Francisco AlvarezC New York Mets
Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 233 lbs MLB H -5% Svc 2.953S2 · Ctrl thru 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION380 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only
showingROS
wRC+†vL 110107vR 97
AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111
PA10
HR0
K%30
BB%10
BABIP278
ISO202
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)
BAT so far: +1.0 runs (380 MLB PA)BAT projected ROS: -0.0 runs (10 MLB PA, park-applied)+1BATRUN so far: +0.0 runs (380 MLB PA)RUN projected ROS: +0.0 runs (10 MLB PA, park-applied)+0RUNFLD so far: +0.7 runs (380 MLB PA)FLD projected ROS: -0.0 runs (10 MLB PA, park-applied)+1FLDPOS so far: +6.8 runs (380 MLB PA)POS projected ROS: +0.2 runs (10 MLB PA, park-applied)+7POSREP so far: +8.2 runs (380 MLB PA)REP projected ROS: +0.2 runs (10 MLB PA, park-applied)+8REP2026 MLB WAR (so far + projected ROS): +1.74so far: +1.7 WAR+1.7WAR
0.01.42.80.12.22.32.326272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control+$30M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
Whiff%
778.2%
xAVG
190.226
POWER50
Barrel%
7211.5
Avg EV
7290.6
Bat Spd
8074.5
EYE50
Chase%
9019.6%
SPEED40
Sprint
1025.4
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%36%▼▼45% over 69 PA (30d) · proj 26%
BB%12%▲▲14% over 148 PA (60d) · proj 10%
ISO.194·.183 over 126 AB (60d) · proj .203xISO .200 vs .178 prior
HR/BB7.9%·8.7% over 69 BBE (60d) · proj 7.3%barrel% 15.5% vs 9.1% prior
BABIP.278·.286 over 63 BIP (60d) · proj .277xBABIP .258 vs .288 prior
SLASH.199/.306/.392▼▼proj .233/.317/.436
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 703 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
171
532
wRC+
131
103
◀◀L
wOBA
362
321
L
ISO
250
159
◀◀L
BABIP
258
312
▶▶R
K%
20.5%
26.3%
◀◀L
BB%
12.9%
8.3%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut   2023
Service   2.953 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.2M+0.1$0.6M+$0.4M
2027Arb-2$5M+2.2$16M+$12M
2028Arb-3$8M+2.3$16M+$9M
2029Arb-4$13M+2.3$15M+$5M
Totals $26M $47M +$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201917 ROKGCL Mets 3126 12402 441 01 4625488461.395 385500 1313 589 285 +7 -0 +1 0.7
202119 A+Brooklyn Cyclones 333279 6913122 40828 63 247358538895 290260 2512 384 146 +18 +0 +7 2.6
202119 ASt. Lucie Mets 6748 20502 1573 22 4175766461.222 229450 1022 523 240 +11 -0 +1 1.2
202220 AAASyracuse Mets 199158 37609 34525 00 234386443829 209283 2617 371 137 +9 +0 +4 1.3
202220 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies 296253 7016018 36713 00 277373553927 277310 2412 398 156 +20 +0 +6 2.7
202321 MLBNew York Mets 423382 8012025 341106 20 209284437722 228222 268 318 101 +1 +0 +21 +8 +9 4.0
202321 AAASyracuse Mets 1916 4102 380 10 2503686881.056 438333 4216 444 187 +2 +0 +0 0.3
202422 MLBNew York Mets 342308 7314211 30862 11 237309403711 166291 259 316 100 +0 -0 +9 +6 +7 2.3
202523 MLBNew York Mets 277246 6312111 27734 00 256339447787 191321 2610 350 123 +8 +0 +2 +7 +6 2.3
202523 AAASyracuse Mets 10793 244012 11333 00 2583556881.043 430250 3110 441 185 +11 +0 +2 1.3
202523 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies 2422 6001 141 00 273333409742 136294 174 335 113 +0 +0 +1 0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 1042936 21638347 9126912 31 231307428735 198271 269 326 107 +8 +0 +32 +21 +23 8.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201917 ROK MLEGCL Mets 3128 10302 261 01 3574196791.098 321382 196 429 176 +3 -0 +1 0.3
202119 A+ MLEBrooklyn Cyclones 333291 6211119 281068 63 213300454753 241242 328 323 105 +2 +0 +7 0.9
202119 A MLESt. Lucie Mets 6753 20502 10103 22 3775005851.085 208399 1515 443 186 +7 -0 +1 0.8
202220 AAA MLESyracuse Mets 199170 33506 22655 00 194305329634 135264 3311 291 83 -4 +0 +4 0.0
202220 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies 296266 6514016 23853 00 244312477789 233284 298 338 115 +5 +0 +6 1.2
202321 MLB MLENew York Mets 423382 8112025 341106 20 212287440727 228222 268 318 102 +1 +0 +21 +8 +9 4.0
202321 AAA MLESyracuse Mets 1917 3101 2100 10 176263412675 235276 5311 291 83 -0 +0 +0 0.0
202422 MLB MLENew York Mets 342308 7515211 30862 11 244315412727 169291 259 318 101 +1 -0 +9 +6 +7 2.3
202523 MLB MLENew York Mets 277246 6412111 27734 00 260343451794 191321 2610 352 124 +8 +0 +2 +7 +6 2.4
202523 AAA MLESyracuse Mets 10796 17307 8403 00 177262427689 250201 377 286 80 -3 +0 +2 -0.0
202523 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies 2422 6001 151 00 273333409742 136278 214 282 77 -1 +0 +1 -0.0
201917 ROK MLEGCL Mets 3128 10302 261 01 3574196791.098 321400 196 429 176
201917 ROK RAWGCL Mets 3126 12402 441 01 4625488461.395 385500 1313 589 176
202119 A+ MLE2 teams 400344 8216121 3811611 85 238333474807 235285 2910 343 118
202119 A+ RAW2 teams 400327 8918124 558911 85 272394554948 281294 2214 407 118
202220 AA MLE2 teams 495437 9920022 441508 00 227309423732 197284 309 319 102
202220 AA RAW2 teams 495411 10722027 701238 00 260378511889 251300 2514 387 102
202321 MLB MLE2 teams 442399 8413026 361206 30 211286439724 228228 278 317 101 +0 +1 +21 +8 +10 4.0
202321 MLB RAW2 teams 442398 8413027 371186 30 211288447735 236224 278 323 101 +0 +1 +21 +8 +10 4.0
202422 MLB MLENew York Mets 342308 7515211 30862 11 244315412727 169300 259 318 101 +1 -0 +9 +6 +7 2.3
202422 MLB RAWNew York Mets 342308 7314211 30862 11 237309403711 166291 259 316 101 +1 -0 +9 +6 +7 2.3
202523 MLB MLE3 teams 408365 8715119 351188 00 238319441760 203298 299 330 110 +5 +0 +2 +7 +9 2.3
202523 MLB RAW3 teams 408361 9316124 391108 00 258343507850 249304 2710 373 110 +5 +0 +2 +7 +9 2.3
201917 ROK MLEGCL Mets 3128 10302 261 01 3574196791.098 321382 196 429 176
202119 A+ MLE2 teams 400348 8216121 3811611 85 236333468802 233268 2910 343 118
202220 AA MLE2 teams 495440 9920022 441508 00 225309420729 195276 309 319 102
202321 MLB MLE2 teams 442397 8413026 361206 30 212286441727 229224 278 317 101
202422 MLB MLENew York Mets 342307 7515211 30862 11 244315414728 169291 259 318 101
202523 MLB MLE3 teams 408362 8715119 351188 00 240319445763 204287 299 330 110
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
202321 MLB MLE2 teams 442397 8413026 361206 30 212286441727 229224 278 317 101
202422 MLB MLENew York Mets 342307 7515211 30862 11 244315414728 169291 259 318 101
202523 MLB MLE3 teams 408362 8715119 351188 00 240319445763 204287 299 330 110
YTD24 MLB MLENYM 380337 7812015 381174 00 231317401717 169306 3110 319 102 +1 +0 +1 +7 +8 1.7
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR24 MLB RAWNYM 380335 7712015 381174 00 230314400714 170304 3110 319 102 +1 +0 +1 +7 +8 1.7
YTD24 MLB RAWNYM 380335 7712015 381174 00 230314400714 170304 3110 319 102 +1 +0 +1 +7 +8 1.7
ROS24 MLB MLENYM 100% 109 1000 130 00 111200111311 285 3010 326 107 +0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
ROS24 MLB CTXNYM 100% 109 1000 130 00 111200111311 278 3010 312 107 +0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL24 MLB A+CNYM 390344 7812015 391204 00 227311392703 166300 3110 319 102 +1 +0 +1 +7 +8 1.7
TOT24 MLB MLENYM 390346 7912015 391204 00 228314393707 165302 3110 319 102 +1 +0 +1 +7 +8 1.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202725 MLB MLENYM 98% 505444 9917122 501436 10 223310414724 191271 2810 322 104 +2 +0 -0 +9 +11 2.3
202826 MLB MLENYM 98% 508446 9917122 511446 10 222310413723 191271 2810 323 105 +3 +0 -0 +9 +11 2.3
202927 MLB MLENYM 98% 503441 9817122 511436 10 222311415726 193271 2810 323 105 +3 +0 -0 +9 +11 2.3
203028 MLB MLENYM 98% 495435 9616122 511426 10 221311414725 193270 2910 322 104 +2 +0 -1 +9 +11 2.2
203129 MLB MLENYM 98% 483424 9316121 501396 10 219310410721 191269 2910 320 103 +1 +0 -1 +9 +10 2.0
203230 MLB MLENYM 98% 471413 9015120 491376 10 218310404714 186268 2910 317 101 +0 +0 -2 +8 +10 1.7
203331 MLB MLENYM 98% 442388 8414119 461305 10 216308405712 188265 2910 313 98 -1 +0 -3 +8 +10 1.4
203432 MLB MLENYM 98% 411361 7512017 421225 00 208299382681 175260 3010 306 94 -3 +0 -4 +7 +9 1.0
203533 MLB MLENYM 98% 370325 6610015 381124 00 203294372667 169255 3010 299 88 -5 +0 -4 +7 +8 0.5
203634 MLB MLENYM 94% 319281 548012 32993 00 192282349630 157247 3110 289 82 -7 +0 -5 +6 +7 0.1
202725 MLB CTXNYM 98% 495437 9516122 491416 10 217305410714 192264 2810 308 104 +2 +0 -0 +9 +11 2.2
202826 MLB CTXNYM 98% 498439 9516122 501416 10 216305408713 191264 2810 309 105 +3 +0 -0 +9 +11 2.3
202927 MLB CTXNYM 98% 493434 9516122 501406 10 219308412721 194264 2810 309 105 +3 +0 -0 +9 +11 2.3
203028 MLB CTXNYM 98% 485426 9115121 501396 10 214305401706 188263 2910 308 104 +2 +0 -1 +9 +11 2.1
203129 MLB CTXNYM 98% 473415 9015121 491366 10 217309410718 193262 2910 307 103 +1 +0 -1 +8 +10 1.9
203230 MLB CTXNYM 98% 462405 8614120 481346 10 212305400705 188260 2910 304 101 +0 +0 -2 +8 +10 1.7
203331 MLB CTXNYM 98% 433380 8013118 451275 10 211302392694 182257 2910 300 98 -1 +0 -3 +8 +9 1.4
203432 MLB CTXNYM 98% 403354 7212016 411205 00 203295373668 169253 3010 294 94 -3 +0 -3 +7 +9 1.0
203533 MLB CTXNYM 98% 363319 6310014 371104 00 197289361649 163248 3010 287 88 -5 +0 -4 +6 +8 0.5
203634 MLB CTXNYM 94% 298263 497011 30923 00 186277338615 152241 3110 278 82 -6 +0 -5 +5 +6 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career A+C 54554817 103317210234 541155265 101 214302400702 186262 2810 306 102 +4 +2 +13 +100 +118 24.2
/ 162G A+C 650574 12320128 641858 10 214302399701 185261 2810 306 102 +1 +0 +1 +12 +14 2.9
Career MLE 66355848 129222411293 646191089 197 221308413721 192271 2910 319 102 +4 +2 +12 +102 +120 24.5
/ 162G MLE 650573 12722129 631879 21 222309415724 194271 2910 319 102 +0 +0 +1 +12 +14 2.9