J.P. Crawford — OGILVIE

J.P. CrawfordSS Seattle Mariners

Age 31 L/R 6'0" / 202 lbs MLB HR -5% Svc 7.948 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION335 act + 286 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 114105vR 101

AVG/OBP/SLG.245 / .349 / .388

PA286

HR7

K%20

BB%13

BABIP293

ISO143

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

905.9%

xwOBA

630.324

POWER40

Barrel%

325.8

Avg EV

3087.6

Bat Spd

5672.0

EYE65

Chase%

9018.2%

SPEED49

Sprint

1625.8

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1188 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

379

809

—

wRC+

102

◀L

wOBA

318

305

◀L

ISO

125

102

◀◀L

BABIP

272

290

▶R

17.7%

21.3%

◀◀L

BB%

11.1%

12.1%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 7.948 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

NTC

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$4M	+0.9	$4M	-$0.6M
Totals		$4M		$4M	-$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	2 teams	—	228	207	51	7	2	1	20	49	0	14	6	246	313	314	627	68	318	21	9	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	2 teams	—	228	195	60	9	3	1	32	35	0	14	6	308	405	400	805	92	371	15	14	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A+	2 teams	—	538	477	127	22	0	9	51	97	4	24	14	266	342	369	711	103	315	18	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A+	2 teams	—	538	463	132	23	0	11	65	74	4	24	14	285	378	406	784	121	317	14	12	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	AA	3 teams	—	522	470	122	23	5	6	45	69	2	12	5	260	327	368	695	109	291	13	9	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	AA	3 teams	—	522	450	127	22	7	6	65	60	2	12	5	282	375	402	777	120	313	11	12	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AAA	2 teams	—	551	498	106	16	1	6	46	100	1	12	7	213	281	285	566	72	254	18	8	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AAA	2 teams	—	551	472	118	19	1	7	72	80	1	12	7	250	350	339	689	89	287	15	13	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AAA	2 teams	—	643	571	110	21	6	12	68	148	1	6	4	193	280	313	593	121	237	23	11	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AAA	2 teams	—	643	544	130	24	7	15	95	119	1	6	4	239	353	392	745	153	279	19	15	336	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	MLB	3 teams	—	255	221	42	8	4	4	22	79	9	3	0	190	290	317	606	127	275	31	9	276	69	-9	+1	-2	+3	+7	-0.1
2018	23	MLB	3 teams	—	255	217	46	9	4	5	25	68	9	3	0	212	317	359	677	147	285	27	10	305	92	-2	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.6
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	534	468	111	27	4	10	55	116	4	8	3	237	323	376	699	139	292	22	10	308	94	-4	+0	+2	+6	+15	1.9
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	534	461	115	28	4	10	62	108	4	8	3	249	343	393	736	143	303	20	12	329	110	+6	+0	+2	+6	+15	2.9
2020	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	232	204	52	7	2	2	23	39	3	6	3	255	339	338	677	83	303	17	10	310	95	-1	+0	+6	+2	+7	1.4
2020	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	232	204	52	7	2	2	23	39	3	6	3	255	339	338	677	83	303	17	10	309	95	-1	+0	+6	+2	+7	1.4
2021	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	687	619	172	39	0	9	58	114	5	3	6	278	345	384	729	107	326	17	8	324	106	+5	-2	+5	+7	+19	3.5
2021	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	687	619	169	37	0	9	58	114	5	3	6	273	340	376	717	103	320	17	8	323	105	+4	-2	+5	+7	+19	3.4
2022	27	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	603	518	128	25	3	6	68	80	10	3	2	247	346	342	687	95	279	13	11	312	97	-2	-0	-5	+6	+17	1.7
2022	27	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	603	518	126	24	3	6	68	80	10	3	2	243	342	336	678	93	275	13	11	310	96	-3	-0	-5	+6	+17	1.6
2023	28	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	638	534	145	36	0	20	94	125	5	2	0	272	385	451	837	180	320	20	15	368	140	+29	+0	-3	+7	+18	5.2
2023	28	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	638	534	142	35	0	19	94	125	5	2	0	266	381	438	819	172	314	20	15	366	138	+27	+0	-3	+7	+18	5.1
2024	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	451	392	81	17	2	9	52	102	6	5	0	207	309	329	638	122	255	23	12	291	81	-10	+1	+3	+5	+13	1.2
2024	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	451	392	79	16	2	9	52	102	6	5	0	202	304	321	626	120	248	23	12	289	79	-11	+1	+3	+5	+13	1.1
2025	30	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	654	570	154	25	0	13	74	122	3	8	1	270	357	382	739	112	323	19	11	328	109	+7	+1	-5	+7	+19	2.9
2025	30	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	654	570	151	24	0	12	74	122	3	8	1	265	352	370	723	105	318	19	11	327	108	+6	+1	-5	+7	+19	2.8
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	MLB	SEA	—	335	284	62	10	0	10	45	69	5	1	3	218	335	359	694	141	252	21	13	315	99	-0	-1	-1	+4	+9	1.1
YTD	31	MLB	SEA	—	335	284	62	10	0	10	45	69	5	1	3	218	335	359	694	141	252	21	13	319	102	+1	-1	-1	+4	+9	1.2
ROS	31	MLB	SEA	100%	286	245	60	12	1	7	36	58	3	2	2	245	349	388	736	143	291	20	13	333	113	+4	-0	-3	+3	+8	1.2
ROS	31	MLB	SEA	100%	286	245	60	12	1	7	36	58	3	2	2	245	349	388	736	143	288	20	13	322	104	+1	-0	-3	+3	+8	0.9
FULL	31	MLB	SEA	—	621	529	122	22	1	17	81	127	8	3	5	231	341	372	714	142	271	20	13	318	102	+1	-1	-5	+7	+18	1.9
TOT	31	MLB	SEA	—	621	529	122	22	1	17	81	127	8	3	5	231	341	372	714	142	271	20	13	323	106	+4	-1	-5	+7	+18	2.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	SEA	100%	641	549	134	26	2	15	80	132	7	4	3	244	347	381	728	137	293	21	12	331	111	+8	-0	-11	+7	+18	2.2
2028	33	MLB	SEA	100%	553	473	114	21	2	13	69	116	6	3	2	241	345	376	721	135	288	21	12	323	106	+4	-0	-11	+6	+16	1.4
2029	34	MLB	SEA	100%	477	410	94	17	1	10	59	103	5	2	1	229	333	349	682	120	282	22	12	314	98	-1	+0	-11	+5	+14	0.7
2030	35	MLB	SEA	100%	421	362	80	14	1	8	52	94	4	1	1	221	325	331	657	110	274	22	12	303	90	-5	-0	-11	+5	+12	0.1
2027	32	MLB	SEA	100%	641	549	134	26	2	15	80	132	7	4	3	244	347	381	728	137	290	21	12	320	103	+2	-0	-11	+7	+18	1.6
2028	33	MLB	SEA	100%	553	473	112	21	2	12	69	116	6	3	2	237	341	366	707	129	286	21	12	313	98	-2	-0	-11	+6	+16	0.9
2029	34	MLB	SEA	100%	477	410	93	17	1	10	59	103	5	2	1	227	331	346	678	120	279	22	12	304	91	-5	+0	-11	+5	+14	0.3
2030	35	MLB	SEA	100%	421	362	80	14	1	8	52	94	4	1	1	221	325	331	657	110	272	22	12	294	83	-8	-0	-11	+5	+12	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6264	5408	1316	264	22	119	737	1227	64	47	24	243	341	366	707	123	293	20	12	317	101	+7	-0	-43	+71	+177	21.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	136	27	2	12	76	127	7	5	2	242	340	362	701	119	292	20	12	317	101	+1	+0	-4	+7	+18	2.3
Career	—			—	8914	7788	1883	363	36	160	972	1743	78	118	60	242	332	359	691	117	291	20	11	310	95	-49	-0	-43	+91	+253	25.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	138	26	3	12	71	127	6	9	4	243	334	363	697	120	292	20	11	310	95	-4	+0	-3	+7	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	60	53	11	1	0	0	7	10	0	2	1	208	300	226	526	19	256	17	12	254	52	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2013	18	ROK	GCL Phillies	—	168	142	49	8	3	1	25	25	0	12	5	345	443	465	908	120	414	15	15	405	168	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.9
2014	19	A+	Clearwater Threshers	—	271	236	65	7	0	8	28	37	2	10	7	275	357	407	764	131	292	14	10	339	118	+5	-1	—	—	+8	1.3
2014	19	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	267	227	67	16	0	3	37	37	2	14	7	295	398	405	804	110	342	14	14	365	138	+11	+0	—	—	+8	1.9
2015	20	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	405	351	93	21	7	5	49	45	1	7	2	265	357	407	764	142	289	11	12	340	119	+9	+1	—	—	+11	2.1
2015	20	A+	Clearwater Threshers	—	95	79	31	1	0	1	14	9	1	5	2	392	489	443	932	51	435	9	15	422	181	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.2
2015	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	22	20	3	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	1	150	227	150	377		214	27	9	187	1	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2016	21	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	385	336	82	11	1	4	42	59	1	7	4	244	330	318	648	74	284	15	11	296	84	-7	-0	—	—	+11	0.4
2016	21	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	166	136	36	8	0	3	30	21	0	5	3	265	398	390	787	125	295	13	18	362	135	+7	-0	—	—	+5	1.1
2017	22	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	87	70	15	4	1	0	16	22	0	1	0	214	360	300	660	86	306	25	18	310	95	-0	+0	+4	+2	+2	0.9
2017	22	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	556	474	115	20	6	15	79	97	1	5	4	243	352	405	757	162	275	17	14	341	119	+12	-1	—	—	+16	2.8
2018	23	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	138	117	25	6	3	3	13	37	5	2	0	214	316	393	709	179	286	27	9	314	98	-0	+0	-2	+3	+4	0.4
2018	23	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	68	58	15	2	1	1	5	17	4	1	0	259	358	379	738	121	350	25	7	333	113	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2018	23	A+	Clearwater Threshers	—	49	42	6	1	0	1	7	14	0	0	0	143	265	238	503	95	185	29	14	242	44	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2019	24	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	396	345	78	21	4	7	43	83	2	5	3	226	315	371	686	145	275	21	11	306	92	-3	-0	+2	+6	+11	1.5
2019	24	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	138	116	37	7	0	3	19	25	2	3	0	319	423	457	880	138	382	18	14	394	160	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
2020	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	232	204	52	7	2	2	23	39	3	6	3	255	339	338	677	83	303	17	10	309	95	-1	+0	+6	+2	+7	1.4
2021	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	687	619	169	37	0	9	58	114	5	3	6	273	340	376	717	103	320	17	8	323	105	+4	-2	+5	+7	+19	3.4
2022	27	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	603	518	126	24	3	6	68	80	10	3	2	243	342	336	678	93	275	13	11	310	96	-3	-0	-5	+6	+17	1.6
2023	28	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	638	534	142	35	0	19	94	125	5	2	0	266	381	438	819	172	314	20	15	366	138	+27	+0	-3	+7	+18	5.1
2024	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	451	392	79	16	2	9	52	102	6	5	0	202	304	321	626	120	248	23	12	289	79	-11	+1	+3	+5	+13	1.1
2025	30	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	654	570	151	24	0	12	74	122	3	8	1	265	352	370	723	105	318	19	11	327	108	+6	+1	-5	+7	+19	2.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3886	3369	837	174	15	67	441	724	39	35	15	248	342	369	711	120	296	19	11	321	104	+18	+1	+4	+46	+110	18.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ramon Hernandezlast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 5,543 PA	14	5,543	166	8	263	326	418	+65	+57	33.7	30.7
	/162	664	20	1	263	326	418	+7.7	+6.9	4.0	pk7: 28
#2Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	12	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.2	25.1
	/162	664	17	6	252	318	423	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#3Carlos Ruizlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,069 PA	12	4,069	71	25	264	350	391	+73	+6	25.2	24.6
	/162	664	12	4	264	350	391	+11.9	+1.0	4.1	pk7: 24
#4Alex Avilalast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 3,638 PA	13	3,638	105	8	233	348	393	+65	+46	26.7	24.5
	/162	664	19	1	233	348	393	+11.9	+8.5	4.9	pk7: 22
#5Jed Lowrielast yr '22 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,188 PA	13	5,188	121	8	257	330	407	+31	+28	25.3	24.5
	/162	664	15	1	257	330	407	+4.0	+3.5	3.2	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 15 projected seasons	15	6,934	137	52	244	338	368	+68	+27	27.9	24.3
	/162	664	13	5	244	338	368	+6.5	+2.6	2.7	pk7: 21
#6Chris Iannettalast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 4,253 PA	14	4,253	141	11	230	345	406	+76	-30	23.7	21.5
	/162	664	22	2	230	345	406	+11.9	-4.6	3.7	pk7: 19

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
J.P. Crawford (OGILVIE)	31	47→55	36→40	49	65	231/341/372	142	271	17	3	20%	13%	106	+2.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Descalso 2018 · MLB	31	46→55	47→50	52→45	56	228/320/370	142	273	14	7	21%	11%	97	+1.5	220/322/371	151	285	15	5	26%	13%	98	+1.6	204/318/354	150	268	15	2	27%	14%	89	+0.5
✕John Baker 2012 · MLB	31	51→59	44→45	49→45	54	245/333/371	125	308	10	4	22%	11%	102	+1.9	214/290/286	72	287	5	5	25%	9%	63	-0.9	194/271/237	43	268	3	2	26%	9%	36	-1.0
✕Omar Narváez 2023 · MLB	31	48→55	45→50	46→30	53	238/319/363	126	282	13	2	20%	10%	95	+1.4	210/292/316	106	252	10	3	20%	10%	72	-0.2	189/279/274	85	227	9	0	20%	10%	54	-0.6
✕Brock Holt 2019 · MLB	31	50→60	44→45	42→50	53	244/326/360	116	293	11	10	20%	10%	97	+1.5	247/326/355	108	309	8	8	21%	10%	95	+1.4	239/319/331	92	303	5	7	21%	9%	83	+0.2
✕Ramón Vázquez 2009 · MLB	32	51→59	45	46→50	54	247/322/378	131	298	11	4	21%	10%	99	+1.7	237/312/328	91	296	6	4	20%	9%	82	+0.5	229/303/283	55	290	2	2	20%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Tucker Barnhart 2022 · MLB	31	48→54	47→45	46→40	49	236/313/369	133	298	14	3	25%	9%	94	+1.3	221/292/305	84	302	7	4	27%	9%	68	-0.5	180/270/243	63	254	4	3	28%	10%	42	-0.6
●D'Angelo Jimenez 2009 · MLB	31	49→56	44→45	46→50	57	237/311/355	118	258	11	9	14%	10%	89	+1.0	252/327/381	129	280	13	6	14%	10%	102	+1.9	262/343/395	133	293	13	4	14%	11%	111	+1.7
✕Mitch Maier 2013 · MLB	31	49→56	44→50	52→50	52	237/315/359	121	301	11	9	24%	10%	92	+1.2	233/301/356	123	318	13	9	28%	9%	85	+0.7	275/351/375	100	348	10	11	22%	11%	105	+0.5
✕Stephen Drew 2014 · MLB	31	48→57	49→55	52→45	53	238/316/404	166	295	15	6	24%	10%	104	+2.0	210/285/377	167	242	18	4	21%	9%	84	+0.6	216/289/390	174	231	21	0	17%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Ben Gamel 2023 · MLB	31	49→59	47→50	43→50	54	238/328/381	142	303	13	7	24%	11%	103	+1.9	236/330/383	147	321	15	7	28%	12%	105	+2.1	228/330/376	148	321	15	6	31%	13%	99	+0.8
✕Ender Inciarte 2022 · MLB	31	46→56	42→45	49→60	49	223/292/325	102	275	9	11	22%	8%	73	-0.1	232/291/357	125	282	14	14	22%	7%	81	+0.4	229/283/341	113	266	14	23	20%	7%	68	-0.1
✕Jose Munoz 2010 · AAA	31	53→49	44→45	46→50	54	255/324/380	125	296	10	11	17%	9%	100	+1.7	228/305/334	106	281	9	8	20%	10%	81	+0.4	193/281/275	82	249	7	5	23%	10%	53	-0.5
✕Jack Hannahan 2012 · MLB	32	46→56	46→45	47→45	50	226/301/358	132	281	13	5	24%	9%	85	+0.7	232/305/339	107	293	9	4	22%	9%	82	+0.5	231/311/319	88	291	6	0	21%	10%	77	+0.0
●Eric Sogard 2018 · MLB	32	55→57	42→45	48→55	60	260/348/369	109	292	8	11	14%	11%	108	+2.3	240/319/361	121	276	11	10	17%	10%	94	+1.3	260/321/388	128	291	13	8	15%	8%	98	+0.7
✕Tony Kemp 2023 · MLB	31	52→61	43→45	52→55	57	249/331/365	116	273	10	12	13%	10%	100	+1.7	228/306/340	112	247	10	15	12%	9%	83	+0.6	215/297/315	100	231	9	18	11%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Ehire Adrianza 2022 · MLB	32	49	46→50	47→50	53	240/321/379	139	286	13	4	20%	10%	99	+1.7	230/306/351	121	284	11	8	22%	9%	86	+0.8	213/297/285	72	274	7	7	23%	9%	63	-0.2
✕Eddie Taubensee 2001 · MLB	32	52	46→45	47→30	51	257/316/383	126	286	14	4	16%	8%	98	+1.6	250/314/385	135	282	15	6	17%	8%	98	+1.6	248/312/359	111	274	14	0	15%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Mike Fontenot 2012 · MLB	32	51→59	44→50	47→45	51	246/312/376	130	289	10	8	18%	8%	95	+1.4	237/293/334	97	295	6	7	21%	7%	76	+0.0	234/286/307	74	297	3	5	21%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Jason Castro 2018 · MLB	31	46→54	49→50	45→30	51	228/315/379	152	304	16	3	29%	11%	97	+1.5	229/321/397	168	314	19	4	31%	11%	105	+2.1	228/337/425	197	301	27	0	31%	13%	116	+1.1
✕Nick Martini 2021 · MLB	31	53→60	42→55	48→45	55	252/338/364	112	317	9	5	22%	11%	102	+1.9	237/320/379	142	297	15	5	24%	9%	99	+1.7	230/316/394	164	281	19	1	24%	9%	98	+1.0