Everson Pereira

RF St. Louis Cardinals

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 203 lbs MLB HR -14%BB -5% Svc 1.523 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	AAAScranton/Wilk…	182	.265/.346/.512	10	5	86	—	.216/.280/.371
2025	24	AAA/INTL2 orgs	426	.258/.363/.497	23	11	95	—	.223/.303/.368
2025	24	MLBTB	73	.138/.222/.246	2	2	29	-0.4
2026	25	AAASTL	61	.250/.350/.500	4	0	78	—	.222/.300/.407
2026	25	MLBSTL	111	.235/.312/.439	5	1	112	0.3
2027PROJ	26	MLBSTL	138	.210/.289/.376	5	3	90	0.1
2028PROJ82% MLB	27	MLBSTL	168	.209/.288/.373	6	3	89	0.1
2029PROJ82% MLB	28	MLBSTL	197	.208/.286/.369	7	3	87	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.0 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.523First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$0.4M2030Ext$1M2031Ext$2M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023-2026

Bat Spd81

Avg EV66

Barrel%60

Speed52

xwOBA22

CompsLuis Torrens (age 26) · Drew Ellis (age 26) · Clint Frazier (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 9390vR 82

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .289 / .376

PA138

HR5

K%30

BB%8

BABIP270

ISO153

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2026

CONTACT45

xAVG

100.196

POWER60

Barrel%

609.6

Avg EV

6690.2

Bat Spd

8174.6

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

Sprint

5227.6

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 117 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

