Ketel Marte — OGILVIE

Ketel Marte2B Arizona Diamondbacks

Age 32 S/R 6'0" / 210 lbs MLB HR -5% Svc 9.942 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 4.4 · 2026

wRC+†vL 157137vR 124

AVG/OBP/SLG.285 / .371 / .524

PA548

HR29

K%17

BB%11

xwOBA.377

Barrel%11.0%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

60→60

SPD

45→45

EYE

59↘55

trajectory · 10 yrs

5.3peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2015

Service 9.942 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

NTCOPTDEF 20%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+4.4	$35M	+$19M
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+4.1	$34M	+$17M
2028	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+3.3	$28M	+$11M
2029	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+2.4	$21M	+$4M
2030	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+1.6	$14M	-$2M
2031	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+0.8	$4M	-$13M
Totals		$100M		$136M	+$36M

Options · projected decision
2032	PLAYER OPT	$11.5M / $0.0M buyout	EXERCISE
2033	CLUB OPT	$2028.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2034	CLUB OPT	$13.0M / $3.0M buyout	DECLINE
2035	CLUB OPT	$24.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2036	CLUB OPT	$10.0M / $1.0M buyout	DECLINE
2037	CLUB OPT	$12.0M / $1.0M buyout	DECLINE

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	252	230	47	4	2	2	16	50	2	16	6	.204	.262	.265	.527	.061	.251	20	6	.231	35	-19	+1	+0	+1	+7	-1.0
2012	18	A	Clinton LumberKings	17	14	4	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	.286	.375	.286	.661	.000	.400	24	12	.260	57	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
2013	19	A	2 teams	498	470	133	13	6	1	13	66	1	20	10	.283	.304	.343	.646	.060	.325	13	3	.273	67	-19	+0	+0	+2	+14	-0.3
2014	20	AA	3 teams	587	557	156	32	6	4	18	108	1	30	10	.280	.304	.381	.684	.101	.336	18	3	.292	82	-12	+2	+0	+2	+17	0.9
2015	21	AAA	3 teams	554	504	143	26	5	5	39	86	1	30	7	.284	.336	.385	.721	.101	.330	16	7	.310	96	-3	+3	+5	+6	+16	2.7
2016	22	MLB	2 teams	497	466	120	23	2	1	19	85	2	13	5	.258	.290	.322	.611	.064	.307	17	4	.268	63	-21	+1	+2	+5	+14	0.1
2017	23	AAA	3 teams	680	618	168	31	7	11	53	97	4	16	3	.272	.333	.398	.731	.126	.305	14	8	.313	97	-2	+2	+3	+7	+19	3.0
2018	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	580	520	132	27	9	15	54	79	3	6	1	.254	.328	.427	.754	.173	.273	14	9	.324	106	+4	+1	+6	+2	+16	3.0
2019	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	628	569	187	35	6	33	53	86	4	10	2	.329	.390	.585	.975	.257	.341	14	8	.416	176	+54	+1	-1	+2	+18	7.6
2020	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	195	181	51	13	0	2	7	21	4	1	0	.282	.323	.387	.710	.105	.304	11	4	.320	103	+1	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.8
2021	27	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	374	340	106	28	1	13	31	60	2	2	0	.312	.373	.515	.887	.203	.347	16	8	.379	148	+20	+0	-6	+1	+11	2.7
2022	28	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	558	492	117	39	2	13	55	101	6	5	1	.238	.322	.404	.726	.167	.272	18	10	.315	99	-1	+1	-2	+2	+16	1.7
2023	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	650	569	153	24	8	24	71	109	5	8	2	.269	.355	.466	.821	.197	.293	17	11	.355	130	+22	+1	+0	+2	+18	4.5
2024	30	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	583	504	143	21	2	36	65	106	5	7	1	.284	.371	.548	.919	.264	.288	18	11	.379	148	+32	+1	+7	+2	+17	5.9
2025	31	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	556	480	137	28	0	29	64	83	9	4	2	.285	.380	.525	.905	.240	.291	15	12	.384	152	+33	+0	+2	+2	+16	5.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	32	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	104	96	23	3	0	4	8	19	0	0	0	.240	.298	.396	.694	.156	.260	18	8	.307	93	-1	+0	+1	+0	+3	0.3
ROS	32	MLB	ARI	444	391	109	18	2	22	46	76	4	4	1	.279	.361	.504	.864	.225	.292	17	10	.378	147	+24	+0	+2	+2	+13	4.1
TOT	32	MLB	ARI	548	487	132	21	2	26	54	95	4	4	1	.271	.349	.483	.831	.211	.288	17	10	.364	137	+23	+0	+3	+2	+16	4.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	33	MLB	ARI	518	456	124	20	2	25	53	72	4	3	1	.272	.353	.489	.842	.217	.275	14	10	.372	143	+25	+0	-2	+2	+15	4.1
2028	34	MLB	ARI	470	415	112	18	2	22	48	70	4	1	0	.270	.351	.482	.833	.212	.273	15	10	.364	137	+20	+0	-3	+2	+13	3.3
2029	35	MLB	ARI	415	367	97	15	2	19	42	66	3	0	0	.264	.345	.471	.816	.207	.271	16	10	.355	130	+14	+0	-4	+1	+12	2.4
2030	36	MLB	ARI	354	313	79	12	1	15	35	60	3	0	0	.252	.333	.441	.774	.188	.268	17	10	.345	122	+9	+0	-5	+1	+10	1.6
2031	37	MLB	ARI	290	258	64	10	1	12	28	52	2	0	0	.248	.326	.434	.760	.186	.264	18	10	.334	114	+5	+0	-6	+1	+8	0.8
2032	38	MLB	ARI	220	195	47	7	1	8	21	41	2	0	0	.241	.321	.410	.731	.169	.259	19	10	.322	104	+1	+0	-7	+1	+6	0.1
2033	39	MLB	ARI	147	131	29	4	0	5	14	28	1	0	0	.221	.301	.366	.668	.145	.253	19	10	.309	95	-1	+0	-8	+1	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10067	9040	2458	448	67	317	847	1606	72	177	52	.272	.339	.441	.781	.170	.298	16	8	.337	116	+186	+15	-15	+48	+285	53.0
/ 162G	—			650	584	158	29	4	20	55	104	5	11	3	.271	.339	.437	.776	.166	.297	16	8	.337	116	+12	+1	-1	+3	+18	3.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	252	220	57	5	3	2	26	35	2	16	6	.259	.343	.336	.679	.077	.299	14	10	.308	94	-2	+1	—	—	+7	0.6
2012	18	A	Clinton LumberKings	17	14	4	0	0	0	2	3	0	1	0	.286	.375	.286	.661	.000	.364	18	12	.295	84	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2013	19	A+	High Desert Mavericks	92	86	22	0	2	1	4	11	0	4	3	.256	.289	.337	.626	.081	.284	12	4	.275	69	-3	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2013	19	A	Clinton LumberKings	406	378	116	15	5	0	15	39	1	16	7	.307	.335	.373	.708	.066	.339	10	4	.309	95	-2	+0	—	—	+12	1.0
2014	20	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	90	80	25	5	0	2	8	13	0	6	0	.312	.375	.450	.825	.138	.343	14	9	.361	134	+3	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2014	20	AA	Jackson Generals	472	443	134	27	6	2	19	65	1	23	10	.302	.333	.404	.737	.102	.346	14	4	.322	105	+3	+1	—	—	+13	1.7
2014	20	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	25	24	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	.208	.240	.250	.490	.042	.238	12	4	.224	30	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2015	21	MLB	Seattle Mariners	247	219	62	14	3	2	24	43	0	8	4	.283	.354	.402	.756	.119	.341	17	10	.335	114	+4	+0	+5	+6	+7	2.2
2015	21	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	287	261	82	12	2	3	20	32	0	20	3	.314	.363	.410	.773	.096	.345	11	7	.340	119	+6	+3	—	—	+8	1.7
2015	21	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	20	19	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	.211	.250	.211	.461	.000	.222	5	0	.218	25	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2016	22	MLB	Seattle Mariners	466	437	113	21	2	1	18	84	2	11	5	.259	.291	.323	.614	.064	.313	18	4	.272	67	-18	+0	+2	+5	+13	0.3
2016	22	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	31	28	6	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0	.214	.267	.286	.552	.071	.214	3	6	.245	45	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2017	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	255	223	58	11	2	5	29	37	1	3	1	.260	.348	.395	.742	.135	.290	15	11	.333	113	+4	+0	+3	+7	+7	2.2
2017	23	AAA	Reno Aces	338	311	105	23	7	6	25	34	2	7	2	.338	.391	.514	.905	.177	.365	10	7	.398	163	+24	+1	—	—	+10	3.5
2017	23	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	87	73	20	3	0	1	10	7	1	6	0	.274	.369	.356	.725	.082	.284	8	11	.323	106	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2018	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	580	520	135	26	12	14	54	79	3	6	1	.260	.333	.437	.769	.177	.282	14	9	.339	118	+12	+1	+6	+2	+16	3.8
2019	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	628	569	187	36	9	32	53	86	4	10	2	.329	.390	.592	.982	.264	.342	14	8	.425	183	+59	+1	-1	+2	+18	8.1
2020	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	195	181	52	14	1	2	7	21	4	1	0	.287	.328	.409	.737	.122	.311	11	4	.324	106	+1	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.8
2021	27	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	374	340	108	29	1	14	31	60	2	2	0	.318	.378	.532	.910	.215	.352	16	8	.398	163	+27	+0	-6	+1	+11	3.4
2022	28	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	558	492	118	42	2	12	55	101	6	5	1	.240	.324	.407	.730	.167	.276	18	10	.324	106	+4	+1	-2	+2	+16	2.1
2023	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	650	569	157	26	9	25	71	109	5	8	2	.276	.361	.485	.846	.209	.300	17	11	.371	142	+31	+1	+0	+2	+18	5.4
2024	30	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	583	504	147	23	2	36	65	106	5	7	1	.292	.378	.560	.938	.268	.299	18	11	.402	166	+43	+1	+7	+2	+17	7.1
2025	31	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	556	480	136	28	0	28	64	83	9	4	2	.283	.378	.517	.895	.233	.290	15	12	.392	158	+36	+0	+2	+2	+16	5.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			5092	4534	1273	270	43	171	471	809	41	65	19	.281	.354	.472	.826	.192	.307	16	9	.362	135	+204	+5	+17	+33	+144	41.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ketel Marte (OGILVIE)	32	60	60	45	55	.276/.357/.501	.224	.276	28	5	13%	10%	147	+4.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Nolan Arenado 2023 · MLB	32	50→56	61→70	45→40	54	.269/.331/.499	.231	.266	29	4	13%	8%	135	+4.2	.264/.321/.446	.182	.278	23	4	14%	7%	117	+2.9	.256/.311/.409	.153	.273	20	3	14%	7%	98	+1.5
✕Donny Leon 2008 · AAA	31	54→60	63→55	41→30	53	.291/.353/.516	.225	.290	33	3	14%	8%	149	+5.1	.256/.317/.400	.144	.277	19	4	15%	8%	103	+1.9	.234/.301/.325	.091	.262	11	2	15%	9%	77	+0.1
●Aramis Ramirez 2009 · MLB	31	56→59	61→70	43→45	56	.292/.365/.530	.237	.295	28	2	13%	9%	157	+5.7	.284/.352/.494	.210	.297	26	3	14%	8%	142	+4.6	.292/.360/.490	.198	.307	22	4	13%	8%	138	+3.9
●Marcus Semien 2022 · MLB	31	50→57	63→65	50	55	.269/.342/.507	.238	.283	31	11	18%	10%	141	+4.6	.255/.321/.445	.190	.276	23	14	17%	9%	117	+2.9	.250/.318/.417	.167	.269	19	13	15%	9%	104	+2.5
★Ken Griffey Jr. 2002 · MLB	32	50→55	65→70	46→45	61	.274/.372/.530	.255	.286	34	6	18%	12%	159	+5.8	.264/.360/.499	.235	.284	30	5	19%	12%	147	+5.0	.274/.355/.514	.240	.281	33	2	16%	11%	139	+4.1
★Mike Lowell 2005 · MLB	31	54→64	59→60	45→40	57	.281/.353/.496	.216	.285	26	5	13%	10%	143	+4.7	.273/.337/.449	.176	.284	18	4	11%	8%	124	+3.4	.293/.353/.475	.182	.304	20	2	11%	8%	132	+3.9
★Bret Boone 2002 · MLB	33	56→61	59→65	43→50	50	.291/.349/.502	.211	.312	27	7	17%	7%	144	+4.8	.283/.346/.488	.205	.309	25	10	17%	8%	138	+4.4	.272/.341/.469	.197	.299	24	11	18%	9%	127	+4.0
●Phil Nevin 2003 · MLB	32	57→58	60	45	53	.294/.365/.507	.213	.336	28	5	21%	10%	151	+5.3	.278/.346/.466	.188	.319	25	4	20%	9%	132	+4.0	.256/.331/.439	.182	.297	24	1	22%	9%	116	+2.3
★Bernie Williams 2001 · MLB	32	57→67	62→60	51→50	60	.296/.378/.538	.242	.306	28	12	14%	11%	163	+6.1	.304/.390/.503	.199	.322	22	10	13%	12%	159	+5.8	.303/.395/.477	.174	.323	19	8	12%	13%	145	+5.0
✕Josh Hamilton 2013 · MLB	32	55→65	62→65	49→50	50	.290/.352/.526	.236	.325	30	8	21%	8%	150	+5.2	.258/.320/.448	.190	.319	22	6	25%	8%	117	+2.9	.251/.310/.418	.167	.320	18	3	26%	7%	99	+1.2
✕Jung Ho Kang 2019 · MLB	32	47→57	61→60	44→45	52	.255/.342/.477	.223	.277	29	7	20%	9%	134	+4.1	.232/.292/.432	.200	.289	26	6	29%	7%	102	+1.8	.201/.256/.430	.229	.240	32	0	32%	6%	83	+0.2
★Miguel Tejada 2005 · MLB	31	57→65	58→60	49→45	52	.295/.348/.499	.204	.292	26	6	10%	7%	142	+4.6	.305/.356/.496	.191	.315	22	5	11%	7%	144	+4.8	.309/.362/.485	.176	.322	21	4	11%	6%	134	+4.5
●Juan Gonzalez 2002 · MLB	32	57→59	62→65	43→40	49	.300/.351/.535	.235	.316	31	3	16%	7%	153	+5.4	.289/.335/.511	.222	.316	29	4	18%	6%	141	+4.5	.285/.327/.501	.217	.313	28	2	19%	5%	131	+1.7
★Josh Donaldson 2018 · MLB	32	51→61	66→65	48→50	62	.277/.380/.539	.262	.295	34	5	19%	14%	164	+6.2	.260/.373/.504	.244	.297	31	5	23%	15%	153	+5.4	.250/.368/.494	.244	.279	32	2	22%	15%	142	+3.3
●Morgan Ensberg 2006 · MLB	30	53→55	60	43→45	59	.279/.364/.498	.219	.290	28	8	16%	11%	147	+5.0	.246/.357/.451	.205	.273	25	4	20%	14%	133	+4.0	.218/.339/.397	.179	.247	23	1	21%	15%	107	+1.4
✕Yoenis Cespedes 2018 · MLB	32	54→57	64→65	44→50	49	.289/.347/.533	.244	.317	31	5	20%	8%	151	+5.3	.271/.336/.498	.227	.328	30	8	26%	8%	137	+4.3	.272/.337/.514	.241	.354	36	11	32%	8%	134	+1.1
●Scott Rolen 2006 · MLB	31	54→62	60→65	45→50	61	.283/.376/.515	.232	.297	26	7	15%	12%	157	+5.7	.275/.353/.464	.189	.294	19	7	13%	10%	134	+4.1	.279/.357/.447	.168	.308	15	4	14%	9%	128	+3.1
●Mendy López 2007 · MLB	33	54→59	63→65	45→30	54	.284/.367/.516	.232	.328	31	5	23%	11%	154	+5.4	.270/.343/.480	.210	.320	27	3	23%	10%	135	+4.2	.263/.337/.458	.195	.312	24	0	23%	10%	126	+2.0
★Adrian Beltré 2013 · MLB	34	57→64	61→65	45→50	49	.299/.342/.521	.222	.299	29	2	12%	6%	146	+4.9	.304/.358/.500	.196	.314	24	2	12%	7%	146	+4.9	.302/.361/.481	.179	.315	21	1	11%	8%	130	+4.1
●Troy Glaus 2009 · MLB	32	49→52	60→70	39→50	62	.262/.363/.484	.222	.286	28	2	19%	13%	144	+4.8	.246/.343/.424	.178	.287	22	3	21%	12%	121	+3.2	.226/.327/.379	.154	.272	20	1	24%	12%	102	+1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)