William ContrerasC Milwaukee Brewers
Age 28 R/R 5'10" / 217 lbs MLB HR -4% Svc 4.651 · Ctrl thru 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION384 act + 256 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 129129vR 131
AVG/OBP/SLG.288 / .366 / .438
PA256
HR7
K%16
BB%10
BABIP324
ISO150
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +11.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+11BATRUN: -1.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-2RUNFLD: +2.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+2FLDPOS: +11.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+11POSREP: +18.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+18REPTotal WAR: +4.30+4.3WAR
0.02.55.01.74.24.03.53.1+$62M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit option yr━ post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
Whiff%
718.8%
xwOBA
800.343
POWER50
Barrel%
498.0
Avg EV
8691.5
Bat Spd
6973.3
EYE55
Chase%
9022.6%
SPEED40
Sprint
1225.6
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1439 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
376
1063
—
wRC+
126
124
—
wOBA
350
348
—
ISO
136
169
▶▶R
BABIP
345
304
◀L
K%
20.5%
18.2%
▶R
BB%
12.5%
10.9%
◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2021
Service   4.651 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$4M+1.7$14M+$10M
2027Arb-3$19M+4.2$31M+$14M
Totals $23M $45M +$24M
Options · projected decision
2027CLUB OPT$19.3M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2028CLUB OPT$15.5M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2029CLUB OPT$19.3M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2030CLUB OPT$12.0M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201517 ROKDSL Braves — 189178 44730 9301 22 247287320607 73297 165 262 59 — — — — — —
201517 ROKDSL Braves — 189172 54940 15211 22 314372413785 99358 118 351 127 — — — — — —
201618 ROKGCL Braves — 8275 16401 4222 01 213272307578 93288 275 238 40 — — — — — —
201618 ROKGCL Braves — 8272 19501 7152 01 264346375721 111321 189 325 107 — — — — — —
201719 ROKDanville Braves — 198178 39713 15432 10 219287320607 101267 228 271 66 — — — — — —
201719 ROKDanville Braves — 198169 491014 24302 10 290385432817 142326 1512 362 136 — — — — — —
201820 A2 teams — 432401 9618111 241334 11 239289372661 132327 316 283 75 — — — — — —
201820 A2 teams — 432390 11124111 35894 11 285350436786 151341 218 349 125 — — — — — —
201921 AA2 teams — 416391 771606 191135 00 197243284527 87260 275 237 40 — — — — — —
201921 AA2 teams — 416381 972006 29845 00 255316354670 100312 207 304 91 — — — — — —
202123 MLB3 teams — 430390 8712118 331206 00 223294397691 174273 288 303 90 -5 +0 -4 +8 +12 1.2
202123 MLB3 teams — 430383 9414119 401046 00 245326436762 191287 249 339 118 +9 +0 -4 +8 +12 2.5
202224 MLB2 teams — 427383 10617120 411161 20 277348483831 206345 2710 357 131 +15 +0 -2 +8 +12 3.4
202224 MLB2 teams — 427382 10717120 421141 20 280353487840 207348 2710 369 141 +20 +0 -2 +8 +12 3.8
202325 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 611540 15939118 631265 61 294373470844 176354 2110 367 139 +27 +1 +23 +11 +17 8.1
202325 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 611540 15638117 631265 61 289368457826 169348 2110 366 139 +27 +1 +23 +11 +17 8.1
202426 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 679595 17038224 781393 92 286371477849 192336 2011 366 138 +30 +1 +11 +12 +19 7.5
202426 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 679595 16737223 781393 92 281367466832 185330 2011 369 140 +31 +1 +11 +12 +19 7.6
202527 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 659566 15029018 841203 64 265363412775 147304 1813 338 117 +13 -0 +9 +12 +19 5.3
202527 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 659566 14728017 841203 64 260358399758 140299 1813 341 119 +14 -0 +9 +12 +19 5.4
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD28 MLBMIL — 384344 971309 32523 12 282348398747 116306 148 322 105 +2 -1 +1 +7 +11 2.1
YTD28 MLBMIL — 384344 971309 32523 12 282348398747 116306 148 333 113 +6 -1 +1 +7 +11 2.4
ROS28 MLBMIL 100% 256226 651307 26412 21 288366438804 150321 1610 357 131 +9 +0 +1 +5 +7 2.2
ROS28 MLBMIL 100% 256226 641307 26412 21 283362434796 150318 1610 349 125 +7 +0 +1 +5 +7 2.0
FULL28 MLBMIL — 640570 16126016 58935 33 282354412766 130310 159 333 113 +9 -1 +2 +11 +18 4.1
TOT28 MLBMIL — 640570 16226016 58935 33 284355414769 130313 159 336 115 +11 -1 +2 +11 +18 4.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729 MLBMIL 100% 520460 13226114 52853 32 287363439802 152323 1610 356 131 +18 -0 +0 +9 +15 4.3
202830 MLBMIL 100% 520459 13226114 53863 32 288365440805 153322 1710 353 129 +17 -0 -1 +9 +15 4.1
202931 MLBMIL 100% 504445 12625113 51853 22 283361431792 148319 1710 349 125 +14 -0 -1 +9 +14 3.7
203032 MLBMIL 100% 489434 11923012 49853 21 274352410762 136315 1710 342 120 +11 +0 -2 +9 +14 3.2
203133 MLBMIL 100% 473420 11221011 47843 11 267345395740 129310 1810 334 114 +8 -0 -3 +8 +13 2.7
203234 MLBMIL 100% 458407 10519010 46852 11 258336378715 120303 1910 324 106 +3 -0 -4 +8 +13 2.1
203335 MLBMIL 100% 396352 881508 39762 10 250328361689 111295 1910 312 97 -1 +0 -5 +7 +11 1.3
203436 MLBMIL 100% 331294 701106 32662 00 238317337654 99287 2010 300 88 -5 +0 -5 +6 +9 0.5
203537 MLBMIL 100% 268239 54804 26561 00 226305310614 84279 2110 287 78 -7 +0 -6 +5 +8 -0.1
203638 MLBMIL 100% 204182 40603 19431 00 220297302599 82271 219 275 69 -7 +0 -7 +4 +6 -0.5
202729 MLBMIL 100% 520460 13226114 52853 32 287363439802 152320 1610 349 125 +15 -0 +0 +9 +15 3.9
202830 MLBMIL 100% 520459 12925113 53863 32 281359425784 144319 1710 346 123 +13 -0 -1 +9 +15 3.7
202931 MLBMIL 100% 504445 12524113 51853 22 281359427786 146317 1710 341 119 +11 -0 -1 +9 +14 3.3
203032 MLBMIL 100% 489434 11823012 49853 21 272350408758 136313 1710 335 115 +8 +0 -2 +9 +14 2.9
203133 MLBMIL 100% 473420 11221011 47843 11 267345395740 129308 1810 327 109 +5 -0 -3 +8 +13 2.4
203234 MLBMIL 100% 458407 10519010 46852 11 258336378715 120301 1910 317 101 +1 -0 -4 +8 +13 1.8
203335 MLBMIL 100% 396352 871508 39762 10 247326358684 111293 1910 306 92 -3 +0 -5 +7 +11 1.1
203436 MLBMIL 100% 331294 701106 32662 00 238317337654 99285 2010 294 83 -6 +0 -5 +6 +9 0.4
203537 MLBMIL 100% 268239 54804 26561 00 226305310614 84276 2110 282 74 -8 +0 -6 +5 +8 -0.2
203638 MLBMIL 100% 204182 40603 19431 00 220297302599 82269 219 270 65 -8 +0 -7 +4 +6 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 69296116 16343128186 723133539 3817 267348412760 145313 1910 337 116 +125 +1 +4 +129 +196 46.5
/ 162G— — 650574 15329117 681254 42 267348409758 143313 1910 337 116 +12 +0 +0 +12 +18 4.4
Career— — 85427615 198738013221 810175457 4221 261336401738 140311 219 326 108 +77 +0 +4 +153 +242 48.6
/ 162G— — 650579 15129117 621334 32 261336402738 142310 2010 326 108 +6 -0 +0 +12 +18 3.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201517 ROKDSL Braves — 189172 54940 15211 22 314372413785 99358 118 351 127 +6 -0 — — +5 1.1
201618 ROKGCL Braves — 8272 19501 7152 01 264346375721 111321 189 325 107 +1 -0 — — +2 0.3
201719 ROKDanville Braves — 198169 491014 24302 10 290385432817 142326 1512 362 136 +8 +0 — — +6 1.4
201820 A+Florida Fire Frogs — 9083 21700 6160 00 253303337641 84309 187 287 78 -2 +0 — — +3 0.0
201820 ARome Braves — 342307 9017111 29734 11 293362463824 169351 218 365 137 +14 -0 — — +10 2.4
201921 AAMississippi Braves — 209191 47903 15402 00 246308340648 94295 197 294 83 -4 +0 — — +6 0.2
201921 A+Florida Fire Frogs — 207190 501103 14443 00 263324368692 105329 217 314 98 -0 +0 — — +6 0.6
202123 MLBAtlanta Braves — 185163 35418 19542 00 215304399703 184265 2910 314 98 -0 +0 -4 +8 +5 0.9
202123 AAAGwinnett Stripers — 171155 45809 13363 00 290357516873 226327 218 384 152 +10 +0 — — +5 1.5
202123 INTLCardenales de Lara — 7465 14202 8141 00 215311338649 123245 1911 299 87 -1 +0 — — +2 0.1
202224 MLBAtlanta Braves — 376334 9314120 391041 20 278356506862 228344 2810 377 146 +20 +0 -2 +8 +11 3.7
202224 AAAGwinnett Stripers — 5148 14300 3100 00 292333354688 62368 206 312 97 -0 +0 — — +1 0.1
202325 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 611540 15638117 631265 61 289368457826 169348 2110 366 139 +27 +1 +23 +11 +17 8.1
202426 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 679595 16737223 781393 92 281367466832 185330 2011 369 140 +31 +1 +11 +12 +19 7.6
202527 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 659566 14728017 841203 64 260358399758 140299 1813 341 119 +14 -0 +9 +12 +19 5.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 25102198 598121585 28354314 237 272359448806 176324 2211 358 132 +91 +2 +38 +50 +71 25.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 17 projected seasons
177,57720542270347416+91+9448.539.9
/162664184+8.0+8.34.2pk7: 31
#1A.J. Pierzynskilast yr '16
AS×3SS×2
career totals — 17 seasons, 7,778 PA
177,77818815280318420+116+8147.138.8
/162664161+9.9+6.94.0pk7: 31
#2Jhonny Peraltalast yr '17
career totals — 14 seasons, 7,291 PA
147,29120217267329423+66+6342.937.5
/162664182+6.1+5.83.9pk7: 32
#3Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21
career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA
157,40119591266329423+58+1138.232.2
/162664178+5.2+1.03.4pk7: 26
#4Jason Variteklast yr '11
career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA
125,04716622255343431+61+1533.130.8
/162664223+8.0+1.94.4pk7: 28
#5Ramon Hernandezlast yr '13
career totals — 14 seasons, 5,543 PA
145,5431668263326418+65+5733.730.7
/162664201+7.7+6.94.0pk7: 28
#6Yunel Escobarlast yr '17
career totals — 11 seasons, 5,957 PA
115,9579034282350386+53+4132.429.4
/162664104+5.9+4.63.6pk7: 26

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
William Contreras (OGILVIE) 28 55 50 40 55 284/355/414 130313 163 15% 9% 115 +4.3 ————————— —————————
●Carlos Correa
2023 · MLB 		28 55→60 54→60 41→55 55 278/357/456 177319 222 20% 10% 134 +4.1 265/340/434 169311 192 20% 10% 121 +3.2 262/335/41915730817020%9%111+2.1
●Jhonny Peralta
2010 · MLB 		28 53→63 49→55 40 50 262/323/415 153310 163 20% 8% 109 +2.4 268/327/429 161306 172 18% 8% 115 +2.7 287/344/45717033118119%8%124+3.1
●Carlos Ruiz
2007 · MLB 		28 53→63 49→50 44→45 47 265/316/418 153292 156 16% 6% 107 +2.2 247/326/380 133269 116 12% 9% 102 +1.8 295/383/44114632013211%10%127+2.7
●Michael Barrett
2005 · MLB 		28 51→60 53→60 41→40 52 260/320/445 185274 204 14% 8% 116 +2.8 273/334/461 188288 202 13% 8% 126 +3.5 273/333/45318028719113%7%118+2.1
●Neil Walker
2014 · MLB 		28 53→57 49→55 42→45 53 264/338/418 155297 165 17% 9% 117 +2.9 269/338/446 177298 214 17% 8% 124 +3.4 273/340/45418130023317%8%122+2.9
●Saul Soto
2007 · AAA 		28 53→63 51→60 38→45 48 268/318/431 163292 194 16% 6% 111 +2.5 273/323/460 187300 244 18% 6% 122 +3.3 286/340/48219731226217%7%131+2.7
●Ramon Hernandez
2004 · MLB 		28 50→53 50→60 44→30 51 255/321/409 154272 182 15% 7% 108 +2.3 272/330/452 180282 223 12% 7% 122 +3.3 276/335/46418728323112%7%125+2.7
★Rich Aurilia
2001 · MLB 		29 52→61 53→60 41→40 55 265/332/436 171286 213 16% 9% 118 +3.0 285/336/475 190304 232 14% 7% 131 +3.9 285/334/46718230421114%7%125+3.5
✕Brian Anderson
2020 · MLB 		27 54→59 51→60 44→45 50 267/345/440 173321 184 22% 8% 125 +3.5 256/338/428 172322 206 25% 9% 119 +3.1 241/328/39615531519427%9%103+1.0
●Mark Ellis
2006 · MLB 		29 58→63 48→50 43→50 55 285/352/435 150306 144 12% 9% 126 +3.5 262/331/411 149287 158 14% 8% 112 +2.6 250/324/395145273151014%8%102+1.7
●Keith Ginter
2004 · MLB 		28 51 51→55 45 54 254/350/421 167296 184 20% 10% 124 +3.4 239/317/410 171277 206 21% 8% 106 +2.2 225/303/38315825818520%8%91+0.7
●Martín Prado
2011 · MLB 		27 61→65 47→50 42→45 51 298/346/448 151324 135 13% 7% 128 +3.6 280/330/414 134299 127 10% 7% 111 +2.5 282/335/41112930311710%7%110+2.6
●Todd Walker
2002 · MLB 		29 57→61 51→55 39→45 55 285/346/451 166304 175 13% 9% 128 +3.7 284/343/434 150305 144 11% 8% 122 +3.3 282/344/43114930013311%8%115+2.7
●Yunel Escobar
2010 · MLB 		27 60→67 45 41→45 57 292/363/419 127313 126 11% 9% 127 +3.6 267/340/370 103291 106 11% 9% 105 +2.1 299/357/4021023348112%7%118+2.5
✕Chris Snyder
2008 · MLB 		27 49→44 50→55 39→30 55 246/332/403 157279 182 19% 10% 111 +2.5 232/337/414 182276 222 23% 13% 116 +2.8 214/333/39618225523025%14%98+0.9
●Jorge Polanco
2021 · MLB 		28 56→61 49→60 45→50 51 277/334/431 154312 157 17% 8% 118 +3.0 257/330/449 192291 248 20% 9% 121 +3.2 251/332/44919828725722%10%120+2.6
★Mike Lowell
2002 · MLB 		28 54→64 52→60 43→40 53 272/339/449 177285 194 13% 8% 125 +3.5 276/347/480 204287 244 13% 9% 137 +4.3 279/354/49421528526413%10%136+4.5
●Robinson Chirinos
2011 · AAA 		27 50→46 53→60 39→50 51 257/329/436 179284 204 18% 8% 118 +3.0 236/304/369 133286 144 22% 8% 90 +1.0 230/343/43520529626229%11%122+2.1
●J.J. Hardy
2011 · MLB 		28 51→55 48→55 43→30 52 253/312/396 144280 153 16% 8% 100 +1.7 247/293/410 163262 212 15% 6% 96 +1.5 244/288/40816425222114%6%89+1.0
✕Omar Narváez
2020 · MLB 		28 54→55 53→50 39→30 56 276/355/442 166312 222 19% 10% 130 +3.8 252/333/399 147300 172 21% 10% 110 +2.4 234/321/35512028512021%10%89+0.5