Jake RogersC Detroit Tigers
Age 31 R/R 5'11" / 201 lbs MLB HR +5%H +3% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 1.1 · 2026
wRC+†vL 3974vR 63
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .276 / .379
PA286
HR11
K%29
BB%8
MLB%100%
BAT: -8.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +5.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+6FLDPOS: +5.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+5POSREP: +8.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +1.10+1.1WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
4040
PWR
5050
SPD
4545
EYE
4855
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2026

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2019
Service   7.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
DEF 10%
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026Ext / FA-deal$3M+1.1$9M+$6M
Totals $3M $9M +$6M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201621 AQuad Cities River Bandits 8275 12211 5322 10 .160.232.253.485 .093.262 396 .210 19 -8 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.4
201722 A+2 teams 491443 9023310 331398 148 .203.271.336.607 .133.266 287 .268 64 -20 -0 +0 +9 +14 0.2
201823 AA2 teams 460412 7414115 321627 71 .180.251.328.578 .148.244 357 .250 50 -26 +1 +0 +8 +13 -0.4
201924 AAA3 teams 431376 7113217 3814410 00 .189.281.370.650 .181.247 339 .281 74 -13 +0 +1 +8 +12 0.8
202126 MLBDetroit Tigers 127113 26526 11460 10 .230.298.469.767 .239.328 369 .328 109 +1 +0 +2 +2 +4 0.9
202328 MLBDetroit Tigers 365331 7511022 281183 11 .227.293.459.752 .233.275 328 .323 105 +2 -0 +15 +7 +10 3.5
202429 MLBDetroit Tigers 337310 6115110 22993 10 .197.257.348.605 .152.251 297 .265 61 -15 +0 +23 +6 +10 2.4
202530 MLB2 teams 160139 27723 17421 00 .194.287.338.625 .144.250 2611 .274 68 -6 +0 +3 +3 +5 0.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202631 MLBDetroit Tigers 2723 3200 171 10 .130.200.217.417 .087.167 264 .180 -4 -3 +0 +1 +0 +1 -0.1
ROS31 MLBDET 259233 4810110 22752 20 .206.280.386.666 .180.249 298 .293 82 -5 +0 +5 +5 +7 1.3
TOT31 MLBDET 286256 5112110 23823 30 .199.273.371.644 .172.246 298 .282 74 -8 +1 +6 +5 +8 1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202732 MLBDET 251226 45919 21742 00 .199.273.367.640 .168.247 298 .288 79 -6 +0 +2 +4 +7 0.7
202833 MLBDET 216194 39818 18652 00 .201.276.376.652 .175.245 308 .282 74 -6 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.4
202934 MLBDET 172155 30616 14531 00 .194.265.361.626 .168.243 318 .275 69 -6 +0 -1 +3 +5 0.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 33513007 59812316117 261104941 2710 .199.272.367.639 .168.257 318 .279 72 -108 +1 +49 +60 +95 10.0
/ 162G 650583 11624323 512038 52 .199.273.369.641 .170.257 318 .279 72 -21 +0 +9 +12 +18 1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201621 AQuad Cities River Bandits 8272 15311 8252 10 .208.305.319.624 .111.304 3010 .288 79 -2 +0 +2 0.1
201722 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers 375320 8418312 45744 138 .263.360.450.810 .188.300 2012 .356 130 +13 -1 +11 2.3
201722 AQuad Cities River Bandits 116102 26716 9284 10 .255.339.520.859 .265.290 248 .372 143 +6 +0 +3 0.9
201823 AAErie SeaWolves 408352 7715117 411126 71 .219.311.412.723 .193.261 2710 .316 100 +0 +1 +12 1.3
201823 INTLMesa Solar Sox 5248 8500 3111 00 .167.231.271.502 .104.216 216 .230 34 -4 +0 +1 -0.2
201924 MLBDetroit Tigers 128112 14304 13511 00 .125.222.259.481 .134.175 4010 .221 28 -10 +0 +1 +8 +4 0.1
201924 AAAToledo Mud Hens 191166 371019 18536 00 .223.321.458.779 .235.269 289 .343 121 +4 +0 +5 1.0
201924 AAErie SeaWolves 11286 26315 19263 00 .302.444.535.979 .233.356 2317 .417 177 +10 +0 +3 1.3
202126 MLBDetroit Tigers 127113 27536 11460 10 .239.306.496.802 .257.344 369 .340 118 +3 +0 +2 +2 +4 1.1
202328 MLBDetroit Tigers 365331 7311021 281183 11 .221.287.444.731 .224.268 328 .320 103 +1 -0 +15 +7 +10 3.4
202429 MLBDetroit Tigers 337310 6116110 22993 10 .197.257.352.608 .155.251 297 .271 66 -13 +0 +23 +6 +10 2.6
202530 MLBDetroit Tigers 142123 23523 15391 00 .187.281.333.614 .146.241 2711 .274 68 -5 +0 +3 +3 +4 0.5
202530 AAAToledo Mud Hens 1815 5300 330 00 .333.444.533.978 .200.417 1717 .431 188 +2 +0 +1 0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 1099989 19840644 893538 31 .200.272.386.658 .186.258 328 .290 80 -25 +0 +44 +25 +31 7.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jake Rogers (OGILVIE) 31 40 50 45 55 .202/.276/.379 .177.249 112 29% 8% 82 +0.2
Anthony Recker
2015 · MLB
31 41→48 52→50 43→45 43 .214/.277/.374 .160.286 206 32% 8% 80 +0.4 .211/.285/.362 .151.286 185 31% 8% 81 +0.4 .205/.278/.348.144.27615230%8%70-0.1
Donnie Murphy
2014 · MLB
31 41 54→60 47→45 42 .219/.284/.396 .177.269 227 28% 6% 89 +1.0 .205/.270/.344 .139.260 176 27% 6% 69 -0.4 .170/.239/.268.098.21512027%7%35-0.9
John Mayberry Jr.
2015 · MLB
31 44→48 51→55 44→50 48 .228/.295/.393 .165.271 185 23% 8% 92 +1.2 .212/.280/.363 .151.261 167 25% 8% 79 +0.3 .162/.216/.280.119.20211426%7%29-0.8
Ryan Casteel
2022 · AAA
31 40→47 54→55 47→40 39 .214/.268/.387 .173.291 234 34% 6% 80 +0.4 .209/.265/.388 .179.274 255 33% 6% 79 +0.3 .179/.242/.390.210.20232031%6%66-0.3
Brandon Larson
2007 · MLB
31 44→42 51→50 44→45 41 .228/.283/.384 .156.296 206 30% 6% 85 +0.7 .226/.270/.378 .152.283 198 27% 5% 78 +0.2 .213/.246/.358.145.24720424%4%60-0.3
Luke Montz
2014 · MLB
31 37→45 58→55 43→40 45 .210/.279/.413 .202.254 275 30% 8% 92 +1.2 .201/.271/.377 .176.272 226 34% 8% 79 +0.3 .132/.210/.261.129.19413338%8%23-1.1
Francisco Peña
2021 · MLB
31 43 51→55 48→40 41 .227/.265/.384 .157.265 206 23% 5% 78 +0.2 .206/.259/.373 .167.242 245 26% 5% 73 -0.1 .176/.233/.336.160.19526127%5%53-1.1
John Hicks
2021 · MLB
31 44→51 52→60 43→50 40 .232/.276/.395 .163.297 224 30% 6% 85 +0.7 .225/.266/.407 .182.302 2412 33% 5% 85 +0.7 .210/.252/.382.172.283221634%5%69-0.2
Nick Dini
2023 · AAA
30 42 53→50 49→50 44 .226/.284/.389 .163.259 227 23% 6% 88 +0.9 .208/.294/.352 .144.265 1811 28% 9% 82 +0.5 .160/.281/.285.124.207161230%12%59-0.5
Taylor Motter
2022 · MLB
32 43→49 55→60 47→55 50 .226/.304/.410 .184.274 235 26% 10% 101 +1.8 .224/.295/.408 .184.278 247 28% 9% 97 +1.5 .202/.273/.371.169.25223829%9%76+0.0
Brooks Conrad
2011 · MLB
31 41→44 52→55 52→50 43 .217/.277/.384 .167.274 2011 29% 7% 83 +0.6 .230/.298/.415 .185.307 239 31% 8% 100 +1.7 .210/.276/.403.193.27426233%8%85+0.3
Jett Bandy
2021 · MLB
31 40 49→50 44→45 38 .209/.270/.352 .143.267 186 29% 4% 72 -0.2 .213/.276/.337 .124.297 148 32% 6% 70 -0.3 .172/.245/.252.080.24810033%6%37-0.5
Kyle Garlick
2023 · MLB
31 43→48 58→60 49→40 40 .234/.290/.430 .196.296 276 31% 6% 101 +1.8 .197/.266/.352 .155.282 214 36% 7% 70 -0.3 .170/.244/.307.137.24619238%8%49-1.5
Valentino Pascucci
2010 · AAA
31 41→45 53→55 48→45 48 .218/.299/.386 .168.281 216 30% 10% 93 +1.3 .216/.298/.384 .168.298 213 33% 10% 92 +1.2 .204/.294/.373.169.28922035%11%84+0.4
Kelly Stinnett
2001 · MLB
31 45 49→50 43→40 48 .232/.303/.377 .145.268 185 21% 8% 92 +1.2 .241/.317/.403 .162.299 196 25% 8% 105 +2.1 .240/.319/.397.157.30817526%9%95+0.4
Jesus Alberto Vega
2014 · AAA
32 44 50 47→40 42 .229/.281/.377 .149.279 198 26% 6% 82 +0.5 .221/.269/.326 .105.302 116 29% 5% 63 -0.8 .204/.253/.285.081.2957132%5%42-0.7
Yoshi Tsutsugo
2022 · MLB
30 42→41 54→50 42→30 53 .224/.312/.404 .179.271 223 26% 11% 103 +1.9 .221/.310/.369 .148.294 184 29% 11% 93 +1.3 .209/.307/.339.130.29016231%12%81+0.2
Brett Hayes
2014 · MLB
30 39 51→45 49→40 37 .211/.251/.370 .159.270 195 30% 5% 68 -0.5 .193/.230/.327 .134.249 166 29% 4% 47 -1.9 .153/.195/.232.080.2119032%4%5-1.5
Brian O'Keefe
2023 · AAA
30 42 51→55 45→40 40 .218/.273/.375 .158.294 205 33% 6% 79 +0.3 .204/.265/.371 .167.260 214 30% 7% 75 -0.0 .182/.248/.350.167.21922229%8%59-0.5
Jarrod Saltalamacchia
2017 · MLB
32 40→50 53→60 43→40 51 .207/.303/.376 .169.285 212 33% 12% 92 +1.2 .177/.259/.302 .125.282 154 39% 10% 55 -1.4 .125/.203/.198.073.2188143%9%1-1.7