Chance Sisco — OGILVIE

Chance SiscoC Memphis Redbirds

Age 31 L/R 6'1" / 210 lbs AAA Svc 9.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 200 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .277 / .335

PA200

HR5

K%34

BB%6

ISO130

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractPOW 54

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2019-2021

CONTACT—

Whiff%

2913.4%

xwOBA

500.309

POWER54

Barrel%

579.2

Avg EV

3688.1

EYE65

Chase%

8425.0%

SPEED29

Sprint

1024.9

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 9.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	+0.0	$0.0M	-$0.5M
Totals		$0.6M		$0.0M	-$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	118	103	30	3	1	1	11	30	3	1	1	291	376	369	745	78	397	25	9	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	118	97	36	4	1	1	17	21	3	1	1	371	479	464	943	93	461	18	14	424	183	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	478	442	130	26	1	4	26	110	7	1	2	294	343	385	728	90	381	23	5	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	478	426	145	27	2	5	42	79	7	1	2	340	408	448	857	108	406	17	9	383	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+	3 teams	—	445	409	102	15	3	5	31	91	2	9	2	249	305	337	643	88	308	20	7	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+	3 teams	—	445	392	114	20	3	6	48	68	2	9	2	291	371	403	774	112	338	15	11	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA	2 teams	—	497	452	130	23	1	6	35	117	4	2	2	288	344	383	727	95	371	24	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA	2 teams	—	497	426	135	28	1	6	61	88	4	2	2	317	407	430	837	113	383	18	12	374	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AAA	2 teams	—	410	370	89	20	0	10	27	127	9	2	2	241	308	376	684	135	333	31	7	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AAA	2 teams	—	410	362	98	25	0	9	35	106	9	2	2	271	350	414	764	144	355	26	9	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	MLB	2 teams	—	335	294	57	11	0	5	23	108	16	1	0	194	288	282	571	88	284	32	7	263	60	-15	+0	-0	+6	+9	0.0
2018	23	MLB	2 teams	—	335	288	60	13	0	5	29	102	16	1	0	208	315	306	621	97	301	30	9	290	80	-8	+0	-0	+6	+9	0.8
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	394	344	76	15	0	18	33	117	16	0	1	221	318	422	740	201	276	30	8	325	107	+3	-0	-9	+7	+11	1.3
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	394	335	84	17	0	18	42	105	16	0	1	251	361	463	824	212	310	27	11	367	139	+17	-0	-9	+7	+11	2.7
2020	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	121	98	21	4	0	4	17	41	6	0	0	214	364	378	741	163	321	34	14	330	111	+1	+0	-6	+2	+3	0.1
2020	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	121	98	21	4	0	4	17	41	6	0	0	214	364	378	741	163	321	34	14	343	121	+3	+0	-6	+2	+3	0.2
2021	26	AAA	2 teams	—	257	231	37	12	1	4	19	76	7	0	0	160	245	273	518	113	219	30	7	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	2 teams	—	257	224	41	12	1	6	26	64	7	0	0	183	288	326	614	143	227	25	10	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	37	33	5	1	0	1	3	12	0	0	0	152	222	273	495	121	190	32	8	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	37	31	6	2	0	1	5	10	0	0	0	194	306	355	660	161	238	27	14	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	26	23	4	0	0	1	1	15	2	0	0	174	269	304	574	130	429	58	4	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	26	23	5	0	0	1	1	11	2	0	0	217	308	348	656	130	364	42	4	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	31	MLB	STL	—	200	180	37	6	1	5	13	68	5	3	1	206	278	333	611	128	294	34	6	278	71	-7	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	STL	27%	170	153	31	5	1	4	11	58	4	2	1	203	274	327	601	124	290	34	6	272	67	-6	+0	-4	+3	+5	-0.2
2027	32	MLB	STL	27%	46	42	8	1	0	1	3	16	1	1	0	190	261	286	547	95	290	35	7	253	52	-2	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	654	559	110	25	0	17	65	212	30	2	1	197	313	333	646	136	282	32	10	300	88	-9	+0	-18	+28	+19	2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	556	110	25	0	17	65	211	30	2	1	198	315	335	650	137	284	32	10	300	88	-9	+0	-18	+28	+18	2.0
Career	—			—	3488	3132	749	141	9	68	250	970	81	21	12	239	312	355	667	116	322	28	7	297	85	-58	-1	-21	+62	+99	8.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	140	26	2	13	47	181	15	4	2	240	313	358	671	118	322	28	7	297	85	-11	+0	-4	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	118	97	36	4	1	1	17	21	3	1	1	371	479	464	943	93	461	18	14	424	183	+11	-0	—	—	+3	1.4
2014	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	478	426	145	27	2	5	42	79	7	1	2	340	408	448	857	108	406	17	9	383	151	+28	-1	—	—	+14	4.2
2015	20	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	84	74	19	4	0	2	9	14	0	0	1	257	337	392	729	135	293	17	11	325	107	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2015	20	A+	Frederick Keys	—	300	263	81	12	3	4	33	41	2	8	1	308	389	422	811	114	350	14	11	364	137	+12	+1	—	—	+8	2.3
2015	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	61	55	14	4	0	0	6	13	0	1	0	255	328	327	655	73	333	21	10	301	89	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2016	21	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	18	16	4	0	0	2	2	5	0	0	0	250	333	625	958	375	222	28	11	409	171	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2016	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	479	410	131	28	1	4	59	83	4	2	2	320	410	422	832	102	387	17	12	373	144	+24	-0	—	—	+14	3.8
2017	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	22	18	6	2	0	2	3	7	1	0	0	333	455	778	1.232	444	444	32	14	517	254	+4	+0	-0	+7	+1	1.2
2017	22	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	388	344	92	23	0	7	32	99	8	2	2	267	344	395	739	128	351	26	8	331	111	+5	-0	—	—	+11	1.6
2018	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	184	160	29	8	0	2	13	66	11	1	0	181	288	269	557	87	293	36	7	265	61	-8	+0	-0	+6	+5	0.3
2018	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	151	128	31	5	0	3	16	36	5	0	0	242	349	352	701	109	308	24	11	320	103	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2019	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	198	167	35	7	0	8	22	61	9	0	1	210	333	395	729	186	276	31	11	332	112	+3	-0	-9	+7	+6	0.7
2019	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	196	168	49	10	0	10	20	44	7	0	0	292	390	530	920	238	339	22	10	403	167	+15	+0	—	—	+6	2.1
2020	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	121	98	21	4	0	4	17	41	6	0	0	214	364	378	741	163	321	34	14	343	121	+3	+0	-6	+2	+3	0.2
2021	26	MLB	New York Mets	—	83	74	11	3	0	0	7	21	2	0	0	149	241	189	430	41	208	25	8	210	19	-8	+0	-2	+5	+2	-0.2
2021	26	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	174	150	30	9	1	6	19	43	5	0	0	200	310	393	704	193	238	25	11	318	101	+0	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2022	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	37	31	6	2	0	1	5	10	0	0	0	194	306	355	660	161	238	27	14	293	83	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	29	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	26	23	5	0	0	1	1	11	2	0	0	217	308	348	656	130	364	42	4	303	90	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	608	517	102	24	0	16	62	196	29	1	1	197	317	337	654	139	282	32	10	304	91	-6	-0	-17	+27	+17	2.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Daniel Descalsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,856 PA	9	2,856	48	25	235	320	363	+16	-36	3.5	4.0
	/162	664	11	6	235	320	363	+3.8	-8.3	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	652	16	2	196	308	326	+12	-14	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	16	2	196	308	326	+11.9	-13.9	1.7	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chance Sisco (OGILVIE)	31	—	54	29	65	205/277/335	129	294	5	3	34%	6%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Scott Moore 2014 · MLB	30	45→51	49→55	38→50	43	226/290/375	149	295	16	3	28%	7%	85	+0.7	195/263/319	124	259	13	5	29%	6%	60	-1.0	166/241/274	108	217	11	3	28%	6%	38	-1.3
✕Bryan Holaday 2018 · MLB	30	45	47→45	36→40	42	228/272/367	139	262	15	3	20%	4%	76	+0.1	229/289/348	119	266	12	4	18%	6%	78	+0.2	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Nick Green 2010 · MLB	31	44→47	47→50	39→45	41	223/274/357	134	280	15	5	26%	5%	74	-0.1	218/267/347	129	270	12	5	24%	5%	69	-0.4	218/265/354	136	267	13	3	23%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Anthony Recker 2015 · MLB	31	40→48	53→55	42→45	42	214/275/381	167	283	21	5	32%	7%	82	+0.5	207/282/351	144	281	17	5	31%	8%	76	+0.1	198/269/334	136	266	15	2	30%	7%	63	-0.4
✕Dustin Garneau 2019 · MLB	31	37	47→50	39→45	44	194/256/327	132	239	15	4	26%	6%	59	-1.1	204/282/367	163	265	19	4	29%	8%	81	+0.4	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕John Suomi 2011 · AAA	30	46	44→50	37→40	40	230/267/345	114	277	13	5	22%	4%	67	-0.5	236/271/343	107	275	11	6	18%	4%	68	-0.5	240/273/337	98	264	10	3	13%	4%	63	-0.2
✕Dusty Brown 2012 · MLB	30	42	47→45	42→30	44	215/272/352	137	271	14	5	26%	7%	72	-0.2	218/293/379	161	275	18	6	26%	9%	88	+0.9	197/307/365	169	234	18	0	24%	13%	90	+0.3
✕Michael Ryan 2008 · MLB	31	43→49	47→50	38→30	41	220/258/357	137	267	15	3	24%	5%	67	-0.5	232/271/381	149	278	16	4	22%	5%	79	+0.3	232/272/370	138	271	14	3	20%	5%	77	+0.1
✕John Hester 2013 · MLB	29	41	44→55	37→50	43	205/267/318	113	278	12	4	30%	7%	61	-1.0	200/256/311	111	291	11	6	33%	6%	54	-1.4	186/241/287	102	278	10	5	35%	6%	40	-1.1
✕Curt Casali 2019 · MLB	30	47	45→50	38→30	47	234/298/355	121	285	14	3	23%	7%	83	+0.6	239/320/398	159	300	19	5	26%	10%	105	+2.1	220/318/362	142	290	17	0	28%	11%	89	+0.4
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2023 · MLB	31	44→43	51→50	39→30	52	225/307/380	155	281	19	2	27%	11%	95	+1.4	230/320/383	153	314	18	7	30%	11%	101	+1.8	216/328/374	158	307	19	5	32%	14%	99	+0.8
✕Brian Jeroloman 2016 · AAA	31	41→37	38→45	38→40	50	196/271/266	70	259	6	3	26%	9%	50	-1.8	212/286/300	88	288	6	7	26%	9%	64	-0.8	191/276/257	66	276	0	0	28%	10%	46	-0.4
✕Carlos Ibarra 2015 · AAA	31	44	48→55	38→40	38	227/264/362	135	285	17	4	27%	4%	71	-0.3	214/251/305	91	271	9	5	24%	4%	50	-1.8	204/237/260	56	255	4	0	21%	4%	31	-0.8
✕Brett Nicholas 2018 · MLB	30	48→54	46→50	43→40	40	242/280/373	131	297	14	4	24%	4%	80	+0.4	224/273/355	131	282	14	5	25%	6%	72	-0.2	208/262/332	124	259	14	1	25%	6%	59	-0.9
✕Michael Pérez 2022 · MLB	29	35	49→50	40	46	187/262/332	145	237	17	4	29%	8%	63	-0.8	186/260/320	134	240	17	4	29%	8%	59	-1.1	167/245/284	117	216	16	1	31%	8%	43	-0.9
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2015 · AAA	31	43	44→45	41→45	40	212/276/324	112	293	12	7	31%	6%	66	-0.6	219/281/330	111	269	12	7	22%	6%	70	-0.3	208/282/286	78	242	9	0	17%	7%	60	-0.4
✕Andrew Knapp 2023 · MLB	31	38→48	47→45	44→40	42	197/265/331	134	270	16	4	32%	7%	64	-0.8	221/288/352	131	304	14	5	30%	7%	79	+0.3	224/294/348	124	309	13	3	30%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2013 · AAA	31	45	48→50	42→50	41	228/280/372	145	293	16	3	28%	6%	81	+0.4	222/269/330	108	288	10	4	26%	5%	64	-0.8	205/244/302	97	274	9	1	28%	4%	43	-0.8
✕Brandon Larson 2007 · MLB	31	44→42	51→50	44→45	41	229/281/386	157	297	20	6	30%	6%	85	+0.7	226/269/377	151	283	19	8	27%	5%	78	+0.2	209/242/358	149	242	21	4	24%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Mike Rose 2009 · AAA	32	42	46→50	41→40	43	215/272/345	130	282	14	6	29%	7%	70	-0.3	217/267/332	115	311	12	10	32%	6%	64	-0.8	176/223/243	68	267	10	4	37%	6%	22	-0.7