Rainiel Rodriguez

Rainiel RodriguezC Springfield Cardinals

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 197 lbs AA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION530 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†122

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP295

ISO205

MLB%12%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$151M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 62

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER62

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED34

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.2	$26M	+$25M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.7	$31M	+$30M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+4.0	$32M	+$32M
2031	Arb-1	$10M	+4.1	$31M	+$26M
2032	Arb-2	$17M	+4.1	$29M	+$20M
2033	Arb-3	$25M	+4.2	$28M	+$16M
Totals		$54M		$178M	+$149M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	184	142	49	12	3	10	30	25	6	1	1	345	478	683	1.161	338	345	14	16	479	210	+24	-0	—	—	+4	2.8
2025	18	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	17	17	5	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	294	294	353	647	59	333	12	0	288	81	-0	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	18	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	271	225	56	15	1	13	38	48	7	3	4	249	374	498	872	249	261	18	14	384	146	+15	-1	—	—	+6	2.0
2025	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	80	59	22	6	0	7	16	15	3	1	1	373	526	831	1.356	458	385	19	20	547	256	+15	-0	—	—	+2	1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	184	155	37	9	2	6	17	36	6	1	1	239	337	439	776	200	249	20	9	340	116	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.7
2025	18	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	17	17	4	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	235	235	294	529	59	291	18	0	229	41	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2025	18	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	271	234	50	15	1	11	29	68	7	3	4	214	319	427	746	214	243	25	11	320	103	+1	-1	—	—	+6	0.6
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	80	65	17	4	0	5	10	22	3	1	1	262	385	554	938	292	276	28	12	391	151	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	184	155	37	9	2	6	17	36	6	1	1	239	337	439	776	200	261	20	9	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	184	142	49	12	3	10	30	25	6	1	1	345	478	683	1.161	338	345	14	16	479	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	3 teams	—	368	316	71	20	1	16	39	93	10	4	5	225	329	446	775	222	262	25	11	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A RAW	3 teams	—	368	301	83	22	1	20	54	65	10	4	5	276	403	555	958	279	288	18	15	415	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	184	159	37	9	2	6	17	36	6	1	1	233	337	428	765	195	249	20	9	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	3 teams	—	368	316	71	20	1	16	39	93	10	4	5	225	329	446	775	222	252	25	11	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	184	159	37	9	2	6	17	36	6	1	1	233	337	428	765	195	249	20	9	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	3 teams	—	368	316	71	20	1	16	39	93	10	4	5	225	329	446	775	222	252	25	11	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	AA MLE	STL	—	530	469	127	25	1	21	42	126	13	11	7	271	347	463	810	192	323	24	8	348	121	+14	-1	+0	+9	+11	3.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A+ RAW	STL	—	128	106	33	8	1	4	19	24	3	4	1	311	430	519	949	208	372	19	15	420	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	AA RAW	STL	—	402	345	113	22	0	23	41	77	10	7	6	328	414	591	1.005	264	359	19	10	432	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	AA MLE	STL	12%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		296	22	11	349	122	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	19	MLB CTX	STL	12%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						295	0	0	325	122	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	19	MLB A+C	STL	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	325	121	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	AA MLE	STL	—	539	477	128	25	1	21	43	128	13	11	7	268	345	457	802	189	320	24	8	348	121	+14	-1	-0	+10	+12	3.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	STL	63%	520	460	119	24	1	22	44	115	11	7	5	259	338	459	797	200	298	22	8	352	125	+15	-1	-0	+9	+11	3.6
2028	21	MLB MLE	STL	81%	520	459	122	25	1	24	45	111	11	7	5	266	346	481	827	216	299	21	9	362	131	+19	-1	-0	+9	+11	4.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	STL	87%	520	458	124	25	1	25	46	108	11	7	5	271	351	493	845	223	299	21	9	368	135	+22	-1	-0	+9	+11	4.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	STL	89%	520	457	125	25	2	25	47	106	11	7	5	274	355	501	856	228	300	20	9	373	138	+24	-1	-0	+9	+11	4.5
2031	24	MLB MLE	STL	88%	520	457	126	25	2	26	47	104	11	7	5	276	357	510	867	234	300	20	9	377	141	+25	-1	-0	+9	+11	4.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	STL	88%	520	456	126	25	2	26	48	103	11	7	5	276	359	511	870	235	300	20	9	379	143	+26	-1	-0	+9	+11	4.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	STL	87%	520	456	127	25	2	27	48	103	11	7	5	279	361	520	881	241	300	20	9	380	143	+27	-1	-0	+9	+11	4.8
2034	27	MLB MLE	STL	86%	520	455	126	25	1	27	49	104	11	7	5	277	361	514	875	237	300	20	9	380	143	+27	-1	-0	+9	+11	4.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	STL	85%	520	455	126	25	1	27	49	104	11	6	4	277	361	514	875	237	300	20	9	379	143	+26	-0	-1	+9	+11	4.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	STL	82%	520	454	123	24	1	26	50	105	11	6	4	271	357	500	857	229	299	20	10	377	141	+26	-0	-1	+9	+11	4.5
2037	30	MLB MLE	STL	81%	520	454	123	24	1	26	50	107	11	5	4	271	357	500	857	229	298	21	10	374	140	+24	-1	-2	+9	+11	4.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	STL	81%	504	441	118	23	1	25	48	105	10	4	3	268	353	494	847	227	295	21	10	370	137	+22	-0	-3	+9	+11	4.0
2039	32	MLB MLE	STL	80%	489	429	114	22	1	24	47	104	10	4	2	266	352	490	841	224	292	21	10	364	133	+19	+0	-4	+9	+11	3.6
2040	33	MLB MLE	STL	80%	473	416	107	20	1	22	45	103	9	3	2	257	343	469	811	212	287	22	10	357	127	+15	-0	-4	+8	+10	3.0
2041	34	MLB MLE	STL	75%	439	386	96	17	1	20	41	98	9	2	1	249	335	453	788	205	281	22	9	347	121	+11	+0	-5	+8	+10	2.4
2042	35	MLB MLE	STL	71%	377	332	80	14	1	16	35	87	7	1	1	241	326	434	760	193	274	23	9	335	113	+6	-0	-6	+7	+8	1.5
2043	36	MLB MLE	STL	62%	313	275	63	10	0	13	29	75	6	1	0	229	316	407	723	178	267	24	9	323	105	+2	+0	-6	+6	+7	0.8
2044	37	MLB MLE	STL	53%	250	220	48	8	0	9	23	62	5	0	0	218	306	377	684	159	259	25	9	310	96	-1	+0	-7	+4	+5	0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	STL	63%	329	291	75	15	1	13	28	73	7	4	3	258	337	450	788	192	297	22	9	330	125	+10	-0	-0	+6	+7	2.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	STL	81%	420	371	97	20	1	18	37	90	9	5	4	261	343	466	809	205	297	21	9	340	131	+16	-1	-0	+8	+9	3.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	STL	87%	452	400	105	21	1	20	40	94	9	6	4	263	343	470	813	207	297	21	9	346	135	+19	-0	-0	+8	+10	3.7
2030	23	MLB CTX	STL	89%	462	408	109	22	1	21	42	94	9	6	4	267	349	480	829	213	298	20	9	350	138	+21	-0	-0	+8	+10	4.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	STL	88%	457	403	108	22	1	21	42	91	9	6	4	268	350	484	834	216	298	20	9	354	141	+22	-0	-0	+8	+10	4.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	STL	88%	455	401	109	22	1	22	42	90	9	6	4	272	354	496	850	224	299	20	9	356	143	+23	-0	-0	+8	+10	4.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	STL	87%	455	401	109	22	1	22	42	90	9	6	4	272	354	496	850	224	298	20	9	357	143	+23	-0	-0	+8	+10	4.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	STL	86%	445	391	105	21	1	21	42	89	9	6	4	269	353	488	841	220	298	20	9	357	143	+23	-0	-0	+8	+10	4.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	STL	85%	441	387	105	21	1	21	42	88	9	5	4	271	356	494	850	222	298	20	10	356	143	+22	-1	-1	+8	+10	3.9
2036	29	MLB CTX	STL	82%	429	376	101	20	1	20	41	87	9	5	3	269	354	487	841	218	297	20	10	355	141	+21	-0	-1	+8	+9	3.7
2037	30	MLB CTX	STL	81%	422	370	100	20	1	20	40	87	9	4	3	270	356	492	848	222	296	21	9	352	140	+20	-0	-2	+8	+9	3.5
2038	31	MLB CTX	STL	81%	406	356	94	18	1	19	39	84	8	4	2	264	350	480	830	216	294	21	10	348	137	+18	+0	-2	+7	+9	3.2
2039	32	MLB CTX	STL	80%	392	344	89	17	1	18	37	83	8	3	2	259	344	471	815	212	290	21	9	342	133	+15	-0	-3	+7	+8	2.8
2040	33	MLB CTX	STL	80%	378	332	84	16	1	16	36	82	7	2	1	253	339	452	790	199	286	22	10	335	127	+12	+0	-3	+7	+8	2.4
2041	34	MLB CTX	STL	75%	331	291	72	13	1	14	31	74	6	1	1	247	332	443	776	196	279	22	9	326	121	+8	-0	-4	+6	+7	1.8
2042	35	MLB CTX	STL	71%	268	236	56	10	0	11	25	62	5	1	1	237	323	419	743	182	272	23	9	315	113	+4	-0	-4	+5	+6	1.1
2043	36	MLB CTX	STL	62%	194	170	38	6	0	7	18	46	4	0	0	224	312	382	695	159	265	24	9	303	105	+1	+0	-4	+3	+4	0.5
2044	37	MLB CTX	STL	53%	132	117	26	4	0	5	12	33	2	0	0	222	305	385	690	162	257	25	9	291	96	-1	+0	-4	+2	+3	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6869	6046	1582	310	15	309	636	1437	137	70	48	262	345	471	817	210	294	21	9	344	132	+279	-5	-27	+123	+149	52.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	149	29	1	29	60	136	13	7	5	260	344	467	811	206	293	21	9	344	132	+26	-0	-3	+12	+14	5.0
Career	—	MLE		—	9126	7999	2102	415	23	432	848	1935	193	93	67	263	348	482	830	220	294	21	9	363	132	+336	-7	-39	+153	+186	64.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	151	30	2	31	60	138	14	7	5	265	349	488	837	223	296	21	9	363	132	+25	-1	-3	+12	+14	4.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Robinson Canólast yr '22 AS×8GG×2SS×5 career totals — 17 seasons, 9,550 PA	14.4	9,550	335	51	301	351	488	+34	+8	70.1	58.3
/162	664	23	4	+2.4	+0.6	4.9	pk7: 47
#2Troy Tulowitzkilast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,402 PA	8.1	5,402	224	57	290	361	495	+58	+92	56.1	51.8
/162	664	28	7	+7.1	+11.4	6.9	pk7: 48
#3Evan Longorialast yr '23 career totals — 16 seasons, 8,206 PA	12.4	8,206	342	58	264	333	471	+29	+110	61.2	51.8
/162	664	28	5	+2.4	+8.9	5.0	pk7: 42
#4Victor Martinezlast yr '18 AS×5SS×2 career totals — 15 seasons, 8,130 PA	12.2	8,130	245	7	295	360	455	+31	+8	55.0	49.0
/162	664	20	1	+2.5	+0.6	4.5	pk7: 43
#5Josh Donaldsonlast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,822 PA	8.8	5,822	278	40	262	359	491	+21	+53	51.1	48.3
/162	664	32	5	+2.4	+6.0	5.8	pk7: 46
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	10.4	6,907	332	71	267	346	489	+102	-6	55.6	41.5
/162	664	32	7	+9.8	-0.5	5.3	pk7: 27
#6Jhonny Peraltalast yr '17 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,291 PA	11.0	7,291	202	17	267	329	423	+66	+63	42.9	37.5
/162	664	18	2	+6.1	+5.8	3.9	pk7: 32

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rainiel Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	19	46→54	55→62	39→34	52	254/334/450	196	296	13	5	22%	8%	122	+1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Francisco Alvarez 2022 · A	20	45	59→60	44→40	48	241/324/453	212	300	28	8	29%	9%	118	+2.7	229/305/429	200	282	27	4	29%	9%	106	+1.8	229/304/430	202	273	28	2	27%	9%	104	+1.1
✕Óscar Hernández 2012 · A	19	48	57→50	40	45	254/322/447	192	291	26	4	23%	6%	116	+2.5	219/284/360	141	269	16	4	24%	6%	82	-0.0	187/241/306	119	232	12	3	25%	5%	51	-1.1
●Andy Pages 2022 · A	21	41→51	58→55	45→50	46	221/312/425	204	289	27	6	32%	9%	108	+1.9	220/299/395	175	286	20	7	29%	8%	96	+1.0	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
★Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2019 · AAA	20	58→63	50→65	44→45	51	289/346/450	160	316	18	6	15%	7%	125	+3.2	283/350/477	194	308	24	4	16%	9%	133	+3.7	281/361/504	223	291	30	5	16%	10%	137	+4.6
✕Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	43→53	51→55	45→50	48	223/303/383	161	292	19	5	30%	10%	95	+0.9	204/301/365	161	275	19	9	31%	11%	90	+0.6	258/336/412	153	316	16	5	22%	10%	109	+1.5
★Billy Butler 2006 · AA	20	55→65	58→55	47→30	43	282/327/491	209	334	26	3	24%	6%	128	+3.4	284/336/443	159	321	17	2	17%	7%	120	+2.8	310/379/491	181	338	20	1	14%	9%	137	+4.5
✕Edgar Quero 2023 · A	20	48→57	51→50	47→40	51	240/336/412	172	309	18	8	27%	10%	114	+2.3	241/321/361	120	299	12	3	22%	9%	96	+1.0	245/321/344	99	301	10	1	21%	9%	90	+0.4
★Corey Seager 2015 · AA	21	52→62	53→65	49→45	41	261/308/445	184	334	20	7	28%	6%	109	+2.0	279/333/460	181	331	19	5	21%	7%	122	+3.0	287/349/471	183	334	20	4	19%	8%	128	+3.6
★Xander Bogaerts 2014 · MLB	21	51→61	49→65	46→55	45	252/308/402	150	318	16	6	26%	7%	100	+1.3	269/322/395	126	326	12	7	20%	7%	103	+1.5	284/359/486	202	320	21	8	18%	10%	133	+3.9
●Wander Franco 2019 · A	18	51→57	49→55	49→55	50	256/306/410	154	268	17	5	12%	6%	101	+1.4	263/317/398	135	286	11	9	12%	7%	102	+1.5	278/337/452	174	298	16	20	12%	8%	118	+2.0
★Ryan Zimmerman 2006 · MLB	21	58→60	49→65	36→45	42	287/319/452	165	331	15	5	18%	4%	116	+2.5	278/336/457	179	317	18	6	18%	8%	122	+3.0	293/370/494	201	323	24	3	17%	10%	137	+3.8
✕Kelvin Diaz 2007 · A	20	55	47→50	43→45	46	269/336/406	137	313	15	6	19%	6%	112	+2.2	242/308/373	131	284	12	8	19%	6%	93	+0.8	235/304/375	139	272	12	10	18%	6%	92	+0.3
●Alejandro Kirk 2019 · A	20	53→57	49→50	50→40	52	266/325/409	143	287	17	4	15%	8%	107	+1.9	248/322/389	141	280	13	4	16%	9%	102	+1.5	263/349/394	131	277	16	0	11%	11%	110	+1.4
●Angel Salome 2006 · A	20	52→62	49→50	49→45	44	261/296/412	152	290	16	7	17%	5%	98	+1.2	269/305/404	135	313	12	5	18%	5%	99	+1.2	290/326/429	140	336	12	4	17%	5%	112	+1.4
✕Brandon Wood 2006 · AAA	21	46→45	65	47→50	39	253/297/508	255	304	33	6	29%	5%	122	+2.9	226/278/424	198	298	24	11	32%	6%	95	+0.9	213/269/397	184	277	24	12	32%	6%	83	+0.1
★Matt Kemp 2006 · A	21	47→57	57→65	53→55	37	250/288/444	194	311	26	17	29%	4%	103	+1.5	282/324/451	169	350	17	23	23%	5%	117	+2.6	288/356/502	214	343	27	28	23%	9%	132	+4.1
✕Nick Yorke 2022 · A	20	52→55	49→45	47→55	47	260/321/411	150	314	16	10	22%	7%	107	+1.8	230/287/352	122	305	13	13	28%	7%	80	-0.1	243/298/353	109	322	10	18	26%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2006 · A	21	51→55	50→60	45→40	41	253/302/409	156	322	18	5	27%	6%	99	+1.3	238/303/381	143	302	15	3	25%	8%	93	+0.8	239/302/451	213	309	26	2	30%	8%	107	+1.3
✕Adael Amador 2023 · A	20	51→54	46→50	46→55	55	252/334/383	131	290	14	14	18%	10%	105	+1.7	229/302/359	130	266	15	21	19%	9%	88	+0.4	216/294/338	122	249	13	22	19%	9%	78	-0.2
●Bo Bichette 2018 · A	20	56→62	47→60	51→55	42	273/317/422	149	341	14	14	24%	5%	107	+1.9	262/307/420	158	322	14	20	22%	6%	103	+1.6	296/337/473	177	345	22	13	20%	5%	126	+3.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps