Jakson Reetz — OGILVIE

Jakson ReetzC Tacoma Rainiers

Age 30 R/R 5'10" / 205 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION155 act + 103 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .293 / .350

PA103

HR3

K%25

BB%8

BABIP253

ISO142

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2024

CONTACT35

Whiff%

1019.8%

xwOBA

100.236

POWER60

Barrel%

619.8

Avg EV

1075.4

Bat Spd

3269.4

EYE50

Chase%

1049.6%

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.2M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$0.6M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.6M
2028	Arb-3	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-4	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.6M		$1M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	155	127	26	4	1	1	16	43	8	6	3	205	331	276	607	71	291	28	10	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	155	117	32	6	1	1	26	30	8	6	3	274	437	368	805	94	348	19	17	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	342	294	61	22	0	2	27	105	15	4	1	207	307	303	609	95	307	31	8	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	342	283	65	24	0	4	38	79	15	4	1	230	351	357	708	127	298	23	11	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	2 teams	—	245	221	38	8	0	3	14	103	8	3	3	172	247	249	496	77	304	42	6	220	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	2 teams	—	245	211	50	13	0	4	24	73	8	3	3	237	337	355	693	118	343	30	10	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	276	245	47	6	0	4	22	65	7	1	4	192	277	265	543	73	243	24	8	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	276	232	52	8	0	5	35	46	7	1	4	224	343	323	666	99	258	17	13	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	2 teams	—	420	371	72	16	1	12	30	152	17	4	2	194	285	340	624	146	288	36	7	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	2 teams	—	420	351	91	20	2	14	50	104	17	4	2	259	378	447	825	188	329	25	12	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	2 teams	—	300	266	39	10	0	5	20	112	13	1	1	147	241	241	481	94	227	37	7	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	2 teams	—	300	259	49	15	0	6	27	84	13	1	1	189	298	317	614	127	253	28	9	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	2 teams	—	426	379	77	17	1	25	23	145	21	2	1	203	286	451	737	248	245	34	5	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	2 teams	—	426	367	97	22	1	30	35	108	21	2	1	264	362	575	937	311	289	25	8	404	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	322	290	55	15	1	12	23	99	9	4	2	190	270	372	643	183	240	31	7	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	322	280	68	19	1	17	33	90	9	4	2	243	342	500	842	257	295	28	10	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	250	221	45	16	0	5	20	58	7	1	0	204	290	344	634	140	252	23	8	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	250	211	52	21	0	6	30	53	7	1	0	246	359	431	790	185	301	21	12	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	228	203	34	6	0	10	15	77	8	3	2	167	252	345	597	177	203	34	7	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	228	193	37	7	0	11	25	60	8	3	2	192	310	399	709	207	210	26	11	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	AAA	SEA	—	155	138	31	5	0	2	12	30	4	0	0	225	305	304	610	80	271	19	8	281	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
YTD	30	AAA	SEA	—	155	133	35	6	0	3	17	23	4	0	0	263	364	376	740	113	296	15	11	337	116	+3	+0	+0	+3	+4	1.0
ROS	30	AAA	SEA	10%	103	91	19	4	0	3	8	26	3	1	0	208	293	350	644	142	250	25	8	293	82	-2	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.3
ROS	30	MLB	SEA	10%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		247	30	10	270	64	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	30	AAA	SEA	—	165	147	32	5	0	2	13	33	4	0	0	218	299	293	591	75	265	20	8	280	73	-5	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.3
TOT	30	AAA	SEA	—	258	229	50	9	0	5	20	56	7	1	0	218	300	323	623	105	264	22	8	286	77	-7	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	SEA	33%	255	228	48	10	0	8	19	64	6	2	1	211	289	360	648	149	252	25	7	293	82	-5	+0	-3	+5	+7	0.3
2028	32	MLB	SEA	46%	229	205	42	8	0	7	17	58	5	1	1	205	282	346	628	141	252	25	7	289	80	-5	-0	-4	+4	+6	0.1
2029	33	MLB	SEA	54%	195	174	36	7	0	6	15	50	4	1	0	207	285	351	636	144	250	26	8	284	75	-5	+0	-5	+3	+6	-0.1
2027	31	MLB	SEA	33%	83	75	16	3	0	3	6	21	2	1	0	213	289	373	662	160	250	25	7	271	66	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	32	MLB	SEA	46%	105	94	19	4	0	3	8	27	2	1	0	202	279	340	619	138	250	26	8	269	64	-4	+0	-2	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	33	MLB	SEA	54%	104	93	19	4	0	3	8	27	2	0	0	204	282	344	626	140	247	26	8	264	60	-5	+0	-3	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	317	285	57	12	0	10	24	83	6	2	0	200	276	347	624	147	242	26	8	268	63	-13	+0	-6	+10	+9	0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	118	25	0	21	49	170	12	4	0	202	277	353	630	151	244	26	8	268	63	-27	+1	-12	+20	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	3746	3315	639	149	4	103	269	1157	131	34	21	193	280	333	613	141	258	31	7	271	66	-145	-2	-13	+67	+106	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	111	26	1	18	47	201	23	6	4	193	281	336	617	143	258	31	7	271	66	-25	-0	-2	+12	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	155	117	32	6	1	1	26	30	8	6	3	274	437	368	805	94	348	19	17	369	140	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2016	20	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	342	283	65	24	0	4	38	79	15	4	1	230	351	357	708	127	298	23	11	322	105	+2	+0	—	—	+10	1.2
2017	21	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	102	89	21	6	0	2	9	32	3	2	1	236	327	371	698	135	345	31	9	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2017	21	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	143	122	29	7	0	2	15	41	5	1	2	238	345	344	689	107	342	29	10	317	101	+0	-1	—	—	+4	0.4
2018	22	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	276	232	52	8	0	5	35	46	7	1	4	224	343	323	666	99	258	17	13	310	95	-1	-1	—	—	+8	0.5
2019	23	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	387	324	82	18	2	13	46	95	15	3	1	253	371	441	813	188	318	25	12	364	137	+16	+0	—	—	+11	2.8
2019	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	33	27	9	2	0	1	4	9	2	1	1	333	455	519	973	185	471	27	12	435	191	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.4
2021	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	45	38	7	2	0	2	3	15	3	0	0	184	295	395	690	211	227	33	7	305	92	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	255	221	42	13	0	4	24	69	10	1	1	190	298	303	601	113	257	27	9	281	73	-8	-0	—	—	+7	-0.1
2022	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	153	136	32	6	1	8	9	36	5	1	0	235	307	471	777	235	253	24	6	335	115	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2022	26	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	273	231	65	16	0	22	26	72	16	1	1	281	392	636	1.028	355	314	26	10	442	196	+30	-0	—	—	+8	3.8
2023	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	322	280	68	19	1	17	33	90	9	4	2	243	342	500	842	257	295	28	10	370	141	+15	+0	—	—	+9	2.5
2024	28	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	15	14	2	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	143	200	429	629	286	125	33	7	271	65	-1	+0	-0	+4	+0	0.4
2024	28	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	235	197	50	20	0	5	29	48	7	1	0	254	369	431	801	178	310	20	12	358	132	+8	+0	—	—	+7	1.6
2025	29	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	228	193	37	7	0	11	25	60	8	3	2	192	310	399	709	207	210	26	11	318	101	+0	-0	—	—	+6	0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	15	14	2	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	143	200	429	629	286	125	33	7	271	65	-1	+0	-0	+4	+0	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	8	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
	/162	664	24	2	232	309	406	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	318	10	2	208	284	357	+6	-0	0.5	0.5
	/162	664	21	4	208	284	357	+11.9	-0.4	1.1	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jakson Reetz (OGILVIE)	30	35	60	45	50	218/300/323	105	264	5	1	22%	8%	77	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB	30	42→48	52→55	43→45	47	220/295/386	166	285	21	6	30%	9%	92	+1.2	208/278/363	155	281	19	6	32%	8%	78	+0.2	196/276/340	144	260	18	3	31%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Cameron Rupp 2019 · MLB	30	40→48	55→60	48→30	42	215/279/397	183	294	23	3	35%	8%	88	+0.9	204/276/359	155	296	19	6	36%	8%	76	+0.1	154/240/282	128	225	16	0	37%	8%	40	-0.9
✕Nick Dini 2023 · AAA	30	42	52→50	49→50	44	224/282/384	160	260	22	7	24%	6%	85	+0.7	207/292/345	138	268	16	11	28%	9%	79	+0.3	157/276/271	115	204	15	12	29%	12%	54	-0.6
✕Mike Rivera 2008 · MLB	31	39	54→55	41→45	41	213/255/381	168	234	23	7	22%	4%	73	-0.1	218/283/355	137	268	15	8	24%	7%	78	+0.2	192/275/296	104	262	10	4	28%	9%	55	-0.5
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB	29	42→43	53→55	49→40	45	223/288/393	170	274	22	6	27%	7%	90	+1.0	215/275/384	169	275	21	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	205/266/377	172	258	22	4	30%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Donnie Murphy 2014 · MLB	31	42→40	55→65	47→45	41	223/287/406	183	274	23	7	28%	6%	93	+1.3	203/268/336	133	258	16	6	27%	6%	66	-0.6	166/235/261	96	210	12	0	27%	7%	32	-1.0
✕J.P. Arencibia 2016 · MLB	30	34→44	56→60	43→30	33	201/232/380	179	246	27	2	32%	3%	63	-0.8	201/232/341	140	270	19	5	33%	3%	52	-1.6	175/197/280	105	239	15	1	34%	1%	17	-2.5
✕Luke Montz 2013 · AAA	30	38→46	59→55	43→40	46	218/286/423	205	254	28	5	28%	8%	97	+1.5	208/278/407	199	271	26	5	33%	8%	90	+1.0	159/236/331	172	228	20	1	39%	8%	51	-0.5
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	46→48	51→55	45→50	47	237/295/399	163	280	18	7	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/284/374	159	260	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.6	182/261/345	163	213	18	2	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Michael McKenry 2014 · MLB	29	45→47	51→55	45→40	48	232/299/392	160	279	19	4	24%	8%	94	+1.3	231/315/383	152	289	17	7	24%	10%	98	+1.6	214/312/358	144	276	15	5	26%	11%	87	+0.3
✕Erik Kratz 2009 · AAA	29	38→44	54→60	48→45	40	211/261/388	177	244	23	5	25%	5%	78	+0.2	222/280/383	161	271	18	7	25%	6%	84	+0.6	218/284/385	167	250	20	2	22%	6%	85	+0.4
✕Dustin Garneau 2018 · MLB	30	38→37	49→50	44→45	44	201/262/348	147	241	17	4	25%	7%	67	-0.5	201/275/344	143	257	15	4	27%	7%	72	-0.2	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Tom Murphy 2022 · MLB	31	44→34	55→60	47→45	50	232/317/414	182	298	24	4	30%	11%	108	+2.3	249/327/436	187	327	23	5	29%	10%	117	+2.9	292/341/547	255	363	32	0	28%	6%	150	+1.4
✕Francisco Peña 2021 · MLB	31	43→46	51→55	48→40	41	229/267/387	159	267	20	7	24%	5%	79	+0.3	210/260/392	182	238	26	6	25%	5%	79	+0.3	180/232/364	185	186	30	1	25%	4%	60	-0.8
✕Eric Munson 2007 · MLB	29	42→43	56→60	43→40	46	227/289/415	187	251	25	3	22%	7%	96	+1.5	219/290/362	143	256	16	4	21%	8%	82	+0.5	209/286/342	134	246	14	1	21%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Jack Mayfield 2021 · MLB	30	43→45	54→60	47→50	41	228/274/403	175	266	22	8	24%	5%	87	+0.8	223/268/383	160	264	19	11	23%	5%	79	+0.3	216/260/376	159	254	19	10	23%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Brandon Larson 2006 · MLB	30	45→42	50	46→45	44	229/296/383	154	293	18	6	28%	7%	91	+1.1	226/275/382	156	289	20	6	28%	6%	81	+0.4	216/261/366	150	271	21	5	29%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Gary Sánchez 2023 · MLB	30	37→47	55→65	48→45	49	206/293/391	184	253	24	3	29%	10%	92	+1.2	225/308/426	201	270	28	3	27%	9%	108	+2.3	224/310/436	212	260	32	1	27%	9%	109	+1.1
✕Jett Bandy 2021 · MLB	31	39	49→50	44→45	37	207/267/349	142	269	18	6	30%	4%	70	-0.3	215/276/333	118	299	13	8	31%	6%	69	-0.4	175/246/242	68	254	8	0	32%	6%	34	-0.6
✕Brian O'Keefe 2023 · AAA	30	45	52→55	45→40	40	230/281/398	168	305	21	5	31%	6%	88	+0.9	205/264/366	161	262	19	4	29%	7%	72	-0.2	181/239/323	142	224	19	3	29%	7%	48	-0.6