Sam Huff

C Norfolk Tides

Age 29 R/R 6'4" / 242 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 0.767 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

AAAPre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	26	AAATEX	477	.246/.311/.416	13	65	—	.214/.261/.348
2025	27	AAA/ASF	123	.198/.303/.321	2	35	—	.152/.221/.232
2025	27	MLBSF	58	.208/.263/.340	2	72	0.2
2026	28	AAABAL	203	.198/.261/.337	7	24	—	.162/.212/.262
2026	28	MLBBAL	34	.121/.147/.182	0	-14	0.1
2027PROJ10% MLB	29	MLBBAL	18	.221/.278/.378	1	79	0.0
2028PROJ33% MLB	30	MLBBAL	69	.218/.274/.370	2	76	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.3 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.767First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.5M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$1M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV97

Z-Con%21

K%18

BB%15

Chase%12

Whiff%12

CompsAramis Garcia (age 29) · Grayson Greiner (age 28) · Riley Adams (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .278 / .378

PA18

HR1

K%33

BB%6

BABIP295

ISO235

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT20

xAVG

100.149

POWER43

Barrel%

8513.4

Avg EV

1386.3

Bat Spd

5571.8

EYE41

scouting grade only

SPEED42

Sprint

1024.3

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2020

Service 0.767 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	18	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	117	97	32	10	1	1	16	29	3	0	0	330	440	485	924	155	456	25	14	410	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	225	197	49	9	2	9	24	66	1	3	2	249	333	452	785	203	320	29	11	343	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	448	415	100	22	3	18	23	140	8	9	1	241	294	439	732	198	317	31	5	322	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	Down East Wood Ducks	—	405	367	96	17	2	13	27	117	9	2	5	262	328	425	753	163	347	29	7	335	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	114	108	36	5	0	15	6	37	0	4	1	333	368	796	1.165	463	375	32	5	494	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	33	31	11	3	0	3	2	11	0	0	0	355	394	742	1.136	387	471	33	6	485	208	+4	+0	-2	+1	+1	0.4
2021	23	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	25	22	6	1	0	3	2	9	0	0	0	273	333	727	1.061	455	273	36	8	429	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	191	173	41	5	0	10	16	77	2	0	0	237	309	439	748	202	360	40	8	332	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	33	29	8	2	0	3	3	11	1	0	0	276	364	655	1.019	379	333	33	9	435	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	28	24	4	0	0	0	4	8	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		250	29	14	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	132	121	29	4	0	4	11	42	0	1	0	240	303	372	675	132	333	32	8	304	85	-2	+0	+0	+7	+3	0.8
2022	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	274	246	64	4	0	21	25	85	3	0	0	260	336	533	868	272	307	31	9	379	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	45	43	11	2	0	3	2	17	0	0	0	256	289	512	801	256	348	38	4	347	115	+1	+0	-0	+7	+1	0.9
2023	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	321	272	81	17	0	17	44	78	3	0	0	298	401	548	949	250	358	24	14	413	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	27	23	3	2	0	1	4	8	0	0	0	130	259	348	607	217	143	30	15	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	477	435	107	33	1	13	39	150	2	0	0	246	311	416	727	170	344	31	8	323	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	58	53	11	1	0	2	4	25	0	0	0	208	263	340	603	132	333	43	7	267	72	-2	+0	-0	+3	+1	0.2
2025	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	103	90	17	5	1	2	12	36	0	0	0	189	284	333	618	144	283	35	12	279	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	A	San Jose Giants	—	20	16	4	0	0	0	4	4	0	0	0	250	400	250	650		333	20	20	321	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	34	33	4	2	0	0	1	19	0	0	0	121	147	182	329	61	286	56	3	149	-14	-5	+0	+1	+4	+1	0.1
2026	28	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	203	187	37	5	0	7	12	62	4	0	0	198	261	337	598	139	254	31	6	271	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	302	281	66	12	0	12	20	114	0	1	0	235	286	406	691	171	346	38	7	306	93	-2	+0	-1	+22	+7	2.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	117	103	25	7	1	1	10	42	3	0	0	243	328	359	687	117	382	36	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	225	207	32	5	1	6	14	95	1	3	2	155	212	275	487	121	238	42	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	448	424	75	17	3	11	14	197	8	9	1	177	217	309	526	132	289	44	3	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	405	377	72	13	1	9	17	166	9	2	5	191	243	302	546	111	302	41	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	114	110	24	3	0	9	4	50	0	4	1	218	246	491	737	273	302	44	4	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	33	31	11	3	0	3	2	11	0	0	0	355	394	742	1.136	387	471	33	6	475	208	+4	+0	-2	+1	+1	0.4
2021	23	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	25	23	5	1	0	2	1	10	0	0	0	217	250	522	772	304	249	40	4	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	191	179	34	4	0	7	10	90	2	0	0	190	241	330	570	140	338	47	5	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	33	30	5	1	0	2	2	16	1	0	0	167	242	400	642	233	238	48	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	132	122	29	4	0	4	10	42	0	1	0	238	295	369	664	131	333	32	8	294	85	-2	+0	+0	+7	+3	0.8
