Chance Sisco — OGILVIE

Chance SiscoC Memphis Redbirds

Age 31 L/R 6'1" / 210 lbs AAA HR -7%K -4% Svc 9.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.4 · 2026

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .277 / .353

PA200

HR5

K%30

BB%6

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

PWR

54→54

SPD

29→29

EYE

65→65

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 9.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.4	$2M	-$1M
Totals		$3M		$2M	-$1M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	118	103	30	3	1	1	11	30	3	1	1	.291	.376	.369	.745	.078	.397	25	9	.322	105	+1	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.6
2014	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	478	445	127	24	1	4	23	106	7	1	2	.285	.331	.371	.701	.085	.364	22	5	.310	95	-2	-1	+0	+9	+14	1.9
2015	20	A+	3 teams	445	409	104	15	3	5	31	90	2	9	2	.254	.310	.342	.652	.088	.313	20	7	.289	79	-11	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.1
2016	21	AA	2 teams	497	449	133	24	1	6	38	114	4	2	2	.296	.356	.394	.751	.098	.380	23	8	.330	110	+6	-0	+0	+9	+14	2.9
2017	22	AAA	2 teams	410	370	88	21	0	9	27	127	9	2	2	.238	.305	.368	.673	.130	.332	31	7	.293	82	-8	-0	-0	+7	+12	1.0
2018	23	MLB	2 teams	335	294	58	12	0	5	23	109	16	1	0	.197	.291	.289	.580	.092	.291	33	7	.265	61	-15	+0	-0	+6	+9	0.1
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	394	343	77	15	0	17	34	115	16	0	1	.224	.323	.417	.740	.192	.283	29	9	.326	108	+3	-0	-9	+7	+11	1.3
2020	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	121	98	21	4	0	4	17	41	6	0	0	.214	.364	.378	.741	.163	.321	34	14	.342	120	+3	+0	-6	+2	+3	0.2
2021	26	AAA	2 teams	257	231	37	11	1	5	19	75	7	0	0	.160	.245	.281	.527	.121	.212	29	7	.237	40	-17	+0	-2	+5	+7	-0.8
2022	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	37	33	6	2	0	1	3	12	0	0	0	.182	.250	.333	.583	.152	.238	32	8	.243	44	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2024	29	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	26	23	4	0	0	1	1	14	2	0	0	.174	.269	.304	.574	.130	.375	54	4	.226	31	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	31	MLB	STL	200	183	41	8	1	5	12	60	3	4	1	.224	.283	.361	.643	.137	.297	30	6	.284	75	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	32	MLB 20%	STL	170	156	34	6	1	4	10	52	2	3	1	.218	.274	.346	.620	.128	.296	31	6	.279	72	-5	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.1
2028	33	MLB 33%	STL	137	126	27	5	1	3	8	43	2	2	0	.214	.272	.341	.613	.127	.294	31	6	.274	67	-5	+0	-4	+2	+4	-0.2
2029	34	MLB 43%	STL	98	91	18	3	0	2	6	32	1	1	0	.198	.255	.297	.552	.099	.292	33	6	.267	63	-4	+0	-5	+2	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3723	3354	805	153	10	72	263	1020	80	26	12	.240	.311	.356	.667	.116	.321	27	7	.296	84	-66	+0	-29	+66	+105	7.9
/ 162G	—			650	586	142	27	2	13	46	178	14	5	2	.242	.313	.362	.675	.119	.323	27	7	.296	84	-11	+0	-5	+12	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	118	97	36	4	1	1	17	21	3	1	1	.371	.479	.464	.943	.093	.461	18	14	.424	183	+11	-0	—	—	+3	1.4
2014	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	478	426	145	27	2	5	42	79	7	1	2	.340	.408	.448	.857	.108	.406	17	9	.383	151	+28	-1	—	—	+14	4.2
2015	20	AA	Bowie Baysox	84	74	19	4	0	2	9	14	0	0	1	.257	.337	.392	.729	.135	.293	17	11	.325	107	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2015	20	A+	Frederick Keys	300	263	81	12	3	4	33	41	2	8	1	.308	.389	.422	.811	.114	.350	14	11	.364	137	+12	+1	—	—	+8	2.3
2015	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	61	55	14	4	0	0	6	13	0	1	0	.255	.328	.327	.655	.073	.333	21	10	.301	89	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2016	21	AAA	Norfolk Tides	18	16	4	0	0	2	2	5	0	0	0	.250	.333	.625	.958	.375	.222	28	11	.409	171	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2016	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	479	410	131	28	1	4	59	83	4	2	2	.320	.410	.422	.832	.102	.387	17	12	.373	144	+24	-0	—	—	+14	3.8
2017	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	22	18	6	2	0	2	3	7	1	0	0	.333	.455	.778	1.232	.444	.444	32	14	.517	254	+4	+0	-0	+7	+1	1.2
2017	22	AAA	Norfolk Tides	388	344	92	23	0	7	32	99	8	2	2	.267	.344	.395	.739	.128	.351	26	8	.331	111	+5	-0	—	—	+11	1.6
2018	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	184	160	29	8	0	2	13	66	11	1	0	.181	.288	.269	.557	.087	.293	36	7	.265	61	-8	+0	-0	+6	+5	0.3
2018	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	151	128	31	5	0	3	16	36	5	0	0	.242	.349	.352	.701	.109	.308	24	11	.320	103	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2019	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	198	167	35	7	0	8	22	61	9	0	1	.210	.333	.395	.729	.186	.276	31	11	.332	112	+3	-0	-9	+7	+6	0.7
2019	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	196	168	49	10	0	10	20	44	7	0	0	.292	.390	.530	.920	.238	.339	22	10	.403	167	+15	+0	—	—	+6	2.1
2020	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	121	98	21	4	0	4	17	41	6	0	0	.214	.364	.378	.741	.163	.321	34	14	.343	121	+3	+0	-6	+2	+3	0.2
2021	26	MLB	New York Mets	83	74	11	3	0	0	7	21	2	0	0	.149	.241	.189	.430	.041	.208	25	8	.210	19	-8	+0	-2	+5	+2	-0.2
2021	26	AAA	Syracuse Mets	174	150	30	9	1	6	19	43	5	0	0	.200	.310	.393	.704	.193	.238	25	11	.318	101	+0	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2022	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	37	31	6	2	0	1	5	10	0	0	0	.194	.306	.355	.660	.161	.238	27	14	.293	83	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	29	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	26	23	5	0	0	1	1	11	2	0	0	.217	.308	.348	.656	.130	.364	42	4	.303	90	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			608	517	102	24	0	16	62	196	29	1	1	.197	.317	.337	.654	.139	.282	32	10	.304	91	-6	-0	-17	+27	+17	2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chance Sisco (OGILVIE)	31	—	54	29	65	.219/.277/.353	.133	.297	5	4	30%	6%	75	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Holaday 2018 · MLB	30	45	47→45	37→40	42	.226/.271/.359	.133	.262	14	3	20%	4%	73	-0.1	.227/.286/.345	.118	.263	12	4	18%	6%	76	+0.1	.217/.286/.341	.124	.252	13	2	19%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Scott Moore 2015 · MLB	31	42→51	48→55	39→50	43	.213/.281/.353	.140	.268	15	3	26%	6%	77	+0.1	.196/.262/.313	.117	.270	12	7	31%	6%	59	-1.1	.124/.197/.196	.072	.198	5	8	38%	7%	1	-1.1
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2023 · MLB	31	42→41	51→50	40→30	52	.220/.305/.375	.155	.275	19	2	27%	11%	92	+1.2	.224/.315/.372	.148	.311	17	6	31%	11%	95	+1.4	.208/.320/.357	.149	.306	18	5	34%	13%	91	+0.5
✕John Suomi 2011 · AAA	30	46	45→50	38→40	41	.229/.266/.349	.120	.270	13	5	21%	4%	68	-0.5	.236/.273/.349	.113	.276	12	6	19%	5%	71	-0.3	.241/.276/.343	.103	.265	11	3	14%	4%	66	-0.2
✕Nick Green 2010 · MLB	31	44→47	48→50	40→45	40	.224/.272/.362	.138	.282	16	5	26%	5%	75	-0.0	.212/.262/.336	.124	.264	12	5	24%	5%	63	-0.8	.209/.257/.338	.128	.255	12	3	23%	4%	59	-0.6
✕Anthony Recker 2015 · MLB	31	41→48	52→50	43→45	43	.214/.277/.374	.160	.286	20	6	32%	8%	80	+0.4	.211/.285/.362	.151	.286	18	5	31%	8%	81	+0.4	.205/.278/.348	.144	.276	15	2	30%	8%	70	-0.1
✕Brett Nicholas 2018 · MLB	30	48→50	46→50	43→40	40	.238/.278/.366	.128	.294	14	4	24%	5%	78	+0.2	.229/.277/.362	.133	.287	14	5	25%	5%	76	+0.1	.217/.270/.348	.131	.269	15	1	25%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Brian Jeroloman 2016 · AAA	31	41→38	38→40	38→40	50	.198/.274/.269	.071	.264	6	3	26%	9%	52	-1.6	.212/.289/.297	.085	.285	6	6	25%	9%	65	-0.7	.198/.284/.262	.064	.282	0	0	27%	10%	51	-0.4
✕Carlos Ibarra 2015 · AAA	31	45	47→50	38→40	39	.230/.267/.361	.131	.286	16	4	26%	4%	72	-0.2	.218/.255/.311	.093	.272	9	5	23%	4%	53	-1.5	.211/.244/.271	.060	.259	4	0	20%	4%	37	-0.7
✕John Hester 2013 · MLB	29	43	45→55	37→50	43	.214/.274/.334	.120	.286	13	4	29%	7%	68	-0.5	.203/.258/.316	.113	.292	12	6	33%	7%	56	-1.3	.189/.245/.293	.104	.278	10	5	35%	6%	43	-1.0
✕Francisco Cordoba 2015 · AAA	31	49→53	47→45	36→40	42	.246/.293/.376	.130	.298	15	3	23%	5%	87	+0.8	.227/.277/.332	.105	.278	12	4	22%	5%	69	-0.4	.210/.264/.330	.119	.239	16	1	20%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Hector Paez 2009 · AAA	31	50	45	35→40	41	.244/.273/.362	.117	.266	13	4	14%	3%	74	-0.1	.238/.267/.346	.108	.261	12	6	14%	3%	67	-0.5	.242/.273/.347	.105	.258	13	2	12%	2%	69	-0.1
✕Henry Blanco 2003 · MLB	31	44	47→50	39→40	53	.218/.292/.358	.140	.254	13	4	20%	9%	82	+0.5	.212/.271/.345	.133	.236	14	3	17%	7%	70	-0.3	.256/.311/.393	.137	.293	14	0	18%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Nick Hundley 2014 · MLB	30	45	48→55	39→40	45	.226/.286/.368	.141	.279	15	3	25%	7%	82	+0.5	.246/.294/.387	.141	.301	16	5	23%	6%	90	+1.0	.260/.304/.426	.166	.311	18	3	22%	6%	98	+0.9
✕Brandon Larson 2007 · MLB	31	44→42	51→50	44→45	41	.228/.283/.384	.156	.296	20	6	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.226/.270/.378	.152	.283	19	8	27%	5%	78	+0.2	.213/.246/.358	.145	.247	20	4	24%	4%	60	-0.3
✕Paul McAnulty 2012 · MLB	31	45→49	51→55	41→40	45	.232/.285/.392	.160	.275	19	4	24%	6%	88	+0.9	.227/.295/.406	.179	.275	22	5	26%	8%	96	+1.5	.201/.288/.397	.196	.235	26	1	27%	10%	91	+0.9
✕Tony Cruz 2017 · MLB	30	45→37	42→45	41→40	46	.219/.274/.320	.101	.276	9	5	24%	7%	63	-0.8	.218/.270/.342	.124	.289	14	5	29%	6%	68	-0.5	.219/.269/.342	.123	.294	15	0	30%	4%	67	-0.2
✕Curt Casali 2019 · MLB	30	47	45→50	39→30	47	.233/.299/.350	.117	.289	13	3	24%	8%	83	+0.6	.239/.318/.393	.154	.299	18	5	25%	9%	102	+1.9	.216/.315/.356	.139	.285	17	0	28%	11%	84	+0.3
✕Abraham M. Nunez 2008 · AAA	31	45→46	49→50	42→45	44	.231/.284/.377	.146	.292	17	8	27%	7%	83	+0.6	.232/.292/.366	.134	.290	14	8	24%	7%	84	+0.6	.222/.313/.318	.096	.261	8	4	17%	10%	79	+0.1
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2013 · AAA	31	44	47→50	41→50	41	.223/.277/.359	.136	.290	14	3	28%	6%	76	+0.0	.219/.267/.328	.109	.285	10	4	26%	5%	63	-0.8	.208/.248/.310	.102	.275	10	1	27%	4%	46	-0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)