Murf Gray — OGILVIE

Murf Gray3B Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 22 R/R 6'3" / 230 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION363 act + 242 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†114

AVG/OBP/SLG.256 / .321 / .461

PA242

HR11

K%26

BB%7

BABIP310

ISO205

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.1	$21M	+$21M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.2	$20M	+$20M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.3	$19M	+$19M
2031	Arb-1	$6M	+3.3	$18M	+$14M
2032	Arb-2	$10M	+3.1	$16M	+$10M
2033	Arb-3	$14M	+2.8	$13M	+$7M
Totals		$33M		$108M	+$90M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	PIT	—	363	327	87	16	0	19	25	98	7	3	0	266	331	489	821	223	318	27	7	350	126	+11	+1	+0	+1	+10	2.3
YTD	22	A+	PIT	—	363	314	103	19	0	23	37	71	7	3	0	328	409	608	1.018	280	357	20	10	436	192	+38	+1	+0	+1	+10	5.1
ROS	22	A+	PIT	0%	242	219	56	10	1	11	17	64	4	3	1	256	321	461	782	205	300	26	7	334	114	+4	+0	-0	+1	+7	1.2
ROS	22	MLB	PIT	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						299	0	0	322	104	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	22	A+	PIT	—	364	328	87	16	0	19	25	98	7	3	0	265	331	488	818	223	316	27	7	350	126	+11	+1	-0	+1	+10	2.3
TOT	22	A+	PIT	—	605	546	143	26	1	30	42	162	11	6	1	262	327	478	805	216	315	27	7	343	121	+14	+1	-0	+2	+17	3.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	PIT	49%	581	526	132	24	2	25	42	151	8	7	1	251	316	447	763	196	301	26	7	334	114	+9	+1	-1	+2	+16	2.9
2028	24	MLB	PIT	65%	609	551	139	25	2	26	45	156	8	7	1	252	318	446	764	194	301	26	7	336	115	+10	+1	-1	+2	+17	3.1
2029	25	MLB	PIT	73%	627	566	143	26	2	27	47	159	9	7	1	253	320	449	769	196	301	25	7	336	116	+11	+1	-1	+2	+18	3.2
2030	26	MLB	PIT	76%	638	576	145	26	2	27	48	161	9	7	1	252	319	444	764	193	300	25	8	336	116	+11	+1	-1	+2	+18	3.3
2031	27	MLB	PIT	76%	637	574	144	26	2	27	49	161	9	7	1	251	320	444	764	193	300	25	8	336	116	+11	+1	-1	+2	+18	3.3
2032	28	MLB	PIT	76%	629	566	141	25	2	26	49	160	9	7	1	249	319	438	757	189	300	25	8	335	115	+10	+1	-1	+2	+18	3.1
2033	29	MLB	PIT	74%	619	558	139	25	2	26	48	159	8	6	1	249	318	441	758	192	299	26	8	333	113	+9	+1	-2	+2	+18	2.8
2034	30	MLB	PIT	73%	609	548	135	24	2	25	48	158	8	6	1	246	316	434	751	188	297	26	8	330	111	+8	+1	-3	+2	+17	2.6
2035	31	MLB	PIT	73%	598	538	131	23	2	24	47	157	8	5	1	243	314	428	741	184	294	26	8	326	108	+5	+1	-3	+2	+17	2.2
2036	32	MLB	PIT	72%	587	528	126	22	1	23	46	156	8	4	1	239	309	415	724	176	291	27	8	320	103	+2	+0	-4	+2	+17	1.7
2037	33	MLB	PIT	72%	546	492	114	19	1	21	42	148	7	3	1	232	301	402	704	171	286	27	8	313	98	-2	+0	-5	+2	+15	1.2
2038	34	MLB	PIT	68%	498	451	101	16	1	18	38	138	6	2	0	224	293	384	677	160	280	28	8	303	90	-5	+0	-5	+2	+14	0.6
2039	35	MLB	PIT	63%	443	401	86	13	1	15	34	126	5	1	0	214	284	364	648	150	273	28	8	293	82	-9	+0	-6	+2	+13	-0.1
2040	36	MLB	PIT	54%	382	346	72	11	1	12	28	112	5	1	0	208	277	350	627	142	266	29	7	282	74	-11	+0	-7	+1	+11	-0.6
2027	23	MLB	PIT	49%	282	256	63	11	1	12	20	73	4	3	1	246	311	438	748	191	299	26	7	323	105	+2	+0	-0	+1	+8	1.1
2028	24	MLB	PIT	65%	395	358	89	16	1	17	29	101	5	5	1	249	314	441	755	193	300	26	7	324	106	+3	+1	-0	+1	+11	1.6
2029	25	MLB	PIT	73%	455	412	104	19	2	19	34	115	6	5	1	252	319	447	765	194	299	25	7	325	107	+3	+1	-0	+2	+13	1.8
2030	26	MLB	PIT	76%	486	439	111	20	2	21	37	123	7	6	1	253	321	451	772	198	299	25	8	325	107	+4	+1	-1	+2	+14	2.0
2031	27	MLB	PIT	76%	485	438	110	20	2	20	37	123	7	6	1	251	320	443	762	192	299	25	8	325	107	+4	+1	-1	+2	+14	2.0
2032	28	MLB	PIT	76%	478	431	107	19	2	20	37	122	7	5	1	248	318	441	759	193	298	26	8	324	106	+3	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.8
2033	29	MLB	PIT	74%	460	415	102	18	1	19	36	118	6	5	1	246	315	431	746	186	297	26	8	322	105	+2	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.6
2034	30	MLB	PIT	73%	446	402	98	18	1	18	35	116	6	4	1	244	314	428	742	184	296	26	8	319	102	+1	+0	-2	+2	+13	1.4
2035	31	MLB	PIT	73%	435	392	94	17	1	17	34	114	6	4	1	240	310	418	729	179	293	26	8	315	99	-0	+0	-3	+2	+12	1.2
2036	32	MLB	PIT	72%	424	383	91	16	1	17	33	113	5	3	1	238	306	418	724	180	289	27	8	309	95	-2	+0	-3	+2	+12	0.8
2037	33	MLB	PIT	72%	394	355	83	14	1	15	31	107	5	2	0	234	304	406	710	172	285	27	8	302	89	-5	+0	-3	+1	+11	0.5
2038	34	MLB	PIT	68%	337	304	68	11	1	12	26	94	4	1	0	224	293	385	678	161	278	28	8	293	83	-7	+0	-4	+1	+10	0.1
2039	35	MLB	PIT	63%	280	254	55	8	1	10	21	80	3	1	0	217	284	374	658	157	271	29	8	283	75	-8	+0	-4	+1	+8	-0.3
2040	36	MLB	PIT	54%	207	188	39	6	0	7	15	61	2	0	0	207	273	351	624	144	265	29	7	272	66	-8	+0	-4	+1	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5565	5028	1214	213	17	224	425	1460	73	50	10	241	310	424	734	183	294	26	8	314	99	-8	+6	-27	+20	+158	15.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	142	25	2	26	50	171	9	6	1	242	312	424	736	182	295	26	8	314	99	-1	+1	-3	+2	+18	1.8
Career	—			—	8245	7440	1804	315	24	333	628	2166	111	73	12	242	311	426	736	183	295	26	8	325	107	+64	+10	-40	+29	+234	30.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	142	25	2	26	50	171	9	6	1	242	312	424	736	182	295	26	8	325	107	+5	+1	-3	+2	+18	2.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	10	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
#1Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	/162	664	28	3	241	336	447	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#2Mike Moustakaslast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,577 PA	13	5,577	215	21	247	307	431	+14	+18	22.8	22.1
	/162	664	26	3	247	307	431	+1.6	+2.1	2.7	pk7: 21
#3Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	5,565	225	50	244	309	428	+15	-20	21.7	18.8
	/162	664	27	6	244	309	428	+1.8	-2.4	2.6	pk7: 16
#4Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	9	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
#4Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	/162	664	23	11	249	308	437	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#5Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	9	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
	/162	664	27	6	242	311	438	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#6Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Murf Gray (OGILVIE)	22	45	52	40	50	262/327/478	216	315	30	6	27%	7%	121	+3.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Andy Pages 2023 · AA	22	39→49	57→60	45→50	44	212/294/409	197	278	26	6	33%	8%	97	+1.5	245/312/431	186	310	22	9	27%	7%	110	+2.4	270/324/464	194	313	25	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Michael McKenry 2008 · A	23	46→47	54→55	41→40	49	238/309/421	183	282	21	7	24%	9%	106	+2.2	222/289/377	155	277	18	4	26%	8%	86	+0.8	241/316/409	168	288	21	2	23%	9%	102	+0.7
●Derek Norris 2011 · A	22	41→51	50→55	44→50	53	208/315/362	154	287	18	6	32%	12%	94	+1.3	214/303/389	175	277	22	11	29%	11%	95	+1.4	261/339/417	156	319	16	5	22%	10%	113	+1.9
●Sean Rodríguez 2007 · AA	22	46→49	52→60	48→50	46	235/306/406	171	300	20	12	28%	8%	101	+1.8	230/301/408	178	293	21	10	28%	7%	99	+1.7	237/310/439	202	292	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
●Andy LaRoche 2006 · AA	22	48→55	58→55	47→45	44	256/305/452	196	294	27	8	24%	6%	113	+2.6	253/327/416	163	285	20	8	18%	9%	111	+2.5	244/331/391	146	269	18	7	16%	11%	102	+1.4
●Ryan Lavarnway 2010 · A	22	44→45	53→55	43→30	41	226/285/402	176	308	20	3	32%	7%	91	+1.1	228/295/390	162	293	20	2	28%	8%	92	+1.2	224/293/375	150	280	19	1	26%	8%	86	+0.7
✕Gabriel Moreno 2022 · AA	22	52	53→45	47→45	46	264/318/444	179	300	21	7	20%	6%	115	+2.8	279/337/395	116	335	11	9	19%	7%	110	+2.4	277/360/410	133	318	13	6	16%	11%	119	+1.6
●Mike Zunino 2013 · AA	22	49	52→65	49→30	45	253/301/419	166	290	21	9	21%	6%	102	+1.8	210/268/386	176	272	22	3	31%	5%	80	+0.4	235/308/481	246	299	35	0	33%	8%	120	+2.4
●James Darnell 2010 · A	23	51→53	51→55	45→40	54	254/334/424	170	304	18	6	22%	10%	117	+2.9	251/318/428	177	293	21	4	21%	8%	111	+2.5	247/313/432	185	281	24	2	21%	8%	108	+1.5
✕Kellen Kulbacki 2009 · A	23	47→46	56→60	38→30	50	248/319/434	185	284	25	4	22%	8%	114	+2.7	222/277/341	119	269	13	6	22%	7%	71	-0.3	197/240/273	76	241	5	5	20%	5%	33	-0.7
●Gary Sánchez 2015 · AA	22	46→50	48→65	45	43	236/287/374	138	292	17	4	25%	6%	84	+0.6	249/303/435	186	293	24	6	24%	6%	107	+2.2	240/315/464	224	265	32	4	23%	9%	117	+2.4
●Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	49→56	49→55	41→30	44	247/294/394	147	294	17	5	22%	6%	92	+1.2	262/302/432	170	303	22	2	21%	5%	105	+2.1	263/306/436	173	301	23	0	21%	5%	104	+1.7
✕Chase Meidroth 2023 · A	22	49→55	55→40	48→50	49	253/327/440	188	289	23	12	21%	8%	118	+3.0	245/335/346	101	303	9	12	21%	10%	98	+1.6	255/341/344	89	303	8	12	17%	10%	97	+1.2
●Gleyber Torres 2019 · MLB	22	50→53	53→60	46→50	47	255/321/428	172	316	21	10	26%	8%	112	+2.6	261/329/443	182	303	24	9	22%	9%	120	+3.1	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	113	+2.9
●Iván Herrera 2022 · AA	22	40→50	49→50	40→50	46	210/286/345	135	271	18	4	29%	8%	77	+0.1	236/321/369	133	306	14	10	26%	10%	98	+1.6	276/369/436	160	338	18	13	22%	11%	130	+2.7
●Adam Duvall 2012 · A	23	44	59→70	44→45	45	240/306/460	220	280	27	4	25%	7%	115	+2.8	223/274/420	197	260	26	4	25%	6%	92	+1.2	230/290/515	285	247	44	3	29%	6%	121	+2.4
●Miguel Vargas 2022 · AA	22	50→53	52→55	51→50	44	256/304/419	164	299	20	9	22%	6%	103	+1.9	229/306/389	160	271	17	12	22%	9%	96	+1.5	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7
●Nolan Reimold 2007 · A	23	41→51	51→60	45→50	46	212/290/370	158	282	19	11	31%	9%	85	+0.7	244/311/425	181	293	22	9	24%	8%	108	+2.3	262/332/461	198	298	24	9	20%	8%	122	+2.5
✕Kyle Blanks 2009 · AA	22	52→58	52→55	47→45	44	262/324/427	165	315	20	6	23%	6%	114	+2.7	239/315/414	175	312	21	5	29%	8%	107	+2.2	237/306/415	178	309	21	3	29%	7%	102	+1.1
●Thomas Neal 2010 · A	22	53→58	51→55	45→50	46	260/328/427	167	327	18	3	25%	7%	115	+2.8	259/315/405	146	321	15	9	23%	6%	104	+2.0	262/316/399	138	322	14	10	22%	5%	99	+1.2