2022	24	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	274	253	56	4	0	15	18	101	3	0	0	221	281	415	696	194	295	37	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	45	43	11	2	0	3	2	17	0	0	0	256	289	512	801	256	348	38	4	339	115	+1	+0	-0	+7	+1	0.9
2023	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	321	286	72	14	0	12	30	97	3	0	0	252	329	427	756	175	334	30	9	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	477	448	96	28	1	10	26	168	2	0	0	214	261	348	609	134	317	35	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	58	53	11	1	0	2	4	25	0	0	0	208	263	340	603	132	333	43	7	274	72	-2	+0	-0	+3	+1	0.2
2025	27	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	103	94	14	4	1	1	8	43	0	0	0	149	216	245	460	96	250	42	8	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	20	18	3	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	167	250	167	417		289	30	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	34	33	4	2	0	0	1	19	0	0	0	121	147	182	329	61	286	56	3	147	-14	-5	+0	+1	+4	+1	0.1
2026	28	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	203	191	31	4	0	5	8	75	4	0	0	162	212	262	474	99	228	37	4	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	117	103	25	7	1	1	10	42	3	0	0	243	328	359	687	117	393	36	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	—	117	97	32	10	1	1	16	29	3	0	0	330	440	485	924	155	456	25	14	410	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	225	207	32	5	1	6	14	95	1	3	2	155	212	275	487	121	239	42	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	—	225	197	49	9	2	9	24	66	1	3	2	249	333	452	785	203	320	29	11	343	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	448	424	75	17	3	11	14	197	8	9	1	177	217	309	526	132	294	44	3	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	448	415	100	22	3	18	23	140	8	9	1	241	294	439	732	198	317	31	5	322	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	519	488	96	16	1	18	20	215	9	6	6	197	242	344	586	148	304	41	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	519	475	132	22	2	28	33	154	9	6	6	278	337	509	846	232	353	30	6	370	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	33	31	11	3	0	3	2	11	0	0	0	355	394	742	1.136	387	471	33	6	475	208	+4	+0	-2	+1	+1	0.4
2020	22	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	33	31	11	3	0	3	2	11	0	0	0	355	394	742	1.136	387	471	33	6	485	208	+4	+0	-2	+1	+1	0.4
2021	23	AA MLE	4 teams	—	277	258	49	7	0	12	15	129	3	0	0	190	243	357	599	167	314	47	5	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	4 teams	—	277	248	59	8	0	16	25	105	3	0	0	238	315	464	779	226	336	38	9	343	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	406	375	85	8	0	19	28	143	3	1	0	227	286	400	686	173	310	35	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	406	367	93	8	0	25	36	127	3	1	0	253	325	480	805	226	316	31	9	354	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	393	353	90	18	0	16	35	122	3	0	0	255	327	442	769	187	341	31	9	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	393	338	95	21	0	21	50	103	3	0	0	281	379	530	908	249	343	26	13	396	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	477	448	96	28	1	10	26	168	2	0	0	214	261	348	609	134	317	35	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	—	477	435	107	33	1	13	39	150	2	0	0	246	311	416	727	170	344	31	8	323	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	181	164	29	5	1	4	15	73	0	0	0	177	246	293	538	116	281	40	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	181	159	32	6	1	4	20	65	0	0	0	201	291	327	618	126	304	36	11	280	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	237	224	35	6	0	5	9	94	4	0	0	156	203	250	453	94	240	40	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	237	220	41	7	0	7	13	81	4	0	0	186	245	314	558	127	258	34	5	253	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	117	103	25	7	1	1	10	42	3	0	0	243	328	359	687	117	382	36	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	225	208	32	5	1	6	14	95	1	3	2	154	212	274	486	120	238	42	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	448	423	75	17	3	11	14	197	8	9	1	177	217	310	527	132	289	44	3	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	519	485	96	16	1	18	20	215	9	6	6	198	242	346	588	148	302	41	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	33	31	11	3	0	3	2	11	0	0	0	355	394	742	1.136	387	471	33	6	475	208	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	4 teams	—	277	257	49	7	0	12	15	129	3	0	0	191	243	358	601	167	316	47	5	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	406	372	85	8	0	19	28	143	3	1	0	228	286	403	689	175	307	35	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	393	352	90	18	0	16	35	122	3	0	0	256	327	443	771	188	336	31	9	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	477	446	96	28	1	10	26	168	2	0	0	215	261	350	610	135	317	35	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	181	164	29	5	1	4	15	73	0	0	0	177	246	293	538	116	281	40	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	237	222	35	6	0	5	9	94	4	0	0	158	203	252	455	95	236	40	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	477	446	96	28	1	10	26	168	2	0	0	215	261	350	610	135	317	35	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	181	164	29	5	1	4	15	73	0	0	0	177	246	293	538	116	281	40	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	237	222	35	6	0	5	9	94	4	0	0	158	203	252	455	95	236	40	4	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	29	MLB MLE	BAL	10%	287	264	57	12	1	9	18	90	3	1	0	217	274	369	643	152	291	31	6	285	79	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	29	MLB CTX	BAL	10%	18	17	4	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	221	278	378	657	157	295	33	6	291	79	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	BAL	33%	211	194	42	9	1	6	13	67	2	0	0	214	271	361	632	147	288	32	6	281	76	-6	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	BAL	33%	69	64	14	3	0	2	4	22	1	0	0	218	274	370	645	153	293	32	6	286	76	-2	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	371	345	80	15	0	14	24	136	1	1	0	232	284	397	681	165	337	37	6	302	66	-4	+0	-2	+24	+8	2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	140	26	0	25	42	238	2	2	0	232	284	399	683	167	335	37	6	302	66	-8	+0	-3	+41	+14	4.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3704	3434	701	137	10	116	212	1412	40	20	9	204	259	351	610	147	304	38	6	266	66	-13	+0	-4	+29	+15	2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	123	24	2	20	37	248	7	4	2	204	258	350	608	146	305	38	6	266	66	-12	+0	-4	+27	+14	2.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAANorfolk Tides · 203 PAwOBA .263 → .204 (−59)K% 30.5% → 36.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.54%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	36.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.91%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.992	4.05%
HBP% /PA	1.97%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.84%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.009	×0.992	18.62%
Doubles /BIP	4.00%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.009	×0.992	3.32%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.009	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.60%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.992	3.89%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .263 → .204; ISO .139 → .094; BABIP .254 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAASacramento River Cats · 103 PAwOBA .275 → .217 (−57)K% 35.0% → 41.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	34.95%	÷1.010	×1.200	—	—	41.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.65%	÷1.011	×0.690	—	×1.003	7.98%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.030	×0.930	×0.988	×1.003	14.91%
Doubles /BIP	9.26%	÷0.959	×0.830	×0.988	×1.003	7.93%
Triples /BIP	1.85%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.988	×1.003	1.98%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷0.938	×0.700	—	×1.003	2.77%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .275 → .217; ISO .144 → .117; BABIP .283 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ASan Jose Giants · 20 PAwOBA .314 → .237 (−77)K% 20.0% → 28.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷0.962	×1.360	—	—	28.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.00%	÷1.055	×0.690	—	×0.950	12.43%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×0.950	0.00%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷1.007	×0.920	—	×0.950	28.93%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.138	×0.830	—	×0.950	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.902	×0.910	—	×0.950	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.358	×0.800	—	×0.950	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 101, 2B 128, 3B 80, K 92, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.0 → −5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .314 → .237; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAARound Rock Express · 477 PAwOBA .315 → .264 (−51)K% 31.4% → 35.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.45%	÷1.069	×1.200	—	—	35.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.18%	÷1.040	×0.690	—	×1.018	5.52%
HBP% /PA	0.42%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.40%
Singles /BIP	21.05%	÷0.989	×0.930	×1.010	×1.018	20.36%
Doubles /BIP	11.58%	÷0.987	×0.830	×1.010	×1.018	10.01%
Triples /BIP	0.35%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.010	×1.018	0.30%
Home runs /BIP	4.56%	÷0.928	×0.700	—	×1.018	3.50%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 114, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .315 → .264; ISO .170 → .136; BABIP .344 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAARound Rock Express · 321 PAwOBA .403 → .331 (−72)K% 24.3% → 30.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.30%	÷0.964	×1.200	—	—	30.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.08%	÷0.991	×0.690	—	×1.033	9.41%
HBP% /PA	0.93%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.91%
Singles /BIP	24.23%	÷0.993	×0.930	×1.035	×1.033	24.28%
Doubles /BIP	8.76%	÷1.044	×0.830	×1.035	×1.033	7.46%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.918	×0.970	×1.035	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.76%	÷1.035	×0.700	—	×1.033	6.12%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 84, K 93, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.

Result: wOBA .403 → .331; ISO .250 → .181; BABIP .358 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAARound Rock Express · 274 PAwOBA .367 → .300 (−67)K% 31.0% → 36.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.02%	÷1.015	×1.200	—	—	36.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.76%	÷0.997	×0.690	—	×1.048	6.36%
HBP% /PA	1.09%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	1.08%
Singles /BIP	24.22%	÷0.986	×0.930	×1.010	×1.048	24.18%
Doubles /BIP	2.48%	÷0.938	×0.830	×1.010	×1.048	2.33%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.010	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	13.04%	÷0.957	×0.700	—	×1.048	9.99%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .367 → .300; ISO .272 → .201; BABIP .307 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 191 PAwOBA .323 → .250 (−72)K% 40.3% → 47.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	40.31%	÷1.044	×1.220	—	—	47.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.38%	÷1.098	×0.690	—	×1.027	5.41%
HBP% /PA	1.05%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	0.91%
Singles /BIP	27.08%	÷1.006	×0.940	×1.014	×1.027	26.35%
Doubles /BIP	5.21%	÷0.957	×0.870	×1.014	×1.027	4.93%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.995	×0.920	×1.014	×1.027	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	10.42%	÷1.114	×0.780	—	×1.027	7.49%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 99, K 109, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .323 → .250; ISO .202 → .141; BABIP .360 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Rangers · 33 PAwOBA .422 → .253 (−169)K% 33.3% → 48.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.33%	÷0.988	×1.440	—	—	48.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.09%	÷1.071	×0.620	—	×0.965	5.08%
HBP% /PA	3.03%	—	×0.720	—	×0.965	2.11%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷0.994	×0.820	—	×0.965	13.26%
Doubles /BIP	11.11%	÷1.015	×0.720	—	×0.965	7.61%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.064	×0.720	—	×0.965	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	16.67%	÷1.015	×0.780	—	×0.965	12.36%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 113, K 98, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .422 → .253; ISO .379 → .225; BABIP .333 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	2.4	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
/162	664	24	2	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
#3Chris Widger'95-'06 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,998 PA	3.0	1,998	55	10	227*	283*	381*	+33	-0	3.6	4.1
/162	664	18	3	+11.1	-0.2	1.2	pk7: 5
#4Brian Johnson'94-'01 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	49	1	237*	279*	395*	+26	-0	3.5	3.7
/162	664	21	0	+11.1	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Eddie Perez'95-'05 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,651 PA	2.5	1,651	40	1	243*	285*	379*	+27	-1	2.6	3.1
/162	664	16	0	+10.7	-0.4	1.0	pk7: 4
#6Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	277	9	1	226	283	365	+5	-0	0.6	0.6
/162	664	20	3	+11.9	-0.7	1.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sam Huff (OGILVIE)	29	20	43	42	41	215/272/366	151	291	5	1	31%	6%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aramis Garcia 2022 · MLB	29	41→42	47→50	44→45	37	211/260/340	129	290	15	4	32%	5%	68	-1.0	195/238/313	118	269	15	7	33%	4%	53	-2.1	165/235/287	122	232	17	5	36%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB	28	40	47→45	46→30	43	208/272/340	132	278	16	4	31%	8%	73	-0.6	198/261/307	109	336	12	5	41%	7%	61	-1.5	182/246/266	84	328	9	1	44%	7%	44	-0.9
✕Riley Adams 2024 · MLB	28	46→44	50	45→40	43	227/302/390	163	315	16	3	32%	8%	95	+1.0	222/294/370	148	308	17	4	32%	7%	88	+0.4	209/288/350	140	291	18	2	33%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Dustin Garneau 2017 · MLB	29	40→38	49→50	45	44	209/265/356	146	241	18	5	22%	6%	74	-0.5	204/270/357	153	249	18	4	26%	7%	76	-0.4	178/254/344	166	215	21	0	29%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB	28	37→39	48→50	47→30	43	195/261/332	137	262	16	3	32%	8%	67	-1.1	208/288/353	145	294	17	8	33%	9%	82	-0.0	197/291/337	140	280	18	0	34%	11%	78	-0.1
✕Dusty Brown 2012 · MLB	30	42	46→45	42→30	44	212/270/342	130	268	13	5	26%	7%	72	-0.7	212/286/361	149	271	16	6	27%	9%	83	+0.1	179/284/322	144	218	15	0	25%	12%	74	-0.2
✕Michael Pérez 2022 · MLB	29	34	50	40	46	188/261/337	149	236	18	4	29%	8%	68	-1.0	185/257/314	129	236	17	4	28%	8%	61	-1.5	167/242/278	111	213	15	1	29%	8%	47	-1.1
✕Anthony Recker 2013 · MLB	29	42→48	49→50	44→45	47	217/290/365	148	280	18	7	28%	9%	85	+0.2	210/276/370	160	284	20	6	32%	8%	81	-0.1	188/252/352	165	248	22	2	34%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Jakson Reetz 2024 · AAA	28	37→33	54→55	45	40	203/278/384	181	263	22	6	32%	6%	86	+0.3	204/280/350	146	260	16	6	27%	7%	79	-0.2	189/270/310	121	237	13	3	25%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Drew Ellis 2024 · MLB	28	36→38	51→55	46→40	50	195/285/358	163	247	18	6	29%	10%	82	+0.0	197/281/341	144	252	18	6	28%	9%	77	-0.3	166/258/293	127	202	19	3	28%	10%	55	-0.6
✕Brian O'Keefe 2022 · AAA	29	42	51→50	45→40	41	220/276/371	151	296	21	6	33%	7%	82	-0.0	211/268/365	154	272	18	4	29%	7%	77	-0.3	197/258/354	157	242	18	1	27%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Andrew Knizner 2024 · MLB	29	45	49→50	46→40	47	229/296/370	141	274	17	5	23%	7%	88	+0.5	230/299/355	125	276	13	5	21%	7%	86	+0.3	226/301/342	116	269	12	2	20%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Chadwick Tromp 2024 · MLB	29	38	47→45	43→40	45	200/258/329	129	244	16	3	26%	7%	65	-1.2	209/263/314	105	273	11	4	26%	7%	63	-1.4	197/249/284	86	260	8	2	27%	6%	49	-1.0
✕Jett Bandy 2019 · MLB	29	43	48→50	47→45	42	221/286/360	139	264	16	6	23%	5%	83	+0.1	204/268/340	136	268	17	5	30%	5%	72	-0.7	168/232/283	116	225	17	0	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB	28	42	47→50	44→45	44	216/271/354	139	268	14	5	25%	6%	75	-0.5	209/256/314	105	277	9	6	27%	5%	59	-1.6	193/235/278	85	259	6	4	27%	5%	41	-1.2
✕Luis Torrens 2024 · MLB	28	46→49	49→50	42→40	42	231/284/377	145	302	17	3	29%	6%	85	+0.2	235/291/373	138	291	14	4	24%	7%	87	+0.4	235/293/375	140	282	15	2	22%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Mike Olt 2017 · MLB	28	40→42	50→55	41→40	42	208/275/357	149	297	19	4	35%	8%	78	-0.3	197/265/327	130	285	15	3	34%	8%	68	-1.0	178/250/306	128	253	15	0	34%	8%	54	-1.2
✕Zack Short 2024 · MLB	29	37→39	46→50	48→45	51	192/284/322	130	260	15	10	30%	11%	74	-0.5	184/277/294	110	254	11	9	30%	11%	65	-1.2	162/262/256	94	224	9	7	30%	11%	50	-1.3
✕Alex Jackson 2024 · MLB	28	41→38	51→60	49→30	39	214/275/373	159	287	19	5	32%	6%	82	-0.0	199/258/359	160	268	20	5	33%	6%	72	-0.7	180/241/341	160	242	20	2	34%	6%	60	-0.6
✕René Rivera 2011 · AAA	28	45→31	49→55	45→30	38	230/265/377	147	287	17	4	26%	4%	78	-0.3	220/266/344	124	271	13	3	23%	5%	71	-0.8	234/286/387	153	297	23	0	29%	5%	89	+0.2

Sam Huff

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps