Rainiel Rodriguez

Rainiel RodriguezC Springfield Cardinals

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 197 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION330 act + 220 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†102

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .321 / .411

PA220

HR8

K%28

BB%10

BABIP293

ISO182

MLB%12%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 63

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER63

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED34

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.6	$25M	+$24M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.0	$25M	+$25M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+4.3	$25M	+$25M
2031	Arb-1	$9M	+4.4	$24M	+$19M
2032	Arb-2	$15M	+4.5	$23M	+$15M
2033	Arb-3	$22M	+4.6	$22M	+$11M
Totals		$49M		$144M	+$118M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	184	156	36	9	2	5	16	37	6	1	1	231	326	410	736	179	258	20	9	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	184	142	49	12	3	10	30	25	6	1	1	345	478	683	1.161	338	345	14	16	479	225	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A	3 teams	—	368	316	72	21	1	16	39	93	10	4	5	228	332	453	784	225	267	25	11	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A	3 teams	—	368	301	83	22	1	20	54	65	10	4	5	276	403	555	958	279	288	18	15	415	176	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	AA	STL	—	330	291	66	11	1	10	29	102	8	10	3	227	314	375	689	148	309	31	9	302	90	-4	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.2
YTD	19	AA	STL	—	330	278	78	14	1	12	42	78	8	10	3	281	390	468	858	187	347	24	13	382	150	+19	+1	+0	+6	+9	3.5
ROS	19	AA	STL	12%	220	192	44	9	1	8	21	62	5	4	2	229	321	411	733	182	284	28	10	318	102	+0	+0	+0	+4	+6	1.1
ROS	19	MLB	STL	12%	26	23	5	1	0	1	2	7	1	1	0	217	308	391	699	174	283	27	8	301	89	-0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
FULL	19	AA	STL	—	356	314	71	12	1	11	31	109	9	11	3	226	314	376	689	150	306	31	9	302	90	-4	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.3
TOT	19	AA	STL	—	550	483	110	20	2	18	50	164	13	14	5	228	317	389	706	161	303	30	9	309	94	-3	+1	+0	+10	+16	2.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	STL	63%	520	455	105	21	2	19	49	144	11	8	3	231	320	411	731	180	290	28	9	327	109	+5	+0	+0	+9	+15	3.0
2028	21	MLB	STL	81%	520	454	110	22	2	22	50	137	11	8	3	242	332	445	777	203	292	26	10	340	119	+11	+0	+0	+9	+15	3.6
2029	22	MLB	STL	87%	520	453	112	22	2	23	51	133	11	8	3	247	338	457	795	210	292	26	10	349	125	+15	+0	+0	+9	+15	4.0
2030	23	MLB	STL	89%	520	453	113	22	2	24	51	130	11	8	3	249	340	466	806	216	293	25	10	354	129	+17	+0	+0	+9	+15	4.3
2031	24	MLB	STL	88%	520	452	114	22	2	25	52	129	11	8	3	252	344	476	819	223	294	25	10	358	132	+19	+0	+0	+9	+15	4.4
2032	25	MLB	STL	88%	520	452	114	22	2	25	52	128	11	8	3	252	344	476	819	223	294	25	10	360	134	+20	+0	+0	+9	+15	4.5
2033	26	MLB	STL	87%	520	451	114	22	2	25	53	128	11	8	3	253	346	477	822	224	294	25	10	361	134	+20	+0	+0	+9	+15	4.6
2034	27	MLB	STL	86%	520	451	114	22	2	25	53	128	11	8	3	253	346	477	822	224	293	25	10	361	134	+20	+0	+0	+9	+15	4.6
2035	28	MLB	STL	85%	520	450	114	22	2	25	54	129	11	8	3	253	348	478	825	224	293	25	10	360	134	+20	+0	-1	+9	+15	4.5
2036	29	MLB	STL	82%	520	450	114	22	2	25	54	130	11	7	3	253	348	478	825	224	292	25	10	358	132	+19	+0	-1	+9	+15	4.3
2037	30	MLB	STL	81%	520	450	112	21	2	25	54	131	11	6	3	249	344	471	815	222	291	25	10	355	130	+18	+0	-2	+9	+15	4.1
2038	31	MLB	STL	81%	504	437	107	20	1	24	52	129	10	5	2	245	339	460	799	215	288	26	10	351	127	+15	+0	-3	+9	+14	3.7
2039	32	MLB	STL	80%	489	425	101	19	1	22	51	127	10	4	2	238	333	442	776	205	285	26	10	346	123	+13	+0	-3	+9	+14	3.2
2040	33	MLB	STL	80%	473	412	97	18	1	21	49	125	9	3	1	235	330	437	767	201	280	26	10	338	117	+9	+0	-4	+8	+13	2.8
2041	34	MLB	STL	75%	439	382	87	15	1	19	45	119	9	2	1	228	323	421	745	194	274	27	10	329	110	+5	+0	-5	+8	+12	2.1
2042	35	MLB	STL	71%	377	329	71	12	1	15	38	105	7	1	1	216	310	395	705	179	267	28	10	318	102	+1	-0	-5	+7	+11	1.3
2043	36	MLB	STL	62%	313	273	57	9	1	12	31	90	6	1	0	209	303	381	684	172	260	29	10	307	93	-2	+0	-6	+6	+9	0.6
2044	37	MLB	STL	53%	250	218	45	7	1	9	25	73	5	0	0	206	302	372	674	165	252	29	10	295	84	-5	+0	-7	+4	+7	0.0
2045	38	MLB	STL	39%	188	165	31	5	0	6	18	56	3	0	0	188	280	327	607	139	244	30	10	282	74	-6	+0	-8	+3	+5	-0.5
2046	39	MLB	STL	25%	129	114	21	3	0	4	12	39	2	0	0	184	273	316	589	132	236	30	9	269	64	-5	+0	-8	+2	+4	-0.8
2027	20	MLB	STL	63%	329	288	66	13	1	12	31	91	7	5	2	229	319	406	725	177	290	28	9	311	96	-1	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.4
2028	21	MLB	STL	81%	420	368	88	17	1	18	40	111	9	6	3	239	329	438	766	198	291	26	10	324	106	+3	+0	+0	+8	+12	2.3
2029	22	MLB	STL	87%	452	396	97	19	2	20	44	116	9	7	3	245	334	455	789	210	292	26	10	333	113	+7	+0	+0	+8	+13	2.8
2030	23	MLB	STL	89%	462	404	100	19	2	21	45	116	10	7	3	248	338	460	798	213	293	25	10	339	117	+9	+0	+0	+8	+13	3.1
2031	24	MLB	STL	88%	457	400	100	19	2	22	45	113	9	7	3	250	339	472	812	222	293	25	10	342	120	+10	+0	+0	+8	+13	3.3
2032	25	MLB	STL	88%	455	397	100	19	2	22	46	112	9	7	3	252	343	476	819	224	294	25	10	344	122	+11	+0	+0	+8	+13	3.3
2033	26	MLB	STL	87%	455	397	100	19	2	22	46	112	9	7	3	252	343	476	819	224	293	25	10	345	122	+12	+0	+0	+8	+13	3.4
2034	27	MLB	STL	86%	445	388	99	19	2	22	45	110	9	7	3	255	346	485	831	229	293	25	10	345	122	+11	+0	+0	+8	+13	3.3
2035	28	MLB	STL	85%	441	384	95	18	1	21	45	109	9	6	3	247	340	464	804	216	293	25	10	344	122	+11	+0	-0	+8	+12	3.1
2036	29	MLB	STL	82%	429	373	93	18	1	21	44	107	9	6	2	249	343	472	815	223	292	25	10	343	120	+10	+0	-1	+8	+12	3.0
2037	30	MLB	STL	81%	422	366	90	17	1	20	44	106	9	5	2	246	341	462	803	216	291	25	10	340	118	+9	+0	-2	+8	+12	2.7
2038	31	MLB	STL	81%	406	353	86	16	1	19	42	104	8	4	2	244	337	456	794	212	288	26	10	336	115	+7	+0	-2	+7	+12	2.4
2039	32	MLB	STL	80%	392	340	82	15	1	18	41	102	8	3	1	241	337	450	787	209	285	26	10	331	111	+5	+0	-3	+7	+11	2.1
2040	33	MLB	STL	80%	378	329	77	14	1	17	39	100	7	3	1	234	328	438	766	204	280	26	10	323	106	+2	+0	-3	+7	+11	1.7
2041	34	MLB	STL	75%	331	288	65	11	1	14	34	90	6	2	1	226	320	417	737	191	274	27	10	314	99	-0	+0	-4	+6	+9	1.1
2042	35	MLB	STL	71%	268	234	51	8	1	11	27	75	5	1	0	218	312	402	714	184	266	28	10	304	91	-3	+0	-4	+5	+8	0.6
2043	36	MLB	STL	62%	194	169	35	6	0	7	19	56	4	0	0	207	302	367	669	160	259	29	10	293	82	-4	+0	-4	+3	+5	0.1
2044	37	MLB	STL	53%	132	116	23	3	0	5	13	39	2	0	0	198	290	353	644	155	252	30	10	280	73	-4	+0	-4	+2	+4	-0.2
2045	38	MLB	STL	39%	73	65	12	2	0	2	7	22	1	0	0	185	274	308	582	123	244	30	10	268	63	-3	+0	-3	+1	+2	-0.3
2046	39	MLB	STL	25%	32	28	5	1	0	1	3	10	1	0	0	179	281	321	603	143	236	31	9	256	54	-2	+0	-2	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6999	6106	1469	274	22	316	702	1808	141	84	35	241	333	448	781	207	287	26	10	331	111	+89	+3	-30	+125	+198	39.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	136	25	2	29	65	168	13	8	3	240	332	444	776	205	287	26	10	331	111	+8	+0	-3	+12	+18	3.7
Career	—			—	9654	8390	2005	387	33	424	970	2502	203	110	48	239	332	445	777	206	286	26	10	342	120	+217	+3	-51	+172	+274	62.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	135	26	2	29	65	168	14	7	3	239	332	446	778	207	285	26	10	342	120	+15	+0	-3	+12	+18	4.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	184	142	49	12	3	10	30	25	6	1	1	345	478	683	1.161	338	345	14	16	479	225	+26	-0	—	—	+5	3.2
2025	18	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	17	17	5	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	294	294	353	647	59	333	12	0	288	79	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2025	18	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	271	225	56	15	1	13	38	48	7	3	4	249	374	498	872	249	261	18	14	384	152	+16	-1	—	—	+8	2.3
2025	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	80	59	22	6	0	7	16	15	3	1	1	373	526	831	1.356	458	385	19	20	547	277	+16	-0	—	—	+2	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 15 projected seasons	15	7,012	317	84	243	332	452	+99	+0	50.2	38.4
	/162	664	30	8	243	332	452	+9.4	+0.0	4.8	pk7: 27
#1Jhonny Peraltalast yr '17 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,291 PA	14	7,291	202	17	267	329	423	+66	+63	42.9	37.5
	/162	664	18	2	267	329	423	+6.1	+5.8	3.9	pk7: 32
#2Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	11	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.3	32.4
	/162	664	26	6	251	321	442	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29
#3Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	15	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
	/162	664	17	8	266	329	423	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#4Jason Variteklast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA	12	5,047	166	22	255	343	431	+61	+15	33.1	30.8
	/162	664	22	3	255	343	431	+8.0	+1.9	4.4	pk7: 28
#5Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	10	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
#5Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	/162	664	28	3	241	336	447	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#6Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	10	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
	/162	664	29	10	242	319	448	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rainiel Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	19	46→55	56→63	38→34	54	228/317/389	161	303	18	14	30%	9%	94	+2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Xander Bogaerts 2013 · AA	20	44→54	51→60	40→55	39	229/277/388	159	294	19	4	29%	5%	84	+0.6	255/309/387	132	320	13	6	23%	7%	96	+1.5	287/361/450	163	330	18	10	18%	9%	131	+4.1
✕Luis Torres 2023 · A	19	53	54→65	46→50	41	268/313/462	194	325	21	9	24%	5%	118	+3.0	218/283/328	110	352	9	5	38%	7%	70	-0.3	182/261/256	74	338	5	0	43%	8%	40	-0.6
✕Travis Denker 2006 · A	20	46→51	51→50	37→45	50	235/310/393	158	290	19	4	26%	9%	99	+1.7	228/303/362	134	273	15	4	21%	9%	88	+0.9	227/302/380	153	255	18	0	19%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Heriberto Hernández 2019 · A	19	43→49	54→60	46→50	55	223/325/414	191	274	20	7	26%	12%	111	+2.5	223/302/390	167	328	17	6	35%	9%	95	+1.4	221/302/428	208	278	28	9	31%	9%	103	+1.2
●Francisco Alvarez 2022 · A	20	47→45	62→65	44→40	48	252/332/481	229	307	30	8	28%	9%	131	+3.9	235/310/454	219	287	30	4	29%	9%	115	+2.8	227/302/442	215	270	31	2	28%	9%	107	+1.6
★Nolan Arenado 2012 · A	21	47→56	55→65	42→40	44	248/280/431	183	256	23	3	15%	4%	96	+1.5	244/281/392	148	265	16	2	15%	5%	85	+0.7	268/329/491	223	273	29	3	14%	8%	126	+3.7
✕Óscar Hernández 2012 · A	19	48	57→50	40	45	254/322/447	192	291	26	4	23%	6%	118	+3.0	221/284/363	142	272	16	4	24%	6%	80	+0.4	188/241/308	120	235	12	3	25%	5%	45	-1.0
●Nolan Gorman 2019 · A	19	43	54→60	38→45	41	220/283/396	176	316	23	4	37%	8%	89	+0.9	203/255/348	145	298	17	4	36%	6%	64	-0.8	213/287/426	213	282	31	7	35%	9%	96	+1.2
★Evan Longoria 2007 · AA	21	46→56	58→65	45→50	40	250/284/446	196	281	27	8	23%	4%	102	+1.9	261/331/469	208	307	26	6	23%	8%	128	+3.6	271/363/512	242	295	29	8	19%	12%	141	+4.9
●Andy Pages 2022 · A	21	42→52	61→60	45→50	45	230/317/449	220	296	29	6	32%	9%	118	+3.0	225/303/412	187	296	23	7	31%	8%	102	+1.8	270/324/464	194	313	25	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	43→53	51→55	45→50	48	223/303/383	161	292	19	5	30%	10%	94	+1.3	207/305/377	170	279	21	9	31%	11%	94	+1.3	261/339/417	156	319	16	5	22%	10%	113	+1.9
✕Roan Salas 2010 · A	20	46	50→65	46→40	45	236/285/393	157	263	17	5	18%	6%	88	+0.9	244/297/371	127	282	12	5	17%	6%	87	+0.8	268/322/383	115	301	9	3	14%	6%	98	+0.7
●Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	49→56	49→55	41→30	44	247/294/394	147	294	17	5	22%	6%	92	+1.2	262/302/432	170	303	22	2	21%	5%	105	+2.1	263/306/436	173	301	23	0	21%	5%	104	+1.7
●Julio Rodríguez 2021 · A	20	49→56	48→60	48→55	41	243/295/393	150	310	14	6	26%	5%	92	+1.2	285/341/484	199	357	25	23	26%	7%	135	+4.2	291/350/509	218	356	28	29	25%	7%	139	+4.0
✕Edgar Quero 2023 · A	20	47→57	53→50	47→40	51	238/336/419	181	304	20	8	27%	10%	117	+2.9	237/317/366	129	297	14	3	24%	9%	95	+1.4	241/317/348	107	299	12	1	22%	9%	88	+0.7
★Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2019 · AAA	20	58→63	52→65	44→45	51	295/350/467	173	320	20	6	15%	7%	134	+4.1	285/352/483	198	310	24	4	16%	9%	139	+4.4	280/360/503	223	290	30	5	16%	10%	141	+5.3
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	47→54	51→70	53→45	44	241/296/396	154	287	21	10	24%	6%	94	+1.3	260/305/454	194	304	27	6	24%	6%	113	+2.6	260/323/512	251	270	38	5	20%	8%	130	+3.2
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	47→50	45→40	47	217/283/352	135	277	15	5	27%	8%	76	+0.1	243/301/378	135	296	16	4	23%	7%	91	+1.1	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
●Gary Sánchez 2011 · A	18	49→50	47→65	46→45	39	241/294/380	139	328	14	5	30%	6%	89	+0.9	220/266/356	136	305	16	6	32%	5%	71	-0.3	240/315/464	224	265	32	4	23%	9%	117	+2.4
★Corey Seager 2014 · A	20	46→56	52→65	50→45	44	237/290/404	167	293	20	9	26%	7%	93	+1.3	271/318/464	193	329	21	6	23%	6%	121	+3.2	293/355/490	197	339	22	4	20%	8%	137	+4.7