64	191	15	11	3	223	318	427	744	204	281	29	10	315	99	-1	+1	-5	+7	+18	2.2
Career	—			—	9611	8358	1860	398	40	406	947	2845	225	191	47	223	318	425	744	203	282	30	10	328	109	+103	+19	-64	+103	+272	44.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	126	27	3	27	64	192	15	13	3	223	318	425	743	202	283	30	10	328	109	+7	+1	-4	+7	+18	3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	44	36	10	4	1	2	7	10	1	2	0	278	409	611	1.020	333	333	23	16	437	193	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2025	19	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	432	349	98	26	3	10	68	91	7	27	8	281	408	458	866	178	344	21	16	382	150	+25	+2	—	—	+12	4.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	11	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.3	32.4
	/162	664	26	6	251	321	442	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29
#2Jason Variteklast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA	12	5,047	166	22	255	343	431	+61	+15	33.1	30.8
	/162	664	22	3	255	343	431	+8.0	+1.9	4.4	pk7: 28
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	6,877	295	121	224	316	429	+69	+7	35.8	28.8
	/162	664	29	12	224	316	429	+6.7	+0.7	3.5	pk7: 22
#3Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	10	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
#3Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	/162	664	28	3	241	336	447	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#4Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	8	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
	/162	664	26	14	245	326	442	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#5Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	10	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
	/162	664	29	10	242	319	448	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#6Evan Gattislast yr '18 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,662 PA	6	2,662	139	3	248	300	476	+30	+20	17.0	17.0
	/162	664	35	1	248	300	476	+7.6	+4.9	4.2	pk7: 17

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caleb Bonemer (OGILVIE)	20	42→52	46→56	47→48	56	196/302/399	203	264	27	20	35%	9%	91	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	47→54	51→70	53→45	44	241/296/396	154	287	21	10	24%	6%	94	+1.3	260/305/454	194	304	27	6	24%	6%	113	+2.6	260/323/512	251	270	38	5	20%	8%	130	+3.2
✕Edgar Quero 2023 · A	20	47→57	53→50	47→40	51	238/336/419	181	304	20	8	27%	10%	117	+2.9	237/317/366	129	297	14	3	24%	9%	95	+1.4	241/317/348	107	299	12	1	22%	9%	88	+0.7
✕Addison Russell 2015 · AA	21	47→52	50→55	52→50	44	239/300/400	161	302	18	13	26%	7%	96	+1.5	239/305/397	158	301	17	7	25%	8%	98	+1.6	237/308/399	162	294	18	5	25%	8%	94	+1.1
●Jordan Walker 2022 · A	20	51→57	50→55	54→50	40	250/302/412	162	345	17	13	32%	6%	100	+1.7	255/314/417	162	330	17	13	27%	7%	106	+2.2	250/310/409	159	318	17	11	26%	7%	101	+1.7
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	43→53	51→55	45→50	48	223/303/383	161	292	19	5	30%	10%	94	+1.3	207/305/377	170	279	21	9	31%	11%	94	+1.3	261/339/417	156	319	16	5	22%	10%	113	+1.9
●Javier Báez 2013 · A	20	45→55	52→65	56→55	36	234/278/401	167	297	20	20	28%	4%	88	+0.9	224/270/418	194	301	26	17	34%	4%	89	+1.0	276/315/512	235	340	29	15	27%	5%	123	+3.2
✕Anthony Volpe 2022 · A	21	44→49	57→55	55	51	232/327/444	212	287	23	20	27%	10%	120	+3.1	219/291/384	165	274	18	27	26%	8%	89	+1.0	218/283/366	148	271	15	29	25%	7%	78	+0.3
✕Harry Ford 2023 · A	20	44→47	49→45	52→55	50	216/319/365	149	309	16	14	33%	11%	96	+1.5	213/318/341	128	281	13	18	26%	11%	90	+1.0	211/319/330	119	271	12	19	25%	12%	84	+0.5
✕Nick Yorke 2022 · A	20	53→55	51→50	47→55	47	265/324/429	164	317	19	10	22%	7%	114	+2.7	232/287/360	128	307	15	13	28%	7%	80	+0.4	241/294/357	116	322	12	18	28%	6%	79	+0.2
●Colby Rasmus 2008 · AA	21	44→54	54→60	53→50	46	229/296/411	182	276	21	15	26%	8%	98	+1.6	235/303/399	164	282	19	12	23%	8%	98	+1.6	241/308/459	219	314	28	3	32%	8%	113	+2.0
●Adam Jones 2006 · AA	20	51→55	47→60	48→50	43	251/307/395	144	323	14	10	26%	6%	98	+1.6	245/294/397	152	311	16	12	26%	5%	92	+1.2	273/312/463	190	303	25	11	19%	4%	115	+3.2
●Jo Adell 2019 · AA	20	45→44	52→65	54→50	37	231/278/405	174	313	19	12	32%	5%	89	+0.9	220/270/384	164	314	19	10	35%	5%	79	+0.3	218/285/448	231	251	34	12	29%	7%	102	+1.5
●Bo Bichette 2018 · A	20	56→62	48→60	51→55	41	272/315/423	150	342	14	14	24%	5%	108	+2.3	263/309/429	166	324	16	20	23%	6%	107	+2.2	295/336/472	177	344	22	13	20%	5%	128	+4.1
●Sean Rodríguez 2007 · AA	22	46→49	52→60	48→50	46	235/306/406	171	300	20	12	28%	8%	101	+1.8	230/301/408	178	293	21	10	28%	7%	99	+1.7	237/310/439	202	292	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
●B.J. Upton 2005 · MLB	20	51→60	48→60	52→60	48	249/316/400	151	317	15	13	26%	8%	103	+1.9	261/331/403	142	333	14	32	24%	9%	109	+2.4	265/358/417	152	341	15	35	24%	12%	120	+3.2
●Carlos Correa 2016 · MLB	21	54→60	52→60	56→55	50	271/334/453	182	316	19	21	20%	8%	124	+3.4	270/347/453	183	320	21	11	21%	10%	129	+3.7	262/346/440	178	304	21	0	20%	11%	122	+3.2
●Eddie Rosario 2012 · A	20	46→56	54→60	55→50	41	241/281/417	177	291	22	16	26%	6%	93	+1.3	247/285/390	143	309	14	10	24%	5%	86	+0.8	280/315/487	207	298	28	7	17%	5%	122	+3.2
●Elijah Dukes 2006 · AA	22	50→52	51→55	50	45	255/305/417	161	301	19	16	22%	6%	102	+1.9	247/330/419	172	290	19	14	21%	10%	114	+2.7	236/343/411	176	277	18	13	21%	13%	114	+1.7
●Alejandro Kirk 2019 · A	20	53→57	49→50	50→40	52	266/325/409	143	287	17	4	15%	8%	108	+2.3	246/320/384	138	280	12	4	16%	9%	100	+1.7	262/347/393	131	276	16	0	11%	11%	111	+1.7
●Gleyber Torres 2019 · MLB	22	50→53	53→60	46→50	47	255/321/428	172	316	21	10	26%	8%	112	+2.6	261/329/443	182	303	24	9	22%	9%	120	+3.1	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	113	+2.9