Alejandro Kirk — OGILVIE

Alejandro KirkC Toronto Blue Jays

INJURED · Injured 10-Day (D10)

Age 27 R/R 5'8" / 245 lbs MLB HR +12%BB +4% Svc 5.273 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 3.8 · 2027

wRC+†vL 99109vR 98

AVG/OBP/SLG.267 / .339 / .407

PA224

HR6

K%13

BB%9

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

50→50

SPD

30→30

EYE

54↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.0peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2020

Service 5.273 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-3	$12M	+1.9	$15M	+$4M
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+3.8	$31M	+$20M
2028	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+3.5	$30M	+$18M
2029	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+3.2	$28M	+$16M
2030	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+2.8	$25M	+$14M
Totals		$58M		$129M	+$71M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	244	220	65	8	1	8	19	30	2	2	0	.295	.357	.450	.807	.155	.308	12	8	.355	130	+8	+0	+0	+4	+7	2.0
2019	20	A+	2 teams	372	325	78	28	1	5	41	56	4	3	0	.240	.332	.378	.711	.138	.274	15	11	.312	97	-1	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.7
2020	21	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	25	24	9	2	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	.375	.400	.583	.983	.208	.421	16	4	.424	183	+2	+0	-1	+0	+1	0.2
2021	22	MLB	2 teams	245	216	54	10	0	9	22	33	3	0	0	.250	.328	.421	.749	.171	.253	13	9	.338	117	+5	+0	+1	+4	+7	1.7
2022	23	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	541	470	137	20	0	13	63	58	4	0	0	.291	.380	.417	.797	.126	.308	11	12	.352	127	+17	+0	+17	+10	+15	5.9
2023	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	422	372	97	17	0	8	42	45	6	0	0	.261	.345	.371	.716	.110	.277	11	10	.320	103	+1	+0	+19	+8	+12	4.1
2024	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	386	340	86	20	1	5	35	51	2	0	0	.253	.326	.362	.688	.109	.276	13	9	.297	86	-6	+0	+21	+7	+11	3.3
2025	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	506	451	128	19	0	13	48	59	1	1	0	.284	.354	.412	.766	.129	.299	12	9	.332	112	+7	+0	+26	+9	+14	5.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	22	20	3	1	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	.150	.227	.350	.577	.200	.118	9	9	.255	53	-1	+0	+1	+0	+1	0.1
ROS	27	MLB	TOR	202	180	48	9	0	5	19	26	1	1	0	.267	.340	.400	.740	.133	.286	13	9	.335	115	+3	+0	+4	+4	+6	1.7
TOT	27	MLB	TOR	224	200	51	10	0	6	21	28	1	1	0	.255	.329	.395	.724	.140	.269	12	9	.327	109	+2	+0	+5	+4	+6	1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB	TOR	489	438	118	21	1	13	46	63	2	1	0	.269	.342	.411	.753	.142	.286	13	9	.334	114	+8	+0	+9	+9	+14	4.0
2028	29	MLB	TOR	477	427	114	20	1	13	45	63	2	0	0	.267	.340	.410	.749	.143	.285	13	9	.332	112	+7	+0	+8	+9	+14	3.8
2029	30	MLB	TOR	465	416	109	19	0	12	44	63	2	0	0	.262	.335	.394	.730	.132	.284	14	9	.329	110	+5	+0	+7	+8	+13	3.5
2030	31	MLB	TOR	436	390	102	18	0	11	41	61	2	0	0	.262	.335	.392	.727	.131	.282	14	9	.325	107	+3	+0	+6	+8	+12	3.0
2031	32	MLB	TOR	405	362	93	16	0	10	38	59	2	0	0	.257	.331	.384	.715	.127	.281	15	9	.321	103	+2	+0	+5	+7	+11	2.5
2032	33	MLB	TOR	365	327	82	14	0	8	34	55	1	0	0	.251	.323	.367	.690	.116	.280	15	9	.315	99	-0	+0	+3	+7	+10	2.0
2033	34	MLB	TOR	313	280	70	12	0	7	29	50	1	0	0	.250	.323	.368	.690	.118	.278	16	9	.309	94	-2	+0	+1	+6	+9	1.4
2034	35	MLB	TOR	257	230	55	9	0	5	24	44	1	0	0	.239	.314	.343	.657	.104	.276	17	9	.301	88	-3	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.8
2035	36	MLB	TOR	200	179	43	7	0	4	18	36	1	0	0	.240	.313	.346	.660	.106	.274	18	9	.292	82	-4	+0	-2	+4	+6	0.3
2036	37	MLB	TOR	144	130	29	5	0	2	13	27	0	0	0	.223	.294	.308	.601	.085	.270	19	9	.282	74	-4	+0	-4	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6494	5777	1517	274	5	152	622	883	37	8	0	.263	.338	.391	.729	.128	.285	14	10	.324	106	+47	+2	+119	+116	+184	47.7
/ 162G	—			650	578	152	27	1	15	62	88	4	1	0	.263	.339	.391	.730	.128	.285	14	10	.324	106	+5	+0	+12	+12	+18	4.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	244	206	73	10	1	10	33	21	2	2	0	.354	.448	.558	1.006	.204	.354	9	14	.438	193	+26	+0	—	—	+7	3.4
2019	20	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	276	233	67	25	0	4	38	31	4	2	0	.288	.396	.446	.843	.159	.317	11	14	.378	147	+15	+0	—	—	+8	2.3
2019	20	A	Lansing Lugnuts	96	77	23	6	1	3	18	8	0	1	0	.299	.432	.519	.951	.221	.299	8	19	.415	176	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2020	21	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	25	24	9	2	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	.375	.400	.583	.983	.208	.421	16	4	.431	188	+2	+0	-1	+0	+1	0.3
2021	22	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	189	165	40	8	0	8	19	22	3	0	0	.242	.332	.436	.768	.194	.234	12	10	.339	118	+4	+0	+1	+4	+5	1.5
2021	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	56	49	17	3	0	2	5	9	0	0	0	.347	.407	.531	.938	.184	.375	16	9	.399	164	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2022	23	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	541	470	134	19	0	14	63	58	4	0	0	.285	.374	.415	.789	.130	.299	11	12	.355	130	+18	+0	+17	+10	+15	6.1
2023	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	422	372	93	16	0	8	42	45	6	0	0	.250	.336	.358	.693	.108	.265	11	10	.316	100	-0	+0	+19	+8	+12	3.9
2024	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	386	340	86	19	1	5	35	51	2	0	0	.253	.326	.359	.685	.106	.276	13	9	.304	91	-4	+0	+21	+7	+11	3.5
2025	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	506	451	127	18	0	15	48	59	1	1	0	.282	.352	.421	.773	.140	.292	12	9	.343	121	+12	+0	+26	+9	+14	6.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2069	1822	489	82	1	51	208	239	16	1	0	.268	.348	.398	.747	.130	.282	12	10	.334	114	+32	+0	+82	+38	+59	21.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alejandro Kirk (OGILVIE)	27	60	50	30	50	.267/.339/.407	.140	.286	6	1	13%	9%	115	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josmil Pinto 2015 · MLB	26	50→59	50→55	37→40	50	.253/.318/.412	.159	.300	17	2	22%	8%	107	+2.2	.231/.287/.369	.138	.288	16	3	24%	7%	83	+0.6	.217/.266/.343	.126	.274	15	0	26%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Colin Moran 2020 · MLB	27	54→57	50→55	35→30	47	.270/.323/.422	.152	.318	18	2	21%	7%	111	+2.5	.253/.318/.415	.162	.312	20	3	24%	8%	108	+2.3	.231/.305/.388	.157	.287	21	1	26%	9%	92	+0.6
✕Casey McGehee 2011 · MLB	28	54→62	50	36→40	49	.272/.325/.427	.155	.306	18	2	17%	7%	114	+2.7	.238/.298/.373	.135	.272	14	2	18%	8%	88	+0.9	.266/.323/.343	.077	.317	5	4	16%	7%	85	+0.6
✕Luis Gonzalez 2006 · MLB	27	56→58	48→50	37→40	45	.277/.319/.423	.146	.309	16	5	16%	5%	110	+2.4	.253/.300/.383	.130	.286	12	6	16%	5%	92	+1.2	.235/.279/.348	.112	.269	8	4	15%	3%	72	-0.1
✕Omar Narváez 2020 · MLB	28	53→55	51→50	39→30	56	.268/.350/.424	.156	.304	20	2	19%	11%	123	+3.3	.249/.331/.395	.146	.296	17	2	21%	10%	108	+2.3	.232/.319/.347	.115	.283	11	0	21%	10%	84	+0.3
✕Devin Mesoraco 2015 · MLB	27	48→52	54→60	35→40	50	.251/.323/.433	.182	.284	22	3	21%	8%	115	+2.7	.237/.319/.403	.166	.279	19	5	22%	9%	105	+2.1	.214/.306/.378	.164	.240	21	1	21%	9%	88	+0.4
●Jay Payton 2001 · MLB	28	55→61	51→55	36→50	50	.276/.323/.433	.157	.287	19	7	12%	6%	115	+2.7	.279/.326/.439	.160	.295	18	7	12%	6%	117	+2.9	.286/.342/.455	.169	.299	19	5	11%	7%	124	+3.1
●Jhonny Peralta 2008 · MLB	26	54→61	51→55	39→40	51	.268/.338/.432	.164	.326	18	3	23%	9%	120	+3.1	.261/.323/.419	.158	.309	17	3	20%	8%	111	+2.5	.277/.343/.439	.162	.321	18	2	19%	8%	118	+2.8
●Manny Rodriguez 2010 · AAA	28	54→64	46→55	38→50	47	.268/.309/.404	.136	.287	13	5	12%	5%	101	+1.8	.250/.294/.404	.154	.272	16	9	15%	5%	95	+1.4	.268/.306/.426	.158	.284	20	10	14%	3%	107	+1.6
●Jose Amador 2007 · AAA	27	59→67	45→55	40→45	54	.290/.349/.419	.129	.311	12	9	11%	8%	121	+3.2	.267/.323/.375	.108	.297	10	5	13%	7%	98	+1.6	.272/.326/.435	.163	.308	23	3	19%	5%	114	+2.0
●Cesar Tapia 2009 · AAA	26	57→60	45→55	40→50	48	.279/.323/.409	.130	.296	12	5	11%	5%	108	+2.3	.272/.315/.379	.107	.293	10	6	11%	5%	96	+1.5	.262/.306/.423	.161	.278	21	11	15%	5%	104	+1.1
●Robinson Chirinos 2011 · AAA	27	51→47	53→60	40→50	52	.257/.331/.438	.181	.287	19	4	18%	8%	119	+3.1	.240/.307/.378	.138	.289	15	4	22%	7%	94	+1.3	.229/.342/.433	.204	.295	26	2	29%	11%	117	+1.9
●Jesse Winker 2020 · MLB	26	55→61	49→55	37→45	57	.272/.355/.424	.152	.302	16	3	16%	10%	125	+3.5	.263/.363/.460	.197	.291	24	3	18%	12%	137	+4.3	.250/.363/.438	.188	.277	23	1	18%	14%	127	+2.4
●Matthew LeCroy 2003 · MLB	27	48	54→55	38→30	48	.247/.304/.429	.182	.277	21	4	20%	7%	105	+2.1	.272/.331/.459	.187	.317	24	3	22%	7%	124	+3.4	.272/.340/.454	.182	.319	26	0	22%	8%	124	+1.9
●Saul Soto 2007 · AAA	28	52→62	51→60	38→45	48	.266/.317/.428	.162	.291	19	4	16%	6%	111	+2.5	.272/.322/.459	.187	.299	24	4	18%	6%	121	+3.2	.286/.340/.482	.197	.312	26	2	17%	7%	131	+2.7
●Martín Prado 2012 · MLB	28	56→66	46→50	37→45	51	.276/.323/.413	.137	.293	13	5	12%	6%	108	+2.3	.278/.330/.408	.130	.297	12	8	10%	7%	110	+2.4	.295/.345/.408	.113	.326	10	2	12%	6%	111	+2.5
✕Aledmys Díaz 2019 · MLB	28	51→58	52→55	41→45	48	.259/.308/.426	.167	.276	19	7	15%	6%	106	+2.2	.252/.311/.420	.168	.273	19	6	16%	7%	106	+2.2	.246/.310/.399	.154	.269	18	2	16%	7%	97	+0.8
✕Donovan Walton 2022 · MLB	28	51→54	49→50	40→45	50	.256/.322/.403	.148	.284	16	7	16%	7%	107	+2.2	.231/.292/.363	.132	.265	13	8	18%	7%	83	+0.6	.238/.301/.343	.104	.271	12	5	16%	7%	81	+0.3
✕J.R. House 2008 · MLB	28	53→59	48→50	38→30	46	.262/.305/.406	.144	.289	15	3	15%	5%	99	+1.7	.241/.286/.360	.119	.265	13	2	14%	6%	79	+0.3	.229/.274/.330	.101	.251	11	0	14%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Ryan Doumit 2009 · MLB	28	56→63	53→55	41→45	48	.285/.343/.468	.183	.316	19	5	17%	6%	132	+4.0	.267/.326/.433	.166	.298	18	5	17%	7%	115	+2.8	.264/.326/.432	.168	.299	19	0	18%	7%	108	+1.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)