Bryan Reynolds — OGILVIE

Bryan ReynoldsRF Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 31 S/R 6'2" / 210 lbs MLB Svc 6.948 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION422 act + 278 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 120121vR 126

AVG/OBP/SLG.269 / .370 / .454

PA278

HR9

K%23

BB%12

BABIP333

ISO185

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

5810.2%

xwOBA

870.351

POWER50

Barrel%

629.9

Avg EV

7290.6

Bat Spd

6472.8

EYE50

Chase%

8724.5%

SPEED55

Sprint

6328.0

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1461 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

406

1055

—

wRC+

108

115

▶R

wOBA

326

336

—

ISO

161

163

—

BABIP

324

326

—

26.1%

24.1%

▶R

BB%

8.4%

8.8%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 6.948 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2027

NTCOPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$5M	+2.0	$16M	+$10M
2027	Ext	$13M	+3.2	$24M	+$12M
2028	Ext	$13M	+2.2	$15M	+$4M
2029	Ext	$13M	+1.4	$9M	-$0.8M
2030	Ext	$13M	+0.6	$2M	-$7M
Totals		$59M		$65M	+$19M

Options · projected decision
2031	CLUB OPT	$13.3M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2032	CLUB OPT	$20.0M / $2.0M buyout	DECLINE

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	66	65	16	4	0	1	1	26	0	1	0	246	258	354	611	108	395	39	2	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	66	63	20	5	0	1	3	20	0	1	0	317	348	444	793	127	452	30	5	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	San Jose Giants	—	541	501	137	21	8	9	28	137	6	5	3	273	320	401	721	128	356	25	5	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	San Jose Giants	—	541	491	153	26	9	10	37	106	6	5	3	312	366	462	829	151	376	20	7	364	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	2 teams	—	459	409	108	21	2	11	39	114	4	5	4	264	334	406	740	142	333	25	8	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	2 teams	—	459	391	111	19	3	7	57	86	4	5	4	284	381	402	782	118	341	19	12	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	603	543	172	38	5	21	51	134	6	6	4	317	382	521	903	204	386	22	8	390	157	+39	-0	+1	-6	+17	5.1
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	603	540	172	38	5	21	53	132	6	6	4	319	385	524	909	206	387	22	9	397	162	+42	-0	+1	-6	+17	5.5
2020	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	208	186	35	6	2	7	21	57	1	1	1	188	274	355	629	167	230	27	10	282	74	-6	-0	+2	-2	+6	-0.1
2020	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	208	185	35	6	2	7	21	57	1	1	1	189	274	357	631	168	231	27	10	284	75	-6	-0	+2	-2	+6	-0.1
2021	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	646	559	170	35	8	24	75	119	8	5	2	304	394	524	918	220	348	18	12	389	156	+41	+0	+9	+2	+18	7.2
2021	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	646	559	169	35	8	24	75	119	8	5	2	302	393	522	915	220	345	18	12	400	164	+47	+0	+9	+2	+18	7.8
2022	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	614	542	143	19	4	27	56	141	14	7	3	264	348	463	811	199	309	23	9	350	126	+18	+0	-6	+2	+17	3.3
2022	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	614	542	142	19	4	27	56	141	14	7	3	262	346	461	808	199	306	23	9	358	132	+22	+0	-6	+2	+17	3.7
2023	28	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	640	574	152	31	5	24	53	138	7	12	1	265	334	462	796	197	306	22	8	344	121	+16	+2	-6	-7	+18	2.4
2023	28	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	640	574	151	31	5	24	53	138	7	12	1	263	333	460	793	197	304	22	8	347	124	+17	+2	-6	-7	+18	2.5
2024	29	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	692	622	172	29	3	24	57	156	10	10	2	277	347	449	795	172	333	23	8	347	124	+19	+1	-13	-7	+20	1.9
2024	29	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	692	622	171	29	3	24	57	156	10	10	2	275	345	447	792	172	330	23	8	351	127	+21	+1	-13	-7	+20	2.2
2025	30	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	654	587	145	38	3	16	57	173	7	3	2	247	321	404	725	157	322	26	9	320	103	+2	-0	-5	-7	+19	0.9
2025	30	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	654	587	144	38	3	16	57	173	7	3	2	245	320	402	722	157	319	26	9	322	105	+3	-0	-5	-7	+19	1.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	MLB	PIT	—	422	350	99	22	2	14	62	94	8	7	0	283	402	477	880	194	348	22	15	383	151	+25	+1	-2	-5	+12	3.2
YTD	31	MLB	PIT	—	422	350	99	22	2	14	62	94	8	7	0	283	402	477	880	194	348	22	15	391	157	+27	+1	-2	-5	+12	3.5
ROS	31	MLB	PIT	100%	278	238	64	13	2	9	34	65	4	4	0	269	370	454	823	185	330	23	12	367	139	+12	+1	-1	-3	+8	1.7
ROS	31	MLB	PIT	100%	278	238	64	13	2	9	34	65	4	4	0	269	370	454	823	185	328	23	12	354	129	+9	+1	-1	-3	+8	1.4
FULL	31	MLB	PIT	—	700	588	163	35	4	23	96	159	12	11	0	277	389	468	857	190	342	23	14	372	143	+34	+2	-3	-8	+20	4.6
TOT	31	MLB	PIT	—	700	588	163	35	4	23	96	159	12	11	0	277	389	468	857	190	342	23	14	377	146	+37	+2	-3	-8	+20	4.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	PIT	100%	660	564	146	29	4	21	81	156	10	8	1	259	362	436	798	177	321	24	12	358	132	+24	+1	-6	-7	+19	3.2
2028	33	MLB	PIT	100%	581	496	126	24	4	18	71	141	9	5	1	254	358	427	785	173	315	24	12	349	126	+17	+1	-6	-6	+16	2.2
2029	34	MLB	PIT	100%	514	439	107	20	3	15	62	128	8	3	0	244	348	405	753	162	306	25	12	339	117	+10	+1	-7	-6	+15	1.3
2030	35	MLB	PIT	100%	458	393	92	16	3	13	55	117	7	2	0	234	338	389	728	155	296	26	12	327	108	+4	+0	-7	-5	+13	0.6
2027	32	MLB	PIT	100%	660	564	146	29	4	21	81	156	10	8	1	259	362	436	798	177	320	24	12	345	122	+17	+1	-6	-7	+19	2.4
2028	33	MLB	PIT	100%	581	496	125	24	4	18	71	141	9	5	1	252	356	425	781	173	313	24	12	337	116	+10	+1	-6	-6	+16	1.5
2029	34	MLB	PIT	100%	514	439	107	20	3	15	62	128	8	3	0	244	348	405	753	162	304	25	12	326	108	+5	+1	-7	-6	+15	0.8
2030	35	MLB	PIT	100%	458	393	91	16	3	13	55	117	7	2	0	232	336	387	723	155	295	26	12	314	99	-1	+0	-7	-5	+13	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6491	5690	1499	297	45	214	668	1512	91	63	15	263	350	444	794	181	321	23	10	348	124	+179	+7	-46	-52	+184	27.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	150	30	5	21	67	151	9	6	2	263	350	444	794	181	322	23	10	348	124	+18	+0	-5	-5	+18	2.7
Career	—			—	7614	6718	1785	344	56	240	741	1802	101	77	24	266	347	441	788	175	327	24	10	345	122	+193	+6	-46	-64	+216	31.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	152	29	5	20	63	154	9	7	2	265	347	437	785	172	327	24	10	345	122	+16	+1	-4	-5	+18	2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	66	63	20	5	0	1	3	20	0	1	0	317	348	444	793	127	452	30	5	352	128	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2017	22	A+	San Jose Giants	—	541	491	153	26	9	10	37	106	6	5	3	312	366	462	829	151	376	20	7	364	136	+22	-0	—	—	+15	3.8
2018	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	383	331	100	18	3	7	43	73	3	4	4	302	387	438	825	136	362	19	11	365	138	+16	-1	—	—	+11	2.7
2018	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	76	60	11	1	0	0	14	13	1	1	0	183	347	200	547	17	229	17	18	274	68	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2019	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	546	491	154	37	4	16	46	121	6	3	2	314	379	503	882	189	387	22	8	387	155	+34	-0	+1	-6	+15	4.4
2019	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	57	49	18	1	1	5	7	11	0	3	2	367	439	735	1.173	367	394	19	12	494	236	+9	-0	—	—	+2	1.0
2020	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	208	185	35	6	2	7	21	57	1	1	1	189	274	357	631	168	231	27	10	284	75	-6	-0	+2	-2	+6	-0.1
2021	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	646	559	169	35	8	24	75	119	8	5	2	302	393	522	915	220	345	18	12	400	164	+47	+0	+9	+2	+18	7.8
2022	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	614	542	142	19	4	27	56	141	14	7	3	262	346	461	808	199	306	23	9	358	132	+22	+0	-6	+2	+17	3.7
2023	28	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	640	574	151	31	5	24	53	138	7	12	1	263	333	460	793	197	304	22	8	347	124	+17	+2	-6	-7	+18	2.5
2024	29	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	692	622	171	29	3	24	57	156	10	10	2	275	345	447	792	172	330	23	8	351	127	+21	+1	-13	-7	+20	2.2
2025	30	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	654	587	144	38	3	16	57	173	7	3	2	245	320	402	722	157	319	26	9	322	105	+3	-0	-5	-7	+19	1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	4000	3560	966	195	29	138	365	905	53	41	13	271	348	459	807	187	326	23	9	356	131	+139	+3	-18	-25	+113	21.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Shin-Soo Choolast yr '20 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,116 PA	14	7,116	218	157	275	377	449	-66	-95	34.2	30.9
	/162	664	20	15	275	377	449	-6.2	-8.8	3.2	pk7: 28
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	7,329	243	75	267	350	450	-79	-47	34.6	30.1
	/162	664	22	7	267	350	450	-7.1	-4.2	3.1	pk7: 26
#2Jayson Werthlast yr '17 career totals — 15 seasons, 6,366 PA	15	6,366	229	132	267	360	455	-68	-36	32.0	29.7
	/162	664	24	14	267	360	455	-7.1	-3.7	3.3	pk7: 27
#3Pat Burrelllast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,520 PA	12	6,520	292	7	253	361	472	-61	-80	31.0	28.0
	/162	664	30	1	253	361	472	-6.3	-8.1	3.2	pk7: 25
#4Justin Uptonlast yr '22 AS×4SS×2 career totals — 16 seasons, 7,649 PA	16	7,649	325	151	261	342	469	-82	-91	29.6	27.0
	/162	664	28	13	261	342	469	-7.1	-7.9	2.6	pk7: 24
#5Aubrey Hufflast yr '12 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,786 PA	13	6,786	242	37	278	342	464	-60	-75	25.5	26.9
	/162	664	24	4	278	342	464	-5.8	-7.4	2.5	pk7: 28
#6Nick Swisherlast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,308 PA	12	6,308	245	13	249	351	447	-62	-56	24.5	24.4
	/162	664	26	1	249	351	447	-6.5	-5.9	2.6	pk7: 24

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryan Reynolds (OGILVIE)	31	55	50	55	50	277/389/468	190	342	23	11	23%	14%	146	+4.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Dexter Fowler 2018 · MLB	32	53→63	53→55	54→55	60	262/364/451	189	316	18	12	22%	13%	135	+4.2	233/332/398	165	284	19	9	23%	12%	109	+2.4	216/320/367	150	264	19	8	24%	12%	95	+0.8
✕Chris Taylor 2022 · MLB	31	54→62	55→60	54→55	51	265/349/460	195	344	21	12	28%	10%	132	+4.0	241/325/411	170	342	18	15	32%	10%	110	+2.4	228/316/385	158	331	17	17	33%	10%	96	+0.9
●Michael Cuddyer 2010 · MLB	31	52→58	56→60	53→50	53	270/340/473	203	296	22	7	17%	9%	131	+3.9	267/331/441	174	297	18	9	16%	8%	119	+3.1	266/329/434	168	301	19	11	18%	8%	112	+2.2
✕Aaron Hicks 2021 · MLB	31	46→56	55	48→55	64	236/352/425	190	271	22	9	22%	15%	124	+3.4	226/332/359	133	281	15	10	23%	13%	100	+1.7	220/329/327	107	278	13	11	23%	13%	86	+0.4
●David Peralta 2019 · MLB	31	55→62	54→60	50→45	49	282/340/467	185	319	22	6	19%	8%	130	+3.8	273/333/440	167	322	17	4	20%	8%	120	+3.1	266/330/417	151	317	12	2	19%	8%	108	+1.5
✕Rob Refsnyder 2023 · MLB	32	53→60	50	48→50	50	258/343/417	159	330	18	7	26%	10%	119	+3.1	255/344/405	150	322	16	10	24%	10%	116	+2.8	255/349/406	151	320	16	9	24%	11%	114	+1.1
●Hunter Pence 2014 · MLB	31	55→63	56→60	53→50	50	284/343/482	197	317	23	12	19%	8%	135	+4.2	287/343/477	190	331	22	11	19%	8%	134	+4.1	291/350/477	186	339	21	8	20%	8%	133	+3.2
✕Wilson Betemit 2012 · MLB	30	55→56	51→60	48→40	48	269/333/443	174	350	17	5	27%	9%	121	+3.2	246/308/396	150	330	17	4	29%	8%	98	+1.6	215/278/358	143	286	19	1	31%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Robbie Grossman 2022 · MLB	32	49→58	53→50	53→50	61	248/355/431	182	292	20	17	22%	13%	128	+3.6	229/333/369	140	293	14	9	24%	13%	102	+1.9	217/324/333	116	285	10	5	25%	13%	88	+0.6
●Neil Walker 2017 · MLB	31	53→57	55	46→45	51	274/338/454	181	301	23	5	18%	8%	126	+3.5	257/339/416	159	297	19	3	19%	10%	117	+2.9	250/341/398	148	294	16	1	19%	11%	109	+1.6
●Asdrúbal Cabrera 2017 · MLB	31	52→62	53→55	48→50	48	266/322/443	177	298	20	7	19%	7%	117	+2.9	267/332/443	176	303	20	4	18%	8%	121	+3.2	263/334/437	174	298	20	3	19%	9%	117	+2.6
●Rickie Weeks Jr. 2013 · MLB	30	50→58	54→55	51→55	53	254/344/443	189	306	21	12	24%	10%	126	+3.5	240/328/407	167	304	18	10	25%	10%	111	+2.5	239/329/413	175	304	18	10	26%	10%	110	+1.2
●José A. Martínez 2018 · MLB	30	56→66	50	52→50	49	278/333/434	156	322	17	10	19%	8%	118	+3.0	281/344/431	150	334	17	5	20%	9%	122	+3.3	293/358/438	145	346	17	2	19%	9%	127	+3.0
●Cody Ross 2012 · MLB	31	52→57	52→65	47→45	50	264/330/437	173	309	19	8	21%	8%	118	+3.0	254/317/413	159	300	18	5	21%	8%	107	+2.2	252/311/397	145	297	16	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Mark Bellhorn 2005 · MLB	30	53→56	51→55	45	59	254/365/425	171	340	17	8	28%	14%	129	+3.7	220/319/371	151	307	15	5	30%	12%	97	+1.5	209/296/361	152	268	16	1	27%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Steven Souza Jr. 2020 · MLB	31	46→56	55→60	54→55	53	237/330/431	194	301	22	14	28%	11%	117	+2.9	230/312/413	183	321	20	11	32%	10%	105	+2.1	217/304/413	196	303	22	9	34%	10%	99	+0.5
●Morgan Burkhart 2003 · MLB	31	50→49	52→60	49→30	50	249/333/418	169	315	20	9	26%	10%	115	+2.8	251/339/429	178	287	22	6	20%	10%	121	+3.2	258/367/433	176	290	22	1	18%	11%	131	+2.7
✕Juan Miranda 2015 · AAA	32	53→60	55→50	46→40	53	269/359/449	180	324	24	5	24%	10%	134	+4.1	244/337/385	141	301	17	5	23%	10%	108	+2.3	235/336/367	132	291	16	3	23%	10%	102	+1.0
●Adam Lind 2015 · MLB	32	58→60	52→60	48→40	53	289/352/466	177	329	19	2	18%	9%	134	+4.1	275/341/466	191	308	23	2	18%	9%	131	+3.9	272/340/469	197	298	26	0	18%	9%	121	+2.3
✕Ross Gload 2007 · MLB	31	58	51→55	50→40	47	292/332/461	169	315	18	9	14%	5%	125	+3.5	272/316/399	127	294	11	6	11%	6%	102	+1.8	270/320/386	115	292	9	3	11%	6%	93	+0.7