Jake Rogers — OGILVIE

Jake RogersC Chicago White Sox

Age 31 R/R 5'11" / 201 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 5.233 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION165 act + 17 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 8683vR 73

AVG/OBP/SLG.267 / .353 / .533

PA17

HR1

K%29

BB%12

BABIP251

ISO267

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

619.9%

xAVG

100.201

POWER50

Barrel%

609.7

Avg EV

4788.9

Bat Spd

4570.8

EYE55

Chase%

9021.7%

SPEED45

Sprint

2726.4

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%28%·28% over 65 PA (60d) · proj 28%

BB%12%▲▲17% over 65 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.153▼.094 over 53 AB (60d) · proj .172xISO .129 vs .182 prior — approach backs the move

HR/BB4.8%▼2.8% over 36 BBE (60d) · proj 5.5%barrel% 9.6% vs 9.7% prior — approach flat: likely noise/luck

BABIP.252·.200 over 35 BIP (60d) · proj .254xBABIP .220 vs .250 prior

SLASH.198/.298/.351·proj .206/.282/.377

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 504 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

129

375

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

245

269

▶R

ISO

104

162

▶▶R

BABIP

217

249

▶R

28.7%

28.8%

—

BB%

11.6%

5.9%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2019

Service 5.233 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.2M	+0.0	$0.0M	-$0.2M
Totals		$0.2M		$0.0M	-$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	21	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	82	72	15	3	1	1	8	25	2	1	0	208	305	319	624	111	304	30	10	288	81	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2017	22	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	375	320	84	18	3	12	45	74	4	13	8	263	360	450	810	188	300	20	12	356	127	+12	-1	—	—	+8	2.0
2017	22	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	116	102	26	7	1	6	9	28	4	1	0	255	339	520	859	265	290	24	8	372	138	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2018	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	408	352	77	15	1	17	41	112	6	7	1	219	311	412	723	193	261	27	10	316	100	+0	+1	—	—	+9	1.0
2018	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	52	48	8	5	0	0	3	11	1	0	0	167	231	271	502	104	216	21	6	230	42	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2019	24	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	128	112	14	3	0	4	13	51	1	0	0	125	222	259	481	134	175	40	10	221	36	-10	+0	+1	+8	+3	0.1
2019	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	191	166	37	10	1	9	18	53	6	0	0	223	321	458	779	235	269	28	9	343	118	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2019	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	112	86	26	3	1	5	19	26	3	0	0	302	444	535	979	233	356	23	17	417	168	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.2
2021	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	127	113	27	5	3	6	11	46	0	1	0	239	306	496	802	257	344	36	9	340	116	+2	+0	+2	+2	+3	1.0
2023	28	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	365	331	73	11	0	21	28	118	3	1	1	221	287	444	731	224	268	32	8	320	102	+1	-0	+15	+7	+8	3.1
2024	29	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	337	310	61	16	1	10	22	99	3	1	0	197	257	352	608	155	251	29	7	271	69	-12	+0	+23	+6	+7	2.5
2025	30	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	142	123	23	5	2	3	15	39	1	0	0	187	281	333	614	146	241	27	11	274	71	-5	+0	+3	+3	+3	0.5
2025	30	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	18	15	5	3	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	333	444	533	978	200	417	17	17	431	178	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1099	989	198	40	6	44	89	353	8	3	1	200	272	386	658	186	258	32	8	290	82	-23	+0	+44	+25	+24	7.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	21	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	82	75	12	2	1	1	5	35	2	1	0	160	232	253	485	93	258	43	6	202	23	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2017	22	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	375	338	69	18	2	6	27	106	4	13	8	204	271	322	593	118	265	28	7	265	65	-15	-1	—	—	+8	-0.8
2017	22	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	116	105	21	6	1	4	6	36	4	1	0	200	270	390	660	190	243	31	5	274	72	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2018	23	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	408	365	65	13	1	12	28	137	6	7	1	178	248	318	566	140	225	34	7	245	52	-23	+1	—	—	+9	-1.4
2019	24	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	128	112	14	3	0	4	13	51	1	0	0	125	222	259	481	134	175	40	10	223	37	-10	+0	+1	+8	+3	0.1
2019	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	191	172	31	8	1	7	12	60	6	0	0	180	258	360	618	180	222	31	6	266	66	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2019	24	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	112	93	25	3	1	3	12	32	3	0	0	269	370	419	790	151	323	29	11	345	120	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2021	26	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	127	113	27	5	3	6	11	46	0	1	0	239	306	496	802	257	344	36	9	343	118	+3	+0	+2	+2	+3	1.0
2023	28	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	365	331	75	11	0	22	28	118	3	1	1	227	293	459	752	233	268	32	8	324	105	+2	-0	+15	+7	+8	3.2
2024	29	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	337	310	61	16	1	10	22	99	3	1	0	197	257	352	608	155	251	29	7	271	70	-12	+0	+23	+6	+7	2.5
2025	30	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	142	123	23	5	2	3	15	39	1	0	0	187	281	333	614	146	241	27	11	275	72	-5	+0	+3	+3	+3	0.5
2025	30	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	18	16	5	3	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	312	389	500	889	188	374	17	11	365	133	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2016	21	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	82	75	12	2	1	1	5	35	2	1	0	160	232	253	485	93	282	43	6	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	82	72	15	3	1	1	8	25	2	1	0	208	305	319	624	111	304	30	10	288	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	491	443	90	23	3	10	33	142	8	14	8	203	271	336	607	133	268	29	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	491	422	110	25	4	18	54	102	8	14	8	261	355	467	822	206	298	21	11	360	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	460	412	72	14	1	13	32	154	7	7	1	175	246	308	554	133	234	33	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	460	400	85	20	1	17	44	123	7	7	1	212	302	395	697	183	255	27	10	307	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	431	376	71	14	2	15	38	143	10	0	0	189	281	356	637	168	252	33	9	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	431	364	77	16	2	18	50	130	10	0	0	212	323	415	738	203	268	30	12	326	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	127	113	27	5	3	6	11	46	0	1	0	239	306	496	802	257	344	36	9	343	118	+3	+0	+2	+2	+3	1.0
2021	26	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	—	127	113	27	5	3	6	11	46	0	1	0	239	306	496	802	257	344	36	9	340	118	+3	+0	+2	+2	+3	1.0
2023	28	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	365	331	75	11	0	22	28	118	3	1	1	227	293	459	752	233	275	32	8	324	105	+2	-0	+15	+7	+8	3.2
2023	28	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	—	365	331	73	11	0	21	28	118	3	1	1	221	287	444	731	224	268	32	8	320	105	+2	-0	+15	+7	+8	3.2
2024	29	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	337	310	61	16	1	10	22	99	3	1	0	197	257	352	608	155	251	29	7	271	70	-12	+0	+23	+6	+7	2.5
2024	29	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	—	337	310	61	16	1	10	22	99	3	1	0	197	257	352	608	155	251	29	7	271	70	-12	+0	+23	+6	+7	2.5
2025	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	160	139	28	8	2	3	17	42	1	0	0	201	293	353	646	151	260	26	11	285	79	-4	+0	+3	+3	+3	0.6
2025	30	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	160	138	28	8	2	3	18	42	1	0	0	203	299	355	654	152	263	26	11	291	79	-4	+0	+3	+3	+3	0.6
2016	21	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	82	75	12	2	1	1	5	35	2	1	0	160	232	253	485	93	258	43	6	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	491	447	90	23	3	10	33	142	8	14	8	201	271	333	604	132	260	29	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	460	418	72	14	1	13	32	154	7	7	1	172	246	304	550	132	225	33	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	431	380	71	14	2	15	38	143	10	0	0	187	281	353	633	166	234	33	9	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	127	115	27	5	3	6	11	46	0	1	0	235	306	487	793	252	344	36	9	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	365	331	75	11	0	22	28	118	3	1	1	227	293	459	752	233	268	32	8	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	337	309	61	16	1	10	22	99	3	1	0	197	257	353	609	155	251	29	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	160	141	28	8	2	3	17	42	1	0	0	199	293	348	641	149	256	26	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	28	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	365	331	75	11	0	22	28	118	3	1	1	227	293	459	752	233	268	32	8	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	337	309	61	16	1	10	22	99	3	1	0	197	257	353	609	155	251	29	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	160	141	28	8	2	3	17	42	1	0	0	199	293	348	641	149	256	26	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	31	MLB MLE	CWS	—	165	138	23	4	1	4	22	48	1	1	0	167	286	297	583	130	213	29	13	262	63	-7	+0	+1	+3	+4	0.0
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	31	MLB RAW	CWS	—	165	138	23	4	1	4	22	48	1	1	0	167	286	297	583	130	213	29	13	266	63	-7	+0	+1	+3	+4	0.0
YTD	31	MLB RAW	CWS	—	165	138	23	4	1	4	22	48	1	1	0	167	286	297	583	130	213	29	13	266	66	-7	+0	+1	+3	+4	0.1
ROS	31	MLB MLE	CWS	100%	17	15	4	1	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	267	353	533	886	267	250	29	12	291	83	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
ROS	31	MLB CTX	CWS	100%	17	15	4	1	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	267	353	533	886	267	251	29	12	287	83	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
FULL	31	MLB A+C	CWS	—	182	153	27	5	1	5	24	53	1	1	0	176	292	320	612	144	224	29	13	268	65	-8	+0	+1	+3	+4	0.1
TOT	31	MLB MLE	CWS	—	182	153	27	5	1	5	24	53	1	1	0	176	292	320	612	144	224	29	13	264	65	-8	+0	+1	+3	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	CWS	92%	249	220	44	9	1	8	25	71	2	1	0	200	287	359	647	159	253	29	10	290	82	-5	+0	+1	+4	+5	0.6
2027	32	MLB CTX	CWS	92%	229	202	41	9	1	7	23	65	2	1	0	203	291	361	652	158	254	28	10	286	82	-5	+0	+1	+4	+5	0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1345	1206	243	50	7	52	114	423	10	4	1	201	276	384	660	182	259	31	8	289	74	-28	+0	+45	+30	+29	7.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	117	24	3	25	55	204	5	2	0	201	275	381	656	180	258	31	8	289	74	-14	+0	+22	+14	+14	3.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2719	2434	484	103	14	89	213	855	36	26	10	199	273	362	636	164	261	31	8	277	74	-29	+0	+45	+30	+30	7.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	115	25	3	21	51	204	9	6	2	198	273	359	632	162	259	31	8	277	74	-14	+0	+22	+14	+14	3.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1René Riveralast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	42	1	221	273	354	+29	+90	11.7	11.8
/162	664	17	0	+11.9	+37.2	4.9	pk7: 12
#2Jake Marisnicklast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA	3.3	2,213	63	81	227	280	381	+5	+54	8.3	8.1
/162	664	19	24	+1.4	+16.2	2.5	pk7: 8
#3Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	2.5	1,683	61	6	198	273	373	+30	+59	3.9	4.1
/162	664	24	3	+11.9	+23.3	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Rogers (OGILVIE)	31	40	50	45	55	198/286/358	161	250	6	1	28%	10%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB	30	42→49	51→50	43→45	47	219/293/377	158	286	19	6	30%	9%	89	+0.5	210/281/366	156	285	19	6	32%	8%	82	+0.0	197/277/342	145	263	18	3	31%	9%	72	-0.3
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2015 · MLB	31	44→48	51→55	44→50	49	226/295/391	165	268	18	5	23%	8%	93	+0.8	214/281/365	151	263	16	7	25%	8%	82	-0.0	162/216/283	122	202	11	4	26%	7%	38	-0.9
✕Dustin Garneau 2018 · MLB	30	40→39	51→50	44→45	45	210/272/372	162	247	19	4	24%	7%	80	-0.1	206/281/357	151	261	17	4	27%	8%	80	-0.1	171/262/344	173	215	21	1	31%	8%	70	-0.3
✕Cameron Rupp 2019 · MLB	30	40→48	53→55	47→30	43	209/277/381	172	292	22	3	35%	8%	84	+0.2	204/278/357	153	297	19	6	36%	8%	79	-0.2	158/243/295	137	225	18	0	37%	7%	50	-0.8
✕Elias Díaz 2023 · MLB	32	44→54	50	42→45	49	226/285/378	152	254	18	2	20%	7%	86	+0.3	244/297/375	131	296	14	2	22%	7%	90	+0.6	244/298/367	124	298	14	1	22%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Jett Bandy 2021 · MLB	31	40	49→50	44→45	38	209/271/353	144	270	18	6	30%	5%	76	-0.4	215/281/334	119	302	13	8	31%	6%	75	-0.5	169/242/238	68	248	8	0	33%	6%	39	-0.6
✕Austin Wynns 2022 · MLB	31	44→52	45	48→40	46	222/282/340	118	263	14	6	22%	7%	76	-0.4	241/306/353	112	303	12	5	23%	8%	88	+0.4	242/307/339	96	312	9	2	24%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Josh Phegley 2019 · MLB	31	43→47	46→55	44→40	45	217/279/353	137	265	12	4	23%	6%	78	-0.3	231/286/399	168	262	20	5	20%	6%	92	+0.7	239/286/420	180	260	23	0	18%	4%	95	+0.6
✕Francisco Peña 2021 · MLB	31	43→46	52→50	48→40	42	229/269/391	162	265	21	7	23%	5%	84	+0.1	210/264/368	158	247	22	6	25%	5%	76	-0.4	182/237/332	150	203	23	1	25%	5%	59	-1.2
✕Miguel Ojeda 2006 · MLB	31	41→48	49→45	41→45	52	215/293/358	143	246	18	5	21%	9%	85	+0.2	235/302/353	118	278	11	6	19%	8%	86	+0.3	251/320/386	134	285	14	7	17%	8%	99	+0.6
✕Michael McKenry 2016 · MLB	31	48	50→55	43→40	53	242/327/404	162	294	17	8	23%	10%	107	+1.9	209/304/339	130	288	12	6	29%	11%	85	+0.2	181/285/291	110	259	9	2	31%	12%	65	-0.5
✕Taylor Motter 2022 · MLB	32	44→50	52→55	47→55	52	228/309/399	172	276	20	4	25%	10%	100	+1.3	216/287/375	159	277	19	8	28%	9%	86	+0.3	195/267/344	149	249	19	8	29%	9%	70	-0.5
✕Kelly Stinnett 2001 · MLB	31	45	49→50	42→40	48	230/302/374	144	266	18	4	21%	8%	92	+0.7	242/318/403	161	302	19	6	25%	9%	105	+1.7	240/319/397	157	308	17	5	26%	9%	96	+0.3
●Robinson Chirinos 2016 · MLB	32	43→46	52→60	44→50	49	226/300/394	167	262	20	3	22%	8%	96	+1.0	235/328/443	208	283	26	4	26%	10%	118	+2.6	231/343/438	208	297	26	2	29%	11%	118	+1.7
✕John Hicks 2021 · MLB	31	45→52	53→60	43→50	40	236/279/404	168	304	22	5	30%	6%	90	+0.6	224/266/395	171	302	21	13	32%	5%	83	+0.1	208/250/366	158	282	19	16	33%	5%	68	-0.5
✕Chad Moeller 2006 · MLB	31	43	47→50	42→30	46	221/278/357	136	260	15	3	22%	7%	78	-0.3	209/267/324	115	261	12	3	24%	6%	67	-1.1	207/259/298	91	257	5	0	21%	5%	55	-0.6
✕Jacob Wilson 2021 · AAA	31	47→48	50	46→40	48	239/303/397	158	285	18	6	23%	8%	97	+1.1	224/292/398	174	272	20	6	25%	7%	94	+0.9	202/275/390	188	234	21	0	24%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Nick Hundley 2014 · MLB	30	44→46	48→55	40	45	225/284/365	141	276	15	3	24%	7%	83	+0.1	247/295/387	140	302	15	5	23%	6%	91	+0.7	260/304/421	161	313	16	3	22%	6%	99	+0.7
✕Tom Murphy 2022 · MLB	31	44→38	55→65	47→45	51	230/315/408	179	296	24	4	30%	11%	105	+1.7	247/326/431	184	325	22	5	29%	10%	114	+2.3	288/337/537	249	359	31	0	28%	6%	141	+1.1
✕Chad Wallach 2023 · MLB	31	36→46	46→50	49→40	42	189/259/312	124	264	14	4	33%	8%	62	-1.4	200/268/339	139	283	17	5	34%	8%	71	-0.8	191/260/331	140	266	19	2	35%	7%	64	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps