Josue Briceño — OGILVIE

Josue BriceñoC West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 21 L/R 6'4" / 200 lbs A+ HR +5%H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 4.1 · 2031

wRC+†107

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .313 / .415

PA320

HR12

K%24

BB%9

MLB%4%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40↗48

PWR

56↗62

SPD

30↘27

FLD

34↗40

EYE

53→53

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.2peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+3.9	$34M	+$33M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+4.0	$36M	+$35M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+4.1	$38M	+$37M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+4.1	$39M	+$31M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+4.0	$39M	+$26M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$19M	+3.9	$40M	+$21M
Totals		$43M		$226M	+$183M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	161	151	24	5	0	3	7	54	1	1	2	.159	.201	.252	.453	.093	.219	34	4	.202	13	-16	-1	+0	+3	+5	-0.9
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	246	220	53	14	1	6	20	54	2	3	1	.241	.310	.395	.705	.155	.287	22	8	.304	91	-2	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2024	19	A	2 teams	282	254	59	6	2	3	24	58	3	1	2	.232	.306	.307	.613	.075	.289	21	9	.277	70	-10	-1	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2025	20	A+	2 teams	442	390	90	16	3	20	41	111	6	1	1	.231	.314	.441	.755	.210	.265	25	9	.322	104	+2	-0	+0	+8	+13	2.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	DET	320	284	68	12	2	12	29	78	4	2	1	.239	.319	.423	.741	.183	.283	24	9	.325	107	+3	+0	-0	+6	+9	1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 15%	DET	502	445	108	20	3	19	46	120	6	4	1	.243	.322	.429	.751	.187	.285	24	9	.331	111	+7	+0	-0	+9	+14	3.0
2028	23	MLB 31%	DET	520	460	115	21	3	22	49	121	6	4	1	.250	.330	.452	.782	.202	.287	23	9	.341	119	+11	+0	-0	+9	+15	3.6
2029	24	MLB 48%	DET	520	459	116	21	3	23	50	120	6	4	1	.253	.334	.462	.796	.209	.288	23	10	.347	123	+14	+0	-0	+9	+15	3.9
2030	25	MLB 62%	DET	520	458	116	21	3	23	51	119	6	4	1	.253	.336	.463	.799	.210	.289	23	10	.350	126	+15	+0	-0	+9	+15	4.0
2031	26	MLB 79%	DET	520	457	117	21	3	24	52	119	6	4	1	.256	.340	.473	.812	.217	.290	23	10	.353	128	+17	+0	-0	+9	+15	4.1
2032	27	MLB 94%	DET	520	456	117	21	3	24	53	119	6	3	1	.257	.342	.474	.815	.217	.290	23	10	.353	128	+17	+0	-0	+9	+15	4.1
2033	28	MLB	DET	520	456	116	21	3	23	53	120	6	3	1	.254	.340	.465	.805	.211	.290	23	10	.352	127	+16	+0	-1	+9	+15	4.0
2034	29	MLB	DET	520	456	114	20	3	23	53	122	6	2	0	.250	.336	.458	.794	.208	.289	23	10	.350	126	+15	+0	-2	+9	+15	3.9
2035	30	MLB	DET	520	456	114	20	3	23	53	123	6	2	0	.250	.336	.458	.794	.208	.287	24	10	.347	123	+14	+0	-2	+9	+15	3.6
2036	31	MLB	DET	504	441	108	19	2	22	52	122	6	1	0	.245	.333	.447	.779	.202	.286	24	10	.343	121	+12	+0	-3	+9	+14	3.3
2037	32	MLB	DET	489	431	104	18	2	21	50	121	5	1	0	.241	.327	.439	.766	.197	.284	25	10	.338	117	+9	+0	-4	+9	+14	2.9
2038	33	MLB	DET	463	408	97	17	2	19	47	117	5	1	0	.238	.324	.429	.753	.191	.283	25	10	.332	112	+6	+0	-5	+8	+13	2.4
2039	34	MLB	DET	407	359	83	14	2	16	41	107	4	1	0	.231	.317	.415	.732	.184	.281	26	10	.325	107	+3	+0	-5	+7	+12	1.7
2040	35	MLB	DET	346	305	70	12	2	13	35	94	3	1	0	.230	.315	.410	.725	.180	.278	27	10	.317	101	+0	+0	-6	+6	+10	1.1
2041	36	MLB	DET	285	252	54	9	1	10	28	81	3	0	0	.214	.300	.377	.677	.163	.275	28	10	.307	93	-2	+0	-6	+5	+8	0.5
2042	37	MLB	DET	223	197	41	7	1	7	22	65	2	0	0	.208	.294	.360	.655	.152	.271	29	10	.296	85	-4	+0	-7	+4	+6	-0.1
2043	38	MLB	DET	162	144	30	5	1	5	15	49	2	0	0	.208	.292	.361	.653	.153	.265	30	9	.285	76	-4	+0	-8	+3	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8992	7939	1914	340	48	361	871	2194	100	43	14	.241	.324	.432	.756	.191	.286	24	10	.332	112	+122	+3	-52	+161	+255	49.9
/ 162G	—			650	574	138	25	3	26	63	159	7	3	1	.240	.323	.430	.753	.190	.285	24	10	.332	112	+9	+0	-4	+12	+18	3.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	161	145	34	8	0	4	13	37	1	1	2	.234	.302	.372	.674	.138	.283	23	8	.300	88	-2	-1	—	—	+5	0.2
2023	18	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	48	41	12	6	0	0	7	8	0	0	0	.293	.396	.439	.835	.146	.364	17	15	.375	145	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	18	ROK	FCL Tigers	198	169	55	13	2	7	23	28	2	3	1	.325	.412	.550	.963	.225	.348	14	12	.413	175	+17	+0	—	—	+6	2.3
2024	19	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	176	151	42	5	2	2	22	26	3	1	2	.278	.381	.377	.758	.099	.325	15	12	.348	124	+5	-1	—	—	+5	0.9
2024	19	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	106	90	39	5	2	10	15	21	0	0	0	.433	.514	.867	1.381	.433	.483	20	14	.574	297	+24	+0	—	—	+3	2.7
2025	20	AA	Erie SeaWolves	198	168	39	6	2	5	25	47	2	0	1	.232	.337	.381	.718	.149	.288	24	13	.322	105	+1	-0	—	—	+6	0.6
2025	20	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	244	196	58	13	1	15	41	40	4	1	0	.296	.427	.602	1.029	.306	.299	16	17	.440	195	+26	+0	—	—	+7	3.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josue Briceño (OGILVIE)	21	40→48	56→62	30→27	53	.236/.313/.415	.179	.283	12	2	24%	9%	107	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kellen Kulbacki 2009 · A	23	47	55→60	39→30	50	.249/.320/.432	.184	.284	24	4	22%	8%	113	+2.6	.220/.277/.341	.121	.265	13	6	22%	7%	71	-0.3	.187/.230/.256	.070	.229	4	5	20%	5%	25	-0.9
●Iván Herrera 2022 · AA	22	41→51	48→50	41→50	47	.213/.289/.342	.129	.274	17	4	28%	8%	77	+0.1	.236/.321/.368	.132	.306	14	9	26%	10%	97	+1.5	.278/.371/.439	.161	.339	19	13	22%	11%	132	+2.8
✕Travis Denker 2006 · A	20	45→52	52→50	38→45	49	.233/.303/.397	.164	.282	20	4	25%	9%	97	+1.5	.226/.299/.365	.139	.268	16	4	21%	9%	87	+0.8	.233/.308/.392	.159	.261	18	0	18%	8%	97	+0.8
●Chris Carter 2006 · AA	23	47→57	57→55	38→40	48	.252/.308/.446	.193	.266	26	3	17%	6%	112	+2.6	.261/.314/.421	.160	.288	19	5	16%	7%	108	+2.3	.266/.317/.421	.155	.296	18	4	16%	6%	107	+2.1
●Eloy Jiménez 2019 · AAA	22	51→56	52→65	42→40	40	.261/.296/.430	.170	.314	20	3	24%	4%	102	+1.9	.263/.306/.471	.208	.313	28	2	25%	6%	118	+3.0	.262/.309/.482	.220	.312	31	0	26%	6%	120	+1.8
★Xander Bogaerts 2013 · AA	20	46→56	50→60	41→55	40	.235/.283/.391	.156	.298	18	4	28%	5%	87	+0.8	.256/.310/.394	.138	.321	14	6	24%	7%	98	+1.6	.293/.370/.507	.214	.325	27	7	18%	10%	148	+4.3
✕Óscar Hernández 2014 · A	21	45	52→55	41→40	46	.234/.307/.396	.162	.276	20	4	23%	7%	99	+1.7	.206/.253/.320	.114	.268	10	4	26%	5%	55	-1.4	.188/.232/.316	.127	.234	15	3	26%	5%	42	-1.2
✕Jordan Diaz 2023 · MLB	22	52→56	51→55	42→30	42	.266/.303/.430	.163	.304	20	3	20%	5%	105	+2.1	.252/.296/.409	.157	.297	20	2	22%	5%	97	+1.5	.245/.293/.398	.154	.288	21	0	23%	5%	90	+0.8
●Devin Mesoraco 2011 · AAA	23	43→52	52→60	41→40	43	.227/.282/.394	.167	.278	20	3	26%	6%	87	+0.8	.230/.286/.389	.159	.269	18	3	21%	7%	88	+0.9	.241/.331/.442	.201	.275	26	1	22%	9%	113	+1.4
●Nomar Mazara 2018 · MLB	23	48→51	50→55	40	49	.245/.308/.395	.150	.284	18	3	21%	8%	98	+1.6	.250/.310/.414	.164	.297	20	4	22%	7%	105	+2.1	.251/.310/.413	.162	.302	20	3	23%	7%	98	+1.0
✕Jaff Decker 2011 · A	21	47→50	53→55	46→55	52	.239/.332/.416	.177	.308	21	8	28%	11%	114	+2.7	.209/.295/.362	.153	.280	17	9	30%	10%	85	+0.7	.223/.297/.332	.109	.287	9	13	24%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Michael McKenry 2008 · A	23	45→46	55	41→40	48	.235/.301/.423	.188	.274	22	7	23%	8%	103	+1.9	.221/.289/.381	.160	.273	18	4	25%	8%	87	+0.8	.251/.325/.427	.177	.298	22	2	23%	9%	111	+0.9
●Nolan Gorman 2019 · A	19	43	54→60	39→45	41	.223/.285/.396	.173	.318	23	4	36%	8%	89	+1.0	.205/.259/.351	.146	.301	17	4	36%	6%	66	-0.6	.225/.289/.424	.199	.290	29	6	33%	8%	95	+1.2
✕Sergio Pedroza 2007 · A	23	41→47	57→60	39→45	46	.220/.308/.421	.201	.287	25	4	32%	9%	106	+2.2	.228/.302/.397	.169	.303	19	6	30%	8%	97	+1.5	.227/.298/.377	.151	.294	17	7	28%	7%	88	+0.5
●Mark Vientos 2023 · MLB	23	46→50	58→60	37→30	39	.239/.294/.437	.198	.328	28	3	35%	7%	104	+2.0	.244/.300/.443	.199	.315	27	2	30%	7%	108	+2.3	.241/.300/.442	.201	.298	27	1	28%	7%	105	+1.8
★Austin Riley 2020 · MLB	23	43→53	58→65	40	38	.232/.282/.430	.198	.306	27	2	33%	6%	98	+1.6	.256/.318/.471	.215	.316	28	2	28%	7%	123	+3.3	.273/.345/.498	.224	.325	30	1	25%	8%	136	+4.9
●Stephen Drew 2006 · AA	23	50→57	56→55	44→45	49	.258/.323/.456	.197	.305	22	7	23%	8%	120	+3.1	.256/.310/.419	.163	.296	16	6	19%	7%	105	+2.1	.269/.330/.445	.176	.304	15	6	16%	8%	113	+2.7
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	42→52	52→55	45→50	47	.217/.293/.381	.164	.280	20	5	29%	9%	89	+0.9	.205/.301/.370	.165	.275	20	8	31%	11%	90	+1.0	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
●Tyler Flowers 2009 · A	23	48→54	49→55	41→40	49	.238/.312/.390	.152	.303	16	5	26%	9%	98	+1.6	.232/.319/.396	.164	.322	18	4	31%	10%	104	+2.0	.261/.361/.419	.158	.334	18	0	25%	10%	124	+1.9
★Ryan Zimmerman 2006 · MLB	21	57→61	50→65	38→45	42	.287/.320/.456	.169	.331	17	5	19%	4%	118	+3.0	.280/.336/.460	.180	.320	18	7	18%	8%	127	+3.6	.294/.371/.494	.201	.324	24	3	17%	10%	142	+4.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)