Alejandro Kirk — OGILVIE

Alejandro KirkC Toronto Blue Jays

Age 27 R/R 5'8" / 245 lbs MLB Svc 5.273 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION99 act + 399 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 100100vR 99

AVG/OBP/SLG.263 / .333 / .399

PA399

HR11

K%13

BB%9

BABIP279

ISO137

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

906.4%

xwOBA

750.338

POWER50

Barrel%

498.0

Avg EV

6189.9

Bat Spd

4270.5

EYE50

Chase%

6628.7%

SPEED30

Sprint

1022.9

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 892 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

244

648

—

wRC+

105

104

—

wOBA

322

321

—

ISO

155

113

◀◀L

BABIP

284

286

—

16.0%

11.0%

▶▶R

BB%

9.0%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2020

Service 5.273 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$5M	+1.4	$11M	+$6M
2027	Ext	$12M	+3.8	$28M	+$18M
2028	Ext	$12M	+3.6	$25M	+$15M
2029	Ext	$12M	+3.4	$22M	+$13M
2030	Ext	$12M	+2.9	$17M	+$10M
Totals		$51M		$103M	+$62M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	244	220	65	8	1	8	19	30	2	2	0	295	357	450	807	155	308	12	8	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	244	206	73	10	1	10	33	21	2	2	0	354	448	558	1.006	204	354	9	14	438	193	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	2 teams	—	372	326	77	28	1	5	40	59	4	3	0	236	327	374	701	138	273	16	11	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	2 teams	—	372	310	90	31	1	7	56	39	4	3	0	290	405	465	870	174	312	10	15	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	21	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	25	24	9	2	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	375	400	583	983	208	421	16	4	424	183	+2	+0	-1	+0	+1	0.2
2020	21	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	25	24	9	2	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	375	400	583	983	208	421	16	4	431	188	+2	+0	-1	+0	+1	0.3
2021	22	MLB	2 teams	—	245	216	54	11	0	9	22	34	3	0	0	250	328	426	754	176	254	14	9	332	112	+3	+0	+1	+4	+7	1.6
2021	22	MLB	2 teams	—	245	214	57	11	0	10	24	31	3	0	0	266	349	458	806	192	266	13	10	353	128	+8	+0	+1	+4	+7	2.1
2022	23	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	541	470	133	19	0	14	63	58	4	0	0	283	372	413	785	130	296	11	12	346	123	+14	+0	+17	+10	+15	5.7
2022	23	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	541	470	134	19	0	14	63	58	4	0	0	285	374	415	789	130	299	11	12	355	130	+18	+0	+17	+10	+15	6.1
2023	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	422	372	92	16	0	8	42	45	6	0	0	247	333	355	688	108	262	11	10	309	95	-2	+0	+19	+8	+12	3.7
2023	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	422	372	93	16	0	8	42	45	6	0	0	250	336	358	693	108	265	11	10	316	100	-0	+0	+19	+8	+12	4.0
2024	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	386	340	85	19	1	5	35	51	2	0	0	250	324	356	679	106	273	13	9	298	86	-6	+0	+21	+7	+11	3.3
2024	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	386	340	86	19	1	5	35	51	2	0	0	253	326	359	685	106	276	13	9	304	91	-4	+0	+21	+7	+11	3.5
2025	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	506	451	126	18	0	15	48	59	1	1	0	279	350	419	769	140	290	12	9	335	115	+8	+0	+26	+9	+14	5.9
2025	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	506	451	127	18	0	15	48	59	1	1	0	282	352	421	773	140	292	12	9	343	121	+12	+0	+26	+9	+14	6.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	TOR	—	99	89	18	4	0	2	9	13	0	0	0	202	276	315	590	112	213	13	9	257	55	-5	+0	+1	+2	+3	0.1
YTD	27	MLB	TOR	—	99	89	18	4	0	2	9	13	0	0	0	202	276	315	590	112	213	13	9	267	63	-4	+0	+1	+2	+3	0.2
ROS	27	MLB	TOR	100%	399	358	94	16	0	11	37	52	1	1	0	263	333	399	733	137	277	13	9	327	108	+4	+0	+10	+7	+11	3.3
ROS	27	MLB	TOR	100%	399	358	94	16	0	11	37	52	1	1	0	263	333	399	733	137	278	13	9	325	107	+3	+0	+10	+7	+11	3.3
FULL	27	MLB	TOR	—	498	447	112	20	0	13	46	65	1	1	0	251	322	383	704	132	266	13	9	312	97	-2	+0	+12	+9	+14	3.4
TOT	27	MLB	TOR	—	498	447	112	20	0	13	46	65	1	1	0	251	322	383	704	132	266	13	9	313	98	-1	+0	+12	+9	+14	3.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	TOR	100%	490	439	116	20	0	13	46	64	2	1	1	264	337	399	735	134	281	13	9	329	110	+6	-0	+12	+9	+14	4.1
2028	29	MLB	TOR	100%	478	429	113	19	0	13	45	64	1	1	0	263	335	399	733	135	280	13	9	327	109	+5	+0	+11	+9	+14	3.9
2029	30	MLB	TOR	100%	466	418	108	18	0	12	44	63	1	1	0	258	330	388	718	129	279	14	9	324	106	+3	+0	+10	+8	+13	3.6
2030	31	MLB	TOR	100%	437	392	101	17	0	11	41	61	1	1	0	258	329	385	715	128	277	14	9	320	103	+2	+0	+8	+8	+12	3.1
2031	32	MLB	TOR	100%	406	364	92	15	0	10	38	58	1	1	0	253	325	376	701	124	273	14	9	314	99	-1	+0	+7	+7	+12	2.6
2032	33	MLB	TOR	100%	366	328	82	13	0	9	34	54	1	0	0	250	322	372	694	122	269	15	9	307	93	-3	+0	+5	+7	+10	2.0
2033	34	MLB	TOR	100%	314	281	67	10	0	7	29	48	1	0	0	238	312	349	661	110	263	15	9	297	86	-5	+0	+3	+6	+9	1.3
2027	28	MLB	TOR	100%	490	439	116	20	0	13	46	64	2	1	1	264	337	399	735	134	282	13	9	328	109	+5	-0	+12	+9	+14	4.0
2028	29	MLB	TOR	100%	478	429	113	19	0	13	45	64	1	1	0	263	335	399	733	135	282	13	9	326	108	+4	+0	+11	+9	+14	3.8
2029	30	MLB	TOR	100%	466	418	109	18	0	12	44	63	1	1	0	261	333	390	723	129	280	14	9	323	105	+3	+0	+10	+8	+13	3.5
2030	31	MLB	TOR	100%	437	392	101	17	0	11	41	61	1	1	0	258	329	385	715	128	278	14	9	319	102	+1	+0	+8	+8	+12	3.1
2031	32	MLB	TOR	100%	406	364	92	15	0	10	38	58	1	1	0	253	325	376	701	124	275	14	9	313	98	-1	+0	+7	+7	+12	2.5
2032	33	MLB	TOR	100%	366	328	82	13	0	9	34	54	1	0	0	250	322	372	694	122	270	15	9	306	92	-3	+0	+5	+7	+10	1.9
2033	34	MLB	TOR	100%	314	281	67	10	0	7	29	48	1	0	0	238	312	349	661	110	264	15	9	296	85	-5	+0	+3	+6	+9	1.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5425	4831	1263	210	1	137	522	703	25	7	1	261	337	390	727	129	279	13	10	324	106	+39	+1	+149	+98	+154	45.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	151	25	0	16	63	84	3	1	0	261	337	387	724	126	279	13	10	324	106	+5	+0	+18	+12	+18	5.4
Career	—			—	6097	5428	1414	249	3	151	584	804	31	12	1	261	336	391	727	130	279	13	10	323	105	+35	+2	+149	+109	+173	47.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	151	27	0	16	62	86	3	1	0	261	335	390	726	130	280	13	10	323	105	+4	+0	+16	+12	+18	5.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	244	206	73	10	1	10	33	21	2	2	0	354	448	558	1.006	204	354	9	14	438	193	+26	+0	—	—	+7	3.4
2019	20	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	276	233	67	25	0	4	38	31	4	2	0	288	396	446	843	159	317	11	14	378	147	+15	+0	—	—	+8	2.3
2019	20	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	96	77	23	6	1	3	18	8	0	1	0	299	432	519	951	221	299	8	19	415	176	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2020	21	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	25	24	9	2	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	375	400	583	983	208	421	16	4	431	188	+2	+0	-1	+0	+1	0.3
2021	22	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	189	165	40	8	0	8	19	22	3	0	0	242	332	436	768	194	234	12	10	339	118	+4	+0	+1	+4	+5	1.5
2021	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	56	49	17	3	0	2	5	9	0	0	0	347	407	531	938	184	375	16	9	399	164	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2022	23	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	541	470	134	19	0	14	63	58	4	0	0	285	374	415	789	130	299	11	12	355	130	+18	+0	+17	+10	+15	6.1
2023	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	422	372	93	16	0	8	42	45	6	0	0	250	336	358	693	108	265	11	10	316	100	-0	+0	+19	+8	+12	4.0
2024	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	386	340	86	19	1	5	35	51	2	0	0	253	326	359	685	106	276	13	9	304	91	-4	+0	+21	+7	+11	3.5
2025	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	506	451	127	18	0	15	48	59	1	1	0	282	352	421	773	140	292	12	9	343	121	+12	+0	+26	+9	+14	6.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2069	1822	489	82	1	51	208	239	16	1	0	268	348	398	747	130	282	12	10	334	114	+32	+0	+82	+38	+59	21.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1J.J. Hardylast yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,309 PA	13	6,309	188	8	256	305	408	+68	+163	40.4	35.7
	/162	664	20	1	256	305	408	+7.1	+17.2	4.3	pk7: 31
#2Brandon Crawfordlast yr '24 career totals — 14 seasons, 6,318 PA	14	6,318	147	47	249	318	395	+68	+142	38.9	34.0
	/162	664	15	5	249	318	395	+7.1	+14.9	4.1	pk7: 29
#3Andrelton Simmonslast yr '22 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,816 PA	11	4,816	70	72	263	312	366	+51	+168	30.9	29.0
	/162	664	10	10	263	312	366	+7.0	+23.1	4.3	pk7: 27
#4Matt Wieterslast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,387 PA	11	4,387	146	9	250	313	411	+78	+81	30.0	28.4
	/162	664	22	1	250	313	411	+11.9	+12.2	4.5	pk7: 27
#5Yan Gomeslast yr '24 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,082 PA	13	4,082	137	8	246	295	412	+69	+103	27.4	26.2
#5Yan Gomeslast yr '24 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,082 PA	/162	664	22	1	246	295	412	+11.2	+16.8	4.4	pk7: 25
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	14	5,598	141	8	260	332	390	+100	+168	28.3	24.4
	/162	664	17	1	260	332	390	+11.9	+19.9	3.4	pk7: 20
#6Brian Schneiderlast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,522 PA	12	3,522	66	4	246	319	367	+54	+84	21.4	20.8
	/162	664	12	1	246	319	367	+10.3	+15.8	4.0	pk7: 20

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alejandro Kirk (OGILVIE)	27	60	50	30	50	251/322/383	132	266	13	1	13%	9%	98	+3.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕J.R. House 2008 · MLB	28	53→60	48→50	37→30	46	263/306/407	144	289	15	3	15%	5%	100	+1.7	238/283/354	116	262	13	2	14%	6%	76	+0.1	229/274/329	99	251	11	0	14%	5%	62	-0.6
●Casey McGehee 2012 · MLB	29	51→61	50→55	35→40	51	257/314/414	157	283	18	2	17%	8%	105	+2.1	248/311/370	122	289	12	4	18%	8%	93	+1.3	269/326/350	81	319	5	4	16%	7%	90	+0.9
✕Luis Gonzalez 2006 · MLB	27	56→58	48→50	36→40	45	278/320/422	144	310	15	5	16%	5%	110	+2.4	250/300/381	131	283	12	7	16%	5%	91	+1.1	235/279/348	112	269	8	4	15%	3%	72	-0.1
✕Chris Snyder 2008 · MLB	27	49→44	50→55	39→30	55	246/332/403	157	279	18	2	19%	10%	111	+2.5	232/337/414	182	276	22	2	23%	13%	116	+2.8	214/333/396	182	255	23	0	25%	14%	98	+0.9
✕Jason Phillips 2005 · MLB	28	51→61	45	38→30	56	251/328/379	128	264	13	2	11%	8%	102	+1.9	236/292/353	117	257	12	3	13%	6%	80	+0.4	231/274/329	98	259	10	1	15%	4%	64	-0.3
●J.J. Hardy 2010 · MLB	27	50→55	52→55	41→30	52	255/314/418	164	275	20	2	16%	8%	107	+2.2	249/301/407	158	271	19	2	16%	7%	98	+1.6	244/288/408	164	252	22	1	14%	6%	89	+1.0
●Jay Payton 2001 · MLB	28	55→61	51→55	36→50	50	278/324/434	157	288	19	7	12%	6%	115	+2.8	280/327/442	162	296	19	7	12%	6%	118	+3.0	286/342/455	169	299	19	5	11%	7%	124	+3.1
●Manny Rodriguez 2010 · AAA	28	53→63	47→55	38→50	47	264/307/406	142	282	14	5	13%	5%	100	+1.7	245/288/400	155	267	17	9	15%	5%	92	+1.2	263/302/420	157	280	20	10	14%	3%	104	+1.5
●Martín Prado 2012 · MLB	28	56→65	47→50	38→45	51	277/323/415	138	294	14	5	11%	6%	109	+2.4	280/332/412	132	300	12	8	10%	7%	111	+2.5	282/335/411	129	303	11	7	10%	7%	110	+2.6
●John Buck 2007 · MLB	27	48→53	50→60	38→30	45	242/296/397	154	286	18	3	22%	6%	94	+1.3	232/305/406	174	276	20	2	23%	8%	100	+1.7	251/312/435	184	301	23	1	24%	7%	105	+1.4
✕Colin Moran 2020 · MLB	27	55→57	49→55	35→30	47	272/325/423	151	324	17	2	21%	7%	112	+2.6	250/316/408	158	312	19	3	25%	8%	105	+2.1	230/303/380	150	291	19	1	27%	9%	91	+0.6
✕Josmil Pinto 2015 · MLB	26	50→59	51→55	36→40	50	252/317/415	163	297	18	2	22%	8%	107	+2.2	227/281/365	138	284	16	3	25%	7%	79	+0.3	212/260/339	127	267	16	0	26%	5%	60	-0.5
●Alex Gonzalez 2004 · MLB	27	50→55	49→55	39→40	46	248/307/409	161	283	15	3	19%	6%	102	+1.8	245/295/402	157	281	16	4	19%	6%	95	+1.4	247/294/416	169	272	19	1	17%	5%	94	+1.1
●Joe Crede 2005 · MLB	27	48→53	54→60	38→30	48	249/303/427	178	258	22	2	15%	6%	105	+2.1	257/306/449	192	259	26	2	13%	6%	112	+2.6	258/305/453	194	255	27	0	12%	5%	110	+1.6
✕Devin Mesoraco 2015 · MLB	27	47→49	56→60	35→40	50	250/323/441	191	280	24	3	21%	8%	117	+2.9	230/314/393	163	269	19	6	22%	9%	101	+1.8	206/298/365	159	231	21	1	21%	9%	83	+0.2
✕Ronny Paulino 2009 · MLB	28	53→63	45→50	39→40	48	258/311/384	126	303	12	3	19%	7%	96	+1.5	256/312/379	123	299	12	4	18%	8%	95	+1.4	258/303/372	115	296	14	3	18%	6%	88	+0.4
●Cesar Tapia 2009 · AAA	26	57→60	46→55	40→50	48	280/324/412	132	297	13	5	11%	5%	109	+2.4	267/311/371	104	290	10	6	11%	5%	92	+1.2	254/298/417	162	271	21	11	15%	5%	99	+0.9
●Robinson Chirinos 2011 · AAA	27	50→46	53→60	39→50	51	257/329/436	179	284	20	4	18%	8%	118	+3.0	236/304/369	133	286	14	4	22%	8%	90	+1.0	230/343/435	205	296	26	2	29%	11%	122	+2.1
●Matthew LeCroy 2003 · MLB	27	49	54→55	38→30	48	253/307/438	185	284	21	4	20%	7%	109	+2.4	271/331/457	186	317	24	3	22%	7%	124	+3.4	272/340/454	182	319	26	0	22%	8%	124	+1.9
●Saul Soto 2007 · AAA	28	53→63	51→60	38→45	48	268/318/431	163	292	19	4	16%	6%	111	+2.5	273/323/460	187	300	24	4	18%	6%	122	+3.3	286/340/482	197	312	26	2	17%	7%	131	+2.7