J.P. Crawford — OGILVIE

J.P. CrawfordSS Seattle Mariners

Age 31 L/R 6'0" / 202 lbs MLB HR +3% Svc 7.948 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 2.0 · 2026

wRC+†vL 101100vR 89

AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .336 / .358

PA574

HR12

SB5

K%20

BB%12

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

40→40

SPD

45→45

EYE

62↘60

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.2peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 7.948 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

NTC

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+2.0	$16M	+$6M
Totals		$10M		$16M	+$6M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	2 teams	228	207	51	7	2	1	20	49	0	14	6	.246	.313	.314	.627	.068	.318	21	9	.277	70	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2014	19	A+	2 teams	538	482	122	21	0	9	46	98	4	24	14	.253	.323	.353	.676	.100	.298	18	9	.300	88	-7	-1	+0	+6	+15	1.3
2015	20	AA	3 teams	522	469	121	21	6	6	46	72	2	12	5	.258	.327	.367	.694	.109	.292	14	9	.302	90	-6	+0	+0	+6	+15	1.5
2016	21	AAA	2 teams	551	496	108	16	1	6	48	99	1	12	7	.218	.288	.290	.578	.073	.260	18	9	.257	55	-28	-0	+0	+6	+16	-0.7
2017	22	AAA	2 teams	643	570	116	21	7	12	69	142	1	6	4	.204	.291	.328	.619	.125	.249	22	11	.275	69	-23	-0	+4	+2	+18	0.1
2018	23	MLB	3 teams	255	221	44	8	5	4	22	78	9	3	0	.199	.298	.335	.632	.136	.288	31	9	.280	72	-8	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.0
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	534	468	108	26	5	10	55	116	4	8	3	.231	.317	.372	.689	.141	.283	22	10	.300	88	-7	+0	+2	+6	+15	1.6
2020	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	232	204	53	7	2	2	23	39	3	6	3	.260	.343	.343	.687	.083	.309	17	10	.312	97	-1	+0	+6	+2	+7	1.4
2021	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	687	619	173	39	0	9	58	114	5	3	6	.279	.346	.386	.732	.107	.328	17	8	.324	106	+5	-2	+5	+7	+19	3.5
2022	27	MLB	Seattle Mariners	603	518	128	24	3	6	68	80	10	3	2	.247	.346	.340	.685	.093	.279	13	11	.310	95	-3	-0	-5	+6	+17	1.6
2023	28	MLB	Seattle Mariners	638	534	144	35	0	19	94	125	5	2	0	.270	.384	.442	.826	.172	.319	20	15	.363	136	+26	+0	-3	+7	+18	4.9
2024	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	451	392	80	16	2	9	52	102	6	5	0	.204	.307	.324	.631	.120	.252	23	12	.285	76	-12	+1	+3	+5	+13	1.0
2025	30	MLB	Seattle Mariners	654	570	154	24	0	12	74	122	3	8	1	.270	.357	.375	.732	.105	.325	19	11	.323	106	+4	+1	-5	+7	+19	2.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	31	MLB	Seattle Mariners	74	60	12	3	0	1	13	14	1	0	1	.200	.351	.300	.651	.100	.244	19	18	.307	93	-1	-0	-1	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	31	MLB	SEA	500	429	103	19	1	10	63	98	4	5	2	.240	.343	.359	.702	.119	.284	20	13	.317	101	+0	+0	-1	+5	+14	1.9
TOT	31	MLB	SEA	574	489	115	22	1	11	76	112	5	5	3	.235	.344	.352	.696	.117	.283	20	13	.316	100	-0	-0	-3	+6	+16	2.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	32	MLB	SEA	555	476	112	21	1	10	70	95	4	3	2	.235	.338	.347	.685	.111	.270	17	13	.312	97	-2	-0	-5	+6	+16	1.5
2028	33	MLB	SEA	525	450	103	19	0	9	66	93	4	1	1	.229	.333	.331	.664	.102	.269	18	13	.307	93	-4	-0	-6	+6	+15	1.1
2029	34	MLB	SEA	477	412	93	17	0	8	59	89	3	0	0	.226	.327	.325	.652	.100	.267	19	12	.301	88	-6	+0	-6	+5	+14	0.6
2030	35	MLB	SEA	421	363	79	14	0	6	52	83	3	0	0	.218	.321	.306	.626	.088	.265	20	12	.293	83	-8	+0	-7	+5	+12	0.2
2031	36	MLB	SEA	361	312	67	12	0	5	44	75	2	0	0	.215	.316	.301	.617	.087	.262	21	12	.285	76	-10	+0	-7	+4	+10	-0.3
2032	37	MLB	SEA	296	256	52	9	0	3	36	64	2	0	0	.203	.306	.273	.580	.070	.258	22	12	.275	69	-10	+0	-8	+3	+8	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9671	8448	2011	376	35	156	1065	1833	75	115	56	.238	.329	.346	.675	.108	.285	19	11	.303	90	-109	+1	-36	+99	+274	23.4
/ 162G	—			650	568	134	25	2	10	72	123	5	8	4	.236	.328	.340	.667	.104	.283	19	11	.303	90	-7	+0	-2	+7	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	60	53	11	1	0	0	7	10	0	2	1	.208	.300	.226	.526	.019	.256	17	12	.254	52	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2013	18	ROK	GCL Phillies	168	142	49	8	3	1	25	25	0	12	5	.345	.443	.465	.908	.120	.414	15	15	.405	168	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.9
2014	19	A+	Clearwater Threshers	271	236	65	7	0	8	28	37	2	10	7	.275	.357	.407	.764	.131	.292	14	10	.339	118	+5	-1	—	—	+8	1.3
2014	19	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	267	227	67	16	0	3	37	37	2	14	7	.295	.398	.405	.804	.110	.342	14	14	.365	138	+11	+0	—	—	+8	1.9
2015	20	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	405	351	93	21	7	5	49	45	1	7	2	.265	.357	.407	.764	.142	.289	11	12	.340	119	+9	+1	—	—	+11	2.1
2015	20	A+	Clearwater Threshers	95	79	31	1	0	1	14	9	1	5	2	.392	.489	.443	.932	.051	.435	9	15	.422	181	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.2
2015	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	22	20	3	0	0	0	2	6	0	0	1	.150	.227	.150	.377	.000	.214	27	9	.187	1	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2016	21	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	385	336	82	11	1	4	42	59	1	7	4	.244	.330	.318	.648	.074	.284	15	11	.296	84	-7	-0	—	—	+11	0.4
2016	21	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	166	136	36	8	0	3	30	21	0	5	3	.265	.398	.390	.787	.125	.295	13	18	.362	135	+7	-0	—	—	+5	1.1
2017	22	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	87	70	15	4	1	0	16	22	0	1	0	.214	.360	.300	.660	.086	.306	25	18	.310	95	-0	+0	+4	+2	+2	0.9
2017	22	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	556	474	115	20	6	15	79	97	1	5	4	.243	.352	.405	.757	.162	.275	17	14	.341	119	+12	-1	—	—	+16	2.8
2018	23	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	138	117	25	6	3	3	13	37	5	2	0	.214	.316	.393	.709	.179	.286	27	9	.314	98	-0	+0	-2	+3	+4	0.4
2018	23	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	68	58	15	2	1	1	5	17	4	1	0	.259	.358	.379	.738	.121	.350	25	7	.333	113	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2018	23	A+	Clearwater Threshers	49	42	6	1	0	1	7	14	0	0	0	.143	.265	.238	.503	.095	.185	29	14	.242	44	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2019	24	MLB	Seattle Mariners	396	345	78	21	4	7	43	83	2	5	3	.226	.315	.371	.686	.145	.275	21	11	.306	92	-3	-0	+2	+6	+11	1.5
2019	24	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	138	116	37	7	0	3	19	25	2	3	0	.319	.423	.457	.880	.138	.382	18	14	.394	160	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
2020	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	232	204	52	7	2	2	23	39	3	6	3	.255	.339	.338	.677	.083	.303	17	10	.309	95	-1	+0	+6	+2	+7	1.4
2021	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	687	619	169	37	0	9	58	114	5	3	6	.273	.340	.376	.717	.103	.320	17	8	.323	105	+4	-2	+5	+7	+19	3.4
2022	27	MLB	Seattle Mariners	603	518	126	24	3	6	68	80	10	3	2	.243	.342	.336	.678	.093	.275	13	11	.310	96	-3	-0	-5	+6	+17	1.6
2023	28	MLB	Seattle Mariners	638	534	142	35	0	19	94	125	5	2	0	.266	.381	.438	.819	.172	.314	20	15	.366	138	+27	+0	-3	+7	+18	5.1
2024	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	451	392	79	16	2	9	52	102	6	5	0	.202	.304	.321	.626	.120	.248	23	12	.289	79	-11	+1	+3	+5	+13	1.1
2025	30	MLB	Seattle Mariners	654	570	151	24	0	12	74	122	3	8	1	.265	.352	.370	.723	.105	.318	19	11	.327	108	+6	+1	-5	+7	+19	2.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			3886	3369	837	174	15	67	441	724	39	35	15	.248	.342	.369	.711	.120	.296	19	11	.321	104	+18	+1	+4	+46	+110	18.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
J.P. Crawford (OGILVIE)	31	55	40	45	60	.236/.338/.350	.114	.272	11	5	17%	13%	101	+1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brock Holt 2019 · MLB	31	50→60	43→45	42→50	53	.242/.322/.355	.113	.290	11	9	20%	9%	94	+1.3	.250/.330/.357	.107	.313	8	8	21%	10%	97	+1.5	.243/.322/.333	.089	.308	5	7	21%	9%	84	+0.2
✕Jose Munoz 2010 · AAA	31	52→49	44→45	45→50	54	.253/.324/.378	.125	.293	10	11	17%	9%	100	+1.7	.232/.309/.341	.109	.284	9	9	20%	10%	84	+0.6	.196/.285/.282	.085	.250	7	5	23%	10%	57	-0.5
●Daniel Descalso 2017 · MLB	30	49→54	45→50	43→45	56	.240/.322/.366	.126	.284	13	6	20%	11%	96	+1.5	.231/.329/.387	.156	.288	16	5	23%	12%	105	+2.1	.212/.322/.367	.155	.271	15	3	25%	13%	93	+0.7
✕John Baker 2012 · MLB	31	51→59	44→45	48→45	54	.247/.333/.375	.127	.307	10	4	22%	10%	103	+1.9	.214/.291/.287	.073	.284	5	5	24%	9%	63	-0.8	.192/.269/.234	.041	.264	3	2	26%	9%	34	-1.0
✕Howie Clark 2005 · MLB	31	52→58	44→40	44→40	54	.251/.317/.374	.123	.270	11	5	12%	8%	96	+1.5	.263/.323/.365	.102	.281	9	6	10%	8%	95	+1.4	.265/.307/.367	.103	.281	8	4	9%	5%	86	+0.4
●Craig Counsell 2002 · MLB	31	57→60	40→45	41→55	60	.269/.352/.368	.099	.306	7	8	14%	11%	109	+2.4	.259/.337/.341	.082	.294	5	12	12%	10%	96	+1.5	.244/.335/.346	.102	.270	7	19	11%	11%	92	+0.9
✕Ramón Vázquez 2009 · MLB	32	50→59	45	47→50	53	.243/.318/.372	.129	.295	11	4	21%	10%	96	+1.5	.238/.314/.333	.095	.295	7	4	20%	10%	84	+0.6	.227/.302/.282	.055	.287	2	2	20%	9%	60	-0.4
●D'Angelo Jimenez 2009 · MLB	31	49→56	44→45	46→50	58	.239/.316/.360	.121	.261	12	8	14%	10%	92	+1.2	.250/.326/.375	.125	.279	12	7	14%	10%	100	+1.7	.260/.342/.387	.126	.293	12	4	15%	11%	109	+1.6
●Eric Sogard 2018 · MLB	32	54→58	41→45	49→55	58	.257/.339/.357	.100	.289	7	10	14%	10%	101	+1.8	.243/.323/.361	.118	.280	11	10	16%	10%	95	+1.4	.260/.322/.387	.127	.292	12	8	15%	8%	98	+0.7
✕Greg Garcia 2019 · MLB	29	52→53	40	45→50	56	.244/.339/.338	.094	.301	8	7	20%	11%	97	+1.5	.239/.339/.347	.108	.306	8	6	22%	12%	99	+1.7	.250/.367/.357	.108	.328	6	0	22%	14%	114	+1.7
✕Eddie Taubensee 2001 · MLB	32	52	46→45	47→30	51	.256/.316/.384	.128	.285	14	5	16%	8%	98	+1.6	.251/.314/.384	.133	.282	15	6	16%	8%	98	+1.6	.248/.312/.359	.111	.274	14	0	15%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Ramon Martinez 2004 · MLB	31	54→52	42→45	44→40	52	.259/.322/.369	.110	.290	9	4	14%	8%	97	+1.5	.258/.317/.357	.099	.290	8	4	13%	8%	92	+1.2	.264/.323/.345	.081	.293	6	1	11%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Mike Fontenot 2011 · MLB	31	52→59	45→50	43→45	51	.256/.322/.392	.136	.299	12	6	18%	8%	103	+1.9	.237/.299/.348	.111	.288	8	7	20%	7%	82	+0.5	.227/.287/.324	.097	.284	6	7	21%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Kevin Plawecki 2022 · MLB	31	54→57	45	46→30	50	.263/.325/.387	.124	.300	12	5	17%	7%	103	+1.9	.238/.301/.343	.105	.286	10	3	19%	7%	82	+0.5	.218/.281/.316	.098	.264	9	0	20%	7%	63	-0.4
✕Mark Johnson 2006 · MLB	30	47	42→40	45→40	55	.224/.303/.328	.104	.257	9	6	16%	9%	79	+0.3	.231/.305/.318	.087	.272	7	5	17%	9%	77	+0.1	.240/.319/.300	.061	.279	5	1	15%	10%	76	+0.0
✕Mitch Maier 2013 · MLB	31	49→55	43→50	51→50	53	.238/.315/.354	.116	.298	10	8	23%	10%	90	+1.0	.232/.305/.357	.125	.314	13	9	28%	9%	87	+0.8	.268/.352/.376	.108	.341	11	11	22%	12%	105	+0.5
✕Warren Morris 2005 · MLB	31	52→55	44→40	47→50	51	.255/.307/.372	.117	.275	12	8	12%	7%	91	+1.1	.233/.283/.354	.121	.263	14	14	17%	6%	76	+0.1	.218/.261/.319	.101	.245	12	18	17%	6%	56	-0.6
✕Dave Berg 2002 · MLB	31	50→57	43→45	47→40	51	.242/.311/.357	.116	.284	9	6	18%	8%	89	+1.0	.253/.306/.369	.116	.292	10	3	16%	6%	90	+1.0	.258/.312/.344	.086	.305	7	1	17%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Ehire Adrianza 2021 · MLB	31	50	44→50	46→50	50	.241/.310/.365	.124	.292	10	7	21%	8%	91	+1.1	.231/.311/.355	.124	.280	12	6	21%	9%	89	+1.0	.225/.309/.338	.113	.277	11	3	21%	10%	81	+0.1
✕A.J. Ellis 2013 · MLB	32	52→51	44→45	42→40	60	.248/.353/.368	.120	.294	11	2	18%	12%	111	+2.5	.234/.334/.352	.118	.274	12	2	18%	12%	98	+1.6	.222/.328/.329	.107	.257	11	0	17%	13%	89	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)