Andrew Susac
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 28 | AAABAL | 158 | .256/.408/.456 | 6 | 0 | 97 | — | .215/.325/.370 | |
| 2018 | 28 | MLBBAL | 26 | .115/.115/.154 | 0 | 0 | -33 | -0.0 | ||
| 2019 | 29 | AAAKC | 93 | .234/.366/.442 | 4 | 3 | 63 | — | .171/.269/.317 | |
| 2021 | 31 | AAAPIT | 40 | .222/.300/.444 | 2 | 0 | 35 | — | .158/.200/.289 | |
| 2022 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 426 | 361 | 88 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 55 | 100 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 244 | 353 | 380 | 733 | 136 | 311 | 23 | 13 | 331 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 310 | 262 | 66 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 42 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 362 | 450 | 812 | 198 | 295 | 22 | 14 | 359 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 67 | 50 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 360 | 515 | 480 | 995 | 120 | 421 | 16 | 24 | 445 | 187 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 95 | 88 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 326 | 466 | 792 | 193 | 368 | 29 | 7 | 349 | 127 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +6 | +2 | 1.2 |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 253 | 213 | 57 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 34 | 50 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 381 | 451 | 832 | 183 | 305 | 20 | 13 | 372 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 148 | 133 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 297 | 368 | 666 | 150 | 299 | 29 | 9 | 300 | 92 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 32 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 321 | 406 | 536 | 942 | 214 | 471 | 31 | 9 | 415 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 16 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 571 | 946 | 286 | 333 | 25 | 6 | 413 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 19 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 316 | 471 | 786 | 235 | 273 | 26 | 11 | 346 | 120 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +0 | 0.6 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 282 | 249 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 249 | 322 | 406 | 728 | 157 | 290 | 22 | 9 | 319 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 202 | 171 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 313 | 404 | 717 | 199 | 237 | 26 | 13 | 316 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 26 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 115 | 154 | 269 | 38 | 214 | 46 | 0 | 119 | -33 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 158 | 125 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 408 | 456 | 864 | 200 | 333 | 27 | 20 | 386 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 93 | 77 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 234 | 366 | 442 | 807 | 208 | 286 | 26 | 15 | 363 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 40 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 444 | 744 | 222 | 273 | 30 | 10 | 329 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 288 | 264 | 60 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 88 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 292 | 386 | 678 | 159 | 314 | 31 | 8 | 303 | 91 | -3 | +0 | +1 | +18 | +6 | 2.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 426 | 378 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 134 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 196 | 280 | 304 | 584 | 108 | 271 | 31 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 310 | 275 | 59 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 87 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 296 | 371 | 667 | 156 | 266 | 28 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 95 | 88 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 326 | 466 | 792 | 193 | 368 | 29 | 7 | 356 | 127 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +6 | +2 | 1.2 |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 253 | 222 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 65 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 310 | 356 | 665 | 140 | 263 | 26 | 10 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 148 | 133 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 297 | 368 | 666 | 150 | 299 | 29 | 9 | 305 | 92 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 32 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 312 | 414 | 726 | 172 | 412 | 38 | 6 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 16 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 571 | 946 | 286 | 283 | 31 | 6 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 19 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 316 | 471 | 786 | 235 | 273 | 26 | 11 | 346 | 120 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +0 | 0.6 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 282 | 258 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 82 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 246 | 306 | 553 | 112 | 241 | 29 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 202 | 179 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 72 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 145 | 227 | 279 | 507 | 134 | 181 | 36 | 9 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 26 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 115 | 154 | 269 | 38 | 214 | 46 | 0 | 119 | -33 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 158 | 135 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 325 | 370 | 695 | 156 | 287 | 32 | 13 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 93 | 82 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 171 | 269 | 317 | 586 | 146 | 238 | 34 | 10 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 40 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 200 | 289 | 489 | 132 | 227 | 38 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 426 | 378 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 134 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 196 | 280 | 304 | 584 | 108 | 277 | 31 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ RAW | San Jose Giants | — | 426 | 361 | 88 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 55 | 100 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 244 | 353 | 380 | 733 | 136 | 311 | 23 | 13 | 331 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 377 | 335 | 71 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 106 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 292 | 367 | 659 | 155 | 268 | 28 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 377 | 312 | 84 | 16 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 80 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 269 | 389 | 455 | 844 | 186 | 317 | 21 | 15 | 375 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 348 | 310 | 72 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 32 | 93 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 314 | 387 | 701 | 155 | 295 | 27 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 348 | 301 | 81 | 17 | 0 | 13 | 41 | 78 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 366 | 455 | 821 | 186 | 322 | 22 | 12 | 366 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 196 | 176 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 306 | 392 | 698 | 165 | 318 | 31 | 9 | 308 | 94 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.7 |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 196 | 175 | 42 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 57 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 321 | 411 | 733 | 171 | 327 | 29 | 9 | 328 | 94 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.7 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 301 | 275 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 87 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 251 | 316 | 567 | 120 | 251 | 29 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 301 | 266 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 322 | 410 | 732 | 162 | 289 | 22 | 9 | 321 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 202 | 179 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 72 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 145 | 227 | 279 | 507 | 134 | 190 | 36 | 9 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA RAW | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 202 | 171 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 313 | 404 | 717 | 199 | 237 | 26 | 13 | 316 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 161 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 199 | 295 | 335 | 630 | 137 | 284 | 34 | 11 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 184 | 151 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 366 | 404 | 770 | 172 | 315 | 29 | 17 | 349 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 93 | 82 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 171 | 269 | 317 | 586 | 146 | 234 | 34 | 10 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA RAW | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 93 | 77 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 234 | 366 | 442 | 807 | 208 | 286 | 26 | 15 | 363 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 40 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 200 | 289 | 489 | 132 | 227 | 38 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA RAW | Indianapolis Indians | — | 40 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 444 | 744 | 222 | 273 | 30 | 10 | 329 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 426 | 379 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 134 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 280 | 303 | 583 | 108 | 271 | 31 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 377 | 336 | 71 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 106 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 292 | 366 | 658 | 155 | 266 | 28 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 348 | 308 | 72 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 32 | 93 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 314 | 390 | 704 | 156 | 292 | 27 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 196 | 174 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 306 | 397 | 703 | 167 | 316 | 31 | 9 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 301 | 278 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 87 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 251 | 313 | 564 | 119 | 243 | 29 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Colorado Springs Sky Sox | — | 202 | 181 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 72 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 144 | 227 | 276 | 504 | 133 | 181 | 36 | 9 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 160 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 295 | 338 | 633 | 138 | 277 | 34 | 11 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 93 | 82 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 171 | 269 | 317 | 586 | 146 | 238 | 34 | 10 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 40 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 200 | 289 | 489 | 132 | 227 | 38 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 288 | 264 | 60 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 88 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 292 | 386 | 678 | 159 | 314 | 31 | 8 | 303 | 73 | -3 | +0 | +1 | +18 | +6 | 2.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 596 | 136 | 38 | 5 | 16 | 52 | 199 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 292 | 389 | 682 | 161 | 315 | 31 | 8 | 303 | 73 | -7 | +0 | +2 | +41 | +14 | 5.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2167 | 1934 | 389 | 82 | 5 | 58 | 191 | 662 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 201 | 280 | 339 | 619 | 138 | 269 | 31 | 9 | 276 | 73 | -3 | +0 | +1 | +18 | +6 | 2.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 116 | 25 | 1 | 17 | 57 | 199 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 280 | 334 | 614 | 134 | 268 | 31 | 9 | 276 | 73 | -7 | +0 | +2 | +41 | +14 | 5.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 40 PAwOBA .319 → .220 (−99)K% 30.0% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.100 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 6.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.962 | 14.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.986 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.962 | 6.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.914 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.096 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 5.12% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 83, K 92, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .319 → .220; ISO .222 → .139; BABIP .273 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 93 PAwOBA .354 → .262 (−92)K% 25.8% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.81% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 34.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.05% | ÷1.065 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 9.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.15% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.87% | ÷1.024 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.982 | 16.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.55% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.982 | 6.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.55% | ÷1.023 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 5.65% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 108, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .354 → .262; ISO .208 → .150; BABIP .286 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAANorfolk Tides · 158 PAwOBA .377 → .311 (−67)K% 26.6% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.58% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.99% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 13.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.89% | ÷0.984 | ×0.930 | ×0.974 | ×0.992 | 20.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷1.063 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | ×0.992 | 6.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.974 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.23% | ÷0.964 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 6.25% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .377 → .311; ISO .200 → .174; BABIP .333 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 202 PAwOBA .312 → .231 (−81)K% 26.2% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.24% | ÷0.953 | ×1.290 | — | — | 35.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.38% | ÷0.995 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 8.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.41% | ÷1.018 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 12.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.47% | ÷1.163 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 5.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.78% | ÷0.933 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 5.69% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 104, 2B 133, 3B 130, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .312 → .231; ISO .199 → .148; BABIP .237 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 282 PAwOBA .316 → .246 (−71)K% 21.6% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.63% | ÷0.964 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.87% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 6.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.28% | ÷1.046 | ×0.900 | ×1.012 | ×1.018 | 18.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.91% | ÷1.196 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×1.018 | 4.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×1.018 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.973 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 3.47% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 109, 2B 139, 3B 130, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .316 → .246; ISO .157 → .117; BABIP .290 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAASacramento River Cats · 32 PAwOBA .404 → .322 (−82)K% 31.2% → 38.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷1.047 | ×1.290 | — | — | 38.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷0.960 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 7.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 3.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷1.003 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.033 | 25.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.024 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 13.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.982 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 4.56% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 85, K 109, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .404 → .322; ISO .214 → .160; BABIP .471 → .412. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+San Jose Giants · 16 PAwOBA .401 → .309 (−93)K% 25.0% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.983 | ×1.340 | — | — | 34.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.996 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 4.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 4.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 18.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.071 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.978 | 7.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 8.73% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 94, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .401 → .309; ISO .286 → .218; BABIP .333 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 253 PAwOBA .363 → .293 (−70)K% 19.8% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.76% | ÷0.994 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷1.005 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 9.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.98% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 2.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.31% | ÷1.002 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 20.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.52% | ÷1.014 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 4.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.13% | ÷1.045 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 4.80% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .363 → .293; ISO .183 → .140; BABIP .305 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).