Tanner Morris — OGILVIE

Tanner MorrisSS St. Paul Saints

Age 28 L/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%27

BB%7

BABIP299

ISO71

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	470	397	113	19	3	7	58	90	7	4	1	285	384	401	785	116	348	19	12	352	124	+14	+0	—	—	+10	2.5
2022	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	126	98	17	0	0	0	25	25	2	0	2	173	352	173	525		233	20	20	272	70	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2022	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	186	154	48	7	1	5	30	30	2	1	3	312	430	468	898	156	361	16	16	404	159	+13	-1	—	—	+4	1.6
2022	24	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	59	43	12	1	0	1	15	9	0	0	0	279	458	372	830	93	333	15	25	388	149	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	411	345	97	21	0	6	61	81	2	1	1	281	391	394	785	113	350	20	15	357	128	+14	-0	—	—	+9	2.3
2024	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	57	47	7	3	0	0	9	14	0	1	0	149	286	213	498	64	206	25	16	241	49	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	470	413	103	17	2	6	43	123	7	4	1	249	330	344	674	94	325	26	9	299	88	-6	+0	—	—	+10	0.4
2022	24	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	126	106	18	0	0	0	17	29	2	0	2	170	296	170	466		231	23	13	228	40	-9	-1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2022	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	186	161	45	6	1	4	23	36	2	1	3	280	376	404	780	124	341	19	12	344	119	+4	-1	—	—	+4	0.7
2023	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	411	365	90	18	0	5	42	100	2	1	1	247	328	337	665	90	318	24	10	295	86	-7	-0	—	—	+9	0.2
2024	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	57	50	7	3	0	0	6	17	0	1	0	140	232	200	432	60	182	30	11	194	17	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2021	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	470	413	103	17	2	6	43	123	7	4	1	249	330	344	674	94	336	26	9	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	470	397	113	19	3	7	58	90	7	4	1	285	384	401	785	116	348	19	12	352	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	371	319	75	7	1	5	47	78	4	1	5	235	341	310	651	75	297	21	13	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	371	295	77	8	1	6	70	64	4	1	5	261	408	356	764	95	316	17	19	356	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	411	365	90	18	0	5	42	100	2	1	1	247	328	337	665	90	324	24	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	411	345	97	21	0	6	61	81	2	1	1	281	391	394	785	113	350	20	15	357	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	57	50	7	3	0	0	6	17	0	1	0	140	232	200	432	60	206	30	11	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	—	57	47	7	3	0	0	9	14	0	1	0	149	286	213	498	64	206	25	16	241	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	470	417	103	17	2	6	43	123	7	4	1	247	330	341	671	94	325	26	9	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	371	317	75	7	1	5	47	78	4	1	5	237	341	312	653	76	297	21	13	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	411	364	90	18	0	5	42	100	2	1	1	247	328	338	666	91	318	24	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	57	51	7	3	0	0	6	17	0	1	0	137	232	196	428	59	182	30	11	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	411	364	90	18	0	5	42	100	2	1	1	247	328	338	666	91	318	24	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	57	51	7	3	0	0	6	17	0	1	0	137	232	196	428	59	182	30	11	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	MIN	10%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	299	27	7	294	85	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.4
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	28	MLB CTX	MIN	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						299	0	0	289	85	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	MIN	33%	243	217	50	10	1	4	22	60	2	3	1	230	307	341	648	111	298	25	9	295	86	-4	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIN	46%	290	259	59	12	1	5	27	71	2	4	1	228	306	340	645	112	296	24	9	295	86	-5	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.3
2029	31	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	287	257	59	12	1	5	26	71	2	3	1	230	305	342	648	113	294	25	9	293	84	-5	+0	-3	+3	+6	0.1
2030	32	MLB MLE	MIN	58%	275	246	56	11	1	5	25	69	2	2	1	228	304	341	645	114	291	25	9	288	81	-6	+0	-4	+3	+6	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	MIN	33%	79	71	15	3	0	1	7	19	1	1	0	211	291	296	587	85	298	24	9	290	86	-1	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIN	46%	133	119	27	6	0	2	12	33	1	2	0	227	303	328	631	101	297	25	9	290	86	-2	+0	-1	+1	+3	0.2
2029	31	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	154	138	32	6	1	3	14	38	1	2	0	232	307	355	662	123	294	25	9	287	84	-3	+0	-2	+2	+3	0.1
2030	32	MLB CTX	MIN	58%	160	144	33	7	1	3	14	40	1	1	0	229	302	354	656	125	291	25	9	283	81	-4	+0	-2	+2	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	526	472	107	22	2	9	47	130	4	6	0	227	302	339	641	112	292	25	9	287	84	-10	+1	-5	+6	+11	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	131	27	2	11	58	161	5	7	0	225	300	334	635	110	289	25	9	287	84	-12	+1	-6	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2419	2140	502	91	7	35	239	593	21	19	11	235	318	333	650	98	306	25	10	293	84	-21	+1	-10	+12	+24	0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	134	24	2	9	64	159	6	5	3	233	316	329	645	96	305	24	10	293	84	-12	+0	-6	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jack Hannahanlast yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,867 PA	2.8	1,867	29	6	232	315	348	+6	+29	6.2	6.2
/162	664	10	2	+2.0	+10.4	2.2	pk7: 6
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Alfredo Amezagalast yr '11 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,550 PA	2.3	1,550	12	47	245	306	330	+7	+41	5.3	5.3
/162	664	5	20	+3.1	+17.4	2.3	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.8	543	9	6	230	303	342	+6	+6	0.9	0.9
/162	664	11	7	+7.1	+7.3	1.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tanner Morris (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	230/306/339	109	299	3	3	25%	9%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bruce Maxwell 2019 · MLB	28	47→49	42→45	46→30	47	225/289/335	110	303	10	3	28%	8%	78	-0.3	237/298/379	142	304	17	4	26%	8%	91	+0.7	251/312/409	158	302	21	0	23%	8%	101	+1.2
✕Vimael Machín 2022 · MLB	28	48→54	43→45	49→50	49	232/297/349	117	278	10	5	20%	8%	83	+0.1	234/301/333	99	281	8	4	18%	8%	81	-0.1	240/299/346	106	287	10	7	19%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Chris Herrmann 2016 · MLB	28	44→49	42→50	51→50	44	215/273/326	110	279	9	8	25%	7%	69	-0.9	221/298/372	151	284	17	10	27%	10%	90	+0.6	214/305/376	161	274	20	8	28%	11%	91	+0.3
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB	28	37→42	48→50	46→40	51	191/287/338	147	263	16	6	32%	11%	78	-0.3	209/288/344	135	322	14	7	36%	10%	80	-0.2	198/279/320	122	316	13	4	38%	10%	69	-0.8
✕Jeff Fiorentino 2011 · MLB	28	50→53	43→50	51→50	50	244/303/359	115	293	10	15	20%	8%	88	+0.4	222/289/341	119	269	11	10	21%	8%	79	-0.2	213/286/331	119	256	11	8	20%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Andrew Knizner 2022 · MLB	27	43	43→50	48→40	51	213/294/325	112	254	11	6	21%	8%	78	-0.3	220/289/340	120	271	13	4	23%	7%	79	-0.2	227/296/347	120	278	14	3	22%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Nolan Fontana 2019 · MLB	28	41→43	43→40	51→50	51	199/287/314	115	269	9	12	28%	11%	73	-0.6	204/293/327	123	297	12	10	32%	10%	78	-0.3	122/235/206	84	191	10	0	38%	11%	30	-0.8
✕Ryan Lavarnway 2016 · MLB	28	48→46	42→55	46→30	50	234/306/339	105	288	9	4	21%	8%	84	+0.2	226/292/330	104	287	10	3	23%	8%	78	-0.3	221/289/366	145	274	17	0	25%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2019 · AAA	28	50	43→45	47→50	45	246/301/357	111	306	11	10	23%	7%	86	+0.3	250/316/363	113	325	12	9	25%	8%	94	+0.9	259/328/357	98	338	10	5	25%	8%	97	+0.7
✕Matt Thaiss 2023 · MLB	28	46→50	48→50	52→45	49	232/305/379	147	290	16	8	25%	9%	93	+0.8	220/316/340	120	293	13	8	27%	11%	90	+0.6	205/321/302	97	279	10	5	27%	13%	81	-0.0
✕Tug Hulett 2011 · MLB	28	42→52	44→45	47→50	51	208/285/333	124	259	11	10	23%	9%	76	-0.4	228/288/331	103	286	8	9	22%	8%	76	-0.4	241/295/333	92	301	6	8	21%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Andrew Knapp 2020 · MLB	28	47→55	43→45	49→40	52	221/317/337	116	321	10	5	31%	11%	89	+0.5	212/296/337	125	299	13	4	31%	10%	82	-0.0	204/275/329	125	281	14	2	31%	8%	69	-0.5
✕Mitchell Tolman 2022 · AAA	28	45→47	44→45	47→50	42	220/285/343	123	290	11	8	27%	6%	78	-0.3	229/300/362	133	293	12	9	25%	8%	88	+0.4	227/305/358	130	286	11	7	23%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→49	48→50	48→45	49	234/302/373	139	276	17	6	22%	8%	91	+0.7	239/300/372	133	305	15	6	25%	8%	90	+0.6	230/288/352	123	295	14	6	26%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Garrett Stubbs 2022 · MLB	29	45	42→45	53→50	53	218/303/322	104	272	9	15	22%	10%	80	-0.1	228/308/344	116	295	11	12	25%	10%	86	+0.3	217/300/314	97	286	9	12	25%	9%	76	-0.1
✕Cody Asche 2018 · MLB	28	43→53	47→50	46→45	46	218/284/351	132	279	14	6	27%	8%	80	-0.2	199/270/324	125	280	13	6	32%	8%	68	-1.0	168/230/297	130	232	13	0	33%	7%	44	-1.7
✕Scott Moore 2012 · MLB	28	46→51	45→55	47→50	46	229/291/349	121	283	13	7	24%	7%	82	-0.0	227/294/372	145	288	16	4	26%	7%	88	+0.5	213/284/357	145	269	16	1	26%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Bryan Anderson 2015 · MLB	28	45→55	46→45	44→30	45	226/286/358	132	287	13	4	26%	7%	82	-0.0	201/256/309	108	290	10	4	32%	6%	59	-1.6	164/217/246	82	251	6	0	36%	5%	28	-1.6
✕Russ Adams 2009 · MLB	28	45→53	43→45	47→45	48	224/279/336	112	259	11	9	19%	7%	74	-0.6	220/273/339	119	258	12	8	19%	6%	72	-0.7	220/270/341	121	256	11	4	19%	6%	69	-0.5
✕José Godoy 2022 · MLB	27	50	42→45	47→30	42	243/287/346	103	302	10	4	23%	5%	79	-0.2	216/267/315	99	280	11	6	26%	6%	64	-1.3	192/247/279	87	249	12	3	27%	6%	46	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps