Fernando Flores

PosC

B/TS/R

Born1991-08-21

Age (2027)35

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLPROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR
2023	31	INTLCharros de Ja…	89	.352/.360/.443	1	128	—
2024	32	INTLYaquis de Obr…	74	.188/.233/.275	1	40	—
2025	33	INTLMexico Verde	44	.195/.233/.390	2	67	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2011	19	AAA	Piratas de Campeche	—	50	44	14	0	1	0	3	7	1	4	0	318	375	364	739	45	368	14	6	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	AAA	Piratas de Campeche	—	342	318	90	21	2	6	14	60	1	4	1	283	315	418	734	135	331	18	4	317	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	68	62	15	3	0	0	2	13	1	0	0	242	277	290	567	48	306	19	3	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	AAA	Piratas de Campeche	—	304	269	61	8	1	3	22	46	0	2	2	227	285	297	583	71	261	15	7	256	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	133	120	37	3	1	3	11	24	1	1	1	308	371	425	796	117	366	18	8	355	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	AAA	Piratas de Campeche	—	376	339	93	12	4	3	27	51	1	1	3	274	330	360	690	86	312	14	7	305	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	132	122	28	5	0	0	4	20	3	0	0	230	271	270	542	41	275	15	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AAA	Piratas de Campeche	—	388	355	101	21	0	5	18	48	7	4	5	285	332	386	717	101	314	12	5	317	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	93	89	27	3	0	1	3	10	1	0	0	303	333	371	704	67	333	11	3	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AAA	Piratas de Campeche	—	381	350	103	21	1	9	21	67	3	1	3	294	340	437	777	143	338	18	6	339	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	224	204	46	9	0	3	15	33	0	1	1	225	279	314	592	88	253	15	7	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AAA	Piratas de Campeche	—	393	364	104	24	1	5	18	56	0	0	4	286	319	398	718	113	320	14	5	311	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	178	163	41	7	0	1	11	26	0	3	2	252	299	313	612	61	292	15	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	234	210	53	8	1	2	13	34	2	0	0	252	302	329	631	76	290	15	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AAA	Piratas de Campeche	—	171	150	34	5	0	2	12	29	0	0	0	227	284	300	584	73	260	17	7	254	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	179	158	34	7	0	5	18	34	0	0	1	215	295	354	650	139	240	19	10	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	128	112	23	2	0	1	12	16	1	0	2	205	288	250	538	45	229	12	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	INTL	Mexico	—	140	123	22	3	0	2	13	22	1	1	0	179	263	252	515	73	198	16	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	132	111	25	9	1	0	18	25	0	0	2	225	333	324	658	99	281	19	14	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	89	88	31	5	0	1	1	18	0	0	3	352	360	443	803	91	435	20	1	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	74	69	13	3	0	1	4	14	0	0	0	188	233	275	508	87	222	19	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	INTL	Mexico Verde	—	44	41	8	2	0	2	2	9	0	0	0	195	233	390	623	195	200	20	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2011	19	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	50	45	15	0	1	0	2	8	1	4	0	333	375	378	753	44	368	16	4	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	342	324	85	18	2	3	8	70	1	4	1	262	282	358	640	96	312	20	2	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	304	275	63	8	1	2	16	55	0	2	2	229	271	287	559	58	260	18	5	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	376	351	92	11	3	2	15	61	1	1	3	262	294	328	622	66	299	16	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	388	363	99	19	0	4	10	56	7	4	5	273	305	358	663	85	302	14	3	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	381	356	94	17	1	6	15	83	3	1	3	264	299	368	667	104	315	22	4	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	393	371	99	22	1	3	11	66	0	0	4	267	288	356	644	89	300	17	3	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	171	155	32	4	0	1	7	32	0	0	0	206	241	252	492	45	233	19	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	50	45	15	0	1	0	2	8	1	4	0	333	375	378	753	44	395	16	4	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	AAA RAW	Piratas de Campeche	—	50	44	14	0	1	0	3	7	1	4	0	318	375	364	739	45	368	14	6	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	410	387	103	22	3	4	9	84	2	4	1	266	286	370	656	103	329	20	2	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	410	380	105	24	2	6	16	73	2	4	1	276	309	397	706	121	327	18	4	305	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	437	399	90	11	1	3	23	80	1	3	3	226	270	281	550	55	274	18	5	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	437	389	98	11	2	6	33	70	1	3	3	252	312	337	649	85	292	16	8	286	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	508	472	124	15	5	2	20	82	4	1	3	263	298	328	627	66	312	16	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	508	461	121	17	4	3	31	71	4	1	3	262	315	336	651	74	303	14	6	289	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	481	452	122	24	0	4	13	70	8	4	5	270	302	350	652	80	309	15	3	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	481	444	128	24	0	6	21	58	8	4	5	288	332	383	715	95	318	12	4	317	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	605	566	149	27	2	9	24	132	3	2	4	263	297	366	663	102	325	22	4	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	605	554	149	30	1	12	36	100	3	2	4	269	317	392	709	123	306	17	6	311	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	571	541	143	32	1	4	15	95	0	3	6	264	284	349	634	85	310	17	3	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	571	527	145	31	1	6	29	82	0	3	6	275	313	372	685	97	312	14	5	299	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	INTL MLE	Mayos de Navojoa	—	234	210	53	8	1	2	13	34	2	0	0	252	302	329	631	76	290	15	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	INTL RAW	Mayos de Navojoa	—	234	210	53	8	1	2	13	34	2	0	0	252	302	329	631	76	290	15	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	350	323	67	9	0	3	15	66	0	0	1	207	243	263	506	56	246	19	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	350	308	68	12	0	7	30	63	0	0	1	221	290	328	618	107	250	18	9	272	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	INTL MLE	Mayos de Navojoa	—	128	112	23	2	0	1	12	16	1	0	2	205	288	250	538	45	229	12	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	INTL RAW	Mayos de Navojoa	—	128	112	23	2	0	1	12	16	1	0	2	205	288	250	538	45	229	12	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	INTL MLE	Mexico	—	140	123	22	3	0	2	13	22	1	1	0	179	263	252	515	73	198	16	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	INTL RAW	Mexico	—	140	123	22	3	0	2	13	22	1	1	0	179	263	252	515	73	198	16	9	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	INTL MLE	Charros de Jalisco	—	132	111	25	9	1	0	18	25	0	0	2	225	333	324	658	99	281	19	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	INTL RAW	Charros de Jalisco	—	132	111	25	9	1	0	18	25	0	0	2	225	333	324	658	99	281	19	14	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	INTL MLE	Charros de Jalisco	—	89	88	31	5	0	1	1	18	0	0	3	352	360	443	803	91	435	20	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	INTL RAW	Charros de Jalisco	—	89	88	31	5	0	1	1	18	0	0	3	352	360	443	803	91	435	20	1	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	INTL MLE	Yaquis de Obregon	—	74	69	13	3	0	1	4	14	0	0	0	188	233	275	508	87	222	19	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	INTL RAW	Yaquis de Obregon	—	74	69	13	3	0	1	4	14	0	0	0	188	233	275	508	87	222	19	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	INTL MLE	Mexico Verde	—	44	41	8	2	0	2	2	9	0	0	0	195	233	390	623	195	200	20	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	INTL RAW	Mexico Verde	—	44	41	8	2	0	2	2	9	0	0	0	195	233	390	623	195	200	20	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	AAA MLE	Piratas de Campeche	—	50	47	15	0	1	0	2	8	1	4	0	319	375	362	737	43	368	16	4	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	410	396	103	22	3	4	9	84	2	4	1	260	286	361	648	101	312	20	2	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	437	410	90	11	1	3	23	80	1	3	3	220	270	273	543	54	260	18	5	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	508	479	124	15	5	2	20	82	4	1	3	259	298	324	622	65	299	16	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	481	457	122	24	0	4	13	70	8	4	5	267	302	346	648	79	302	15	3	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	605	573	149	27	2	9	24	132	3	2	4	260	297	361	658	101	315	22	4	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	571	551	143	32	1	4	15	95	0	3	6	260	284	343	627	83	300	17	3	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	350	332	67	9	0	3	15	66	0	0	1	202	243	256	499	54	233	19	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4253	3939	988	172	15	38	184	755	23	22	30	251	288	331	619	80	298	18	4	216	32	-342	-8	+0	+76	+92	-18.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	151	26	2	6	28	115	4	3	5	251	289	331	619	80	298	18	4	216	32	-52	-1	+0	+12	+14	-2.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 171 PAwOBA .251 → .221 (−30)K% 17.0% → 19.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.96%	÷1.071	×1.200	—	—	19.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.43%	÷1.033	×0.690	—	×0.992	4.26%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.31%	÷0.954	×0.930	×0.950	×0.992	20.49%
Doubles /BIP	4.13%	÷0.971	×0.830	×0.950	×0.992	3.33%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.987	×0.920	×0.950	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.65%	÷1.196	×0.700	—	×0.992	0.96%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 114, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .251 → .221; ISO .073 → .054; BABIP .260 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 393 PAwOBA .305 → .277 (−27)K% 14.2% → 16.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.25%	÷1.024	×1.200	—	—	16.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.82%	÷0.986	×0.690	—	×1.018	2.72%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.03%	÷1.003	×0.930	×1.014	×1.018	23.01%
Doubles /BIP	7.79%	÷0.953	×0.830	×1.014	×1.018	7.01%
Triples /BIP	0.32%	÷0.959	×0.920	×1.014	×1.018	0.32%
Home runs /BIP	1.62%	÷1.263	×0.700	—	×1.018	0.92%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 92, K 105, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .305 → .277; ISO .113 → .091; BABIP .320 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 381 PAwOBA .334 → .286 (−48)K% 17.6% → 21.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.59%	÷0.966	×1.200	—	—	21.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.51%	÷0.984	×0.690	—	×1.033	3.99%
HBP% /PA	0.79%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.76%
Singles /BIP	25.44%	÷0.989	×0.930	×1.010	×1.033	24.94%
Doubles /BIP	7.42%	÷1.075	×0.830	×1.010	×1.033	5.98%
Triples /BIP	0.35%	÷0.900	×0.920	×1.010	×1.033	0.38%
Home runs /BIP	3.18%	÷1.132	×0.700	—	×1.033	2.03%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 98, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .334 → .286; ISO .143 → .102; BABIP .338 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 388 PAwOBA .310 → .288 (−22)K% 12.4% → 14.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.37%	÷1.025	×1.200	—	—	14.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.12%	÷1.132	×0.690	—	×1.048	2.63%
HBP% /PA	1.80%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	1.78%
Singles /BIP	24.43%	÷0.999	×0.930	×1.011	×1.048	24.10%
Doubles /BIP	6.84%	÷0.981	×0.830	×1.011	×1.048	6.13%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.920	×1.011	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.63%	÷1.067	×0.700	—	×1.048	1.12%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 105, BB 126 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .310 → .288; ISO .101 → .084; BABIP .314 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 376 PAwOBA .294 → .272 (−22)K% 13.6% → 16.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.56%	÷1.008	×1.200	—	—	16.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.85%	÷1.055	×0.690	—	×1.050	4.02%
HBP% /PA	0.27%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.26%
Singles /BIP	25.69%	÷0.995	×0.930	×1.001	×1.050	25.24%
Doubles /BIP	4.17%	÷1.010	×0.830	×1.001	×1.050	3.60%
Triples /BIP	1.39%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.001	×1.050	1.17%
Home runs /BIP	1.04%	÷1.245	×0.700	—	×1.050	0.61%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 102, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .294 → .272; ISO .086 → .069; BABIP .312 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 304 PAwOBA .250 → .240 (−10)K% 15.1% → 18.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.13%	÷0.996	×1.200	—	—	18.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.91%	÷0.959	×0.690	—	×1.050	5.22%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.97%	÷0.990	×0.930	×1.031	×1.050	22.34%
Doubles /BIP	3.59%	÷0.994	×0.830	×1.031	×1.050	3.24%
Triples /BIP	0.45%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.031	×1.050	0.39%
Home runs /BIP	1.35%	÷0.988	×0.700	—	×1.050	1.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 99, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .250 → .240; ISO .071 → .061; BABIP .261 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 342 PAwOBA .305 → .276 (−29)K% 17.5% → 20.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.54%	÷1.032	×1.200	—	—	20.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.92%	÷0.969	×0.690	—	×1.050	2.19%
HBP% /PA	0.29%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.29%
Singles /BIP	23.64%	÷0.982	×0.930	×0.993	×1.050	23.33%
Doubles /BIP	8.14%	÷1.027	×0.830	×0.993	×1.050	6.86%
Triples /BIP	0.78%	÷0.900	×0.920	×0.993	×1.050	0.83%
Home runs /BIP	2.33%	÷1.331	×0.700	—	×1.050	1.28%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 166, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .305 → .276; ISO .135 → .103; BABIP .331 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 50 PAwOBA .322 → .325 (+3)K% 14.0% → 15.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.00%	÷1.063	×1.200	—	—	15.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.00%	÷0.964	×0.690	—	×1.050	4.51%
HBP% /PA	2.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	1.97%
Singles /BIP	35.14%	÷0.986	×0.930	—	×1.050	34.81%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.032	×0.830	—	×1.050	0.00%
Triples /BIP	2.70%	÷0.900	×0.920	—	×1.050	2.90%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.307	×0.700	—	×1.050	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 113, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .322 → .325; ISO .045 → .051; BABIP .368 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .