Ben Rice
1B New York Yankees| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 356 | .273/.402/.567 | 24 | 10 | 112 | — | .229/.332/.445 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLBNYY | 178 | .171/.272/.349 | 7 | 0 | 68 | -1.5 | |
| 2025 | 26 | MLBNYY | 530 | .255/.337/.499 | 26 | 3 | 129 | 2.0 | |
| 2026 | 27 | MLBNYY | 667 | .264/.364/.534 | 41 | 3 | 142 | 3.6 | |
| 2027PROJ | 28 | MLBNYY | 614 | .269/.361/.545 | 38 | 4 | 146 | 3.9 | |
| 2028PROJ | 29 | MLBNYY | 614 | .266/.357/.538 | 37 | 2 | 143 | 3.6 | |
| 2029PROJ | 30 | MLBNYY | 603 | .262/.353/.528 | 36 | 1 | 139 | 3.1 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 60
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 78 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 364 | 387 | 751 | 177 | 238 | 23 | 15 | 341 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 243 | 206 | 55 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28 | 41 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 267 | 369 | 442 | 811 | 175 | 291 | 17 | 12 | 361 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 222 | 196 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 16 | 21 | 42 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 327 | 403 | 648 | 1.051 | 321 | 345 | 19 | 9 | 450 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 68 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 341 | 567 | 523 | 1.090 | 182 | 394 | 15 | 26 | 484 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 42 | 35 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 405 | 543 | 948 | 257 | 348 | 24 | 12 | 417 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 178 | 152 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 272 | 349 | 620 | 178 | 186 | 27 | 11 | 274 | 68 | -7 | -0 | -2 | -10 | +4 | -1.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 138 | 109 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 294 | 434 | 661 | 1.094 | 367 | 274 | 19 | 18 | 460 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 218 | 180 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 32 | 46 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 261 | 382 | 511 | 894 | 250 | 285 | 21 | 15 | 391 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 530 | 467 | 119 | 28 | 4 | 26 | 50 | 100 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 255 | 337 | 499 | 836 | 244 | 271 | 19 | 9 | 365 | 129 | +18 | -0 | -0 | -9 | +11 | 2.0 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 667 | 573 | 151 | 24 | 4 | 41 | 85 | 162 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 264 | 364 | 534 | 898 | 271 | 295 | 24 | 13 | 391 | 142 | +34 | +0 | -2 | -12 | +14 | 3.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1375 | 1192 | 296 | 58 | 8 | 74 | 155 | 310 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 248 | 342 | 497 | 839 | 248 | 271 | 23 | 11 | 365 | 133 | +55 | -0 | -4 | -31 | +30 | 5.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 78 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 286 | 288 | 574 | 121 | 219 | 31 | 10 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 243 | 217 | 45 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 57 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 207 | 286 | 336 | 623 | 129 | 243 | 23 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 222 | 202 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 51 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 277 | 339 | 520 | 859 | 243 | 314 | 23 | 7 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 68 | 52 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 288 | 448 | 442 | 890 | 154 | 329 | 19 | 15 | 388 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 42 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 286 | 324 | 610 | 135 | 300 | 33 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 178 | 152 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 272 | 349 | 620 | 178 | 186 | 27 | 11 | 269 | 68 | -7 | -0 | -2 | -10 | +4 | -1.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 138 | 116 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 353 | 500 | 853 | 259 | 240 | 22 | 13 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 218 | 190 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 55 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 221 | 318 | 411 | 728 | 189 | 256 | 25 | 11 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 530 | 469 | 117 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 50 | 100 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 249 | 333 | 480 | 813 | 230 | 271 | 19 | 9 | 359 | 129 | +18 | -0 | -0 | -9 | +11 | 2.0 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 667 | 577 | 148 | 24 | 4 | 38 | 81 | 162 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 256 | 354 | 510 | 863 | 253 | 295 | 24 | 12 | 379 | 142 | +34 | +0 | -2 | -12 | +14 | 3.6 |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 78 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 286 | 288 | 574 | 121 | 220 | 31 | 10 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A RAW | Tampa Tarpons | — | 78 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 364 | 387 | 751 | 177 | 238 | 23 | 15 | 341 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 243 | 217 | 45 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 57 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 207 | 286 | 336 | 623 | 129 | 245 | 23 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A RAW | Tampa Tarpons | — | 243 | 206 | 55 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28 | 41 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 267 | 369 | 442 | 811 | 175 | 291 | 17 | 12 | 361 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 332 | 291 | 80 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 78 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 275 | 361 | 498 | 859 | 223 | 322 | 23 | 8 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 332 | 275 | 89 | 18 | 1 | 20 | 44 | 62 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 324 | 436 | 615 | 1.051 | 291 | 354 | 19 | 13 | 453 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 534 | 458 | 96 | 18 | 0 | 25 | 61 | 135 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 210 | 312 | 413 | 724 | 203 | 232 | 25 | 11 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 534 | 441 | 105 | 19 | 0 | 31 | 77 | 120 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 238 | 359 | 492 | 851 | 254 | 248 | 22 | 14 | 370 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 530 | 469 | 117 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 50 | 100 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 249 | 333 | 480 | 813 | 230 | 268 | 19 | 9 | 359 | 129 | +18 | -0 | -0 | -9 | +11 | 2.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB RAW | New York Yankees | — | 530 | 467 | 119 | 28 | 4 | 26 | 50 | 100 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 255 | 337 | 499 | 836 | 244 | 271 | 19 | 9 | 365 | 129 | +18 | -0 | -0 | -9 | +11 | 2.0 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 667 | 577 | 148 | 24 | 4 | 38 | 81 | 162 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 256 | 354 | 510 | 863 | 253 | 289 | 24 | 12 | 379 | 142 | +34 | +0 | -2 | -12 | +14 | 3.6 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB RAW | New York Yankees | — | 667 | 573 | 151 | 24 | 4 | 41 | 85 | 162 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 264 | 364 | 534 | 898 | 271 | 295 | 24 | 13 | 391 | 142 | +34 | +0 | -2 | -12 | +14 | 3.6 |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 78 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 164 | 286 | 284 | 569 | 119 | 219 | 31 | 10 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 243 | 217 | 45 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 57 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 207 | 286 | 336 | 623 | 129 | 243 | 23 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 332 | 290 | 80 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 78 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 276 | 361 | 500 | 861 | 224 | 315 | 23 | 8 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 534 | 461 | 96 | 18 | 0 | 25 | 61 | 135 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 208 | 312 | 410 | 722 | 202 | 229 | 25 | 11 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 530 | 466 | 117 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 50 | 100 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 251 | 333 | 483 | 816 | 232 | 271 | 19 | 9 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 667 | 575 | 148 | 24 | 4 | 38 | 81 | 162 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 257 | 354 | 511 | 865 | 254 | 295 | 24 | 12 | 379 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 534 | 461 | 96 | 18 | 0 | 25 | 61 | 135 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 208 | 312 | 410 | 722 | 202 | 229 | 25 | 11 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 530 | 466 | 117 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 50 | 100 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 251 | 333 | 483 | 816 | 232 | 271 | 19 | 9 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 667 | 575 | 148 | 24 | 4 | 38 | 81 | 162 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 257 | 354 | 511 | 865 | 254 | 295 | 24 | 12 | 379 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | NYY | 100% | 587 | 509 | 136 | 25 | 4 | 34 | 66 | 133 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 265 | 357 | 528 | 886 | 263 | 291 | 23 | 11 | 384 | 146 | +32 | +0 | +2 | -10 | +13 | 4.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | NYY | 100% | 614 | 533 | 144 | 26 | 4 | 38 | 69 | 139 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 269 | 361 | 545 | 906 | 276 | 292 | 23 | 11 | 391 | 146 | +34 | +0 | +2 | -11 | +13 | 3.9 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | NYY | 100% | 614 | 533 | 140 | 26 | 4 | 35 | 69 | 141 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 262 | 354 | 521 | 875 | 259 | 289 | 23 | 11 | 380 | 143 | +32 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +13 | 3.6 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB MLE | NYY | 100% | 603 | 525 | 136 | 25 | 3 | 34 | 67 | 140 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 258 | 350 | 511 | 861 | 253 | 286 | 23 | 11 | 374 | 139 | +28 | -0 | +0 | -11 | +13 | 3.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB MLE | NYY | 100% | 580 | 505 | 128 | 23 | 3 | 32 | 64 | 137 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 344 | 499 | 843 | 246 | 281 | 24 | 11 | 367 | 135 | +24 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB MLE | NYY | 100% | 560 | 489 | 120 | 21 | 3 | 30 | 61 | 135 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 336 | 483 | 819 | 237 | 274 | 24 | 11 | 358 | 128 | +19 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB MLE | NYY | 100% | 506 | 441 | 105 | 18 | 2 | 26 | 55 | 125 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 327 | 462 | 789 | 226 | 266 | 25 | 11 | 346 | 120 | +12 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB MLE | NYY | 96% | 448 | 393 | 89 | 14 | 2 | 22 | 48 | 114 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 315 | 438 | 753 | 213 | 255 | 25 | 11 | 332 | 111 | +6 | +0 | -3 | -8 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | NYY | 100% | 614 | 533 | 141 | 25 | 4 | 37 | 69 | 141 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 266 | 357 | 538 | 895 | 272 | 290 | 23 | 11 | 387 | 143 | +32 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +13 | 3.6 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB CTX | NYY | 100% | 603 | 525 | 137 | 24 | 3 | 36 | 67 | 140 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 262 | 353 | 528 | 881 | 266 | 287 | 23 | 11 | 382 | 139 | +28 | -0 | +0 | -11 | +13 | 3.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB CTX | NYY | 100% | 580 | 505 | 130 | 23 | 3 | 34 | 64 | 137 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 347 | 515 | 862 | 259 | 282 | 24 | 11 | 374 | 135 | +24 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB CTX | NYY | 100% | 560 | 489 | 122 | 21 | 3 | 32 | 61 | 135 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 249 | 339 | 498 | 838 | 249 | 275 | 24 | 11 | 365 | 128 | +19 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB CTX | NYY | 100% | 506 | 441 | 107 | 18 | 2 | 28 | 55 | 125 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 330 | 477 | 807 | 237 | 267 | 25 | 11 | 353 | 120 | +12 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB CTX | NYY | 96% | 428 | 376 | 85 | 13 | 2 | 22 | 45 | 109 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 318 | 452 | 770 | 224 | 256 | 25 | 11 | 338 | 111 | +5 | +0 | -3 | -8 | +9 | 0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4666 | 4061 | 1018 | 182 | 25 | 263 | 516 | 1097 | 49 | 9 | 6 | 251 | 342 | 502 | 844 | 251 | 277 | 24 | 11 | 368 | 127 | +175 | -1 | -10 | -90 | +101 | 18.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 566 | 141 | 25 | 3 | 37 | 72 | 153 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 249 | 342 | 500 | 842 | 251 | 274 | 24 | 11 | 368 | 127 | +24 | -0 | -1 | -12 | +14 | 2.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6309 | 5497 | 1357 | 247 | 30 | 327 | 679 | 1487 | 82 | 39 | 12 | 247 | 338 | 481 | 820 | 234 | 277 | 24 | 11 | 357 | 127 | +209 | -0 | -8 | -101 | +115 | 21.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 566 | 140 | 25 | 3 | 34 | 70 | 153 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 247 | 338 | 482 | 820 | 235 | 277 | 24 | 11 | 357 | 127 | +26 | -0 | -1 | -12 | +14 | 2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AASomerset Patriots · 218 PAwOBA .383 → .318 (−65)K% 21.1% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.10% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.68% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 10.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.83% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.40% | ÷1.050 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 17.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.72% | ÷0.902 | ×0.860 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 6.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.934 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.96% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 6.79% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 80, 3B 87, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .383 → .318; ISO .250 → .202; BABIP .285 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 138 PAwOBA .454 → .361 (−93)K% 18.8% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.84% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.12% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 12.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.28% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | 18.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.82% | ÷1.072 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | 3.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 14.46% | ÷1.045 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 10.01% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .454 → .361; ISO .367 → .269; BABIP .274 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AASomerset Patriots · 222 PAwOBA .439 → .367 (−72)K% 18.9% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.92% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.46% | ÷0.973 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.80% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.08% | ÷0.987 | ×0.970 | ×0.961 | ×1.012 | 21.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.44% | ÷0.958 | ×0.860 | ×0.961 | ×1.012 | 7.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.961 | ×1.012 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.39% | ÷1.033 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 7.94% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .439 → .367; ISO .321 → .253; BABIP .345 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 68 PAwOBA .481 → .388 (−93)K% 14.7% → 19.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.71% | ÷1.005 | ×1.310 | — | — | 19.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 26.47% | ÷1.092 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 14.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.35% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 5.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.35% | ÷1.004 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 27.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.060 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.006 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 5.08% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 101, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 101, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .481 → .388; ISO .182 → .184; BABIP .394 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ATampa Tarpons · 42 PAwOBA .406 → .301 (−104)K% 23.8% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.90% | ÷1.079 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 7.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 3.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 18.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.00% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 10.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.086 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 5.78% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .406 → .301; ISO .257 → .183; BABIP .348 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ATampa Tarpons · 243 PAwOBA .355 → .274 (−80)K% 16.9% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.87% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.52% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 7.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.47% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.42% | ÷1.085 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×0.990 | 18.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷0.989 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×0.990 | 4.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.937 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.45% | ÷1.026 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 4.21% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 117, 2B 98, 3B 87, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .355 → .274; ISO .175 → .136; BABIP .291 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ATampa Tarpons · 78 PAwOBA .338 → .269 (−69)K% 23.1% → 31.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | — | 10.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.85% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 3.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | — | 17.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | — | 3.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.034 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | — | 5.45% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .338 → .269; ISO .177 → .140; BABIP .238 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).