Murf Gray — OGILVIE

Murf Gray3B Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 22 R/R 6'3" / 230 lbs A+ HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION554 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†115

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP289

ISO186

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$85M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.0	$14M	+$13M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$15M	+$14M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$15M	+$14M
2031	Arb-1	$7M	+2.5	$14M	+$10M
2032	Arb-2	$11M	+2.3	$12M	+$6M
2033	Arb-3	$15M	+2.1	$10M	+$3M
Totals		$36M		$78M	+$59M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	22	A+ MLE	PIT	—	554	487	121	22	0	26	45	149	15	5	0	248	331	454	785	205	298	27	8	338	115	+10	+1	+0	+2	+12	2.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A RAW	PIT	—	166	142	51	11	0	8	15	30	6	0	0	359	439	606	1.045	246	406	18	9	449	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ RAW	PIT	—	197	172	52	8	0	15	22	41	1	3	0	302	385	610	995	308	314	21	11	425	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA RAW	PIT	—	191	151	38	7	0	9	29	42	8	2	0	252	399	477	876	225	282	22	15	386	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	PIT	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		293	22	11	339	115	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	PIT	—	563	495	122	22	0	26	46	151	15	5	0	246	329	448	778	202	295	27	8	338	115	+10	+1	-0	+2	+12	2.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	581	517	127	23	1	25	48	146	11	6	1	246	323	439	762	193	295	25	8	340	116	+11	+1	-1	+2	+13	2.6
2028	24	MLB MLE	PIT	69%	609	541	136	25	2	26	51	150	12	6	1	251	329	449	779	198	295	25	8	342	117	+13	+1	-1	+2	+13	2.9
2029	25	MLB MLE	PIT	77%	627	557	139	25	2	27	53	153	12	7	1	250	328	447	775	197	295	24	8	343	118	+14	+1	-1	+2	+14	3.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	PIT	81%	638	567	143	26	2	28	54	155	12	7	1	252	330	453	783	201	295	24	8	343	118	+14	+1	-1	+2	+14	3.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	PIT	81%	637	565	142	26	2	28	55	156	12	7	1	251	331	453	784	202	295	24	9	343	118	+14	+1	-1	+2	+14	3.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	PIT	81%	629	557	139	25	2	27	55	155	12	6	1	250	330	447	777	197	294	25	9	342	118	+13	+1	-1	+2	+14	2.9
2033	29	MLB MLE	PIT	79%	619	548	135	25	1	26	54	153	12	6	1	246	327	438	765	192	293	25	9	340	116	+12	+1	-2	+2	+13	2.7
2034	30	MLB MLE	PIT	78%	609	539	133	24	1	26	54	152	11	5	1	247	328	440	768	193	291	25	9	337	114	+10	+1	-3	+2	+13	2.4
2035	31	MLB MLE	PIT	77%	598	529	128	23	1	25	53	152	11	4	1	242	324	431	755	189	289	25	9	333	111	+8	+0	-3	+2	+13	2.1
2036	32	MLB MLE	PIT	77%	587	520	123	22	1	23	51	151	11	4	1	237	318	415	733	179	285	26	9	327	107	+5	+0	-4	+2	+13	1.7
2037	33	MLB MLE	PIT	77%	546	483	112	19	1	21	48	143	10	3	0	232	314	406	720	174	280	26	9	319	102	+1	+1	-5	+2	+12	1.1
2038	34	MLB MLE	PIT	72%	498	443	98	16	1	18	43	134	9	2	0	221	303	384	687	163	274	27	9	310	96	-2	+0	-5	+2	+11	0.5
2039	35	MLB MLE	PIT	68%	443	394	85	13	1	16	38	122	8	1	0	216	298	376	673	160	267	28	9	299	89	-6	+0	-6	+2	+10	-0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	300	266	65	12	1	12	25	75	6	3	0	244	323	432	756	188	292	25	8	318	116	+6	+1	-0	+1	+6	1.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	PIT	69%	421	375	92	17	1	17	35	104	8	4	1	245	323	432	755	187	292	25	8	320	117	+9	+0	-0	+2	+9	2.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	PIT	77%	484	431	106	20	1	19	41	118	9	5	1	246	324	429	754	183	292	24	8	321	118	+10	+1	-1	+2	+10	2.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	PIT	81%	517	458	113	21	1	21	44	126	10	5	1	247	326	434	761	188	292	24	9	322	118	+11	+1	-1	+2	+11	2.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	PIT	81%	516	456	113	21	1	21	45	126	10	5	1	248	329	436	765	189	292	24	9	322	118	+11	+1	-1	+2	+11	2.5
2032	28	MLB CTX	PIT	81%	509	450	110	20	1	20	44	125	10	5	1	244	325	427	752	182	291	25	9	321	118	+11	+1	-1	+2	+11	2.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	PIT	79%	489	434	105	19	1	19	43	121	9	5	1	242	323	422	745	180	290	25	9	319	116	+9	+1	-2	+2	+11	2.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	PIT	78%	474	420	100	18	1	18	42	119	9	4	1	238	321	414	735	176	288	25	9	316	114	+8	+0	-2	+2	+10	1.9
2035	31	MLB CTX	PIT	77%	462	410	98	18	1	18	41	117	8	3	1	239	320	420	740	180	286	25	9	312	111	+6	+0	-3	+2	+10	1.6
2036	32	MLB CTX	PIT	77%	451	400	94	17	1	17	40	116	8	3	0	235	317	410	727	175	282	26	9	306	107	+4	+1	-3	+2	+10	1.3
2037	33	MLB CTX	PIT	77%	419	372	85	15	1	15	37	110	7	2	0	228	310	395	705	167	278	26	9	299	102	+1	+0	-4	+1	+9	0.9
2038	34	MLB CTX	PIT	72%	359	319	70	12	0	12	31	97	6	1	0	219	301	370	670	150	271	27	9	291	96	-2	+0	-4	+1	+8	0.4
2039	35	MLB CTX	PIT	68%	300	266	56	9	0	10	26	83	5	1	0	211	293	357	650	147	264	28	9	281	89	-4	+0	-4	+1	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5701	5057	1207	219	11	219	494	1437	105	46	8	239	319	416	736	178	288	25	9	313	112	+81	+6	-25	+20	+124	21.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	137	25	1	25	56	164	12	5	1	237	318	414	732	177	286	25	9	313	112	+9	+1	-3	+2	+14	2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7630	6768	1641	292	18	316	658	1924	143	64	10	242	323	431	754	189	290	25	9	333	112	+107	+9	-33	+27	+165	28.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	140	25	2	27	56	164	12	5	1	243	322	433	756	191	290	25	9	333	112	+9	+1	-3	+2	+14	2.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kyle Seagerlast yr '21 career totals — 11 seasons, 6,204 PA	9.3	6,204	242	55	251	321	442	+22	+55	35.4	32.4
/162	664	26	6	+2.4	+5.8	3.8	pk7: 29
#2Vernon Wellslast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,118 PA	10.7	7,118	269	108	270	319	461	+0	-19	32.9	31.8
/162	664	25	10	+0.0	-1.8	3.1	pk7: 31
#3Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	8.3	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
/162	664	28	3	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#4Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	7.4	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
/162	664	29	10	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#5Casey Blakelast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,966 PA	7.5	4,966	165	33	264	337	444	+3	+16	26.5	25.2
/162	664	22	4	+0.4	+2.2	3.5	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.6	5,702	236	47	244	320	433	+20	-20	26.0	22.2
/162	664	28	5	+2.4	-2.3	3.0	pk7: 18
#6Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	6.1	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
/162	664	27	6	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Murf Gray (OGILVIE)	22	45	52	40	50	244/323/437	193	293	14	4	25%	8%	115	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael McKenry 2008 · A	23	46→48	54→55	41→40	49	238/309/421	183	282	21	7	24%	9%	105	+1.7	223/291/376	153	278	17	4	25%	8%	88	+0.4	251/325/430	179	297	23	2	23%	9%	110	+0.8
●Andy Pages 2022 · A	21	41→51	58→55	45→50	46	221/312/425	204	289	27	6	32%	9%	108	+1.9	220/299/395	175	286	20	7	29%	8%	96	+1.0	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
●Andy LaRoche 2006 · AA	22	48→55	57→55	47→45	44	256/305/446	191	293	26	8	23%	6%	109	+2.0	253/326/412	159	285	19	8	18%	9%	109	+2.0	244/331/387	143	269	17	7	16%	11%	101	+1.1
✕Kellen Kulbacki 2009 · A	23	47→46	56→60	38→30	50	248/319/434	185	284	25	4	22%	8%	112	+2.2	220/275/335	115	265	12	6	21%	7%	72	-0.7	193/235/261	68	234	4	5	19%	5%	36	-0.8
✕Adam Duvall 2012 · A	23	44→45	55→70	44→45	45	234/301/428	194	281	23	4	26%	7%	104	+1.6	220/272/405	185	257	24	4	25%	6%	88	+0.5	225/286/491	266	245	40	3	28%	7%	112	+1.6
✕Chase Meidroth 2023 · A	22	49→56	53→40	48→50	50	250/323/425	175	285	20	12	20%	8%	112	+2.2	247/339/344	97	305	9	12	20%	11%	99	+1.2	256/344/352	96	304	9	11	17%	10%	100	+1.3
✕Francisco Alvarez 2022 · A	20	45	59→60	44→40	48	241/324/453	212	300	28	8	29%	9%	118	+2.7	229/305/429	200	282	27	4	29%	9%	106	+1.8	229/304/430	202	273	28	2	27%	9%	104	+1.1
●Gleyber Torres 2019 · MLB	22	50→53	52→60	46→50	48	255/321/423	168	316	20	10	26%	8%	109	+2.0	262/331/445	183	304	24	9	22%	9%	118	+2.7	258/344/398	139	293	17	6	17%	11%	111	+2.3
✕Derek Norris 2011 · A	22	41→51	50→55	44→50	52	209/313/362	153	287	18	6	32%	12%	94	+0.9	209/299/374	165	271	20	11	29%	10%	91	+0.7	258/336/412	153	316	16	5	22%	10%	109	+1.5
✕James Darnell 2010 · A	23	51→52	51→55	45→40	54	254/334/424	170	304	18	6	22%	10%	115	+2.4	246/315/406	160	287	18	4	20%	8%	103	+1.6	242/311/404	161	276	19	2	20%	8%	100	+0.8
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	44→48	52→55	45	50	232/308/392	160	264	21	7	21%	8%	98	+1.2	235/298/411	176	286	24	5	26%	7%	99	+1.3	229/284/404	175	286	26	2	29%	6%	91	+0.4
●Sean Rodríguez 2007 · AA	22	46→49	52→60	48→50	46	235/306/404	170	299	19	12	28%	8%	100	+1.3	229/300/399	170	291	20	10	28%	7%	97	+1.1	234/307/425	191	291	23	12	27%	7%	102	+1.1
✕Jaff Decker 2011 · A	21	46→49	54→55	45→55	51	235/324/415	180	304	22	7	29%	10%	109	+2.0	209/292/354	145	278	16	9	29%	10%	84	+0.1	221/295/327	106	285	9	13	24%	9%	76	-0.3
✕Ryan Lavarnway 2010 · A	22	44→46	53→55	43→30	41	226/285/402	176	308	20	3	32%	7%	92	+0.7	231/296/389	158	293	19	2	27%	7%	93	+0.8	227/294/372	145	279	18	1	25%	7%	87	+0.4
●Mike Zunino 2013 · AA	22	49→48	50→65	49→30	46	249/297/405	156	285	18	9	20%	6%	97	+1.1	206/264/375	169	269	21	3	31%	5%	78	-0.3	228/303/462	235	292	33	0	33%	8%	111	+1.7
✕Zack Shannon 2019 · A	23	48	54→60	48→40	44	247/308/431	184	312	22	3	28%	7%	107	+1.9	215/275/350	135	304	15	5	33%	7%	76	-0.4	190/253/318	128	267	16	3	34%	7%	58	-1.1
●Stephen Drew 2006 · AA	23	50→57	55	43→45	49	259/324/456	196	304	22	7	22%	8%	118	+2.7	256/310/417	161	295	15	6	18%	7%	104	+1.6	271/331/452	181	305	15	6	16%	8%	114	+2.5
✕Kyle Wilson 2006 · A	23	46	56→60	38→30	38	240/288/426	186	311	24	4	31%	5%	99	+1.2	217/260/335	118	279	12	4	26%	4%	67	-1.1	196/233/283	87	248	8	0	24%	2%	42	-1.4
✕Jared Goedert 2008 · A	23	49→51	57→50	45→40	52	260/332/458	198	295	26	4	22%	10%	122	+2.9	226/286/356	130	268	14	3	21%	7%	81	-0.1	230/285/382	152	278	18	1	24%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Tony Delmonico 2009 · A	22	46→48	55→45	47→40	44	238/307/430	193	289	21	4	25%	7%	107	+1.9	230/310/346	116	303	11	5	26%	8%	88	+0.5	226/314/331	105	300	11	3	26%	8%	84	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps