Michael PapierskiC
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 30
S/R
6'3" / 224 lbs
AAA
HR +3%
Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
peak 0.5 · 2026
wRC+†77
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .294 / .331
PA250
HR5
K%25
BB%9
xwOBA.219
Barrel%0.0%
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
43→43
PWR
31→31
SPD
27→27
EYE
57↘47
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-2
MLB Debut 2022
Service 4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2027
First FA Year 2028
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-2 | $2M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.5M |
| 2027 | Arb-3 | $2M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $4M | $4M | +$0.5M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 369 | 314 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 47 | 90 | 8 | 4 | 1 | .153 | .279 | .220 | .499 | .067 | .200 | 24 | 13 | .237 | 40 | -25 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 446 | 397 | 70 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 146 | 8 | 2 | 7 | .176 | .262 | .247 | .509 | .071 | .259 | 33 | 9 | .230 | 34 | -33 | -2 | +0 | +8 | +13 | -1.5 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Skeeters | 410 | 350 | 70 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 47 | 109 | 9 | 1 | 5 | .200 | .310 | .303 | .613 | .103 | .269 | 27 | 11 | .278 | 71 | -13 | -2 | +0 | +7 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | 2 teams | 325 | 290 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 74 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .179 | .256 | .255 | .511 | .076 | .220 | 23 | 8 | .232 | 36 | -23 | +0 | -3 | +6 | +9 | -1.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | 2 teams | 378 | 334 | 76 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 97 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .228 | .308 | .353 | .662 | .126 | .289 | 26 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 336 | 292 | 56 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 86 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .192 | .285 | .281 | .566 | .089 | .251 | 26 | 10 | .260 | 57 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +10 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 250 | 222 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 63 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .216 | .298 | .338 | .636 | .122 | .273 | 25 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB 20% | SEA | 350 | 311 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 88 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .215 | .297 | .334 | .631 | .119 | .274 | 25 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -9 | +0 | -3 | +6 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB 33% | SEA | 321 | 286 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 82 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .210 | .289 | .322 | .611 | .112 | .274 | 26 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -9 | +0 | -3 | +6 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB 43% | SEA | 284 | 253 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 74 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .213 | .294 | .336 | .630 | .123 | .273 | 26 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -9 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB 52% | SEA | 237 | 212 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .208 | .285 | .316 | .601 | .108 | .272 | 27 | 9 | .276 | 69 | -8 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB 70% | SEA | 184 | 164 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .207 | .286 | .317 | .603 | .110 | .269 | 28 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -8 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3890 | 3425 | 679 | 130 | 9 | 65 | 375 | 1024 | 53 | 14 | 15 | .198 | .287 | .298 | .586 | .100 | .260 | 26 | 10 | .266 | 62 | -168 | -3 | -23 | +69 | +110 | -1.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 572 | 114 | 22 | 2 | 11 | 63 | 171 | 9 | 2 | 3 | .199 | .289 | .302 | .591 | .103 | .261 | 26 | 10 | .266 | 62 | -28 | -1 | -4 | +12 | +18 | -0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 369 | 297 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 64 | 69 | 8 | 4 | 1 | .185 | .344 | .276 | .620 | .091 | .224 | 19 | 17 | .300 | 88 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 446 | 374 | 87 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 61 | 101 | 8 | 2 | 7 | .233 | .352 | .324 | .676 | .091 | .299 | 23 | 14 | .315 | 99 | -1 | -2 | — | — | +13 | 1.0 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Skeeters | 410 | 333 | 82 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 64 | 85 | 9 | 1 | 5 | .246 | .382 | .375 | .757 | .129 | .307 | 21 | 16 | .346 | 123 | +11 | -2 | — | — | +12 | 2.1 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 103 | 91 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .228 | .187 | .415 | .044 | .188 | 25 | 10 | .197 | 9 | -11 | +0 | -3 | +6 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 222 | 190 | 44 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .232 | .333 | .363 | .696 | .132 | .257 | 18 | 12 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 305 | 256 | 68 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 65 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .266 | .375 | .422 | .797 | .156 | .321 | 21 | 14 | .356 | 130 | +10 | +0 | — | — | +9 | 1.9 |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | 73 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .176 | .417 | .373 | .789 | .196 | .200 | 19 | 27 | .365 | 138 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 336 | 277 | 67 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 49 | 67 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .242 | .364 | .372 | .735 | .130 | .292 | 20 | 15 | .332 | 112 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +10 | 1.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 103 | 91 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .228 | .187 | .415 | .044 | .188 | 25 | 10 | .197 | 9 | -11 | +0 | -3 | +6 | +3 | -0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Michael Papierski (OGILVIE) | 30 | 43 | 31 | 27 | 47 | .213/.294/.331 | .118 | .273 | 5 | 2 | 25% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Bryan Holaday 2018 · MLB |
30 | 45 | 47→45 | 37→40 | 42 | .226/.271/.359 | .133 | .262 | 14 | 3 | 20% | 4% | 73 | -0.1 | .227/.286/.345 | .118 | .263 | 12 | 4 | 18% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .217/.286/.341 | .124 | .252 | 13 | 2 | 19% | 7% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2014 · AAA |
30 | 47 | 42→45 | 41→45 | 46 | .228/.305/.333 | .105 | .297 | 10 | 7 | 25% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .217/.279/.326 | .109 | .281 | 11 | 6 | 26% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .192/.248/.279 | .087 | .239 | 11 | 0 | 24% | 5% | 43 | -0.6 |
|
✕Francisco Cordoba 2014 · AAA |
30 | 47→53 | 47→45 | 35→40 | 42 | .239/.283/.368 | .129 | .293 | 16 | 4 | 24% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .238/.286/.357 | .119 | .291 | 14 | 3 | 23% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .227/.280/.329 | .102 | .277 | 11 | 2 | 22% | 5% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jaime Pedroza 2017 · AAA |
30 | 47→52 | 45 | 42→50 | 43 | .233/.285/.360 | .127 | .290 | 12 | 9 | 24% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .243/.311/.368 | .125 | .316 | 12 | 11 | 25% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .267/.350/.381 | .115 | .359 | 10 | 11 | 26% | 10% | 113 | +0.8 |
|
✕Ed Easley 2016 · AAA |
30 | 49→42 | 42→45 | 37→40 | 47 | .238/.295/.342 | .104 | .284 | 9 | 4 | 19% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .212/.270/.303 | .091 | .256 | 9 | 6 | 20% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .163/.218/.194 | .030 | .194 | 4 | 0 | 18% | 6% | 7 | -1.0 |
|
✕Alejandro Gonzalez 2015 · AAA |
29 | 48→50 | 44→45 | 40→50 | 46 | .235/.309/.349 | .114 | .295 | 12 | 7 | 24% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .235/.293/.334 | .099 | .318 | 9 | 6 | 28% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .237/.296/.341 | .104 | .325 | 7 | 12 | 27% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Rob Johnson 2011 · MLB |
29 | 47→52 | 42→45 | 41→50 | 51 | .226/.296/.335 | .110 | .273 | 8 | 5 | 20% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .207/.274/.317 | .110 | .259 | 10 | 7 | 23% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .194/.249/.297 | .103 | .237 | 11 | 5 | 23% | 6% | 43 | -0.8 |
|
✕Juan Melo 2007 · AAA |
30 | 49→46 | 43→45 | 41→40 | 42 | .243/.279/.350 | .107 | .284 | 11 | 5 | 19% | 4% | 73 | -0.1 | .232/.275/.339 | .107 | .275 | 11 | 6 | 20% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .227/.275/.319 | .092 | .261 | 10 | 2 | 17% | 5% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Tony Cruz 2017 · MLB |
30 | 45→37 | 42→45 | 41→40 | 46 | .219/.274/.320 | .101 | .276 | 9 | 5 | 24% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .218/.270/.342 | .124 | .289 | 14 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .219/.269/.342 | .123 | .294 | 15 | 0 | 30% | 4% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Enrique Wilson 2003 · MLB |
30 | 47 | 43→45 | 39→40 | 48 | .228/.275/.339 | .111 | .253 | 10 | 5 | 15% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .219/.270/.342 | .123 | .230 | 13 | 7 | 12% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .207/.256/.315 | .108 | .210 | 11 | 6 | 8% | 6% | 53 | -0.5 |
|
✕Curt Casali 2019 · MLB |
30 | 47 | 45→50 | 39→30 | 47 | .233/.299/.350 | .117 | .289 | 13 | 3 | 24% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .239/.318/.393 | .154 | .299 | 18 | 5 | 25% | 9% | 102 | +1.9 | .216/.315/.356 | .139 | .285 | 17 | 0 | 28% | 11% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Luke Carlin 2010 · MLB |
29 | 46 | 41→45 | 40→45 | 51 | .219/.300/.321 | .102 | .296 | 9 | 5 | 27% | 10% | 76 | +0.0 | .222/.300/.327 | .105 | .284 | 10 | 7 | 24% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 | .209/.290/.294 | .085 | .258 | 8 | 3 | 21% | 10% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Kevin Flores 2015 · AAA |
30 | 55→51 | 42→45 | 36→45 | 44 | .266/.306/.366 | .099 | .305 | 10 | 2 | 17% | 5% | 89 | +0.9 | .246/.289/.330 | .084 | .300 | 7 | 4 | 19% | 4% | 72 | -0.2 | .234/.278/.302 | .068 | .290 | 4 | 3 | 20% | 4% | 57 | -0.6 |
|
✕Omar Mendoza 2014 · AAA |
31 | 49→54 | 41→45 | 40→45 | 45 | .240/.290/.332 | .092 | .298 | 10 | 7 | 22% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .234/.277/.315 | .081 | .304 | 8 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .239/.282/.290 | .051 | .317 | 2 | 2 | 24% | 6% | 54 | -0.5 |
|
✕Carlos Leon 2009 · AAA |
29 | 51→60 | 37→30 | 39→45 | 49 | .240/.309/.310 | .070 | .282 | 4 | 7 | 16% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .219/.288/.303 | .084 | .263 | 6 | 8 | 18% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .205/.281/.266 | .060 | .244 | 4 | 7 | 16% | 7% | 50 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jose Montenegro 2006 · AAA |
30 | 48 | 43→40 | 41→30 | 52 | .234/.291/.345 | .110 | .254 | 11 | 6 | 13% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .233/.293/.337 | .104 | .269 | 10 | 6 | 17% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .242/.315/.320 | .078 | .290 | 8 | 0 | 18% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕JD Closser 2010 · AAA |
30 | 43 | 42→50 | 42→45 | 49 | .211/.276/.312 | .102 | .264 | 9 | 6 | 24% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .221/.276/.313 | .092 | .275 | 9 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .215/.272/.299 | .083 | .260 | 10 | 5 | 21% | 7% | 55 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ivan Bellazetin 2017 · AAA |
30 | 51→52 | 40 | 39→55 | 43 | .243/.282/.331 | .088 | .280 | 7 | 7 | 16% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .239/.281/.352 | .113 | .279 | 11 | 9 | 18% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 | .237/.278/.339 | .103 | .277 | 10 | 5 | 18% | 4% | 66 | -0.2 |
|
✕Brian Jeroloman 2016 · AAA |
31 | 41→38 | 38→40 | 38→40 | 50 | .198/.274/.269 | .071 | .264 | 6 | 3 | 26% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .212/.289/.297 | .085 | .285 | 6 | 6 | 25% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .198/.284/.262 | .064 | .282 | 0 | 0 | 27% | 10% | 51 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jose Castaneda 2015 · AAA |
30 | 46→49 | 43→45 | 40 | 41 | .227/.273/.331 | .104 | .280 | 11 | 5 | 23% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .209/.260/.320 | .111 | .276 | 13 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .165/.226/.263 | .098 | .223 | 15 | 3 | 33% | 6% | 26 | -1.1 |