Edgar Quero
C Chicago White Sox| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | AAA/AACWS | 402 | .280/.368/.463 | 16 | 1 | 105 | — | .264/.331/.424 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAACWS | 63 | .333/.452/.412 | 1 | 0 | 116 | — | .315/.403/.389 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLBCWS | 403 | .268/.334/.356 | 5 | 0 | 98 | 0.9 | |
| 2026 | 23 | AAACWS | 122 | .229/.311/.284 | 1 | 0 | 52 | — | .223/.287/.277 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLBCWS | 217 | .203/.290/.257 | 3 | 1 | 56 | -0.0 | |
| 2027PROJ | 24 | MLBCWS | 238 | .234/.308/.335 | 4 | 1 | 83 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ65% MLB | 25 | MLBCWS | 247 | .235/.310/.339 | 5 | 1 | 85 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ65% MLB | 26 | MLBCWS | 254 | .235/.310/.338 | 5 | 1 | 85 | 0.1 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 42 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 325 | 353 | 678 | 147 | 316 | 38 | 12 | 297 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 116 | 87 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 253 | 440 | 506 | 945 | 253 | 327 | 24 | 20 | 421 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 515 | 413 | 129 | 35 | 2 | 17 | 73 | 91 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 312 | 438 | 530 | 968 | 218 | 360 | 18 | 14 | 423 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 455 | 368 | 94 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 72 | 76 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 255 | 387 | 351 | 738 | 95 | 299 | 17 | 16 | 338 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 110 | 95 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 295 | 385 | 463 | 848 | 168 | 338 | 19 | 12 | 376 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 292 | 255 | 70 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 26 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 275 | 362 | 463 | 825 | 188 | 296 | 17 | 9 | 366 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 403 | 365 | 98 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 71 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 268 | 334 | 356 | 690 | 88 | 320 | 18 | 8 | 313 | 98 | -1 | -0 | -6 | +8 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 63 | 51 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 452 | 412 | 863 | 78 | 432 | 22 | 17 | 391 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 217 | 187 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 290 | 257 | 547 | 53 | 240 | 20 | 8 | 251 | 56 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 122 | 109 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 311 | 284 | 596 | 55 | 273 | 16 | 9 | 279 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 620 | 552 | 136 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 50 | 114 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 319 | 322 | 642 | 76 | 293 | 18 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -12 | -0 | -6 | +14 | +13 | 1.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 42 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 275 | 314 | 589 | 143 | 291 | 52 | 10 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 116 | 95 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 168 | 319 | 337 | 656 | 168 | 253 | 34 | 13 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 515 | 435 | 116 | 30 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 125 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 267 | 373 | 455 | 828 | 189 | 322 | 24 | 10 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 455 | 388 | 90 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 52 | 99 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 232 | 333 | 317 | 650 | 85 | 283 | 22 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 110 | 99 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 339 | 404 | 743 | 131 | 326 | 23 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 292 | 264 | 69 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 328 | 432 | 759 | 170 | 291 | 21 | 6 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 403 | 365 | 98 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 71 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 268 | 334 | 356 | 690 | 88 | 320 | 18 | 8 | 312 | 98 | -1 | -0 | -6 | +8 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 63 | 54 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 315 | 403 | 389 | 792 | 74 | 414 | 27 | 13 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 217 | 187 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 290 | 257 | 547 | 53 | 240 | 20 | 8 | 251 | 56 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 122 | 112 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 287 | 277 | 564 | 54 | 267 | 20 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 158 | 130 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 63 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 169 | 308 | 308 | 615 | 138 | 288 | 40 | 12 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 158 | 121 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 44 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 240 | 410 | 463 | 873 | 223 | 324 | 28 | 18 | 388 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 515 | 435 | 116 | 30 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 125 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 267 | 373 | 455 | 828 | 189 | 333 | 24 | 10 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A RAW | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 515 | 413 | 129 | 35 | 2 | 17 | 73 | 91 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 312 | 438 | 530 | 968 | 218 | 360 | 18 | 14 | 423 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 455 | 388 | 90 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 52 | 99 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 232 | 333 | 317 | 650 | 85 | 291 | 22 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 455 | 368 | 94 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 72 | 76 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 255 | 387 | 351 | 738 | 95 | 299 | 17 | 16 | 338 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 402 | 363 | 95 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 26 | 86 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 262 | 328 | 419 | 747 | 157 | 305 | 21 | 6 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 402 | 350 | 98 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 39 | 70 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 280 | 368 | 463 | 831 | 183 | 307 | 17 | 10 | 368 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 419 | 114 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 88 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 272 | 341 | 351 | 692 | 79 | 331 | 19 | 9 | 316 | 100 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +8 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 466 | 416 | 115 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 43 | 85 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 276 | 350 | 363 | 713 | 87 | 332 | 18 | 9 | 324 | 100 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +8 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 339 | 299 | 63 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 67 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 289 | 264 | 553 | 54 | 253 | 20 | 8 | 249 | 54 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 339 | 296 | 63 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 63 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 298 | 267 | 565 | 54 | 252 | 19 | 9 | 261 | 54 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 158 | 131 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 63 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 168 | 308 | 305 | 613 | 137 | 263 | 40 | 12 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 515 | 436 | 116 | 30 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 125 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 266 | 373 | 454 | 827 | 188 | 322 | 24 | 10 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 455 | 393 | 90 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 52 | 99 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 229 | 333 | 313 | 646 | 84 | 283 | 22 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 402 | 363 | 95 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 26 | 86 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 262 | 328 | 419 | 747 | 157 | 301 | 21 | 6 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 419 | 114 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 88 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 272 | 341 | 351 | 692 | 79 | 332 | 19 | 9 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 339 | 303 | 63 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 67 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 289 | 261 | 550 | 53 | 250 | 20 | 8 | 249 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 402 | 363 | 95 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 26 | 86 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 262 | 328 | 419 | 747 | 157 | 301 | 21 | 6 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 419 | 114 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 88 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 272 | 341 | 351 | 692 | 79 | 332 | 19 | 9 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 339 | 303 | 63 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 67 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 289 | 261 | 550 | 53 | 250 | 20 | 8 | 249 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | CWS | 100% | 449 | 403 | 94 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 86 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 234 | 308 | 333 | 641 | 99 | 276 | 19 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -9 | +0 | -9 | +8 | +10 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | CWS | 100% | 238 | 214 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 46 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 308 | 335 | 643 | 100 | 277 | 19 | 8 | 292 | 83 | -5 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | CWS | 65% | 380 | 341 | 80 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 73 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 235 | 309 | 337 | 646 | 102 | 276 | 19 | 8 | 293 | 85 | -7 | +0 | -7 | +7 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | CWS | 65% | 391 | 350 | 82 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 75 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 234 | 309 | 336 | 646 | 102 | 276 | 19 | 8 | 293 | 85 | -7 | -0 | -8 | +7 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | CWS | 65% | 386 | 346 | 81 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 75 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 308 | 334 | 642 | 100 | 276 | 19 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -8 | -0 | -7 | +7 | +8 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | CWS | 65% | 379 | 340 | 79 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 74 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 306 | 329 | 635 | 97 | 275 | 20 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -8 | +0 | -8 | +7 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | CWS | 65% | 364 | 326 | 75 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 72 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 303 | 322 | 626 | 93 | 273 | 20 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -9 | +0 | -8 | +7 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | CWS | 65% | 351 | 314 | 71 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 71 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 299 | 314 | 613 | 88 | 271 | 20 | 8 | 280 | 76 | -10 | +0 | -9 | +6 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB MLE | CWS | 65% | 315 | 283 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 65 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 294 | 303 | 597 | 82 | 268 | 21 | 8 | 274 | 71 | -11 | +0 | -9 | +6 | +7 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | CWS | 65% | 247 | 221 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 47 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 310 | 339 | 649 | 104 | 277 | 19 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -4 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | CWS | 65% | 254 | 227 | 54 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 49 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 310 | 338 | 648 | 103 | 277 | 19 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -5 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | CWS | 65% | 251 | 224 | 52 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 48 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 309 | 336 | 645 | 102 | 276 | 19 | 8 | 293 | 84 | -5 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | CWS | 65% | 246 | 221 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 48 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 232 | 307 | 331 | 638 | 99 | 275 | 20 | 8 | 290 | 82 | -5 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | CWS | 65% | 237 | 212 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 47 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 304 | 324 | 628 | 95 | 274 | 20 | 8 | 286 | 79 | -6 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | CWS | 65% | 228 | 204 | 47 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 300 | 316 | 616 | 90 | 272 | 20 | 8 | 281 | 76 | -7 | +0 | -6 | +4 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB CTX | CWS | 65% | 205 | 183 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 295 | 305 | 599 | 83 | 268 | 20 | 8 | 275 | 71 | -7 | +0 | -6 | +4 | +4 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2288 | 2044 | 482 | 70 | 2 | 38 | 188 | 441 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 236 | 310 | 328 | 638 | 92 | 281 | 19 | 8 | 289 | 87 | -51 | +1 | -43 | +44 | +50 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 581 | 138 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 53 | 125 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 238 | 311 | 332 | 643 | 95 | 283 | 19 | 8 | 289 | 87 | -14 | +0 | -12 | +13 | +14 | 0.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5139 | 4548 | 1082 | 178 | 9 | 96 | 445 | 1079 | 94 | 26 | 13 | 238 | 319 | 344 | 663 | 106 | 289 | 21 | 9 | 297 | 87 | -77 | +0 | -67 | +64 | +74 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 575 | 137 | 23 | 1 | 12 | 56 | 136 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 238 | 318 | 344 | 663 | 106 | 289 | 21 | 9 | 297 | 87 | -15 | +0 | -13 | +12 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAACharlotte Knights · 122 PAwOBA .273 → .245 (−28)K% 16.4% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.39% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.020 | ×1.050 | 23.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×1.050 | 3.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.020 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.83% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .273 → .245; ISO .055 → .044; BABIP .273 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAACharlotte Knights · 63 PAwOBA .388 → .340 (−48)K% 22.2% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.46% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 12.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 40.54% | ÷1.002 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 39.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.980 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 2.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.961 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.320 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.51% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 92, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .388 → .340; ISO .078 → .052; BABIP .432 → .414. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABirmingham Barons · 292 PAwOBA .358 → .324 (−34)K% 16.8% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.78% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.90% | ÷1.081 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 5.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.08% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 2.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.33% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.050 | 22.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.83% | ÷0.990 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×1.050 | 5.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.044 | ×0.880 | ×1.008 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.83% | ÷0.935 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 5.23% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 109, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .358 → .324; ISO .188 → .172; BABIP .296 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAACharlotte Knights · 110 PAwOBA .370 → .322 (−48)K% 19.1% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.09% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.82% | ÷1.025 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.91% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.03% | ÷1.033 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 26.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 4.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.91% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 107, 2B 99, 3B 110, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .370 → .322; ISO .168 → .131; BABIP .338 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABirmingham Barons · 455 PAwOBA .336 → .295 (−42)K% 16.7% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.70% | ÷0.938 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.82% | ÷0.995 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 11.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷1.069 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×1.050 | 22.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.82% | ÷0.961 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | ×1.050 | 5.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.880 | ×1.030 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.05% | ÷1.013 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.70% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 93, K 88, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .336 → .295; ISO .095 → .090; BABIP .299 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AInland Empire 66ers · 515 PAwOBA .417 → .355 (−62)K% 17.7% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.67% | ÷0.991 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.17% | ÷0.995 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 10.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.08% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 3.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.29% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.045 | 21.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.87% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×1.045 | 9.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.006 | ×0.910 | ×1.002 | ×1.045 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.28% | ÷0.889 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 4.97% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 101, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .417 → .355; ISO .218 → .196; BABIP .360 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Angels · 116 PAwOBA .411 → .287 (−124)K% 24.1% → 34.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.14% | ÷1.003 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.83% | ÷0.952 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 13.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.17% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 3.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.25% | ÷0.987 | ×0.820 | ×1.032 | ×1.022 | 13.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.56% | ÷1.081 | ×0.720 | ×1.032 | ×1.022 | 9.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.024 | ×0.720 | ×1.032 | ×1.022 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.78% | ÷1.179 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 4.58% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 97, 2B 116, 3B 105, K 101, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .411 → .287; ISO .253 → .166; BABIP .327 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AInland Empire 66ers · 42 PAwOBA .305 → .231 (−73)K% 38.1% → 53.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.10% | ÷0.969 | ×1.360 | — | — | 53.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.90% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 1.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 21.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.940 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 10.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.023 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 4.56% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .305 → .231; ISO .147 → .106; BABIP .316 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).