264

245

◀L

ISO

206

122

◀◀L

BABIP

267

212

◀◀L

47.2%

29.6%

▶▶R

BB%

5.6%

7.4%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 1.523 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$2M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	183	167	44	8	2	3	15	60	0	3	2	263	324	389	713	126	390	33	8	318	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	127	108	28	3	0	14	15	38	2	5	2	259	360	676	1.036	417	241	30	12	432	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	83	72	26	5	1	5	10	21	1	4	1	361	446	667	1.112	306	457	25	12	479	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	123	113	32	4	3	5	9	37	1	2	2	283	341	504	846	221	380	30	7	370	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	325	288	79	13	6	9	34	87	2	19	5	274	355	455	810	181	363	27	10	358	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	MLB	New York Yankees	—	103	93	14	4	0	0	8	40	2	4	0	151	233	194	427	43	264	39	8	206	26	-9	+1	+0	-5	+2	-1.1
2023	22	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	158	138	43	7	1	8	13	44	5	4	0	312	391	551	942	239	398	28	8	408	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	185	165	48	10	1	10	19	54	0	7	2	291	364	545	910	255	373	29	10	394	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	182	162	43	8	1	10	16	59	4	5	2	265	346	512	858	247	355	32	9	376	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	73	65	9	1	0	2	7	28	0	2	0	138	222	246	468	108	194	38	10	216	29	-6	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.4
2025	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	348	297	76	10	1	21	43	100	6	9	2	256	361	508	870	253	309	29	12	380	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	78	67	18	4	1	2	9	15	2	2	2	269	372	448	820	179	320	19	12	367	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	111	98	23	5	0	5	6	37	5	1	0	235	312	439	751	204	316	33	5	328	112	+2	+0	+1	-2	+2	0.3
2026	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	61	52	13	1	0	4	8	19	0	0	0	250	350	500	850	250	310	31	13	368	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	287	256	46	10	0	7	21	105	7	7	0	180	261	301	561	121	267	37	7	256	59	-14	+1	-0	-5	+6	-1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	Pulaski Yankees	—	183	172	30	5	1	2	10	85	0	3	2	174	220	250	470	76	318	46	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	127	112	22	2	0	11	11	51	2	5	2	196	280	509	789	312	214	40	9	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	83	75	22	4	1	4	7	29	1	4	1	293	361	533	895	240	414	35	8	369	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	123	115	29	3	3	4	7	45	1	2	2	252	301	435	736	183	387	37	6	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	325	301	67	12	5	8	21	112	2	19	5	223	278	375	653	153	317	34	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	103	93	14	4	0	0	8	40	2	4	0	151	233	194	427	43	264	39	8	207	26	-9	+1	+0	-5	+2	-1.1
2023	22	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	158	142	39	7	1	6	9	53	5	4	0	275	340	465	805	190	374	34	6	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	185	170	43	9	1	7	14	65	0	7	2	253	310	441	751	188	356	35	8	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	182	167	36	6	1	6	11	72	4	5	2	216	280	371	651	156	344	40	6	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	73	65	9	1	0	2	7	28	0	2	0	138	222	246	468	108	194	38	10	212	29	-6	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.4
2025	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	348	310	69	10	1	11	30	113	6	9	2	223	303	368	671	145	304	32	9	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	111	98	23	5	0	5	6	37	5	1	0	235	312	439	751	204	316	33	5	334	112	+2	+0	+1	-2	+2	0.3
2026	25	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	61	54	12	1	0	3	6	23	0	0	0	222	300	407	707	185	284	38	10	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	Pulaski Yankees	—	183	172	30	5	1	2	10	85	0	3	2	174	220	250	470	76	326	46	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	Pulaski Yankees	—	183	167	44	8	2	3	15	60	0	3	2	263	324	389	713	126	390	33	8	318	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	210	187	44	6	1	15	18	80	3	9	3	235	312	519	831	283	309	38	9	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	210	180	54	8	1	19	25	59	3	9	3	300	394	672	1.066	372	337	28	12	450	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	448	416	95	15	8	11	28	157	3	21	7	228	282	382	664	154	337	35	6	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	448	401	111	17	9	14	43	124	3	21	7	277	351	469	820	192	367	28	10	362	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	446	405	95	19	2	13	31	158	7	15	2	235	300	388	688	153	346	35	7	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	446	396	105	21	2	18	40	138	7	15	2	265	343	465	808	199	358	31	9	356	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	182	167	36	6	1	6	11	72	4	5	2	216	280	371	651	156	337	40	6	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	182	162	43	8	1	10	16	59	4	5	2	265	346	512	858	247	355	32	9	376	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	499	444	92	13	1	16	44	168	8	13	4	207	290	349	639	142	289	34	9	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	499	429	103	15	2	25	59	143	8	13	4	240	343	459	802	219	295	29	12	354	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	172	152	35	6	0	8	12	60	5	1	0	230	308	428	735	197	318	35	7	316	100	+0	+0	+1	-2	+4	0.3
2026	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	172	150	36	6	0	9	14	56	5	1	0	240	325	460	785	220	314	33	8	342	100	+0	+0	+1	-2	+4	0.3
2018	17	ROK MLE	Pulaski Yankees	—	183	171	30	5	1	2	10	85	0	3	2	175	220	251	471	76	318	46	5	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	210	187	44	6	1	15	18	80	3	9	3	235	312	519	831	283	293	38	9	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	448	414	95	15	8	11	28	157	3	21	7	229	282	384	666	155	336	35	6	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	446	405	95	19	2	13	31	158	7	15	2	235	300	388	688	153	341	35	7	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	182	165	36	6	1	6	11	72	4	5	2	218	280	376	656	158	344	40	6	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	499	444	92	13	1	16	44	168	8	13	4	207	290	349	639	142	285	34	9	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	172	153	35	6	0	8	12	60	5	1	0	229	308	425	733	196	305	35	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	182	165	36	6	1	6	11	72	4	5	2	218	280	376	656	158	344	40	6	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	499	444	92	13	1	16	44	168	8	13	4	207	290	349	639	142	285	34	9	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	172	153	35	6	0	8	12	60	5	1	0	229	308	425	733	196	305	35	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	STL	100%	222	198	43	7	1	9	18	67	4	4	1	212	291	385	676	173	269	30	8	301	90	-3	+0	+1	-2	+5	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	STL	100%	138	124	25	4	0	5	11	42	2	3	1	210	289	376	665	165	270	30	8	297	90	-2	+0	+1	-1	+3	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	STL	82%	205	182	39	6	1	8	17	62	4	4	1	211	290	382	672	171	268	30	8	300	89	-3	+0	+1	-2	+4	0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	STL	82%	240	214	45	7	1	9	20	74	4	4	1	209	288	378	666	169	267	31	8	297	87	-4	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	STL	82%	168	149	32	5	1	6	14	51	3	3	1	209	288	373	661	164	269	30	8	296	89	-2	+0	+1	-2	+4	0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	STL	82%	197	176	37	6	1	7	16	60	3	3	1	208	286	369	655	161	268	30	8	293	87	-3	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	652	581	115	21	2	20	51	216	13	13	2	198	278	344	622	146	272	33	8	277	84	-19	+2	+1	-9	+14	-1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	115	21	2	20	51	215	13	13	2	199	278	345	624	147	273	33	8	277	84	-19	+2	+1	-9	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2723	2463	536	87	16	93	202	958	40	78	23	218	288	379	667	162	311	35	7	293	84	-22	+2	+2	-11	+19	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	128	21	4	22	48	229	10	19	5	218	288	379	667	162	312	35	7	293	84	-16	+2	+1	-8	+14	-0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 61 PAwOBA .358 → .284 (−73)K% 31.1% → 37.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.15%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	37.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.11%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.033	9.35%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.24%	÷1.000	×0.930	—	×1.033	23.29%
Doubles /BIP	3.03%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.033	2.60%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	—	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	12.12%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.033	8.76%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .358 → .284; ISO .250 → .181; BABIP .310 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAADurham Bulls · 348 PAwOBA .372 → .296 (−76)K% 28.7% → 32.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.74%	÷1.057	×1.200	—	—	32.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.36%	÷1.030	×0.690	—	×1.048	8.68%
HBP% /PA	1.72%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	1.70%
Singles /BIP	22.34%	÷0.956	×0.930	×1.033	×1.048	23.53%
Doubles /BIP	5.08%	÷0.940	×0.830	×1.033	×1.048	4.85%
Triples /BIP	0.51%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.033	×1.048	0.59%
Home runs /BIP	10.66%	÷1.380	×0.700	—	×1.048	5.67%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 91, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 111, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .372 → .296; ISO .253 → .154; BABIP .309 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 182 PAwOBA .366 → .295 (−71)K% 32.4% → 39.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.42%	÷0.990	×1.200	—	—	39.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.79%	÷1.011	×0.690	—	×1.050	6.30%
HBP% /PA	2.20%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	2.17%
Singles /BIP	23.30%	÷0.976	×0.930	×1.043	×1.050	24.31%
Doubles /BIP	7.77%	÷1.072	×0.830	×1.043	×1.050	6.59%
Triples /BIP	0.97%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.043	×1.050	1.15%
Home runs /BIP	9.71%	÷1.045	×0.700	—	×1.050	6.83%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .366 → .295; ISO .247 → .172; BABIP .355 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AASomerset Patriots · 185 PAwOBA .385 → .324 (−61)K% 29.2% → 35.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.19%	÷1.006	×1.220	—	—	35.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.27%	÷0.973	×0.700	—	×1.042	7.70%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×1.042	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.32%	÷0.987	×0.970	×0.974	×1.042	24.26%
Doubles /BIP	9.01%	÷0.958	×0.860	×0.974	×1.042	8.21%
Triples /BIP	0.90%	÷0.900	×0.950	×0.974	×1.042	0.97%
Home runs /BIP	9.01%	÷1.033	×0.780	—	×1.042	7.09%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .385 → .324; ISO .255 → .200; BABIP .373 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 158 PAwOBA .402 → .339 (−63)K% 27.8% → 33.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.85%	÷0.998	×1.200	—	—	33.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.23%	÷1.059	×0.690	—	×1.050	5.63%
HBP% /PA	3.16%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	3.12%
Singles /BIP	28.72%	÷1.029	×0.930	×1.012	×1.050	27.56%
Doubles /BIP	7.45%	÷0.903	×0.830	×1.012	×1.050	7.27%
Triples /BIP	1.06%	÷1.048	×0.970	×1.012	×1.050	1.05%
Home runs /BIP	8.51%	÷1.017	×0.700	—	×1.050	6.15%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 106, 2B 81, 3B 110, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .402 → .339; ISO .239 → .184; BABIP .398 → .374. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 325 PAwOBA .349 → .278 (−71)K% 26.8% → 34.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.77%	÷1.015	×1.310	—	—	34.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.15%	÷0.976	×0.600	—	×1.027	6.41%
HBP% /PA	0.62%	—	×0.770	—	×1.027	0.49%
Singles /BIP	25.37%	÷1.084	×0.870	×1.047	×1.027	21.89%
Doubles /BIP	6.47%	÷0.895	×0.780	×1.047	×1.027	6.06%
Triples /BIP	2.99%	÷1.028	×0.850	×1.047	×1.027	2.65%
Home runs /BIP	4.48%	÷1.014	×0.880	—	×1.027	3.99%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 117, 2B 79, 3B 106, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.

Result: wOBA .349 → .278; ISO .181 → .154; BABIP .363 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AASomerset Patriots · 123 PAwOBA .360 → .313 (−47)K% 30.1% → 36.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.08%	÷0.998	×1.220	—	—	36.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.32%	÷0.985	×0.700	—	×1.050	5.46%
HBP% /PA	0.81%	—	×0.850	—	×1.050	0.73%
Singles /BIP	26.32%	÷0.983	×0.970	×1.012	×1.050	27.59%
Doubles /BIP	5.26%	÷0.972	×0.860	×1.012	×1.050	4.95%
Triples /BIP	3.95%	÷0.969	×0.950	×1.012	×1.050	4.11%
Home runs /BIP	6.58%	÷1.032	×0.780	—	×1.050	5.22%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 94, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .360 → .313; ISO .221 → .179; BABIP .380 → .387. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 127 PAwOBA .426 → .334 (−92)K% 29.9% → 40.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.92%	÷1.000	×1.350	—	—	40.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.81%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.042	8.74%
HBP% /PA	1.57%	—	×0.810	—	×1.042	1.33%
Singles /BIP	15.71%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.989	×1.042	14.73%
Doubles /BIP	4.29%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.989	×1.042	3.66%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.989	×1.042	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	20.00%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.042	17.30%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .426 → .334; ISO .417 → .324; BABIP .241 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Max Venable'79-'91 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	18	64	238*	301*	371*	-11	-1	0.9	1.9
/162	664	8	27	-4.6	-0.3	0.4	pk7: 3
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	1.2	790	27	15	200	276	353	-3	-2	0.2	0.2
/162	664	22	13	-2.7	-1.3	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Everson Pereira (OGILVIE)	26	45	60	50	55	210/288/382	171	269	5	3	30%	8%	90	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Torrens 2022 · MLB	26	46→49	53→50	45→40	46	238/296/411	173	288	21	3	25%	8%	98	+1.2	233/287/378	145	304	17	3	28%	7%	87	+0.4	235/293/375	140	282	15	2	22%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Drew Ellis 2022 · MLB	26	41→38	53→55	45→40	48	212/303/389	177	276	20	3	30%	9%	96	+1.0	198/288/359	161	255	18	6	28%	10%	84	+0.1	180/274/332	152	226	17	6	28%	10%	70	-0.5
✕Clint Frazier 2021 · MLB	26	48→49	54→55	46→50	47	244/316/431	187	306	22	7	27%	8%	110	+2.1	204/297/335	131	293	14	9	32%	10%	82	-0.0	176/275/280	104	266	10	10	34%	10%	60	-0.8
✕Jake Rogers 2021 · MLB	26	39→40	52→60	49→45	44	206/284/367	161	279	20	5	33%	8%	84	+0.1	234/301/437	203	319	26	7	33%	8%	105	+1.7	216/278/421	205	273	28	2	32%	7%	95	+0.4
●Shea Langeliers 2024 · MLB	26	40→48	57→65	47→45	42	222/280/419	197	271	26	5	29%	7%	94	+0.9	242/300/470	228	274	32	6	25%	7%	114	+2.3	249/308/484	235	273	34	6	23%	7%	121	+2.4
✕Isan Díaz 2023 · MLB	27	42→43	52→55	46→45	47	218/293/384	166	281	21	8	30%	9%	91	+0.7	210/280/373	163	274	22	9	31%	8%	84	+0.1	168/241/306	138	201	23	6	30%	8%	52	-0.7
✕Josh Fields 2009 · MLB	26	46→54	53→55	49→50	44	235/302/411	176	322	21	12	33%	8%	100	+1.3	242/303/402	160	313	19	9	27%	8%	99	+1.2	237/299/374	136	312	15	9	27%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Jayson Nix 2011 · MLB	28	43→51	54→55	46→55	45	229/292/402	173	265	22	10	23%	7%	95	+0.9	216/280/354	138	274	15	13	26%	7%	79	-0.2	209/275/323	114	276	11	18	27%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Michael Chavis 2021 · MLB	25	46	56→60	50→45	41	238/297/424	186	314	25	7	32%	7%	101	+1.4	230/275/393	163	306	21	6	31%	5%	86	+0.3	221/266/377	156	281	18	6	28%	5%	77	-0.2
✕J.P. Arencibia 2012 · MLB	26	39→49	59→65	43→30	42	220/273/428	208	256	27	2	27%	6%	94	+0.9	215/259/406	191	260	27	3	29%	5%	84	+0.1	202/242/384	182	241	27	1	30%	4%	72	-0.5
✕Renato Núñez 2020 · MLB	26	45→53	55→60	43→30	45	239/302/421	182	287	24	3	26%	7%	103	+1.5	237/305/431	194	289	26	3	27%	7%	106	+1.8	225/298/430	204	275	28	1	29%	7%	103	+0.8
●Chris Young 2010 · MLB	26	45→48	54→60	51→55	51	234/309/429	195	282	21	15	25%	9%	107	+1.8	236/321/420	184	279	21	19	22%	11%	109	+2.0	234/322/416	183	270	21	21	22%	11%	110	+1.9
✕Nick Hundley 2010 · MLB	26	43→45	51→55	48→40	46	222/280/382	159	266	19	5	24%	7%	85	+0.2	238/297/390	152	299	15	4	24%	7%	93	+0.8	259/299/420	161	312	16	3	22%	5%	102	+0.8
✕Sam Huff 2024 · MLB	26	47→44	55	46→45	42	239/301/415	176	329	25	3	34%	8%	101	+1.4	213/267/347	134	318	15	3	36%	6%	72	-0.7	189/240/305	115	290	12	0	37%	6%	49	-1.2
✕Joe Mather 2009 · MLB	27	44	58→60	51→50	47	236/303/439	203	256	26	10	21%	7%	107	+1.9	215/271/353	138	259	15	11	23%	6%	76	-0.4	205/255/310	105	257	10	8	24%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Matthew Brown 2009 · MLB	26	46→49	52→55	41→45	42	238/290/411	174	296	19	6	26%	6%	96	+1.0	207/262/346	139	274	15	6	29%	6%	70	-0.8	183/242/307	124	247	13	4	30%	6%	51	-1.1
●Trayce Thompson 2017 · MLB	26	45→49	51→60	51→50	45	230/287/398	168	283	18	12	26%	7%	91	+0.7	183/234/321	138	256	16	9	34%	6%	54	-2.0	203/291/407	204	286	27	7	37%	10%	95	+0.6
✕Wyatt Mathisen 2021 · MLB	27	44→54	54→50	46→40	47	227/326/409	182	292	22	6	29%	9%	109	+2.0	192/282/330	138	269	16	4	33%	8%	76	-0.4	153/251/274	121	211	15	0	34%	8%	51	-0.9
✕Yasmany Tomás 2017 · MLB	26	50→54	56→60	41→40	41	262/298/451	189	309	25	5	25%	5%	108	+1.9	230/265/410	180	294	23	4	30%	4%	86	+0.3	205/236/374	169	272	22	2	33%	3%	65	-0.7
✕Scott Kingery 2021 · MLB	27	46→52	50→55	51→55	43	231/286/395	164	297	17	13	28%	6%	91	+0.6	198/268/319	121	296	11	18	34%	8%	66	-1.1	188/230/314	126	255	15	17	32%	5%	48	-1.3

Everson Pereira

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps