Austin Allen
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 28 | AAASTL | 223 | .287/.368/.472 | 7 | 0 | 82 | — | .238/.300/.371 | |
| 2022 | 28 | MLBOakland Athle… | 16 | .071/.188/.071 | 0 | 0 | -15 | 0.3 | ||
| 2023 | 29 | AAAMIA | 366 | .225/.312/.491 | 23 | 0 | 62 | — | .179/.244/.357 | |
| 2024 | 30 | AAANYM | 162 | .261/.294/.438 | 8 | 1 | 43 | — | .200/.225/.310 | |
| 2025 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 453 | 409 | 131 | 22 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 69 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 320 | 372 | 425 | 798 | 105 | 362 | 15 | 6 | 351 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 516 | 463 | 131 | 31 | 1 | 22 | 44 | 109 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 283 | 354 | 497 | 851 | 214 | 326 | 21 | 9 | 374 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 498 | 451 | 131 | 31 | 0 | 22 | 37 | 97 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 290 | 354 | 506 | 859 | 215 | 325 | 19 | 7 | 376 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 67 | 57 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 364 | 421 | 785 | 158 | 351 | 28 | 12 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 71 | 65 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 282 | 277 | 559 | 62 | 318 | 30 | 8 | 259 | 45 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 298 | 270 | 89 | 27 | 0 | 21 | 22 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 330 | 384 | 663 | 1.047 | 333 | 345 | 19 | 7 | 444 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 32 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 219 | 323 | 541 | 129 | 312 | 44 | 3 | 240 | 52 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 299 | 281 | 89 | 15 | 0 | 20 | 13 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 317 | 354 | 584 | 937 | 267 | 332 | 18 | 4 | 405 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 16 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 188 | 71 | 259 | 200 | 56 | 6 | 146 | -15 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +0 | 0.3 | |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 223 | 195 | 56 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 56 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 287 | 368 | 472 | 840 | 185 | 366 | 25 | 9 | 369 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 366 | 324 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 23 | 36 | 84 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 312 | 491 | 803 | 265 | 229 | 23 | 10 | 351 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 162 | 153 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 261 | 294 | 438 | 732 | 176 | 317 | 28 | 4 | 319 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 119 | 110 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 252 | 264 | 516 | 73 | 308 | 37 | 7 | 239 | 48 | -7 | +0 | +2 | +11 | +3 | 0.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 453 | 421 | 110 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 96 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 298 | 342 | 640 | 81 | 306 | 21 | 4 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 516 | 477 | 107 | 24 | 1 | 21 | 30 | 149 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 224 | 280 | 411 | 691 | 187 | 274 | 29 | 6 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 498 | 466 | 113 | 24 | 0 | 21 | 22 | 118 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 242 | 287 | 429 | 716 | 187 | 277 | 24 | 4 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 71 | 68 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 239 | 265 | 504 | 59 | 318 | 30 | 4 | 235 | 45 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 298 | 277 | 71 | 20 | 0 | 17 | 15 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 299 | 513 | 812 | 256 | 278 | 25 | 5 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 32 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 219 | 323 | 541 | 129 | 312 | 44 | 3 | 246 | 52 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 299 | 286 | 70 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 66 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 273 | 444 | 717 | 199 | 261 | 22 | 3 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 16 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 188 | 71 | 259 | 200 | 56 | 6 | 146 | -15 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +0 | 0.3 | |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 223 | 202 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 69 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 300 | 371 | 671 | 134 | 322 | 31 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 366 | 336 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 15 | 24 | 97 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 244 | 357 | 601 | 179 | 196 | 27 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 162 | 155 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 225 | 310 | 535 | 110 | 270 | 35 | 2 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 453 | 421 | 110 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 96 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 298 | 342 | 640 | 81 | 316 | 21 | 4 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A RAW | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 453 | 409 | 131 | 22 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 69 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 320 | 372 | 425 | 798 | 105 | 362 | 15 | 6 | 351 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 516 | 477 | 107 | 24 | 1 | 21 | 30 | 149 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 224 | 280 | 411 | 691 | 187 | 278 | 29 | 6 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ RAW | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 516 | 463 | 131 | 31 | 1 | 22 | 44 | 109 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 283 | 354 | 497 | 851 | 214 | 326 | 21 | 9 | 374 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 565 | 528 | 129 | 28 | 0 | 24 | 25 | 134 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 244 | 289 | 434 | 722 | 189 | 281 | 24 | 4 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 565 | 508 | 146 | 34 | 0 | 24 | 45 | 116 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 287 | 355 | 496 | 851 | 209 | 328 | 21 | 8 | 373 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 369 | 345 | 85 | 24 | 0 | 17 | 18 | 96 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 288 | 464 | 751 | 217 | 288 | 26 | 5 | 321 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 369 | 335 | 103 | 31 | 0 | 21 | 28 | 77 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 307 | 364 | 588 | 952 | 281 | 340 | 21 | 8 | 408 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 32 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 219 | 323 | 541 | 129 | 312 | 44 | 3 | 246 | 52 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB RAW | Oakland Athletics | — | 32 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 219 | 323 | 541 | 129 | 312 | 44 | 3 | 240 | 52 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 299 | 286 | 70 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 66 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 273 | 444 | 717 | 199 | 266 | 22 | 3 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA RAW | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 299 | 281 | 89 | 15 | 0 | 20 | 13 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 317 | 354 | 584 | 937 | 267 | 332 | 18 | 4 | 405 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 239 | 216 | 49 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 78 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 292 | 352 | 644 | 125 | 326 | 33 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 239 | 209 | 57 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 65 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 356 | 445 | 801 | 172 | 360 | 27 | 9 | 354 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 366 | 336 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 15 | 24 | 97 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 244 | 357 | 601 | 179 | 200 | 27 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA RAW | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 366 | 324 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 23 | 36 | 84 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 312 | 491 | 803 | 265 | 229 | 23 | 10 | 351 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 162 | 155 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 225 | 310 | 535 | 110 | 274 | 35 | 2 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA RAW | Syracuse Mets | — | 162 | 153 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 261 | 294 | 438 | 732 | 176 | 317 | 28 | 4 | 319 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 453 | 428 | 110 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 96 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 298 | 336 | 634 | 79 | 306 | 21 | 4 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 516 | 474 | 107 | 24 | 1 | 21 | 30 | 149 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 280 | 414 | 694 | 188 | 274 | 29 | 6 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 565 | 527 | 129 | 28 | 0 | 24 | 25 | 134 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 245 | 289 | 435 | 723 | 190 | 277 | 24 | 4 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 369 | 346 | 85 | 24 | 0 | 17 | 18 | 96 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 288 | 462 | 750 | 217 | 286 | 26 | 5 | 321 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 32 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 219 | 323 | 541 | 129 | 312 | 44 | 3 | 246 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 299 | 286 | 70 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 66 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 273 | 444 | 717 | 199 | 261 | 22 | 3 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 239 | 217 | 49 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 78 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 292 | 350 | 643 | 124 | 314 | 33 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 366 | 334 | 60 | 13 | 1 | 15 | 24 | 97 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 244 | 359 | 603 | 180 | 196 | 27 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 162 | 156 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 199 | 225 | 308 | 533 | 109 | 270 | 35 | 2 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 162 | 156 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 199 | 225 | 308 | 533 | 109 | 270 | 35 | 2 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 119 | 110 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 252 | 264 | 516 | 73 | 308 | 37 | 7 | 239 | 83 | -7 | +0 | +2 | +11 | +3 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 601 | 114 | 27 | 0 | 5 | 44 | 240 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 251 | 260 | 510 | 70 | 306 | 37 | 7 | 239 | 83 | -41 | +0 | +14 | +62 | +14 | 5.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3001 | 2795 | 647 | 132 | 2 | 109 | 142 | 787 | 36 | 1 | 4 | 231 | 277 | 397 | 675 | 166 | 279 | 26 | 5 | 291 | 83 | -7 | +0 | +2 | +11 | +3 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 605 | 141 | 29 | 0 | 24 | 31 | 170 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 233 | 280 | 400 | 680 | 167 | 281 | 26 | 5 | 291 | 83 | -41 | +0 | +14 | +62 | +14 | 5.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAASyracuse Mets · 162 PAwOBA .313 → .232 (−82)K% 28.4% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.40% | ÷0.968 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.70% | ÷0.933 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 2.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.10% | ÷1.006 | ×0.930 | ×0.983 | ×0.972 | 23.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.80% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×0.972 | 2.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.48% | ÷1.059 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 4.80% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 94, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .313 → .232; ISO .176 → .109; BABIP .317 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 366 PAwOBA .342 → .260 (−81)K% 23.0% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.95% | ÷1.040 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.84% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.17% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×0.982 | 12.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.982 | 5.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.42% | ÷1.039 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×0.982 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.58% | ÷1.031 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 6.39% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 108, K 108, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .342 → .260; ISO .265 → .187; BABIP .229 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 223 PAwOBA .362 → .289 (−73)K% 25.1% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.11% | ÷0.976 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.42% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.46% | ÷1.051 | ×0.930 | ×1.045 | ×0.992 | 22.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.79% | ÷1.019 | ×0.830 | ×1.045 | ×0.992 | 9.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.045 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.04% | ÷1.048 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.34% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 110, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .362 → .289; ISO .185 → .134; BABIP .366 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 299 PAwOBA .395 → .301 (−94)K% 18.4% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.39% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.083 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 2.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.89% | ÷1.156 | ×0.930 | ×0.998 | ×1.003 | 19.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.64% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×0.998 | ×1.003 | 5.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.85% | ÷0.941 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 6.60% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 131, 2B 104, 3B 91, K 99, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .395 → .301; ISO .267 → .199; BABIP .332 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 298 PAwOBA .437 → .342 (−94)K% 18.8% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.79% | ÷0.965 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.38% | ÷1.050 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 5.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.16% | ÷1.033 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 16.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.62% | ÷1.044 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 9.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.81% | ÷0.950 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 8.32% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 107, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .437 → .342; ISO .333 → .263; BABIP .345 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AASan Antonio Missions · 498 PAwOBA .364 → .312 (−52)K% 19.5% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.48% | ÷1.002 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.43% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.03% | ÷1.072 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 19.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.76% | ÷1.081 | ×0.840 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.940 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.21% | ÷0.824 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 6.10% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 114, 2B 116, 3B 106, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .364 → .312; ISO .215 → .197; BABIP .325 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 516 PAwOBA .365 → .293 (−71)K% 21.1% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.12% | ÷0.983 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.53% | ÷1.020 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.75% | ÷1.050 | ×0.910 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 18.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.76% | ÷0.990 | ×0.820 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 7.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷1.088 | ×0.760 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 0.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.21% | ÷0.921 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 6.20% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 110, 2B 98, 3B 118, K 97, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .365 → .293; ISO .214 → .187; BABIP .326 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 453 PAwOBA .347 → .284 (−64)K% 15.2% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.23% | ÷0.981 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.74% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | — | 3.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | — | 26.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.47% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | ×0.994 | — | 4.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.994 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.06% | ÷0.888 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.85% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 109, 2B 125, 3B 130, K 96, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .347 → .284; ISO .105 → .085; BABIP .362 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .