Ben Rice — OGILVIE

Ben Rice1B New York Yankees

Age 28 L/R 6'2" / 228 lbs MLB HR +14% Svc 1.442 · Ctrl thru 2031

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 132146vR 151

AVG/OBP/SLG.269 / .361 / .545

PA648

HR40

SB5

K%23

BB%11

BABIP292

ISO275

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$96M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

904.6%

xAVG

720.269

POWER60

Barrel%

9014.9

Avg EV

9092.2

Bat Spd

6072.4

EYE60

Chase%

9012.7%

SPEED50

Sprint

3626.8

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%22%▲21% over 113 PA (45d) · proj 23%

BB%13%▲▲14% over 171 PA (60d) · proj 11%

ISO.248▼.231 over 143 AB (60d) · proj .264

HR/BB8.7%·8.4% over 107 BBE (60d) · proj 8.9%

BABIP.295·.327 over 98 BIP (60d) · proj .291

SLASH.268/.369/.516·proj .265/.354/.528

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 808 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

192

616

—

wRC+

110

135

▶▶R

wOBA

331

368

▶R

ISO

261

249

◀L

BABIP

231

276

▶▶R

28.1%

20.0%

▶▶R

BB%

10.4%

10.9%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.442 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.5	$54M	+$53M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.8	$37M	+$37M
2029	Arb-1	$8M	+3.3	$27M	+$21M
2030	Arb-2	$12M	+2.8	$19M	+$10M
2031	Arb-3	$15M	+2.2	$13M	+$3M
Totals		$37M		$151M	+$124M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	78	62	13	2	0	3	12	18	3	1	0	210	364	387	751	177	238	23	15	341	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	243	206	55	9	0	9	28	41	6	4	1	267	369	442	811	175	291	17	12	361	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	222	196	64	13	1	16	21	42	4	7	3	327	403	648	1.051	321	345	19	9	450	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	68	44	15	2	0	2	18	10	5	3	0	341	567	523	1.090	182	394	15	26	484	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	42	35	10	3	0	2	5	10	2	1	0	286	405	543	948	257	348	24	12	417	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	New York Yankees	—	178	152	26	6	0	7	20	48	1	0	1	171	272	349	620	178	186	27	11	274	68	-7	-0	-2	-10	+4	-1.5
2024	25	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	138	109	32	4	0	12	25	26	2	2	1	294	434	661	1.094	367	274	19	18	460	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	218	180	47	9	0	12	32	46	4	8	0	261	382	511	894	250	285	21	15	391	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	New York Yankees	—	530	467	119	28	4	26	50	100	9	3	2	255	337	499	836	244	271	19	9	365	129	+18	-0	-0	-9	+11	2.0
2026	27	MLB	New York Yankees	—	667	573	151	24	4	41	85	162	6	3	1	264	364	534	898	271	295	24	13	391	142	+34	+0	-2	-12	+14	3.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1375	1192	296	58	8	74	155	310	16	6	4	248	342	497	839	248	271	23	11	365	133	+55	-0	-4	-31	+30	5.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	78	66	11	2	0	2	8	24	3	1	0	167	286	288	574	121	219	31	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	243	217	45	7	0	7	18	57	6	4	1	207	286	336	623	129	243	23	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	222	202	56	11	1	12	15	51	4	7	3	277	339	520	859	243	314	23	7	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	68	52	15	2	0	2	10	13	5	3	0	288	448	442	890	154	329	19	15	388	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	42	37	7	2	0	1	3	14	2	1	0	189	286	324	610	135	300	33	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	178	152	26	6	0	7	20	48	1	0	1	171	272	349	620	178	186	27	11	269	68	-7	-0	-2	-10	+4	-1.5
2024	25	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	138	116	28	3	0	9	18	31	2	2	1	241	353	500	853	259	240	22	13	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	218	190	42	9	0	9	23	55	4	8	0	221	318	411	728	189	256	25	11	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	530	469	117	28	4	24	50	100	9	3	2	249	333	480	813	230	271	19	9	359	129	+18	-0	-0	-9	+11	2.0
2026	27	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	667	577	148	24	4	38	81	162	6	3	1	256	354	510	863	253	295	24	12	379	142	+34	+0	-2	-12	+14	3.6
2021	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	78	66	11	2	0	2	8	24	3	1	0	167	286	288	574	121	220	31	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	78	62	13	2	0	3	12	18	3	1	0	210	364	387	751	177	238	23	15	341	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	243	217	45	7	0	7	18	57	6	4	1	207	286	336	623	129	245	23	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	243	206	55	9	0	9	28	41	6	4	1	267	369	442	811	175	291	17	12	361	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	332	291	80	15	1	16	28	78	11	11	3	275	361	498	859	223	322	23	8	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	332	275	89	18	1	20	44	62	11	11	3	324	436	615	1.051	291	354	19	13	453	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	534	458	96	18	0	25	61	135	7	10	2	210	312	413	724	203	232	25	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	534	441	105	19	0	31	77	120	7	10	2	238	359	492	851	254	248	22	14	370	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	530	469	117	28	4	24	50	100	9	3	2	249	333	480	813	230	268	19	9	359	129	+18	-0	-0	-9	+11	2.0
2025	26	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	530	467	119	28	4	26	50	100	9	3	2	255	337	499	836	244	271	19	9	365	129	+18	-0	-0	-9	+11	2.0
2026	27	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	667	577	148	24	4	38	81	162	6	3	1	256	354	510	863	253	289	24	12	379	142	+34	+0	-2	-12	+14	3.6
2026	27	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	667	573	151	24	4	41	85	162	6	3	1	264	364	534	898	271	295	24	13	391	142	+34	+0	-2	-12	+14	3.6
2021	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	78	67	11	2	0	2	8	24	3	1	0	164	286	284	569	119	219	31	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	243	217	45	7	0	7	18	57	6	4	1	207	286	336	623	129	243	23	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	332	290	80	15	1	16	28	78	11	11	3	276	361	500	861	224	315	23	8	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	534	461	96	18	0	25	61	135	7	10	2	208	312	410	722	202	229	25	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	530	466	117	28	4	24	50	100	9	3	2	251	333	483	816	232	271	19	9	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	667	575	148	24	4	38	81	162	6	3	1	257	354	511	865	254	295	24	12	379	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	534	461	96	18	0	25	61	135	7	10	2	208	312	410	722	202	229	25	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	530	466	117	28	4	24	50	100	9	3	2	251	333	483	816	232	271	19	9	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	667	575	148	24	4	38	81	162	6	3	1	257	354	511	865	254	295	24	12	379	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	NYY	100%	587	509	136	25	4	34	66	133	7	4	1	265	357	528	886	263	291	23	11	384	146	+32	+0	+2	-10	+13	4.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	NYY	100%	648	563	151	27	4	40	73	147	7	5	1	269	361	545	906	276	292	23	11	391	146	+35	+1	+2	-12	+14	4.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	NYY	100%	648	563	148	27	4	37	73	148	7	3	1	262	354	521	875	259	289	23	11	380	143	+33	+0	+1	-12	+14	3.8
2029	30	MLB MLE	NYY	100%	641	557	144	26	4	36	72	149	7	1	1	258	350	511	861	253	286	23	11	374	139	+30	-0	+0	-11	+14	3.3
2030	31	MLB MLE	NYY	100%	628	547	139	25	3	35	70	148	6	0	0	253	344	499	843	246	281	24	11	367	135	+26	+0	-0	-11	+14	2.8
2031	32	MLB MLE	NYY	100%	615	537	132	23	3	33	67	148	6	0	0	245	336	483	819	237	274	24	11	358	128	+21	+0	-1	-11	+13	2.2
2032	33	MLB MLE	NYY	100%	572	500	117	20	2	29	62	141	5	0	0	236	327	462	789	226	266	25	11	346	120	+14	+0	-2	-10	+12	1.4
2033	34	MLB MLE	NYY	96%	523	458	104	17	2	26	56	133	4	0	0	225	315	438	753	213	255	25	11	332	111	+7	+0	-3	-9	+11	0.6
2028	29	MLB CTX	NYY	100%	648	563	150	27	4	39	73	148	7	3	1	266	357	538	895	272	290	23	11	387	143	+33	+0	+1	-12	+14	3.8
2029	30	MLB CTX	NYY	100%	641	557	146	26	4	38	72	149	7	1	1	262	353	528	881	266	287	23	11	382	139	+30	-0	+0	-11	+14	3.3
2030	31	MLB CTX	NYY	100%	628	547	141	25	3	37	70	148	6	0	0	256	347	515	862	259	282	24	11	374	135	+26	+0	-0	-11	+14	2.8
2031	32	MLB CTX	NYY	100%	615	537	134	23	3	35	67	148	6	0	0	249	339	498	838	249	275	24	11	365	128	+21	+0	-1	-11	+13	2.2
2032	33	MLB CTX	NYY	100%	572	500	119	20	2	31	62	141	5	0	0	240	330	477	807	237	267	25	11	353	120	+14	+0	-2	-10	+12	1.4
2033	34	MLB CTX	NYY	96%	499	439	100	16	2	26	53	127	4	0	0	229	318	452	770	224	256	25	11	338	111	+6	+0	-3	-9	+11	0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4978	4335	1086	195	26	280	552	1171	51	10	6	251	342	501	843	251	277	24	11	367	127	+185	-0	-9	-95	+108	19.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	141	25	3	37	72	153	7	1	1	249	341	500	841	251	274	24	11	367	127	+24	-0	-1	-12	+14	2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6659	5803	1430	259	31	346	719	1570	84	41	12	246	338	481	819	234	276	24	11	357	127	+220	+0	-6	-107	+122	23.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	140	25	3	34	70	153	8	4	1	247	338	482	820	235	277	24	11	357	127	+25	+0	-1	-12	+14	2.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mark Teixeiralast yr '16 AS×3GG×5SS×3 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,029 PA	12.1	8,029	409	26	268	360	509	-143	-74	42.1	38.1
/162	664	34	2	-11.9	-6.1	3.5	pk7: 34
#2Edwin Encarnaciónlast yr '20 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,126 PA	12.2	8,126	424	61	260	350	496	-77	-92	42.0	34.4
/162	664	35	5	-6.3	-7.5	3.4	pk7: 27
#3Adrián Gonzálezlast yr '18 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,002 PA	12.1	8,002	316	6	287	358	486	-143	-102	32.2	29.7
/162	664	26	0	-11.9	-8.4	2.7	pk7: 27
#4Anthony Rizzolast yr '24 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,336 PA	11.0	7,336	303	72	261	361	467	-131	-79	28.7	27.3
/162	664	27	7	-11.9	-7.1	2.6	pk7: 26
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.5	5,626	306	15	251	339	497	-100	-21	26.8	25.8
/162	664	36	2	-11.9	-2.5	3.2	pk7: 25
#5Ryan Howardlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,489 PA	9.8	6,489	380	12	258	344	515	-116	-144	21.9	23.5
/162	664	39	1	-11.9	-14.7	2.2	pk7: 25
#6Yoenis Cespedeslast yr '18 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,456 PA	5.2	3,456	163	43	274	328	498	-37	-13	16.8	16.8
/162	664	31	8	-7.1	-2.4	3.2	pk7: 17

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ben Rice (OGILVIE)	28	60	60	50	60	263/354/524	261	291	38	5	23%	11%	146	+5.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Matt Olson 2022 · MLB	28	45→54	68→70	47→40	56	258/345/525	267	266	37	4	21%	11%	143	+4.4	255/341/511	256	283	34	2	23%	11%	138	+4.1	263/356/507	243	306	32	1	24%	12%	143	+5.3
★Freddie Freeman 2018 · MLB	28	55→65	64→65	46→50	54	290/369/544	254	328	30	7	21%	10%	155	+5.3	297/374/527	230	334	27	8	19%	10%	152	+5.1	314/388/518	204	347	22	12	15%	9%	158	+6.6
★Adrián González 2010 · MLB	28	50→60	63→65	43→30	57	269/353/507	237	283	31	2	18%	11%	141	+4.3	291/354/493	202	319	25	2	17%	9%	138	+4.1	299/353/485	186	332	22	1	16%	7%	137	+4.7
●Jesse Winker 2022 · MLB	28	54→63	60→55	46→45	58	283/374/513	229	305	27	3	17%	11%	149	+4.9	245/352/396	151	287	17	5	20%	13%	116	+2.5	234/349/360	127	281	14	6	20%	14%	107	+1.4
★Anthony Rizzo 2018 · MLB	28	52→56	61→65	45	58	274/371/509	235	279	28	8	14%	11%	147	+4.8	272/367/480	208	280	26	7	14%	10%	140	+4.2	269/367/471	202	276	26	6	13%	10%	139	+3.5
●Erubiel Durazo 2003 · MLB	28	49→59	63→65	43→30	63	262/372/509	247	293	31	3	22%	14%	147	+4.8	273/360/460	187	306	22	3	18%	11%	132	+3.6	276/360/451	175	308	20	2	17%	11%	131	+2.8
●Michael Conforto 2020 · MLB	27	49→53	61→65	44→45	56	259/355/486	227	300	29	6	24%	12%	137	+4.0	264/360/451	187	318	22	6	23%	11%	130	+3.5	256/354/417	161	310	20	4	23%	11%	121	+1.9
★Mark Teixeira 2008 · MLB	28	55→57	63→65	49→40	55	288/365/530	242	312	30	2	18%	10%	150	+5.0	285/372/524	239	302	29	2	16%	11%	151	+5.0	277/372/515	238	289	29	1	16%	12%	150	+5.8
★Pete Alonso 2023 · MLB	28	48→52	65→70	49→40	50	265/335/508	243	278	34	5	20%	8%	135	+3.9	248/328/497	249	269	34	4	23%	9%	130	+3.5	258/342/495	237	295	32	3	24%	9%	135	+4.6
●Trot Nixon 2004 · MLB	30	53→57	61→65	47→45	58	277/362/511	234	301	27	6	18%	11%	144	+4.5	277/359/466	189	302	20	4	15%	11%	133	+3.7	273/362/427	154	296	15	1	13%	11%	126	+2.0
★Mike Napoli 2010 · MLB	28	50→56	62→65	44→50	51	267/348/498	231	310	30	9	24%	10%	137	+4.0	260/344/502	242	302	32	6	25%	10%	137	+4.0	256/356/502	246	315	32	2	28%	12%	139	+3.3
★Aubrey Huff 2005 · MLB	28	57→59	59→60	45	51	295/346/504	208	295	27	4	12%	7%	138	+4.1	269/325/449	180	281	22	5	13%	7%	117	+2.6	275/345/479	204	289	23	3	14%	9%	132	+3.9
★Prince Fielder 2012 · MLB	28	51→59	62→70	42→45	60	274/372/510	235	289	30	2	17%	12%	148	+4.8	284/366/483	199	303	24	2	15%	10%	140	+4.2	285/366/472	186	304	23	1	14%	10%	138	+3.6
●Bryan Reynolds 2023 · MLB	28	52→62	58→60	48→45	51	271/347/480	209	310	26	6	22%	9%	132	+3.7	265/334/455	190	315	23	8	23%	8%	122	+2.9	259/340/427	168	323	18	6	24%	10%	119	+3.0
★José Abreu 2015 · MLB	28	56→62	64→65	47→40	45	297/349/539	243	331	32	5	21%	6%	148	+4.8	289/338/497	208	326	26	2	20%	5%	134	+3.8	289/338/493	204	323	25	1	19%	5%	134	+4.3
●Justin Morneau 2011 · MLB	30	56→60	60→65	44→30	57	292/366/522	230	307	27	2	15%	10%	149	+4.9	262/325/432	170	291	19	2	17%	8%	113	+2.3	269/326/428	158	296	18	0	15%	7%	114	+2.3
★Rafael Devers 2024 · MLB	27	50→57	61→65	45	49	267/330/491	223	288	30	5	20%	8%	129	+3.4	259/338/495	236	300	30	3	24%	10%	132	+3.7	256/342/505	249	299	33	1	25%	11%	138	+4.4
✕Justin Bour 2018 · MLB	30	51→55	62→65	47→40	51	275/338/501	226	299	32	3	20%	9%	135	+3.8	234/323/432	198	276	27	4	25%	11%	113	+2.3	206/307/387	181	243	25	2	26%	12%	96	+0.6
●Matt Chapman 2021 · MLB	28	47→55	66→65	44→50	50	258/336/523	265	294	33	3	25%	9%	139	+4.1	229/322/439	210	291	27	4	29%	11%	114	+2.4	241/333/447	206	296	23	10	25%	11%	121	+2.8
★Bryce Harper 2020 · MLB	27	48→58	62→65	49→50	60	256/361/491	236	300	29	11	25%	14%	140	+4.2	269/370/512	243	312	29	14	22%	13%	147	+4.8	284/379/515	231	334	26	13	22%	12%	152	+4.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps